Beyond Technical Analysis
SPY - Ground Up Multi-Time Frame Analysis!Lots of interesting algorithms at play here between the LTF and HTF algorithms. We need to be very cautious before entering long-term positions.
But, there will be great opportunities to take LTF trades once we start seeing our green tapered buying proving itself and/or a respect and proof of a selling channel like orange or red
Happy Trading :)
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Reversal in Play🔎 Technical Breakdown:
1. Rising Wedge Formation:
The pair has been trading within a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows but with diminishing momentum. The wedge is visible from the swing low on May 13, where price began to climb aggressively but within increasingly narrow price action. This narrowing range signals weakening bullish strength.
2. Key Resistance Zone:
The wedge forms right below a Major Resistance Zone marked earlier in the chart (around 0.007050), where price had previously faced heavy selling pressure. This adds confluence to the bearish bias, as the zone historically acted as a turning point.
3. SR Interchange Zone:
Below the wedge lies a Support-turned-Resistance (SR) Interchange level, a critical price area where past support may now act as resistance if the price attempts to retrace. This is a commonly watched level by institutional and technical traders.
4. Breakdown Confirmation:
The price has broken below the wedge's lower trendline, which is often considered the breakdown signal. A valid breakdown typically includes a close outside the wedge body followed by a retest or continuation.
5. Bearish Target:
The projected move is toward 0.006796, derived by measuring the wedge height and applying it from the breakdown point. This level aligns with a historical support zone, adding more confluence to the target.
🧠 Psychological & Structural View:
Bullish exhaustion: Buyers pushed price higher into resistance, but momentum slowed, signaling exhaustion.
Trapped longs: Traders who entered late in the wedge may now be trapped, potentially accelerating a sell-off as they exit.
Smart money behavior: Rising wedges near resistance often signal distribution by smart money before a drop.
🛠️ Trading Plan Suggestion (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: After a clear wedge breakdown, consider short entries on a retest of the broken trendline or a bearish candle confirmation.
SL: Above the wedge high or major resistance zone.
TP: Staggered exits below 0.006850 and final target around 0.006796.
🔁 What to Watch For:
Retest of the wedge breakdown (potential short entry zone)
Momentum confirmation via volume or bearish candles
Price reaction at SR Interchange and final support target
🧠 Minds Section – Condensed Summary
JPY/USD formed a Rising Wedge below major resistance, signaling bullish exhaustion. Price has broken down from the wedge, confirming bearish momentum. A clean breakdown targets 0.006796, with SR interchange acting as a minor support. A retest of the wedge breakdown could offer a good short opportunity.
US30 BUY MODELDOW JONES (US30) – Long Trade Idea
Timeframes:
Higher Timeframe Bias: Daily
Execution Timeframe: 4HR
Market Narrative:
A beautiful buy model is currently unfolding on the Dow, suggesting smart money accumulation and preparation for a move into premium pricing.
Price is retracing into discount, where we see a confluence of:
A Daily Bullish Order Block (OB)
A 4HR Buy-Side Imbalance / Sell-Side Inefficiency (BISI)
This confluence acts as a strong magnet for price and presents a high-probability long opportunity.
Entry Zone:
🟢 Buy Zone: 41,900 – 41,850
Inside the 4HR BISI
Aligned with the Daily OB (discounted price)
Ideal for entries upon confirmation via:
1HR bullish BOS (Break of Structure)
FVG (Fair Value Gap) entry
Internal liquidity sweep + displacement
Targets (Premium-side Liquidity & Imbalances):
TP1 – 42,500
🎯 First premium inefficiency fill + short-term liquidity target
TP2 – 42,800
🎯 Key level inside Daily SIBI (Sell-Side Imbalance, Buy-Side Inefficiency)
TP3 – 43,060
🎯 February Low above current price — likely a buy-side liquidity draw
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 41,700
🔒 Below Daily OB low and structural invalidation level
RRR: At least 1:3 to TP1, and 1:6+ to final target
Key Confluences:
Daily OB + 4HR BISI = strong demand and imbalance alignment
Trading in discount of the current dealing range
Clear buy-side liquidity pools above (including February Low)
Market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes
Strong probability of price delivering higher into premium
Execution Tips:
Wait for confirmation inside the 41,900–41,850 zone:
15min–1HR bullish market structure shift (BOS)
Fair Value Gap + displacement candle entry
Consider partial profits at TP1, and trail stops for extended targets
Avoid entries during high-impact news unless already in profit
Market next target Original Analysis Summary:
Support Area Identified: Around 3335.
Expected Scenario: Bounce from support leading to a bullish move toward the "Target" zone.
