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XAU/USD - Overwhelming Buying Power - ATH 3100?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: 👉 Gold prices surged to a new all-time high above $3,070 during Asian trading on Friday as escalating global trade tensions, uncertainty over Trump's reciprocal tariffs, and risk-off sentiment continued to drive safe-haven demand. Expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon resume its rate-cutting cycle further supported bullion. 👉 Despite recent economic data indicating the U.S. economy remains strong, concerns over tariffs overshadowed optimism, leading to a decline in the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields while pushing gold prices higher. Personal opinion: 👉 Gold continued to rally strongly during the Asian session. Currently, buyers are taking profits and there is a possibility that prices will decline. 👉RSI entered the overbought zone and showed signs of divergence, further increasing this possibility. Therefore, waiting for prices to decline and buying at a profit is a positive decision. Limit selling at this time because it is very risky. The target of 3100 is not far away and will be achieved soon in the near future. 👉 Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy. Resistance zone: 3078 - 3100 Support zone: 3047 - 3060 Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 3059- 3062 ( Scalping) ❌SL: 3054 | ✅TP: 3067 - 3075 - 3082 👉Buy Gold 3045- 3047 ❌SL: 3040 | ✅TP: 3052 - 3057 - 3065 👉Sell Gold 3100 - 3097 ❌SL: 3104 | ✅TP: 3094 – 3088 – 3080 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
Elliott Wave | Final Bullish Push Before the Big Drop? | (C) of MEXC:SOLUSDT 🔵 Elliott Wave Setup | Complete structure - Final move incoming? The current wave structure suggests we're approaching the end of the corrective (B) wave. Price is now testing the 78.6%–88.7% Fibonacci support zone, which is a typical launch area for a bullish (C) wave. ➡️ My Outlook: - (B) correction is nearly completed at the key Fibonacci support. - Expecting a bullish move up into the 78.6%-88.7% target box to complete wave (C) of (b). - After that, a strong bearish move is likely towards the "End of the bear" zone. ➡️ Trading Idea: 1️⃣ Long entry within the 78.6% – 88.7% retracement support. 2️⃣ Target: Red box area (potential top of wave (C) of (b)). 3️⃣ Prepare for a short setup after confirmation of reversal from that zone. ‼️ Risk Note: - If the price breaks below the 88.7% level, the setup becomes invalid. - Always use proper risk management and wait for confirmation. 💬 What do you think? Is wave (B) already complete or are we getting one more push? #ElliottWave #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #Crypto #Forex #Trading
Long
by ElliotXSolana
GOLD NEXT MOVESpelling Mistakes: "SOPPRT" should be "SUPPORT." Lack of Bearish Scenario: The chart assumes an upward movement, but what happens if price fails to hold the support zones? Volume Analysis Missing: Volume is shown, but its role in confirming trends is unclear. A breakout with high volume would be more reliable. 2. Alternative Perspective Possible Fakeout: The price may not break resistance and could retrace. Stronger Rejection?: The price might struggle at the resistance zone rather than pushing through easily.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Plan + Daily Sniper Setup (W1 → M15)🟨 WEEKLY (W1) ✅ Bullish structure (HHs & HLs) 🔓 Broke ATH → price discovery mode 🎯 Targets: 3,120 / 3,180 / 3,250 🟩 Key demand: 2,985–2,950 📅 DAILY (D1) 🔼 Breakout above 3,049 confirmed 🕳️ FVG forming between 3,049–3,083 📈 No bearish signs while above 3,049 💡 EMA structure supports momentum 🕓 H4 ✅ Clean breakout from consolidation 🟩 Demand zones: 3,049 (Flip zone) 3,000.65 (HTF OB) 📈 Trend in expansion phase 🕐 H1 📦 Broke range between 3,000–3,049 🔲 OB + liquidity grab confirmed support 🎯 Targeting 3,100 / 3,120 🕧 M30 & M15 (Precision Zones) 🔹 Entry 1: 3,083–3,085 (FVG + OB zone) 🔹 Entry 2: 3,073–3,076 (Unmitigated demand) ✅ Validate entries via M1/M5 CHoCH + bullish PA 🔫 DAILY SNIPER PLAN ✅ Buy Setup (High Probability) Entry: 3,083–3,085 or 3,073–3,076 Trigger: M1–M5 CHoCH or bullish engulfing SL: Below 3,070 TP1: 3,100 TP2: 3,120 TP3: 3,150 🔥 HTF trend + fresh liquidity = high-RR long opportunity. 