Shorting GUDaily and 4h time frame showing bearish order flow.
Potential internal range to external range move on both 4h and 1h time frame.
SMT divergence w EU
Beyond Technical Analysis
#SOL Don't worry until 240 $.but after that, 60 $ is coming.#SOL Don't worry until 240 $.but after that, 60 $ is coming.
#SOL Crash. We already warned when SOL is Trading above 240 $ ..
Past Analysis also attached.
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SPY Hanging on Mid-Range Support – Will It Rebound or Flush?⚠️ Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View
Current Price: ~$567.56
* SPY recently experienced a CHoCH followed by BOS, but now formed a new CHoCH → bearish shift in structure.
* Price is testing a minor demand zone between 566–567, holding just above the larger support base at 560–555.
* Volume increased on recent sell candles, showing seller control — but Stoch RSI signals nearing exhaustion.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover – but histogram showing potential slowing of momentum.
* Stoch RSI: Deeply oversold and starting to turn up – signals possible bounce/retracement coming.
🔐 Key Levels
Support Zones:
* 566–567 → Short-term demand / micro CHoCH
* 560 → Highest negative GEX zone – PUT support
* 555–550 → Strong liquidity zone & 2nd PUT Wall
Resistance Zones:
* 572.5 → HVL zone and broken structure
* 580 → Gamma wall zone, strong CALL resistance
* 590–600 → Extended resistance levels for swings
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade Pro)
* GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔵🔴 — Bearish skew, with a weak neutral pocket
* IVR: 26.4 → Volatility low, but near option seller zone
* IVx avg: 20.7
* PUT$%: 53.8% — Strong bearish hedging flow
* CALL Resistance: 580 → gamma ceiling
* PUT Wall:
* 560 → Highest negative NetGEX (dealer support)
* 555 & 550 → backup defense zones
* HVL: 572.5 → key flip level
📌 Current setup shows dealers are heavily short gamma below 572.5, causing negative delta pressure.
🛠️ Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 566–567
* If SPY holds and reclaims 570 with strong bid, a move toward HVL possible
* Entry: Break and hold above 570
* Target 1: 572.5
* Target 2: 578
* Stop-Loss: Below 565
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 3 $575 Calls
* OR Call Debit Spread: Buy $570 / Sell $580
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 565
* Confirmed lower high and break of demand → opens trapdoor
* Entry: Below 565 with momentum
* Target 1: 560
* Target 2: 555
* Target 3: 550
* Stop-Loss: Above 570
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 3 $560 Puts
* OR Put Spread: Buy $565 / Sell $555
🧭 Final Outlook
* Bias: Bearish → unless 572.5 HVL is reclaimed.
* SPY is caught between strong PUT support at 560 and heavy gamma ceiling at 580.
* If market sentiment worsens or macro triggers hit, 555 is the magnet zone.
* If buyers step in and hold 566+, bounce setups are likely — but it must reclaim HVL for any strength.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
PLTR Retracing into Structure – Gamma & Trend Support in Focus!🔍 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View
Current Price: ~$90.55
* PLTR broke out strongly from the CHoCH zone and achieved a Break of Structure (BOS) at the ~$94–95 level.
* It is now retracing inside the bullish channel, testing support just above the CHoCH region.
* Price is approaching a strong confluence zone of dynamic trendline support and previous resistance flipped support.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish but flattening — early sign of stabilization.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and starting to curve — watch for momentum reversal if it crosses upward.
🔐 Key Levels
Support:
* 89 → GEX HVL pivot zone, potential bounce level.
* 85 → Highest negative NETGEX support zone (PUT defense).
* 80 → Key PUT wall and broader liquidity zone.
Resistance:
* 94–95 → BOS supply zone + minor CALL wall.
* 100 → Major resistance (Gamma Wall + 3rd CALL Wall).
* 107.40 → Extended high – unlikely unless squeeze happens.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade Pro)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 – Fully Bullish
* IVR: 53.1
* IVx avg: 72.8
* CALL$%: 36.2% → Bullish positioning, strong call dominance
* Gamma Wall: 100 → Strong resistance magnet
* PUT Walls:
* 85 (Primary GEX support)
* 80 → backup floor
* HVL Cluster: 89 → Gamma pivot level today
📌 This positions PLTR in a bullish gamma structure, and the current pullback could be a buy-the-dip setup.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce off 89–90
* Price holds HVL/GEX pivot zone and shows signs of buyer absorption
* Entry: Above 91.5 with confirmation
* Target 1: 94
* Target 2: 95.5
* Target 3: 100 (Gamma squeeze)
* Stop-Loss: Below 88.5
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $95 Calls
* OR Bull Call Spread: Buy $90 / Sell $100 Calls
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 88.5
* Clean rejection from supply zone + break of rising channel
* Entry: Breakdown below 88
* Target 1: 85
* Target 2: 80
* Stop-Loss: Above 91
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $85 Puts
* OR Bear Put Spread: Buy $90 / Sell $85
🧭 Final Bias & Strategy
* Bias: Bullish unless price closes below 88.
* Currently consolidating near strong gamma and trendline support.
* As long as it holds above 89, there is potential for continuation toward 95–100.
* Watch for reclaim of BOS zone to trigger option flows toward the next CALL wall.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research.
NVDA Breakdown Confirmed! Will 110 Hold or Will Bears Target 105🔻 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View
Current Price: ~$112.20
* NVDA suffered a Break of Structure (BOS) from the rising wedge pattern.
* Price broke below key CHoCH and consolidation areas, and is now hovering just above major PUT support near $110.
* Volume on breakdown was heavy — bearish pressure is strong, but we are approaching a potential reversal zone.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish, but histogram is slowing → early signs of bearish momentum loss.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, starting to curl up → bounce attempt possible if support holds.
🔐 Key Levels to Watch
Support:
* 110 → Strong GEX PUT support & 2nd PUT Wall.
* 105 → 3rd PUT Wall + prior demand zone.
* 104.77 → Swing low — a break here opens the door to 100 psychological level.
Resistance:
* 115 → Highest negative NetGEX zone (put support flipped resistance).
* 119 → Previous HVL & key breakdown level.
* 125.09 → CALL wall & prior rejection area.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Insights (TanukiTrade Pro)
* GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔵🔴 — Bearish bias overall
* IVR: 21.4 (low)
* IVx avg: 52.5 → Traders not aggressively pricing future volatility
* CALL$%: 11.1% — Weak call flow suggests downside hedging still dominant
* PUT Pressure Zones:
* 110 → High dealer support zone
* 105 → 2nd critical wall
* Gamma Resistance: 119 → strong reversal zone if a bounce occurs
📌 This setup shows potential for a short-term bounce, but overall bearish gamma structure still dominates.
🛠️ Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Setup – Reclaim 115 After Holding 110
* A bounce from 110 may attract dip buyers for short squeeze toward 119
* Entry: Above 113.50 with volume
* Target 1: 115
* Target 2: 118.50–119
* Stop-Loss: Below 110
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $115 Calls
* OR Call Debit Spread: Buy $112.5 / Sell $120
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 110
* If 110 fails with momentum, flush to 105 becomes likely
* Entry: Break below 110 with confirmation
* Target 1: 105
* Target 2: 100 (psych level)
* Stop-Loss: Above 112.5
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $105 Puts
* Bear Put Spread: Buy $110 / Sell $105
🧭 Final Bias & Outlook
* Bias: Bearish unless 115 is reclaimed.
* Strong breakdown structure, bearish GEX sentiment, and low IVR suggest continued weakness unless we see buyer absorption at 110.
* If 110 breaks, expect increased put gamma pressure to drag toward 105 or lower.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk carefully and do your own due diligence.
AMZN Testing Key Support After Rally – Gamma Zone Ahead! 🚀 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Overview
Current Price Zone: ~$200.20
* AMZN made a Break of Structure (BOS) near $206 before rejecting from a key supply zone.
* Currently retracing into a rising channel support line and near previous CHoCH retest zone.
* The price is still inside a bullish structure — watching for reversal confirmation near $198–195.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish, but histogram flattening — suggests weakening momentum to the downside.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and starting to curl up — possible bounce setup.
🔐 Key Levels
Support:
* 195 → HVL + psychological round level + trendline support.
* 190 → Strong PUT support zone via GEX.
* 189.38 → Recent swing low – must hold for bulls to remain in control.
Resistance:
* 206–208 → Supply zone + previous BOS level.
