King BTC - Bitcoin Dominance Continues to Go Up OnlyIf market cycles still matter, this current one will be remembered as a disappointment by many crypto traders. With Bitcoin Dominance up-only, this has been the cycle of institutional traders who accumulate Bitcoin. For years, crypto traders hoped that institutions would 'buy our bags'. But for now, only 'King BTC' has benefitted. From its low point at less than 40%, Bitcoin market cap dominance versus the rest of the crypto markets is now sitting at 65%. The times when crypto traders would 'hunt gems' and hold Altcoins that would go up 10-100x are over. Between the 'crypto trenches' of memecoin traders hunting very low cap memes that can go up multiples and then go back to 0 even quicker and 'King BTC', not much of the rest of the market has caught a bid.
The picture is completely different on the institutional side. For many funds, Bitcoin is now part of a core treasury strategy. Pensions and endowments dip in through ETF exposure. Especially in the US, the regulatory and legal outlook are improving rapidly under a pro-crypto US administration. Asset managers like BlackRock are promoting BTC as a long-term store of value with lower correlation to equities than previously assumed.
In fact, institutional Bitcoin FOMO is accelerating rapidly. Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy famously leveraged its balance sheet to borrow funds, buy Bitcoin for its treasury and then rinse and repeat. The strong performance of MicroStrategy has unsurprisingly led to copy-cats. This week, GameStop became the latest one, confirming that it had bought 4,710 BTC worth about $513 million. In a sign that the buck might not stop here, SharpLink, a performance-based marketing company serving the U.S. sports betting and global iGaming industries, launched a $425million private placement to accumulate Ethereum into its treasury.
Leaving aside the question of who would lend so much money to a sports marketing company, other burning questions remain. Will Bitcoin FOMO lead to another parabolic rally? Will Ethereum treasury-buys finally lead to new all-time-highs for the 2nd largest Crypto Coin by market cap? And will that lead to a 'more traditional' Altcoin rally? Maybe most importantly: how sustainable is the MicroStrategy Treasury accumulation?
As always in Crypto markets, reflexivity is strong on the way up, but critical on the way down. If the BTC price ever drops below the average purchase price of its Bitcoin and debt-rollover deadlines are approaching, will MicroStrategy end up having to sell Bitcoin in a fire sale? Past market history tends to agree with Murphy's Law: usually, whatever can go wrong in crypto, eventually does go wrong. Maybe the day will come when the rise of Bitcoin dominance will stop 'the hard way'.
Beyond Technical Analysis
EMAAR Properties (Dubai)Emaar Properties, a leading real estate developer based in Dubai, has demonstrated robust financial performance in 2024, achieving record-breaking figures across various metrics.
Financial Performance:
Revenue: Emaar reported its highest-ever revenue of AED 35.5 billion (approximately US\$9.6 billion) in 2024, marking a 33% increase compared to the previous year.
Net Profit: The company's net profit before tax rose by 25% to AED 18.9 billion (US\$5.1 billion), reflecting strong operational efficiency and profitability.
Property Sales: Emaar achieved record property sales of AED 70 billion (US\$19 billion), a 72% increase over 2023 figures.
Revenue Backlog: The company's revenue backlog from property sales surpassed AED 110 billion (US\$30 billion) as of December 31, 2024, indicating robust future revenue streams.
Balance Sheet and Financial Ratios:
Total Assets: Emaar's total assets increased to AED 160.2 billion in 2024, up from AED 139.4 billion in 2023.
Total Equity: The company's total equity rose to AED 96.1 billion in 2024, reflecting a strong capital base.
Debt Levels: Emaar's total debt stood at approximately AED 9.6 billion as of the most recent quarter, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 10.5%, indicating prudent financial leverage.
Strategic Developments:
Dividend Policy: In December 2024, Emaar announced a new dividend policy, proposing its highest-ever dividend of 100% of share capital for 2024, amounting to AED 8.8 billion.
Land Acquisition: The company acquired 141 million square feet of development land in prime areas of Dubai, with a total development value of AED 96 billion, positioning itself for sustained growth.
Market Position and Outlook:
Emaar's strong financial performance in 2024 reflects its resilience and adaptability in a competitive real estate market. The company's strategic initiatives, including significant land acquisitions and a generous dividend policy, underscore its commitment to delivering value to shareholders. With a substantial revenue backlog and a robust pipeline of projects, Emaar is well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the real estate sector.
-*Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion and not financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. Any losses incurred are solely at your own risk.*
EV Crossroads: Is BYD's Price War the Future of Mobility?The electric vehicle (EV) sector is currently navigating a period of significant turbulence, exemplified by the recent stock decline of Chinese EV giant BYD Company Limited. This downturn follows BYD's aggressive strategy of implementing sweeping price cuts, ranging from 10% to as much as 34% across its electric and plug-in hybrid models. This bold maneuver, primarily aimed at reducing a burgeoning inventory that swelled by approximately 150,000 units in early 2025, has ignited fears of an intensified price war within China's fiercely competitive EV market. While analysts suggest these discounts could temporarily boost sales, they also underscore deeper anxieties stemming from slowing EV demand, persistent economic sluggishness in China, and ongoing US-China trade frictions, leading to concerns about margin compression across the industry.
In stark contrast to BYD's emphasis on manufacturing scale, vertical integration, and aggressive pricing, Tesla distinguishes itself through a relentless pursuit of technological supremacy, particularly in autonomous driving. Tesla's foundational commitment to autonomy is evident in its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, which has accumulated over 3.5 billion miles of data, and its substantial investments in the "Dojo" supercomputer and custom AI chip development. While BYD is also investing in advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), including the adoption of DeepSeek’s R1 AI model, Tesla's ambitious Robotaxi project represents a higher-risk, higher-reward proposition centered on true unsupervised autonomy, a strategy that proponents believe could fundamentally transform its valuation.
Further complicating the competitive landscape are escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and China, casting a long shadow over Chinese companies with exposure to US capital markets. Despite BYD's strategic avoidance of the US passenger car market by focusing on other international regions like Europe and Southeast Asia, the broader implications of Sino-American friction are inescapable. Chinese firms listed on US exchanges face rigorous regulatory scrutiny, the persistent threat of delisting under legislation like the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), and the chilling effect of broader trade restrictions. This environment has led to stark warnings from financial institutions, with Goldman Sachs, for instance, outlining an "Extreme Scenario" where the collective market value of US-listed Chinese stocks could effectively vanish, highlighting how geopolitical stability is now as crucial to investment outcomes as any balance sheet.
Safe Entry ZoneStock Pre-market in Down Movement.
We have Three Main Support Fesh Zones acts as good support for IONQ:
1- The Blue POI IC (Point Of Interesting or Institutional Candle) acts as support level which is interest zone for price to re-test @ 38-36 price level.
2- The 1h Green Zone @ 33-34 Price level
3- P.High (previous High) Line at 29.5 price level
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
GBPUSD Decision Point | Will the Order Block Hold or Fold?GBPUSD | Smart Money Liquidity Trap or Bullish Breakout?
Here’s a high-probability play based on Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, and channel structure—one of the cleanest SMC setups on cable this week.
📊 1. Market Overview
GBPUSD is currently pulling back after a sharp drop, retesting the premium zone Order Block on the H1 timeframe.
Structure remains bullish inside the ascending channel, but there’s major indecision here—will it break above the OB, or retrace deeper into the Fair Value Gap zone?
🧠 2. Dual Bias Logic
You’ve mapped out two valid SMC scenarios (marked in red & blue arrows):
🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Trap + Deep Liquidity Grab
Price reacts from the Order Block (purple zone)
Rejects and breaks down into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 1.33300
Targets liquidity resting below prior structure
🔺 Scenario 2: Order Block Respect + Long Continuation
OB holds, price flips bullish
Pushes above 1.35260 for bullish continuation
Final target near channel top @ 1.35920–1.36000 zone
Both scenarios are textbook Smart Money setups — based on how price reacts at this OB, we’ll get the direction.
🧱 3. Key Zones
🔵 Order Block: 1.3445 – 1.3526
🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): 1.3330 – 1.3283
🟢 Target (Bullish): 1.3600
🔻 Target (Bearish): 1.3280
⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Potential
Whether you go long from the FVG or short from the OB, both have:
✅ Clean entries
✅ Clear invalidation zones
✅ Strong RRR potential (1:3 to 1:4+)
📌 5. Watchlist Note
💡 If price taps into the OB and shows weak momentum, prepare for shorts targeting the FVG
💡 If it holds the OB cleanly with bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure), ride the long back to channel highs
💬 Call to Action:
📈 Add GBPUSD to your SMC sniper list this week
💬 Comment “OB or FVG? 🤔” if you're waiting to catch the bounce
📌 Save this post for Smart Money reference setups
Gold False breakdown Looking Growth Gold once Bullish Direction Trade according Read Caption
Gold appears to be in a corrective phase, with a confirmed uptrend line forming. The recent price action shows a false breakdown of support, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. This movement occurs amid a temporary correction in the US dollar, though the dollar remains broadly stable, supported by The Federal Reserve’s continued hawkish stance, and A court ruling blocking former President Trump's proposed tariffs, which has helped ease market uncertainty and supported USD resilience.
on the D1 gold rebounding from strong resistance and heading wards the strong resistance rising trend line.
Resistance zone 3325 / 3326
Support Line 3280 / 3265
ps support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks Traders,
EURNZDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURNZD?
The EURNZD pair is currently trading below a key resistance zone, showing signs of hesitation near this level.
We expect the price to consolidate briefly within this area, and then decline toward the specified support level if the resistance holds.
As long as the pair remains below resistance, the bearish bias remains intact, and a move lower is likely.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTC SHORT correction. CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H
This is not what I would bet on today, but in general I think the correction is not over
The marked zone of interest is a potential opportunity to open a local short position, without overestimating the volume in the deal
Local targets are: $103,424, $102,001, $100,717
EUR/USD May Face Minor Pullback Amid USD Strength📊 Market Overview:
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1330, slightly retreating after reaching near 1.1390 earlier this week. The US dollar is strengthening due to robust consumer confidence data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for an extended period. Meanwhile, the euro faces pressure as investors await upcoming Eurozone inflation data.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 1.1390
• Nearest Support: 1.1255
• EMA: Price remains above the 9-day EMA, indicating the uptrend is still intact.
• RSI: Near 60, suggesting mild overbought conditions.
• MACD: Forming a bearish crossover, signaling potential short-term correction.
📌 Outlook:
EUR/USD may continue to pull back in the short term if it fails to break above the 1.1390 resistance and the US dollar maintains its strength.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
Sell EUR/USD at: 1.1380 – 1.1390
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1255
❌ Stop Loss: 1.1420
Buy EUR/USD at: 1.1255
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1350
❌ Stop Loss: 1.1215
AUD_NZD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅AUD_NZD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.0783 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
China or no China, it's just a quick flip (ideally) for meThis one actually gave a signal yesterday and I bought it then. With NVDA's earnings it popped 4% and I got out after hours (thankfully). It gave another signal again today, which doesn't happen all the time so I'm going back for a double dip. The best part is that the second of 2 signals in a row usually pays off fast and well - which of course means I just jinxed myself. This is a stock in a long term uptrend, though, and that makes me worry a lot less. The market has repriced it because of the China news, but the market has a short memory.
Data is greater than superstition, anyway. The last 20 signals have produced an average return of 1.92% in an average of 10.5 days, but that's not the whole story. The median result is much better - +1.45% in 1.5 days. So with all that in mind, I got back into this one today at 284.50. I can't say for sure that this will be an FPC close - it depends on how things go.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
$BTC CHANNEL BROKEN — Uptrend lostThe uptrend is broken, momentum slowing (bearish divergence on AO). Best long setup only in deep discount, around $92k — set alerts and bids. Any bounce from $102.4k is only for quick play, not main entry. Flip bullish only if the channel is reclaimed.
Any bounce from $102.4k — short-term only.
Bearish momentum building, patience over FOMO.
Only flipping bullish if price gets back inside the channel.
The TACO Trade Is Back!🌮 AMEX:SPY
📊 The Setup:
The TACO trade ("Trump Always Chickens Out") continues to prove its resilience in the face of trade war headlines. The market dips sharply when tariffs are announced, and then surges back up as the news cycle turns, with Trump pausing or reversing his decisions.
We’ve seen multiple examples of this year-to-date on the AMEX:SPY chart:
🔹 Trump Pauses Tariffs for Canada & Mexico – market bounces.
🔹 Trump Pauses Most Liberation Day Tariffs – another bounce.
🔹 Trump Floats Lowering Tariffs on China – bounce continues.
🔹 Trump Pushes Back EU Tariffs to July – market rips higher.
It’s as if every tariff tantrum is followed by an inevitable rebound. Could this be the pattern to trade around for the next few months?
At this point, it almost feels like we’re watching a predictable movie. Every new threat to impose tariffs or spark a trade war is just a scene in the “TACO” storyline, and the markets are starting to get used to the plot twist.
Are we playing into an endless loop of fear and relief? Is this time different, or just the same old TACO? How much longer can we trust that the market will “chicken out” and bounce back every time tariffs are floated?
XAUUSD 8H: This isn’t balance — it’s broadening distributionAt first glance, it may seem like gold is consolidating. In reality, price is unfolding inside a broadening formation — a structure where highs stretch higher, lows drop deeper, and real direction vanishes behind controlled volatility. This isn’t random noise. It’s Smart Money engineering a distribution phase under the cover of market indecision. And right now, the direction is forming clearly — downward.
The key moment was the failed breakout above 3357 on May 24. Volume spiked 19% above average, but the candle body collapsed. That’s a textbook deviation — a classic liquidity grab. The next candle confirmed the failure by closing back below the level, and no bullish recovery followed. Instead, price printed a lower high around 3305–3315, failing to retest the top. And when price can’t go higher — it usually goes lower.
Confirmation comes from the Anchored VWAP from May 13, which was broken cleanly and never retested. That’s a major shift in control — from buyer to seller. Now price trades below VWAP, with every bullish candle fading and every bearish reaction gaining strength. This is not trend continuation. This is exhaustion.
Volume profile shows the Point of Control between 3297 and 3301 — and price sits well below it. The bulk of liquidity is now overhead. That zone between 3305–3315 is where Smart Money already sold once — and if price returns there, it becomes an ideal re-entry short zone, especially if followed by rejection candles or low-volume pushups.
Targets are clean:
→ 3228 — first liquidity shelf.
→ 3164 — former impulse base.
→ 3084 — if breakdown accelerates.
Everything lines up: deviation, failed breakout, VWAP lost, volume fading, lower highs forming. This isn’t a pause. This is a phase transition — and the market already voted.
Is ETORO overvalued or undervalued at 60$?
IPO Performance and Valuation:
-IPO Pricing: eToro priced its IPO at $52 per share, above the anticipated range of $46–$50, raising approximately $620 million and achieving a valuation of around $4.2 billion.
-Market Debut: On its first trading day, eToro's shares surged, opening at $69.69 and closing at $67, pushing its market capitalization to approximately $5.5 billion.
Financial Metrics:
-Revenue and Profit: In 2024, eToro reported revenues of $931 million and a net income of $192 million, marking a significant turnaround from a net loss of $21 million in 2022.
-Valuation Multiples: At the IPO price of $52, eToro's valuation was about 4.5 times its 2024 revenue and approximately 23.4 times its net income. At the current share price of $62.07, these multiples increase to roughly 5.8 times revenue and 28.6 times net income.
Comparative Analysis:
Industry Peers: Compared to peers like Robinhood, which trades at higher multiples, eToro's valuation appears moderate. However, it's essential to consider differences in business models, market presence, and growth trajectories.
Considerations:
-Growth Prospects: eToro's expansion into new markets and product offerings could justify higher valuations if growth targets are met.
-Regulatory Environment: The company has faced regulatory challenges in various jurisdictions, which could impact future operations and profitability.
Disclaimer:
This is just my personal opinion and not professional financial advice. Any investment decisions you make are entirely your responsibility. I am not a licensed financial advisor, and I do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided. The figures mentioned may be inaccurate, outdated, or subject to change — so please do your own research and due diligence before making any financial decisions. Investing involves risk, and any losses incurred are at your own risk.
LDO 3D LONGBINANCE:LDOUSDT is carving out a higher-low on the 3D chart right at critical support—prime setup for a swing long.
1. Context & Structure
• Tested & held the monthly support zone around $0.876–$0.883
• False break below followed by quick reclaim—sign of seller exhaustion
• Forming a “cup-and-handle” style recovery after prolonged sell-off
• Market-wide altcoin bottoming in sync
2. Key Levels
• Buy Zone: $0.876–$0.883
• Stop-Loss: weekly close or 3D close below $0.701
• Take-Profit 1: $1.413 (next 3D swing high & supply zone)
• Take-Profit 2: $4.036 (upper range / untapped highs)
3. Trading Plan
– Primary: Scale in full position across $0.876–$0.883; trail stop below $0.701
– Alternate: If price dips back to $0.701 & reclaims quickly, consider re-entry on the reversal
4. Triggers
– Bullish 3D close above $0.883 with volume spike
– Sweep of $0.876 with fast recovery above $0.883
– Broad altcoin strength confirming synchronized bottom
As long as $0.876 holds, the mid-term long thesis stays valid. Targets at $1.413 and $4.036 offer 61% & 359% upside, respectively. Trade the confirmed bottom—patience and discipline win. 🚀
JPYUSD Technical Analysis | (MMC) in Play + Target🟦 1. Structure & Price Action Overview
The chart is of JPY/USD on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a clear picture of price movement over several weeks.
We see three major market phases:
Range/Resistance Phase (Left side of chart)
Uptrend Phase (Middle – rising channel)
Reversal Setup (Right side – potential bearish move forming)
📈 2. Uptrend Channel (Accumulation to Expansion Phase)
From around May 13th, price started forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting a bullish channel (light blue shaded area).
This is a classic ascending channel, often seen during a controlled uptrend where buyers are still in control but momentum is slowing.
The channel took price directly into the resistance zone (marked in purple at the top).
🚫 3. Resistance Zone Rejection (Key Supply Zone)
Once price hit the resistance zone (~0.00705), it failed to break higher.
This level had previously caused sharp drops, so it's a well-established supply zone.
Price was rejected and dropped sharply, breaking out of the ascending channel – a strong bearish signal.
🔄 4. Mirror Market Concept (MMC) – Curve Bending Pattern
After the initial drop, price attempted a bounce, but couldn't even reach previous highs.
The curved arrow labeled "Curve Bending" shows how the market is “bending” its momentum – not pushing upward anymore but turning into a reversal.
This forms the mirror of the previous rise – indicating the market is ready to “mirror” that previous bullish leg, but to the downside.
🔄 5. SR Interchange (Support Flipped Resistance)
The previous demand zone (around 0.006950–0.007000), where buyers pushed price higher during the uptrend, is now acting as resistance.
This is called an SR Flip (Support becomes Resistance) – a very reliable technical sign of trend reversal.
🎯 6. Bearish Target Projection
Based on MMC and symmetry of past movements, the chart is projecting a strong drop toward the 0.006800 support zone.
This zone is also historically significant and acted as a demand area earlier.
The black arrow and target box show this expected move, which aligns with the mirror structure.
🧩 Conclusion & Trade Plan
Bias: Strong Bearish
Confirmation : Channel break + rejection at resistance + curve bending
Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 0.00700 and breaks below 0.006930
Target: 0.006800
Invalidation : Clean break & hold above 0.007050
🛡️ Pro Tips:
Don’t just jump in — wait for bearish confirmation (like a bearish engulfing candle, or a failed retest).
Always set your SL (Stop Loss) above the resistance zone (~0.007050).
Let the setup come to you — don’t force trades.
EUR/USD - BUY BUY BUY!Here in my personal Opinion I can see a few potential reasons to buy with high confidence.
Firstly- Weekly timeframe is showing a Bullish movement with us closing last week with a strong volume candle.
Secondly- On the Daily time frame we can see this is a high possibility of a 5th leg of elliots wave to finish this Bullish run.
Thirdly- The Daily has pushed out of the 71% level from the first demand zone. Following this on the 4H Time frame we can notice this previous push has also giving a strong Liqudity Grab into the new 71% level telling me Buyers are still highly in control.
I will be looking to trade into Buy side Liquidity after this Volume gap has been filled
Follow along for more updates