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BTCUSD SHORT OPPORTUTY FOR THE WEEKENDBITCOIN SUPPLY ZONE TARGETED - SELL LIMIT SET 🔥 BTC/USD has made a strong move upward but is now approaching a major supply zone, where a Sell Limit is placed at 110997. This level aligns with previous highs and signs of distribution, signaling a potential reversal ahead. With current price action consolidating around 109034, we are watching for rejection and a possible drop towards the next demand zones at 108551 and 106178. This setup is ideal for smart traders looking to short the top and ride the retracement. As always, risk management is key. Let’s see how the market reacts. Precision over prediction. Strategy over emotions. #BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #SellLimit #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #CryptoSetup #BTCTrade #BearishSetup #PriceAction #CryptoSniper #BitcoinReversal #TradingStrategy #CryptoTraders #MarketStructure #XAUkingCharts
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by XAUKING_
BTC Futures : My first attempt with a target price of 0Hello friends; I think not believing in Bitcoin is as natural as believing in Bitcoin. I can't express my opinion here with moving averages and/or RSI levels. The Beyond Technical Analysis might make sense for this trade. If we are wrong, what is important here is our position and risk management. We do not open a transaction to say "I told you so". I cannot explain this with any technical analysis method, blockchain data, etc. Technically; everything that will be built based on this is the same as building a sand castle. I don't think Bitcoin has an equivalent. If we consider serious inflation rates, it is obvious that people will have much bigger and more vital priorities than buying Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. I am not even talking about electricity costs. I definitely don't think it can be in the same class as Gold. This trade alone offers us a very good risk/reward ratio. I chose the contract covering the next period ending on May 30th, not the continuous CME contract, in order to save time. A good place for a first try. I will definitely try something similar. I don't think I will have any views other than the short side in the future. For years I have been asked, "If you don't believe us, why don't you open a short position?" I will try to achieve this. So there's also an experimental side to this. HIGHLIGHTS We are closing our position before the contract switch date of May 30, 2025, without looking at the price. If necessary, we will try again in the next contract. The value of 113690 is our stop value. We end our trade at this value. We choose the smallest value as the position size. If you expect something to be 0, you should choose trading instruments that evaluate your position in currencies rather than in BTC value. I chose CME because it is suitable for this. Contracts that are further away are definitely not liquid. It may be difficult to find buyers even at high values. Target : 0 Absolutely no margin addition. Best regards.
CME:BTCK2025Short
by Noldo
1
USDJPY Short Setup – Bearish Breakout WatchBias: ✅ Strong Sell Timeframe: 4H Pair: USDJPY Week: 26–30 May 2025 🔍 Technical Setup: USDJPY is sitting on a critical support zone around 142.55. A decisive break and 4H close below this level would confirm a bearish continuation. Entry: Break below 142.55 Stop Loss: Above resistance at 142.80 Take Profit: Major support around 140.05 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~4R Structure: Lower highs, pressure on demand – momentum building 🧠 Macro Confluence: 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, worsening macro (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓) 💴 JPY Strength: Seasonal bias, bullish COT positioning, risk-off sentiment 🧾 COT: JPY net long positions at 92% RSI 📊 Conditional Scores: JPY ↑, USD ↓ ⚠️ Risk Sentiment: VIX 22.68 – risk-off favors JPY ⚠️ Risk Notes: Wait for confirmation candle before entry Watch FOMC + GDP (USD) for volatility spikes Consider scaling in on retest of broken support 📌 Let the level break before jumping in. Precision matters. Share your thoughts or charts below 👇
Long
by wajahatarif