* 210 → Gamma wall (Highest positive NetGEX)
* 220 → 3rd CALL Wall (far extension)
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade GEX Zones)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟡🟢 — Moderately Bullish
* IVR: 33.6
* IVx avg: 35.4 → Options are fairly priced, no volatility extremes
* CALL$%: 2.4% (weak call flow but dealers not aggressively hedging short)
* Key Gamma Wall: 210
* PUT Support: 190
* HVL Cluster: 195 (May expiry, pivotal)
📌 GEX suggests gamma compression between 195–206, with breakout potential above or breakdown if 190 fails.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 195 or Trendline
* If AMZN holds the rising channel and HVL zone around 195, reversal likely toward 206.
* Entry: Above 200 reclaim with volume
* Target 1: 204
* Target 2: 206
* Target 3: 210 (Gamma wall)
* Stop-Loss: Below 194.50
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $205 Calls
* OR Debit Call Spread: Buy $200 / Sell $210 Calls
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 195
* Break below channel support and HVL may trigger a flush to 190.
* Entry: Break of 194
* Target 1: 190
* Target 2: 185
* Stop-Loss: Above 197
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $190 Puts
* OR Bear Put Spread: Buy $195 / Sell $185
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Neutral → Leaning bullish if 195 holds.
* Gamma and SMC zones align for a bounce setup.
* If price fails to hold trendline near 195, bearish momentum may escalate toward 190 PUT Wall.
🎯 Key Watch: Reaction near $195 is everything today.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk.
AAPL Eyeing Gamma Reversal Zone – Will Bulls Defend the Pullback🍎 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Setup
Current Price Zone: ~$221.39
* AAPL recently broke structure to the upside (BOS) after a clean reversal from the CHoCH zone near 210–213.
* Price tapped the supply zone at 225–227.5 (aligned with GEX call resistance) and is now retracing.
* This pullback is happening in low volume, hinting at a possible reload phase.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover, but fading momentum — potential for a bullish crossover soon.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and curling, signaling potential bounce opportunity.
🔐 Key Zones
Support Levels:
* 217.5 → HVL support zone, critical gamma level.
* 215 → Strong PUT support zone; multiple touches + GEX protection.
* 210 → 2nd PUT wall and base of previous accumulation.
Resistance Levels:
* 225 → CALL resistance (Highest NetGEX + Gamma Wall)
* 227.5 → 2nd CALL Wall
* 230 → Extended target / 3rd CALL Wall
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 — Bullish
* IVR: 39.1
* IVx avg: 30
* PUT$%: 14.7% → Dealers are likely hedged long → may support dips
* Gamma Wall: 225 → Key resistance (calls dominate here)
* HVL Cluster: 217.5 → strong likelihood of pin or bounce at this level
📌 This sets up a Gamma Pin Scenario between 215 and 225, with room to breakout if buyers step in early.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce at 217.5–215
* If AAPL reclaims 220+ after defending HVL, expect push to retest resistance.
* Entry: On reclaim of 222 with volume
* Target 1: 225
* Target 2: 227.5
* Target 3: 230
* Stop-Loss: Below 215
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $225 Calls
* OR Bull Call Spread: Buy $222.5 / Sell $230 Calls for a defined risk
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 215
* Would indicate bulls failed to defend demand zone.
* Entry: On clean break of 215 with selling volume
* Target 1: 210
* Target 2: 208
* Stop-Loss: Above 218
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $210 Puts
* Bear Put Spread: Buy $215 / Sell $210
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Leaning Bullish above 217.5 — structure still supports higher low formation.
* If 217.5 breaks, watch 215 for final support test.
* GEX zones suggest dealers may support near 215 and sell near 225, so expect chop unless a catalyst forces breakout.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
TSLA Reversal or Continuation? Gamma Magnet at Work – Watch This ⚠️ Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Setup
Current Price Zone: ~$268.41
* TSLA recently broke structure to the upside (BOS) after a strong rally from the previous CHoCH zone near $230–240.
* After tapping into the supply zone at $282–288, price has pulled back toward $267–268.
* Still trading above all major recent swing lows and inside a potential retracement zone.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish cross, momentum slowing after breakout.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a possible bounce opportunity.
🔐 Key Zones
Support Levels:
* 267.50–268.00 → HVL + consolidation zone; key intraday pivot.
* 255 → Strong demand / GEX support zone.
* 250 → PUT wall and prior consolidation base.
Resistance Levels:
* 282.5–288 → Supply zone + 2nd CALL Wall.
* 300 → Gamma Wall and highest positive GEX — strong resistance unless momentum breakout.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade Sentiment)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 — Fully Bullish
* IVR: 62.7 → High implied volatility, tradable swings.
* IVx avg: 81.2
* CALL$%: 32.4% → Bullish call flow dominates.
* Support Walls:
* 255 (PUT Wall 1)
* 250 (Put Support)
* Resistance Walls:
* 282.5 (CALL Wall 2)
* 300 (Gamma Wall)
📌 With strong bullish options flow and GEX positioning, market makers are likely to support pullbacks and encourage reversion higher unless 255 breaks.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Rebound from 267–268 Zone
* Price respects current HVL zone and shows reversal signs.
* Entry: Break above 270 or reclaim with volume.
* Target 1: 275
* Target 2: 282.5
* Target 3: 288–300 (extended breakout)
* Stop-Loss: Below 265
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $275 Calls
* Aggressive: $280/$290 Call Spread targeting breakout to Gamma Wall
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 267
* If 267 fails and price breaks into lower zone.
* Entry: Break below 265 with strong volume
* Target 1: 255
* Target 2: 250
* Stop-Loss: Above 270
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $260 Puts
* Debit Spread: Buy $265 / Sell $255 Puts
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Bullish unless 267 fails.
* Key Level: 267.5 (gamma pivot) – price staying above suggests bullish continuation.
* GEX Implication: Dealers are long calls and may hedge by buying dips → supportive near 255–267.
📍 Ideal play today: Watch for early reversal near 267, and scale into calls on confirmation.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
MSFT Approaching a Key Reversal Zone – Will Bulls Defend Gamma?🔎 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Outlook
Current Price: ~$389.27
* MSFT is pulling back after making a local high near 396.31.
* The price is now sitting just above a demand block, marked by previous CHoCH and BOS levels, signaling a potential bounce zone.
* Structure is showing early signs of weakness, but key support at 382-385 is still intact.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover with histogram declining — watch for a potential shift if buyers step in at support.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, hinting at possible bounce if support holds.
Key Support Zones:
* 385 → Critical intraday support with 2nd PUT Wall.
* 382.87 → High confidence PUT level.
* 376.85 → Strong PUT support and bottom of the SMC zone (high reward bounce setup if defended).
Resistance Zones:
* 392.59 → Local rejection level.
* 396.31 → Key intraday resistance.
* 400 → Highest Positive NetGEX & Gamma Wall (major resistance zone).
* 405 → 2nd CALL Wall.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade GEX Zones)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🔴🟢 (Mixed — but put wall support is closer, bullish if held)
* IV Rank (IVR): 31.3
* IVx avg: 26.1 → Options pricing not overly volatile
* PUT$%: 9.6% – Moderate, suggesting dealers may provide support on dips
* Gamma Wall: At 400, major resistance
* PUT Support: At 380 with strong negative GEX (key defensive zone)
* HVL Cluster: Near 390 (May expiry), could pin price today if no catalyst.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Support Bounce from 385 or 382
* Price bounces from key SMC demand zone and starts reclaiming 390+
* Entry: 386–387 zone reclaim + volume
* Target 1: 392
* Target 2: 396
* Target 3: 400
* Stop-Loss: Below 382.5
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $390 Calls on bounce confirmation.
* Sell $385 Puts if confident in bounce continuation.
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown of 382
* If support fails at 382, expect a retest of 376.85 PUT support.
* Entry: Break below 382 with momentum
* Target 1: 376.85
* Target 2: 374 (liquidity sweep zone)
* Stop-Loss: Above 385.5
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $380 Puts
* Debit Spread: Buy $385 Put / Sell $380 Put
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Short-Term Bias: Neutral → Leaning bullish if 382-385 holds
* GEX Context: Gamma compression is possible between 382-392 – breakout above or breakdown below will trigger expansion.
* Intraday Plan:
* Watch for bounce at 385 zone.
* Flip bearish only below 382 with strong volume.
* If 392.5 breaks, bulls may charge back toward 396-400 zone.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk.
META at a Decision Point! Gamma Pressure Building – Intraday Tra🔍 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Outlook
Current Price Zone: ~$605
* META is sitting just above a key demand zone (595-585).
* It has pulled back from recent highs near 633, failing to hold the upper breakout.
* We saw a Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a lower high, suggesting weakness.
* A bullish CHoCH occurred prior, but it needs to defend current levels to remain valid.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover, momentum fading. Needs confirmation for reversal.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, which may suggest a short-term bounce or relief rally if price respects 595 support.
Key Support Zones:
* 595 → Key support, aligns with GEX Negative Wall (highest negative NetGEX zone).
* 590 → 2nd PUT Wall.
* 585 → 3rd PUT Wall and ultimate line before major structure breaks.
Key Resistance Zones:
* 620 → 2nd CALL Wall.
* 633-640 → Strong call resistance. Rejected earlier here.
* 650 → 3rd CALL Wall, extreme resistance unless there’s a breakout event.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (via TanukiTrade )
* GEX Sentiment: 🔵🔵🟢 (Mildly Bullish/Balanced)
* IV Rank (IVR): 33.8 – Slightly elevated, but not extreme.
* IVx Avg: 39.9 – Options pricing reflects a moderate volatility environment.
* Call$%: 11.6% → This shows PUTS are dominating the flow, which often supports the underlying.
* Highest Negative NetGEX: At 595, giving strong put-based dealer support.
* CALL Resistance: 620 → 640 → 650.
* PUT Walls: 595 → 590 → 585.
📌 This 595 area is heavily defended by dealers and acts as a gamma magnet zone, especially for mean reversion trades. It may also act as a base for bounce plays.
🔧 Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If META holds above 595 and breaks back above 610 with volume:
* Entry: Above 610 confirmation.
* Target 1: 620
* Target 2: 633 (previous high)
* Stop-Loss: Below 595
* Options Strategy:
* Buy Apr 12 $620 Calls on confirmation above 610.
* Alternatively, sell $590 Puts if confident in support holding.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If META loses 595 with high volume and no bounce:
* Entry: On breakdown of 595.
* Target 1: 590
* Target 2: 585
* Target 3: 574 (range lows)
* Stop-Loss: Above 605
* Options Strategy:
* Buy Apr 12 $590 Puts
* Or try a Put Debit Spread (595/585) for limited risk.
🧭 Bias & Final Thoughts:
* Short-term Intraday Bias: NEUTRAL → LEANING BEARISH unless 610 is reclaimed.
* GEX Bias: SUPPORTIVE under 595, but capped above 633.
* Watch for reaction at 595 – it’s the key battleground today.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
"Bitcoin's Bullish Reversal: Projected Pullback Before Surging TBitcoin has begun a downward trend from March 24th that could last 49 days, with a projected low near $75,000. This area may offer a strong entry point for swing traders aiming for the next leg up. If support holds, BTC could rally over the following 149 days toward a profit target of $154,000 — a potential 100%+ gain. Traders considering this move should watch for signs of reversal near $75K and manage risk with a stop loss just below $70,000 to protect against deeper downside.
US Recession Imminent! WARNING!Bond traders are best when it comes to economics. Stock traders not so much.
As the chart shows, historically, when rates bunch up, what follows is a recession. During the recession, the economy tries to fix itself by fanning out the yield curve, marking it cheaper to borrow and boosting the economy.
The best time to be buying up stocks and going long the market is when the yield curve is uninverted and fanned out wide—not when it is bunched up like this.
My followers know this is my first warning of a recession since FEB. 2020.
WARNING! Things can get ugly from here very quickly!
ZROUSDT - The star of this season!The coin has surged 150% in recent days, despite the overall bearish and depressing market.
This is a strong indication of momentum and growing hype around this coin. The daily chart shows stability at a key support level, highlighted in gray.
-It broke a major downtrend line that had been in place for over 3 months and successfully retested it.
-Long-term targets look extremely bullish, with massive upside potential.
-Holding this key support makes it a perfect entry point for buyers.
-Price projection suggests a reverse H&S pattern completion, followed by a breakout and continuation to the upside.
Everything looks perfectly aligned on the chart!
best regards Ceciliones🎯
GAMUDA MARK UP CAMPAIGN
So, a rare schematic of wyckoff spotted. Finally.
A Type #1 Schematic of Accmulation
I have been started my position as attached, along with my clients (Red Line)
Technically :
1/ The Spring is very nice, Textbook Classic as mentioned by David Weiss
2/ The Feather's weight along with SpringBoard (Yellow LIne) prompted us to add position
With the QR, released yesterday showing an increase profit margin + revenue + earning.
PureWyckoff
aily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 27th March 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Final GDP q/q
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-Consolidation in 4hr time frame
-Looking for price to respect the high & low on the 4hr structure before the GDP news
-Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3000,3040
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Gold shortLooking for shorts around 3056$.
Nice range has formed around 3000-3050$.
I will try to short top of the range and long the bottom.
Trump's Auto Tariffs Shake Things Up on Wall StreetTrump's tariffs are clearly not going away. In fact, he's upped the ante with a 25% tariff on all non-US cars, vowed to target pharmaceuticals and promised more are to come on April 2nd. Given the dire weakness in consumer sentiment data, I suspect Wall Street indices may have seen a swing high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
ES Update1) My apologies for getting the PCE release date wrong, it's Friday, not today. Still made money on my XLF calls plus AAPL also went up this morning.
2) There's a small open gap on ES, RTY, and YM from the one hour break after market close. It looks like it might fill overnight. Make sure you check tomorrow morning.
3) The gap below is still open, and it looks like 3hr MFI and RSI want to hit oversold tomorrow.
4) Sorry for not checking the news, I can barely even make trades on my phone while at work. Had I known today was auto tariff day, I would have played things differently.
Personally, I think PCE numbers are a moo point (my Friends will get the joke) because auto tariffs will drive inflation up, but there's bound to be a bounce when MFI and RSI get oversold. If I decide to go long tomorrow, it'll probably just be a handful of XLF calls again.
XLF will probably dip tomorrow because higher auto prices means fewer auto loans and higher inflation this summer. Market will still go up Friday if indicators get oversold, so it's just a quick play, not an investment.
At this point, all I can recommend is that you keep an eye on the 3 hr indicators, seems to be working well. Also, XLF and AAPL completed intraday patterns from yesterday, so there is that too.
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks - Easy MoneyNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks, it could drop a little forsure but with my back testing of this strategy, its good long now, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Open Gap AlertFutures gapped down after the one hour break, NQ filled the gap, ES has a very small gap, and RTY/YM have an unfilled gap.
I think that's why futures are acting a bit weird right now. We'll see which gap fills first tomorrow.
VOE LONGAs you can clearly see the VOESTALPINE AG stock has found support at a key order block, aligning closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement — a typical entry point for smart money. Since then, price action has stabilized and is starting to push higher. The declining short interest ratio suggests bearish pressure is easing, while the rising volume delta points to increasing demand. This confluence could signal accumulation and a potential continuation to the upside. Watching for further confirmation and a clean break above recent highs.
#SmartMoney #OrderBlock #VolumeDelta #Fibonacci50 #ShortSqueeze #AccumulationPhase #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #BullishSetup #PriceAction #Orderflow #SwingTrading #TradingViewIdeas
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 137.28
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The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the SOLUSD chart.
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(ETHUSD 1D chart)
The circled sections on the chart are important support and resistance sections.
Since the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are passing through the 137.28-180.38 range, it is important to see whether it can receive support and rise this time.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the Fibonacci ratio range of 2 (80.31) ~ 1.902 (88.47).
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We need to see if the OBV can rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 1.27 (141.08) as it rises above the middle line.
Since the OBV indicator itself has fallen below the 0 point, there is a high possibility that the selling pressure will increase.
Therefore, we need to check the support and resistance points when the OBV rises above the 0 point.
If it shows support near 180.38, I think it is highly likely that it will turn into an upward trend and rise.
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Therefore, when the competition starts, check if it is located in the 137.28-180.38 range, and if not, it is expected that a sell (SHORT) position will be advantageous.
Even if the price is maintained above 137.28,
- There is a possibility that it will be difficult to maintain a buy (LONG) position due to the fact that the OBV is located below the 0 point,
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1M charts is in a reverse arrangement, etc.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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