Silver possible repeat pattern setting upJust trying to see where the next move will be. The pattern trying tp plays out should be soon wait for your confirmations before entering. Hope this helps
Beyond Technical Analysis
Can XAUUSD Continue to Go Up?Last week was a bearish one for XAUUSD, following a strong bullish surge the week prior. The key question now is: can gold reclaim the highs it reached two weeks ago?
From a macro perspective, institutions remain net long and have even increased their long positions, signaling continued confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. On the geo-economic front, tensions in the Middle East persist, with growing involvement from the U.S., adding to the uncertainty that typically supports gold prices.
Personally, I maintain a bullish bias on XAUUSD for now, supported by both fundamental and geopolitical drivers. However, if the landscape changes — whether through technical invalidation or shifts in sentiment — I’m prepared to adapt accordingly.
SPY At Risk as Geopolitical Tensions Rise Jun 23 — What Monday Holds for Bulls & Bears ⚔️📉
🔍 GEX & Options Sentiment Overview:
From the daily GEX chart:
* Key Gamma Levels:
* 📍Call Walls: 597 → 602 (supply zones), strong resistance.
* 📍Put Walls: 590 → 587 → 572, significant gamma exposure to the downside.
* High Volatility Zone (HVL) at 590 – a trigger level; under this, the market may accelerate downside toward 587 and even 572.
* GEX Summary:
* PUTS: 80.4% dominance
* GEX Net: 🔴 extremely negative
* IVR 23.3, still on the lower side but rising
* Implication: Dealers are hedging to the downside. Gamma exposure creates risk of accelerated selloff below 590.
📊 Technical Analysis – Daily (1D)
* Price: 594.28 (as of Friday close)
* Trend: Daily candle broke prior support; new lower high confirmed.
* Structure:
* Failed to reclaim 597, now acting as local resistance
* Next major demand zone: 587
* Trendline from the recent highs shows lower highs; bearish continuation forming.
* Volume: Bearish candle closed with strong volume — sign of institutional distribution.
⏱️ Intraday TA – 1H Chart
* CHoCH/BOS: Confirmed Break of Structure near 591, then a small rally attempt.
* Micro Supply Box: 596.5–597.5 — liquidity trap if SPY rallies into it.
* Support Zones:
* 593.35 / 594.00 – holding Friday’s bounce.
* If fails, expect sweep to 590 → 587.
* Trendline Pressure: Downward diagonal trendline rejecting every bounce. Unless a full candle close over 599.50, bias remains bearish.
⚠️ Geopolitical Risk – U.S. Bombs Iran
* News: U.S. launched targeted airstrikes on Iranian assets. Market now faces:
* Flight to safety: TLT, Gold, and USD may rise.
* Oil likely spikes — expect XLE and energy stocks to outperform.
* Tech and indexes may open with gap-down risk due to heightened geopolitical uncertainty.
* SPY Implications:
* Risk-off behavior could amplify sell-off under 590.
* Traders may hedge via VIX calls, gold futures, or SPY puts.
* Watch for VIX spikes or DXY rally as confirmation of sentiment shift.
🧠 Trade Scenarios – Monday June 24
🔻 Bearish Case (High-Probability if Geopolitical Escalates)
* Rejects at 596–597 zone (supply)
* Entry: ~595–596 rejection
* Targets: 590 → 587 → 572 (extreme GEX)
* Stop: 598.5–599.2 above supply box
🔼 Bullish Case (If Market Shakes Off Iran Tension)
* Breaks over 597.5, closes above 599.5 (CHoCH confirmation)
* Entry: 598–599 breakout
* Targets: 602 → 604.5 (2nd Call Wall)
* Stop: 596.5
📌 My Thoughts:
SPY is sitting on a knife’s edge. GEX is screaming downside, and now geopolitical risk adds another layer of pressure. Monday could open with volatility spikes, and if the market gaps down under 590, it might cascade to 587 fast.
Only a reclaim above 599.5 invalidates the bearish structure — and even then, macro headlines might limit upside. Stay nimble. Hedge if holding longs.
🧭 Action Plan for Monday:
* Scalpers: Watch the 596–597 rejection zone — quick puts may work well.
* Swing traders: Use HVL 590 as pivot. Lose it? Target 587.
* Hedgers: VIX calls or GLD may provide cushion.
* Macro watchers: Monitor oil (USO), DXY, and bonds (TLT) for risk-on/off cues.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
COF – Capital One Financial WaverVanir Long-Term Vault Protocol🔐 Posted by: WaverVanir_International_LLC
🗓 June 22, 2025 | Chart:
“We don’t trade the chart. We activate the timeline.” – VolanX
This post isn’t just a technical read — it’s a capital alignment broadcast. WaverVanir has identified Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF) as a long-term macro asset embedded within the upcoming credit-tech realignment cycle.
🧠 THE BIG IDEA:
Capital One is not just a credit card company — it's evolving into a data-native, AI-compatible financial infrastructure layer. The rise of virtual cards, adaptive underwriting, and embedded B2B lending platforms puts COF at the center of modern financial sovereignty.
📊 CHART INSIGHT – SMART MONEY DIMENSION SHIFT
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) above $196 confirms demand-based control
🎯 Fibonacci Expansion Target Zones:
$226.27 = baseline activation
$264.27 = valuation unlock
$312.62 = timeline merge
$365.99–$400.59 = VolanX node fulfillment
📌 Premium zone reaccumulation is underway. Weak hands may exit. Strong systems enter.
📰 RECENT CATALYSTS:
🔒 Capital One x Discover merger announcement in Q2 sparked consolidation speculation
🌐 AI-native underwriting models launched for small business + retail
💳 Record digital payment volume via virtual cards (like the one WaverVanir currently deploys)
💼 Capital One Labs expanding banking-as-a-service offerings to developers and fintech partners
💼 WAVERVANIR STRATEGIC DISCLOSURE:
WaverVanir International LLC is opening an institutional trustline with Capital One.
We are preparing to absorb and deploy up to $100M in structured credit toward a next-generation AI trading and intelligence ecosystem — VolanX.
📣 This chart is not financial advice. It's a signal:
COF is not a bank stock. It's a capital lattice.
📌 TAGS / SIGNALS:
#COF #CapitalOne #WaverVanir #VolanX #SmartMoneyConcepts #InstitutionalCredit #MacroBreakout #VirtualCards #Fintech #Fibonacci #AIFinance #CreditExpansion #TradingView #DSS #TimelineActivation #FinancialSovereignty
🧬 If you're building something real — this is the asset to align with.
Capital One isn’t just where money flows. It’s where systems plug in.
ETH BUY BIASEthereum (ETH/USD) – Weekly Chart Summary
• Current Price: ~$2,250
• Trend: Bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows
• Key Zones:
• Support (Demand): $1,800–$2,000 and $1,400–$1,700
• Resistance: $2,800–$3,600 (liquidity zone)
• 200-Week MA: Acting as dynamic support near current levels
• Outlook: Potential drop into demand zones, followed by a strong bullish reversal targeting the $3,200–$3,600 region
• Risk: Failure to hold $1,800 could trigger deeper losses
📈 Bias: Wait for price to reach key demand zones before entering long positions.
AI Innovations Signal Strong Long Opportunity
Targets:
- T1 = $76.79
- T2 = $79.34
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $71.39
- S2 = $69.10
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Marvel Technology.
**Key Insights:**
Marvel Technology (MRVL) is strongly positioned in the semiconductor industry with its advancements in AI hardware and cloud-driven solutions. The company's recent focus on AI accelerators has drawn attention from major players like Amazon, which favors Marvel's cost-effective innovation over traditional GPU providers. This strategic alignment sets Marvel apart as a long-term growth candidate in the ever-demanding AI and cloud markets. Furthermore, Marvel's diversified product base and penetration into emerging industries provide a strong foundation for stable growth.
The demand for AI-driven hardware across industries continues to rise exponentially. Marvel’s robust product portfolio in AI infrastructure further increases its appeal to institutional investors seeking exposure to the premium semiconductor market, particularly in light of economic tailwinds impacting technology growth as major corporations scale capacity.
**Recent Performance:**
Marvel Technology has shown resilience with steady market activity, supported by positive investor sentiment stemming from its focus on AI-driven semiconductors. Trading at $73.51, MRVL displays stability and potential for significant upside due to industry momentum. Recent price movement aligns with ongoing institutional partnerships and industry headlines, solidifying its current valuation.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market analysts favor Marvel for its targeted product offerings in AI acceleration and cloud computing. Amazon’s recent decision to adopt MRVL’s technology over Nvidia GPUs highlights Marvel’s ability to balance performance and cost-efficiency in competitive markets. This positions Marvel as a key semiconductor player, capitalizing on the demand for AI-centric solutions while diversifying its customer base. Analysts remain bullish on Marvel's growth potential, particularly its capacity to carve more market share in the cloud and AI hardware industries.
**News Impact:**
Amazon’s strategic partnership with Marvel Technology not only boosts MRVL’s reputation but may also signal potential widespread usage of Marvel’s AI accelerators across the tech industry. Such events not only validate Marvel’s technological innovation but also enhance its visibility as a provider of effective semiconductor solutions amidst the soaring demand for low-cost, high-performance AI applications.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Marvel Technology represents a unique long-term opportunity in the semiconductor sector, guided by robust partnerships, market-defining innovations, and growing industry demand. Investors should carefully monitor the $69.10 support level and the $76.79 resistance level as critical benchmarks for future price movement.
Crude Oil Surges Amid Geopolitical RiskCrude Oil Surges Amid Geopolitical Risk: Correction or Structural Rally?
Brent crude oil prices surged sharply in response to the U.S. attack on nuclear facilities in Iran, spiking to $80 per barrel in early Monday trading. Although prices later corrected toward $76.71, the threat of a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz — through which one-third of the world’s oil supply passes — continues to exert upward pressure on prices.
Since hitting lows near $58 per barrel in May, Brent has climbed more than 36% in just six weeks. Technically, this rally has broken through the key resistance zone around $82, a level that had served as a ceiling multiple times over the past twelve months and coincides with the midpoint of the long-term price range ($68.34–$94.93), which also includes the Point of Control (POC) of the broader value area.
Technical Highlights:
Immediate support zone: $76.50 – $75.20. This is where consolidation could occur if geopolitical tensions temporarily ease.
Next resistance: $81.82 (at the POC) – $83.50, the April 2023 highs and a historically congested area. Beyond that, $85.50 is a key level, being the most frequently traded zone in 2024.
Technical target in the event of a bullish breakout: If Brent breaks above $83.50 with volume, the next projected move could reach the $88–$90 range, where long-term resistances and Fibonacci extensions converge.
Key indicators: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the daily chart is in overbought territory (>70), which may prompt consolidation or technical pullbacks, albeit within a strong bullish momentum.
Market Sentiment:
The conflict has significantly boosted crude oil’s appeal as an energy safe haven. This could mark a potential “turning point,” but a swift resolution to the conflict may drive Brent back below $70. Still, any serious disruption to supply — whether from damaged overland exports to China or a blockade in the Strait of Hormuz — could catapult prices well above the previous high of $92.55.
Conclusion:
Brent crude oil currently maintains a bullish trend in both the short and medium term. However, its path remains highly volatile and subject to exogenous factors, including a potential military response from Iran and the diplomatic evolution of the Middle East conflict. A full closure of the Strait of Hormuz would act as the ultimate catalyst for another rally.
*******************************************************************************************
La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial.
Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información.
Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada no es un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo.
Altseason still possible | Bitcoin D. On ResistanceBitcoin Dominance is sitting on a resistance zone, reached the last liquidity wick. I still expect the altcoins to go up from here, since there is no valid breakout above this level.
I dare to say, I'm bearish EURJPY, GBJPY, UJI will be posting so that those who will enter will enter on time. I'm not looking for any upside objective on Yen pairs for now. Unless, we see otherwise.
Let the line guide you in taking partials.
Dont just enter once and leave this trade, compound it.
Once it enters profit, sell more and BE on first entry, once it falls and retrace, sell more and you'll be glad you did
Long Scenario Invalidated — Watching for Deeper Correction🚫 Long scenario is canceled!
Price started to break down, taking out the early June lows.
There's now a high probability of a deeper correction toward the 90,000–95,000 range.
I won’t short from current levels. The uptrend remains intact on the weekly chart. There are safer and more asymmetric opportunities in the market from a risk-reward perspective. For example, shorting the S&P 500 or going long on precious metals looks more attractive right now.
💡 General recommendation:
Stay away from high-volatility assets like Bitcoin, oil, and natural gas for now.
Wait for setups with tight stop-loss levels and clear structure before entering.
A barrel at $130? Not unless Hormuz closes for good.As tensions in the Middle East between Iran, Israel and the United States escalate, speculation about a $130 oil barrel resurfaces on the markets. While the recent rise in prices is very real, fuelled by geopolitics, there is nothing in the fundamentals or in the technical analysis to justify such an extreme scenario for the time being. Unless... the Strait of Hormuz is blocked. Here are some explanations.
1) Oil rebounds, but no technical red alert
Since its low point in May, oil prices have surged by over 40%, buoyed by regional tensions and renewed volatility. The market is anticipating a rise in geopolitical risk, but for the time being, this recovery is not being accompanied by any technical red flags.
Indicators such as the COT report (Commitment of Traders), volumes and key technical thresholds on WTI and Brent are not confirming extreme tension at the current stage, as long as US oil remains below resistance at $80 a barrel. Although the 200-day moving average has been breached, and the reintegration of the $65 level has provided the starting point for a bullish impulse, the price of oil is now at a technical crossroads.
The chart below shows a bearish resistance line (red) on WTI, and the same applies to Brent. If these resistances were to be breached, this would be a strong bullish warning signal for the price of a barrel of oil towards $90/95.
2) A market under pressure... but framed by OPEC
Indeed, only a major supply constraint can push oil up to $130 a barrel.
The current geopolitical context comes at the worst possible time for OPEC. The oil cartel, led by Saudi Arabia, had recently decided to increase production after years of restrictions. The objectives were to respond to what was seen as robust demand, win back market share from US producers and punish less disciplined members.
In May, June and July, an increase of 411,000 barrels per day is scheduled. In other words, the market is receiving additional supply, which mechanically limits the risk of a speculative surge, barring a major exogenous shock such as the long-term closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
3) Iran/Israel/USA: the market prices the risk, but doesn't panic. Traders are currently considering three scenarios:
1. Tougher sanctions against Iran, reducing supply by 500,000 to 1 million barrels a day.
2. A targeted attack on Iran's oil infrastructure.
3. A temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
The first two cases can be absorbed by the market, notably thanks to the production capacities of other OPEC+ members or the strategic release of reserves. On the other hand, blocking the Strait of Hormuz would be a “game changer”.
The Strait of Hormuz, between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, is the gateway to 20% of the world's oil supply, i.e. some 17 to 18 million barrels a day. It is also a vital route for liquefied natural gas (LNG), particularly from Qatar.
Even a partial shutdown would have an immediate impact on all logistics chains and the energy security of importing countries, and would trigger a brutal price shock. In this case, oil at 130 dollars would no longer be an extreme hypothesis, but a plausible scenario in the very short term.
The situation is, of course, evolving, and investors need to keep an eye out for weak signals: military movements in the Strait, targeted attacks on energy infrastructures, bellicose rhetoric. In the absence of a blockade of Hormuz, the fundamentals (rising OPEC production, slowing Chinese demand, technical stability) militate in favor of a ceiling of around $80/90.
A barrel at $130? Yes, but only if Hormuz closes completely.
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The key is whether it can rise above 61800
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(Samsung Electronics 1D chart)
HA-Low indicator and HA-High indicator have begun to converge.
Accordingly, a trend is expected to occur soon.
Since the price is currently located below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is possible that the rise is limited.
In addition, the PVT-MACD oscillator is showing signs of falling below the 0 point, so it is showing signs of switching to a selling trend.
Since the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing signs of switching to a rising channel, if it rises above the High Line this time and is maintained, it is possible that it will switch to a buying trend again.
That is, when it shows support around 54100-58500, it is the first purchase period.
