Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,309/oz after retreating from the $3,350 region during the Asian session today. Selling pressure emerged as U.S. Treasury yields rose and the USD rebounded slightly, despite expectations of potential Fed rate cuts in the near future.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,350
• Nearest Support: $3,290
• EMA 09: Current price is below the EMA 09, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
• The downtrend is confirmed by bearish candlestick patterns and increasing trading volume in recent sessions.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue its short-term correction if the USD continues to rebound and U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated. However, long-term support factors such as concerns over U.S. national debt and expectations of Fed rate cuts persist.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Mid term Gold ideaExpecting Gold to continue bearish below the 2330 level as a key point of liquidity which could either trigger more buyers and push Gold into previous or new highs or continue the melt into new daily lows. 2330 is almost certainly getting swept, the question is, is Mr Orange gonna chill and gold will continue the crash or is he going on another rampage pushing the gold higher.
The Day Ahead Economic Data (Key Market Movers)
United States:
April Durable Goods Orders – Key manufacturing signal.
May Conference Board Consumer Confidence – Insight into consumer outlook.
May Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity – Regional factory health.
March FHFA House Price Index / Q1 House Price Purchase Index – Housing trends.
Asia:
China April Industrial Profits – Industrial sector health check.
Japan April Services PPI – Service-sector inflation data.
Europe:
Germany June GfK Consumer Confidence – Eurozone demand signal.
France May CPI – Eurozone inflation input.
Eurozone May Economic Confidence – Overall sentiment indicator.
EU27 April New Car Registrations – Auto industry and consumer demand barometer.
Central Bank Activity
Fed’s Kashkari speaks – May affect USD, short-end yields.
ECB’s Villeroy and Nagel speak – Watch for policy clues ahead of June decision.
Earnings Releases
Xiaomi – China tech sentiment.
PDD Holdings – Consumer demand in China.
AutoZone – U.S. retail/auto sector strength.
Okta – Enterprise tech/security outlook.
Bond Auction
U.S. 2-Year Treasury Note – Key for gauging short-term rate sentiment and demand for front-end duration.
Trading Focus
U.S. data (durables, confidence) may drive early equity, USD, and bond market moves.
Central bank commentary can create intraday volatility, especially in rates and FX.
China and EU data influence risk tone and commodities.
Earnings from Xiaomi, PDD, Okta may move tech indexes and related sectors.
2Y auction is a barometer for Fed path expectations.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Solana has broken out!The neckline was broken with a strong bullish candle.
After the breakout, price is currently retesting the neckline.
This area also aligns with previous structure and trendline breakout, strengthening the case for a bullish continuation.
Two possible bullish scenarios are outlined:
🔸 A direct continuation from current levels
🔹A deeper retest of the FVG zone before resuming the uptrend
📈 Target projection: Based on the height of the inverse H&S pattern, the potential upside targets the $260–$270 area.
📉 Invalidation: A clean break below the FVG zone (~$162) would invalidate the setup and suggest a deeper retracement.
Overall, the structure remains bullish until proven otherwise. Watching the next daily closes for confirmation.
Nestlé Returns to Its Roots to Regain Lost GroundBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Nestlé (SWX: NESN), one of the world’s food industry giants, has announced a major strategic shift: a renewed focus on what it does best. The company’s new CEO, Laurent Freixe, has made it clear that the era of forced diversification—particularly into areas like nutritional supplements—is over.
Since taking the helm in September, Freixe has been steering the company back to its traditional food and beverage business, acknowledging that moving away from this core was a mistake that undermined strategic clarity and market share, especially in the U.S. In his own words, mergers and acquisitions are no longer part of the plan: “they are not a strategy in themselves.”
This reorientation comes at a crucial time, as Nestlé seeks to regain momentum and reinforce its position in a challenging U.S. market, shaped by tariff pressures and increasingly specialized competitors. Still, early signs point to a gradual recovery, without the need to reinvent itself as a health or supplement company.
Recent Financial Results
In 2024, Nestlé posted sales of 91.354 billion Swiss francs, representing a 1.8% decline from the previous year. However, organic growth came in at 2.2%, driven by a 1.5% price increase and real internal growth (RIG) of 0.8%. Net profit stood at 10.884 billion Swiss francs, down 2.9% from 2023.
Regionally, sales in North America declined by 2.5% to 25.336 billion Swiss francs, while European sales dropped 1% to 18.910 billion. Sales in Asia and Oceania fell 4.1% to 16.793 billion, and Latin America saw a 2.2% contraction to 11.933 billion Swiss francs.
