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Beyond Technical Analysis

BTCUSDT Hello traders. The BTCUSDT trade I shared the other day played out just as expected, with BTC experiencing a significant drop in value shortly after. The price fell all the way down to the 98K level. Following this decline, I anticipate a short-term rebound toward the 102K–103K range, after which I expect the downtrend to resume. Therefore, I’ve placed a Sell Limit order at 102,350, and I’m currently waiting for the price to reach that level. If you'd like, you can consider this opportunity in the same way. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell Limit ✔️ Entry Price: 102,350.24 ✔️ Take Profit: 100,250.08 ✔️ Stop Loss: 103,399.62 🕒 If the trade doesn’t gain strong momentum, I will keep the position open only until 23:00 (UTC+4) today. Otherwise, I will manually close the trade—either in profit or at a loss—depending on price action. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
2
Mechanical rangesMany traders will talk about things like "Smart Money Concepts" (SMC) and think they have found something new. The truth is, everything in trading stems back to Liquidity. There is no "Algo" nobody is out to get you specifically. The market is always right, where you position yourself is your own choice. I have written several posts on mechanical trading, recorded a number of streams. The more mechanical you can make the process, the less the emotions have a chance to kick your ass. Let me give you a very simple method of being able to identify the ranges. Ignore the timeframes as this will work on any of them, on most instruments. (I say most, as some behave differently due to how it attracts liquidity). Lets assume high end crypto such as Bitcoin (BTC) and of course Forex in the general sense, stocks, commodities etc. This is simple - only 2 rules. You start by zooming out and giving yourself a general feel for the trend. Let's say this looks to be an uptrend - we now need to understand the rules. An opposing candle can simply be defined by a different colour. If the trend is up (Green) and we see a red candle - then it's an opposing candle. The inverse is true, if we are down and the trend is Red. Then a Green candle would be opposing. This is only half of the story. The second rule is a pullback candle or even a sequence of candles. This simply means either the very same opposing candle that doesn't make a new high or low (depending on the trend up not making fresh highs or down not taking new lows). In this image, you can see we have in one candle both an opposing and pullback in one candle. This means we can now mark the high of the range. Working backwards to identify the swing range low. This easy method means I can draw a range exactly the same and mechanically every single time. Giving me a mechanical range. We could then get a lot more technical by looking for liquidity, 50% of the range or places such as supply or demand areas. But these are all for other posts. For now, getting a range on the higher timeframes means you can work down and down into a timeframe you are likely to want to trade on. These ranges will give clues to draws and runs of liquidity. This will also help identify changes in the character and fresh breaks of structure. Here's another post I posted on the mechanical structures and techniques. More in the next post. Have a great week! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Education
by Mayfair_Ventures
2
Trading Ideas USDJPY 4H [Disc On]Technical Analysis: The presence of a Hidden Bullish Divergence on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a strong likelihood of bullish trend continuation. Additionally, the price has broken through a key support level on the 1-hour chart, with upside potential targeting the Fibonacci cluster at the psychological zone of 144.500–145.000 . Conclusion: A BUY opportunity is favored, with entry consideration around the 144.500–145.000 Fibonacci cluster zone. Suggested risk management includes a stop loss at 142.000 and a take profit target at 150.000. 技术分析： 在4小时周期中出现隐藏的看涨背离，表明上涨趋势有较大延续的可能性。同时，价格已突破1小时图中的关键支撑位，上行目标指向 144.500–145.000 的斐波那契密集区域（心理价位区间）。 结论： 当前倾向于寻找BUY机会，入场参考区域为斐波那契密集区144.500–145.000。建议设置止损位于142.000，目标价为150.000，以控制风险并优化利润空间。 OANDA:USDJPY
Long
by Jerico_iko
1
