Gold Recovers After Sharp Drop – Trend Not Yet Reversed📊 Market Overview:
Gold rebounded from a sharp fall earlier in the session, rising from $3301 to around $3315 as the U.S. dollar weakened slightly and sellers took partial profit. However, no strong fundamental catalyst confirms a trend reversal yet.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3315 – $3322
• Nearest Support: $3300 – $3295
• EMA 09 (H1): Price is currently just below EMA09, indicating a slight bearish bias
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• H1 candle shows a long lower wick at $3301 → some buying interest
• No H1 candle has closed above $3315 yet → no confirmed reversal
• Volume remains weak, RSI still under 50 → limited bullish momentum
________________________________________
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to consolidate between $3300 and $3315 in the short term. If it fails to close above $3315, bearish pressure could return toward $3295–$3288.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trade Setups:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3315 – $3318
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3323
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3295 – $3300
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3285
Beyond Technical Analysis
NZDUSD | Daily CLS I Model 1 I 50% CLS TargetHey, Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
Meta surprises to the upside & strengthens its leadership in AIBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Meta Platforms (TICKER AT: META.US) has posted strong quarterly results that significantly exceeded market expectations, driven by its solid positioning in artificial intelligence, advertising monetization, and the resilience of its digital ecosystem.
Key Financial Highlights
In the second quarter of 2025, Meta reported revenues of $38.72 billion, representing a 15% year-over-year increase, beating consensus estimates by over $1 billion. Net profit reached $13.46 billion, with an adjusted EPS of $5.22, reflecting strong operating leverage.
The advertising segment remains the main growth driver, but revenue gains from generative AI services and enterprise solutions powered by Meta AI and Llama 3, its proprietary language model, were also noteworthy. Meanwhile, Reality Labs, although still operating at a loss, managed to contain its deficits and improve efficiency, while preparing for upcoming product launches linked to the metaverse.
The company maintains a robust cash position with over $58 billion in liquidity, and announced a new $25 billion share buyback program, reinforcing its commitment to shareholder value creation.
Fundamental Analysis
Meta is solidifying its strategic transition into a tech conglomerate focused on AI, personalized advertising, and immersive environments. Despite ongoing regulatory challenges in the U.S. and Europe—having yielded this time to Brussels—the company has maintained strong growth in daily active users (DAUs) and monthly active users (MAUs) across its core platforms: Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.
Consistent investment in AI infrastructure and data centers, coupled with an improved operating margin now at 39%, positions Meta among the most efficient players in the tech sector.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, Meta is currently trading around $717, following a near 50% rally since April. The daily chart shows a clear uptrend with higher lows in place since November 2022.
The RSI stands at approximately 56.34%, indicating strength without entering overbought territory.
The 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages remain aligned in a bullish formation.
The next resistance level is at the all-time high of $747.90; a breakout could pave the way toward $800 in the short term.
The key support level lies at $689, where the 100-day moving average and recent price action converge.
The Point of Control (POC) sits around $590, marking the base of the previous upward move and the recent golden cross that triggered the current rally.
Conclusion
Meta continues to affirm its leadership in the tech sector—not just as a social media powerhouse, but as a key player in the development and implementation of AI-based solutions. Revenue diversification, cost control, and a solid financial structure reinforce its position in an increasingly competitive market. While macroeconomic volatility and regulatory pressures remain, the combination of technical momentum and strong fundamentals suggests the bullish trend could continue.
*******************************************************************************************
La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial.
Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información.
Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada y las estimaciones no sinónimo ni un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo. Los tipos de interés pueden cambiar. El riesgo político es impredecible. Las acciones de los bancos centrales pueden variar. Las herramientas de las plataformas no garantizan el éxito.
XAUUSD could potentially drop down to 3120XAUUSD has broken its most recent descending trendline on the Weekly chart, signaling a possible short-term reversal. It’s now approaching a higher-timeframe descending trendline, which could act as resistance. The next key demand zone is around 3246; if that fails, the more significant demand lies at 3120. Despite this pullback, the macro trend remains bullish. Notably, institutional traders increased their net long positions by over 40,000 contracts last week, bringing the total to more than 253,000, reflecting a potential shift in sentiment.
CAN SILVER RETURN TO ITS HISTORIC HIGH OF $50?In the world of precious metals, gold has already broken its all-time high in recent months, supported by solid fundamentals. Another precious metal is now catching up: silver. Unlike platinum and palladium, silver today combines all the necessary ingredients to revisit its historic peak. Its bullish potential stems from a unique blend of market volume, correlation with gold, supportive fundamentals, and favorable technical conditions. Silver isn’t just "gold’s little brother": it is currently the only precious metal with both the technical and structural setup to aim once again for the mythical $50 mark, last reached in 2011.
1) After GOLD, silver is the most liquid precious metal and has the highest positive correlation
The first key factor is liquidity. On the precious metals market, gold remains the clear leader, with hundreds of billions of dollars traded daily. Silver comes second, far ahead of platinum and palladium, with around $5 billion in daily volume. This level of activity is crucial—adequate liquidity allows speculative and institutional flows to fully express themselves. Conversely, the low volumes of platinum and palladium limit their upside, as their markets are too narrow to support the kind of momentum seen in gold or silver.
The second strength of silver lies in its natural correlation with gold. Historically, the two metals move in sync. This behavioral alignment is reflected in a correlation coefficient close to 1. Platinum and palladium, by contrast, respond to industrial demand, particularly from the auto sector and emissions technology. Silver, however, blends industrial uses (jewelry, electronics, solar panels, etc.) with a monetary and financial role similar to gold. This dual nature makes silver a hybrid asset, with both ETF-driven financial demand and jewelry-like industrial demand.
2) Technically, the SILVER/GOLD ratio remains in a short-term uptrend from a long-term support
Technical analysis reinforces this fundamental outlook. While gold appears to be losing steam after hitting $3,500, silver still shows a medium-term bullish setup—even though short-term corrections are always possible. The gold/silver ratio, historically useful to detect when silver outperforms gold, also suggests that silver is poised for further gains. Silver’s long-term trend remains bullish as long as the $34–$35 support zone holds. The $50 mark is the natural technical target of this trend.
The following chart shows the gold/silver ratio and indicates that silver is likely to outperform gold through year-end:
And here is the monthly candlestick chart of spot silver:
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
GBPUSD Week 31 Swing Zone/LevelsPEPPERSTONE:GBPUSD keeps giving and simply does.
Strategy for this week is highlighted; sell at the zone and look for buy around 33683.
Zones/Levels are calculated based previous Week X's difference High & Low (dHL)
Trade Parameters:
sl: 10-15pips
dTP: dynamic TP means because momentum can push fast past say 33683, TP is a soft target. However typically 5-10x
As always price action determines trades.
Gold 29 July – H4 Demand Holds, M15 Structure ShiftsGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 29 July
The Mirror is Forming at 3310: Structure + Reaction in Focus
The market has successfully held the H4 demand zone, particularly near the critical level around 3310. This level is not just another number on the chart — it’s an inflection point. A possible first higher low or swing low, from which the next directional leg in gold could emerge.
Yesterday’s price action swept liquidity beneath this zone and then showed a strong bullish reaction. This isn’t just a bounce. It’s a behavioral shift — one that hints at absorption of selling pressure and the re-entry of aggressive buyers.
🔍 Structure Alignment: H4 + M15
On the H4 timeframe, price has stabilized within the demand zone.
Zooming into M15, we now see internal price action beginning to shift:
• First, a Change of Character (ChoCH) — the earliest clue that momentum is starting to turn.
• Then, a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside — signaling potential bullish intent.
This multi-timeframe alignment — H4 support holding + M15 structure shifting — builds a strong case for a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
📍 What Next?
The next step is to mark a refined M15 Point of Interest (POI) — a zone where price may pull back before making its next move upward.
We don’t chase price. We let it come to us.
✅ Look for Lower Timeframe Confirmation
Once price returns to your POI, it’s time to observe.
You’re not looking for obvious signals. You’re watching for subtle behavior —
a sharp reaction, a psychological flush, or a precise candle footprint that reveals intent.
The deeper signals aren’t always visible to the untrained eye — but they’re there for those who’ve studied the mirror.
( For those who know what to look for — this is where the sniper entry reveals itself. )
🎯 Summary
• Bias: Bullish — structure and reaction support long setups
• Plan: Wait for price to retest the M15 POI
• Execution: Only enter on confirmed lower timeframe intent and confluence
• Target: 120 pips (fixed, as per system)
• Stop Loss: 40 pips (always 1:3 R:R minimum)
📚 This is the kind of structure-based clarity we teach in The Chart is the Mirror .