🟥 Sell Setup (Countertrend Idea) Entry: 3,118–3,121 (liquidity hunt zone) Trigger: Bearish M5/M15 CHoCH + LQ sweep SL: Above 3,125 TP1: 3,100 TP2: 3,085 TP3: 3,050 ⚠️ Use only if price shows exhaustion + structure break. ✅ Recap: Focus remains on buy-the-dip as long as price holds above 3,049. Bearish setups = scalp/reversal only if smart money shifts short-term flow.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H1 Trading Plan (Intraday Precision)Bias: 📈 Bullish Current Price: ~$3,096 Context: Clean breakout from H1 range → intraday expansion phase in play. 📊 1. Structure & Market Phases Price consolidated in a tight range (highlighted in blue) for ~1 week, between ~3,000 and ~3,049. Recent breakout above range → confirming bullish continuation. Minor HLs forming → micro structure remains clean. 🧠 2. Smart Money Concepts 🔲 Old OB / Demand Zone: Gray zone = area of prior breakout (ideal re-entry on pullbacks). 🧊 Range high (~3,049.57) = now acting as support (flip zone). 🧠 FVG might exist in the 3,060–3,080 range on lower TFs → potential internal mitigation. 📌 3. Key H1 Levels 🔝 Upside: 🔸 3,120.14 – Major upside target (aligned with HTF) 🔸 Next target levels depend on PA around psychological levels (e.g., 3,100, 3,150) 🟦 Support Zones: ✅ 3,049.57 – Previous range high ✅ 3,000.66 – Base of accumulation block ✅ 2,983–2,975 – Internal mitigation zones ✅ 2,899.69 – Major invalidation point (HTF OB) 📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H1 Execution Focus) ✅ Scenario A: Breakout Continuation Price stays above 3,049–3,060 → bullish continuation likely. 🎯 Target: 3,100 / 3,120 intraday Look for bullish BOS or FVG entries on pullbacks (M15/M5 timing ideal) 🔁 Scenario B: Pullback into Demand Retracement back to 3,049 / 3,030 / 3,000 zone 🔁 Entry on bullish reaction from prior range top Great RR setups for continuation longs 🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Likely) Break below 2,975 could lead to: 🔻 Deeper move into OB around 2,960 / 2,899 Would shift intraday bias from bullish to neutral 🧭 Summary 1H is in a breakout phase – ideal moment to hunt continuation trades. Pullbacks into previous range top or base are high-probability re-entry zones. Bias remains strongly bullish unless structure below 2,975 is broken.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H4 Trading Plan (Intraday Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Continuation) Current Price: ~$3,093 Context: Price is accelerating after breaking key resistance, maintaining bullish structure. 🧠 1. Market Structure (H4) Structure remains bullish, with well-defined HH & HL. Recent consolidation block (OB + FVG): price broke out cleanly and is now expanding. Short-term trend leg is steep → potential for shallow intraday pullbacks. 📌 2. Key Levels from Your Chart 🔝 Upside Target 3,120.14 – Major H4 resistance / next liquidity zone 🟦 Intraday Support Zones 3,049.57 – recent H4 resistance, now flipped support (ideal for pullback entries) 3,000.65 – clean structure zone, possible FVG fill 2,977.64 – origin of last impulse 2,960.27 / 2,899.69 – deeper HTF demand / OB zones 🔍 3. Order Blocks & Liquidity 🔲 OB zone breakout (highlighted gray area) → now acting as demand 💧Buy-side liquidity rests above 3,120 Any retracement into 3,049 / 3,000 could be used by Smart Money for re-entry longs 📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H4) ✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation Price holds above 3,049 → intraday continuation toward: 🎯 3,120 🎯 Potential extension: 3,150+ 📌 Ideal setup: bullish engulfing or BOS + FVG entry on pullback to 3,049 zone 🔁 Scenario B: Pullback Before Continuation Rejection near 3,100–3,120 leads to pullback toward: 🔁 3,049 🔁 3,000 (FVG / previous OB) Monitor price action at those levels for continuation entries. 