Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

Where do we go from here?If you're looking at this in terms of market cycles in correlation with halvings... These are my opinions in an attempt to pick the top 3 most likely scenarios for the next 12-13 months. Please provide feedback as this is not about ego, it's more of a thought exercise. The 2 vertical lines are the window/time frame for exiting. The diagonal lines represent the tops of the previous 2 market cycles. Not in any particular order are what I consider the 3 most likely scenarios... 1. The theory of diminishing returns applies. Bitcoin is becoming larger and less volatile. It is possible that this market cycle will not break past the red line projections. If this is true then the next market cycle may see less than 100% return. Conclusion--market cycle has already peaked. Projection: bleed-off of BTC price to approximately FWB:73K before starting into the next bull market cycle. Start buying again in about 2 years. 2. Everything the same as 1 except Conclusion--market cycle has not yet peaked. Projection: 3-4 months of pain or longer if the bleed is slow. Tops out by the end of next year between $114k and $130k. 3. We are on the verge of government adoption and regulatory clarity in the USA and several other countries. Conclusion--market cycle has not yet peaked. Projection: A steep pull back over the next 3-4 months to meet the fast moving average bringing BTC price as low as 80k-75k before violently snapping up as we see the gears of legislation starting to move, breaking the projection from the previous 2 cycles driving BTC price beyond 200k by the end of next year. But those are just my thoughts. What do you think?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Narsty_Boy
3
Start of decline: Below 97821.58 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The Market Cap chart will be updated again when a new candle is created. I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing in. The increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC. You cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC with BTC dominance. The rise in USDT dominance is likely to be reflected in the decline of the coin market. The start of the decline in the coin market is expected to begin when it rises above 4.97 and is maintained. ------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The point to watch is whether the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point or whether it switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. Since the StochRSI indicator is a lagging indicator, you can know the exact value when a new candle is created. However, if there is a change in the value of the StochRSI indicator when a movement occurs, it means that an important point has been passed. In that sense, the fact that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point despite the current price decline means that an important point has not been passed. However, there may be fluctuations in the StochRSI indicator value when a new candle is created while the price is falling. - (1D chart) The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at 101947.24. Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 101947.24. If not, it falls and shows resistance near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator or 97821.58, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. Therefore, before meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, you should check whether it is supported near 87.8K-89K or whether the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is newly created. If the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to see if there is support in the vicinity. If the HA-Low indicator is generated, it is expected that the current wave will end and a movement to create a new wave will begin. The start of the decline is expected to start when it falls below 97821.58. The volatility period is around December 27 (maximum December 26-28). - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) In the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019. Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
2
Long Signal for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)📈 Long Signal for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) ✅ Suggestion: I’ve opened a buy position from the marked zone and anticipate growth for Bitcoin. 🎯 Key Insight: This is Bitcoin’s final support level, and despite the high risk, I’m willing to take the chance. 🚀 💬 To manage this signal effectively and explore more opportunities: 1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊 2️⃣ Send me a private message for personalized guidance. 💎 Let’s trade strategically and aim for big profits! 💰
Long
by DAVID_SNIPERRR
CADJPY Expected to Rise as BOJ Doesn't Support JPYCADJPY Expected to Rise as BOJ Doesn't Support JPY Yesterday, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to keep the interest rate unchanged at its latest meeting, showing hesitation about future rate hikes. The market's initial reaction was to trade against the JPY, resulting in a devaluation of at least +200 pips across most of its pairs. Japan's core inflation accelerated in November due to rising food and fuel costs, which is putting pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates. However, this is only speculation, and no decision has been made. Given the BOJ's stance, CADJPY may rise further from the current zone. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by syomking76418
Downward pressure on S&P 500 Index intensified past daysYesterday's sell-off damaged the S&P 500's 50-day moving average. While we initially saw a bounce back at the opening, it didn't hold. This makes the 5925 level a critical point to watch as we head toward the end of the year. For those keeping an eye on the charts, a trendline has been intact since the low in October 2023. Although it was breached during the August downturn, we managed to rally back into the bullish channel that's been forming since the fourth quarter of 2023. This channel offers support around the 5800 mark, and I anticipate this level will hold as we close out the year. Should we dip further, the following support levels to watch are 5690 and 5525. While I don't foresee us dropping to these lower levels before year-end, it's essential to acknowledge the potential downside risk. The market sentiment shifted following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, giving sellers the upper hand for the first time since the summer.
SP:SPX
by IrinaTK
The whole market's going down, pick one and buy it at the bottomI rolled the dice and put in an overnight order for COINBASE:NEARUSD @ $3.675 Runner up was COINBASE:HNTUSD Will it get there? Might be a stretch, but looks possible, looks like everything is about to crash a little bit. What if it doesn't get there? Who cares. I'm never upset about losing zero dollars. But folks, I think it's going there, maybe not overnight, but all kinds of things are headed to all kinds of recent extreme bottoms.
COINBASE:NEARUSD
by Hollywood260AB
#ETH 4000 Coming..#ETH 4000 Coming.. In our last analysis, we predicted that ETH would go above 2400 to 3000, which has proven accurate. Now, in our latest analysis, we are expressing the possibility of ETH surpassing 4000. When ETH was at 2400, all the influencers were talking about a market crash, but we saw #BTC and #ETH as a buying opportunity. And today, we are in profit. Our last trades in #ARKM, #ARB, and #SOL were all successful. For those interested in joining us, feel free to DM. !!Thanks!!
Long
by ShashvataTrading
EURJPY MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONEURJPY, has finished consolidation at the Institutional Renegotiation zone, at 79% Discount Price. Decision has been taken in favor of the Bulls, Price has already broken the renegotiation trend line with a shift candle. Another order has taken place already. Price will retrace a bit to mitigate the order block and give the Bulls a perfect entry at 61.6% discount price. First Target is the Renegotiation resistance To sweep the buyside liquidity, and there will be a liquidity run from there to mitigated the unmitigated order block ahead as the second target. I believe this is the move we will see next week. Entry, Take Profit 1 &2 and Stop Loss are clearly marked on the Chat. GOOD LUCK GUYS!
Long
by Akpambang
S&P 500 Comes Back From Extreme "Extreme"In the S&P 500, we observe a very similar scenario to the Nasdaq (see link to the NQ chart). It’s worth noting that we’ve seen this situation a few times before: the price traded outside the orange fork, moved back into the fork, but then left behind a "Hagopian" and shot back above it. This is irrational market behavior caused by artificial buying pressure (Gamma Squeeze). Now, we see the market bouncing off the 1/4 line between the warning line and the U-MLH of the white fork. And yet again, we’re trading within the orange fork. What now? Back up again or is it really heading down this time? Read my lips: "I - Don’t - Know." §8-) Buuuut, the projection and the extent of the over extension lead me to believe that this time, it’s going to crash! Like in the NQ, my stance here is **short** for the coming weeks, and possibly even months.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
XAU/USD - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabGold (XAU/USD) has reached a key liquidity zone above resistance, setting up a potential sell limit opportunity. This move reflects a classic liquidity grab, where smart money clears stop-losses before reversing the market. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: Price action spiked above a significant resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping buyers, suggesting a potential reversal. Market Structure: Bearish signals, including rejection candles and waning momentum, indicate a possible downside move. Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity grab and anticipated reversal zone. Trade Plan: Entry: Sell limit at , positioned for a move downward from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above the liquidity sweep to account for market volatility. Take Profit: Targeting key support levels around for a favorable risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This setup leverages the liquidity sweep for a high-probability trade, but disciplined risk management is crucial. Monitor for confirmation of bearish momentum before full execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Vusizwe_Capital
Fast profit idea update - determining the exit price for $GFIUSDLadies and gentlemen minutes ago, I alerted you to a potential fast profit opportunity in the goldfinch protocol, I put in an order to buy at $1.3365, which depending on how the price approaches that level I may adjust to $1.36-38, and I may not have time to update you on that, but currently this is where I am. In this short addendum video, I have determined my exit point to be roughly $1.83, and though I don't say it in the video, I have just now identified another potential exit point a little bit lower if necessary at $1.65. As always, ladies and gentlemen, this is not investment advice. Follow me at your own risk. I am a day trader not an investor. I do things very quickly..
COINBASE:GFIUSDLong
by Hollywood260AB
3
Goldfinch Protocol: Updated Price Prediction with Lower TargetsA Significant Revision to the Expected Bottom Price Levels CRYPTO:GFIUSD New Prediction: Goldfinch Protocol’s anticipated bottom has been adjusted significantly lower, with new targets of $0.70, $0.50, and $0.45. Cancel High Buy Orders: Any buy orders above $1 should be reconsidered to avoid premature entry ahead of further declines. Steep and Unusual Decline: Recent price action exhibits sharp downward movement that lacks typical panic signals but suggests further downside. Psychological Levels: Previous lows near $1 are no longer expected to hold, with new focus on deeper support zones. Key Indicators: Consistent candle sizes and the absence of an organic capitulation pattern emphasize the unusual nature of the decline. Updated Perspective: This revision reflects evolving market behavior, highlighting new opportunities as the price approaches lower thresholds. This critical update redefines Goldfinch Protocol’s price expectations, offering insights into new levels to watch and the reasoning behind the adjusted prediction. Stay informed for potential opportunities ahead.
COINBASE:GFIUSD
by Hollywood260AB
NQ - Nasdaq? Read Tomorrows Wallstreet JournalIt hasn’t made any sense for a long time now how the markets keep climbing. Manipulation? Self-perpetuation? Honestly, who cares why. As the saying goes: “The dwarves dug too deep. And what they unearthed was their doom.” Or, in another version: “The greedy vultures flew too high, and all they found was gravity.” In the chart, we see two pitchforks: The orange one highlights the actual overextension. The white one represents the moderated version. Interpreting this image is simple if you have a rulebook you can trust—and a few decades of market experience under your belt. §8-) 1. **The price turns at the orange centerline.** This means the market is in "balance"—in the context of the overextension. Or… 2. **Put differently:** In the context of the white pitchfork, the market overshot the upper median line parallel. This was an overextension by a factor of 2. **What do we do with this?** We stick to the rulebook for median lines. The rulebook says that when the price trades above the U-MLH (upper median line parallel), fails to hold, and drops back into the fork, the market will fall to the next line. - **Orange fork:** Down to the L-MLH (lower median line parallel). - **White fork:** Down to the centerline. Beyond that, I **think/guess/predict/read-tea-leaves** that the market will fall much deeper in 2025. Please note the distinction here: - The first statement is the projection—the interpretation of the chart. - The latter is a speculation (no crystal ball involved). For me, it’s clear: medium-term **short** with multiple price targets.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd