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Meta & Microsoft: How Two Tech Titans Outran a Sinking Mag 7Forget about the Magnificent Seven and say hello to M&M — the only two winners of the year so far. If you blinked during the first half of 2025, you might’ve missed it: the mighty Magnificent Seven are starting to look more like a Scraggly Five. While Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA fumbled its autonomy narrative and Apple NASDAQ:AAPL spent more time designing slides for the WWDC than in keynotes, two names quietly did the thing — created shareholder value. Meta NASDAQ:META and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT Both are up more than 13% year-to-date each, sitting comfortably at the top of the gains leaderboard. For comparison: Nvidia managed just 3% (and that’s with all the AI hype), and everyone else? Down. Flat. Or just ghosted by Wall Street. The iPhone maker? How’s 20% to the downside? Let’s break down how Meta and Microsoft dodged the selloff. 📞 Meta: Not About That Meta Meta NASDAQ:META came into 2025 like it had something to prove. Zuck had long gone full avatar with the metaverse. But now? Now he wants to win AI — and he’s putting his money where his data is. Meta’s latest foray into AI is a $14.3 billion investment into Scale AI. A 49% non-voting stake in the AI darling isn’t for fun — but for function. It’s a full-court press to close the Llama-size gap between Meta’s in-house models and the heavyweights like OpenAI and Anthropic. Scale AI, already one of Meta’s biggest vendors, processes and labels the data that fuels Meta’s large language models. It was only a matter of time before Zuck decided, “Hey, let’s just own a piece of the pipeline.” And in true tech soap opera fashion, Scale CEO Alexandr Wang last week confirmed in an internal memo he’s leaving to join Meta full-time. For those keeping score: Wang, born in 1997, became the youngest billionaire in 2021. Now, he’s headed into the belly of the Menlo Park beast. Wall Street seems to dig that. The stock shot up when the news leaked , as investors rewarded Meta for looking less like a social media giant and more like a serious AI player — even if it still serves your aunt’s minion memes. 👾 Microsoft: The OS of Enterprise Still Runs Smooth Meanwhile in Redmond, Satya Nadella was out here quietly running the table. Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT hit an all-time high of $480 on June 12, pushing its market cap to a record-breaking $3.5 trillion. For about a day or two before that, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA was on top — and then Microsoft did what Microsoft always does: calmly pressed Ctrl+Alt+Delete on its competition and reclaimed its spot as Earth’s most valuable company . How did that happen? Certainly not overnight. Azure continues to gobble cloud market share, Microsoft 365 is still the gold standard for digital productivity, and Teams — love it or hate it — is now basically corporate law. But don’t sleep on its AI game. Microsoft isn’t just throwing money at OpenAI, it’s embedding AI into everything it touches. Outlook, Excel, Word — all getting their Copilot upgrades. Want to finish that quarterly report faster? Let AI do it. Want it rewritten in pirate-speak? AI’s got you. Microsoft isn’t just building tools. It’s establishing an infrastructure for the new AI economy. And traders see that. They understand that while Nvidia sells the shovels, Microsoft owns the mine. 👩🏻‍💻 Why the Rest of the Mag 7 Didn’t Make the Cut Quick vibe check: Apple NASDAQ:AAPL Still chasing the AI breakthrough. No one talks about the Vision Pro headset anymore, and the annual WWDC event wasn’t anything special. The stock is down 20% on the year. Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA Robotaxis are coming ( maybe even this week ). But earnings pressure and margin squeeze made investors wish for more than tweets and timelines. The shares are underwater by 14% YTD. Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN E-commerce growth hit cruise control, and its AI presence still feels more like an R&D lab than a monetized machine. The stock is staring at a 3.7% loss, largely thanks to Amazon getting slapped in the face from Trump’s tariffs . Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL Search is still dominant, but Gemini’s bumpy launch and questionable performance has traders waiting for Google to actually ship something great, and not just strip the results from the iconic blue links . The stock is down 8%. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA Yes, still the king of chips. And yes, it’s still delivering. But with valuation stretched like Lululemons in a CrossFit class and export bans weighing heavy , it’s getting harder to maintain the pace. 🍻 Trading Lesson: Leadership Rotates If you’re a trader who’s been glued to Nvidia’s every tick or still buying dips on Apple because it “has to come back,” let this be your mid-year reminder: the market doesn’t care what used to lead. Leadership rotates. Fundamentals shift. And sometimes, the best trade is the one hiding behind less hype and more function. Case in point: While Apple’s been trying to find a catalyst, Meta just found a whole new business partner. While Nvidia’s been spinning plates on export rules, Microsoft’s just printing money off the back of Office subscriptions and Azure servers. 👀 What Happens Next? With the second half of the year approaching, all eyes are on: Meta’s AI ambitions — can the Scale deal accelerate model performance fast enough to close the gap with rivals? Microsoft’s cloud dominance — can Azure continue its double-digit growth without hitting the regulatory radar? Earnings, earnings, earnings — it’s almost the season again! Earnings reports kick off in about a month and things will get cracking. Whatever happens, don’t bet the farm on what used to work. Watch the rotation. Track the strategy shifts. And for the love of charts — keep one eye on the Earnings Calendar . 💬 Final Thought If Meta and Microsoft can shine while their peers flounder, what does that say about the real winners in this new AI economy? Maybe it’s not about who builds the flashiest model — but who actually knows how to monetize it. What’s your thought?
SP:SPX
by TradingView
6
Geopolitics (Iran/Israel), 6 relevant risk barometersGeopolitics is in the spotlight this week, along with the FED's monetary policy decision. Geopolitical news is covered by the general media, so there's no need here to repeat information that's accessible to everyone. We therefore propose to review our selection of stock market barometers which, in our opinion, best measure the intensity of geopolitical risk. 1) Oil and natural gas prices Naturally, oil price trends are the main barometer of the geopolitical risk of the current confrontation between Israel and Iran. Although Iran accounts for just 3% of the world's oil supply, the region itself represents 20%, and above all there is a risk of closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 25% of the world's oil supply passes. Technical analysis of the oil price is therefore the primary tool for measuring the intensity of current geopolitical tensions. The price of oil recently returned to the former technical support of $65, but there is no major bullish technical signal as long as the price of US crude oil remains below resistance at $80. We must therefore keep a close eye on the $80 threshold for US oil. 2) The trend of the S&P 500 index, the benchmark of Western finance The equity market is the second barometer of geopolitical risk that we offer. The most important thing is to select the stock indices that best represent the perception of geopolitical tensions. We believe that the S&P 500 future contract does this job well, as it is the most widely traded stock market futures index in terms of volume by global high finance. A few days ago, we published a detailed graphical analysis of the S&P500 index, which you can consult by clicking on the image below. 3) Trends on the main stock markets in the Near and Middle East Equity markets in the Near and Middle East are excellent indicators of the current perception of geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel. We suggest you take a look at the Saudi Arabian Stock Exchange (Tadawul), the region's largest in terms of market capitalization. Naturally, you should also follow the trend of the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange's flagship index, the TA 35, as well as that of the Egyptian stock market. These markets have the advantage of being open on Sundays, and are often a good early indicator of trends in Asia and Europe for Monday morning. 4) The trend of the US dollar (DXY) on the foreign exchange market (Forex) and of gold on the commodities market On the floating foreign exchange market (FX), it is the US dollar that plays to the full its safe-haven aspect. In the event of geopolitical tensions spiraling out of control, it would make a strong bullish reversal. This week, however, the US dollar will be under the influence of the FED. So it's best to trust gold's trend as a barometer of geopolitical risk. Geopolitics is not necessarily the dominant fundamental factor, but rather the dynamics of interest rates and the US dollar. 5) The TRUFLATION trend If current geopolitical tensions were to become a major global shock, international trade would be disrupted, and transport difficulties would lead to a sharp rise in prices, particularly for raw materials and industrial goods. This potential price rise would then be rapidly reflected in TRUFLATION, the benchmark for real-time price dynamics in the USA. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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NYMEX:CL1!
by Swissquote
Telefónica: Consolidation or the Start of a New Bullish Phase?Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst Telefónica is experiencing one of its strongest market moments in recent years, with a nearly 20% appreciation so far in 2025 and a share price that has reached €4.73. These are levels not seen since July 2022, sparking renewed investor interest, although questions remain regarding its ability to sustain this momentum. Fundamental Analysis The company is undergoing a structural transformation aimed at improving profitability and reducing operational risk. In this regard, it has accelerated the divestment of assets in less strategic Latin American markets such as Ecuador, Peru, Argentina, Uruguay, and Colombia, focusing instead on its core operations in Europe and Brazil. This strategy has allowed Telefónica to reduce its exposure to currency volatility and improve capital allocation efficiency. Despite reporting a net loss of €1.304 billion for the fiscal year, this figure is primarily attributable to accounting write-downs related to asset disposals and does not undermine its cash flow generation capacity or its commitment to maintain the annual dividend of €0.30. With a customer base exceeding 390 million and a solid infrastructure network, the operator remains a key player in the markets where it operates. Its current focus on financial discipline and risk profile improvement aligns with an environment in which operational stability and efficiency outweigh aggressive growth strategies. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, Telefónica broke through a significant resistance level at €4.430 at the end of May — a ceiling in place since its sharp price drop in 2020. This breakout was accompanied by a notable increase in volume, adding validity to the move. The current price of €4.610 aligns with a medium-term high. If the stock manages to consolidate above the €4.628 high in the coming weeks, it could pave the way toward €5.00, where the next relevant resistance level lies, coinciding with the current point of control at €5.064. Conversely, a failure to hold above current levels could lead to a retracement toward the current moving average around €3.930 or slightly above, where previous highs now act as support. The RSI currently stands in overbought territory at 64.67%, suggesting there may still be room for an upward move toward the €5.00 point of control zone if bullish momentum persists. Conclusion Telefónica is at a pivotal stage in its strategic redefinition, a process that has begun to reflect positively in its share price. This shift is driven by a more rational approach to risk management, a clear focus on priority markets, and a sustained commitment to financial discipline. The technical breakout from historic resistance levels strengthens the case for a continued bullish trend, although caution remains warranted: further upside will depend on sustained consolidation above current levels and the emergence of solid catalysts to support the company’s narrative. After years of sideways movement, the stock has finally broken out — now comes the true test: turning this rally into a lasting trend. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
BME:TEFLong
by ActivTrades
An update on my NAS100 trade idea I shared over the weekend.I analyzed over the weekend and ended up breaking down a weak high, my mistake was not considering some of the information the chart was communicating at that time. I ended up not getting any entry opportunity on the POI I was targeting. As I was waiting, I noticed I was looking for entry on the push of a weak high which was now acting as an inducement then reevaluated my analysis and noticed price was going to look for liquidity above that weak high.
