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X Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-23X Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-23) Model Summaries • Grok/xAI Report – Strongly bullish across 15-min, daily, and weekly timeframes; price above all key EMAs. – RSI overbought (15-min 76.7, daily 81.3, weekly 71.7) and touching upper Bollinger Bands but MACD remains positive. – Positive news catalyst (U.S. Steel/Nippon partnership) and call OI at $55 suggests further upside. – Recommends buying the $55 call (expiry 2025-06-06) at $0.22, 50% profit target to $0.33, stop-loss at $0.11, 80% confidence. • Claude/Anthropic Report – Technicals severely overbought; short-term pullback likely despite fundamental news. – Max pain at $45.50 vs current $53.22 signals mean reversion. – Recommends buying puts, ideally $50 strike, targeting reversion to max pain, 75% confidence. • Llama/Meta Report – Moderately bullish: price well above EMAs, bullish MACD, but overbought RSI/Bollinger Bands and max pain counter-signal. – Recommends buying the $55 call at $0.22, profit target $0.50, stop-loss $0.10, hold up to 10 days, 75% confidence. • DeepSeek Report – Strongly bullish: parabolic move, high-volume news catalyst, price above upper bands. – Recommends buying the $55 call (expiry 6/06) at $0.22, target 100–150% gain ($0.44–$0.55), stop if price closes below $51.97, 80% confidence. • Gemini/Google Report – Moderately bullish: powerful news and momentum outweigh overbought signals in the near term. – Recommends buying the $55 call at market open, entry $0.22–$0.25, profit target $0.44/$0.66, stop-loss $0.11, 70% confidence. Agreements and Disagreements • Agreement: Four of five models favor buying the $55 call for a near-term swing. • Disagreement: Claude advocates a bearish put play ($50 strike) due to extreme overbought conditions and max pain. • Risk view: All acknowledge overbought RSI/Band readings; only Claude sees near-term downside. Conclusion • Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately to strongly bullish in the very short term, driven by a major news catalyst and sustained momentum. • Recommended Trade: Buy a single-leg, naked $55 call option expiring 2025-06-06. • Strategy: Naked call purchase. • Expiration: 2025-06-06 (swing‐trade timeframe). • Premium: $0.22 per contract. • Entry Timing: Enter at market open. • Confidence Level: 75% • Key Risks and Considerations: – Severely overbought RSI and price trading above upper Bollinger Bands—risk of pullback. – Elevated VIX and max pain at $45.50 exert downside pressure over the next two weeks. – Low absolute premium and liquidity—wide bid/ask spread potential. – News-driven volatility could reverse if there’s profit-taking or adverse headlines. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "X", "direction": "call", "strike": 55.0, "expiry": "2025-06-06", "confidence": 0.75, "profit_target": 0.44, "stop_loss": 0.11, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.22, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-23 15:51:18 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: X 🔀 Direction: CALL (LONG) 🎯 Strike: 55.00 💵 Entry Price: 0.22 🎯 Profit Target: 0.44 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.11 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 75% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-23 15:51:33 EDT Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NYSE:XLong
by quantsignals
SPY Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-25SPY Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-25) Model Summaries Grok/xAI Report Technicals: SPY at $579.11, below short-term EMAs (10/50 on 5-min), above 200-period EMA, RSI oversold on 5-min, MACD bearish. Daily chart neutral to slightly bearish. Sentiment: Rising VIX (22.29), max pain at $580. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 577 put at $5.12, profit target ~3-point move, 20% stop loss, confidence 65%. Claude/Anthropic Report Technicals: 5-min and daily charts bearish but RSI oversold intraday. Volume selling peaked. Sentiment: Max pain $580, heavy OI at 575/570 puts, futures up. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 581 calls at ~$4.91, profit targets 25–50%, 30% stop loss, confidence 65%. Llama/Meta Report Technicals: Moderately bearish on 5-min EMAs and MACD, daily neutral. Sentiment: Elevated VIX, max pain at $580. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 579 put at $5.95, 20% profit target, 10% stop loss, confidence 70%. DeepSeek Report Technicals: Mixed signals—5-min oversold vs. daily bearish. Sentiment: Stuck between support $576.86 and max pain $580. Trade: No recommendation (confidence 45%). Gemini/Google Report Technicals: Daily and 5-min bearish, price under key EMAs. Futures suggest gap up to $581–581.50. Sentiment: Rising VIX, max pain at $580. Trade: Fade the open—buy 2025-05-30 578 puts at ~$2.20, target $3.00, stop ~$1.60, confidence 65%. Agreement and Disagreement Agreement Short-term bearish bias: Most see SPY below intraday EMAs and bearish MACD. Elevated volatility: All cite VIX rising above 20 as a risk factor and opportunity. Max pain magnet: Models note $580 as a gravitational level. Disagreement