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Nifty 50 Trapped in a Tight Range – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?📍 Market Overview: For over a month now, the Nifty 50 Index has been moving sideways in a tight consolidation range, frustrating both bulls and bears. Since May 12, 2025, the index has fluctuated between 24,350 on the lower side and 25,250 on the upper side, forming a classic rectangular pattern often associated with accumulation or distribution phases. This zone is now becoming a crucial battlefield that could define the index’s direction for the coming sessions. 🔲 The Consolidation Zone Support Zone: 24,350 – 24,450 Resistance Zone: 25,150 – 25,250 Consolidation Duration: ~30+ days Current Price: 24,793.25 This range has seen multiple rejections at the top and bottom, reflecting indecisiveness in broader market sentiment. Traders are waiting for a trigger — either fundamental or technical — that could push the index out of this range with strength. 📈 Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above 25,350 If Nifty 50 breaks and sustains above 25,350, especially with higher volume and a strong daily close, it could signal a bullish continuation pattern. This scenario would be supported by: A potential breakout from the rectangle consolidation. Positive sentiment from global markets or domestic catalysts (monsoon, earnings, policy announcements, etc.) A shift in FII or DII buying behavior. 📌 Breakout Target: 👉 26,000 – 26,100 (Based on measured move projection) 📌 Next Resistance Zone: 👉 26,050 – 26,200 In this case, traders may look for long opportunities with trailing stop-losses under the breakout zone. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown Below 24,350 On the flip side, a decisive breakdown below the 24,350 mark, especially with increased selling pressure and bearish candles, may lead to a quick decline toward the next major support levels. 📌 Breakdown Target: 👉 23,550 – 23,400 📌 Next Support Zone: 👉 23,500 – 23,300 This could trigger panic selling or profit-booking in frontline stocks. Caution is advised in such scenarios, and shorting opportunities may arise for experienced traders. 🧠 Strategic Insights for Traders Avoid trading within the range: Unless you're scalping, wait for breakout/breakdown. Watch global cues and FII flows: They often align with large breakouts. Stick to risk management: Whichever direction the index moves, always set a stop loss. 🚀 Final Thoughts The market is clearly in a wait-and-watch phase, but such consolidation periods often precede large moves. Nifty’s current structure suggests a breakout or breakdown is imminent — and being positioned correctly can make a big difference in returns. Stay alert. Don’t predict — prepare. ⚠️ Disclaimer This article is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading and investing in the stock market involve risk, including the risk of losing capital. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. We are not responsible for any losses incurred from decisions based on this analysis.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
EURJPY – The Sweep That Sparked the ShiftSometimes the cleanest moves start with discomfort. This EURJPY setup began with a sweep below the Previous Day’s Low (PDL), clearing out weak hands and gathering liquidity. That was our first clue. Then came the Break of Structure (BOS), a confirmation that the market had shifted bullish. Now will be waiting for price to retrace back to the FVG, where it found its footing and launched upward. Smart money cleared the lows, shifted structure . Stick to the process. Trust what the chart is telling you. Don’t chase, align.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
1
Cardona: Keep accumulating at lower pricesHello, Cardona is currently correcting on the 2 days' timeframe. Looking at the Fibonacci retracement, the pair has retraced from the recent top and is trading near the 78% retracement level. The coin is currently correcting hence setting up for a good opportunity for buys. The flag pattern is a great pattern that can be used for continuation confirmation. Cardano is a proof-of-stake blockchain network which can run smart contracts and Apps on its ecosystem. Arguably the beginning of the third generation of cryptocurrency, founder Charles Hoskinson broke away from his position at Ethereum in 2015 to create what is now considered one of the more peer-assessed projects in the game. Its native token ADA (named after English mathematician Ada Lovelace) was launched in 2017 and is designed to oversee governance and encourage participation in its ecosystem. We see a strong case from both a fundamental and technical perspective. We see this as a perfect opportunity for long term crypto believers to keep accumulating the asset at depressed prices. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:ADAUSDLong
by thesharkke
XAUUSD Hello traders, There is a great opportunity for a buy trade on the XAUUSD pair, and I wanted to share it with you as well. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 3352.68 ✔️ Take Profit: 3365.33 / TP 2 / 3369.93 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3347.00 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Nurlan_PT
