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PLTR Building Momentum Inside a Wedge — Breakout Imminent? 🔥 1. Market Structure & Price Action
PLTR is compressing inside a descending wedge while forming a small CHoCH near $85, attempting to flip structure.
We saw a BOS from the $80 region, pushing toward the $85 liquidity zone. Price is consolidating under a key resistance band around $86, just below the GEX HVL level. 2. SMC & Supply/Demand Zones * Demand Zone: $78–$80 range acted as a BOS origin with high buyer reaction. * Supply Zone: $85–$86 now tested multiple times. * Downward trendline resistance is holding; a break above could invite a run toward the $90 zone. 3. Indicators Analysis * MACD: Slightly bullish crossover, histogram fading — suggesting early momentum but caution. * Stoch RSI: Rebounding from oversold, trending upward toward 80 — suggests bullish follow-through if resistance breaks. 4. Options Sentiment & GEX * GEX Chart shows a thick CALL Resistance / Gamma Wall at $90, aligned with the second call wall (29.31%). * HVL at $86: Major short-term magnet — breakout above could initiate a gamma squeeze. * Put support: Strongest level sits at $80, where downside is well-hedged. * Options Oscillator: * IVR: 72.4 * IVx Avg: 85.2 * Call$: 26.1% * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🔴 — still slightly conflicted, but flipping green. 5. Bullish Scenario 🟢 * Entry: Break and retest of $86 with volume * Target 1: $90 (Gamma Wall) * Target 2: $93.5–$95 * Stop-loss: Below $83 6. Bearish Scenario 🔴 * Entry: Rejection from $86 + drop under $83 * Target 1: $80 * Target 2: $78–$77 PUT wall * Stop-loss: Above $86.5 Conclusion
PLTR is sitting at a critical inflection point. Compression inside a wedge, early CHoCH + GEX alignment suggests breakout potential, but the $86 HVL must be cleared first. Watch volume and MACD confirmation for the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by BullBearInsights
2
4/3 Gold Trading StrategiesTariff concerns and inflation have once again triggered significant volatility in gold. After yesterday’s price surge following news announcements, today’s market opened with continued bullish momentum, reaching around 3170. For traders who managed to keep up with the market rhythm, this was a golden opportunity—but for those caught on the wrong side, it was a disaster. The persistent price rally has put short sellers under significant pressure. While I hope most of you are in long positions, I also understand that’s not always the case. For those stuck in short trades, the key now is to minimize losses or even turn the situation into a profit. Based on the current price structure, I expect a high-level pullback. If your short position isn't causing serious damage to your account, holding on could be a viable strategy. The expected trading range includes a high point at 3166-3178 and a low point at 3138-3123. Additionally, several key technical levels need to be monitored for potential reversals. Trading Recommendations: 📌 Main Trades: Sell in the 3166-3182 range Buy in the 3136-3121 range 📌 Short-Term Scalping: Be flexible in the 3147-3158 range Manage your risk carefully and adjust your trades based on market movements! 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