GOLD outlook for the weekIn today’s analysis, I’m expecting price to continue its bullish momentum, partially influenced by recent political developments surrounding Donald Trump. This aligns well with the broader higher time frame trend, where we’ve been favouring long setups. To capitalise, the most immediate and valid point of interest I’ve marked out is the 9H demand zone — the origin of the most recent break of structure. If price retraces, this is where I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation. However, if price continues to climb without retracing first, we could see a temporary bearish reaction from the nearby 4H supply zone around the 3,400 level. If this happens, I may look for a short-term countertrend sell setup, but only with strong confirmation. Risk will be kept low and I won’t be overly ambitious with targets. Confluences for GOLD Buys: Strong bullish momentum following a clear CHoCH on the higher time frame Recent break of structure left behind a clean 9H demand zone for potential retracement Trend remains bullish on both the lower and higher time frames Liquidity resting above still yet to be swept DXY is currently bearish, supporting a bullish case for gold P.S. While we could see a minor sell opportunity down to the demand zone, patience is key. Waiting for a solid pre-trend setup is part of the process — no need to rush entries. Have a great trading week and stay sharp!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
2
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Breakout PlayBias: ✅ Strong Buy Timeframe: 4H Pair: EURUSD Week: 26–30 May 2025 🔍 Technical Analysis: EURUSD has broken through a prior resistance and is currently testing a second resistance zone at 1.13983. I’m looking for a confirmed breakout above this level to enter long. Entry: Break and 4H close above 1.13983 Stop Loss: Below support zone at 1.13545 Take Profit: Targeting resistance zone near 1.15454 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.36R Structure: Higher highs forming, potential breakout continuation 🧠 Macro Confluence: 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed + poor fundamentals (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓, Conditional Score 3 ↓) 📈 EUR Strength: Improving Eurozone outlook, strong COT positioning, ECB easing bias 📊 Seasonal Bias: EURUSD bullish for this period ⚠️ Risk Management: Watch for FOMC and GDP releases (USD) mid-week Avoid premature entries without clear break and 4H confirmation Optional: Wait for break & retest for higher probability Drop your thoughts or setups below 👇
Long
by wajahatarif
EUR/USD – Testing the Ceiling | 4H Price Action AnalysisThe Euro has clawed back strength in recent sessions, pushing EUR/USD into a decisive retest of a well-respected resistance zone around 1.13650. This level has held firm in the past, and now price is once again knocking on its door but this time with a clearer bullish structure behind it. Bullish Market Structure: Higher lows and sustained bullish momentum indicate buyers are in control. Key Level in Focus: The 1.13650 area, previously a supply zone, is now being tested with conviction. A breakout here could confirm a major shift. Targets if Broken: 1.14500 – First resistance and prior structural pivot. 1.16000 – Psychological level and next major upside zone. As always, manage risk carefully. Like & Follow for more clean, high-timeframe breakdowns!
Long
by Mrshazee
DOLD: Projection for Next Week (May 20–24, 2025)Hello Traders Are you ready for the next week?! here is my understanding and analysis for the next week: 📊 Technical Summary Current Price: ~$3,201.78 Recent Trend: Short-term downtrend after reaching a peak (~$3,500). Candle Pattern: A small-bodied candle near the bottom suggests indecision or potential short-term support. Support Zone: Around $3,160–$3,120, already tested last week. Resistance Zone: Around $3,280–$3,320, which aligns with recent highs before the pullback. ✅ Bullish Case (Short-Term Rebound Likely If): Price holds above $3,165. Daily/4Hr closes above $3,240, leading to a retest of $3,280–$3,320. Candles form a bullish engulfing — keep an eye on Monday/Tuesday sessions. ❌ Bearish Case (Further Drop If): Daily/4Hr closes below $3,165, targeting $3,120–$3,080 next. Break below $3,080 would open the path toward $3,035. 🧠 Careful: Use lower timeframes (H1/H4) early next week to: Confirm direction (e.g. bullish reversal patterns) Spot liquidity grabs or false breaks around $3,165 The price and notes are written on the chart. TP= Target Point Good Luck! TVC:GOLD
TVC:GOLD
by Mr_Analyzer_kH