When it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintains the price, it is the second purchase period.
Accordingly, when it shows support around 61800 from the current price position, it is the second purchase period.
The expected target range is 77500-79400, which is near the current HA-High point.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
What Is the Base Price or Long-term Support for Crude Oil?What is the base price for oil? Specifically, today we will discuss crude oil, and we can apply this understanding to other commodities as well.
I won't go into too much technical detail about the difference between the base price and the cost price for crude oil, but for most people, it helps to see the title as “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for crude oil?”
My answer is yes, and this is due to inflation. Over time, we tend to pay higher prices for food, gas and many others that we consume.
The cost of goods varies between producers and merchants, and then from merchants to end consumers. However, it all starts with the producer. Before a producer acquires oil for refining, they reference crude oil prices as a benchmark to decide whether to make a purchase or hold back.
So, “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for crude oil?”
As we can see from the yearly chart, in every few years the base price of crude oil keeps adjusting higher; in levels and stages.
There is also this parallel channel formed by joining across its troughs and mirror it to its prominent resistance, we can observe crude oil prices range bound between this broad uptrend over time.
We can try to apply this analysis to other commodities; we will find a similar broad uptrend across most of them. But why? Because of inflation.
Regarding the bottom-line support for crude oil, we observed that it was at $10 from the 1980s until the turn of the millennium. Over time, accounting for inflation, this support level shifted upward to around $30 from the early 2000s until 2020, the year of COVID-19. And now we can see there is a new support at $60 since the start of 2020.
How to explain this break below $30 base price and went to -$40?
In technical analysis, this break is considered a false break, because, at the close of that year, on this yearly chart, prices settled above the support line at $30.
The story behind this is that when COVID hit, airlines were grounded, leading to storage issues for large quantities of oil. It cost more to store the oil than its selling price, which caused prices to drop below zero, reaching as low as -$40. But prices ultimately found its equilibrium and settle at a fair value at $48 that year.
Where is the support for crude oil, and what is its current direction?
This was a video analysis on Sep 2024, in this weekly chart, we can see a wedge pattern. Then I believe if the price breaks above this downtrend line, it suggests that we may see higher crude oil prices. And this analysis is taking shape today.
We can see prices initially broke above this trendline, but shortly sink below and broke this support line at $66 to $55. And today we are at $73 after the renewal of the Middle East tension.
How should I interpret the move to the recent low around $55?
I would encourage to always discover the development with different time frame as time progress.
Switching to the yearly chart, we observed that crude oil is still supported above $60 that year.
Please also make a point to adjust this downtrend line from time to time as market dynamic changes.
Watch the full video:
WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: MCL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.01 per barrel = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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Buy OPP.Hello all. I'm not a crypto trader but for the firs time I'm going to trade. does anyone have an idea about?
You've Already Lost: The Bitcoin Delusion of FOMO and False HopeLet’s get one thing straight: if you’re staring at Bitcoin, squinting past the red flags, and convincing yourself it’s not a Ponzi scheme because of that one shiny feature that screams “legit,” you’re not investing—you’re auditioning for the role of “next victim.” And if your motivation is the fear of missing out (FOMO) or the fantasy of getting rich quick, well... congratulations. You’ve already lost.
The 99%: Red Flags Waving Like It’s a Parade
Let’s talk about the indicators—the ones that make Bitcoin look suspiciously like a Ponzi scheme. No, it’s not technically one, but the resemblance is uncanny:
- No intrinsic value: Bitcoin isn’t backed by assets, cash flow, or a government. It’s worth what the next person is willing to pay. That’s not investing. That’s speculative hot potato.
- Early adopters profit from new entrants: The people who got in early? They’re cashing out while newcomers buy in at inflated prices. That’s the classic Ponzi dynamic: old money out, new money in.
- Hype over utility: Bitcoin’s actual use as a currency is minimal. It’s slow, expensive to transact, and volatile. But hey, who needs functionality when you’ve got memes and moon emojis?
- Opaque influencers: From anonymous creators (hello, Satoshi) to crypto bros promising Lambos, the ecosystem thrives on charisma, not accountability.
