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DOT Nearing Key Support: Potential for Bullish Breakout..!At the moment, DOT is nearing its critical support level of $6, a price point that has historically acted as a significant resistance level in the past. It's essential to be patient and observe for a strong bullish signal or a bullish technical pattern, such as a breakout or a reversal formation, before making any decisions about entering a long position. For those investors with a long-term perspective, this price level could present an opportune moment to start accumulating DOT. Given the overall market trends and potential for recovery, a reasonable price target for DOT could be around $11. This target reflects the possibility of upward momentum as the market dynamics shift, providing a favorable outlook for long-term investment strategies.
Long
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
ETH's Contracting Triangle: Follow The Price BreakoutETH's Contracting Triangle: Follow The Price Breakout Currently, ETH is developing a contracting triangle pattern, which presents potential trading opportunities.The direction ETH will take remains uncertain, as markets are focused on Trump's comments on cryptocurrencies. However, the breakout from the pattern will determine the next price direction: Bullish Scenario: If the price moves above the triangle or nearly above 3390, it should confirm and unfold according to the bullish scenario in blue. Bearish Scenario: If the price moves below the triangle or nearly below 3252, it should confirm and develop according to the bearish scenario in red. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
by KlejdiCuni
1
US DEBT Outpacing Private Credit 2 to 1Money has been around for over 10,000 years! Money is a derivative of private sector(PS) asset/labor producing. Money is not a derivative of Gov Gov borrowing money from the PS with interest to buy money without interest is a recipe for economic disaster. Gov spending currently is over 40% of GDP annually. It used to be under 10% Gov debt benefits the few while socializing those liabilities onto the backs of the many. The many will not realize this is happening until it is too late. The few will sell their bonds, take their money, and move it overseas, collapsing the currency's value, and leaving the many to pay for the debt with taxation, austerity and inflation. (even hyperinflation) The more Gov borrows to deficit spends the more it has to deficit the closer we get to the point of no return. That's what this chart is showing you. The direction we are heading.
FRED:TOTBKCRLong
by RealMacro
Earnings Season Playbook: What Traders Should Know to Stay Ahead🏈 It’s Earnings Season — Game On Earnings season is the market’s quarterly equivalent of the Super Bowl (with just as much action) or the Oscars (minus the red carpet but with just as much drama). Every three months or so (every quarter), companies parade their financial performances, guiding traders and investors through a rollercoaster of beats, misses, and that classic "in line with expectations" snooze-fest. It’s exciting, nerve-wracking, and, if played right, potentially profitable. So, how do you navigate this high-stakes quarterly event? With a solid playbook and a lot less stress than you might think. 🌀 Know When Things Kick Off Timing is everything. Earnings reports trickle in on a quarterly basis and are usually released after the regular trading session (for the most part) or before the opening bell (for the banks, mostly). Having a scheduled earnings calendar means that traders have enough time to digest the numbers — or panic — before the next batch of updates. So make sure you keep an eye on the earnings calendar — you don’t want to be caught holding ill-fated shares if Tesla TSLA announces its profit margins have shrunk because of that quirky Cybertruck, right? Preparation here means knowing who’s reporting, when, and what the expectations are. 📝 Read Between the (Income Statement) Lines Earnings reports are more than just numbers. Of course, revenue and EPS (earnings per share) are the headliners, but the juicy details often lurk in the fine print. Look out for annualized revenue growth (or shrinkage), profit margins, and forward-looking guidance. If a company beats earnings but lowers its full-year forecast, it’s like winning the lottery but learning half your prize is in Monopoly money. Market-fluent traders dig deep and connect the dots rather than reacting to headlines. 💡 Forward-Looking Projections: The Market’s Guiding Light Forward projections or guidance is among the most powerful tools companies use to set the tone. A quarterly performance is old news by the time it’s reported; traders want to know what’s next. Positive guidance can send stocks soaring, while cautious language can sink even the strongest performers. For example, if a tech company beats earnings but announces reduced hiring or slower revenue growth projections, brace for turbulence. Think of guidance as the “what’s next” teaser for a Netflix NFLX series you can’t stop binging. Btw, Netflix really outworked everyone in the last quarter. ☎️ Earnings Calls: Raw Market Reactions Earnings calls are where the magic — or chaos — happens. CEOs and CFOs are tasked with selling their story to analysts and investors, balancing optimism with realism. Listeners keep an ear out for key phrases like … you know it … “AI,” “generative AI” and “AI data centers”. It’s also where you’ll catch nuggets about new projects, market conditions, and management’s confidence—or lack thereof. Pro tip: Look for a transcript if the financial jargon on live calls makes you feel like you need subtitles. 