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Beyond Technical Analysis

CREDIT CRISISWe are beginning to see evidence of a credit crisis starting. low demand for US bonds can trigger a currency crisis for the USD, higher rates will lead to refinancing company problems (especially with all the zombie companies that should have blown up over a decade ago.) and major economic depression-style job losses. Currently, we are very early stages but things are moving at lightning speed on a macroeconomic level. I know this is likely gibberish to most here pon trading view but it is of MASSIVE importance to your trading and investing. CAUTION IS IN ORDER!! Click boost, follow, and subscribe! I can help you navigate these crazy times.
FX:JPYBASKETLong
by RealMacro
7
XAU/USD Longs from 3,220 or 3,120 back to ATHMy Analysis this week for gold is for it to keep pushing higher, even though gold has been overbought and we could at any time expect a major correction or distribution. We will be going on. current market structure and currently we have seen another ATH breach as well as multiple break of structures to the upside. From these demand zones that have been created we will be looking for a small correction a retracement in which price will then re accumulate in one of our POI, to cause another rally to the upside. Confluences for GOLD Buys are as follows: - Demand zone on the 4hr and 6hr is near by for potential long setups to formulate. - Market structure has been very bullish on the lower and higher time frame - There is asian high above that needs to get taken out as well - Dollar index has been bearish which means bullish movement for GOLD P.S. If price breaks through both demand zones i do have an extreme one at 3,020 but if it reaches that low we could expect price to just start moving temporarily bearish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
Short CADJPY - a little more patience requiredI have been waiting and watching this pair on the daily t/f for several weeks now. Like some people like to say "waiting like a sniper", lol. Seriously, I became more interested since it formed a flat bottom because I like to trade BO (breakouts) or BO with a pullback. Note that this is a daily chart and price is below the 200sma. I expect price to continue to make lower highs and break out to occur late this week, possibly next week. Hopefully, you have your own plan on how you trade breakouts. Good luck if you will trade this. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
4
Would be interesting to see the market bottom during summerIt would be interesting to see the market bottom at the cross section of the 200 week moving average with the 2022 highs some time by June/July. Markets aren't cheap now however they are above the 200 week. My framework: Markets above 200dma go 100% long with base equity allocation (decrease to 90% if RSI is overheated) Markets below 200dma but above 200 week go 70% long with defensive bias Markets below 200 week go 25% long with defensive bias, change to high risk with 70% allocation once cross above 200 week. Saves me from the large drawdowns and shaves off some percentage point off performance however having buying power when all hell breaks loose can result in decade+ alpha opportunities. The only sector currently above its 200dma is the equal weight utilities which I like in this environments all other sectors are below the 200dma. In such an environment markets are likely to be biased to the downside.
SP:SPX
by walmutlaq2003
BTC weekly cycle low in correlation with an wyckoff modelAfter the weekly cycle low i was looking for in march never got confirmed this is in my opinion the most likely scenario for BTC. This would be an really long weekly cycle but i have seen longer cycles in the past. Funnily enough, the period when the model could be completed coincides with the cycle low which is approximately May 10th (+/- 6 Days). I can' tell if it will be an model 1 or 2 yet, but i will make a post about it soon i think.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ramon_markiewitz