1
#AN008: Israel, Iran and the price of fear GEOPOLITICS – Israel, Iran and the price of fear While the stock markets are trying to hold up, the geopolitical reality is very different. In the last 72 hours, Israel has hit a facility considered strategic in southern Iran. Tehran responded with ballistic warheads targeted at NATO positions, and threatened a military closure of the Strait of Hormuz. In a few hours, Brent has shot above $100, while WTI has touched $94.20, bringing back to life a spectre that seemed archived: energy purchases. DOLLAR AND FED – Sickles under pressure The Federal Reserve has kept rates unchanged, but Powell has sent a clear signal: "there will be no cut if the geopolitical context continues to generate upward pressure on prices". In other words: the FED remains hawkish, the dollar continues to dominate, and global sentiment shifts to risk. CROSS WATCH – SwipeUP FX Opportunity EUR/USD Weak EU macro + sustained US sell-off + war → Realistic target 1.0630 – if it breaks 1.0675 H8. USD/JPY Institutionals undecided: if the yen does not strengthen and the BOJ remains neutral, we can return above 158. Target: 158.60-159.2 in case of new USD leg. CAD/JPY and oil-linked Canada benefits from the oil increase, but be careful: risk-off can penalize. Assess only with cyclical confirmation and real volumes. 📌 WHAT TO WATCH NOW – SwipeUP Checklist 📆 Friday, June 21: US PMI data + Powell speech ⚠️ VIX above 20: signals real tension 📉 JPY and CHF in divergence? → watch out for manipulative breakouts 🗓️ Earnings Season: can divert flows in the short term, but remains in the background
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Silver Consolidates After Hitting Multi-Year HighSilver holds near $36.75 in Thursday’s Asian session, steady after a slight pullback from its highest level since February 2012. The trend remains bullish, suggesting more upside. A sustained move above $36.45–$36.50 confirmed a breakout from a descending channel, forming a bullish flag. The RSI has eased from overbought, and momentum indicators support a positive near-term outlook. The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Yen Slips as Fed Holds and Risks MountThe yen weakened past 145 on Thursday, nearing a three-week low as the stronger U.S. dollar gained support from the Fed’s steady rate decision and cautious outlook. Concerns over Trump’s tariffs and Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand for the dollar over the yen. The BOJ also kept rates unchanged Tuesday and signaled a gradual asset reduction. Governor Ueda noted that rate hikes remain possible if inflation rises. The key resistance is at $145.30 meanwhile the major support is located at $142.50.
by ChartMage
LONG ES after London Open*I like the long better for london open. From 6000, weak liquidity built up above, Finished business below, macro SMAs buy bias... HOWEVER there is also a good case for shorts as we are heading up into futures open, SMAs and there is LVN space below to squeeze into. So... I will be looking for finished business RISK and test/acc ENTRY as outlined there and targeting the weak liquidity above. Given the SMAs above etc, i doubt price will rush up, so take your time and get that test to confirm. And as always if its not there DONT chase. Patience.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by thecools
2
GOLD SHORT-TERM CORRECTION AFTER 3,360 – Consolidation likely📊 Market Summary: Gold pulled back to around 3,363 USD, currently trading near 3,373 USD USD strength post-Fed comments and overbought conditions are prompting a short-term correction, while geopolitical tensions provide mild underlying support . 📉 Technical Points: • Resistance: ~3,387–3,388, then 3,400 . • Support: ~3,363, with secondary support 3,352–3,355 . • EMA/SMA: Above EMA50, below 20 SMA (~3,347), indicating range-bound behavior • Momentum: RSI & MACD neutral, Stochastic ~58%—suggesting sideways movement . 📌 Outlook: Expect continued consolidation between 3,352–3,388. Breach above may lead to breakout, breach below possibly triggers pullback toward 3,320. 💡 Trading Plan: SELL XAU/USD: 3,380–3,385 • 🎯 TP: ~3,360 • ❌ SL: ~3,395 BUY XAU/USD: 3,363–3,365 • 🎯 TP: ~3,380–3,387 • ❌ SL: ~3,350
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Long USDCHF on a dovish SNBWe got the SNB central bank rate decision later on today. Switzerland YoY inflation is in negative territory at -0.10%. tradingeconomics.com The strength of the CHF is an issue for the SNB. They are scheduled to cut rate by 25 BPS (to 0.0%) with a probability of 77% but there is 23% chance of a 50 BPS cut (to -0.25%) which would be very dovish for the Swiss Franc. If we get a surprise 50 BPS cut, I will get into USDCHF long. The negative is pretty much priced in for the USD. The economy is holding and the Fed is expecting a surge in inflation from tariffs. ibb.co Here is the 2Y/10Y Yield differentials on USDCHF. It is pointing to the upside. The biggest risk for the trade is of course risk off sentiment from the war in the middle east. If US gets involve, we could see some flow in the CHF but USD could see some flow too. Pay close attention to the SNB meeting later.