- Scam magnet: Bitcoin has been the currency of choice for over 1,700 Ponzi schemes and scams, according to a University of New Mexico study cs.unm.edu . That’s not a coincidence. That’s a pattern.
The 1%: The “But It’s Decentralized!” Defense
Ah yes, the one redeeming quality that Bitcoin evangelists cling to like a life raft: decentralization. No central authority! No government control! It’s the financial revolution!
Except… decentralization doesn’t magically make something a good investment. It just means no one’s in charge when things go wrong. And when the market crashes (again), you can’t call customer service. You can tweet into the void, though.
FOMO: The Real Engine Behind the Madness
Let’s be honest. Most people aren’t buying Bitcoin because they believe in the tech. They’re buying because they saw someone on TikTok turn $500 into a Tesla. FOMO is the fuel, and social media is the match.
Bitcoin’s meteoric rises are often driven by hype cycles, not fundamentals. Tesla buys in? Price spikes. El Salvador adopts it? Price spikes. Your cousin’s dog walker says it’s going to $1 million? Price spikes. Then it crashes. Rinse, repeat.
This isn’t investing. It’s gambling with a tech-savvy twist.
The Punchline: You’ve Already Lost
If you’re ignoring the overwhelming signs of speculative mania and clinging to the one feature that makes you feel better about your decision, you’re not ahead of the curve—you’re the mark. And if your motivation is “I don’t want to miss out,” you already have. You’ve missed out on rational thinking, due diligence, and the ability to distinguish between innovation and illusion.
Bitcoin might not be a Ponzi scheme in the legal sense. But if it walks like one, talks like one, and makes early adopters rich at the expense of latecomers… maybe it’s time to stop pretending it’s something else.
INDEX:BTCUSD NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:HOOD TVC:DXY NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:SILVER TVC:GOLD NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MARA
XAUUSD h4 next move opportunity Support zone around 3,350–3,370 USD.
Price expected to bounce upward from support.
Two bullish target points: ~3,450 and ~3,550.
Clean higher high/lows structure forecasted
SPX short analysisLike I wrote in my EUR/USD analysis you never know what could happened.
USA bombed Iran!
This could have huge impact on the US market next week.
My guess is temporarily short... At least to close this gap in spot price of SPX.
Since we're still in bearish market, until we see new highs, and this could be catalyst for another sell off. So the jump could be even bigger and we could see new ATH this year.
For now, I'm seeking a position to short tomorrow after market is open.
This is my entry mark.
There will be higher volatility. However, I expect US market to open in the red, close the gap and to sell off again.
We shall see!
Trade safe this one :)
AUD/USD 2H | MAKE OR BREAK (Key Edge)🟡 AUD/USD 2H Analysis – June 19, 2025
Bias: Neutral → Reactive (Awaiting Breakout Direction)
Timeframe: 2H
🔍 Market Overview:
AUD/USD is approaching a make-or-break level at the confluence of an ascending trendline and a minor horizontal support around 0.6460–0.6470. This comes after price was rejected from the 2025 high (0.6555) — a significant technical ceiling, labeled as a Possible Reversal Point.
✳️ Technical Structure:
🔵 Upper wedge resistance rejected price twice (0.6555)
🔵 Support trendline has been respected since late May
🟠 Current zone (0.6460) = last line of bullish defense
🔻 Breakdown risk is rising due to lower highs & compression
🔼 Bullish Playbook (Bounce Scenario):
Trigger: Bullish reaction from 0.6460 with strong momentum candle or engulfing
Entry: 0.6465–0.6475
Stop: Below 0.6440
Target 1: 0.6515
Target 2: 0.6555 (2025 High / Upper Wedge Edge)
R/R: ~2.0+
🔽 Bearish Playbook (Breakdown Scenario):
Trigger: 2H close below 0.6455 + retest rejection
Entry: 0.6450–0.6445 on retest
Stop: Above 0.6480
Target 1: 0.6400 (demand zone)
Target 2: 0.6300
R/R: ~2.5+
The next 4–8 candles could define the near-term structure. Respect the edge — react, don’t predict.
Zoom in:
Please Manage Your Risk...