🎡 The Volatility Playground: Trading Earnings Gaps Earnings season is a volatility wonderland. Stocks can gap up or down significantly in reaction to results, creating opportunities for savvy traders. Trading these gaps requires a blend of technical analysis and fast decision-making. Did the stock gap down despite a solid earnings beat? That might be a buy-the-dip moment. Conversely, a massive gap up can shout overbought. The trick is understanding the context of the move — is it justified, or is it speculative? 🐏 Avoid the Herd Mentality (or at Least Try to) Earnings season brings out the FOMO. Traders see a stock soaring post-earnings and rush in, only to get burned when the euphoria fizzles. It’s tempting to follow the herd, but disciplined traders stay cautious. Always ask: is this stock moving on fundamentals, or is it riding a hype wave? If it’s the latter, step back and let the dust settle — the market loves to overcorrect. 🖼️ Sector Trends: The Bigger Picture Matters Earnings season isn’t just about individual stocks; it’s a pulse check on entire sectors. If a major bank reports a sharp jump in profits, it’s a bullish sign for the financial sector (yes, we’re talking about JPMorgan’s JPM latest quarterly update ). Similarly, a blockbuster quarter from a tech titan might lift the entire tech space. By keeping an eye on sector trends, traders can spot opportunities and avoid pitfalls. Think of it as reading the room before making your move. 🎮 Play the Long Game Earnings season isn’t just for day traders. Long-term investors can use it to reassess their positions and look for entry points. If a company misses earnings due to short-term challenges but maintains strong fundamentals, it might be a buying opportunity. On the flip side, a stock riding high on hype but lacking substance could be a signal to exit. Patience pays off, especially when everyone else is chasing the next shiny object. ✍️ Wrapping It Up: Stay Sharp, Stay Informed Earnings season is as unpredictable as the plot twists in Succession. But with the right preparation and mindset, it’s also a goldmine of opportunities. Do your homework, keep your emotions in check, and don’t be afraid to sit out if the setup doesn’t feel right. So grab your coffee (or tea, no judgment), fire up your TradingView account, and get ready for the financial fireworks.
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
1
Bitcoin AnalysisHello fellow traders what do you think about Bitcoin, share thoughts in comments below. I have drawn this chart and it depicts analysis of Bitcoin. The chart highlights the following key features: 1. Range-Bound Momentum: The price is moving within a horizontal range, marked by a green rectangle. The upper boundary is labeled as resistance, and the lower boundary is labeled as support. 2. Resistance Level: The horizontal red line at approximately $109,016 marks the resistance level where the price struggles to break higher. 3. Support Level: The horizontal green line at approximately $98,729 represents the support level where the price tends to bounce back up. 4. Entry Point: A potential entry point is indicated near the middle of the range, aligned with the price of $104,879. 5. Targets: TP1 (Take Profit 1) : Positioned above the support zone at approximately $100,720. This serves as the first profit-taking point. Target: Positioned lower near $98,729, suggesting a bearish outlook if the price breaks support. 6. Bearish Projection : A downward yellow arrow signals the expectation of a potential breakdown from the current range. A purple arrow further emphasizes this bearish target. 7. Trend Context : The price was previously in an uptrend (illustrated by the orange ascending lines), but the chart shows the momentum has shifted into consolidation. This chart analysis focuses on price action within the range, emphasizing potential breakout or breakdown scenarios for trading decisions. Key levels; Bitcoin Sell from current area. 105000 Tp 1 at: 103640 Target at: 101400 SL at 107540 Kindly support me guys. And this is for educational purposes.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Jacks_Trading_Service
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD Continuation on Range Fill [LONG]Bias: Long Reasons: Last week we got the close above .63 on the daily/weekly I was looking for to signal strength coming back into AUD/USD. This doesn't mean we're long-term bullish just yet as Trump stimulated price up here through hurting the DXY with dovish comments on Tariffs - he's already strengthened it to start the week discussing Tariffs on Colombia. It's likely to me that price fills the range up to .636 before clearing out the long sentiment retail has, which could be as low as .6 - 611 before price turn long-term bullish. Considerations: Trump being president makes longer trades more dangerous so keep this in mind, you may want to just be in and out.