For the first half of 2025, Nestlé reported revenues of 45.045 billion Swiss francs, a 2.7% year-on-year decrease. Comparable sales grew by 2.1%, driven by a 2.0% price hike and 0.1% volume growth. Net profit reached 5.644 billion Swiss francs, slightly below market expectations.
Technical Analysis
Nestlé’s stock has been correcting since its May 2023 highs, reaching a low in January 2025 before rebounding toward a mid-range level between 78.50 and 98.28 Swiss francs per share. The current price of 88.64 is close to the average zone and the point of control at 86.75 francs. The RSI indicates mild overbought conditions at 60.35%, along with a long-term moving average crossover formed in late March that appears to signal a bullish extension continuing to reflect in the price action. A move up to the 0.5 Fibonacci level (89.60 francs) is plausible, and a further advance toward the next resistance at 94.15 francs (0.618 fibo) cannot be ruled out.
Why Does It Matter?
Because Nestlé serves as a bellwether for the global food sector. Its recent loss of strategic focus shows that even established brands can stumble when they stray too far from their core. This return to fundamentals could not only improve margins and operational efficiency, but also inspire other corporations to reevaluate their strategies. Nestlé is not innovating for the sake of it—it’s reconnecting with its essence: delivering quality products for everyday life.
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All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
USDJPY | FVG + OB + Weak Low Target = Textbook SMC Setup📊 USDJPY | 1H Bearish Play – Smart Money In Control
We’re seeing a classic setup where price retraces into a bearish zone of confluence and prepares for a selloff toward internal liquidity. Check the breakdown:
🔻 1. Structure Shift Confirmed
Price broke structure on the downside after forming a lower high
Current move is a retracement into discount OB zone
Clear rejection is forming, signaling short momentum incoming
🟪 2. Zone Confluence
📌 Order Block (OB): Sitting just under the 61.8% Fib
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Mitigated perfectly
📌 Fib Retracement: Price reacts between 61.8% and 70.5% — classic Smart Money play
📌 Previous Demand Turned Supply: This level is now acting as a rejection zone
This is stacked confluence — just how Smart Money likes to move.
💣 3. Entry Strategy
Entry Zone: 142.55 (midpoint of the OB reaction area)
Stop Loss: Above 143.443 (above OB + liquidity wick)
Take Profit: 139.888 (weak low, previous liquidity resting point)
⚖️ 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
🎯 TP = 139.888
📍 Entry = 142.550
🔐 SL = 143.443
✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5
A great example of high-probability short setup using pure Smart Money logic.
📉 5. Why This Works
Retail traders will try to long at this zone hoping for a breakout
Smart Money uses this zone to engineer liquidity
They tap into the FVG/OB, then target internal liquidity and weak lows
Clean, controlled sell-off expected down to 139.888
🧠 SMC Insights
This chart is all about liquidity engineering:
Push up into OB
Reject at premium pricing
Drive down to weak low to collect stops
Possibly reverse or continue trend from there
💬 Comment “FVG TAP + OB = 🔥” if you spotted this setup early
💾 Save it before the drop happens
📤 Share with a fellow SMC trader who needs this breakdown
BTC Short Locked – FVG + 79% Fib = Liquidity Grab Incoming📉 BTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Short – Premium Rejection in Play
Bitcoin just tapped into a nasty supply zone that aligns with:
🟥 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
💥 Previous Breaker Block Zone
🧠 Clean Internal Liquidity sweep
🚩 Structure still bearish – no HH
🔍 1. Market Structure Breakdown
Price broke down aggressively from the top (early signs of redistribution)
We’re now retesting the FVG + OB zone
No candle close above the Strong High = still valid bearish context
🧱 2. Zone Confluence
📍 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance created during impulsive sell-off
📍 OB + Breaker: Strong resistance holding inside 70.5%–79% retracement
📍 Strong High: Still protected
📍 Weak Low: Below = prime target for liquidity sweep
Price kissed the edge of that 79% Fib and immediately rejected = 🔥 confidence for a swing short
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: Around 110,800 (inside FVG zone)
Stop Loss: Above 112,400 (Strong High)
Take Profit: 105,248 (below Weak Low liquidity)
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
📥 Entry: 110,800
🔒 SL: 112,400
💰 TP: 105,248
✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5
Solid asymmetric setup with clearly defined structure, inducement, and imbalance = Smart Money textbook trade.