QQQ Slammed Below $465! Gamma Flip Confirmed QQQ Slammed Below $465! Gamma Flip Confirmed as Tariff Panic Grips Tech Sector 🌐 Macro Context (April 2, 2025) Trump’s new tariff announcement this morning ignited fear of inflation returning and disrupted global trade expectations. That spooked big tech and growth-heavy indices like QQQ, triggering gamma-driven liquidation and a sharp intraday breakdown. * Traders and dealers were not positioned for this headline — the rapid IV expansion and negative delta hedging caused a cascading sell-off. * From a GEX perspective, today’s action triggered a flip below HVL ($471), with gamma accelerating downside volatility. 📉 Technical Breakdown – 1H Chart Price Action: * QQQ attempted to push through $475–$480, but got rejected violently. * The huge red candle that nuked through $471 HVL and $469 confirmed a break of structure and bearish imbalance. Support Zones: * $455 – being tested now; psychological and options-related level * $453.86 – today’s session low * $450–$447 – likely short-term gamma target if weakness persists Resistance Levels: * $465 – 3rd PUT Wall * $471 – HVL (now major resistance) * $474–$477 – stacked CALL walls and former support 🔻 Options GEX & Dealer Positioning GEX Flow: * 🔴🔴🔵 = Short Gamma territory, and it’s growing more negative. * Highest GEX support has disintegrated, with dealers hedging by shorting into the drop. * Net GEX flipped negative below $471, increasing volatility. * Dealer gamma continues to point down, with no major PUT walls until $450 zone. Options Sentiment: * IVR 38.4 / IVx avg 35.6 – slightly elevated vol, but with more room to rise * PUTs 55.5% – bearish lean confirmed * Expiry in 2 days + tariff panic = likely continuation or high chop volatility tomorrow 📌 Trade Setups 🐻 Bearish Continuation (Preferred Bias) * Entry: Below $453.50 * Target: $450 → $447 * Stop: Above $458 reclaim * Contract Idea: 0DTE or 2DTE $455P/$450P depending on risk appetite * Note: Gamma trap zone from $455–$450 likely to accelerate price movement 🐂 Dead Cat Bounce Setup (Low Conviction) * Only valid if QQQ reclaims $465+ with volume + positive options flow * Target: $471–$474 * Play with small size or debit spreads due to risk of gamma reversal 🔍 Conclusion + My Thoughts This tariff-triggered crash was unexpected, and it created a dealer short-gamma loop in QQQ. The break below $471 HVL turned the table fast. Unless QQQ quickly reclaims $465+, we're likely heading to test $450 levels in the coming sessions. Tech tends to react aggressively to macro policy shifts, and the lack of near-term options support shows dealers are NOT stepping in. That opens the door for continued downside or extremely choppy relief rallies. Be fast. Be nimble. 🎯 Key Levels Recap: 🔴 HVL $471 Former support → resistance 🔻 Support $455 / $453.86 Price and psychological 🚨 GEX Target $450 / $447 Dealer hedging likely 🔼 Resistance $465–$471 Gamma ceiling now 📢 Final Tip: Watch VIX, bond yields, and /NQ overnight — any panic escalation may turn this into a larger gamma-driven flush. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk and position sizing accordingly.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
LOOKING AT STRONG BUYif you look back a couple of weeks ago, the week of the 13 of March. US100 was sitting at a low price of 19143. This price was never swept the following week. US100 pushed further up until it reached its maximum price of 20322 for the last two weeks. Which was also support on 15 November 2024. Signaled a downward signaled a momentum, which eventually led to 1943 being swept by this downward movement (normally this would take 1 week any weekly high/low to be swiped). Now comes the case of the weekly high 20322(27/03/2025). Current price is pushing towards this price. However there is resistance level at 19800, which needs to be broken before we go for the weekly high(which is our TP).