PLTR at a Decision Point – Will It Defend or Break Lower? Jun 23PLTR at a Decision Point – Will It Defend This Channel or Break Lower? 🔹 Options Sentiment (GEX) Overview: * Current Price: $137.30 * Gamma Flip Zone: $140.00 (HVL, short-term battleground) * Call Walls: * $143.00 (2nd Call Wall) * $150.00–$152.5 (3rd Call Wall + GEX resistance zone) * Put Walls: * $136.00 → minor defense * $130.00 → strongest Put Support (-45% GEX floor) * GEX Bias: 📉 Bearish leaning * GEX: 🔴 * IVR: 20.3 (very low) * IVx: 64.8 (dropping -4.49%) * CALLs: 39.9% → PUTs dominant 🧠 Interpretation: GEX is suggesting downside pressure below $140. If bulls can’t reclaim it soon, momentum could shift fast toward $136 → $130 support. 📈 Price Action (1H Intraday - SMC Insight): * Current Structure: * Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) pointing to weakness * Price broke below the ascending trendline * Forming a local bearish block beneath $140 * PDH/Resistance: $144.86 * Support: * $137.42 (short-term) * $136.08 (SMC support + GEX alignment) 📉 Market Structure Bias: Bearish short-term unless it reclaims the $140 zone and breaks the descending micro-structure. 🎯 Trade Setup Ideas 🔻 Bearish Scenario (If weakness continues): * Entry: Below $137.20 * Target: $136.08 → $133 → $130 * Stop: $140.00 reclaim * Confluence: CHoCH + GEX Put Wall magnet + failed trendline defense 🔼 Bullish Reversal Scenario (Only on reclaim): * Entry: Break & hold above $140.00 * Target: $143 → $144.86 → $150 * Stop: Breakdown back below $139 * Confluence: GEX Flip + Channel re-entry + Institutional Call Wall targets 🔍 Final Thoughts PLTR is sitting near a critical decision level around $137–$140. Options sentiment (GEX) shows dominant PUT flow and a bear bias below $140, while price action is showing early signs of structure breakdown. If bulls cannot recover $140 early in the week, we could see a slow grind toward the $130 PUT Support zone. Use caution near the $136–$137 liquidity pocket — it's a key short-term decision area. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by BullBearInsights
1
AUDUSD I Monthly CLS I Model 1 I TR - LiquidityHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Short
by David_Perk
3
How We're Earning A 14%+ Yield Selling Puts On CircleWe’ve long been eager to invest in Circle Internet Group (CRCL), the issuer of USDC, due to its vital role in the crypto ecosystem and straightforward revenue model. After years as a private company, CRCL recently went public, and its stock has rocketed—from an IPO range of $27–28 to over $240—yielding a ~780 % return for early investors in just weeks. 🏦 Why CRCL Matters Stablecoins at the core: CRCL issues USDC (USD-backed) and EURC (euro-backed), enabling fast, low-cost transfers, lending, and payments across crypto platforms and institutions. Infrastructure built for compliance: With a transparent, regulatory‐friendly setup, CRCL is poised to benefit from institutional adoption and improved global financial inclusion. Favorable regulation incoming: A pro-stablecoin bill passed the U.S. Senate last week, potentially streamlining fragmented rules—a huge win for CRCL’s legitimacy and future growth. 📈 Revenue & Scalability Interest income engine: CRCL earns revenue by investing reserves (from issued stablecoins) in treasuries and cash securities. Low incremental costs: Issuing more stablecoins doesn’t significantly raise costs, giving the business strong operating leverage. Cyclical dependence on interest rates: As the Fed signals rate cuts, CRCL’s margins and profits may experience pressure despite growing stablecoin usage. 💰 Valuation Concerns Stratospheric multiples: With a market cap of ~$52 billion against ~$1.8 billion in annual revenue, CRCL trades at ~29× sales and ~305× earnings—levels we find tough to justify given the interest-rate dependency. Short- to medium-term softness: With expected rate cuts, we believe near-term margins could contract, likely keeping multiples high or valuations pressured. 🔧 Our Preferred Strategy: Selling Puts Rather than buying CRCL outright at these levels, we’re selling put options—specifically the October 17th $80 strike puts, currently priced around $3.80: Attractive yield: Generates about 4.5 % over 117 days, annualized to ~14.3 %. Flexibility: If CRCL stays above $80 by October, we pocket the premium; if it falls below, we buy at an effective cost basis near $76.20—a steep discount (66 %) to today’s stock price ($240). Risk‑reward balance: We get income now, plus optionality to own CRCL at a safer valuation if assigned—potentially capturing long-term upside without front-loading risk. ⚠ Risks to Watch Assignment downside: If CRCL collapses to zero, we’ll still owe $80/share—mirroring stock-ownership risk. Interest-rate sensitivity: Profits remain tied to rate levels; moves down could crimp margins even if adoption grows. Systemic risks: Any regulatory, technical, or confidence failure around stablecoins or USDC could materially impact CRCL. 🧭 Our Conclusion We see CRCL as a high-potential yet pricey bet today. However, selling deep out-of-the-money puts allows us to capture compelling yield while preserving upside optionality to own shares at a discount. It blends income generation with strategic positioning in a high-conviction long-term theme. Rating: Hold — we prefer income and optionality over full exposure at the current valuation.