Two Paths Shown: A direct bounce (yellow) or a fakeout/drop below support followed by a bullish reversal (blue arrow).
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Disruption Analysis: Bearish Scenario
1. Support Breakdown:
Instead of bouncing at the support area (~3335), the price fails to hold and breaks down below.
Increased volume or bearish momentum could lead to this breakdown.
2. New Target Zone:
If support is broken, the next key demand zone may lie around 3300 or below, making that the new target.
Traders expecting a bounce may get trapped (bull trap), adding to sell pressure.
3. Invalidation of Bullish Setup:
The presence of consecutive lower highs leading into the support area could indicate weakening bullish momentum.
A retest of the broken support as new resistance would confirm the shift in structure (support becomes resistance).
XAGUSD Technical Analysis : MMC Breakdown from Resistance ZoneChart Concept: By Using MMC – Mirror Market Concepts
🔎 1. Major Resistance Zone – The Brick Wall
At the top of the chart, around $33.85–$34.00, we see a strong major resistance zone. This area has acted as a ceiling for price multiple times in the past. Think of it like a brick wall where the bulls keep trying to break through but get pushed back. When price touches this level and fails to break above it, that’s a clear rejection.
This rejection gives the first sign that buyers are losing steam and sellers are stepping in.
🧠 2. Mirror Market Concept (MMC) in Action
Using the MMC (Mirror Market Concept), we’re treating the chart like a reflection — what happened on one side of the move is likely to mirror or repeat on the other.
So when price aggressively moved up into resistance, you look for a symmetrical move back down once it's rejected — just like looking in a mirror. This concept helps predict where price might land based on previous movements, levels, and psychological patterns.
🧱 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support ↔ Resistance Flip)
Look around the $33.10–$33.25 area — this is a critical SR interchange zone. Price used this zone as resistance in the past, broke above it, and then used it as support.
Now that price has rejected from the top, it’s coming back down to retest this SR zone. If it breaks below this area, it confirms a shift in market structure—from bullish to bearish.
🌀 4. Black Mind Curve Support – Dynamic Support
That curved black line? That’s not just a drawing — it's called Mind Curve Support in MMC. This curve helps map out dynamic support based on price memory and human psychology.
As long as the price respects that curve, the structure is bullish. But once it breaks below it — like it’s threatening to do now — it often means momentum has shifted and a correction is underway.
⛓️ 5. Bearish Breakdown Structure
Once price touched the major resistance, it formed two swing highs labeled TP1 and TP2. That’s very similar to a double top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal signal. After the second peak, price dropped sharply — that’s your early confirmation of a potential move lower.
And now, price is forming lower highs and lower lows, another classic sign of bearish momentum taking over.
🎯 6. Target Zone – Why $32.72?
Here’s where MMC really helps:
The projected target zone is $32.72, which is marked in the chart.
Why this exact level?
It’s previous market structure (support zone from earlier)
It aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
It’s the mirror reflection of the bullish move, completing the MMC concept
This is a high-probability area where buyers may step in again.
💼 Trade Setup Summary (Educational Only)
Parameter Level
Entry Below $33.20 after confirmation candle
Stop Loss Above $33.85 (recent high)
Take Profit $32.72 (MMC Mirror Target)
🧠 Final Thoughts – The MMC Edge
This chart isn’t just about lines and levels. It’s about understanding how traders think — where they get excited, scared, greedy, or exhausted. That’s what Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) are built on.
By recognizing structure, psychological curves, and SR flips, you're not just guessing—you’re reading the market’s mind.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and confirm setups with your own trading plan before entering any trade.
Detailed Analysis and Trading Recommendations XAUUSD ### Key Points
- It seems likely that selling XAUUSD (gold vs. USD) at the current price is a good strategy, given the chart shows resistance at 3,333.105.
- Research suggests setting a take profit (TP) at 3,240.424 and a stop loss (SL) at 3,360.000 for a favorable risk-reward ratio.
- The evidence leans toward a short-term bearish outlook, but longer-term trends may be bullish if the price breaks above resistance.
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### Analysis and Recommendations
#### Overview
Based on the 4-hour (4H) candlestick chart for XAUUSD, the current price is at 3,333.105, which is testing a key resistance level. The market appears range-bound, with signs of potential rejection at this level, supported by technical indicators like a bearish moving average crossover and overbought conditions near the upper Bollinger Band.
#### Suggested Trade
Given the analysis, I recommend the following:
- **Direction:** Sell at around 3,333.105, ideally on confirmation of rejection (e.g., a bearish candlestick).
- **Take Profit (TP):** 3,240.424, the first support level.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** 3,360.000, above the next resistance to protect against an upside breakout.
