Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup. 📉 Technical Breakdown Current Price: $135.13 False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49) Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12) Probable Retest Zones: 0.618 Fib: $124.98 0.5 Fib: $121.25 Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone) 🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook ⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside. 📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace. 💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption. 🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025) AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays. SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback. Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key. 🧠 Institutional View This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play. 🧭 Trade Setup Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12) Target: $119.25 Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone) Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation 📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow. #NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
EUR/USD Potential longs to the upsideEU Weekly Outlook — Bullish Pro-Trend Setup in Focus This week, my EU analysis is centered around the pro-trend movement to the upside. Price has recently broken structure and in doing so, has left behind clean demand zones on the 5H and 3H timeframes. I’ll be watching closely to see when price decides to mitigate these levels for a potential long setup. Since price is still a bit far from these zones, short-term sells may be possible, but with no strong nearby supply, I’ll be staying patient and letting price action guide me. The key is to avoid marrying any one bias and remain adaptable. Confluences for EU Buys: - Strong bullish structure on higher timeframes - Clean and unmitigated 5H and 3H demand zones - Plenty of liquidity above, including Asia highs - This is a pro-trend trade, aligning with market flow - DXY analysis supports a bullish EU outlook P.S. If price shifts and breaks structure to the downside, then we could consider short-term sell setups — but for now, I’m focused on the long opportunity forming from demand. Have a great trading week and stay sharp! 🧠💹
Long
by Hassan_fx
5
BNB Breakdown or Fakeout? Key Levels AheadBNBUSDT – Possible Retest and Key Support Areas Price has decisively broken the ascending trendline. A retest of that trendline is now likely, followed by a potential move down toward the first support zone (light blue box) between $630 and $640. 📌 Main scenario: A strong bounce from this area could mark the beginning of a trend reversal (personally, I don’t think it will drop much further). However, if bearish pressure continues, the key levels to watch are: $610/$620 – the two dashed black lines inside the Fair Value Gap. $600 – second support. $580/$590 – final and most important support, a critical area for the trend structure. 📍 Price action to be watched closely in the coming hours.
by CryptoLvke
XRP - This is one of many great opportunitiesXRP is reaching a solid level of $2.1. I believe this level will attract investors for the following reasons : Technicals : After breaking the main resistance trendline, XRP is now reaching a solid support level presented in green. Price action : - In accumulating since Jan '25 - Resisted to last market dumps Beyond technicals : - Very strong community - Real services and strong team Market sentiment : The investors are now looking for a strong asset to invest in. They may switch their alts to any coin that shows strenght. For now, XRP is on the top list. Recap : - Risks : bad news from the team , whales dumping , ... - Main Target : $4 - Reward : near 100% BITSTAMP:XRPUSD COINBASE:XRPUSD BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P CRYPTOCAP:XRP KUCOIN:XRPUSDT
Long
by Monstralian
GBP/USD Shorts from the daily supplyI’m anticipating a potential retracement as price has been heavily bullish and is now beginning to show signs of being overbought. After recently breaking major structure to the upside, there’s room for a temporary sell-off as price corrects before continuing higher. I’ll be watching for possible reactions from the 59-minute demand zone for a minor bounce, but the more ideal long opportunity would be at the 12H demand zone around 1.3300, where structure is cleaner and confluences align. Confluences for Short-Term Sells: - A recent change of character (CHOCH) to the downside signals a shift in momentum - A clean daily supply zone has been left behind that could initiate a deeper pullback - Significant liquidity below, including the Asia low, ready to be swept - For price to maintain long-term bullish movement, it must first correct, fill imbalances, and mitigate valid demand levels P.S. If price drops further and breaks structure, we’ll likely see a new supply zone form. This will provide a closer and more refined opportunity to participate in the move. Stay sharp and trade safe! 📉📈
Short
by Hassan_fx
4
Will Webull replicate Hood's success?IPO Overview 1) Robinhood (Ticker: HOOD) -IPO Date: July 29, 2021 -IPO Price: $38 per share -Initial Valuation: Approximately $32 billion -First Day Performance: Shares closed down over 10%, reflecting investor concerns over valuation and regulatory scrutiny. 2) Webull (Ticker: BULL) -IPO Date: April 2025 (via SPAC merger with SK Growth Opportunities) -Initial Trading Price: $13.25 per share -First Day Performance: Shares surged up to 500%, reaching an intraday high of $79.56, with a market cap nearing $30 billion. Financial Metrics Comparison 1) Robinhood (2021) -Q2 Revenue: $565 million (131% YoY growth) -Net Loss: $502 million -Monthly Active Users: 21.3 million -Assets Under Custody: $102 billion -Average Revenue Per User (ARPU): $112 -Primary Revenue Sources: Payment for order flow, interest on cash balances, and cryptocurrency trading. 2) Webull (Q1 2025) -Revenue: $117.4 million (32% YoY growth) -Adjusted Operating Profit: $28.7 million -Net Profit Margin: 11.1% -User Base: Approximately 24.1 million -Revenue per Trade: Increased from $1.37 to $1.47 -Primary Revenue Sources: Commissions, interest-related income, and trading fees. Valuation Metrics 1) Robinhood -Current Market Cap: Approximately $36.85 billion -P/E Ratio: 23.18 -EPS: $1.75 2) Webull -Post-IPO Market Cap: Approximately $29.6 billion -Enterprise Value/Revenue: 19.67 -Enterprise Value/EBITDA: 445.91 Challenges and Controversies 1) Robinhood -Regulatory Scrutiny: Faced fines and investigations related to payment for order flow practices and outages during high-volatility periods. -User Trust Issues: Criticized for gamifying trading and for its role in the GameStop trading halt. -Security Breaches: Experienced data breaches affecting millions of users. 2) Webull -Regulatory Concerns: Scrutinized for its ties to Chinese parent companies, raising data privacy and national security concerns. -FINRA Fine: Fined $3 million in 2023 for inadequate due diligence in options trading approvals. -State-Level Actions: Banned on government devices in Tennessee due to data security concerns. Future Outlook While both companies have achieved significant user growth and market valuations, their paths diverge in several ways: -Profitability: Webull has demonstrated profitability with a positive net profit margin, whereas Robinhood faced substantial losses post-IPO. -Regulatory Environment: Robinhood's challenges have been primarily domestic, focusing on its business practices, while Webull faces international scrutiny due to its ownership structure. -Market Positioning: Robinhood has diversified its offerings, including retirement accounts and cash management, aiming for a broader financial ecosystem. Webull's focus remains on active traders, which may limit its market expansion. - Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions.
NASDAQ:BULLLong
by bossout10
5
XAU/USD Gold short to long ideaIn this week’s analysis, price is currently positioned between a few key zones where we could expect reactions. Given the overall bullish trend, we’ll be using the broader bias to guide our setups, but there’s also opportunity for tactical short-term plays. Recently, price has shown strong bearish structure, forming new supply zones such as the 6H supply, which is now close by. If price reacts from this level, there’s potential for short-term sells targeting the clean 9H demand zone below — a solid area where I’ll be looking for a possible Wyckoff accumulation and bullish continuation with the trend. Confluences for GOLD Shorts: - Recent strong bearish structure and downside moves - Significant liquidity and imbalance to the downside - Well-defined 6H supply zone has formed nearby - Market appears overbought, and bearish pressure is becoming more visible - For long-term bullish continuation, price may need to revisit the demand zone below P.S. If gold pushes higher first and sweeps the liquidity above, I’ll be watching closely for signs of Wyckoff distribution before considering any short-term sell setups. Patience is key — let the market show its hand before reacting.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
Is VRT (they make cooling systems for data centers) a buy ?Vertiv Holdings Co. (NYSE: VRT) is a leading provider of critical digital infrastructure and continuity solutions, particularly for data centers. Here's an overview of its recent performance, valuation, and potential challenges: Financial Performance Q1 2025 Highlights: -Revenue: $2.04 billion, a 24% increase year-over-year. -Adjusted EPS: $0.64, up ~49% from Q1 2024. -Adjusted Operating Profit: $337 million, a 35% increase from Q1 2024. -Book-to-Bill Ratio: Approximately 1.4x, indicating strong demand. -Backlog: Increased to $7.9 billion, up ~10% from the end of Q4 2024. Full-Year 2024 Performance: -Revenue: $8.012 billion, a 16.74% increase from 2023. -Net Income: $495 million, a 7.74% increase from 2023. Valuation Metrics -Market Capitalization: Approximately $41.13 billion. -Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Approximately 61.7x, which is higher than the industry average, indicating a premium valuation. -Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.1x. -Enterprise Value/EBITDA: 24.5x. -PEG Ratio: 2.7x, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued relative to its earnings growth. Potential Challenges -Valuation Concerns: The high P/E ratio suggests that the stock is priced for perfection. Any shortfall in performance could lead to a significant price correction. -Supply Chain Risks: Vertiv faces operational risks related to its supply chain and manufacturing processes. Disruptions could impact production and increase costs. -Regulatory and Legal Challenges: The company is exposed to various legal and regulatory risks that could impact its operations and financial performance. -Market Dynamics: A slowdown in data center equipment purchases, particularly from major clients like Microsoft and Google, could affect Vertiv's order volumes in the near term. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions.
NYSE:VRT
by bossout10
1
$ETHUSD LongBITSTAMP:ETHUSD has been consolidating within a daily inside bar for the past few sessions, signaling a potential move. 📈If bullish momentum resumes, we could see a strong breakout to the upside, with initial resistance expected around the $3,300 level. Currently, price is hovering near $2,500. 📉On the downside, if ETH fails to hold $2,400 and we see a weekly candle close below that level, it opens the door for a deeper retracement toward $2,000, and possibly as low as $1,800. My current targets to the upside are: 🎯 Upside Profit Targets: ✅ ~$2,850 ✅ ~$3,200 ✅ ~$3,600 - $4,000
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by DFW_ETH
**BTC/USD Forecast — May 31, 2025** 🕒 *Timeframe:* 15-Minute 💰 *Current Price:* **\$104,462** --- ### 🔍 **Key Levels** * 🔼 **Resistance Zone:** \$106,523 * 🔽 **Support Zone (Pullback Target):** \$102,900 * 🎯 **Upside Target:** \$112,000 --- ### 🧠 **Forecast Summary:** Bitcoin is showing **bullish intent**, but we anticipate a **short-term pullback** to the **support level at \$102,900** before the next leg up. **Scenario in Play:** 1. **Rejects or consolidates** near \$106,523 (resistance/liquidity sweep) 2. Pulls back toward **\$102,900** to fill imbalance and grab liquidity 3. **Launches higher** targeting the next major draw at **\$112,000** --- ### 🧭 **Execution Plan:** * Wait for **price reaction** at \$106,523 (possible short scalp or watch for reversal) * Buy zone between **\$102,900–\$103,200** after confirmation (e.g., bullish BOS on 5M/15M) * Target **\$112,000** as major liquidity draw and extended price delivery objective --- 📌 *Bias:* **Short-Term Pullback → Bullish Continuation** 📲 Follow **@PipNest** for intraday smart money setups and live market commentary.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by pipnest
S&P 500 Index -- Weekly Volatility Potential Good Afternoon! This week, I want to talk about the CBOE:SPX and its weekly potential for how I read historical volatility to weight it then to implied volatility -- this creates my custom trading ranges. Implied ranges for this week are calculated at 4 DTE using my strength of IV method. You can find out more how I do this over at my highlights page on 'X' - Find me @askHVtobidIV We are entering a short week, with IV currently in the 89th percentile for the year ( 18.31% ) and resonating between bi-weekly ( 19.36% ) and monthly ( 15.13% ) historical values. Quarterly volatility trends ( 31.79% ) have risen more than 10% this year alone due to macro concerns and increased news from tariff uncertainties. This is creating a volatile environment that, in turn, only increases our trading ranges. Something I personally like. Near-term trends are above the currently high IV environment, suggesting further expansion. This provides premium value on what is happening to what is projected to happen and a “strength of IV” of >100% indicating rising volatility, slowly towards quarterly means, while resonating around monthly trends. If price action drives downwards, our gap from May 16th could fill around $5,692.56 with confluence of HV21 trends at $5,710.91. Conversely, I can see HV10 ranges with rising pricing action and good macro news with EU tariffs breaking $5,971.33—Expanding to the price of $5,995.95 with continuing expansion and regression towards means. Come back next weekend as I will review the chart to see how we developed! For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
SP:SPX
by splitmyIVandmelt
"Gold Analysis Using Elliott Wave: Prolonged ABC Correction"I believe that gold is currently undergoing a significant and prolonged ABC correction. At the moment, we are in a subordinate wave structure, specifically within a WXY correction pattern, marked on the chart with , , , , , and in red. For the upcoming weeks and days, it is crucial to observe the potential price movements. In my chart, I have drawn the larger timeframe with white lines to illustrate the overarching trend, while a red line indicates the smaller, subordinate wave structure. Currently, we are in the red-marked WXY zone, which suggests that around the 3,286 level could be an ideal point to enter a long position targeting higher levels in wave Y. Conversely, this could also be an opportune moment to short down to wave B and then C. On the short-term chart, we are at point A, marked in yellow. After reaching A, I expect a trend reversal within the highlighted rectangle towards B (also marked in yellow), followed by an upward move to C. Subsequently, we may see a five-wave decline labeled as i, ii, iii, iv, v. After this decline, a corrective upward movement is anticipated, characterized by an ABC pattern. These are my expectations for gold based on this analysis. Please note that this information is for educational purposes only; there are no guarantees regarding trade execution or outcomes. Whether you decide to enter a position or not depends solely on your own judgment.
TVC:GOLDLong
by JachinIvan
CRV (swing setup) — Watching Liquidity Zone ReactionBINANCE:CRVUSDT is pulling back into a key liquidity zone around $0.60–$0.55. This area acted as prior resistance and is now being retested as support. A spike into this zone with a bullish reaction could offer a strong swing entry. Setup: 🟩 Liquidity Zone: $0.60–$0.55 Look for liquidity sweep and reversal signal within this zone. Key confluence with S/R flip and HTF demand. 🚫 Invalidation: • Daily close below $0.50 = setup invalid • Final defense at $0.4010 (monthly support) 🎯 First Target: $0.90+ Clear resistance above, likely to act as first take-profit zone if reversal plays out. Plan: • Monitor lower timeframes for entry trigger inside liquidity zone • Favor patience and confirmation — this is a high-R setup if structure holds 📌 Classic SFP setup at support — risk defined, upside open.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
ETHFI (swing setup) — Retest in Progress Eyes on Sweep & ReclaimBINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is retesting a key breakout zone after a strong rally. Current structure suggests a possible swing long setup forming, contingent on a liquidity sweep below $0.97 and a clean reclaim. Entry Criteria: 🟩 Retest Zone: $0.97–1.02 Looking for a sweep below $0.97 followed by a reclaim and bullish confirmation for entry. ❗ Invalidation: Close below $0.75 cancels the setup — indicates structural breakdown. 🎯 Target: $3.12+ Aiming for the top of the previous range — a 200%+ move if the reclaim holds. 📌 Big moves come from big levels — timing the reclaim is key.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
BTCUSDT Hello traders, wishing everyone a great weekend! I’ve identified a sell opportunity on BTCUSDT and decided to share it with you as well. 🔍 Trade Details: ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 / 1:4 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 103,826.28 ✔️ Take Profit: 103,428.15 ✔️ Stop Loss: 104,025.48 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay informed about upcoming trade ideas and advanced market insights.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
3
Bozo Benk – Road to Top 300 Bozo is a low-float, high-conviction breakout that’s showing all the early signs of a full-blown cycle runner. Right now, it’s flying under the radar — but that won’t last long. coingecko: BozoBenk Key Metrics: Current Market Cap: $4.72M Target Market Cap (Top 300 Range): ~$200M Total Supply: 800M Circulating Supply: ~400M (50% of tokens are locked) If we hit a $200M market cap on just 400M circulating tokens, that gives a projected price of: $200,000,000 / 400,000,000 = $0.50 per token That's a 100x from here — and yes, that’s within striking distance in meme coin terms when a proper run begins. Why This Isn’t Just “What If” Talk: Low Float = High Velocity With only 400M tokens in circulation, price impact per dollar is massive. When buyers show up, price moves fast — and that speed becomes the magnet. Breakout Is Confirmed After months of accumulation, Bozo just cleared its resistance zone. Volume spike. Momentum flip. Classic early-stage markup. Reflexivity Effect As price rises, more eyes come in. CT starts posting. Telegrams start firing signals. The crowd sees the move, and FOMO becomes self-fueling. This is how 10x becomes 50x. Realistic Target Based on Ecosystem $200M is not a moonshot. There are dozens of meme coins with less utility and worse structure sitting at or above that level. If capital rotates back into memes — and it always does — Bozo is positioned to ride that wave hard. The Alpha: This isn’t about “maybe” — it’s a perfect mix of low cap, reduced float, clean chart, and momentum fuel. A $200M market cap on 400M circulating tokens = $0.50. You're here at ~$0.005. That’s the kind of asymmetry you don’t get often — and when it runs, there won't be time to chase. Know what you hold. Trade it like you mean it.
ORCA:BOZOSOL_FEBCNK.USDLong
by Katri01
EURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakoutEURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakout — it's a deep reaction before the real move EURGBP continues to form a textbook bullish megaphone, a structure designed not to trend, but to destabilize — forcing liquidity on both sides while smart money quietly positions. Two touches above (January and April), two below (February and May) — clean geometry, expanding volatility. Price is now reacting from the lower boundary, but we are still inside the pattern — and that matters. The reaction zone sits right on the 0.786 Fibonacci level, near 0.8350, precisely where price meets the lower trendline and the 200-day moving average. The bounce didn’t come from noise — it came from confluence. Candle structure is clean, volume slightly expands — not panic, but controlled demand. As long as price holds above the MA200, the scenario remains intact. A break below kills the setup — but that hasn’t happened. We’re not in breakout mode — yet. But price action is shifting. Pullbacks are weak, candles are full-bodied, and sellers don’t press. Momentum indicators confirm early recovery, but the real signal lies in how price holds its ground at key structure without struggle. Buyers aren’t running — they’re holding position. If the market pushes above 0.8430–0.8480 and confirms — acceleration begins. Until then, we remain in balance. Every candle is a stress test — and so far, the structure is holding strong. If smart money controls 0.8350, the breakout won’t just be bullish — it’ll be aggressive.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
4