NYSE:CRCL
by PropNotes
Gold price PMI positive, slight increase⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,375 in early Asian trading on Monday, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions following US President Donald Trump’s decision to intervene militarily in the Israel-Iran conflict. The move significantly escalates the situation in the Middle East, fueling demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The US launched airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities early Sunday, marking a direct entry into the conflict despite Trump’s prior pledges to avoid new overseas wars. The intensifying turmoil has sparked a wave of risk aversion, supporting bullion prices amid rising uncertainty. Meanwhile, investors will closely monitor the preliminary S&P Global US Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for June, due later in the day, for further market direction. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices continue to be supported around the 3340 mark, positive with today's US PMI news data ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3380- 3382 SL 3387 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3318-$3316 SL $3311 TP1: $3326 TP2: $3338 TP3: $3349 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
How to trade GAPS in the market, SELL GBPUSD!!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
Bullish Setup Suggests Rally Towards $350 Zone - T1 = $340.00 - T2 = $350.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $315.00 - S2 = $310.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla. **Key Insights:** Tesla continues to receive robust interest as macroeconomic conditions favor growth-oriented companies, particularly in the electric vehicle sector. The recent earnings showed signs of stabilization in gross margins, thanks to operational efficiency and cost reductions. Similarly, the company's megapack energy storage segment is gaining traction, which provides an ancillary growth avenue outside its core vehicle business. Technical indicators suggest strong momentum, with Tesla's Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching bullish levels while trading volume supports the ongoing price recovery. Furthermore, global EV adoption continues to rise, with increased government support for sustainable energy initiatives securing Tesla's place as a leading player. Supply chain constrictions, previously a concern, are relaxing, providing tailwinds for smoother production cycles. **Recent Performance:** Tesla's stock has gained over 8% in the past two weeks, recovering from its support levels around $305. The recent breakout above $320 signals renewed buying interest, accompanied by increased institutional participation. Short-term volatility has brought manageable dips, but overall momentum indicates bullish consolidation towards higher highs in its near-term trading range. **Expert Analysis:** Market strategists highlight Tesla’s ability to outperform its competitors due to vertical integration, advanced battery technologies, and scaling of operational efficiencies. Technical analysts note Tesla hovering near an ascending triangle formation with breakout potential above $330. Analysts also observe robust support around $310, which acts as a safety net for downside risks. Moving averages, especially the 50-day and 200-day lines, are converging as they indicate sustained bullish sentiment. **News Impact:** Recent news regarding expanded production facilities in Europe and positive developments in autonomous driving technology have fueled optimism among investors. Further bolstering sentiment is CEO Elon Musk’s strategic focus on prioritizing volumes over short-term profit metrics—a move widely seen as prudent given the current competitive landscape in EV markets. **Trading Recommendation:** Tesla is primed for upside momentum and presents an attractive long opportunity for traders targeting $340 and $350 next price zones. Its technical and fundamental outlook support the bullish case as macroeconomic tailwinds and company-specific factors align for higher valuations. Focus on maintaining risk discipline by exiting trades if stops at $315 or $310 are breached. For patient investors, Tesla is likely to remain a candidate for continued capital appreciation.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Gold Market Analysis and Trading Recommendations for TodayLast Friday, the overall gold price on the technical side continued to be under pressure, retracing and oscillating in adjustment. Eventually, it stabilized at the 3340 level before the close, rebounding and oscillating to close. The daily K-line reported an oscillating digital K. The overall gold price continued the recent suppressed oscillating consolidation. However, over the weekend, the US military attacked Iranian nuclear facilities, intensifying geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and market risk-aversion sentiment heated up. This morning, the gold price gapped up, piercing the 3390 level, reaching a high of around 3398 before retracing and falling into oscillation. In the short term, it is highly probable that the gold price will continue to operate in a wide-ranging oscillating interval between long and short positions, continuing to trade time for space. Although the gold price opened high and moved low, it still has not broken the long-term trend channel. Looking for opportunities to go long on retracement is also the current trend. From the current market trend, today's technical support on the downside focuses on around 3350 - 3345, and the short-term resistance on the upside is around 3380 - 3385, with a key focus on the 3395 - 3405 level. For the day, first, rely on this interval to maintain the main tone of participating in the long - short cycle. For positions in the middle range, always observe more and trade less, and be cautious about chasing trades. Patiently wait for key points to enter the market. XAUUSD buy@3345-3355 tp:3370-3390-3410 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
Nasdaq continuation sellsH4: STILL BULLISH INTERNALLY WITH OUR LAST SIGNIFICANT HL AT 21000 -Possible major chOch on H4 is very possible due to the HTF major zone we at -Wait for proper H1 & lower tineframe confirmations before jumping in any trades H1: BEARISH MARKET STRUCTURE STARTING TO PLAY WITH LAST LH AT 21925 -Potential continuation of sells all the way down to take out H4 hl a 21000 -We recently broke below a buying range on H1 & created a selling range -Possible pullback buys before sells within that range are imminent M15: We have a nice supply+fvg for sells at 21835 -Wait for price to pullback in there then M1 chOch then attack
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by TheWolfOfWallstreet001
GBPUSD – Bearish Set-up Maintains Its GripGBPUSD – Bearish Set-up Maintains Its Grip The bearish scenario for GBPUSD remains valid, aligning with our previous analysis. Despite expectations of a softer U.S. dollar, ongoing geopolitical tensions—particularly the escalating war—have sustained dollar strength. This resilience in the dollar undermines any near-term bullish recovery for GBPUSD. Resistance zone 1.35500 / 1.36000 Support Levels 1.33500 / 1.32500 Technically, the pair continues to trade under key resistance zones, with lower highs confirming bearish momentum. Unless we see a decisive shift in the geopolitical narrative or major macroeconomic data supporting GBP recovery, the bearish bias remains intact. you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Short
by MrMartin_11
1