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Do or die for gbpusd??I’m closely watching gbpusd once it reaches these highs I see no means for any trades .. keeping in mind it’s also a bank holiday for Europe I’d like to wait and see what happens at this 1.34319 point of reaction along with a demand zone . If I see a nice close on a daily candle or any bearish formation ( besides the weekly double top) I’d consider sells .. a break above that and the 1.35 psychological level , I’d like to believe the bulls are still in control .. nevertheless , this point seems to hold weight . We’ll just wait and see 😎
by JustVibe305
USDJPY Outlook – Bearish Continuation or Bullish Reversal??In this analysis, I'm breaking down the USDJPY structure starting from the 4H to identify the overall market direction (Bearish/Sells), then zooming into the 1H to fine-tune potential trade setups. On the 4H timeframe, we’re assessing whether the recent bearish momentum is likely to continue or if price action is showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The LOW created at 141.800 level is our first target IF we continue to sell as its creating that LowerLow. IF price closes bullish above 142.500, I will switch sides and look for potential buys. On the 1H timeframe, I’m watching for a bullish liquidity sweep below141.888, followed by a clear break of structure to the upside on the 15m or 1H for more confirmation. That would indicate smart money accumulation and a potential shift in market sentiment—giving me confirmation to start looking for long setups. 🚀 Give me a boost and follow for upcoming $niper entries this week! 🦇🔥 CMCMARKETS:USDJPY
Long
by nonstopkev888
1
BTCUSDT – Liquidity Clustered, Volume Lying, and a Trap Brewing BTCUSDT – Liquidity Clustered, Volume Lying, and a Trap Brewing (April 21, 2025) by Pôncio Pacífico – Institutional flow, obscene leverage, zero mercy 📍 Market Context Bitcoin is trapped in a low-volatility chop range between $84.2K and $85.8K. Open Interest is rising while price stays flat = someone is building a position… and someone else is about to be slaughtered. The Asian market is open. So is the manipulation season. 🔎 Key Zones Visible POC: $85.5K – the battlefield of confused traders. Key Resistance: $86.3K – liquidation zone for overconfident shorters. Key Support: $83.8K – emotional refuge of poorly placed longs. 🧠 Institutional Tools (no MACD tourist traps): Delta: Positive, but not supported by real volume = spoofing or passive absorption. Open Interest: Rising during consolidation = trap loading. Bookmap: Hidden sell blocks above = fake breakout incoming. 📉 Trading Plan (2 Scenarios) Scenario A – Squeeze & Dump (most likely) → Quick push to $86.2K–$86.4K to wipe out shorts → Hard reversal targeting $84.7K and $83.8K → Entry: Short @ $86.200 → SL: $86.600 → TP1: $84.700 / TP2: $83.800 Scenario B – Bear Trap with V-Recovery → Fake breakdown to $83.800 to liquidate longs → Snapback reversal into $85.5K+ → Entry: Long @ $83.800 → SL: $83.400 → TP1: $85.500 / TP2: $86.200 🧾 Conclusion BTC is about to explode. Delta and OI scream manipulation. If you’re trading without heatmaps or order flow, you’re funding a market maker’s new yacht. This is not a battle between bulls and bears. It’s between those who read the market... and those who guess it.
by NunoSid
Next Volatility Period: Around April 25-29 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The key is whether it can receive support near the OBV Line indicator (84349.94) on the 1M chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. - (1D chart) (Movement in a wide range) If you look at the lines drawn with multiple lines, you can see that it is currently moving sideways within the section that the fingers are pointing to. It may seem a bit complicated, but the key is in which direction the finger points out. (Narrow range movement) After the volatility period of around April 14-17, there is a possibility that the short-term trend will change. The next volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30). Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and show a downward trend, or rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and show an upward trend. In other words, you need to look at whether it will rise along the trend line (2) or fall along the trend line (4). - As I said before, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a selling point. The reason is that even if it rises, the upward trend is likely to be limited. If the trading volume increases explosively when it shows support at a certain support and resistance point or section, it is possible that it will lead to a large increase, but it is a rare case, so it is better to refrain from expecting it. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
ES UpdateNot many of my followers trade futures, but in case I don't have time to post an update before work tomorrow: 1) Another open gap down. I don't think it fills until RSI hits oversold and we get a bounce. 2) Dollar index broke support, but wouldn't surprise me if it did a backtest (maybe) 3) Gold trying to "break out" yet again, but a dollar backtest will look like another failed breakout (maybe) 4) Lots of earnings this week including TSLA Tues. I established a long position in gold, but I intend to hold it for a while. Not my usual short term trade. No desire to go long on stocks during earnings season when every company is going to be talking about tariff impacts.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
10
How to Use Renko Charts for Drawing Support and ResistanceHow to Use Renko Charts for Drawing Support and Resistance Like a Pro Most traders rely on candlestick charts to identify support and resistance zones—but if you’re still sleeping on Renko charts, you’re missing out on one of the cleanest ways to map market structure. Renko charts filter out noise and only plot price movement, not time, giving you a stripped-down view of market momentum. That’s exactly what makes them powerful for spotting true support and resistance zones—without all the clutter. Why Renko Charts Work for Support & Resistance Support and resistance are areas where price historically reacts—either bouncing or reversing. On traditional candlestick charts, these zones can be hard to identify clearly because of wicks, time-based noise, and volatility. Renko charts simplify that. Because Renko bricks are only formed after a specific price move (like 20 pips or using ATR), the chart naturally filters out sideways chop and lets key levels stand out like neon signs. How to Draw Support and Resistance with Renko Here’s a quick step-by-step process: Set Your Brick Size Use an ATR-based Renko setting (ATR 14 is common), or set a fixed brick size that fits your trading style. For swing trading, slightly larger bricks will work best. Look for Flat Zones Identify areas where price stalls or flips direction multiple times. These flat “shelves” on the Renko chart often line up with strong historical support or resistance. Mark the Bricks, & Sometimes The Wicks With Renko, you’re not dealing with traditional candlestick wicks. So your levels are based on the tops and bottoms of the bricks, not erratic spikes. Check for Confirmation If a level held as resistance and later flips into support (or vice versa), that’s a key zone to mark. These “flip zones” are often hotbeds of institutional activity. Bonus Tip: Combine with Price Action Renko charts tell you where price is likely to react—but combining them with price action techniques (like engulfing candles, pin bars, or M/W formations on traditional charts) will give you a lethal edge. Use Renko to mark the zone, then switch to candlesticks to fine-tune the entry. Best of both worlds. If you’ve been struggling to draw clean support and resistance levels—or find yourself second-guessing your zones—Renko might be your solution. It’s not about fancy indicators or chart tricks; it’s about removing the noise so you can trade what really matters: structure and momentum. Are you using Renko in your strategy? Drop a comment or shoot me a message—I want to hear how it’s working for you.
CRYPTO:SOLUSDEducation
by TLTurnerTV
8
How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview 1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump: The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs. 2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction: The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone . 3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution: Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone . This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply. 4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown: A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward. 5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall: The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount. Thanks for your time..
Education
by Naren_2410
USD/CAD – Bullish Reversal Brewing from Key Support (Daily ChartAfter an extended leg lower, USD/CAD is now posting signs of basing near major support at the 1.3815–1.3800 zone. The sellers appear to be exhausting, and bulls may be preparing for a counter-trend rally or even a shift in structure if momentum aligns. 🔍 Technical Setup: Key Support Holding: Price is respecting the 1.3815–1.3800 area, a level that previously acted as resistance and is now serving as strong support. Stochastic Momentum: Stochs are deeply oversold and beginning to curl upward, signaling early bullish momentum and potential for a reversal move. Candlestick Behavior: Multiple small-bodied candles with long lower wicks at this level suggest buyer absorption and fading bearish strength. EMA Watch: The 8 & 36 EMAs are still bearish, but price consolidating below them could set up a mean reversion play targeting the 1.4180 zone, where EMAs and prior structure converge. ⏫ Bullish Bias Drivers: Daily Bullish Divergence Watch: Price is printing lower lows, but momentum is failing to confirm — potential for bullish divergence to support a bounce. Clear Rejection of Bear Continuation: Despite bearish trend structure, there’s no daily close below 1.3800 — which could mean a bull trap failed to trigger. Measured Move Potential: If this bounce gains traction, a swing move into the 1.4180 resistance zone (former structure and EMA confluence) is on the table. 🌐 Macro Fundamentals Backing a Bounce: DXY Softness: The U.S. Dollar Index is weakening amid softer economic data and renewed trade concerns. If this cools off, we could see short-term strength as USD rebalances. Canadian Dollar Sensitivity: Oil prices are high, but extended gains could stall — offering USD/CAD a window to lift off this oversold zone. Positioning and Sentiment: Bearish sentiment on USD/CAD is becoming crowded — potential for a short squeeze if momentum flips.
Long
by LearnTradeForex
Dollar index (DXY) Analysis DXY Analysis – General Outlook This week’s analysis is more of a general overview, and it closely aligns with my view on EUR/USD. While I don’t trade DXY directly, I use it heavily as a confluence tool, so marking out its likely direction is key for aligning trades across other USD-related pairs. At the moment, I’m favouring Scenario A, where I expect DXY to move a bit lower, accumulate, and then react from the 2-day demand zone. If that happens, we could see a bullish move on DXY, which would naturally result in bearish pressure for other pairs like EU and GU. However, if price decides to retrace upwards first, there’s a clean supply zone that still needs to be mitigated. If that zone holds, DXY could continue its bearish structure for longer—meaning more bullish momentum across other major pairs.
TVC:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
USDCHF Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.85Hello traders. I'm anticipating the momentum on USDCHF to carry on. Got my eyes locked on the 0.85 area. It might turn into a strong bounce point. If the signs are there, I'm jumping in with a short. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
43
DXY SINGLING DANGER! UPTADE! Bad things happen when the dollar gets too strong.... Well, "the bad thing" now seems to be the dollar itself crashing lower. What a difference 2 months can make! Waging economic war against our allies, pulling military defense from allies, isolationism has not been working as expected. In fact, Trump has overplayed his cards, and his tactics are backfiring. CAUTION is in order!! Target not reached! Forced on me. As mentioned back on January 18, 2025, when the dollar gets this strong, bad things happen. As you can now all see, bad things did happen. Markets are crashing, and we are headed for an economic depression! WARNING!
TVC:DXYShort
by RealMacro
4
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.5500 back down My analysis this week is quite similar to GU. I’ll be looking for short opportunities to target a demand zone below current price. We’ve seen consolidation over the past week, which has built liquidity on both sides—and it's only a matter of time before that liquidity is swept. What I’ll be watching for is a reaction at the current supply, where I’ll wait for price to slow down and distribute, giving us an opportunity to catch a retracement down toward a key area of interest for buys. If price reaches 1.12000 or lower, I’ll be looking for signs of accumulation and potential longs from there. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - The DXY has been bearish, but is approaching a demand zone, which could cause a reversal—aligning with EU shorts. - A strong weekly supply zone is in play, which could trigger a bearish reaction. - Plenty of liquidity and imbalances lie to the downside, ready to be cleared. - A retracement is likely, considering the extended bullish momentum recently. - Current consolidation suggests a breakout is near, and this supply zone is my nearest POI for shorts. P.S. Stay flexible—once the consolidation breaks, assess how price behaves. Don’t lock yourself into one bias; always be prepared to adapt to what the market shows you.
Short
by Hassan_fx
7
Which altcoins hold the potential to conquer the crypto market?Have you ever heard of ISO 20022? Do you know what this standard is all about? Which tokens have adopted or are compliant with this standard? ISO 20022 is an international standard for the exchange of financial data between financial institutions, banks, corporations, and other entities. Developed by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO), its purpose is to provide a universal language for financial messaging on a global scale. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective: Bitcoin is currently near a strong trendline and a solid daily support level. I’m expecting it to break the $90,000 mark, a key psychological level, within the next few days. My main target is at least a 7% increase, reaching $90,500. 📈 Now , let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram. 🔍 What Is ISO 20022 and Why Should Traders Care? Have you come across ISO 20022 and wondered what it really means in the world of finance and crypto? It’s not just a technical standard—it could be a major bridge between traditional finance and blockchain-based assets. 🌐 A Global Standard for Financial Messaging ISO 20022 is an international protocol developed by the International Organization for Standardization. It defines a universal language for exchanging financial data between institutions—banks, governments, payment networks, and corporations. 💡 Key Features of ISO 20022 • Uses XML-based message formatting—both machine and human-readable • Covers multiple financial areas: payments, securities, trade, treasury, and cards • Highly flexible and extendable to future innovations • Designed to reduce processing errors and boost interoperability worldwide 📈 Why It’s Becoming a Big Deal With increasing digitization, the global financial system is shifting toward unified communication standards. Major infrastructures like SWIFT are already migrating to ISO 20022 to future-proof their operations. 🪙 The Crypto Connection Some cryptocurrencies have been developed to align with ISO 20022 standards. This means they have the potential to integrate directly into regulated financial systems—making them more likely to be adopted by banks and governments. ✅ ISO 20022-Compliant Cryptocurrencies (As of 2024) • XRP (Ripple) • XLM (Stellar) • XDC (XinFin) • IOTA • ALGO (Algorand) • QNT (Quant) • HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph) 🤝 Why Compliance Matters If traditional finance fully adopts ISO 20022, only tokens that meet its criteria will likely be considered for official integration. This could have huge implications for utility, regulation, and long-term value. 🧠 Strategic Insight for Investors Incorporating ISO 20022-compliant assets into your portfolio isn’t just about trends—it’s about positioning yourself for future financial system evolution. These tokens may play a key role in bridging the gap between DeFi and TradFi. However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 ISO 20022 is a global financial messaging standard designed to streamline data exchange between banks and institutions. It's becoming crucial as traditional systems like SWIFT adopt it for greater efficiency. Several cryptocurrencies, including XRP, XLM, and ALGO, are ISO 20022-compliant, positioning them for future integration with mainstream financial systems. This compliance could lead to wider adoption by banks and governments, making them more valuable long-term. 🚀 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
20
GBP/USD upcoming shorts from 1.33600 back down to demandMy focus this week for GU is around a key daily supply zone that price is currently approaching. As we near this level, I expect price to slow down and begin distributing, potentially leading to a deeper retracement. I anticipate the short setup to form around Tuesday, depending on how price reacts. If price does retrace, I’ll be watching the 2-hour and 17-hour demand zones, where we could see a bullish reaction and a potential rally from those levels. Since GU has been overall bullish, this would be a counter-trend short, followed by a possible continuation to the upside. Confluences for GBP/USD Shorts: - Price is overbought, indicating a potential correction to clear liquidity and fill imbalances. - Plenty of downside liquidity and imbalances that price could target. - Approaching a strong daily supply zone, which could act as a key reversal point. - Unmitigated demand zones below, which may need to be tapped before price continues higher. P.S. If price doesn’t reach the daily supply zone, I’ll remain patient and look for a buy opportunity to ride price up toward that supply level. Wishing everyone a great trading week ahead!
Short
by Hassan_fx