Let the chart speak.
Let the structure guide you — not your emotion.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
BTCUSD 7/28/2025Just so you can see what I see... We read Candles over here!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
UNH Earnings Lotto Setup** (2025-07-28)
📊 **UNH Earnings Lotto Setup** (2025-07-28)
🎯 **Targeting a 2x return on post-earnings upside move**
---
### 💡 Trade Thesis:
**UnitedHealth (UNH)** is primed for a potential bounce on earnings:
* ✅ **Revenue Growth**: +9.8% YoY
* 🔥 **EPS Beat Rate**: 88% over last 8 quarters
* ⚠️ Margin compression risk from increased utilization
* 🧠 **Analyst Upgrades** trending positive
* 📉 RSI = **30.06** → Oversold territory
---
### 🔎 Options Flow & Technicals
* 🧲 Max Pain: **\$290**
* 🟢 Bullish call OI stacking at **\$285**
* ⚖️ IV Rank: **0.75** → Still has juice
* 🔻 Trading below 20D/50D MAs → Room for reversal
---
### 💰 Trade Setup
```json
{
"Instrument": "UNH",
"Direction": "Call (Long)",
"Strike": "$285",
"Entry Price": "$10.30",
"Profit Target": "$20.60 (2x)",
"Stop Loss": "$5.15 (50%)",
"Size": "1 contract",
"Expiry": "2025-08-01",
"Entry Timing": "Pre-Earnings Close (July 28)",
"Earnings Date": "2025-07-29 BMO",
"Expected Move": "±5%",
"Confidence": "70%"
}
```
---
### ⚖️ Risk/Reward
* Max Risk: 💸 \$1,030
* Max Gain: 🚀 \$1,030
* R/R Ratio: **1:2**
* Lotto-style with tight SL post-ER
---
### 🧭 Execution Plan
* 📅 Buy before close on **July 28**
* ⏰ Close same-day post ER **if target or SL hits**
* ❌ Exit manually if theta crush hits hard
---
### 🗣️ Final Note:
> “Oversold + Strong fundamentals + Positive consensus = Earnings bounce in the making.”
---
📌 Tag your UNH trades
💬 Drop your lotto setups
❤️ Like & repost if you're playing UNH this week!
\#UNH #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #TradingView #UNHEarnings #LottoTrade #CallOptions #HealthcareStocks #SwingTrade #RSI #IVRank #MaxPain
TLRY Earnings Play: Lotto-Style PUT Setup
📉 **TLRY Earnings Play: Lotto-Style PUT Setup**
*Tilray Brands (TLRY) - Earnings Due July 30 (AMC)*
🔻High risk. High reward. Possibly… nothing. But here's the setup:
---
### 🔬 Fundamental Breakdown:
* 💸 **TTM Revenue Growth**: -1.4% (🚩 declining)
* 📉 **Profit Margin**: -114.4%
* 🧾 **Operating Margin**: -16.8%
* 🧠 **EPS Surprise (avg 8Q)**: **-89.4%**, with only **12% beat rate**
* 🧯 **Sector Risk**: Cannabis = Over-regulated + Overcrowded
🧮 **Fundamental Score**: 2/10 → Broken business model.
---
### 📊 Technicals:
* 🔺 Above 20D MA (\$0.61) and 50D MA (\$0.49)
* 🔻 Well below 200D MA (\$0.91)
* 📉 Volume 0.72x = Weak institutional interest
* 📏 RSI: 57.69 (neutral drift)
**Technical Score**: 4/10 → Weak drift, low conviction.
---
### ⚠️ No Options Flow. No Big Bets Seen.
(But that’s exactly what makes this a clean lotto...)
---
## 🎯 Lotto Trade Idea:
```json
{
"Type": "PUT",
"Strike": "$0.70",
"Expiry": "Aug 1, 2025",
"Entry": "$0.10",
"Profit Target": "$0.50",
"Stop Loss": "$0.035",
"Confidence": "30%",
"Size": "2% portfolio max",
"Timing": "Pre-earnings close"
}
```
---
### 🧠 Strategy:
This is not a trade based on strength. It’s based on **TLRY’s consistent failure to deliver** — and if it disappoints again, we ride the downside. If not? Risk tightly capped.
---
⚖️ **Conviction**: 35%
💀 **Risk**: Total loss possible
🚀 **Reward**: 400%+ possible
---
📝 *Not financial advice — just one degenerate’s earnings notebook.*
💬 Drop your TLRY lotto plans below👇
CLS Earnings Play - Bullish Setup (07/28)
📈 **CLS Earnings Play - Bullish Setup (07/28)** 💥
💡 *Earnings Confidence: 75% | Sector: Tech/AI Hardware*
🚀 **THESIS**:
* 🔋 19.9% TTM revenue growth
* ✅ 8-quarter beat streak (avg. +11.5%)
* 📈 RSI > 50D/200D MA → Strong momentum
* 🧠 Sector tailwinds from AI/data infra
* 💬 Analysts lagging price → potential upgrades
📊 **OPTIONS FLOW**:
* 🟢 Calls piling at \$175 (institutions leaning bullish)
* 🛑 Some downside puts at \$170 (hedging only)
* 🧮 IV Rank: 0.65 | Expected Move: ±\$11
🔥 **TRADE PLAN**
> 🎯 **Buy CLS \$175 Call (08/01 Exp)**
> 💵 **Entry**: \$8.80
> 📈 **Profit Target**: \$26.40 (+200%)
> 🛑 **Stop Loss**: \$4.40
> ⏰ **Entry Timing**: *Just before earnings close* (07/30 AMC)
> 💼 **Size**: 2% of portfolio
📉 **Risk**: Moderate IV, downside if earnings miss.
📊 **Reward**: Strong beat history + AI trend = possible upside surprise.
🔔 **Watchlist it now. Execute near close 07/30.**
Gold setupGold us just broken to the downside from the previous uptrend and now we expect the prices to continue pushing towards the downside. the prices are likely to reject from the the current order block but if not, they will probably do on the smaller upper order block as you can see via the analysis
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 29th July 2025)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-JOLTS Job Openings
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure
- Uncertainty on fundamentals
- Potential BUY/SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: -
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Ready to go short?!Hello all. I was thinking on GBPUSD. then I found that a Node is left behind. is it possible to left sth. behind at market? I will tell you no. then it is a good Opp to start going short. huge R/R is important here. be happy and have a wealthy life (wink).
and let me tell you sth. """"BE PATIENT""". Today I lose 1.4% of my account just for having no patience.
XAUUSD approaches a strong buy zoneGold is approaching a strong buy area. Aggressive traders set pending orders whereas cautious ones wait for some confirmation signals in the range of such zones. I expect buyers to push price back up for atleast half day today Follow risk management to enjoy your trading journey.
Target1 3374
EUR_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅EUR_CHF is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 0.9300
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 0.9320
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY LOCAL SHORT|
✅DXY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 98.948
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 98.451
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD_CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅USD_CHF has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching
A horizontal resistance of 0.8064
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD BUYThe US Dollar (USD) gapped lower at the weekly opening amid optimism fueling demand for high-yielding assets, following news that the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) reached a trade deal.
The US and the EU agreed a 15% tariff on most European goods entering the US, much higher than the average 4.8% exporters face these days. No rates will apply to EU exports in important sectors, including aircraft parts, some chemicals, semiconductor equipment and some agricultural products.
The EU response to the headline was uneven. European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Peter Kazimir said on Monday that the trade deal reduces uncertainty, but it is unclear for now how it impacts inflation. However, the French prime minister, François Bayrou, said the EU has capitulated to Donald Trump’s threats, adding it is a “dark day” for the EU. The trade focus now shifts to the US-China as officials from both countries resume talks in Stockholm.
The EUR/USD pair peaked at 1.1771 during Asian trading hours, but changed course early in Europe, with the USD surging across the FX board, resulting in the pair shedding over 100 pips.
The macroeconomic calendar had nothing relevant to offer at the beginning of the week, but will be flooded with first-tier releases, including US employment-related data ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday, the preliminary estimates of the Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the US and the EU, and inflation updates. On top of that, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its decision on monetary policy on Wednesday.
RESISTANCE 1.16050
RESISTANCE 1.16243
RESISTANCE 1.16451
SUPPORT 1.15856
SUPPORT 1.15711