Beyond Technical Analysis
What Drives Elbit Systems' Expansion?Elbit Systems is demonstrating significant forward momentum, underpinned by strategic international collaborations and advanced technological offerings that address specific defense needs. A cornerstone of this expansion is the deepening partnership with Germany's Diehl Defence. Together, they are bringing the Euro-GATR precision-guided rocket system to the German Army's helicopter fleet, showcasing Elbit's ability to integrate sophisticated, cost-effective solutions into established European defense frameworks and build upon existing industrial cooperation.
Simultaneously, Elbit is a potential key supplier for Greece's substantial multi-billion Euro defense modernization initiative. With Greece actively seeking rapid procurement from strategic partners such as Israel, discussions are reportedly underway regarding Elbit's Puls multiple rocket launcher systems. Securing participation in this large-scale program would represent a significant market penetration for Elbit, highlighting its growing role in equipping NATO allies that are undertaking significant capability upgrades.
This combination of strategic positioning and sought-after technology is attracting notable attention from the financial community. A marked increase in share purchases by institutional investors, prominently featuring Vanguard Group Inc., signals strong market confidence in Elbit's growth strategy and prospects. This investor validation, coupled with concrete collaborations and significant market opportunities, paints a picture of a company effectively leveraging innovation and partnerships to fuel its international expansion.
Gold begins to stabilize, trading around 2990⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) finds renewed upward momentum during Tuesday’s Asian session, appearing to end a three-day losing streak after dipping to a nearly four-week low around the $2,957–2,956 region on Monday. Investor sentiment remains fragile amid lingering concerns over a potential global trade war, triggered by US President Donald Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariffs announced last week. Fears of a recession and heightened uncertainty continue to fuel safe-haven demand, helping bullion stabilize after its sharp pullback from last Thursday’s all-time high.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is in a correction downtrend, will continue sideways around 2950 - 3040
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3036 - 3038 SL 3043
TP1: $3020
TP2: $3005
TP3: $2990
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2962 - $2964 SL $2957
TP1: $2975
TP2: $2990
TP3: $3010
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Fundamental V Technical Analysis, who will win? SELL GOLD?All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
EURGBP Discretionary Analysis: Dive Time, No Life Jacket NeededIt’s dive time, no life jacket needed, just that instinct telling me it’s going down.
You know that feeling when you’re about to jump in, but you’ve got no backup? That’s the vibe here.
I’m calling for a deep dive, and I’m riding it all the way. If I’m right, I’ll be making a splash with some profits. If not, I’ll just float back up and try again.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
Bitcoin Expecting Selling Direction Go Through the this analysis Use trade be carefully.
Bit on as Seems as bearish trend Lookin the Bitcoin candles they needs the bearish pattern and weakness of background and Chinese War then market impact very high direction.
A Possible Trade Points
Resistance Zone 85K /87K
Support Zone 82,300 and 80,500
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis to share with you.
VIX Option Flow Signals Volatility Spike A massive wave of institutional option activity is pointing toward an upcoming surge in volatility—and likely a pullback in equities even more. Here's what the VIX flow is telling us:
🧠 Key Takeaways:
🔺 Aggressive Call Buying on VIX
Heavy blocks on VIX 22–42.5 calls, with most trading at the ask, signaling urgency.
Standout trades include:
1,407x April 22C @ $10.73 – $1.51M
2,535x May 60C @ $1.55 – $394K
5,770x April 40C @ $2.95 – $1.7M
📅 Short- to Mid-Term Focus
Expiries are clustered around April 16 and May 21, suggesting a volatility spike is expected within the next 1–6 weeks.
💵 Big Premiums Paid
Multiple trades between $500K and $1.7M, indicating strong conviction or heavy portfolio hedging.
📉 Minimal Put Activity
Very few puts being bought on VIX, signaling no expectations for volatility to fall.
📊 What This Means for Markets (SPY/QQQ)
This type of flow usually precedes a market correction, a macro catalyst, or event risk. Whether it's CPI, earnings season, or geopolitical flare-ups—institutions are bracing for turbulence.
🔮 Prediction:
Expect a spike in the VIX and downward pressure on major indices like SPY and QQQ in the coming 1–3 weeks.
This flow doesn’t lie—smart money is prepping for a move.
Is the deep downward correction trend over?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Major stock indexes plunged on Monday as U.S. President Donald Trump showed no signs of backing down from his sweeping tariff plans, prompting investors to bet that rising recession risks might force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates as early as May.
➡️ Futures markets quickly priced in nearly five quarter-point rate cuts by the Fed this year, sending Treasury yields sharply lower and weakening the U.S. dollar despite its safe-haven appeal.
➡️ The market selloff intensified after Trump reporters told that investors would have to "take their medicine" and that he would not sign a trade deal with China until the U.S. trade deficit is addressed.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The trade war is taking place without mercy between the sides. This will be the driving force to make gold prices increase back to their main trend. And it seems that the deep correction has ended
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3056 - 3076
Support zone: 3016 -2979
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3077 -3075
❌SL: 3083 | ✅TP: 3070 – 3085 – 3080
👉Buy Gold 3013 -3015
❌SL: 3008 | ✅TP: 3020 – 3025 – 3040
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
XBI-SPY overlay unravels great bear?Undead Bear Captain's Log, Apr 7 2025:
Writing some observations due to a lurking feeling of something ominous about to happen:
Bizarre signs in the wind since mid-March, such as VVIX/VIX
Sudden downslide last week, almost unprecedented
Minimal put action - bear breathen all obliterated
Overlay of infant XBI and adolescent SPY suggests 3 year rally was nothing more than smoke & mirrors
XBI bearish running flat?
SPY extreme expanded flat?
If true, this could sink ships - many many ships...
Out
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 8th April 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Strong bearish closure, price respected 0.618 fib level
-Looking for retest on 0.618 fib level or break & retest on daily structure
-Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3015, 2950
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
buy the dippity dip of the dipTechnically, charts are near previous highs from 2021-22,
As the great investooore ser unlimited meals buffett said
"if you eat when others are hungry, you will get fat. but if you starve when others are eating you will get all the chix."
its just a correction, not a recession .
buy the dip fm
SPX potentials for resistance & lowsI do dowsing & that's where I get my information from. I am expecting a move up tomorrow and then a high Wed./Thurs. with a reversal back down.
I've had levels around the 5450 area even since September, as well as dates suggesting a return to prices even lower from around November/December 2023, which if you recall, was the start of this big run up. I'm only showing the more near term idea, because that's what seems more clear.
The areas at the top are likely resistance in the near term. I'm not sure on timing for lows, but suspect something big in June/July.
I have some potentially important dates including this Thursday, as well as April 18th, 23rd, June 2nd and twice I get July 14th as well.
Yen Undervalued: Dollar Likely to Fall as Fundamentals ShiftThe USD/JPY pair's recent decline to 147.88 reflects an emerging shift in yield dynamics, with the US 10-year Treasury at 4.20% against Japan's approximate 1.10% yield. While this 310 basis point differential historically supported dollar strength, markets are now pricing in potential Fed rate cuts against speculation of BOJ policy normalization, narrowing the anticipated future yield gap. This fundamental realignment has accelerated yen appreciation despite the still-significant current yield advantage for the dollar.
The yen looks undervalued given Japan’s improving economy and rising prices, while the US may start cutting rates soon. The yen likely deserves a stronger level around 135–140 instead of the current 147.88, so despite short-term moves, the dollar still has room to fall against the yen in the coming months.
GOLD, preppin tarmac for the next FLIGHT season from here 2980GOLD has been breaking expectations the last few weeks with constant ATH breaks and parabolic surges since last year -- overtaking most risk-on assets in the field and for good reason. I can't say enough fundamental reasons because they are too far many -- which all favors GOLD's ultra ascend.
After tapping its ATH peak at 3167, gold finally retreated for a healthy trim down following the markets RED pressure. It tapped 61.8 fib levels to touch 2979 zone -- an almost a 2000 pip drop.
This area is where most buyers converge. And based on our latest metrics from the diagram -- we are now starting a new transitional phase, and prep work for the next BIG SHIFT. It is currently commencing as we speak.
This transition shifts only comes once every 6 months -- so this occasion is very rare specially to those who seek to get the best seasonal price (post correction).
*Disclaimer, we may see some bargain overextension moves from here -- but those are good opportunities to stack up if it gives more discount ranges.
Ideal seed at the current range. A retap of the ATH peak -- and go beyond further is expected from the higher basing zone.
Last chance to grab this rare discount season.
Spotted at 2980.
Interim at 3167 (current) ATH
Mid 3300
Long term 4000.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
Important support and resistance zone: 0.6678-0.8033
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(EOSUSDT 1M chart)
In order to continue the uptrend, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 2.8769 point, so if the HA-Low indicator is not newly created, it will rise to around 2.8769 and show support, which is the time to buy.
However, since it is far from the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is important to check whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart for now.
-
(1D chart)
The 0.6678-0.8033 section is an important support and resistance section.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near this section.
If it falls, you should check whether it is supported near 0.5255-0.5820.
If it starts to rise, it is likely to rise to the HA-Low indicator of the 1M chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it shows up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain the details again when the downtrend begins.
------------------------------------------------------
ES UpdateLike I said over the weekend, the algos are definitely on, explains the whipsaw Fri and today. Everything is oversold so they had to pump it and try to get their money back.
Problem is, Trump is gonna announce 50% tariff on China tomorrow. CHina ain't backing down, not their style.
QUote:
"Therefore, if China does not withdraw its 34% increase above their already long term trading abuses by tomorrow, April 8th, 2025, the United States will impose ADDITIONAL Tariffs on China of 50%, effective April 9th."
Source:
www.cbsnews.com
Might have to short something tomorrow morning, lol.
Blood in the streets, SPY looks to have bottomed, for now?I forgot how that old saying went, but I knew its time for a good deal. My first tip off that we might be at a bottom was fear and greed sitting at a 4 on Friday. Into the weekend I saw Cramer and friends calling 1987 crash and historic doom headed for the economy. I saw a stat saying that this was the biggest crash since 2008, covid not withstanding. And then I saw one of my favorite tells, I call it the comedy indicator. When things are so bullish that people can only laugh at how easy it is to get rich... its a good sign to get out. The same goes when joking about the depression and how doomed it is, it's probably a good time to get in. So SNL having multiple segments joking about the depression was a good tell to me that we were rounding a corner.
Next I check some fundamentals, the S5TW is pretty useful in spotting bottoms temporary or otherwise, right now its sitting around 2-3% or 97-98% of SNP stocks below their 20 day MA. This is the level it was during the Jun 2022 bottom (before the massive run-up into august for those that remember, 18% in under 2 months) The 2022 October bottom, and of course the march 2020 covid bottom.
Finally you got some basic chart indicators, accumulation/distribution showing that we are still at the 560 level. the McLellan which shows that the 2 day massive sell off was not actually as broad as it may have seemed. Then there is the classic Stupid Willy, who is tuned to -5 and -95 to avoid too many false signals, not only did it signal twice the last 2 trade days, today the smoothed line crossed the signal EMA which tells me buyers had some solid force at this level. The Bollinger Band also looks like it may start curling around and we finally managed to tap into the bottom of the band (briefly) but that tells me there is some good room to run and it may be that time.
Overall I think this bottom is at the very least temporary, we should go up from here, complacency, hope, whatever it is should return. 560 may be too high, but I see us filling Friday's Gap down and maybe getting into the 540s in the coming weeks.
Happy Trading & Good Luck
LTR long - entering yearly demand zoneDiscounted area ahead if l'm right. LTF TDA & informed buyers level coupled with fearful distressed sellers.
-will be looking for bullish and bearish PA over coming days looking at price behaviors
- semi neutral position atm until confluences with price are clear with multiple factors 'if and then' met.
BITCOIN DOMINANCE we hit the peak of of dominance in bullrunThe dominance is rising in a channel recently we saw A new touch on Upper trend line in my opinion Maximum We see a fake out on the trend line and then the dominance is going to drop. This is the point when ALT COINS Are going to blow up You have to hold with strong hands and don’t be panic.
AUD/USDAUD/USD Trade Recap + Opportunity
Earlier AUD/USD positions closed partially with a trailing stop. Some trades are still active. Price has now retraced back to our original entry around 0.59908, offering a potential re-entry setup.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.59908
Stop Loss: Original setup
Take Profit: Original target
Trailing Stop: 33 pips
Watching for reaction during the upcoming Asian session. Manage your risk accordingly.