FX:NAS100Short
by The_Sniper_036
Gold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook - Long Term TrendGold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook: Bullish Trend, Critical Resistance, and Macro Drivers Technical Analysis: Looking at the daily timeframe, Gold has been absolutely on fire. Overall Trend and Market Structure: • Strong Uptrend: We've seen a remarkably robust and sustained uptrend for Gold since late 2024. It's a textbook example of a healthy rally, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This bullish momentum is clear as day, with the candles comfortably riding above that rising blue trendline channel. • Trendline Support: That prominent blue diagonal band has been a fantastic dynamic support. Gold has bounced off this trendline multiple times (you can spot those green circles), which really solidifies its strength and confirms it as a key support level for this rally. Key Resistance Level: • All Time Resistance 3,500: Gold's currently bumping up against a major hurdle: its "All Time Resistance" zone right around 3,500, marked in red. This isn't just a number; it's a huge psychological and technical barrier. Price has poked at this level a few times lately, suggesting there's some serious selling pressure or profit-taking happening up there. A clean, decisive break and close above 3,500 would be a massive bullish signal, likely opening the door to new, uncharted price discovery. Key Support Levels: • Fibonacci Golden Level + Breakout Retest Level (3117 to 3167): Now, if we see a pullback, this grey rectangular zone looks like a crucial area of confluence for support. o Fibonacci Golden Level: This zone perfectly aligns with the 0.618 and 0.71 Fibonacci retracement levels (pulled from that big swing up from the initial low). These are well-known as powerful support and resistance points. o Breakout Retest: What makes it even stronger is the idea of a "breakout retest." It suggests a previous resistance level that Gold powered through is now expected to act as solid support if tested from above. It’s a classic chart pattern we always look for. o This entire zone is definitely a critical area to watch if price starts correcting. A strong bounce from here would keep the bullish structure perfectly intact, but a break below it would signal a deeper correction. • Point of Control (2900 to 3000): This broader grey zone, with the orange line highlighting the exact Point of Control (POC), tells us where the most trading volume occurred over this period (check out the Volume Profile on the left). It's a high-liquidity zone, meaning a lot of buyers and sellers found agreement there in the past. If Gold were to see a more significant correction, this area would likely offer very robust support, simply because so many market participants have a vested interest at these levels. Volume Profile: • Glancing at the volume profile on the left, it neatly shows us where the trading action has been heaviest. The big hump around 2900-3000, marked as the "Point of Control," really emphasizes just how important that support area is. What's interesting is the relatively lower volume as we've moved higher, suggesting less resistance on the way up. But if we fall back towards the POC, expect to see trading activity really pick up again. Price Action & Candlestick Patterns: • The candlestick patterns consistently show powerful bullish pushes followed by more measured pullbacks. Right now, near the All-Time Resistance, we're seeing some consolidation or perhaps a bit of indecision. The bulls are certainly trying to push through, but they're clearly meeting some stiff resistance. • That "$" label near the trendline? That often points to areas where liquidity, like clusters of stop-losses or pending orders, might have been "swept" by larger players – a concept often discussed in Smart Money Concepts (SMC). ________________________________________ Fundamental Factors & Macro Impact: This strong, persistent bullish trend in Gold isn't just random; it's being supercharged by a mix of powerful fundamental and macroeconomic forces: 1. Safe-Haven Demand: o Geopolitical Tensions: Look around the world – ongoing conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, plus general geopolitical instability, are sending investors straight to safe havens like gold. It's seen as the ultimate store of value when the world feels unpredictable. o Economic Uncertainty: There’s a lingering sense of unease about the global economy, whispers of potential recessions, and general market volatility. All of this naturally increases gold's appeal. o Banking Sector Stability: Any fresh concerns about the health of the financial system or regional banking troubles can instantly boost gold's allure as a secure asset. 