Directional tilt: Claude is moderately bullish (buy calls), others lean bearish or neutral. Trade entry strike: Puts at 577, 578, 579 vs. calls at 581. Risk parameters: Profit targets and stop losses vary widely (10–50% of premium). Conclusion and Recommendation Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bearish. SPY is below key short-term EMAs, MACD on multiple timeframes is negative, and although oversold conditions could spark a bounce, the preponderance of models favors downside. Recommended Trade Strategy: Buy a single-leg naked put Instrument: SPY weekly put expiring 2025-05-30 Strike: 577.00 (ask $5.12) Premium: $5.12 Entry Timing: At market open, assuming SPY does not gap significantly below $579 or above $581. Profit Target: 40% gain (premium ~$7.17) Stop Loss: 25% premium loss (premium ~$3.84) Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 65% Key Risks and Considerations SPY could bounce strongly from oversold levels or pre-market futures strength, invalidating the bearish setup. Theta decay accelerates late in the week; monitor time decay. VIX spikes could amplify premium and widen bid-ask spreads. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "SPY", "direction": "put", "strike": 577.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 7.17, "stop_loss": 3.84, "size": 1, "entry_price": 5.12, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 21:27:17 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: SPY 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 577.00 💵 Entry Price: 5.12 🎯 Profit Target: 7.17 🛑 Stop Loss: 3.84 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-25 21:27:49 EDT Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
BCBA:SPYShort
by quantsignals
AAPL Stock Trading Plan 2025-05-25AAPL Stock Trading Plan (2025-05-25) Final Trading Decision Models’ Key Points DS Report Technical: Strong bearish—price ($195.27) below all EMAs (10/50/200) on M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold but in downtrend; bearish MACD; hugging lower Bollinger band. Sentiment: Rising VIX (22.29), negative tariff news, heavy institutional distribution. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56; stop $197.50; 3–4 week hold; confidence 70%. LM Report Technical: Bearish price vs EMAs; RSI near oversold; Bollinger lower‐band touch hints at bounce; bearish MACD. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; negative headlines. Trade: No trade—mixed oversold/bearish signals; confidence 55% (below 60% threshold). GK Report Technical: Bearish across daily/weekly; RSI approaching oversold; MACD bearish but weakening; Bollinger lower‐band proximity. Sentiment: Rising VIX; tariff news headwind. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $189.56; stop $200.35; 4 week hold; confidence 65%. GM Report Technical: Multi‐timeframe bearish—price below EMAs M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold short‐term; strong bearish MACD. Sentiment: VIX up; negative tariff/profit‐risk headlines; 5-day −7.6% drop. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $187.50; stop $198.90; 3–4 week hold; position sizing example 25 shares on $10k equity; confidence 85%. CD Report Technical: Bearish across timeframes; RSI oversold; lower Bollinger band; MACD bearish but showing early convergence. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; tariff threat. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56 (secondary $185.00); stop $202.41; 3–4 week hold; confidence 72%. Agreement and Disagreement Agreement Broadly bearish technical setup: price below key EMAs; bearish MACD; lower‐band Bollinger action. Negative fundamental catalyst: potential tariffs and geopolitical risk. Rising VIX supports risk‐off bias. Recommendation skewed toward shorting AAPL shares. Disagreement LM sees too much mixed signal (oversold + bearish) to trade; all others recommend a short. Entry divergences: $195.00 vs. $195.27. Stop‐loss levels range from $197.50 up to $202.41. Take-profit levels range from $189.56 down to $185.00 (secondary) or $187.50. Confidence varies 65%–85%. Conclusion Overall Market Direction Consensus: Strongly Bearish Recommended Trade Strategy: Short AAPL shares Holding Period: 3–4 weeks Entry Timing: At market open (~$195.00) Position Sizing: Risk 1% of trading capital (e.g., 25 shares on a $10 000 account; scale accordingly) Entry Price: 195.00 Stop‐Loss: 198.90 (≈2% above entry; sits above recent resistance) Take‐Profit: 187.50 (below key support for a ~3.8% move) Confidence Level: 85% Key Risks and Considerations Severe oversold conditions could trigger a technical bounce. AAPL’s strong balance sheet may limit downside if market stress eases. Tariff news or policy reversal could abruptly shift sentiment. Monitor VIX and major support at $189.56 for early signs of exhaustion. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AAPL", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 195.00, "stop_loss": 198.90, "take_profit": 187.50, "size": 25, "confidence": 0.85, "entry_timing": "open" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: AAPL 📉 Direction: SHORT 💰 Entry Price: 195.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 198.9 🎯 Take Profit: 187.5 📊 Size: 25 💪 Confidence: 85% ⏰ Entry Timing: open Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by quantsignals
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-25NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-25) Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Mixed technical signals—bullish on daily, bearish on 5-minute; neutral overall; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bearish; recommends buying the $128 put at ~$3.60 for a 50–100% profit target; confidence 72%. Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish but views premium/risk as unfavorable for buying; instead suggests selling the $130 put; confidence 70%. Gemini/Google: Strong intraday bearish technicals and negative sentiment; recommends buying the $120 put at ~$1.24 as a day trade; confidence 65%. DeepSeek: Moderately bearish but sees premiums >$1 as too rich; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: • Overall moderately bearish bias for NVDA into weekly expiry. • Rising VIX, max-pain near $126, and negative news support downside. Disagreement: • Trade/no-trade: Grok and DeepSeek pass, Claude, Gemini and Llama propose trades. • Strike selection: Claude prefers $128 put; Gemini $120 put; Llama sells $130 put. • Strategy type: All bearish ideas are buy puts except Llama, which suggests naked put selling. Conclusion Overall Market Direction: Moderately Bearish for the week ending 2025-05-30. Recommended Trade: Buy a weekly put to capture the expected pull toward the $126 max-pain level. • Instrument: NVDA 2025-05-30 $128 Put • Entry Timing: At market open • Entry Price: $3.65 (ask) • Profit Target: $5.48 (≈50% gain ⇒ midpoint sell or scale) • Stop Loss: $2.56 (≈30% loss) • Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 70% Key Risks and Considerations: • Intraday oversold conditions could trigger a short-term bounce. • Theta decay accelerates late in the week—need timely exit. • Holiday-shortened week may damp momentum. • Liquidity is good at the $128 strike but bid-ask spread and slippage can impact execution. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "put", "strike": 128.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 5.48, "stop_loss": 2.56, "size": 1, "entry_price": 3.65, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 10:57:51 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: NVDA 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 128.00 💵 Entry Price: 3.65 🎯 Profit Target: 5.48 🛑 Stop Loss: 2.56 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-25 10:58:05 EDT Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by quantsignals
MSTR Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-24MSTR Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-24) Summary of Each Model’s Key Points Grok/xAI Report Technicals: Short-term and daily charts show bearish momentum but oversold conditions (5-min RSI ~22, price near lower Bollinger Band) hint at a bounce. Sentiment: Elevated VIX (22.29), negative Bitcoin-bet headlines, insider sell-offs; max pain at $400 may cap upside. Direction: Moderately Bearish with potential for a relief rally. Trade: Buy $370 call at $13.00, aiming for +25% ($16.25), stop at 20% loss ($10.40), 65% confidence. Claude/Anthropic Report Technicals: Deep bearish momentum below all EMAs; M5 RSI oversold, daily RSI near oversold. Sentiment: Rising VIX, mixed Bitcoin headlines, heavy put open interest at $350–$360. Direction: Moderately Bearish but conflicting bounce signals. Trade: No trade—confidence only 45%. Llama/Meta Report Technicals: Bearish trend on both timeframes; oversold M5 RSI. Sentiment: Elevated volatility; mixed news; max pain theory. Direction: Moderately Bearish. Trade: Buy $367.50 put (ask $12.30–bid $11.85), profit +20%, stop 50%, 70% confidence. Gemini/Google Report Technicals: Overwhelming bearish across EMAs, RSI, MACD, price breaks on high volume. Sentiment: VIX rising, negative news, skewed options flow. Direction: Strongly Bearish. Trade: Buy weekly $310 put (est. ask ~$0.70), target 100–200% gains, stop at $0.35, 65% confidence. DeepSeek Report Technicals: Bearish on both charts but oversold; mixed reversal vs. continuation signals. Sentiment: VIX up, mixed news, distant max pain. Direction: Neutral/Unclear. Trade: No trade—confidence 55%. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement Broadly bearish technical setup: price under EMAs, negative MACD, RSI oversold short term. Elevated volatility (VIX ~22) supporting larger swings. Weekly expiry options, with traders positioned for downside (heavy put OI). Disagreement Trade bias: Grok favors a call bounce; Llama and Gemini prefer deep-OTM puts; Claude and DeepSeek opt out. Strike choice: Ranges from near-the-money calls ($370) to far-OTM puts ($310). Confidence thresholds and risk/reward preferences differ, leading to divergent trade/no-trade conclusions. Conclusion and Recommendation Overall Market Direction Consensus: Bearish (various intensities from moderate to strong). Recommended Trade: Buy a naked weekly put. • Strike Selection: $355 put offers a balance of liquidity (OI 2,042), premium ($7.45 ask), and proximity to current price (downside leverage without needing an extreme move). • Expiry: 2025-05-30 weekly. • Premium: $7.45 (within or near preferred risk range). • Entry Timing: At market open. • Profit Target: +25% (~$9.31). • Stop Loss: –20% (~$5.96). • Position Size: 1 contract. • Confidence Level: 65%. Key Risks and Considerations A short-term bounce could spike implied vol and lift call skew, hurting put value. Support at $362 may hold, capping downside. Elevated volatility could widen spreads; ensure limit orders. Maintain strict stop-loss to prevent outsized premium decay losses. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "MSTR", "direction": "put", "strike": 355.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 9.31, "stop_loss": 5.96, "size": 1, "entry_price": 7.45, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: MSTR 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 355.00 💵 Entry Price: 7.45 🎯 Profit Target: 9.31 🛑 Stop Loss: 5.96 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-24 14:57:32 EDT Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by quantsignals
INTC Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-26INTC Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-26) Model Summaries Grok/xAI Report Technicals: INTC at $20.05, below 10/50 EMAs on M5 and well below 200 EMA; RSI(10) ~36 signals bearish momentum; MACD negative; price near lower Bollinger Band. Sentiment: VIX elevated at 22.29; mixed news but bearish outweighs bullish; options max pain at $21 may cap upside. Recommendation: Buy $20.00 weekly put at $0.41; profit target $0.62 (50% gain); stop-loss $0.20 (50% premium loss); hold to May 30 expiry. Confidence 65%. Claude/Anthropic Report Technicals: Strong short‐ and medium‐term bearish (price below all EMAs, RSI ~36–38, MACD negative, volume spike confirms selloff). Sentiment: Rising VIX, negative headlines, heavy put OI at $20 strike. Max pain $21 above spot. Recommendation: Buy $20.00 weekly put at $0.41; primary target $0.62 (50% gain), secondary $0.72; stop‐loss 25% premium ($0.31) or if INTC >$20.15; exit by Wed EOD. Confidence 72%. Gemini/Google Report Technicals: Bearish on M5 and daily (below 10/50/200 EMAs, RSI weak but not deeply oversold, bearish MACD). Sentiment: VIX rising; negative news flow; put demand greater than calls; max pain less relevant vs. momentum. Recommendation: Buy $19.50 weekly put at $0.22–$0.25 limit; profit target $0.44 (100% gain); stop‐loss $0.11 (50% premium) or if INTC >$20.40; size 1 contract for small account; exit EOD. Confidence 75%. Llama/Meta Report Technicals: Daily and M5 bearish (price below all EMAs, MACD negative); RSI ~38 suggests possible bounce but trend remains down; price near lower Bollinger Band. Sentiment: VIX up; mixed news but bearish tilt; max pain $21 unlikely this week. Recommendation: Buy $20.00 weekly put at $0.41; profit target $0.615; stop‐loss if INTC >$20.50; hold to expiry. Confidence 70%. DeepSeek Report Technicals: Bearish momentum (below all EMAs, negative MACD, daily RSI ~38); support at $20.02–$20.03 and lower band at $19.41. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; mixed news; heavy put OI at $20 strike; call interest at $21 as resistance. Recommendation: Buy $20.00 weekly put at $0.41 midpoint; profit target $0.62 (50%); stop‐loss if INTC >$20.10; close by Thursday EOD. Confidence 65%. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement All models view INTC as bearish into weekly expiry. Consensus on buying puts, with most favoring the $20.00 strike. Targeting a 50% gain on premium and risking ~25–50% premium loss. Entry timing at market open and holding into expiry or early in the week. Elevated VIX and heavy put open interest reinforce bearish bias. Disagreement Gemini prefers the $19.50 put for greater leverage vs. $20.00 put. Stop‐loss levels vary: from $20.10 up to $20.50 underlying or premium-based stops. Exit timing differs: some through expiry, others midweek to reduce theta decay. Profit‐target aggressiveness: 50% vs. 100% gains. Conclusion Overall Market Direction Consensus: Bearish Recommended Trade Strategy: Buy single-leg naked put Option: INTC 2025-05-30 expiry, $20.00 strike put Premium: $0.41 per contract Entry Timing: At market open Profit Target: $0.62 (≈50% premium gain) Stop Loss: $0.20 (≈50% premium loss) Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 70% Key Risks and Considerations Short-term oversold RSI may trigger a bounce around $20.00 support. Max pain at $21.00 could exert slight upward pressure if market stabilizes. Volatility drop (VIX normalization) could compress option premiums (vol crush). Weekly options have rapid theta decay; managing timing is critical. Liquidity and bid-ask spreads may widen at open—use limit orders. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "INTC", "direction": "put", "strike": 20.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 0.62, "stop_loss": 0.20, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.41, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-26 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: INTC 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 20.00 💵 Entry Price: 0.41 🎯 Profit Target: 0.62 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.20 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-26 11:39:04 EDT Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by quantsignals
