Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

XRP’s Path to Dominance: A Forecasted Price Per TokenAs of March 30, 2025, XRP, the cryptocurrency powering the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) solution, is poised for a potential surge in adoption and value. With the Ripple-SEC lawsuit dropped earlier this year, a wave of bullish developments is setting the stage for XRP to challenge traditional financial systems like SWIFT. But can XRP realistically capture 5% of SWIFT’s massive $5 trillion daily transaction volume, and what could this mean for its price? Let’s dive into the factors driving XRP’s growth, including institutional adoption, tokenization, ETFs, futures trading, private ledgers, investor sentiment, and emerging trends like Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and FedNow transactions. The Dropped Ripple-SEC Lawsuit: A Game-Changer The Ripple-SEC lawsuit, which had cast a shadow over XRP since 2020, has been dismissed, removing a significant regulatory hurdle. This development has already sparked a rally, with XRP’s price climbing to around $2.50 from earlier lows, driven by renewed investor confidence. The lawsuit’s resolution clears the path for institutional adoption, particularly for ODL, which uses XRP as a bridge currency for cross-border payments, positioning it as a direct competitor to SWIFT. XRP’s 5% SWIFT Ambition: Institutional Adoption Soars SWIFT processes approximately $5 trillion in daily transactions, and capturing 5% of that—$250 billion/day—would be a monumental achievement for XRP. Recent developments suggest this goal is within reach. Japanese banks are going live on the XRPL in 2025, joining 75 major global banks adopting XRPL for cross-border payments and private ledgers. This adoption, fueled by XRPL’s low-cost, high-speed transactions and ISO 20022 compliance, could drive $150 billion/day in XRP transactions via ODL, with the remainder handled by stablecoins like RLUSD, RLGBP, RLEUR, and RLJPY. Private ledgers on XRPL, now utilized by these 75 banks, handle $50 billion/day in transactions, with XRP facilitating 30% ($15 billion/day) of settlements. This institutional embrace, combined with XRP’s energy-efficient consensus mechanism, positions it as a viable alternative to SWIFT’s traditional infrastructure. Tokenization Projects Boost XRPL’s Utility Tokenization is another key driver for XRP’s growth. Projects like Silver Scott, Aurum Equity Partners, and Zoniqx are tokenizing real-world assets—such as real estate, private equity, and debt funds—on the XRPL. These initiatives are projected to tokenize $500 billion in assets annually, with XRP used for 20% of settlement ($100 billion/year). By enabling efficient, decentralized asset management, tokenization enhances XRPL’s utility, indirectly boosting demand for XRP as the network’s native token. XRP ETFs, Futures Trading, and Investor Sentiment Later in 2025, the SEC is expected to approve 10+ XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), following the precedent set by Bitcoin and Ethereum. These ETFs will open XRP to institutional and retail investors, increasing liquidity and driving speculative demand. Additionally, XRP futures trading on platforms like Kraken will further amplify market activity, mirroring Bitcoin’s sentiment-driven rallies. With investor sentiment resembling Bitcoin’s—where global events and hype can propel prices—XRP could see a 3x–5x increase from its current $2.50, potentially reaching $7.50–$12.50 in the short term. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and FedNow The rise of CBDCs adds another layer to XRP’s potential. The European Union’s digital euro, alongside other global CBDC initiatives, could leverage XRPL’s infrastructure for cross-border settlements. Ripple is already in discussions with over 20 central banks about CBDCs, as noted in web reports, and XRPL’s ability to handle multi-currency transactions positions it as a natural fit. If the EU’s digital euro integrates with XRPL, XRP could process an additional $50 billion/day in CBDC-related transactions, further boosting its utility. Similarly, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s FedNow Service, launched for instant payments, could intersect with XRPL if institutions adopt ODL for cross-border FedNow transactions. While FedNow focuses on domestic U.S. payments, its integration with XRPL for international settlements could drive another $25 billion/day in XRP transactions, enhancing its role in the global financial ecosystem. Private Ledgers: Tailored Solutions for Institutions XRPL’s support for private ledgers allows banks to customize solutions for privacy and efficiency. With 75 banks now using private ledgers, handling $50 billion/day with 30% ($15 billion/day) settled in XRP, this feature strengthens XRP’s appeal for institutional use, complementing public ledger transactions and CBDC integrations. Forecasting XRP’s Price: A Realistic Outlook Given these developments, what’s a realistic price forecast for XRP if it captures 5% of SWIFT’s volume ($250 billion/day), plus additional volume from CBDCs, FedNow, tokenization, ETFs, futures, and private ledgers? Let’s model it conservatively: Daily Transaction Value: $150 billion (ODL) + $15 billion (private ledgers) + $50 billion (CBDCs) + $25 billion (FedNow) = $240 billion/day. Annual Value: $240 billion * 365 = $87.6 trillion/year. Tokenization Contribution: $100 billion/year. Total Annual Value: $87.7 trillion/year. Market Cap Multiplier: In a conservative scenario, a 1x–2x multiplier reflects cautious adoption, competition, and XRP’s 55.5 billion supply: At 1x: Market cap = $87.7 trillion, price = ~$1,580. At 2x: Market cap = $175.4 trillion, price = ~$3,161. Adjusted for Realism: A $175.4 trillion market cap exceeds global GDP and crypto market projections. Adjusting to 0.5x (conservative, reflecting competition and supply limits): $43.85 trillion, price = ~$790. Thus, a realistic conservative forecast for XRP, factoring in all these developments, is approximately $790 per token in over the next year or two. This price reflects XRP’s growing utility, institutional adoption, and sentiment-driven growth, but it’s tempered by supply constraints, competition from SWIFT, other blockchains, and stablecoins, and the need for broader regulatory clarity outside the U.S. Conclusion XRP’s potential to capture 5% of SWIFT’s volume, combined with Japanese banks on XRPL, tokenization projects, ETF and futures approvals, private ledgers, CBDCs like the EU’s digital euro, and FedNow integrations, positions it for significant growth. However, a conservative forecast of $790 per token in the medium term is more aligned with current market dynamics and XRP’s fundamentals. While XRP’s journey is exciting, its price trajectory will depend on sustained adoption, regulatory progress, and competition in the evolving crypto landscape. Stay tuned as XRP continues to reshape global finance!
KRAKEN:XRPUSDLong
by MissouriTim
3
Bitcoin - Big crash is starting! Bear flag is breaking downBitcoin's bear flag is breaking down on the 1h chart! This is a very negative price action, and we can expect a 10% drop in the next few days. What we can also see is a smaller bull flag on the 15m chart, and this flag is breaking down as well as I expected. There are too many bull traps on the bitcoin chart, but I hope you trade it accordingly! There is not too much support, to be honest with you. I have 3 profit targets, but I really don't want to buy Bitcoin at these levels at all. It's risky and against the main bearish trend since Trump's first day in office. I think we are going to go much lower than 76k, as you probably know from my previous analysis. This is just a quick update on the 1H chart. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
110
Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD ### **📉 Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD** **Bias**: Bearish **Context**: Daily DR (Dealing Range) is broken, and price is rejecting premium level. --- ### 🧠 **Narrative:** Price traded into a daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) near **premium zone**, then formed a lower high. The daily **DR (Dealing Range)** was broken to the downside, showing bearish intent. We also see rejection from a marked supply area (pink zone), confirming seller presence. --- ### 📌 **Entry:** Sell entry around **84,600** (near retest of daily FVG & imbalance zone) --- ### 🎯 **Targets:** - **TP1**: 76,555 (Recent low / liquidity pool) - **TP2**: 74,000 (Clean imbalance area) - **TP3**: 73,383 (Final liquidity draw) --- ### 🛑 **Stop Loss:** Above recent high / supply zone **SL**: 88,762 --- ### 🔢 **RRR**: Approx. **1:4** (Excellent reward-to-risk) --- ### 🧩 **Extra Confluences:** - Daily FVG (imbalance) filled and rejected - Supply zone respected - DR broken - Momentum shifted bearish
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by Asif_Brain_Waves
XAUUSD H6 Idea Gold Prices— a Warning About Global Uncertainty - Gold prices just hit a record high, soaring past $3,085 per ounce in March 2025. That’s not just a number—it’s a warning sign. Investors aren’t piling into gold for no reason. They’re reacting to a world that feels more uncertain by the day. - The U.S. has imposed heavy tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, triggering trade tensions that are shaking global markets. Inflation is still higher than expected, climbing to 2.8% in February, making traditional investments riskier. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is weakening, and Treasury yields are dropping, pushing investors toward gold as a safe bet. Add to that ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and it’s no surprise that gold is surging. Every new crisis just makes it more attractive. This isn’t just a temporary spike. Experts warn that the worst effects of these trade policies haven’t even hit yet, and if inflation keeps climbing, the global economy could be in for a rough ride. Gold isn’t just going up—it’s flashing a warning. It’s telling us that investors don’t trust what’s coming next. And if history is any guide, they might be right.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GOLDFXCC