2. Inflation Hedge: o While inflation has eased a bit from its peak, it's still proving quite stubborn in many major economies, higher than what central banks would prefer. Gold has a long history as a reliable hedge against inflation; it tends to hold its value or even increase when fiat currencies lose purchasing power. 3. Central Bank Buying Spree: o This is a massive, often under-appreciated, driver. Central banks, especially those in emerging markets, have been aggressively buying gold. They're looking to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from the US Dollar, reduce their reliance on Western financial systems, and simply add another layer of protection against global risks. This consistent, institutional demand provides a very strong underlying bid for gold. 4. Interest Rate Expectations & US Dollar Weakness: o Federal Reserve Policy: Gold typically moves in the opposite direction of real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates and the strength of the US Dollar. o Rate Cut Anticipation: Markets are increasingly pricing in interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks. When interest rates are expected to fall, holding non-yielding gold becomes much more attractive compared to assets that pay less interest. The opportunity cost of gold goes down. o Weaker US Dollar: A softer US Dollar makes gold cheaper for anyone holding other currencies, which naturally boosts demand. Persistent concerns about the US national debt and fiscal health can also put pressure on the dollar, thereby supporting gold. 5. Global De-dollarization Efforts: o This also supports in terms of De-dollarization or reducing the country’s dependence on the US Dollar for international trade and as a reserve currency. Gold plays a significant role in this strategic shift, adding another layer to its demand. ________________________________________ Conclusion & Outlook: Gold (XAUUSD) is absolutely in a powerful, well-established bullish trend, having racked up some impressive gains since late 2024. Right now, it's staring down its "All Time Resistance" at 3,500 – a truly critical moment. • Bullish Scenario: If we see a decisive breakout and a sustained close above 3,500, it would confirm incredibly strong bullish momentum. This could easily lead to a swift move into new, uncharted territories. We'd expect this to be fueled by ongoing safe-haven demand, continued aggressive central bank buying, and/or growing conviction that significant rate cuts are on the horizon. • Correction Scenario: On the flip side, a strong rejection from that 3,500 resistance could trigger a correction. We'd likely see it head back towards the trendline support, and possibly even that "Fibonacci Golden Level + Breakout Retest Level" zone (3117-3167). As long as these key support levels hold firm, the overall bullish structure stays perfectly intact. However, a clear break below that golden zone would signal a deeper pullback, with the "Point of Control" (2900-3000) waiting as the ultimate strong support. From a fundamental perspective, the broader macroeconomic landscape – thinking about geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation concerns, the insatiable central bank demand, and the future path of monetary policy – continues to lean very much in gold's favor. Going forward, traders and investors will be keeping a very close eye on central bank statements, inflation reports, and any new geopolitical developments for the next big cues on Gold's direction. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ManiMarkets
4
XAUUSD BUY SETUP – GLOBAL HORNS 🪙 XAUUSD BUY SETUP – GLOBAL HORNS 🕒 Timeframe: 30m 📈 Direction: BUY 📍 Entry: 3390 (active) 🎯 Target: 3405 ⏳ Duration: 1-3 days 📊 Context: Price bounced off support and is building momentum. Looking for a clean sweep of the highs at 3405. This level has been respected multiple times — a break through would signal strength. 📌 Time-based exit applies if target isn’t hit. ⚠️ Just sharing my trade, not financial advice. #Gold #XAUUSD #GlobalHorns
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by GlobalHorns
THE PILLARS OF PRICE ACTION - This is what I look for!!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
SPY Breaks Rising Wedge! Gamma Wall Rejected. Jun 17SPY Breaks Rising Wedge! Gamma Wall Rejected — Bearish Momentum Building Into OPEX 🔻 🔬 GEX (Gamma Exposure) Sentiment Breakdown: * Gamma Resistance Above: * Gamma Wall / Call Resistance: $602 * $603–$604.50 = additional CALL walls (2nd & 3rd tier resistance) * $606.37 = Local high; unlikely to reclaim without macro tailwind * PUT Walls / Downside Zones: * $597 = HVL + Key Flip Level * $595 = 1st Major PUT Support (Highest negative NET GEX) * $593 / $590 = deeper GEX-supported flush zones * Options Flow Metrics: * IVR: 19.4 (slightly below avg) * IVx avg: 19 * PUT Flow: 91.5% 🟥 * GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴 (Bearish dealer positioning + skewed delta exposure) * Interpretation: * Heavy call rejection at $602 combined with high PUT flow suggests dealers are short gamma. * If SPY closes below $597, gamma exposure flips net negative — potential acceleration into $595/$593. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown: * Current Price: $598.00 * Structure Overview: * Clean rising wedge break * Two CHoCHs confirmed at top → shift from bullish to bearish control * Price broke into demand box (~$597–$598), testing support * Volume spiked on breakdown = institutional participation confirmed * Trend View: * Uptrend is broken. * Now entering potential distribution-to-downtrend transition phase 🧭 Trade Scenarios: 🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup (High Probability): * Trigger: Clean breakdown below $597 * Target 1: $595 (GEX Put wall) * Target 2: $593 / $590 * Stop-loss: Above $600.50 Gamma flip + SMC structure shift supports downside. Dealer flows likely exacerbate drop under $597. 🟩 Bullish Reclaim Setup (Low Probability): * Trigger: Reclaim of $602 with volume * Target 1: $604.50 * Target 2: $606.50 (high) * Stop-loss: Below $597.50 Only possible with major market strength, such as dovish Fed cues or macro catalysts. 📌 My Thoughts: * SPY is showing signs of weakness across the board — structure, options flow, and volume confirm sellers stepping in. * Put flows are extreme (>90%), so bounces may be brief and used to reload shorts. * This is not a dip to buy blindly — best play is momentum PUTs under $597, tight risk control. * Ideal setup for zero-day or 1DTE options trades with defined exits. 📉 Conclusion: SPY failed to hold $602 Gamma Wall, rejected hard, and now tests $597 support. With options sentiment flipping negative and SMC structure breaking down, a drop to $595 or lower is increasingly likely. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and trade based on your plan.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
TSLA Failing at Gamma Wall! Will $322 Hold or Collapse Into $315🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown: * Gamma Exposure Zones: * Major Resistance (Gamma Wall): $327.50 → current rejection zone * Second CALL Wall: $340 → unlikely unless gamma squeeze kicks in * Strongest CALL Zone: $350 (very unlikely without broader tech rally) * PUT Support Zones: * $322.50 → HVL + initial gamma flip * $315 = highest negative GEX / heavy PUT support * $310 = 3rd PUT wall — deep flush risk * Options Metrics: * IVR: 25.2 (moderate) * IVx avg: 70.5 * Calls Flow: 71.5% → bullish interest still high * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (tilted bullish but with risk below $322.50) * Interpretation: * TSLA is trading below the Gamma Wall at $327.5 and just cracked the HVL zone at $322.5 — this is a bearish transition point. * GEX model shows put acceleration below $322. If bulls don’t step in quickly, it could slide fast to $315 or even $310. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown: * Current Price: $325.00 * Structure: * Multiple CHoCHs and BOS levels near $330–$327 * Bearish wedge breakdown from consolidation just occurred * Breakdown candle volume surging = institutional selling confirmed * Entering demand zone (green box) near $324 → temporary bounce possible * Trendlines: * Broken wedge & horizontal support = confirms downside pressure * If $322.50 fails, next liquidity is $315 (GEX + prior BOS zone) ⚔️ Trade Setups: 🟥 Bearish Setup (High Probability): * Trigger: Continuation below $322.50 * Target 1: $315 (PUT support) * Target 2: $310 * Stop-loss: Above $327.50 (Gamma Wall) Price is transitioning below gamma support and into negative delta zone — watch for acceleration if $322.50 loses volume bid. 🟩 Bullish Scenario (Needs Reclaim): * Trigger: Reclaim of $328 * Target 1: $331.20 (minor resistance) * Target 2: $336–$340 (CALL wall / next GEX magnet) * Stop-loss: Below $324.50 Would need strong market reversal and SPY/QQQ support for this to play out. 💭 My Thoughts: * TSLA is transitioning into a bearish zone, especially with this CHoCH + GEX rejection from $327.5. * Volume spike shows sellers are stepping in — bounces are sell opportunities unless reclaimed fast. * Call buyers are still heavy (71.5%) — if this unwinds, downside could be even faster. * Great setup for PUT spread or directional PUTs on breakdown. 🔚 Conclusion: TSLA has rejected from the $327.5 Gamma Wall and now cracked a key support. With structure and options data aligned, a flush to $315 is on watch if $322.5 breaks cleanly. Bullish only above $328 with strength. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and execute trades based on your own strategy.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
1
NVDA at Gamma Cliff! Will Buyers Defend $143 or Drop to $140?🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown: * Key Gamma Levels: * CALL Walls / Resistance: * $146.18 = Gamma Wall (currently rejected) * $148.84 → 2nd CALL Wall * $150+ = Higher GEX levels but unlikely short-term without breakout * PUT Support Zones: * $143 → active support (currently being tested) * $140 → key gamma flip zone (GEX8) * Below $140 → $138 / $135 → deep gamma pit * GEX Metrics: * IVR: 2.6 (extremely low = possible vol expansion coming) * IVx avg: 38.8 * Calls Flow: 7.9% (weak call interest) * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 (neutral-to-bullish positioning) * Interpretation: * NVDA is struggling at $146–147 gamma wall — rejection could cause dealer de-hedging toward $143 or even $140. * IV is extremely suppressed → any large move could expand volatility and create rapid price shifts. 📊 15-Minute SMC Chart Breakdown: * Current Price: $145.20 * Structure: * Price broke bullish structure early session and reached supply near $146.18 → then CHoCH triggered at the top. * Now pulling back into a minor demand box ($143.68–144.27). * If demand fails here → eyes on deeper demand at $141.97 and $140.86. * Major volume spike on pullback shows institutional selling near top. * Trendline: * Broke rising wedge → momentum flattening. * Volume divergence (price up, volume down) followed by breakdown = warning. 🧭 Trade Setups: 🟥 Bearish Setup: * Trigger: Break below $143.50 * Target 1: $141.97 * Target 2: $140 (GEX zone) * Stop-loss: $146.20 (back inside supply = invalid) Dealers could unwind hedges if price stays under $144, accelerating toward gamma-supported downside. 🟩 Bullish Reclaim Setup: * Trigger: Reclaim and hold $146.20 * Target 1: $148.84 (2nd CALL Wall) * Target 2: $150+ * Stop-loss: $143.60 This would trap late shorts and could cause a gamma squeeze toward $149–$150. 🧠 My Thoughts: * NVDA is at the inflection, sandwiched between dealer defense at $146 and GEX vacuum under $143. * If SPY/QQQ break lower tomorrow, NVDA could lead downside toward $140. * Volatility is cheap (IVR 2.6), making options attractive if directional bias is strong. * Ideal trade: wait for confirmation at $144–143 area before entering PUTs. 📌 Conclusion: NVDA is showing short-term weakness under heavy gamma resistance at $146. A clean breakdown below $143.50 opens the door to $140 fast. Only a reclaim above $146.20 flips bias bullish again. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade your own plan and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
AAPL Breaking Structure! Gamma Says Caution — Is $195 Next? 🍎 AAPL Breaking Structure! Gamma Says Caution — Is $195 Next? 🔻 🧬 GEX Options Sentiment Analysis: * Gamma Key Levels: * CALL Walls: * $202.50 (moderate resistance) * $205 = Gamma Wall / Call Resistance * $210–215 = Higher walls unlikely to reach short-term without catalyst * PUT Walls: * $198 = 2nd PUT Wall and Heavy Volume Level (HVL) * $195.70 = Highest negative NET GEX / PUT magnet * Below $195 opens risk to $192.50, $190 (GEX7/10 cluster) * Options Metrics: * IVR: 21.6 * IVx avg: 30.2 * PUT Flow: 0% (!!) – no PUT buyers showing up (caution on reversals) * GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴🔴 (very bearish tilt) * Interpretation: * AAPL is hugging the gamma flip zone at $198–$200. If it breaks and stays under $198, dealers may accelerate hedging, sending it down toward $195/$192. * Call side is weak; momentum buyers missing. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Structure Breakdown: * Current Price: $197.18 * Structure: * CHoCH confirmed just below supply at $198.50 → bearish sign. * Repeated rejections from the supply zone (pink box). * Broke ascending wedge/trendline support on rising volume — bearish pattern confirmation. * Demand box sits near $195.70–$196.50. * Volume: * Bearish volume increasing during rejection = potential for trend continuation lower. ⚔️ Trade Scenarios: 🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup: * Trigger: Confirmed close below $196.50 with increasing volume. * Target 1: $195.70 (GEX/SMC demand) * Target 2: $192.50 (GEX7 magnet) * Stop-loss: $198.50 Strong confluence with gamma, SMC structure, and volume break = high-probability short. 🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup (Low Probability): * Trigger: Reclaim of $198.89 with conviction * Target 1: $200 * Target 2: $202.50 (CALL wall) * Stop-loss: Below $196.45 Only consider if SPY/QQQ stage reversal bounce and AAPL leads. 💡 My Thoughts: * AAPL looks weak and vulnerable heading into Tuesday. * If price loses $196.45, gamma + structure suggests fast flush to $195 and possibly $192. * This is not the spot to go long blindly — let the level reclaim first. * PUT flow being 0% despite this setup suggests retail hasn't stepped in — this could change rapidly. 🔚 Conclusion: AAPL is breaking down from structure and trending toward gamma PUT support. Options sentiment and Smart Money structure are both aligning for bearish continuation — short bounces are sell opportunities unless $199+ is reclaimed with strength. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and follow your plan. Would you like to format this for a TradingView post next or combine all into one GEX/TA wrap-up?
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
1
AMD Explodes +9%! Will Momentum Continue or Fade? Jun 17AMD Explodes +9%! Will Momentum Continue or Fade into the Gamma Ceiling? 🧠 🧬 GEX Options Sentiment Breakdown: * Key Gamma Zones: * Gamma Wall / CALL Resistance: $125 – currently the pivot zone, also the NET GEX peak. * CALL Walls: * $128.12 → Local high, thin resistance. * $130 → 2nd CALL Wall. * $135 → Final ceiling (GEX9/10 cluster). * PUT Walls: * $114–$113 → Major PUT support and gamma flip danger zone. * Below $114 could trigger accelerated dealer hedging to the downside. * Options Metrics: * IVR: 12.3 (low vol, potential expansion) * IVx avg: 46.7 * Calls Flow: 47.2% — highly bullish options flow * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (strong bullish tilt) * Interpretation: * AMD is parked at the Gamma Resistance Wall (GEX max zone) — further upside requires volume + broad strength. * A rejection could push price back toward $120–123, which is also where gamma flips to neutral. 📉 15-Minute SMC Chart Breakdown: * Current Price: $125.09 * Structure: * Clean BOS (Break of Structure) from $116 → $128. * Now experiencing CHoCH (Change of Character) at the supply zone, signaling possible short-term pullback. * Price just tapped the supply zone and reversed; currently consolidating around the Gamma Wall. * Trendline + Demand Zones: * Strong ascending trendline holds above $120. * Multiple demand zones from $117.8 → $115 (where volume initiated the breakout). * Watch for retests of the gap zone (shaded FVGs) for bounce entries. 🧭 Trade Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Break and hold above $128.12 * Target 1: $130 (2nd CALL Wall) * Target 2: $135 (GEX9 cluster) * Stop-loss: Below $124.50 (if fails to hold breakout) This would confirm dealer chasing and continuation of the breakout move. 🚨 Bearish Reversal Setup: * Trigger: Clean break below $124.00 and failure to reclaim * Target 1: $120–$123 (gamma flip + support zone) * Target 2: $117.80 → Demand box * Stop-loss: Above $126.50 Ideal for short-term PUTs or premium fade. Watch for volume confirmation below supply. 🧠 My Thoughts: * Strong move today, but now sitting at the gamma apex — could magnetize or reject hard. * IV is still low (IVR 12), so options premiums may expand if volatility reenters. * Volume surged on breakout — likely institution-backed. But if price fails to reclaim $126–$128, profit-taking could kick in. * Stay nimble — this is not the ideal place to chase unless price cleanly reclaims highs. 📌 Conclusion: AMD has printed a textbook breakout and is now testing the Gamma Wall at $125. If bulls reclaim $128+, the move to $130+ is on the table. Otherwise, expect a pullback toward $120–$123 as dealer positioning cools off. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
NASDAQ:AMD
by BullBearInsights
GOOGL in the Crossfire! Tug-of-War Ahead of FOMC Jun 17GOOGL in the Crossfire! Rejection from Supply + Gamma Tug-of-War Ahead of FOMC 🧠 🧬 GEX Options Sentiment Overview: * Gamma Levels and Flow: * Major CALL Wall: $180 (Gamma Wall + NET GEX High) * 2nd CALL Wall: $175 — currently acting as resistance. * PUT Support Zone: $172.5 (strong PUT defense), below this is a void down to $170 and $165 walls. * Gamma Pockets: $177.5 and $182.5 are mid-to-high call gamma clusters. * Current GEX Stats: * IVR: 16.7 (elevated) * IVx avg: 32.2 * Calls Flow: 19.6% bullish → Options positioning tilted positive. * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢 (modestly bullish) * Interpretation: * GOOGL is coiling near a gamma inflection point between $172.5 and $177.5. Below $172.5 opens the door to gamma-accelerated selling. * $180 remains unreachable without broad market strength, and rejection from current zone is likely unless buyers reclaim momentum quickly. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Price Structure: * Current Price: $175.42 * Market Structure: * Rejected off supply zone just under $177.50. * CHoCH occurred below the previous demand zone, showing weakness. * Price is resting between $174.50 (mid-support) and $176.94 (resistance). * Volume surged during rejection — suggests real selling activity. * Trendlines & Zones: * Demand box rests near $171.50–172.50, aligning with the GEX PUT support zone. * Multiple BOS/CHoCH transitions signal market indecision — chop expected unless breakout confirmed. 📊 Intraday Trade Scenarios: 🟩 Bullish Setup: * Trigger: Reclaim of $176.94 with strong volume. * Target 1: $177.80 (intraday high) * Target 2: $180 (Gamma Wall) * Stop-loss: Below $174.50 Breakout above supply will force dealers to unwind hedges, possibly leading to a sharp move toward $180. 🟥 Bearish Setup: * Trigger: Breakdown below $174.50 * Target 1: $172.50 (PUT support + demand box) * Target 2: $170 (GEX support) * Stop-loss: Above $176.50 Failure to hold $174.50 likely accelerates momentum into $172 zone. Watch volume for confirmation. 📌 Key Takeaways & Thoughts: * GOOGL is caught in a range between $172.50 and $177.50. This is a gamma compression zone. * Options flow leans bullish, but price structure favors caution. * Intraday traders should avoid trading the middle — wait for breakout or breakdown. * If SPY/QQQ bounce, GOOGL may reclaim $177+. Otherwise, watch for weakness below $174. 🛑 Conclusion: GOOGL is at a pivotal inflection point. SMC shows a failed breakout from supply, while GEX reflects strong resistance above. It’s best to stay reactive, not predictive — trade with volume confirmation at key levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
Amazon (AMZN) at a Decision Zone! Jun 17🧠 GEX Options Sentiment Summary: * GEX Walls & Zones: * Gamma Wall / Resistance near $220 — heavy CALL interest. * 2nd CALL Wall at $217.5, aligning with recent rejection. * PUT Support strongest near $207.45, overlapping with a key demand zone. * Negative GEX/PUT Walls cluster between $202–197, showing downside gamma acceleration risk if $207 breaks. * Current GEX Metrics: * IVR: 9.4 (low vol) * IVx avg: 30.6 * GEX Signal: 🟢🟢🟢 (bullish tilt but vulnerable) * Call Dollar Flow: 3.4% (muted call flow despite recent rally) * Interpretation: * GEX shows strong resistance overhead at $217.5–220 with the bulk of positive gamma above current price. * Below $210, gamma flips negative and opens room to $202/$197 PUT walls — possibly a slippery slope on a break. 🧭 15-Minute Intraday Price Action (SMC View): * Current Price: $213.25 * Structure: * CHoCH confirmed from recent local high at $217. * Price swept local liquidity and broke structure, then retraced into the supply zone (highlighted box) and rejected cleanly. * Multiple CHoCHs around $214.08 → now acting as key support/resistance. * Trendlines: * Still holding the ascending trendline, but just barely. * Break below $212.10 → $211.60 could lead to bearish acceleration. * Volume Profile: * Spike in bearish volume during the breakdown — institutions likely unloading. 🧪 Trade Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Setup: * Trigger: Reclaim $214.08 (prior CHoCH zone) * Target 1: $217.50 (CALL wall) * Target 2: $220 (GEX gamma wall) * Stop-loss: Below $211.50 (invalidate reclaim thesis) Ideal if market finds support at demand + reclaim $214 with volume. Watch for higher lows and bullish divergence on RSI/MACD. 🚨 Bearish Setup: * Trigger: Clean break below $211.60 * Target 1: $207.45 (PUT support + demand zone) * Target 2: $202.50 / $200 (2nd PUT wall / gamma acceleration) * Stop-loss: Above $214 (reclaim negates bearish thesis) If the trendline snaps with confirmation, expect price to magnet to gamma-supported downside zones fast. 🎯 My Thoughts: * We’re in a mean-reversion + options pinball range. This is a game of patience and levels. * $214.08 is the intraday decision zone — reclaim = bounce play, reject = breakdown play. * The market is likely to chop within $207–$217 unless broader market drives a breakout. * For options traders, focus on $215–220 CALLs for breakout plays or $210–205 PUTs on breakdowns with short expiry for gamma moves. 🔚 Conclusion: AMZN is at a pivot where Smart Money just reversed structure after liquidity sweep. The GEX shows resistance above and puts support below, compressing price into a decision wedge. Trade the breakout/breakdown — not the chop. 🛑 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BullBearInsights
IDIA Range Accumulation – Bullish Only With Fundamental TriggerThe stock is currently trading inside a tight range, indicating a phase of consolidation. 📉 Buy Zone: ₹6.38 I’m planning to accumulate if price drops near this zone. From a technical view, it’s a strong demand area. However, for the bullish breakout to sustain, we’ll need strong fundamental support — like earnings, news, or sector momentum. 🔍 If fundamentals align, this could become a long-term multibagger setup. ✅ Strategy: Wait for ₹6.38 zone Accumulate small quantities Hold for long-term with regular news tracking 💬 What do you think? Would you wait for breakout or buy inside the range? #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #LongTermView #SupportZone #BreakoutSetup #StockMarketIndia
NSE:IDEALong
by KARTHIK_GREEN_CANDLES
1
Bitcoin Will Continue Rising —Long-Term Chart —$200,000+ New ATHIn November 2021, the week after the all-time high was a crash. The weeks that followed were a continuation and the market went full red and didn't stop dropping until November 2022, a year later. In May 2025, the week after the all-time high is neutral, sideways. Four weeks later and Bitcoin continues sideways consolidating near resistance, ready to break to new highs and continue rising. Market conditions now are very, very different compared to 2021. Right now, we are only halfway through the current bull market, for Bitcoin, and we have room left available for plenty of growth. In a matter of days, maybe 5-6 days, we get a new all-time high and this means not the end of the bull market but the start of the next and final bullish wave. These targets on the chart are the most accurate of all numbers because they are based on almost 5 years of data. Next target and minimum price for Bitcoin in the coming months is $155,601 but we know there is likely to be more, much more. With the institutional wave now in full force, banks opening to crypto because they have no other choice and the world evolving faster than anything we thought possible, we are aiming for $200,000 or more. The next relevant level after $155,600 is $209,125. Which one is your target for this new 2025 all-time high? Do you think Bitcoin will peak in late 2025 or early 2026? Do you think you will manage to be successful in this round or are you bound to make the same mistakes? Over-trading, over-leverage, no being patient enough; not waiting for the right time to enter and not selling when the market is trading very high, greed; What will it be? Do you think you have what it takes to succeed? You do! Even if you made mistakes in the past or even if you are already doing good, you have what it takes. If you are doing bad, this experience can be used to improve your game. If you are doing great, great, let's do better. There is never enough growth; we are happy, we are grateful but we accept abundance because we receive abundance thanks to hard work. It is still very early but the market is starting to heat up. Once the bullish action starts, there is nothing that can stop us. The world will change for us. We will adapt to all market and geopolitical conditions, we will continue to improve and evolve. The best one is not the one that makes no mistakes but the one that can extract learning from all experiences. Success is not being right all the time, success is never giving up. Will you give up? Or, will you continue to trade long-term? » Bitcoin is going up! Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda