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Beyond Technical Analysis

LTC/USD Main trend. Halving. Cycles The psychology of repetitionMain trend. The graph is logarithmic. The timeframe is 1 month. This idea is relevant both for understanding the secondary trend work and as a training in simple cyclic, logical manipulation processes. Note also the halving of the LTC and the designated time zones between cycles. The primary trend is an uptrend in which a huge butterfly is forming (forming part 2) Secondary trend is a downward channel. Local trend in the secondary trend is a wedge. Coin in the coin market : Litecoin The chart is taken from the Bitfiniex exchange, I used it because of the long price history (the coin has been traded on this exchange for a long time). Of course, the chart is relevant for all exchanges with liquidity. The coin and the pair are liquid, it is acceptable to set large positions. The price behavior is predictable. Ups/Downs are similar. Let's consider them below. Everything is unpredictable only for absolutely predictable people, it always was, is and will be. Same time frame on a line chart (no market noise, pure trend direction) A close-up of this area on the line chart. And this area on the candlestick chart. What matters is the average buy/sell. Approach the market regardless of the size of your deposit as a major market participant. Stop thinking like a "hamster". You don't need to guess, you need to know and be prepared for any outcome, even unlikely scenarios. Psychology of behavior in the market. Expectation. Reality. "Stop-loss resets. Cyclicality of predictable behavior. . Predictable price behavior. "Knockouts" of obedient (acting by the rules) and naughty (acting on emotion) fools are as logical and predictable as anything else everywhere else. Increase your knowledge and experience, and it won't affect you. Remember, theory without practice is nothing. Real trading is very different from theory, you should understand that. That's why all "programmed traders" lose money or their earnings are quite modest. You should not ask anyone where to buy/sell this or that crypto-asset. You should initially know yourself under what conditions you will buy and under what conditions you will sell. Past "stop-losses" before secondary trend reversals . Secondary trend reversal zones and "takeout" before pullbacks in 2019 (+450 average) and 2021 (+900% average). Candlestick chart. 3-day timeframe. Fear peak zones. Line chart. Three-day timeframe. Fear peak zones. (without market noise). As we can see, this "fear peak" on the line chart evaporates, all these local "super resets" have no effect on the trend. It's just the "death of hamsters." The capitulation of human stupidity and greed. You can add predictability and submissiveness to this. The train always leaves without such marketable characters. Such always sell (fear) at the lowest prices, shortly before the trend reverses. It is worth adding that they buy at the highest prices "at the behest" of the pump to get fabulously "rich. This makes the cryptocurrency market super profitable. Such fuel is the basis of profit. "Market fuel flows" lend themselves to cycles. Price management is the psychology and manipulation of people's minds through basic instincts through price values. All of this is real and as old as the world. A foolish person keeps stepping on the same rake, each time telling himself that this is the last time, or this is a special case. This "last case" must be repeated systematically, but in different conditions that you create. Your effectiveness depends on how masterful you are at forming such obsessive thoughts in the mind of such market characters. Fundamentals of Trading. Trading strategy. Capital management. Price forecasting. It is your trading strategy and money management, based on your experience, that is the basis of trading, not guessing the price. But guessing is what most people want. Such people should have no money. As a rule, such people in real life are very poor, do not have their own business, go "to work" (do not want to take responsibility). They think real life doesn't give them many resources, but market speculation will quickly make them fabulously rich. Rather the opposite is true. Total impoverishment regardless of the direction of the trend due to the reinforcement of destructive qualities of a person with financial instruments. The behavior of such people in the market is a projection of what they are like in real life. The behavior of people in financial markets is a projection of what they are in real life. That is, their positive and negative psychological qualities. You can't run away from yourself. A stupid person will be overtaken by his own stupidity, a greedy person by greed, an intolerant person by intolerance, an indecisive person by indecision, an irresponsible person by irresponsibility. Such will be punished by their own destructive qualities. The main thing is that the victim draws conclusions from this and it is an incentive to correct the root cause and basis of the failures, rather than looking for the culprit of his own stupidity in "random events" and other people. You guessed once, second time, third time zeroed in and hit your own self-confidence with your own stupidity and predictability. Consequently, all your previous guesses at the distance equals zero. Trading is a probability game. It is impossible to guess everything because of the many components of pricing. It is possible not to guess, but to know the more and less potentially realizable probabilities because of certain market conditions. No one knows the exact future, there is only an assumed more likely future and the work that leads to it. The basis of profit/loss is what you are in the here and now. Your knowledge and experience are projected onto the chart. The symbiosis of these two parameters makes or loses money in practice. Read these 6 points carefully: 1) The first problem most marketers have is that everyone wants to get a lot of money in the moment and, most importantly, without effort. That's what most people want, so it's not rational or dangerous to satisfy their desires. 2) The second problem is that they can't be "out of the market" until they find a good entry point. "Fear of missing out" does its destructive work. 3) The third problem is, of course, the disease from "childhood," which manifests itself in adulthood. People begin to collect various crypto coins, endowing them with different values according to their beliefs and, above all, their desires. 4) The fourth problem is greed, insatiability combined with inexperience. People don't want to protect their profits, they want more and more and more and more and more, eventually from greed and inexperience they completely (more greedy) or partially (less greedy) nullify themselves. 5) Lack of knowledge and experience. Lack of desire to develop and learn. The less experienced a market participant is, the more confident he is in his competence and "screams text". 6) The sixth most serious problem - laziness. It manifests itself in the fact that few people want to work, everyone wants to have. Under ideas are captured my trading ideas for this trading pair over the past 3 years. Most of them are previously closed trade ideas. There are 3 learning ideas that I have shown on this trading pair (based on publicly published simple trading ideas) .
BITFINEX:LTCUSD
by SpartaBTC
18
SPY Holding the Line at $590! Will We See a Bounce or More DownsTechnical Analysis for February 27, 2025: 1. Current Price Action: * SPY is trading around $593, attempting to hold above $590 (key support level). * A falling wedge pattern is forming, which could signal a reversal if SPY reclaims $595-$600. * POC (Point of Control) at $594.43 is the key pivot area for direction. 2. Key Levels to Watch: * Support: $590 (Critical level), $589.56 (Last line of defense), $580 (Major downside risk). * Resistance: $595-$600 (Breakout level), $605 (Strong resistance). * Upside Targets: $610, $615, $620. 3. Indicators Analysis: * MACD: Bearish, but flattening, suggesting slowing downside momentum. * Stoch RSI: Moving higher, indicating a potential short-term bounce. * Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity between $590-$595, indicating strong accumulation or distribution. GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights: * Call Walls: $610, $620 → Resistance areas. * Put Walls: $590, $580 → Key downside support. 2. IV & Sentiment: * IVR: 30.8 (Low) * IVx Avg: 22.7 (Very low volatility, favoring breakouts). * Put Positioning: 102.9% bearish sentiment. * GEX Sentiment: Very bearish—needs $595+ to shift sentiment. 3. Trading Suggestions: * Bullish Setup: If SPY reclaims $595-$600, consider long positions targeting $605-$610, with a stop at $590. * Bearish Setup: If SPY fails to hold $590, short setups targeting $585-$580, stop at $595. * Options Play: Selling put spreads at $590 or call spreads near $610 resistance. 📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion: * SPY is sitting at a critical support zone ($590-$593)—holding here could trigger a bounce toward $600-$605. * A break below $590 could lead to accelerated selling toward $580. * Low volatility suggests a breakout move is coming, making long options attractive. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Nifty Support or Fall From HereWe can only draw what the chart reveals—so keep drawing. I want to share something simple yet valuable. I’ve discovered three key secrets of the market: 1 Technical Analysis 2 ############ 3 Emotion Management What are your thoughts on point "2" ? Share in the comments! Based on my chart analysis, I anticipate 21,750 in the upcoming week. This is not a recommendation—just an educational note to leave proof that ZZ drawing works. Of course, I could be wrong because the MARKET is supreme. Thank you!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by dipanjanxsamanta
Polkadot 2025 Bull-Market: Long-Term Accumulation Zone ActiveThis is one of the easiest trades to take. Polkadot (DOTUSDT) is now activating a long-term, bottom range, support and accumulation zone. Each time this price range becomes active what follows is a bullish breakout. Here is the interesting part. This zone was first activated in late 2022, as part of the previous bull-market correction or bear-market. In 2023 we had the recovery year so the growth period was very small compared to 2021. 2024 is the same, the "initial bullish breakout" and this is very small compared to 2021 and what happens now, 2025. 2025 is different. 2025 is bull-market year and goes in the same proportion with 2021 but much higher. Why would 2025 end up producing much higher prices compared to 2021 rather than the same levels? Because the market is bigger now. Because the market is evolving and everything that is related to Cryptocurrency is being globally accepted. There are so many positive developments that it is hard to mention but let's give it a try. The USA is now favorable towards the Cryptocurrency market. This might be the biggest development of all. Other countries that were unfavorable are following the USA and changing their policies. Many countries are considering a "Bitcoin reserve." Unique dynamics developing now. There are many new companies, many new projects and global adoption continues to expand. Crypto is now mainstream and legal all across the world. This can make the 2025 bull-market the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto. If it doesn't, well, prices are going up and that's more than enough for us to be bullish and to go LONG. Polkadot is now going bullish. Prices will go literally off this chart. We will visit the 2025 ATH potential in a new publication. If you want the information now, you can always visit my profile and type DOTUSDT. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Let's trade together long-term. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
4
Bitcoin Is About To Turn Bullish (10X Alert!)It's been 1.5 months since the last low, which happened on the 10th of January. We are potentially looking at a higher low now and the start of a new bullish wave. This is a major development. There isn't much to go by from the chart, only the fact that trading volume has been higher in previous drops. The total amount of long positions liquidated can also be considered; the market cycle; the fact that the year is 2025 and we are about to enter March. The Cryptocurrency market will be 100% bullish in March. Bitcoin will be bullish in March, so it is a possible that we are looking at a higher low on the 2D candle and this candle closes tomorrow. I am doing, for my people, 10X on this chart setup. 10X is about the limit for our leveraged trades. I only go to the upper range of the limit when we are really close to the next major market move. We know the next move is bullish and we know we are very close, for this reason we are ready to 'step in the gas', we are ready to go in with full force because Bitcoin (the Cryptocurrency market) is about to embark on a phase of long-term growth. Now. All growth will not happen in a single week or a single day. This is a long-term process but bottom prices tend to be available only for a matter of days. Is this really it? When trading, specially with leverage, there is always high risk. I can't say for sure if this is it, all we can do is take action, decide what we want to do next. Based on the chart, intuition and experience, we are ready for a new entry, the market will let us know if the timing was right. The market will reward us if timing was right, it will punish us if the timing was wrong. If we get it right, that's great; enjoy the profits and move on. If we get it wrong, no need to cry, no need to fight, the market goes down and goes up. We know how much risk we are taking based on the size of the position that we take. If a chart setup breaks down, there is one choice left and one only, try again. We never give up. Success is based on learning from past failures and mistakes. The more often we get it wrong, the more data we have to learn and grow. The timing is right. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
CME:BTC1!Long
by MasterAnanda
15
Btcusd strong analysis opportunity 1. Breakout Possibility Above Resistance The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, but Bitcoin could break above it instead, leading to a bullish continuation rather than a reversal. 2. Stronger Support Holding The projected drop might not occur if the support zone proves stronger than expected, leading to a bounce instead of a decline. 3. Market Volatility & Fundamentals Bitcoin often moves based on macroeconomic factors, news, or liquidity shifts. A sudden surge in demand could invalidate this technical setup. 4. Inverse Head & Shoulders Formation If price action forms a higher low, it could indicate accumulation rather than a sell-off, meaning a push toward new highs instead of a decline
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
SLIVER STRONG DOWN OPPORTUNITY 1. Resistance Breakout Possibility The analysis assumes a rejection at resistance, leading to a drop. However, if bullish momentum increases and breaks the resistance, it could trigger a strong rally instead of a decline. 2. Support Weakness The support area identified might not hold if there's strong bearish pressure. If the price falls sharply, it could break support instead of bouncing, leading to further downside. 3. False Breakout Risk The projected downtrend might be a false move, where price briefly dips but then rebounds, trapping sellers before reversing to the upside. 4. Market News & Fundamentals
TVC:SILVERLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
XRPUSDT - LONG FROM POI 4HTechnically, XRP looks good for a mid-term trade! The sloping line breaks through, but there is no volume as such due to market uncertainty. Therefore, I plan to wait for a local correction as opposed to retail traders and in the POI range , I will consider a long position If my personal expectations are confirmed, I will consider the position in the format as indicated on the trading chart. Targets: $2.2695 $2.3663 $2.4492 Risk management - 1% on stop order
Long
by PHONKTRADER
1
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
Short
by syomking76418