Updated analysis on bitcoinLets watch BITCOIN go to the MOON🤑 Bitcoin follows a four-year cycle. Every 12-18 months we see a MASSIVE bull run. We call this halving I predict Bitcoin can reach $150K by late 2025 based on those cycle trends Adam back believes Bitcoin will reach 500K-$1M in this cycle. He gets this from high institutional demand. So don’t set take profits, haha. With this all time high of almost 112k, don’t expect a drop this time. We will likely soar above 150k soon, be ready 🤑 Good luck traders! (also the chart speaks for itself)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SethGoforth
Gold Pulls Back Slightly from Highs📊 Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) slightly retreated to around $3,325/oz during the May 26 session, after reaching a two-week high of $3,365. The main reason was the increased investor risk appetite after U.S. President Donald Trump postponed a plan to impose 50% tariffs on EU goods, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. However, the long-term bullish trend remains supported by a weakening U.S. dollar and expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,350 – $3,365 • Nearest Support: $3,325 – $3,285 • EMA: Price remains above the EMA50, indicating a sustained uptrend. • RSI Indicator: Near 50, giving a neutral signal. • MACD: Slight bullish signal. • ADX: 36.998, indicating a strong upward trend. • Price Pattern: Price is fluctuating within the $3,200 – $3,500 range, with the EMA50 at $3,200 acting as strong support. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to experience a slight short-term correction if market risk appetite remains elevated. However, the long-term uptrend is still supported by a weak USD and expectations of rate cuts. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350 – $3,365 🎯 TP: $3,300 ❌ SL: $3,380
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Bitcoin's Market Cycles — Are We Nearing the Top?Bitcoin is approaching a critical moment and the signs are everywhere. After more than 900 days of steady bull market growth, BTC now flirts with all-time highs (ATH) while momentum stalls, liquidity thins, and emotions run hot. You might be asking: Are we nearing the cycle top? Is now the time to de-risk or double down? What comes next? This isn’t just a question of price. It’s about timing, structure, and psychology. In this analysis, we’ll break down Bitcoin’s historical cycles, the current macro structure, the hidden signals from Fibonacci time extensions, and how to think like a professional when the crowd is chasing FOMO. Let’s dive in. 📚 Educational Insight: Understanding Bitcoin Cycles Bitcoin doesn’t move in straight lines, it moves in cycles. Bull markets grow slowly, then explode. Bear markets fall fast, then grind sideways. These rhythms are driven by halving events, liquidity expansions, and most importantly: human emotion. Here’s what history tells us: Historical Bull Markets: 2009–2011: 540 days (+5,189,598%) 2011–2013: 743 days (+62,086%) 2015–2017: 852 days (+12,125%) 2018–2021: 1061 days (+2,108%) 2022–Present: 917 days so far (+623%) Bear Market Durations: 2011: 164 days (-93.73%) 2013–2015: 627 days (-86.96%) 2017–2018: 362 days (-84.22%) 2021–2022: 376 days (-77.57%) 💡 What does this tell us? Bull markets are growing longer, while bear markets have remained consistently brutal. The current cycle has already surpassed the average bull run length of 885 days (cycles #2–#4) and is quickly approaching the 957-day average of the two most recent cycles (#3 and #4). That makes this the second-longest bull market in Bitcoin’s history. ⏳ 1:1 Fibonacci Time Extension — The Hidden Timing Signal In time-based Fibonacci analysis, the 1.0 (1:1) extension means one simple thing: this cycle has now lasted the same amount of time as previous cycles — a perfect time symmetry. Here’s how I measured it: Average bull market length #2–#4(2011–2021): 885 days Average bull market length #3–#4(2015–2021): 957 days Today’s date: May 27, 2025 = Day 917 ✅ Result: We are well inside the time window where Bitcoin historically tops out. You don’t need to be a fortune teller to see that this is a zone of caution. Markets peak on euphoria, not logic and this timing confluence is a red flag worth watching. 🗓️ "Sell in May and Go Away" — Not Just a Meme One of the oldest market adages is showing its teeth again. Risk assets — including Bitcoin — tend to underperform in the summer months. Why? Lower liquidity Institutional rebalancing Exhaustion from prior run-ups Vacations and reduced trading volumes And here we are: Bitcoin is hovering near ATH It's been in an uptrend for 917 days We just entered the time-extension top zone Liquidity is thinning across the board You don’t need to panic. But you do need to think like a professional: secure profits, reduce exposure, and wait for structure. 😬 FOMO Is a Portfolio Killer This is where most traders make their worst decisions. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) isn’t just a meme — it’s the reason so many people buy tops and sell bottoms. Before entering any trade right now, ask yourself: Where were you at $20K? Did you have a plan? Or are you reacting to headlines? 📌 Clear mind > urgent clicks 📌 Patience > chasing green candles 📌 Strategy > emotion Let the herd FOMO in. You protect your capital. Will This Bear Market Be Different? Every past cycle saw BTC retrace between 77%–94%. That was then. But this time feels… different. Here’s why: Institutions are here — ETF flows, sovereign wealth funds, and major asset managers Regulation is clearer — and risk capital feels safer deploying in crypto Supply is tighter — much of BTC is now held off exchanges and in cold storage While a massive crash like -80% is less likely, that doesn’t mean a correction isn’t coming. Even a 30%–40% drop from here would wreak havoc on overleveraged traders. And that brings us to… 🚨 Altseason? Or Alt-bloodbath? Here’s the hard truth: If BTC corrects, altcoins will crash — not rally. Most altcoins have already seen strong rallies from their cycle lows. But if BTC drops 30%, many alts could tumble 50–80%. Altseason only happens when BTC cools off and ranges — not when it dumps. Don’t get caught holding the bag. Be tactical. Be disciplined. So Where’s the Next Big Level? You may be wondering: “If this is the top… where do we fall to?” Let’s just say there’s a very important Fibonacci confluence aligning with several other key indicators. I’ll reveal it in my next analysis, so stay tuned. 🧭 What Should You Do Right Now? (Not Financial Advice) ✅ Up big? — Take some profits ✅ On the sidelines? — Wait for real setups ✅ Emotional? — Unplug, reassess ✅ Are you new to Trading? — study, learn (how to day trade) and prepare for the next cycle The best trades come to the calm, not the impulsive. 💡 Final Words of Wisdom Bitcoin rewards discipline. It punishes emotion. Right now is not about catching the last 10% of upside — it’s about: Watching structure for potential trend change Measuring risk Avoiding overexposure Protecting what you’ve earned 📌 The edge isn’t in indicators. It’s in mindset. Stay prepared, stay sharp because in this market… 🔔 Remember: The market will always be there. Your capital won’t — unless you protect it. The next big opportunity doesn’t go to the loudest. It goes to the most ready. _________________________________ Thanks for reading and following along! 🙏 Now the big question remains: Is a bear market just lurking around the corner? What are your thoughts? Let me know in the comments. I’d love to hear your perspective. _________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by SiDec
13
AUD/CAD - Strong Sell setup for Bearish movementsHere we can see that we are in a consolidation zone trading in a Bullish channel. We have a Liquidity Trend Acting as a support zone for price. We are currently waiting for a breakout trade here and actively looking to possibly sell from this active supply zone if we pull into it. I do belive we may sell off sooner but time will tell. Confluences are a failed Demand zone Bearish Breakout Trend Engulfing Bearish Candle theory Good luck to any traders that may decide to follow. I have 3 Target levels marked out so feel free to follow along and use these levels
Short
by jamesibartram
ADA/USDT (1H Timeframe)Current Price: $0.7694 (up +1.28%) Key Observations: 1. Ascending Trendline: The price is moving along a clear ascending trendline, showing short-term bullish momentum. The price is making higher highs and higher lows. 2. Immediate Resistance Zone: Price is approaching a resistance zone around $0.79–$0.80. This area could act as a strong supply zone. 3. Support Zones: Minor support near $0.757–$0.760 (recent breakout zone). Major support lies between $0.740–$0.745. 4. Moving Average: Price is trading above the blue EMA line, indicating buyers are currently in control. Possible Trading Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the ascending trendline and breaks the $0.78 resistance: Long Entry: Above $0.780 Target 1: $0.79 Target 2: $0.82 Stop Loss: Below $0.765 Bearish Pullback Scenario: If the price gets rejected from $0.78–$0.79 and breaks below the trendline: Short Entry: Below $0.760 Target 1: $0.750 Target 2: $0.740 Stop Loss: Above $0.770
Short
by Ameruddin92
BNB/USDT (1H Timeframe)Current Price: $674.94 (up +0.82%) Key Observations: 1. Rising Wedge Formation: Price is moving upward inside a rising wedge, which is generally a bearish pattern. The price is currently testing the upper resistance zone near $675–$676. 2. Resistance Zone: Strong resistance zone is marked just above the current price. This area has previously acted as supply and could trigger a pullback. 3. Support Zones: First key support is around $668–$670 (lower pink box). Major support below that is around $660–$663. 4. Moving Average: Price is trading above the blue moving average, indicating short-term bullish momentum. Possible Trading Scenarios: Bearish Setup (More likely due to wedge pattern): If price gets rejected at the current resistance and breaks below the wedge: Short Entry: Below $673 Target 1: $668 Target 2: $660 Stop Loss: Above $676 Bullish Breakout Scenario: If price breaks and closes strongly above $676: Long Entry: Above $677 Target 1: $684 Target 2: $692 Stop Loss: Below $673
Long
by Ameruddin92
Accumulate waiting for the next new ATH, BTC 💎 Update Plan BTC (May 26) Notable news about BTC: Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $109,000 as of Monday, staging a solid rebound after Friday’s sharp pullback. The recovery has been largely driven by renewed optimism following US President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone the implementation of a 50% tariff on European Union imports. This move helped calm market jitters and reignited investor appetite for risk assets, including digital currencies. Institutional interest in Bitcoin also appears to be gaining momentum, with the latest data showing the strongest weekly inflows since late April—an encouraging sign that confidence in the asset remains resilient despite recent volatility. Trump’s tariff delay spurs BTC bounce In a post on his Truth Social platform, President Trump announced an extension of the EU tariff deadline to July 9, backing away from the previously scheduled June 1 hike. This announcement came just days after he criticized the lack of progress in negotiations with Brussels, which had rattled markets and led to a 3.9% drop in BTC on Friday. The policy reversal helped restore calm and provided a tailwind for Bitcoin’s upward move to start the week. Technical analysis angle The question that investors most interested now is when BTC will have 120k? Congratulations to the investors. BTC goes on our analysis. Although the price is sideways, we still earn 3000 prices from this coin. Note that the 113k region can be an important price area for adjustment before 120k and even higher 🔥BTC 4H is currently in the adjustment phase, this time will cause a lot of traders, Future - Margin to lose money, this rhythm will last long At this time, whether new or old, should spend more time to practice, load more knowledge about the PTKT, as well as find knowledge posts at the channel ..., to strengthen the solid foundation, as well as avoid losing money at this time offline ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout Forming – Falling Wedge & Retest SetupEUR/GBP has been in a prolonged downtrend over the past several weeks, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent price action shows signs of exhaustion in selling pressure, as the candles begin to compress into a Falling Wedge pattern — a classic bullish reversal formation. The wedge is defined by two descending, converging trendlines. As price moves closer to the apex of this wedge, volatility contracts and volume typically dries up (not shown here, but conceptually expected). This signals that market participants are preparing for a directional breakout, most likely to the upside in this context. 🔍 Key Technical Elements: 🔸 1. Falling Wedge Pattern: The Falling Wedge is a bullish setup that forms during a downtrend and signals a potential reversal when confirmed. Price here has followed a steady decline, but the slowing momentum and structure of the wedge suggest the sellers are losing control. The wedge acts as a compression zone, where bearish moves are becoming less impactful. Price touches both upper and lower wedge boundaries multiple times, increasing pattern validity. A breakout has already occurred, and the pair is now undergoing a textbook retest of the broken wedge resistance (now acting as support). 🔸 2. Retest at Key Support Zone (SR Interchange): The retest is happening precisely at a former support/resistance flip zone, labeled SR – Interchange on the chart. This is a historically significant area where price has reacted multiple times, adding confluence to the setup. If this level holds during the retest, it may invite strong buying interest, fueling the bullish breakout move. 🔸 3. Resistance Zones & Targets: Inner Resistance (~0.8460): First hurdle for bulls; breaching this will signal strong momentum. Minor Resistance (~0.85618): This is the primary target of the setup, based on previous structure and wedge height projection. Major Resistance (~0.8740): A longer-term bullish objective if momentum sustains beyond the first two targets. These zones serve as logical areas for profit-taking and reassessment. 📐 Measured Move & Target Projection: The projected breakout target of 0.85618 is derived using a combination of: The vertical height of the wedge at its thickest point. Previous market structure resistance zones. Fibonacci and price symmetry (if analyzed further). This target also aligns with a previous supply zone, making it a strong magnet for price if bullish momentum kicks in. 💡 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): This setup provides a good risk-to-reward opportunity if executed with patience and proper confirmation: Entry Zone: After bullish confirmation at the retest (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or break of minor lower high). Stop Loss: Below the SR Interchange zone or recent swing low (~0.8350–0.8360). Target 1: Inner Resistance (~0.8460) Target 2: Minor Resistance (~0.85618) Target 3 (extended): Major Resistance (~0.8740) 🔄 Market Psychology: This chart setup reflects a shift in momentum and sentiment: Sellers have driven the price down consistently but have failed to create new significant lows with force. Buyers are stepping in at key demand zones, creating higher lows within the wedge. The breakout suggests smart money accumulation, and the current retest offers one of the last low-risk entries before a broader move. 🔔 Confirmation to Watch: Bullish reversal candlestick patterns at the retest zone. Break above local lower highs near 0.8440–0.8460. Momentum indicators (if used) showing divergence or crossover confirmation. 📉 Bias: Short-Term Bullish Valid if support at 0.8390–0.8400 holds and price confirms breakout continuation. 🧠 Minds Post (Expanded Explanation) Title: EUR/GBP Bullish Reversal Developing – Falling Wedge Breakout Retest EUR/GBP has broken out of a textbook falling wedge on the 4H chart, which often signals the end of a downtrend and beginning of a new bullish phase. The price is currently pulling back, testing the breakout zone — a crucial step in confirming the validity of the breakout. If this retest holds, we may see a sharp move toward the 0.8460 and 0.8560 levels — both key resistances based on past price action. This pattern reflects a deeper market psychology shift — from consistent bearish dominance to a potential bullish takeover. Smart money may already be positioning here. I’m watching for confirmation at the support zone around 0.8390. If price holds and breaks above local highs, a continuation toward the upper resistance is likely. Let the market come to you. Don’t chase. Wait for structure, then trade with confidence.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Trump Delays Tariffs, but Trade Tensions with EU Are Heating UpDonald Trump is back in headline mode — and this time, the EU is in his crosshairs. After weeks of relative calm, the US President reignited global trade tensions by announcing a 50% tariff on all EU imports. But in a surprise twist — and in true reality-TV fashion — he’s now pushed the start date from June 1 to July 9. So Europe gets a five-week stay of execution. Lucky? Or just stuck in limbo? Let’s dive into what it means for markets, why traders aren’t exactly panicking yet, and whether this is just another Trump bluff — or a prelude to Trade Wars, Season 2. 🍝 All EU Imports — Yes, Even the Pasta Trump’s post-holiday bombshell would slap a sweeping 50% tariff on everything from French wine and Italian olive oil to German sedans and Spanish ham. His reason? Brussels is “dragging its feet,” and Trump, never one to shy away from drama, says enough is enough. Cue the “America First” soundtrack. But with the tariff now rescheduled for July 9, markets are interpreting this as more of a pressure tactic than an immediate economic hammer. A cooling-off period? Or the calm before the tariff storm? 👀 Markets Blink — But Just Barely When the initial June 1 announcement hit Friday, Europe’s Stoxx 600 TVC:SXXP dropped about 1% — not exactly a meltdown, more like a “here we go again” shrug. US stocks , which are closed for Memorial Day Monday, had already wrapped Friday in the red. Investors were digesting the potential for yet another trade war rerun — just when things were starting to feel a bit less chaotic. The new July 9 date has offered some breathing room, but it hasn’t erased the risk. Instead, it’s created a countdown clock for volatility — one that traders can’t ignore. ⏳ Bluff or Battle Plan? Trump’s tone this time is more poker table than podium. “That’s the way it is,” he told reporters. “Our discussions with them are going nowhere!” he posted on Truth Social. “I’m not looking for a deal — we’ve set the deal: 50%.” Still, the sudden five-week delay suggests there might be some wiggle room behind the scenes. Maybe it’s about giving Brussels time to blink. Or maybe it’s about giving voters time to rally. 🧐 Should Traders Be Freaking Out? Short answer: No. Slightly longer answer: Not yet. While the tone feels sharper and the numbers bigger, traders have learned one thing about Trump: even the most dramatic threats often serve as negotiation leverage. That said, this isn't 2018. The global economy is more fragile. Rates are higher. Consumer fatigue is real. And if this escalates into tit-for-tat tariffs, the recovery narrative could hit a speed bump — just in time for earnings season. So traders should: Keep an eye on EU-exposed sectors — autos, luxury goods, industrials Monitor the FX space — especially EUR/USD volatility Watch the earnings calendar for reports from multinationals with eurozone exposure Stay alert for a potential 3 a.m. Trump pivot post And maybe keep one tab open for the Brussels response 🌱 A New Deadline, Same Old Drama So, is this real? Maybe. Is it priced in? Partially. Is it over? Definitely not. The July 9 date might delay the fallout, but it also means the headlines — and market jitters — aren’t going anywhere. Investors now have five more weeks of speculation, positioning, and potential volatility as the transatlantic trade story unfolds. And if you’re sitting on European exposure? Maybe don’t go full “buy-the-dip” mode just yet. More like a “watch the tape, prep your hedges, and don’t believe everything you read is final.” Your turn: are you fading the noise or surfing the chaos? Let us know how you’re playing the next move in this global chess match.
TVC:SXXP
by TradingView
21