#AUDUSD #MJTRADING #TRADINGVIEW #Chart #Analysis #Forex #Forexsignal #FXSignal
Bull Season ForecastLet's take note of these dates for future reference :) ( It is not investment advice )
13 July-01 April
Gold Set to Rise If U.S.–Iran Tensions Escalate📊 Market Overview:
Gold traded within a volatile range this past week, hovering between $3,360 and $3,385/oz. The U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates in July, while persistent inflation concerns globally have kept gold supported. However, a geopolitical shock emerged late in the week: President Donald Trump announced readiness to deploy troops to the Middle East if Iran continues provocation, raising the possibility of serious military escalation.
📉 Technical Analysis:
•Key Resistance Levels: $3,387 – $3,403 (weekly highs), $3,450, and extended targets at $3,500–$3,520.
•Nearest Support: $3,358 – $3,365 (lower bound of the bullish channel), then $3,344 and $3,320.
•EMA09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend on both 4H and daily charts.
•Chart Pattern: On the H4 chart, a Bullish Flag/Wedge Breakout is forming. A solid hold above $3,360 and breakout above $3,387 may trigger a strong upward move.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to break higher next week if U.S.–Iran tensions escalate into direct conflict. Safe-haven demand could surge, driving gold toward $3,450 or even $3,500/oz.
On the other hand, if tensions ease and the U.S. dollar recovers on strong economic data, gold may pull back to $3,344–$3,320 before resuming any uptrend.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3,358–3,365
🎯 TP: $3,387 / $3,403 / $3,450
🛑 SL: $3,344
🟡 Enter on pullback to support — preferably if geopolitical tensions rise.
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $3,400–3,410 (if price becomes overbought, RSI > 70)
🎯 TP: $3,380 / $3,365
🛑 SL: $3,420
🟡 Only apply this if tensions de-escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
$Entire Market - MASSIVE MOVE COMING SOONSo to keep things short, i've just seen the most massive move in my data i've ever seen in the history of my data. Moves like this indicate an extreme event in the world being priced in.
NEVER in the history of my data have i seen this kind of move in ANY stock and it's being shown in almost ALL stocks.
I think that at some point in the next 14 days we're going to have a massive 4-6 Sigma event either being rate cuts or war stuff. I don't know what it can be myself but i see the state of the world + the absolutely mind boggling move in the data and can put 1+1 together.
This combined with my AI having sold all stocks on Friday... yeah. Something is being priced in.
I had in fact thought this was like a GME thing cause i first saw it in GME's data but it's in fact a move in data for ALL stocks and happened on Friday. My dumbass bought GME on Friday thinking we were gonna see a move next week.
To keep things short the TLDR is:
-MASSIVE MOVE SOON (Next week - Maybe the week after)
-Likely direction is BIG DOWNS OR BIG UPs. Only huge outsized moves coming.
-How to play it: Straddle for safety. Puts for big risk big return.
I think we're dropping like -$100 bucks on SPY within a month based on this alone. Won't bet on it until my AI says to do so however. Right now it's just sold all stocks, hasn't bought puts yet or bought calls. Also something like -15 bucks on TQQQ and GME to $11. That or the exact opposite with some absolutely batshit insane ripper due to announcing to replace Jpow and doing rate cuts as soon as next week. It's either this or actual war, but anyway something's being priced in HARD and across the ENTIRE market. This kind of move is going to happen soon and quick, with this kind of insane liquidity, something is going to break...
Not gonna share future updates on the data for this event as to keep some secret and for myself to make money without affecting this trade by informing half the internet. Might eventually make it into a subscription thing on my website for those really interested but for now nah.
Gold) Technical Update – Market Subdued AheadXAUUSD Technical Update – Market Subdued Ahead of Key Data
Gold is currently trading with limited momentum, reflecting a subdued market sentiment despite escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Notably, the market has largely digested the recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, showing a muted reaction to these developments.
Resistance levels 3395 / 3422
Support Levels 3355 /3350
Lets see more details in the chart Ps support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks
GBPUSD Buys from the weekly FVG.It is clear that weekly fvg, liquidity sweep and time macro are superior in regarding to quick profitability. Patience is the overall recipe. #ICT concepts.