📉 5. Why This Works
Retail longs are entering late = exit liquidity for big players
Price filled the FVG but failed to break structure
Weak low below is clean AF, likely to be swept for continuation
1H/4H alignment = high conviction short
💬 Type "SHORTED BTC 💥" if you saw this setup before the drop!
📌 Bookmark this – confluence stacking is how you win consistently
👊 Share this with someone still buying the top 📈🙃
Another COVID-era “success story” on life supportRemember those biotech companies that soared during COVID? 💉💰
Imunon was one of them - riding the pandemic hype train all the way up. But just look at that chart now... 👀
From explosive highs to penny stock, it's now trading at $1.16, down 99.99% from its peak.
How many of these “COVID-era rocketships” are still worth holding? Or were they just pandemic pump-and-dumps dressed in hope and science?
Where to Look Today: 5 Hot Crypto Sectors with Real UtilityHello traders and investors!
These five sectors are seen as the most promising areas for crypto market development. Each represents real blockchain applications, not just speculation: they enable simpler, faster, and cheaper access to finance, data, and computing power. Based on them, you can build a diversified crypto portfolio. Each sector offers unique drivers—from real-world assets to AI. This selection helps you navigate trends and pick promising tokens according to your strategy and investment horizon.
1. Real-World Assets (RWA)
What it is: Real assets—such as bonds, real estate, or commodities—are digitized and issued as tokens on the blockchain. These tokens can be bought, sold, used as collateral, or integrated into DeFi applications.
Why it’s growing: Institutional players (funds, corporations, DAOs) are seeking reliable yield and transparency. Over $7 billion has already been invested in tokenized US Treasuries.
Top tokens:
ONDO: Token of Ondo Finance: offers access to tokenized funds, including U.S. Treasuries from BlackRock.
CFG: Token of Centrifuge: connects real assets (invoices, equipment, real estate) to DeFi, allowing companies to receive financing.
POLYX: Token of Polymesh: a blockchain specialized in securities tokens, with a focus on regulation and compliance.
RIO: Token of Realio: merges traditional assets (e.g., real estate) with DeFi and private equity potential.
2. Ethereum Layer-2 / Rollups
What it is: Layer-2 networks (Optimistic and ZK-rollups) process transactions separately and then send them to Ethereum in batches. This lowers load, speeds up the network, and reduces fees.
Why it’s growing: Layer-2 scales Ethereum without compromising security. Transactions become cheaper, dApps faster, and startups/corporates can build without overloading the base layer.
Top tokens:
ARB: Token of Arbitrum, the largest Optimistic Rollup network.
OP: Token of Optimism, which is being integrated into various partner projects and DAOs.
zkSync: Layer-2 platform based on ZK-rollups, focused on scalability and privacy. Native token: ZK.
STRK: Token of StarkNet, one of the most advanced ZK-based solutions.
3. Restaking & EigenLayer Ecosystem
What it is: If you’ve already staked ETH, you can reuse it by delegating it to EigenLayer, which lends it to other protocols. If they act honestly, you earn extra yield. This is restaking.
Why it’s growing: One ETH can now generate multiple streams of income. Restaking increases capital efficiency and supports a new ecosystem of reliable services that don’t need their own security. Total Value Locked (TVL) has already exceeded $15 billion, and the EIGEN token has just launched.
Top tokens:
EIGEN: Native token of EigenLayer.
ETHFI: Ether.fi platform issues eETH and enables restaking without transferring ETH custody to third parties.
PUFFER: Protocol offering pufETH—a token for restaking in EigenLayer. It features enhanced protection from price manipulation and MEV (Maximum Extractable Value) front-running, focusing on security and restaking yield optimization.
RSETH: Token from KelpDAO earned via restaking through EigenLayer. It's a liquid equivalent of a staked token, usable in DeFi apps while your ETH keeps working.
4. Yield Tokenization
What it is: Splitting an asset into two parts: principal and future yield. This lets you sell or buy just the yield the asset will generate.
Why it’s growing: It brings flexibility to financial planning. Users can lock in returns or buy discounted yield. A bond-like market within DeFi emerges. Traders, funds, and DAOs benefit from flexible and strategic income management.
Top tokens:
PENDLE: Sector leader; supports yield trading from crypto assets (e.g., stETH) and tokenized RWAs. Enables separating "principal" and "interest" to trade them independently—like selling a bond coupon without selling the bond itself.
ELEMENT: Allows trading fixed and variable yields. Users can split a yield-bearing token (like an LSD) into two parts—one entitled to yield, one not.