🟥 Scenario C: Bearish Shift (Low Probability for Now) Break below 2,960 with strong bearish momentum → opens door toward: 🔻 2,899 This would invalidate current bullish short-term structure. 🧭 Summary Trend is strong, momentum is clean → only looking for buy setups on dips. Watch for continuation above 3,049 and especially reactive price action near 3,120. If pullback occurs, 3,000 zone is prime location for re-entry longs.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan (1D Outlook)🔍 1. Structure & Price Action Price broke out aggressively from previous consolidation (~2960–3000). Current impulse leg is strong, with very shallow pullbacks – trending conditions. Daily candles show sustained buying pressure, minimal upper wicks → buyers in control. 📏 2. Key Levels (from your chart) 📌 Upside Targets: 🔸 3,120.14 – potential resistance / short-term TP 🔸 3,180.72 – extended upside target if momentum holds 🟩 Support Zones: ✅ 3,049.38 – minor intraday support ✅ 3,000.66 – recent breakout retest zone ✅ 2,960.77 – clean demand zone / OB zone ✅ 2,899.69 – last major demand / strong structure support 🧠 3. SMC & Liquidity Insights Buy-side liquidity has been cleared → clean runway toward psychological zones (3100–3200). FVG may exist between recent candles → shallow retracement into 3049 / 3000 possible. No active bearish OBs above → price remains in price discovery mode. 📅 4. Daily Trade Scenarios ✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation Hold above 3,049–3,060 → continuation toward: 🎯 3,120 🎯 3,180+ Look for strong H4 bullish candles on retest of minor support. ⚠️ Scenario B: Pullback to Demand Reject from 3,100+ and drop toward: 🔁 3,000 (retest previous high) 🔁 2,960 (key OB / FVG zone) Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing, break of structure) for re-entry long. 🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Probable) Break below 2,899 could shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish. 🧭 Summary XAUUSD is in a strong trending phase with no major resistance above. Pullbacks into 3,049 / 3,000 / 2,960 are ideal areas to look for continuation longs. Focus remains on buy-the-dip setups as long as price holds above 2,899.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
SOFI at Reversal Zone! Will Bulls Defend This Level or Below 11?🔍 Market Structure & Smart Money Concepts (SMC): * Current Structure: SOFI is in a clean downtrend channel with consecutive CHoCHs and a recent Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. * Price has consolidated into a red SMC Reversal Zone, just below the prior CHoCH level, signaling potential short-term relief or further breakdown. * Bulls have failed to reclaim control post-CHoCH from March 26–27. Lower highs and aggressive sell-offs dominate. 📉 Technical Indicator Summary: * MACD: Currently flat but slightly converging—no strong bullish momentum yet. * Stoch RSI: Resetting from oversold, but not giving a decisive bullish reversal yet. Caution warranted for early longs. * Trendlines: Price is pressing against a lower trendline, and any break below ~$11.70 could accelerate toward the $11.00 level or lower. 🔧 Support & Resistance: * Resistance: * $12.34: Structure high and minor supply. * $13.89: Former CHoCH and Gamma Call Resistance. * Support: * $11.70: Current demand/put wall zone. * $11.00: Second major PUT Wall and psychological round number. * $10.85: Fib confluence / key GEX support. 