Long
by NomadTrader999
Report June 19, 2025U.S. Policy, Federal Reserve, and Market Sentiment The Federal Reserve's latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and Chair Powell’s post-meeting comments reinforce a resolutely cautious tone, emphasizing economic uncertainty and inflation fragility. The FOMC maintained the federal funds rate at 4.50%, while the updated dot plot reveals increased divergence: 10 members favor two or more rate cuts, while seven now favor no cuts in 2025, up from four in March. Powell emphasized the Fed’s uncertainty surrounding the inflation trajectory, particularly in light of tariff-driven price risks following President Trump’s April 2 “Liberation Day” trade measures. These tariffs are still working through the supply chain, with Powell stating that “someone will have to pay,” referencing the complex interplay between manufacturers, exporters, and consumers. He admitted the Fed is “trying to be humble” in forecasting outcomes, underscoring a deep uncertainty around pass-through pricing effects. Despite this cautious stance, Powell refrained from giving any rate-cut timeline. Markets are now pricing in September as the earliest plausible cut, contingent on whether inflationary momentum fades or the labor market begins to deteriorate more visibly. The chair also pushed back against political pressure from the White House. President Trump demanded up to ten rate cuts, blaming Powell for inflating federal debt costs. Powell defended the Fed’s independence, suggesting data not political rhetoric will guide the path forward. Analysts note that the central bank’s reluctance to preemptively cut is due in part to a “generationally bad inflation episode,” which undermined confidence in the Fed’s control mechanisms. Escalating Iran–Israel Conflict: Strategic Implications Geopolitical risk has intensified following reports that President Trump approved U.S. strike plans on Iran, though has yet to issue a final order. The build-up of U.S. forces in the Mediterranean and Arabian Seas, including two carrier strike groups and three destroyers, signals operational readiness. Israeli strikes have reportedly hit Iran’s Arak heavy-water facility and a site in Natanz linked to nuclear weapons development. Iran has retaliated, with missile fire hitting Beersheba and causing civilian casualties. With over 639 deaths reported in Iran and 24 in Israel, the risk of a broader regional war is elevated. U.S. embassies are preparing evacuation flights from Israel, further confirming military escalation risks. The market implication is clear: safe-haven flows are returning. Oil prices remain bid near $75.10 (WTI) despite small declines, and gold is holding near $3,385, reflecting hedging against a supply disruption scenario. Global Macro Conditions: Bonds, Asia, and FX Bond markets are showing stabilization as investors balance Fed indecision with long-term value. Capital Group noted that bonds are “again fulfilling their role as portfolio stabilizers.” The steepening curve combined with attractive yields is drawing long-term interest in IG credit and U.S. sovereigns, especially at the 5–10Y part of the curve. Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) saw a strong bid during the latest 5Y auction, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 4.58, the highest since July 2023. The 10Y JGB yield dropped 4bps to 1.415%, and the 20Y yield to 2.36%, as Middle East risk spurred demand. Analysts noted that despite talk of BoJ tightening, demand-side dynamics remain favorable for JGBs. Meanwhile, Asian currencies are consolidating as traders digest both the Fed's message and regional instability. The Korean won, Singapore dollar, and Australian dollar were mostly unchanged overnight, although the Thai baht weakened sharply amid political instability in Bangkok following a coalition breakdown. Asian investors have also begun diversifying away from USD assets, according to DBS strategists. This includes buying back into Singapore and Hong Kong fixed income, compressing local interest rates and contributing to dollar softness in Asia. Commodities & Energy Outlook Oil prices are modestly lower in Asia’s early trading due to position adjustments, but support remains due to Middle East tensions. Brent trades at $76.34, and WTI at $75.10. ANZ Research notes the market remains “very sensitive” to additional escalation in the Iran-Israel conflict. A U.S. military strike on Iranian nuclear infrastructure would likely trigger further price spikes, possibly pushing crude above $80 in the short term. As, gold and silver remain well supported as hedges, particularly given the uncertain rate path and geopolitical risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Gold Price Reacts Strongly at 3,350.During the trading session on June 19, gold (XAUUSD) experienced significant volatility, breaking below the short-term support zone around 3,370 USD/oz and sharply dropping to an intraday low of approximately 3,350 USD/oz. This support level had been tested multiple times in previous sessions and has often led to price rebounds. Following the sharp decline, buying pressure emerged, as shown by a strong reversal candlestick accompanied by a volume spike — indicating that buyers are stepping in at this attractive price zone. Technical Breakdown – 15-Minute Chart Chart type: XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe Support zone: 3,350 (tested and showing reaction) Nearby resistance: 3,365 – 3,370 Volume: Surged at the bottom, suggesting buying interest. Pattern: Signs of a temporary bottom (bullish pin bar + supporting volume). Suggested Trading Strategy Based on today’s price action and chart structure, consider: Short-term buy around 3,351 – 3,353 with a stop loss below 3,348. Take profit targets: 3,365 – 3,372. Extended strategy: If EMA5 crosses up and locks above 3,370, extend targets to 3,388 – 3,395 during the US session. Conclusion: 3,350 is Acting as the Final Support Wall Today’s session shows that sellers are still in control, but technical reactions around 3,350 have formed a strong defense. If price continues to hold this level and volume remains positive, a short-term rebound is highly likely. However, traders should manage positions with flexibility as the broader trend still leans bearish — only a break and hold above 3,370–3,380 could signal a clearer trend reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Who Silently Powers the AI Revolution?While the spotlight often shines on AI giants like Nvidia and OpenAI, a less-publicized but equally critical player, CoreWeave, is rapidly emerging as a foundational force in the artificial intelligence landscape. This specialized AI cloud computing provider is not just participating in the AI boom; it is building the essential infrastructure that underpins it. CoreWeave's unique model allows companies to "rent" high-performance Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) from its dedicated cloud, democratizing access to the immense computational power required for advanced AI development. This strategic approach has positioned CoreWeave for substantial growth, evidenced by its impressive 420% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 2025 and a burgeoning backlog of over $25 billion in remaining performance obligations. CoreWeave's pivotal role became even clearer with the recent partnership between Google Cloud and OpenAI. Though seemingly a win for the tech titans, CoreWeave is supplying the critical compute power that Google then resells to OpenAI. This crucial, indirect involvement places CoreWeave at the nexus of the AI revolution's most significant collaborations, validating its business model and its capacity to meet the demanding computational needs of leading AI innovators. Beyond merely providing raw compute, CoreWeave is also innovating in the software space. Following its acquisition of AI developer platform Weights & Biases in May 2025, CoreWeave has launched new AI cloud software products designed to streamline AI development, deployment, and iteration, further cementing its position as a comprehensive AI ecosystem provider. Despite its rapid stock appreciation and some analyst concerns about valuation, CoreWeave's core fundamentals remain robust. Its deep partnership with Nvidia, including Nvidia's equity stake and CoreWeave's early adoption of Nvidia's cutting-edge Blackwell architecture, ensures access to the most sought-after GPUs. While currently in a heavy investment phase, these expenditures directly fuel its capacity expansion to meet an insatiable demand. As AI continues its relentless advancement, the need for specialized, high-performance computing infrastructure will only intensify. CoreWeave, by strategically positioning itself as the "AI Hyperscaler," is not just witnessing this revolution; it is actively enabling it.
NASDAQ:CRWVLong
by UDIS_View
GOLD I Monday CLS I KL - OB/FVG I Target Monday CLS HighsHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by David_Perk
36