EURAUD – Bullish Breakout from Inverse Head & Shoulders + Target🔍 Pattern Insight: Inverse Head & Shoulders – A Powerful Reversal Formation On the weekly timeframe, EURAUD has completed and broken out of a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders (IHS) pattern — a highly regarded bullish reversal setup that often signals the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a sustainable uptrend. Let’s break it down: Left Shoulder: Formed in mid-2021 after a strong downtrend, price found support and rebounded, forming the initial shoulder low. Head: A lower low was established around early 2022, marking the deepest point of the pattern. This represents the last dominant push by sellers before exhaustion. Right Shoulder: In late 2022 to early 2023, bulls stepped in earlier than before, establishing a higher low — a strong sign of decreasing bearish momentum and accumulation. Neckline : A descending resistance trendline connecting the peaks between the shoulders and the head. Once broken, it confirms the IHS breakout and trend reversal. This multi-year formation reflects a major psychological shift: sellers lost control at the head, and buyers gradually regained dominance at the right shoulder, eventually breaking resistance. 📉 Retest in Progress – High Probability Entry Zone Post-breakout, price action has pulled back for a technical retest of the neckline and curve line support — a dynamic trendline representing growing bullish momentum. This retest is essential for validating the breakout and building the base for a continuation rally. The convergence of support zones (neckline + curve line) around the 1.70–1.72 area provides a strong confluence zone where buyers may step in again. This is often viewed as a second-chance entry for traders who missed the breakout. 🎯 Measured Target Projection & Resistance Levels The IHS pattern gives us a clear measured move: Measured Move Target: Distance from the head to neckline (~2,800+ pips) projected from the breakout point. Target Zone: 1.92 – 1.95, just above the major resistance zone. Resistance Zone: 1.85 – 1.87 is a historically significant supply area and may act as interim resistance. Break and close above the resistance zone would further validate the bullish trajectory and open the door for higher targets. 📌 Risk Management – Defined Parameters To manage risk effectively, consider: Stop Loss: Below the recent retest low and curve line support, ideally placed at 1.63848, protecting against a false breakout. Entry Idea: If bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, higher low on lower timeframe) appears at retest zone, initiate a long position. Risk-to-Reward (RR): Targeting 1.92 from an entry around 1.72 offers a 4:1 RR or better — highly attractive for swing and position traders. 🧠 Psychological and Structural Significance This pattern is not just technical — it represents behavioral change in the market: The head shows capitulation — a final wave of bearish pressure. The right shoulder indicates growing confidence in bulls and waning selling interest. The neckline breakout is where sentiment flips — traders recognize the change and enter long positions, fueling the breakout. The current retest phase is crucial. Many professional traders wait for this moment to confirm that support holds before fully committing. 🔎 Final Thoughts & Strategy Trend has shifted bullish on the weekly chart after years of consolidation and decline. We’re seeing a classic breakout–retest–continuation setup. A breakout above 1.85 would likely trigger momentum traders and institutions, driving price swiftly toward the 1.92–1.95 range. Invalidation: Break below 1.63848 would invalidate the pattern and shift sentiment back to neutral or bearish. 📈 Trade Plan Summary: Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (weekly) Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: 1.70 – 1.73 (retest area) Target: 1.92+ Stop Loss: Below 1.63848 Risk Level: Medium (weekly setup, but long-term play)
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Bullish Flag Breakout – $4,300 Target in SightGold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum in 2025, and the current price structure reveals a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, suggesting further upside. This setup presents a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend, possibly leading to new all-time highs in the coming months. 🟢 1. Clear Bullish Trend Foundation Gold has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024, supported by: Global inflationary pressures. Geopolitical instability. Central bank gold purchases and dollar weakness. This uptrend is visually supported by a well-defined rising structure, with higher highs and higher lows. 📐 2. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation The current price action has formed a bullish flag, a bullish continuation pattern that appears after a sharp rally. The flag represents a period of consolidation or pullback before the next impulsive move up. The flagpole is the sharp rally that took place from mid-February to April 2025. The flag itself is a downward-sloping channel or wedge, indicating temporary profit-taking or market indecision. Volume typically decreases during the flag formation, then surges on breakout—confirming trend continuation. This pattern is now showing signs of a breakout to the upside, suggesting the bulls are regaining control. 🔍 3. Key Technical Levels 🔹 Major Resistance Zone (~3,500–3,600): This zone has acted as a supply region in the past. Price is now testing this level and attempting a breakout. A successful retest of this zone as new support will confirm the breakout. 🎯 Projected Target: $4,300+ Measured move target based on the flagpole’s height. Clean projection points to the 4,300–4,350 area as the next major upside objective. 🛑 Support & Stop-Loss : Strong support exists around $3,125, aligning with the flag base. This area is a logical stop-loss zone for traders entering on the breakout. 🔁 4. Expected Price Behavior Breakout: Price is expected to break above the flag resistance and the horizontal supply zone. Retest Phase: A pullback toward the breakout zone (~3,600) could occur before the next impulsive move. This would offer a prime buy-on-dip opportunity. Final Impulse: A sharp rally could follow, targeting the 4,300+ region. 💡 5. Trading Psychology Behind the Setup During the flag formation, short-term traders take profit, and new buyers hesitate due to perceived overbought conditions. However, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with larger players accumulating during dips. Once the resistance breaks, fear of missing out (FOMO) often drives prices sharply higher. ⚠️ 6. Risk Factors to Watch Sudden USD strength or rising real yields. Geopolitical de-escalation that reduces safe-haven demand. FOMC rate surprises or unexpected hawkish policy shifts. ✅ Conclusion: Bullish Breakout Setup in Play Gold is poised for another leg up after completing a textbook bullish flag pattern. With macroeconomic tailwinds and a solid technical base, this setup offers a high-probability long opportunity targeting the $4,300 zone. Watch for a confirmed breakout and possible retest to load long positions with solid risk-reward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/JPY Technical Breakdown: Rising Wedge Breakdown + Target🔺 1. Rising Wedge Pattern Explained A Rising Wedge is formed when: Price action creates higher highs and higher lows, but The slope of the support line is steeper than the resistance line. This signals that buyers are losing strength, and momentum is fading. In this chart: The wedge began forming around mid-February 2025. Price was compressing within converging trendlines. After multiple failed breakouts near resistance (~165.50), the pair finally broke below the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakout. This pattern is considered reliable because it traps late buyers and shifts sentiment from bullish to bearish quickly once the lower boundary is breached. 🔻 2. Key Technical Zones 📌 Major Resistance Zone (~165.00 – 166.00) Strong supply area; price has rejected here multiple times since late 2023. Resistance was confirmed again during the wedge formation. High volume spike noted near this level, followed by a steep drop—evidence of distribution and smart money exiting long positions. 📌 Major Support Zone (~156.00 – 157.00) Historically held as a demand zone. Previous bounces suggest it is structurally significant. However, repeated tests can weaken the zone, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. 🎯 Target Price: 153.433 Measured by taking the height of the wedge and projecting it from the breakout point. Coincides with a previously tested level (support turned target). Bears could aim for this level as a swing target. 📉 3. Market Psychology Behind the Pattern As price climbs inside a rising wedge, volume often declines, showing buyer exhaustion. False breakouts near the top of the wedge trap breakout traders, adding fuel to the downside move once price breaks the lower boundary. The sharp selloff post-breakout is often driven by stop-loss cascades and aggressive short positioning. 🔁 4. Potential Price Path & Trade Plan Retest in Progress: Price may retest the broken wedge support (now resistance) near 163.00–164.00 before further decline. This retest zone offers a high-probability short entry opportunity with tight risk management. Immediate Downside Levels: 160.00 (psychological level), 157.00 (support zone), and final target at 153.43. Bearish Continuation Scenario: If the pair maintains below the wedge and forms lower highs, it confirms ongoing bearish sentiment. 🛑 5. Risk Factors to Monitor ECB or BOJ monetary policy shifts (rate cuts/hikes, yield curve control updates). Risk-on vs risk-off flows, especially in times of geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks. Intervention by the Bank of Japan to protect JPY from excessive weakening. ✅ Conclusion: A Tactical Short Opportunity The EUR/JPY chart is setting up for a potential medium-term short swing trade following a confirmed rising wedge breakdown. With clear rejection from a long-standing resistance zone and fading bullish momentum, the technicals align for a move toward 153.43 over the coming weeks. Traders should watch for clean retests and structure-based entries, managing risk around 164.50 with profit-taking at key support zones along the path.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
ETHUSD Bearish Trap Unfolding: FVG Fill Targets Sell-Side Liq!🚨 ETHUSD – Smart Money Bearish Setup (30-Min Timeframe) Ethereum just gave us a beautiful SMC reversal setup after a short-term range liquidity sweep. Let’s break this down so you don’t miss the next leg. 👇 🔍 1. Structural Liquidity Sweep A clean grab above internal highs pushed price into a well-defined premium zone where both Order Block (OB) and Fair Value Gap (FVG) reside. It’s not a bullish breakout – it's a liquidity trap. The strong high at ~$2,566 hasn’t been breached, meaning structure still leans bearish. 🟪 2. Order Block Reaction Zone Price is tapping directly into a bearish Order Block zone (~$2,559–2,566), showing hesitation and rejection candles. 💥 OB rejection confirmed with wicks and short-body closes 🔻 Follow-through expected down to clean up inefficiencies below This is where Smart Money quietly enters short – right before the crowd realizes it wasn’t a real breakout. 🟦 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Below Price A large FVG zone (~$2,553–2,503) is waiting to be filled. This is textbook Smart Money behavior – price rallies into premium, rejects OB, and aggressively seeks to rebalance inefficiency below. 📉 4. Weak Low & Sell-Side Liquidity Below $2,530 lies a Weak Low, likely to be swept as price seeks out Sell-Side Liquidity. Final target sits at ~$2,487, right before the broader demand re-enters. This is a liquidity vacuum move: Price is engineered to sweep internal liquidity → break structure → mitigate deeper imbalance. 🎯 5. Trade Setup Breakdown 📍 Short Entry Zone: $2,555–2,566 (OB + trendline + FVG rejection) 🔐 Stop Loss: Above $2,570 (structure break level) 🎯 Take Profit Zones: TP1: $2,530 (Weak Low sweep) TP2: $2,503 (FVG base) TP3: $2,487 (Sell-Side Liquidity) ⚖️ Risk:Reward Ratio – 1:3 or better 💡 Bonus: Add trailing stop after TP1 for locked-in gains 🧠 Market Psychology Lesson: Retail sees a breakout of range = FOMO buys Smart Money sees trapped longs = entry fuel for bearish move Weak lows = targets Your job = be the hunter, not the hunted. 🎯 ✅ Summary: ETHUSD is setting up for a classic bearish SMC reversal. Price tapped the OB, respected structure, and is showing a roadmap toward Sell-Side Liquidity below $2,500. Don’t fade the confluence: Premium OB + FVG Rejection wick confirmations Weak low + clean internal liquidity targets ⚠️ Keep emotions out, follow the setup, manage risk like a sniper. 💬 Type “ETH ON LOCK” if you’re tracking this beast with precision. Tag your trading squad!
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
2
Bitcoin’s Fake Pump Ends HERE! OB + FVG = Bearish Trap?📊 BTCUSD SMC Breakdown (3D Chart) Price tapped into a High Probability Reversal Zone (OB + 61.8–79% Fib) with strong downward projection. This is a classic case of Smart Money selling into late bull euphoria. 👀 🧠 Smart Money Story: Sell-side Liquidity Grab: Prior highs got swept—liquidity hunted 💧 Order Block (OB) + 61.8–79% Fib: This area is confluence-rich Channel Top + Trendline Rejection = Extra confluence 🧱 Strong bearish reaction wick confirms Smart Money presence 🔥 Projection drawn toward 105,968 = -27% extension 📌 Key Technical Zones: Zone Type Level / Range Order Block : 108,267.68 (Purple Zone) Premium Zone (OB + FVG) : 108,267 – 108,938 Entry Trigger : 108,251.52 (Current Price) SL Zone (Invalidation) : Above 109,000 TP1 – TP2: 106,800 – 105,968 (TP2 = -27%) 🛠️ Trade Setup Idea (Short): Sell Entry: 108,251 – 108,937 Stop Loss: 109,200 Take Profit 1: 106,800 Take Profit 2: 105,968 RRR: ~1:4 📉💰
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
2