💥 Options & GEX Analysis (from GEX + Options Oscillator): * IVR: 56.6 (elevated, signaling potential high options premium) * IVx Avg: 102.2 — suggests volatility pricing is very high * Options Sentiment: * CALLs: 26.1% * GEX: 🔴🔴🔴 (Bearish Gamma setup) * Put Walls: * $12.00: Highest negative NET GEX (key support!) * $11.00: 2nd Put Wall (danger zone if breached) * Call Resistance: * $13.00–$13.89: Gamma Wall, strong selling pressure zone * Bias: Bearish-to-neutral until bulls reclaim $12.34 or break above descending trendline. 📊 Trade Setups (For Educational Purposes Only): 🔴 Bearish Continuation: * Entry: Below $11.70 * Target: $11.00 → $10.85 * Stop-loss: Above $12.00 🟢 Bullish Reversal Setup (Speculative): * Entry: On reclaim of $12.34 with volume * Target: $13.00 → $13.89 * Stop-loss: Below $11.70 🔮 Outlook Summary: SOFI is trading inside a tight bearish channel near key GEX support. Unless bulls reclaim $12.34 or show aggressive demand near $11.70, the trend favors bears. Keep an eye on GEX and IVR behavior into April 4 OPEX. 🛑 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:SOFI
by BullBearInsights
XAUUSD Weekly Trading Plan (W1 Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Momentum) Structure: Higher Highs / Higher Lows (Weekly) Current Price: ~$3,084 Market Phase: Price Discovery / Momentum Phase 🔍 1. Weekly Market Structure Clear bullish structure with strong continuation. Recent Higher Low (HL): ~1985–2000 zone. Current Weekly Candle: Strong bullish with little to no upper wick → sign of aggressive buying. 🧠 2. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) ✅ Liquidity Grab: Buy-side liquidity above 2080–2150 has been swept → cleared space for new highs. 📏 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Estimated FVG between 3000 – 3080, possible retest area. 🧱 Valid Bullish OBs: Below, around 1985–2000 (HL origin). ⛔ No resistance above – price is now in price discovery mode. 📊 3. EMA Alignment (Estimated) EMA 5/21/50/200 are all bullishly stacked. Price is significantly extended above EMA 21 → potential for short-term pullback. Trend remains intact and strong. 🧱 4. Key Zones (Weekly) Support Zones: 3000 – 2960 → recent impulse base. 2900 – 2880 → minor structure zone. 2080 – 2100 → breakout + consolidation area. No historical resistance above current levels. Watch for round number reactions (e.g. 3100, 3150, 3200). 🔢 5. Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low: ~1985 → High: ~3084) 0.382: ~2660 0.5: ~2535 0.618: ~2410 → These levels are relevant only if price enters deeper retracement later. 📅 6. Weekly Scenarios ✅ Bullish Continuation (Main Bias) Hold above 3000 → target extensions toward: 🎯 3120 / 3180 / 3250+ Strong momentum candle suggests interest remains to the upside. ⚠️ Pullback Scenario Rejection from 3085 area → potential drop toward: 3000 (minor FVG fill) 2960–2900 (stronger structure + potential re-entry area) Bullish bias remains intact unless we break below 2900 weekly close. 🧭 Summary XAUUSD is in price discovery after sweeping key liquidity. Momentum is strong, but price is overextended → short-term pullbacks are healthy. All signs point toward higher targets unless major structure breaks.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
PLTR Showing Weakness Near Key Support: Rebound or Breakdown?🔍 Market Structure & Price Action (1H) * Trend: Bearish structure confirmed. PLTR has broken previous bullish BOS (Break of Structure) and is forming lower highs and lower lows. * Current Zone: Price is consolidating in a tight red Reversal Zone near ~$84.50, showing buyer hesitation. * Descending Channel: PLTR is respecting a well-defined descending wedge. A breakout above the upper trendline (around $86–87) is needed to confirm bullish momentum. * S/R Levels: * Immediate Resistance: $86.50–87.00 * Key Support: $84.00, then strong structure at $80.00. 