Beyond Technical Analysis
GBP_USD LONGFollowing the Formation of the Bullish Flag and Breakout of the the descending Trendline I decided to go long on the price and price is moving very well in my direction.
Also Volume seeming low and RSI in the overbought region, I might move TP to our next resistance zone or use stop retracement.
ETH/USD Analysis: Trading Opportunity in Real TimeHello, traders! Today, I'm testing some premium indicators on TradingView for the ETH/USD pair with a 1-hour timeframe. 🚀 I'm using tools like the Support & Resistance Matrix, Market Prediction Indicator, and Trend Navigator to find the best opportunities.
📌 Trade Details:
Entry: $3,311.07 (latest signal).
Take Profit: $3,400.00 (projected resistance zone).
Stop Loss: $3,237.44 (key support zone according to the indicators).
The Trend Navigator is still showing a bullish trend, and even though I’ve already taken the latest signal, there’s still time to analyze this opportunity! 📈 The projection indicates a potential upward movement, and we are well-positioned to take advantage of it if the price maintains this momentum.
🔥 My analysis: If we respect the blue trend line and hold the nearby support, the target is achievable. But always remember to manage risk and adjust your stop loss to protect capital.
What do you think of this entry? Leave me your comments, and don’t forget to like for more trading content! 🎥✨"
NAS100USD: Building Support for a Bullish BreakoutGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market exhibits bullish momentum, and we aim to align with this narrative by focusing on bullish setups. Confluences supporting this direction include key institutional support zones that present opportunities for potential buy entries.
Key Observations:
1. Retest of a Breaker Block:
Price is currently retesting a breaker block, a critical area of institutional support.
This zone represents where institutions mitigate prior sell orders and reinstate buy orders, offering a strategic entry point.
2. Confluence with FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The breaker block aligns with an FVG, further strengthening the support zone and enhancing its reliability for buy setups.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Look for confirmation within the breaker block and FVG area to establish buy positions.
Approach: Focus on scalping opportunities, given the current short-term market structure and setups.
By leveraging these institutional support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum with precision and discipline.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Carvana's Fundamentals And Chart Screeming For A ShortFrom a very well known Short-Seller in the markets I read a concerning letter this morning:
"Carvana Trades At An 845% Higher Sales Multiple Than Online Car Peers Like CarMax and AutoNation, And A 754% Premium On A Forward Earnings Basis."
...ummmhh... §8-()
The Chart does look very scary too.
This exponential move can't sustain very long. As we see, the first bounce already alerts me to prepare for a big short.
If this plays out as projected, we see a heavy dump in the coming weeks and months.
NFLX .. Netflix lines and Gann analysisJust put some things together and show each breakdown in 30 min and 1 day increments...make sure to play with the log function on the bottom right in the scale...can change entry and exit points substantially...
The last is my signature Cyqo-Cpyder-Nest
all 30 min...
all 1 day...
The final project....a mess.. or a Nest:
MSTR - Back to a new short levelAfter hitting Profit Target 1 (PTG1), it’s time to make a decision about the remaining position.
The fact is, MSTR tested the 1/4 level for the second time and found solid support there. Now we’ve moved higher, back to the centerline.
For me, it’s clear: if we get an Open and Close — a full bar — above the CL, I’ll close the rest of my short position.
I still think MSTR is heavily manipulated. Besides the fact that this Bitcoin catalyst isn’t following BTC’s moves the way it should, it’s cheating investors for profits.
That said — if there’s weakness, I’ll continue building the position. If I had no position, this is the place where I would open it on a Short trigger.
If there’s strength, I’ll close it.
Apple Stretched Too FarNow that's a heck of a stretch.
Price has reached the U-MLH of the white Pitchfork and is nearing the yellow Center-Line.
What's it mean?
White U-MLH = Upper Extreme
Yellow CL = Price got back to balance, in the context of the yellow path/traction.
All this means, that the Air get's very, very thin!
Waiting for a short Signal with a target back to the white CL (Center-Line).
I may not open a Short Trade in my life!This would be shocking news for most of my followers since we made decent money doing that in 2021-2022, but let me explain the mathematics behind it.
Before diving into the mathematics, let me tell you I will buy a Naked Put if there is a high conviction for an asset's future lower price.
Let me explain the risk-reward profiles for long and short positions:
Long Position:
When you buy an asset (go long), you purchase it hoping its value will increase
Maximum loss: Limited to your initial investment (if asset goes to $0)
For example, if you buy a stock at $100, your maximum loss is $100 per share
Maximum gain: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising
If the stock goes to $200, $300, $1000+, your profit keeps growing
Short Position:
When you short an asset, you borrow and sell it, hoping to repurchase it cheaper later
Maximum gain: Limited to your initial sale price (if the asset goes to $0)
For example, if you short a stock at $100, your maximum gain is $100 per share
Maximum loss: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising
If the stock rises to $200, you lose $100; at $300, you lose $200, and so on
The asymmetric risk-reward comes from math:
Long positions: Asset can't go below $0, but has no upper limit
Short positions: Can only profit until $0, but losses grow with each price increase
Shorting comes with several additional costs that make it more expensive than going long:
Borrowing Costs (Short Interest)
You must pay interest to borrow the shares you're shorting
Rates can range from very low (0.25%) to very high (50%+) annually for hard-to-borrow stocks
This cost reduces your profits or increases losses over time
Margin Requirements
Need to maintain a margin account with collateral
Higher margin requirements for short positions (typically 150% of position value)
Risk of margin calls if the position moves against you
Dividend Payments
Short sellers must pay any dividends to the lender of the shares
This is an additional cost that long position holders don't face
Can significantly impact profitability for high-dividend stocks
Stock Recall Risk
The lender can recall their shares at any time
This may force you to close your position at unfavorable prices
It is particularly risky during short squeezes
These costs mean that even if your directional view is correct, you might still lose money on a short position due to holding costs.
Asymmetrical Moves
"Markets take the stairs up but the elevator down"
The opposite happens more often!
During bubble collapses and market crashes:
Downside moves can be gradual as denial, hope, and orderly selling create a stepped decline
Some investors average down, providing temporary support
Circuit breakers and trading halts can slow dramatic falls
During upside rallies, especially short squeezes:
Price can explode upward very rapidly as shorts rush to cover
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) creates buying panic
Margin calls force immediate buying
Limited available shares can cause bidding wars
Historical Examples:
GameStop (GME) in 2021: Rose from ~$20 to $483 in just a few weeks
Volkswagen in 2008: Briefly became the world's most valuable company during a squeeze
Tesla's multiple rallies in 2020: Several sharp upward moves that hurt short sellers
This faster upward movement makes short positions particularly dangerous because:
Less time to react to adverse moves
Higher likelihood of getting caught in a short squeeze
Margin calls can come suddenly with little time to add funds.
A most recent example: is RGTI my best Idea on the platform got 16x in less than 100 days!
$trump has been the best and easiest crypto to trade in my 6yrsI traded stocks options futures crypto and to be real besides the blast down near 30, which I called out to wait for 40, mans was safe and ever since probably 40 trades that ran levXd for easy 50-400% on every try. My library makes life easy . Posts get removed for reasons others break with passion just bc of the power of my pro tier, proof in the puddin, ask me how to get to magic land or the traders candy shop. Can’t deny the power of origin in a first major work being so powerful it predicts the future, series coming soon
Apple - The Path For 2025 Is Clear!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is reversing towards the downside
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months Apple rallied more than +50% without showing any weakness on the smaller timeframes. Some profit taking is totally expected and with market structure perfectly aligning, this could develop into a significant correction.
Levels to watch: $250, $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Micron Technology - The Textbook Chart!Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past seven year, Micron Technology has been respecting a pretty clear rising channel pattern. With the recent all time high breakout, it is very likely that this level is now holding as support and we will eventually see a rejection and new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $90, $180
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
theta long sell limit"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"