Long
by Ghost_Traders_FX
Trump’s National Energy Emergency Aims to Press Oil Prices LowerWhat goes up eventually comes down. This is even more true for oil prices amid a range of forces at play. The recent rally has been popped by significant headwinds facing crude oil prices. WTI Crude Oil (“WTI) has trended down sharply amid sluggish demand and a surplus in supply. Global oil consumption has remained tepid, with China's economic recovery slower than expected and U.S. fuel demand showing seasonal weakness. WTI prices rallied sharply higher from mid-Dec until mid-Jan, driven by optimism over Chinese demand rebound expectations in 2025. Adding to that was the Biden administration’s tightening of sanctions on Russian crude, targeting producers and over 180 vessels transporting 1.7 million bpd (~25% of Russia’s exports). WTI optimism quickly faded as Trump took office on 20/Jan. He signed an executive order to boost oil & gas production, removing barriers and reversing Biden’s climate policies. Since then, WTI prices have pulled back 7.74%. Declaring a national energy emergency , Trump introduced measures to fast-track energy infrastructure and regulatory approvals, aiming to lower costs & increase energy independence. At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Trump called on OPEC, particularly Saudi Arabia, to increase production and lower crude prices, triggering a fifth straight session of losses for WTI. Source: EIA The only tailwind to WTI prices amid all this oil gloom was the decline in crude inventories for the ninth consecutive week. The EIA reported a 1-million-barrel drop for the week ending 17/Jan, though it fell short of analysts’ 2.1-million-barrel forecast . EIA FORECASTS WTI PRICES TO TREND DOWN EIA in its latest STEO estimates WTI prices to fall throughout 2025 and 2026 on expectations of rising supply. Source: EIA STEO WTI prices are expected to average USD 70.31/barrel in 2025 & USD 62.46/barrel in 2026. The EIA expects OPEC+ to maintain production cuts to counter rising non-OPEC supply. Lower prices are likely to curb U.S. drilling activity and investment, resulting in only a modest production increase in 2026. After hitting a record 13.2 million bpd in 2024, U.S. crude output is projected to rise to 13.5 million bpd in 2025 and grow by less than 1% in 2026, averaging 13.6 million bpd as price pressures slow activity. This hints that Trump may have limited influence over U.S. production, as price remains the key driver. According to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey , U.S. oil firms need an average oil price of USD 64/barrel to drill profitably. TECHNICAL INDICATORS SIGNAL POTENTIAL BEARISH TREND ON THE HORIZON WTI crude oil futures have fallen sharply since 16/Jan. Along with it, the gap between the 9-day and 21-day moving averages has narrowed. The 9-day MA, which formed a golden cross on 13/Dec, now hints at a potential trend shift. On 21/Jan, prices closed below the 9-day MA and are now near the 21-day MA, signalling a waning bullish trend. WTI prices started the week above the monthly R2 resistance level but has since fallen below it. RSI began declining on 15/Jan after entering the overbought zone and dropped below its RSI-based moving average on 16/Jan. The MACD signalled weakening bullish momentum since 16/Jan, confirming a trend reversal and the start of a bearish trend on 23/Jan. COMMITMENT OF TRADERS For the week ending 14/Jan, managed money’s net long positioning in WTI crude oil (futures & options) fell 6.4% WoW, ending four weeks of sequential gains. Short positions surged 19.8% to 47,252 lots, while long positions declined 2.7% to 277,944 lots. Source: CME QuikStrike Scaling back of net long positions by managed money may be a signal of bearish expectations ahead. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Trump’s push for lower crude prices will intensify downward pressure on WTI in an oversupplied market. Threats of tariffs further risk dampening global trade, delaying an oil demand recovery. Do not write off the likelihood of a shock serving as a tailwind to oil prices. For now, pressure remains on oil prices to cool off in the near term, with ample forces pushing them lower. Portfolio Managers and Traders can express this bearish view on WTI prices using CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures. CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures offer the same exposure to crude oil price movements as standard WTI futures, but at 1/10th the contract size, making them more accessible while creating alternatives for granular hedging. This paper posits a short position in CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures (Mar 2025) expiring on 19/Feb (MCLH2025) with the following trade setup: • Entry: 75.60/barrel • Target: 71.50/barrel • Stop: 77.00/barrel • P&L at Target (per lot): +410 ((75.60 – 71.50) x 100) • P&L at Stop (per lot): -140 ((75.60 – 77.00) x 100) • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 2.9x CME Group has made a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. TradingView will be launching The Leap starting on 3rd February 2025. New and upcoming traders could hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group. Click here to learn more. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by mintdotfinance
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by wolfchemist
NO. 1 IS BITCOIN (STILL) BITCOIN-ALTCOINS-MEMECOINS THIS IS PLANDescending Trading Channel IS IN PROGRESS. Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. The resistance line at the top of the channel is acting as a barrier to upward momentum. The support line at the bottom of the channel provides a temporary floor for price movement. Current Price Action: The price is near the channel's lower support, indicating a critical decision zone for traders. The presence of high volume at support suggests potential buying interest. Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences: Shows momentum divergence, signaling a potential reversal near the current level. RSI (14): Reading of 27.94 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a possible bounce. Stochastic Oscillator (14,3,1): Extremely low (17.32), aligning with the RSI to indicate oversold conditions. ArTY Money Flow Index (MFI): Neutral, showing neither significant inflow nor outflow of capital. Key Levels: Support: $98,282 (current zone within the channel support). Resistance: $107,153 (aligned with the channel's resistance and previous consolidation). Breakout Zone: A break above $107,153 could signal bullish momentum toward higher resistance zones ($112,000–$120,000). Breakdown Risk: A breakdown below $98,000 may trigger bearish continuation to the $90,000 support zone. Trading Plan Entry Strategy Long Position: Enter near the support zone ($98,000–$99,000) with tight stop-loss at $97,000. Confirm reversal with bullish candlestick patterns or volume breakout above $100,000. Short Position: If the price breaks below $98,000 with strong volume, consider shorting with a target of $92,000. Take-Profit Levels: For long trades, scale out profits at: $105,000 (minor resistance). $107,150 (channel resistance and key breakout level). $112,000 (next major resistance). Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops 1–2% below the support level ($97,000 for long trades, $99,000 for short trades). Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:3 (risk $1,000 to make $3,000). Trade Management: Monitor volume closely; rising volume during upward movement strengthens bullish conviction. Use trailing stops to secure profits if the price moves favorably. Breakout Trading: If Bitcoin closes above $107,153 with strong momentum, consider entering a breakout trade targeting $112,000 and $120,000. Contingency Plan: Stay out if the price consolidates without clear direction near the current levels. Avoid over-leveraging and stick to predefined risk parameters. Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment within a descending channel. The oversold indicators and support proximity suggest a high-probability bounce, but traders must remain cautious of breakdown risks. The trading plan emphasizes disciplined risk management and capitalizes on both breakout and breakdown scenarios.
Long
by elfabiiani
2
Solana's All-Time High: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in Play..!Solana is currently exhibiting a symmetrical triangle pattern as it approaches its all-time high of $260. This pattern typically indicates a period of consolidation, where the buying and selling pressures are in relative equilibrium. Traders and analysts are closely monitoring this development, as a breakout from this formation could lead to a significant price movement, either upwards or downwards. The potential direction of the move will depend on which side the price ultimately breaks out from. Therefore, investors must stay vigilant and watch the market closely for any signs of a breakout, as it could herald a pivotal change in momentum for Solana.
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Trade Plan for Shiba/USDT Spot Trade 👇🏽👇🏽 Arabic Below | الترجمة بالاسفل 👇🏽👇🏽 Alright, fam! Here’s the breakdown of my risk strategy for this Shiba/USDT play: 📊 The Plan: • I’m putting 4% of my portfolio on the line for this trade. Risk is calculated and controlled! 🎯 • With a stop loss set at 26%, I’m allowed to allocate 15% of my portfolio to this position. 🛡️ • The goal? Lock in 149% gains if things swing our way! 📈✨ 💡 The Math: If this trade hits, my portfolio will grow by a solid 22.35% from this single move. 💸💪 Let’s see how this plays out — calculated risks, disciplined execution, and the potential for a big win. 🚀🐕💰 Let me know your thoughts, and as always, trade safe out there! 🧠🔑 #Crypto #ShibaInu #RiskManagement #SpotTrading يا شباب، دي الخطة للصفقة دي، إن شاء الله تجينا منها ارباح مبروكة👇 📊 الخطة: • مستعد أخاطر بـ 4% بس من المحفظة، مخاطرة محسوبة ما مشكلة! 🎯 • وقف الخسارة عند 26%، يعني بقدر أحط 15% من المحفظة في الصفقة دي. 🛡️ • الهدف؟ لو مشت الحكاية زي ما متوقع، حنطلع بـ 149% أرباح! 📈🔥 💡 الحساب: لو الصفقة ضربت الهدف، المحفظة بتزيد بـ 22.35% من صفقة واحدة بس. 💸💪 دي مخاطرة مدروسة، والخطة واضحة، لكن أهم حاجة ما تنسى تعمل حسابك كويس! نخش ونشوف الحكاية حتجيب شنو. 🚀🐕💰 وروني رأيكم، وبرضو لو عندكم خطط تانية، مشاركتها واجبة 😂! #كريبتو #شيبا_اينو #مخاطرة_محسوبة #تداول_سبوت #إدارةـمخاطر
Long
by djobs
1
Gold declined from last ETH! Time to fallsHey Traders & Investors! Hope you're shining bright today! XAUUSD H1 Chart Analysis (January 25, 2023) The gold price has reached our target of $2,777, triggering a fresh selling opportunity for bearish traders. This move is supported by negative momentum indicators on the H1 chart. Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance: $2,790 - Previous Target: $2,777 (HIT) - New Target: $2,750 - Support: $2,720 Trading Strategy: A sustained move below $2,767 could pave the way for additional losses. However, a reversal above $2,790 could trigger a buy-off. Update: Our previous target of $2,777 has been hit, confirming the strength of the bullish trend. However, we saw a fake breakout around $2,784. Now, let's focus on our next target around $2,750. Educational Takeaway: This analysis highlights the importance of identifying key supply and demand zones and monitoring momentum indicators to gauge the strength of a trend on shorter timeframes. By combining these technical analysis tools, traders can make more informed decisions and develop effective trading strategies. Hope my work helps you guys! Please like, comment, and share your thoughts! Best wishes, Tom
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tom_Trades_670
2
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you havne`t bought IBKR before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBKR Interactive Brokers Group prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-2-21, for a premium of approximately $3.90. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:IBKRLong
by TopgOptions