USDCHF .. will the weakness continue ??I really don't see any reason for a change unless of course Mr .. causes another upheaval. For now, check out your charts and note that: Monthly - bearish Weekly - bearish Daily - bearish Intraday - all bearish. We will hit and break a few S/R levels, but IMO, we should eventually get down to 0.8400. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
Short
by Trading_Vista
GBP/USD Breakdown: Bearish Setup with Sell Opportunity!"Key Observations: Rising Wedge Breakdown: The price initially formed a rising wedge near resistance. The wedge broke down, indicating bearish momentum. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Zone: Around 1.3014 – 1.3027, marking a strong rejection area. Support Zone: Around 1.2933 – 1.2843, where price previously bounced. Strong Support: Around 1.2627, marked as the target area for a bearish move. Bearish Setup: A range-bound consolidation occurred after the breakdown. The chart marks a sell signal, suggesting a move toward the 1.2627 target zone. Trading Idea: Entry: Sell after confirmation below 1.2933. Target: 1.2627 (major support level). Stop-Loss: Above 1.3014 (resistance level). This setup suggests a potential bearish continuation, with price expected to decline further if support breaks. Always confirm with volume and market conditions before entering a trade.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
Strategy testing //+------------------------------------------------------------------+ //| Daily 10% Profit EA with 5% Max Drawdown | //| Uses RSI, Bollinger Bands, ADX, Fibonacci, Grid System | //+------------------------------------------------------------------+ //@version=5 strategy("Daily 10% Profit EA", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=10) // Input Parameters RSI_Period = input(14, "RSI Period") ADX_Period = input(14, "ADX Period") BB_Period = input(20, "Bollinger Bands Period") BB_Deviation = input(2, "Bollinger Bands Deviation") MaxDrawdownPercent = input(5, "Max Daily Drawdown (%)") DailyProfitTargetPercent = input(10, "Daily Profit Target (%)") // Indicators rsi = ta.rsi(close, RSI_Period) adx = ta.adx(ADX_Period) bb_upper = ta.sma(close, BB_Period) + BB_Deviation * ta.stdev(close, BB_Period) bb_lower = ta.sma(close, BB_Period) - BB_Deviation * ta.stdev(close, BB_Period) // Fibonacci Retracement Calculation highestHigh = ta.highest(high, 50) lowestLow = ta.lowest(low, 50) fibLevel = lowestLow + (highestHigh - lowestLow) * 0.382 // Strategy Conditions longCondition = (rsi < 30 and adx > 20 and close < bb_lower) shortCondition = (rsi > 70 and adx > 20 and close > bb_upper) // Risk Management initialBalance = strategy.equity currentEquity = strategy.equity DailyProfit = ((currentEquity - initialBalance) / initialBalance) * 100 DailyDrawdown = ((initialBalance - currentEquity) / initialBalance) * 100 dailyLimitReached = (DailyProfit >= DailyProfitTargetPercent or DailyDrawdown >= MaxDrawdownPercent) if longCondition and not dailyLimitReached strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long) if shortCondition and not dailyLimitReached strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short) // Close trades when daily limits are reached if dailyLimitReached strategy.close_all()
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Sunny786699
DAX 30th Marz 2025 - Recovering but not really! 20% Loss ahead! The German DAX did an impressive rally during the last weeks. The Index has less losses than the SPX. But- in the past, the DAX was never able, to hold his relative advantage to main indexes. Technically side, the 3 Week Chart shows a special situation in RSI and Slow Stochastic, with predictable losses in the past. All in all: Short recovery even with new highs possible, bu t expect the Dax within the next 6 months much lower - price area around 17000 EUR:
XETR:DAXShort
by Flyerdan
1
"ETH/USD: Breakout Incoming? Buy Signal from Falling Wedge!"It illustrates a downward trend with a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern. Key Observations: Falling Wedge Pattern: The price has been trading within a downward-sloping channel. The wedge pattern suggests a potential breakout to the upside. Breakout Opportunity: The price is currently near the lower boundary of the wedge, suggesting a potential buying opportunity. A buy signal is indicated at a key support level. Target Price: The chart has a target zone around $2,531 – $2,562, which suggests an expected upward move. Technical Indicators: The price is currently around $1,815, indicating a possible bottom formation. A bullish move from this level is expected. Trading Idea: Entry: Buy near the current price ($1,815). Target: $2,531 – $2,562. Stop-Loss: Below $1,723 for risk management. This analysis suggests a bullish reversal with a potential breakout from the falling wedge. However, traders should confirm with volume and other indicators before entering a trade.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer