Altcoin Supercycle Cheat Sheet.Trading Alt-coins is not easy. Often while waiting for them to reach their targets suddenly the hole market takes a dive before they get there.. or we sell them and they keep going much much higher leaving us behind in the dust.. So i came up with another approach trying to time the point where the hole market dives and sell them all together no matter where they are in their own individual cycles..
When to exit Alt-coins? This is my Crypto market-cap analysis and game-plan excluding Bitcoin.
The only tools i use for this prediction is the Fibonacci Extension tool and Tom Demark's TD sequence Indicator.
before i start i want to say that the big market cycle top is far far away in my opinion and I expect it to be around the 10.618 extension or higher which is at around 4.45 Trillion total market-cap. Basicly a 4x from where we are now.
But of course there will be up and downs like in every market and each time we reach another fib extension target i expect a decent dip worth trading.
Time-wise if we are going to make another TD 9 count on the 3 month chart the 9 would open on 1 July 2022 and close end of September 2022.
This analysis can be used as a roadmap which should help us to play each leg up to our advantage. Selling each leg up for bitcoin and buy back the correction multiplying our alt-coins towards the big top where we will sell it all for stable-coins and wait for the bear-market to do its thing again before buy in and rinse repeat.
That said let's get to it.
The recent 2 small cycle-tops have been made at the 1.618 with 696 Billion and the second one with 1.1 trillion at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Meaning we had small cycle tops already and have 8 more to go from here if my 10 cycle theory is going to play out.
Why 10 tops? I can not explain you why but i can teach you a secret i found with the 10.618. I have backtested this on multiple assets and it seems there is something about it that does work. It is basicly free money if you learn to play this. You should try it out yourself by backtesting it on your favourite assets and you might make fantastic finds and possibly life-changing gains in the future ahead just by knowing this secret which is a great help to know when to get out. this 10.618 can also be applied on smaller timeframes and can be of great help for every trader.
If you manage to do well based on my teachings please gimme a shoutout. It would make me very happy knowing i have helped someone reach financial freedom.
lets continue:
I decided to publish the idea in the 3 month time frame in order to cut out most of the noise. You can see that we have reached a green TD 9 count on the 3 month chart in January 2018 which was the 1st ever market-cycle top in alt-coins.
the indicator is not counting 1-9 properly after the top and i could not find one that does it right. So i placed a text-box with the red numbers so you can see that there was basicly 9 chaotic candles after the green 9. you will notice that after the chaotic 9 it started a new green count which currently prints a green 4.
so currently we are on a green TD 4 suggesting we should have over 1 year of upside before we reach the green 9 and possibly the big market cycle top by end of September 2022.
now lets get to the point. what do we do from here?
the next obvious target is the 3.618 at 1.5 Trillion USD
The game-plan is to sell all alt-coins when we reach the next Fibonacci target and move either into bitcoin.
In my opinion the best would trading versus BTC and only move into stable-coins once we have reached the Big cycle top.
So each time we reach one of these Fib lines we must make sure we exit all alt-coins into bitcoin even if they have not reached their own targets.
Once a small cycle top is in and we start to dip we then can draw a Fibonacci retracement on our alt-coins we wish to buy back lower and layer our bids for buy back between the 618 and 786 fibonacci.
then we wait for the next Fib in this case the 4.618 target at 1.91 Trillion and so forth.. etc.. Rinse repeat.
i will update this Idea with more detailed small timeframe charts all the way until the big market-cycle top reminding you when to get out and when to get back in.
To not miss any updates and alt-coin ideas please follow me here on Tradingview.
Then you are all set for the super-cycle alt-coin run and all you need to do is to watch out for the signals and enjoy the ride/gains.
Not financial advice.
please like if you enjoyed this and feel free to ask or comment.
follow to learn more.
ps: if you like reading trading books I do recommend you to read the book about Tom Demark's TD sequential.
Beyond Technical Analysis
The Secret Fibonacci pockets on DogecoinIt has been a while since i posted something here.
Thank you for still following me.
I had a macro look at dogecoin using my previously published secret about the 9-10.618 Fib and thought to share my findings with you.
First have a look and see the targets given by my custom fibonaci template which shows the area of 9-10.618
notice how precise it calls the macro tops
see how i place the tool
the blue arrows showing a equal date range of 174 weekly bars
what do you think? could this be the plan?
USD/JPY Sell Trade – Targeting 156.42902Pair: USD/JPY 🇺🇸💴
Direction: Short 🔽
Target: 156.42902 🎯
Time Horizon: By Thursday, Jan 23, 07:00 UTC (approx. 9.5 hours) ⏳
USD/JPY has shown recent upward movement but may face resistance, indicating a potential pullback toward the 156.42902 level. Market behavior suggests this move could occur within the next 9.5 hours, aligning with observed price patterns.
Keeping an eye on key economic developments that may influence market sentiment and price action. 🔍
JPY bags are heavy. Redridge Capital is back with vengeance.
This time we are shorting S&P via 7-10 days OTM puts strikes at 5800-5820 and some short positions in Netflix as well.
The rationale behind this trade is that the traders might be underestimating the associated volatility that might come with the next Bank of Japan meeting. We are expecting a hawkish outcome which will unwind USDJPY longs and start to unwind the froth in the risk assets as well.
The time to strike is now.
XAU/USD BUY $$$
Gold entered a large range after a 15M BOS and formed a one-hour liquidity. After taking the Asian floor liquidity, it also took the one-hour liquidity. Now I have two scenarios: 1: After MSS 15 and forming a valid OB with confirmation, you can enter the buy. 2: Gold continues to fall until the one-hour zone with 5-minute confirmation, you can enter the buy again.
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GBPUSD Buy area at 1.23248 with strong confirmationsWait for the breakout and put the trade with proper analysis and risk mangements
GBPUSD Buy area at 1.23248 with strong confirmations
Stop Loos: 1.22963
Take Profit Level: 1.2376
Level 2nd; 1.24932
The Setup follow the 1st risk on account and use trail stop loss.
GBPJPY - Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key swing low and left untouched swing high.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Gold , daily analysis
"In relation to gold, my recent analysis regarding the bearish trend in gold is progressing successfully, and the price could potentially drop below $2500 in the upcoming month."
If you have any specific preferences or areas you would like me to focus on, feel free to let me know!
Corn: Clear way downCorn market has had a somewhat of a shock revival over the past couple of weeks. The latest WASDE report provided a final jolt to the massive speculative positioning which we deem to be at an extreme around the 500 USD level.
We think the latest move has been an overkill and some of the positioning is bound to unwind as the speculators might have gotten ahead of themselves. Large stale short positions were the predominant drive of the move for the most part.
Therefore, all the latest long positions are at risk of being trapped.
Strategic short with stop around at the 555-560 USD level.
Targeting pre-WASDE levels.
DAY 15: BACK TO THE DRAWING BOARD.My sls were triggered which was disappointing but good for the account.Lost 50 pips in Bitcoin as it sold off during the New York session yesterday.I am still bullish on this pair as long as 97,000 is pivot.Still looking to add entries as I believe we will be buying to new highs by tomorrow or next week
As for GBPUSD,I'm still bullish as long as there is no break below 1.22500 and 1.22800 which are key technical levels . If the dollar sells of today then the level above will hold and expect gains from GBP.
Looking to sit out till data is ready as I'm still recovering from yesterday's losses.
And that is why we must use a SL
RBLX LongRoblox (RBLX) while unprofitable has led to negative P/E ratios + -700% ROE, -ROA, - ROIC with low quick and efficiency ratios. DE ratio also indicates RBLX is heavily leveraged which could lead to damaging long-term health. However, recently PB and PS indicated high growth potential from an investor viewpoint and investor bullishness. DE dropped drastically from 2023 to 2024 indicating a shift of long-term to short-term debt. This indicates that RBLX is shifting from a long-term viewpoint into shorter-term viewpoint which could be indication of a strategic shift. For RBLX, this would mean a takeover of other game companies and further solidify market dominance with increasing and developing userbase (younger), subscription model, and simulated ecosystem. Possible retracement from market sentiment and debt obligations, but then bullish continuance.
GOLD PRICES RETREAT AS STRONG DOLLAR PREVAILS AND ECONOMIC DATA Economic Data Impacting the Market
On December 12, 2024, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released important economic data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.4% in November, higher than the expected 0.2%, and showed a 3.0% increase over the year, marking the largest gain since February 2023. Additionally, the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, went up by 0.2% for the month and 3.5% annually. Initial jobless claims for the week ending December 7 reached 242,000, significantly above the expected 220,000, indicating rising unemployment. These mixed signals highlight ongoing inflation pressures alongside a weakening job market.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Shift
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has decreased to 96.70% from 97.50% a day ago, signalling changing market expectations.
What Lies Beyond the Cornfield's Horizon?The narrative of corn in the global agricultural scene is not merely about sustenance but a complex ballet of economics, innovation, and policy. This staple crop stands at the intersection of international trade, with U.S. farmers gaining a foothold in Mexico's market through a significant legal victory against GMO corn restrictions, highlighting the nuanced dance between technology and trade agreements. Meanwhile, Brazil's agricultural strategies reveal a shift towards leveraging corn for ethanol, showcasing a potential future where corn could play an even more pivotal role in sustainable energy solutions.
In science and technology, the development of digital corn twins presents a frontier in crop breeding. This innovative approach could redefine how we think about plant resilience and efficiency, potentially leading to crops tailored to withstand the capricious whims of climate change. The challenge lies in translating theoretical models into practical, field-ready solutions that can benefit farmers and consumers alike.
However, the journey isn't without its threats. The unexpected rise of corn leaf aphids in 2024 serves as a stark reminder of the ongoing battle with nature's unpredictability. Farmers are now challenged to anticipate and manage these pests, pushing the boundaries of traditional farming practices into more predictive, data-driven methodologies. This situation beckons a broader inquiry into how agriculture can evolve not just to react but preemptively adapt to ecological shifts.
As we look beyond the cornfield's horizon, we see a landscape where policy, technology, and biology converge. The future of corn involves navigating this triad with foresight, ensuring that each step taken today not only secures current yields but also plants the seeds for a sustainable agricultural legacy. This exploration into corn's evolving role invites us to ponder how we can harness these developments for a future where food security and environmental stewardship walk hand in hand.