📈 Indicators * MACD: Momentum is flat, histogram bars weakening—indecision or early sign of reversal. * Stoch RSI: Curving upward from the oversold region, potential short-term bounce if volume confirms. 🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) * CHoCH (Change of Character): Bearish CHoCH already occurred, confirming shift in bias. * BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS reinforce downward trend. * Liquidity Sweep: Price hovering near potential liquidity zones (below $84), suggesting big players might be hunting stops before reversal or breakdown. 📊 Options GEX + Sentiment (Options GEX ) * IVR: 68.2 (relatively elevated, implies decent premium selling opportunities) * IVx avg: 90.7, shows heightened volatility priced in. * Call$/Put$ Flow: * Calls: 31.6% * GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴 (3 Red Dots = Bearish) * Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Highest negative GEX zone (PUT wall support): $80.00 → strong magnet if breakdown continues. * Moderate Put wall: $84.00 * Strongest Call Resistance / Gamma Wall: $92.00–$98.00 (above the descending channel) * HVL: $85.83 → Heavy volume level, confluence zone for key decisions. ⚔️ Trade Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Reversal Scenario * Entry: Break above $86 with bullish volume * Target: $89 → $92 (short-term), then $98 if momentum builds * Stop-Loss: Below $83.50 * Options Play: Buy Calls 2–3 weeks out ATM ( FWB:85C or $87C) or credit put spreads around $80–$82 🔴 Bearish Breakdown Scenario * Entry: Break below $84 support with volume * Target: $82 → $80 (major GEX support) * Stop-Loss: Above $86 * Options Play: Buy Puts ( GETTEX:82P or $80P), or bear call spreads under $90 📌 Conclusion PLTR is at a make-or-break zone near strong support. If it holds $84 and breaks the trendline, a short-term relief rally toward $92–$98 is possible. However, if $84 gives way, the GEX-supported magnet at $80 could be the next stop. Watch volume and MACD crossover for early clues. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by BullBearInsights
AAPL Breaks Structure! Will the 215 Level Hold or Crack Further?🧠 Smart Money Technical Analysis (1H Chart) * Market Structure: AAPL recently broke its bullish trendline and confirmed CHoCH (Change of Character) twice, followed by a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the 1H timeframe. Price is now in a minor bearish trend. * Rejection Zone: Strong sell pressure came from the $225–$228 supply zone, which aligned with both CHoCH and BOS, acting as confirmation of distribution by smart money. * Current Price: ~$217.26
Price is hovering just above the red support zone (~$215) — a key level. A breakdown here would suggest acceleration of the bearish move. * Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover and momentum pushing down, though histogram is flattening — potential loss of downside momentum. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold, indicating a possible bounce, but not yet confirmed. 📊 Options GEX & Flow Analysis * GEX Map: * Gamma Resistance sits at $225–$228, aligned with Smart Money’s CHoCH zone. * GEX Walls: * 2nd CALL Wall: $227.5 (34.53%) * Highest NETGEX: $222.5 * 3rd CALL Wall: $230 (39.67%) * PUT Support Zones: * Strongest PUT Wall: $215 (-81.59%) * Next downside wall: $210 (-60.42%) * Extreme Support: $200 (-21.37%) * Options Oscillator: * IVR: 54.3 — moderately elevated. * IVx Avg: 38.4 * PUT$ Flow: 20% dominance, leaning bearish. * Sentiment Lights: 🔴🔴🟢 — Bearish Bias with Caution ⚔️ Scenarios & Trading Ideas 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability) * If $215 holds as support and MACD reverses: * Entry: Above $218.50 * Target 1: $222.5 (Gamma magnet) * Target 2: $225–$228 (Supply + GEX cluster) * Stop: Below $214.50 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Bias) * Break and close below $215 support opens downside: * Entry: Under $214.50 * Target 1: $210 (Put Wall) * Target 2: $205 / $200 (Deep put walls) * Stop: Above $218 🔍 Summary AAPL is currently sitting at a pivotal level ($215), with bearish momentum taking hold. If it loses this level, expect a slide toward $210 and possibly deeper. GEX positioning supports downside flow, while SMC shows supply zones were defended. Watch closely for any bounce or breakdown confirmation — this is a trader’s edge zone. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
NVDA at a Decision Point – Breakout or Breakdown?🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) * Market Structure & SMC:
NVDA has consistently respected a downward sloping parallel channel. We see multiple CHoCHs (Change of Character) and a recent Break of Structure (BOS), confirming a bearish trend continuation. Price failed to reclaim the mid-supply zone and is hugging the bottom channel support. * Supply/Resistance Zones: * Immediate Resistance: $110.69 (top of current rejection zone) * Mid Resistance: $114.47 * Strong Resistance: $122.25 (major supply zone) * Support Levels: * Immediate Support: $108.64 * Next Critical Support: $104.77 (marked as highest negative GEX / Put Wall support) * Indicators: * MACD: Momentum remains bearish with flat histogram bars. No bullish crossover yet. * Stoch RSI: Oversold but not curling up yet – no strong reversal signal here. * Volume: Slight uptick on recent sell-off, but not panic volume. 📊 Options Flow / GEX Sentiment (Right Chart) * GEX Analysis: * Negative GEX Cluster between $109–105, showing Put Dominance. * HVL Zone (High Volume Liquidity) near $112, suggesting a magnet zone if bulls recover. * Strong Call Wall at $118 and $122 — tough resistance ahead. * Max Put Support Zone at $104.77 – could act as a bounce point or trap. * Options Oscillator: * IVR: 24.5 – relatively low implied volatility rank. * IVx avg: 60.1 – moderate implied volatility. * CALLS only 5.4% – heavily skewed bearish sentiment. * Red GEX Bars – dominant Put positions hint at hedge-heavy downside pressure. 🧠 Trade Setups Scalp/Short-Term Setup * Bearish Bias unless NVDA reclaims $110.69 with volume. * 📉 Short Entry: Below $108.50
🎯 Target: $105.00 → $104.77
❌ Stop: $111.00 Reversal Play (Speculative) * Watch for bullish divergence or sharp reclaim of $112. * 📈 Long Entry: Above $112 (HVL reclaim)
🎯 Target: $114.50 → $118
❌ Stop: $108 🧨 Options Strategy Idea Bearish Vertical Spread (Short-Term) * Buy 110 Put / Sell 105 Put * Expiration: 1-2 weeks * Net debit: lower cost with defined risk * Thesis: NVDA fades toward $105 support Long Call Idea (Only if $112 flips with strength): * Buy 115 Call – 2 weeks out * Needs confirmation of reversal or gamma squeeze 🧭 Bias Summary * ✅ Directional Bias: Bearish until $112 is reclaimed * 📉 Price is within a bear channel, respecting structure * 🔴 Options sentiment confirms downside pressure * 🛑 Do not long blindly at support – wait for signs of strength ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Amazon (AMZN) is Entering a High-Probability Reversal Zone! 1. Market Structure & Price Action (1H Chart) * Trend: AMZN is currently in a short-term bearish trend after rejecting from the $207 supply zone. * CHoCH (Change of Character): The recent CHoCH around ~$198 confirms bearish control. * Price Range: Current price is consolidating in the $191–193 zone, a potential SMC Reversal Block. * Support Zone: $189–190 (FVG + previous demand and lowest Bid/Ask zone). * Resistance: $198.76 (prior CHoCH zone), then $202.5–207.5. 2. Indicators * MACD: Histogram flipping bullish with MACD line above the signal line — signaling early momentum. * Stoch RSI: Moving up from oversold, crossing bullish — momentum is building. 3. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Highlights * Reversal Zone (marked): Price has entered a key bullish mitigation zone where demand previously absorbed supply. * Internal Trendline Break: If price breaks above $195, it could trigger a BOS (Break of Structure) and change direction. * Liquidity Grab: Previous lows at ~$189 may have been swept to trap shorts. 4. Options Flow & GEX Insights * GEX Levels: * Highest Positive GEX/Call Resistance: $207.04 * Major GEX Walls: $202.5, $205 * Strong PUT Wall: $185 (Highest negative NETGEX / Support) * IV & Positioning: * IVR: 56.6 * IVx Avg: 46 * Put%: 2.1% — 🟢 Very low put hedging pressure, bullish * GEX Color: 🔴🔴🔴 (Bearish zone but near bottom range) 5. Trade Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Setup * Entry: $192.5–193 (retest of reversal zone) * Target 1: $198.76 (gap fill + CHoCH) * Target 2: $202.5–205 (mid gamma wall) * Stop Loss: Below $189 🔴 Bearish Setup * Entry: If rejection below $195 with weak volume * Target 1: $189.3 * Target 2: $185 (GEX PUT support) * Stop Loss: Close above $198.76 6. Sentiment & Bias * Bias: Cautiously Bullish * Price is near exhaustion zone with momentum starting to flip. * Watch closely for confirmation above $195 for long setups. * Failure to hold $189 may break structure downward. Conclusion AMZN is sitting in a key inflection zone where Smart Money may step in. Momentum and indicators are turning up, but macro resistance at $198–202 must be cleared. Use tight risk management and let confirmation guide your trade. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BullBearInsights
2
TSLA at a Decision Point! Will This Support Break or Bounce?⚡Market Structure & Price Action: TSLA has shown a breakdown from its recent consolidation following a Break of Structure (BOS) and two Change of Character (CHoCH) signals. Price is now compressing downward in a falling wedge toward a key support zone around $260, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation setup. * Bearish order block from the $290–$300 zone remains unchallenged. * Current price action is hovering right at a support level with small-bodied candles, indicating indecision. GEX & Options Flow Insights: * IVR: 37.8 * IVx avg: 22.6 * Put Positioning: 71% (very defensive positioning by institutions) * GEX: 🔴🔴🔴 (Strong bearish gamma exposure) 🧨 Highest negative GEX zone and Put support are stacking around $554–$550, acting as a gamma magnet and potential short-term floor if selling pressure accelerates. Key Levels to Watch: * Support Zones: * $260.01 (current bid zone) * $249.89 * $230 (lower wedge support) * Resistance Zones: * $275 (gap fill resistance) * $291.83 (strong supply + BOS origin) * $304.50 (major swing resistance) Indicator Insights: * MACD: Bullish crossover forming but lacking strong momentum * Stoch RSI: Oversold territory, curling upward, hinting a potential short-term bounce * Volume: Increasing on red candles, showing heavy sell pressure dominance recently Scenarios: 🔼 Bullish Play: * Entry: Above $264.50 * Target 1: $275 * Target 2: $291 * Stop-loss: Below $255
Confirmation needed via bullish CHoCH and break above descending wedge. 🔽 Bearish Play: * Entry: Below $258 breakdown of wedge * Target 1: $249 * Target 2: $230 * Stop-loss: Above $267
Watch for continuation if macro weakness persists and options flow remains bearish. GEX Outlook Summary: TSLA is entering a low-liquidity pocket with strong bearish gamma exposure. High IVR and heavy put concentration suggest institutional hedging, increasing the chance of a further breakdown unless buyers show up at key reversal zones. Conclusion: TSLA is at a make-or-break zone. If bulls can reclaim $265+, we may see a relief bounce. However, bearish options pressure and gamma positioning suggest the path of least resistance could still be down, especially toward $250. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk wisely.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
2