This trade offers a risk-reward ratio of approximately 3.44, which is favorable for short-term trading.
#### Considerations
- The trade is based on a 4H chart, suitable for holding over several hours to a few days.
- Always consider broader market conditions, such as economic news or geopolitical events, which could impact gold prices and are not reflected in the chart.
---
---
### Detailed Analysis and Trading Recommendations
This section provides a comprehensive breakdown of the XAUUSD chart analysis and the rationale behind the suggested entry, take profit (TP), and stop loss (SL) levels. The analysis is based on the provided 4-hour (4H) candlestick chart, extracted from the image, and follows standard technical analysis principles. All recommendations are made as of the current time, 08:41 AM WAT on Monday, May 26, 2025, and are based solely on the chart data without external market context.
#### Chart Overview
The chart is a 4-hour (4H) candlestick chart for XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar), a popular trading pair in forex and commodities markets. Key details include:
- **Current Price:** The price is at **3,333.105**, with a recent decline of **-24.239 (-0.72%)**, indicating a slight downward movement.
- **Time Frame:** The chart spans approximately 20 days, from around the 7th to the 27th of the month, aligned with the 4H time frame.
#### Support and Resistance Levels
The chart highlights key support and resistance levels, likely derived from pivot points or range analysis:
- **Resistance Levels:**
- Immediate Resistance: **3,333.105** (current price, acting as a significant barrier).
- Next Resistance: **3,360.000** (marked in red, indicating a higher resistance).
- **Support Levels:**
- Primary Support: **3,240.424** (a significant level marked in blue).
- Secondary Support: **3,163.229** (a lower support level, also marked in blue).
These levels suggest a range-bound market, with the price currently testing the upper boundary at 3,333.105.
#### Trend Analysis
- **Overall Trend:** The market is described as **sideways to slightly bearish** in the short term. However, the presence of upward-sloping moving averages (discussed below) suggests a potential longer-term bullish bias if the price breaks above resistance.
- The price action shows oscillation within the range of 3,163.229 to 3,360.000, indicating consolidation.
#### Candlestick and Chart Patterns
- Recent candlestick activity shows **indecision** with small-bodied candles and doji-like formations, particularly around the current price level.
- There is a potential **double top** or resistance test near 3,333.105, where the price has struggled to break above multiple times. This pattern often signals a bearish reversal if confirmed by a rejection.
- A possible **bearish reversal pattern** (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing) could be forming if the current red candlestick closes lower, indicating rejection at resistance.
#### Technical Indicators
Several technical indicators are visible on the chart, providing insights into momentum and potential entry/exit points:
- **Moving Averages (MA):**
- Multiple moving averages are plotted, likely 9-period, 21-period, and 50-period, based on the label "MA Cross 9 21."
- A bearish crossover is noted, with the 9-period MA crossing below the 21-period MA, as indicated by a downward arrow. This suggests short-term bearish momentum.
- Despite the crossover, the MAs are sloping upward, which could indicate a longer-term bullish trend if the price breaks above resistance.
- **Bollinger Bands:**
- The chart features Bollinger Bands, visible as blue shaded channels. The price is currently near the upper band, suggesting overbought conditions and a potential reversal if it fails to break out.
- **Buy/Sell Signals:**
- A "SELL" signal is displayed near 3,333.280, slightly above the current price of 3,333.105, indicating a potential sell opportunity at that level.
- A "BUY" signal is noted at 3,333.540, also slightly above the current price, suggesting mixed signals from an automated trading system (possibly an oscillator like RSI or Stochastic).
- **Volume:**
- Volume bars are present at the bottom of the chart, with recent volume described as moderate and no significant spikes, indicating no strong buying or selling pressure.
#### Other Notable Features
- The chart includes a label "DC 20 0," which may refer to a custom indicator or Donchian Channel setting, indicating a 20-period range or breakout signal, with the current price at 0 (neutral or at the midpoint).
- The x-axis shows a time period from around the 7th to the 27th of the month, providing a roughly 20-day view, consistent with the 4H time frame.
#### Trading Scenarios and Rationale
Based on the chart analysis, three main trading scenarios were considered: bullish, bearish, and range-bound. Below is a detailed breakdown:
##### 1. Bearish Scenario
- **Rationale:** The price is testing resistance at 3,333.105, with a potential double top pattern and bearish candlestick formations suggesting rejection. The bearish MA crossover (9 below 21) and overbought conditions near the upper Bollinger Band support a short-term bearish outlook. A "SELL" signal near 3,333.280 further reinforces this.
- **Entry:** Sell at or near the current price of **3,333.105**, ideally on confirmation of rejection (e.g., a bearish candlestick closing below this level).
- **Take Profit (TP):** Set at **3,240.424**, the first support level, as it is a significant level where the price may find buyers.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Set above the next resistance at **3,360.000** to protect against an upside breakout, ensuring the trade is protected if the price breaks higher.
- **Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Distance to TP: 3,333.105 - 3,240.424 = **92.681**
- Distance to SL: 3,360.000 - 3,333.105 = **26.895**
- Ratio: 92.681 / 26.895 ≈ **3.44** (favorable, indicating a good risk-reward setup).
##### 2. Bullish Scenario
- **Rationale:** If the price breaks above 3,333.105 with strong volume and closes above the upper Bollinger Band, it could signal a continuation toward 3,360.000. The upward-sloping MAs suggest a potential longer-term bullish bias, and a "BUY" signal at 3,333.540 supports this if triggered.
- **Entry:** Buy above **3,333.105**, ideally on a breakout with confirmation (e.g., higher volume or a bullish candlestick).
- **Take Profit (TP):** Set at **3,360.000**, the next resistance level.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Set below the recent support at **3,240.424**, or more conservatively below **3,300** to account for potential pullbacks.
- **Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Distance to TP: 3,360.000 - 3,335 ≈ **25** (assuming entry at 3,335 for breakout).
- Distance to SL: 3,335 - 3,240.424 ≈ **94.576**
- Ratio: 25 / 94.576 ≈ **0.26** (not favorable, indicating high risk relative to reward).
Given the unfavorable risk-reward ratio for the bullish trade, this scenario is less attractive unless there is strong confirmation of a breakout.
##### 3. Range-Bound Strategy
- **Rationale:** The market is consolidating between **3,163.229** and **3,360.000**, with the price oscillating within this range. This suggests a range-trading strategy could be effective, buying near support and selling near resistance.
- **Buy Entry:** Near support at **3,240.424**, with TP at **3,333.105** and SL below **3,163.229**.
- Risk-Reward Ratio: (3,333.105 - 3,240.424) / (3,240.424 - 3,163.229) ≈ 92.681 / 77.195 ≈ **1.20** (acceptable).
- **Sell Entry:** Near resistance at **3,333.105**, with TP at **3,240.424** and SL above **3,360.000**.
- Risk-Reward Ratio: (3,333.105 - 3,240.424) / (3,360.000 - 3,333.105) ≈ 92.681 / 26.895 ≈ **3.44** (very favorable).
The range-bound strategy is viable, but given the current price is at resistance, the sell entry has a better risk-reward ratio.
#### Evaluation and Final Recommendation
- The current price is at **3,333.105**, which is the resistance level, and there are signs of potential rejection (double top, bearish MA crossover, overbought Bollinger Bands).
- A "SELL" signal is present near 3,333.280, slightly above the current price, supporting a bearish outlook.
- The overall trend is sideways to slightly bearish in the short term, and the bearish trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of 3.44.
- The bullish trade has an unfavorable risk-reward ratio, and the range-bound sell entry aligns with the current market conditions.
Therefore, the most likely and favorable scenario is the **bearish trade**. The recommendation is as follows:
- **Direction:** Sell
- **Entry:** Around **3,333.105** (current price), or on confirmation of rejection (e.g., a bearish candlestick closing below this level).
- **Take Profit (TP):** **3,240.424**
- **Stop Loss (SL):** **3,360.000**
#### Additional Considerations
- This trade is based on the 4H time frame, suitable for holding over several hours to a few days, depending on market movement.
- Always supplement this technical analysis with real-time data and consider broader market conditions, such as economic news or geopolitical events, which could impact gold prices. For example, central bank announcements or inflation data could influence XAUUSD movements, but these are not reflected in the chart.
- The analysis includes a "DC 20 0" label, which may refer to a custom indicator, but without further context, it was not used in the decision-making process.
#### Summary Table
Below is a summary of the recommended trade and key levels for quick reference:
| **Trade Direction** | **Entry Price** | **Take Profit (TP)** | **Stop Loss (SL)** | **Risk-Reward Ratio** |
|---------------------|----------------|---------------------|-------------------|-----------------------|
| Sell | 3,333.105 | 3,240.424 | 3,360.000 | ~3.44 |
This table encapsulates the core recommendation, ensuring clarity for implementation.
XAU/USD (1H Timeframe)Current Price:$3,334.96 (down by -0.65%
Key Observations:
1. Trendline Support:
The red upward trendline is acting as strong dynamic support.
Price is currently testing this trendline.
2. Horizontal Demand Zone:
The pink shaded area ($3,320–$3,330) is a major support zone where price previously bounced.
This zone is crucial — a break below could signal bearish continuation.
3. Moving Average:
Price is currently below the blue moving average, showing short-term bearish momentum.
4. Structure:
If the price closes below $3,330, it would break both the trendline and horizontal support — confirming a break of structure.
Key downside targets: $3,312.80, $3,289.88, and $3,282.26.
Possible Trading Ideas:
Bullish Scenario:
If price respects the trendline and the support zone holds, consider a long entry.
Target: $3,342.37 and above.
Stop loss: Below $3,320 zone.
Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $3,330 and closes below the support zone, a short setup is valid.
Targets: $3,312, $3,290, then $3,282.
Stop loss: Above $3,335.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bullish Breakout – Targeting $116K Using MMCBitcoin has printed one of the most powerful continuation setups in technical analysis — a Bullish Pennant — and it's playing out beautifully, backed by Mirror Market Concepts (MMC). Let's break down the structure, the reasoning behind this move, and how smart money could be driving this price action.
📈 1. Market Context – The Impulsive Rally That Set the Stage
The first thing to notice is the strong bullish move that occurred before the pennant started forming. This rally is important because a Bullish Pennant is a continuation pattern, and without a strong preceding trend, the pattern loses its credibility.
This initial move acts as the “pole” of the pennant — a clean, impulsive leg upward, driven by demand and momentum.
Such moves are often the result of strong buying from institutions, retail FOMO, or positive macroeconomic catalysts.
🧠 Psychology Insight: The rally injects confidence into the market. Buyers who missed the move now wait for a pullback, while early buyers prepare to scale in on continuation.
🔺 2. Bullish Pennant Structure – The Calm Before the Next Storm
After the bullish pole, the price enters a tight consolidation phase, forming a symmetrical triangle:
Lower highs and higher lows compress price into a pennant shape.
Volume usually declines during this phase, showing that the market is resting, not reversing.
The market is essentially "charging up" for the next big move.
💡 Why This Matters: The Pennant shows temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. A breakout typically signals which side wins — and in this case, buyers have taken control.
🪞 3. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) – The Secret Weapon
This chart also showcases the power of MMC (Mirror Market Concepts), a strategy based on the idea that the market tends to reflect its previous behavior, structure, and reactions.
Here’s how MMC applies:
The price broke out of the pennant, then came back to retest the breakout area, just like it did during the previous breakout from the consolidation zone.
The Mini SR – Interchange zone acted as resistance before, and now it’s acting as support — a classic Support/Resistance flip (SR flip).
The retest behavior mirrors the earlier breakout structure, offering a confirmation that the market is following a familiar rhythm.
📊 Trading Logic: When a market behaves similarly at two different points in time, it’s often a signal of institutional activity — "smart money" repeating proven entry points and exits.
🔁 4. Retesting – The Entry Opportunity for Smart Traders
After the breakout from the pennant, price didn’t just shoot up — it pulled back to retest the broken structure. This is a high-conviction setup in technical trading:
✅ Retest confirms the breakout was valid (not a fakeout).
✅ It provides a safe entry point for traders who missed the initial impulse.
✅ Volume and bullish candle structure post-retest indicate buyer interest.
📌 The Mini SR – Interchange zone, around $106,631.69, acted as the perfect launchpad for the next bullish leg.
🎯 5. Trade Setup – High R:R Swing Opportunity
Let’s look at the exact setup this chart offers:
Entry: After the breakout and retest near $107K–$108K
Stop Loss (SL): Below the support zone at $106,631.69
Target (TP): At $116,105.65 — derived by projecting the height of the pole from the breakout zone
This gives an excellent reward-to-risk ratio, a key principle in sustainable trading.
🧠 6. Psychological Fuel – Why This Move Has Legs
Traders who missed the earlier rally are now watching closely for entries.
Retail traders are seeing confirmation.
Institutions may already be in from lower levels and are now defending support zones.
Sentiment is bullish post-retest, increasing volume and momentum.
It’s a self-fulfilling prophecy: as more traders recognize the pattern and the confluence, the trade becomes even more likely to play out.
🗓️ 7. What to Watch Next – Smart Risk Management
Even though the pattern looks strong, smart traders always remain cautious:
✅ Move SL to breakeven once price moves halfway toward the target.
🔄 Consider taking partial profits near interim resistance zones (like $112K).
📆 Stay alert for economic events or Bitcoin news that could cause sudden volatility.
📘 Conclusion: Bullish Setup with Proven Structure and MMC Confirmation
This BTC/USD chart is a textbook example of a Bullish Pennant breakout, with added strength from Mirror Market Concepts and a clean SR Flip retest. For swing traders and price action lovers, this setup offers a structured, strategic, and smart opportunity to ride the next wave of Bitcoin momentum.
BULLISH GOLD BIAS FOR THE WEEKGOLD (XAUUSD) Long Bias Trade Idea
Timeframe:
Weekly Structure | 4HR Execution
Market Context:
Gold is approaching a Weekly Bullish Order Block (OB), presenting a high-probability reaccumulation zone. Price is expected to respect this demand zone as support before targeting premium-side liquidity at old highs.
This move aligns with a weekly bullish market structure continuation, where price revisits a prior demand area before seeking liquidity higher.
Entry Zone:
🟢 Buy Zone: $3,020 – $3,010
This range represents the Weekly Bullish Order Block.
Ideally wait for bullish confirmation on the 1HR or 4HR (e.g., FVG fill, BOS/MSH, displacement candle, etc.)
Take Profits (Targeting Liquidity + Imbalance):
TP1 – $3,430
🎯 Old swing high / external liquidity above recent premium structure.
TP2 – $3,500
🎯 Clean buy-side liquidity pool + probable algo target + extended premium inefficiency fill.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below $3,000
🔒 Beneath the Weekly OB low and structural invalidation point.
Risk-to-Reward:
Minimum 1:4 RRR to TP1, significantly higher to TP2.
Confluences:
Price returning to a Weekly Bullish OB in discount.
Previous structure shows liquidity sweep + bullish continuation.
Clear buy-side liquidity and inefficiency targets above.
Potential equal highs forming magnet above TP1 and TP2 zones.
Execution Tips:
Monitor 4HR/1HR for:
Bullish breaker block reaction
Displacement + FVG formation
Internal liquidity sweep followed by bullish BOS
Consider scaling in with multiple entries inside the zone.
Secure partial profits at TP1, trail the rest to TP2 using structural pivots.
BIGTIME/USDT Analysis (1H Timeframe)Price has successfully broken the descending trendline, signaling a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The market is now testing a key supply zone around $0.07450 – $0.07550.
Trend Shift: A bullish breakout from the downtrend line indicates buyers are gaining control.
Support: Previous resistance near $0.07370 may now act as strong support on any pullback.
Resistance: Price is currently at resistance; if broken, next key zones are around $0.07650 and $0.07850.
Bias: Bullish, as long as price holds above the broken trendline and EMA. However, short-term rejection from current resistance is possible before continuation.
SOL/USDT Analysis (1H Timeframe)
Solana has shown a strong bullish reversal from the support zone around $170, forming a parabolic curve pattern, which often indicates strong bullish momentum.
Trend: Bullish, with steep upward movement and consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Support: The breakout level near $176.65 can act as a new support if price pulls back.
Immediate Resistance: Price is currently testing the $177.67 – $179.93 supply zone. A breakout above this could push SOL towards the next resistance at $180.47, and eventually towards the $186 – $188 zone.
Bias: Bullish continuation is likely if the current resistance is broken with volume. However, temporary rejection or consolidation is also possible here.
BTC/USDT Analysis (1H Timeframe)BTC/USDT Analysis (1H Timeframe)
Bitcoin has broken above a key resistance zone around $109,462, showing strong bullish momentum. The price has now entered a higher resistance area near $110,350 – $110,464.
Trend: Short-term bullish, as seen by the strong impulsive move and price staying above the EMA line.
Support: The previously broken resistance at $109,462 could now act as support if retested.
Resistance: The current zone between $110,350 – $110,464 is acting as resistance. If this zone is cleared, the next target could be $111,217.
Bias: Bullish continuation is likely if price sustains above $110,350. However, rejection from this resistance could lead to a minor pullback toward $109,462.
GBPJPYHello everyone,
Today’s first trade signal comes from GBPJPY. I’ve set three different target levels for this trade. Feel free to close the position at any of these levels depending on your strategy.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1 / 1:1.50 / 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 193.838
✔️ Take Profit: 194.018
✔️ Stop Loss: 193.658
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Nuke, baby nuke: Nuclear Revival in USA?☢️ Nuke, baby nuke: Can Europe Follow the U.S. Nuclear Revival?
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Nuclear energy is back in the spotlight. This week, former President Donald Trump signed four executive orders aimed at reviving the nuclear industry in the United States. Among the measures are plans to build 10 mega-reactors by 2030, boost domestic uranium production, and overhaul the regulatory processes of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), which he accuses of stifling innovation with excessive bureaucracy.
The U.S. Hits the Nuclear Accelerator
The plan also aims to quadruple the country’s nuclear capacity by 2050, an ambitious goal that has sparked a wave of optimism across the sector. Startups developing modular and advanced nuclear reactor technologies — such as Oklo (OKLO), NuScale (SMR), and Centrus Energy (LEU) — have seen their share prices soar. The same applies to Cameco (CCJ), one of the world’s largest uranium producers. Meanwhile, major players like Constellation Energy (CEG) and Dominion Energy (D) have also recorded gains, albeit more moderate ones.
Financial Snapshot: Who's Leading the Nuclear Comeback?
Oklo Inc. (NYSE: OKLO)
• Recently went public in 2024, backed by Sam Altman.
• Still no significant operational revenues but enjoys strong venture capital support.
• Shares ↑ +45% since Trump’s announcement.
• Technical Analysis: The company’s stock is trending back toward its high of $59.14, closing Friday at $48.87 after jumping nearly $8 in a bullish gap. Currently, the stock is highly overbought with an RSI of 80.22%, suggesting a potential correction toward the $27.07–$15.48 range. The control point lies near $22.58. Friday’s close aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level, indicating possible retracement. However, moving average crossovers still signal bullish continuation.
Cameco Corp. (NYSE: CCJ)
• 2023 Revenue: CA$2.6 billion, +39% YoY.
• Net income: CA$361 million, driven by high uranium prices.
• Shares ↑ +28% in 12 months, reflecting nuclear cycle recovery.
• Technical Analysis: Trading at $58.69, heading toward the $62.55 high. The previous trading range was $35.46–$48.44, with the control point at $41.04. RSI is in overbought territory at 79.71%, and price is above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a possible pullback.
Constellation Energy (NASDAQ: CEG)
• 2023 Revenue: $24.5 billion, with stable growth.
• Adjusted EBITDA: $4.2 billion.
• Share buybacks and strong financials post-Exelon spin-off.
• Shares ↑ +16% YTD.
• Technical Analysis: Currently in a $155.60–$238.40 range, with a control point at $266.93. Friday’s close at $297.49 puts it closer to the January high of $352. RSI stands at 71.16%, indicating possible upward continuation. Moving averages support a bullish breakout.
Dominion Energy (NYSE: D)
• 2023 Revenue: $14.8 billion, flat YoY.
• Ongoing strategic restructuring with focus on nuclear and renewables.
• Shares ↑ +5% YTD, though challenged by debt and regulatory transition.
• Technical Analysis: Closed Friday at $56.29, within a $48.78–$58.78 range. Peaked at $61.97 in November, then dropped to $46.56 in early April. A recent bullish moving average crossover suggests a potential rally to the upper channel. RSI is at 56.82%, indicating a stable trading zone with room to move higher.
What About Europe?
The Old Continent is watching closely. While countries like France remain committed to nuclear — with EDF planning new EPR reactors — the European Union lacks a unified strategy, caught between Germany’s push for renewables and France’s defense of nuclear energy.
However, soaring energy demand — driven by transport electrification, digitalization, and AI — could force EU nations to reassess their stance. The potential of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) — quicker to build and with a smaller footprint — could be key to unlocking political consensus.
Which European Companies Could Benefit?
• EDF (France): The nuclear powerhouse of Europe.
• Siemens Energy (Germany): While focused on renewables, it's involved in SMR-related automation and control systems.
• Rolls-Royce (UK): Developing its own modular reactor line.
• Orano (France): A key player in the nuclear fuel cycle, from mining to recycling.
Conclusion: Europe Faces a Global Nuclear Crossroads
The U.S. push toward a new nuclear era — faster, tech-driven, and energy-secure — signals a paradigm shift that Europe cannot afford to ignore. In the face of mounting pressure to ensure a stable, clean, and sovereign energy supply, nuclear — particularly in modular form — is emerging as a highly strategic option.
While Washington accelerates with political support, public funding, and buoyant stock markets, Europe still struggles with a lack of consensus that could translate into medium-term energy competitiveness risks.
The opportunity? Strengthen cross-border cooperation, channel investment into SMR development, and back key players like EDF, Rolls-Royce, and Orano already poised to lead Europe’s nuclear transition.
If the continent wants to keep pace with the unfolding energy revolution, the time to act is now — because this nuclear renaissance won’t be about mega-reactors. It will be compact, agile… and global.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown & MMC🧠 2. Introduction to Mirror Market Concepts (MMC):
MMC, or Mirror Market Concepts, is a powerful technique that views price action as symmetrical or repetitive in nature. In this scenario, we notice that the right side of the chart mirrors the left — suggesting that after this bullish climb, the market might repeat its earlier bearish behavior but in a reflected pattern.
This adds confluence to our bearish outlook and makes the forecast more robust.
🔺 3. Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Reversal Signal:
The most critical part of this analysis is the formation of a Rising Wedge — a classic reversal pattern. Let’s break down what it means:
Structure: The wedge is formed by two upward-sloping trendlines converging at the top.
Volume Behavior: Volume typically decreases as the wedge matures, showing that bulls are losing strength.
Psychology: Buyers keep pushing the price higher, but each move has less momentum than the last. Sellers are quietly preparing for a breakdown.
The moment price breaks below the wedge’s lower trendline, it usually triggers panic selling or aggressive short entries.
🔄 4. Key Price Levels & Zones:
Minor Resistance Zone: Price rejected near a historical resistance area, showing sellers are still active.
Previous Target Zone: This area acted as a ceiling before the rejection — important for reversal confirmation.
SR Interchange Zone: A classic zone where support becomes resistance — this adds strong confluence to the reversal idea.
🎯 Bearish Trade Plan & Take-Profit Levels:
Once the wedge breaks down, the projected move is based on measured moves and prior support levels. Here’s the breakdown:
✅ TP1 (Take Profit 1): 3,275.30 – This is the first key support level right after the wedge breakdown. Ideal for partial profits.
✅ TP2: 3,205.64 – Previous support zone from earlier consolidation. High probability target.
✅ TP3: 3,169.18 – A more extended target that aligns with historical price memory and full wedge depth.
Each TP level is supported by historical price structure and previous volume clusters.
⚠️ Risk Factors & Trade Management:
While this setup looks strong, always consider:
False Breakouts : Wedges can fake out traders. Wait for candle close confirmation below the wedge.
News Events : Macroeconomic announcements (especially U.S. dollar data) can reverse technical setups.
Risk-to-Reward: Don’t enter without calculating your stop loss above the wedge and aiming for at least a 1:2 ratio.
🧠 Conclusion – What This Setup Tells Us:
This chart is a perfect blend of price action + market symmetry (MMC). The rising wedge signals that bulls are running out of steam, while MMC suggests a mirrored decline could follow.
If price action confirms the breakdown with momentum and volume, this could be a high-probability short setup for swing traders and intraday players alike.
SUSDT🔹 Market Structure Overview:
Ascending Trendline Support:
Price continues to respect an ascending support trendline (white and blue), creating a series of higher lows — a bullish structural sign. This trendline has acted as a launchpad multiple times and currently supports price around $0.46.
Break of Structure (BOS):
A bullish BOS has occurred above local highs, indicating smart money interest and a potential shift in market direction. This BOS is a critical reference for validating bullish continuation.
Key Demand Zone:
The $0.38 area (green line and orange box) is a strong demand level, previously used as a reaction point. This level aligns with trendline confluence and will be crucial for maintaining upward momentum.
Liquidity Events:
Multiple liquidity sweeps (highlighted with orange circles) show classic signs of stop hunts below previous lows and highs — behavior often linked with institutional accumulation.
🔸 Upside Targets:
Target 1: $0.88 – $1.05
A well-defined supply zone from previous distribution, likely to act as a magnet if bullish pressure continues.
Target 2: $2.80 – $3.40
A larger macro imbalance zone, likely to be targeted in a stronger trend expansion phase. This would require sustained bullish structure and volume.
🧠 Conclusion:
The chart presents a well-structured bullish scenario underpinned by SMC principles. As long as the trendline and $0.38 demand zone hold, bulls are in control. A confirmed breakout above $0.60 would open the path to higher targets, while a break below $0.38 would invalidate the setup and shift the bias bearish.
Pi Network Price Prediction DAY Chart BUY AnalysisThe Pi Network (PI/USDT) is attracting increased attention from crypto traders and long-term investors alike, with growing speculation about its future price potential.
Based on the current technical chart dated May 26, 2025, several critical insights and projections can be drawn for those considering investment in this digital asset.
This analysis reflects personal views and does not constitute financial advice.
At the time of analysis, PI/USDT is trading at **$0.7812**, with visible consolidation just above the key support zone.
The chart displays three major **Take Profit (TP)** targets, reflecting potential bullish momentum in the medium to long term:
TP1: $1.0000
TP2: $1.6700
TP3: $3.0000
BTC LongVolume Spread Analysis indicates that selling pressure has diminished, showing signs of a lack of interest in further selling. Meanwhile, the ICT Drive Pattern reveals multiple failed attempts by demand to push prices higher. However, on the fourth attempt, a bullish confirmation appears through MSS/CHoCH, suggesting potential upward momentum.