SWIVEL: Designed for institutional clients: supports KYC/AML and packages deals as fixed-rate, long-term bonds, easily understood by funds and treasuries. Works with crypto assets (e.g., staking and DeFi tokens) but presents them in traditional finance format.
5. AI & Decentralized Compute
What it is : Projects at the intersection of AI and blockchain: decentralized rendering, GPU power exchange, model training, and data sourcing.
Why it’s growing: Decentralized compute enables AI scaling without centralized cloud dependence. It boosts privacy and global access to AI infrastructure.
Top tokens:
FET: Fetch.AI: platform for creating "smart agents" — AI that can autonomously negotiate, buy or sell services and data. Entirely blockchain-based and mediator-free. Promising for automation in logistics, smart cities, and data economy.
TAO: Token of Bittensor: a network where thousands of participants train and share AI models. TAO is used for payments, rewards, and governance. Think of it as "Bitcoin for neural networks."
RNDR: Render Network connects users with spare GPU power to those who need rendering. A decentralized cloud-rendering system paid in tokens. In demand for 3D, film, and metaverses.
GRT: The Graph helps find and structure data from decentralized apps. Like Google for Web3—essential for the growing Web3 ecosystem.
Each of these sectors reflects real utility and demand for blockchain innovation. Following them may help you form a future-proof, high-conviction crypto portfolio.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Gold May Face Short-Term Correction at $3,350 Resistance📊 Market Overview:
- Gold is trading around $3,329/oz on May 27, after a slight decline due to President Donald Trump's postponement of the 50% tariffs on the EU until July 9, easing trade tensions.
- However, end-of-month USD selling pressure from portfolio rebalancing and concerns over U.S. debt continue to support gold prices.
📉 Technical Analysis:
- Key Resistance: $3,350
- Nearest Support: $3,295
- Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: The 14-day RSI is at 57, suggesting bullish momentum persists. However, price is testing strong resistance at $3,350. Failure to break through may lead to a pullback towards $3,295.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may experience a short-term pullback if it fails to break above the $3,350 resistance level and if market sentiment continues to be influenced by geopolitical and monetary policy factors.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,350
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,295
🎯 TP: $3,310
❌ SL: $3,390
EUR/AUD 8H Analysis - Bullish Breakout Brewing📍 Structure Shift
Price has broken out of a descending wedge, hinting at a bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. This pattern often signals a liquidity sweep followed by a rally — which aligns with current market behavior.
📍 Key Confluences
Bullish Liquidity Trendline respected with multiple touches and strong rejection candles.
Medium Demand Zone has been tested and held, showing signs of institutional accumulation.
71% Fibonacci Retracement from the most recent leg has been tagged and respected — prime zone for reversals.
Break above a medium resistance level now flipping into support.
📍 Volume Analysis
Spike in buying volume near the 71% fib and demand zone – another tick for bullish strength.
📍 Buy-Side Liquidity Above
Clean equal highs and unmitigated zones above. Market likely targeting these areas next.
📈 Bias: Strong Buy
As long as price holds above the broken wedge and the bullish trendline, EUR/AUD has strong potential to rally toward the buy-side liquidity zone marked at the top.
🎯 Next Target:
Liquidity sweep zone above highs
Then into the upper supply zone for reaction or reversal
BITCOIN, a new all-time record for M2 global liquidityThe bitcoin price has been on a solid uptrend since the beginning of April, a move we've been deciphering here on a regular basis. You can follow our Swissquote account to make sure you don't miss our next analytical updates on BTC and altcoins.
The new question we're asking is simple: with the bitcoin price having just set a new all-time high, is this bullish movement sustainable for the rest of the spring and into the summer?
The answer: yes, if and only if the positive correlation with global M2 liquidity continues.
1) The positive correlation between the bitcoin price and global M2 liquidity is very strong this cycle. Let's look first at how global liquidity M2 is calculated
M2 global liquidity is determined by adding together the M2 monetary aggregates of the world's main economic powers, namely the United States, China and the European Union. The M2 aggregate includes current bank accounts and liquid financial savings accounts of less than $100,000. It therefore represents the liquidity of bank accounts worldwide, which is immediately available for investment in the stock market.
The two illustrations below show that the US M2 is strongly bullish and close to setting a new all-time record. When calculating global M2, not only is the US M2 decisive, but also the Chinese M2 (which set a new all-time record this year) and the European M2, which is bullish thanks to the European Central Bank's regular rate cuts.
The histogram below shows the trend and absolute value of the US M2 money supply
The table below explains how global M2 liquidity is calculated. It essentially consists of US M2, Chinese M2, European M2 and the underlying trend of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies.
2) Global M2 liquidity is making yet another all-time high, so if the positive Bitcoin/Liquidity correlation continues, BTC could develop a bullish trend through to mid-summer.
Mathematical studies of linear correlation show that over the current BTC cycle, the linear correlation coefficient between global M2 liquidity and the bitcoin price is 0.80 when global M2 is projected 12 weeks into the future. This strong positive correlation therefore indicates that BTC has a good probability of following the underlying trend in global M2. The latter has just made a new all-time high, so with the 12-week time lag, this suggests that BTC could continue its upward momentum until midsummer.
Of course, even in an uptrend, there can be short-term corrections and retracements.
The chart below shows daily Japanese candlesticks for the BTC price, overlaid with M2 global liquidity projected 12 weeks into the future (the average time observed for global liquidity to flow into risky assets on the stock market).
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Gold – Bear Season 2 Incoming? | Big Rally, Bigger Pullback?Hey everyone! Sharing a long-term view on GOLD based on the weekly chart. We’ve had some wild moves lately, and there are signs that another Bear Season might be setting up. Let’s break it down:
Post-Halving 1 (Aug 2020)
After the first halving (marked as “Halving 1”), gold had a strong rally but entered a long sideways phase – which I’ve labeled as Bear Season 1.
Lots of ranging and no clear direction for a while.
Post-Halving 2 (Apr 2025)
After the second halving, gold exploded upwards again. Now we’re sitting near the $3,351 - $3,500 zone.
But here's the catch: just like after Halving 1, it might be time for the market to cool off.
Potential Bear Season 2?
There’s a red arrow marking a possible second Bear Season.
Price is extended, and we could be seeing exhaustion near the top.
Key Support Zones to Watch (for pullback):
Zone 1: $2,600 – $2,800
Zone 2: $2,300 – $2,500
Zone 3: $1,500 – $2,000 (strong accumulation zone)
Game Plan:
If we see rejection around the $3,500 area, I’ll be watching for short setups.
These support zones could be great areas to take profit or re-enter long for the long term.
Targets:
TP1: $2,800
TP2: $2,400
TP3: $1,800
Invalidation / Stop Loss:
If gold smashes through $3,500 with strong volume, this bearish idea is off the table – trend continues.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see the same setup forming. Good luck, and stay safe in the markets.
Archer Aviation: Fact or Fiction in the Skies?Archer Aviation, a prominent player in the burgeoning electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) industry, recently experienced a significant stock surge, followed by a sharp decline. This volatility was triggered by a report from short-seller Culper Research, which accused Archer of "massive fraud" and systematically misleading investors on key development and testing milestones for its Midnight eVTOL aircraft. Culper's allegations included misrepresentations of assembly timelines, readiness for pilot-controlled flights, and the legitimacy of a "transition flight" to unlock funding. The report also criticized Archer's promotional spending and claimed stalled progress on FAA certification, challenging the company's aggressive commercialization timeline.
Archer Aviation swiftly and forcefully refuted these claims, labeling them "baseless" and questioning Culper Research's credibility, citing its founder's "shorting and distorting" reputation. Archer emphasized its strong first-quarter 2025 earnings, which saw a dramatic narrowing of net losses and a substantial increase in cash reserves to over $1 billion. The company highlighted its operational momentum, including strategic partnerships with Palantir for AI development and Anduril for defense applications, a $142 million U.S. Air Force contract, and significant early customer orders exceeding $6 billion. Archer also pointed to its progress on FAA operational certifications, having secured three of four essential licenses, and its preparation for "for credit" flight testing for Type Certification, a critical step towards commercial passenger operations.
Culper Research's past track record presents a mixed picture, with previous targets like Soundhound AI experiencing initial stock declines followed by strong financial rebounds, though some legal challenges persisted. This nuanced history suggests that while Culper's reports can cause immediate market disruption, they do not consistently predict long-term corporate failure or fully validate the most severe allegations. The eVTOL industry itself faces immense challenges, including stringent regulatory hurdles, high capital requirements, and the need for extensive infrastructure development.
For investors, Archer Aviation remains a high-risk, long-duration investment. The conflicting narratives necessitate a cautious approach, focusing on verifiable milestones such as FAA Type Certification progress, cash burn rate, successful commercialization execution, and Archer's comprehensive response to the allegations. While the "fraud" thesis might be "overblown" given Archer's verifiable progress and strong financial position, ongoing due diligence is crucial. The company's long-term success hinges on its ability to navigate these complexities and meticulously execute its ambitious commercialization plan.