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by asethuntsa
Silver Breakdown: Rising Wedge Bearish Move Towards Target1. Chart Overview This 4-hour (H4) chart of Silver (XAG/USD) shows a clear Rising Wedge Pattern, a bearish technical formation. The price action recently broke below the lower support trendline, confirming a downside move. Several key levels, indicators, and trading strategies can be derived from this setup. 2. Identified Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal) A Rising Wedge is a pattern that forms when price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines, with the support line rising at a steeper angle than the resistance line. This pattern is considered bearish because it signals weakening buying pressure and an impending breakdown. Uptrend Formation: The price had been moving within a wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows. Volume Considerations: A wedge breakout is often accompanied by increasing volume, further confirming the trend shift. Breakout Confirmation: The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating that sellers are taking control. 3. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy Resistance Level (Rejection Zone) – $34.00 - $34.50 The upper boundary of the rising wedge acted as strong resistance. Multiple price rejections confirm sellers' dominance in this area. Any future retest of this level may provide a new opportunity for short entries. Support Level (Broken & Retested) – $32.50 - $32.80 This zone previously acted as strong support, preventing price from falling lower. Now that price has broken this support level, it could act as resistance if a retest occurs. A confirmed rejection here will further validate the bearish outlook. Stop Loss Placement – $34.16 A logical stop-loss placement is slightly above the previous swing high and resistance area. If price moves above this level, it would indicate that the breakdown has failed, invalidating the bearish setup. Bearish Target – $30.76 (Measured Move Projection) This level is derived from the height of the rising wedge pattern projected downward. The area around $30.76 aligns with a previous support zone, making it a reasonable target for the current breakdown. 4. Price Action & Future Expectations Current Market Sentiment: Bearish The break below the wedge confirms a bearish sentiment. A slight retracement to the previous support (now resistance) around $32.80 - $33.00 is possible before further downside. If selling pressure remains strong, Silver is likely to reach the $30.76 target in the coming sessions. Alternative Scenario: Bullish Recovery If the price moves back above $34.16, the bearish outlook is invalidated. A sustained move above this level could indicate a false breakdown and may push Silver toward new highs. 5. Trading Plan Based on This Setup 🔹 Entry Strategy: Look for a retest of the broken support zone ($32.80 - $33.00) to enter short positions. A rejection from this level with bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish engulfing candle) strengthens the trade setup. 🔹 Stop Loss: Placed above the wedge resistance at $34.16 to protect against false breakouts. 🔹 Take Profit Targets: First Target: $31.50 (intermediate support level) Final Target: $30.76 (measured move projection of the wedge) 6. Conclusion This Rising Wedge Breakdown on Silver’s H4 chart presents a strong bearish trading opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward ratio. The break below key support signals continued downside, with $30.76 as the next major target. However, traders should monitor any retest of the broken support zone to confirm further selling momentum before entering new positions.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
THIs Is MY ENTIRE PLAYBOOK RIGHT HERE... The only Thing that Wor So Yeah ... because the theory is " THE HIGHER THE TIME FRA ME , the S STRONGER the TIMEFRAME" So... Here's the entire Step by Step process O. IDENTIFY a HIGHER TIMEFRAME FVG ( ex. WEEK FVG ) 1. Wait for price to be at LOWER TIMERAME FVG (ex. DAY FVG ) 2. Wait For Price to have a Strong SWEEP ( abnormally long Wicks are preferred ) and CHOCH on 4HR-1HR-15MIN WHILE INSIDE THE DAY FVG. 3. After the CHOCH swing leg has completed, plot FIB, FVG, FRVP and establish your Context Area. 4. ENTER @ Context Area, or validate the context area first. Then enter. These look like SWING SETUPS ( it is ), so how do I make sure I have at least one trade per day? Scan the charts and put alarms on DAY FVGS with opposing WEEK FVGS. Trade only the ones triggering the alarms. Wait, I think I understand the context area now and its purpose. You don't enter inside the context area ... Here is where you " Sandbox and validate " your hypothesis that "price will pump after hitting the FVG" by making sure that price behaves the way you expect it to behave FIRST ( 1. FVG Sweep 2. CHOCH+ FVG 3. OTE ZONE TAP and RUN ), before You start looking for an entry . It's easier to understand in programming logic . IF WEEK FVG < - > DAY FVG EXISTS , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 10% IF PRICE STINGS DAY FVG , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 20% IF PRICE CREATES CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 40% IF PRICE RESPECTS CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 60% This is the point Where You go to 15min - 5m - 1min and cook up an entry. OR, Simply enter after a 15min FVG in line with Target / Bias. Just put your SL below Sting point. You are targeting a weekly FVG, so it's a Swing trade at this point.
by reventioaxie
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 3rd April 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -Unemployment Claims -ISM Services PMI Analysis: -Strong bullish momentum after US tariffs being announced -Looking for retest of the bullish structure -Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3100 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
Breaking: $PORK Approaching Key Fibonacci Levels for a Breakout PepeFork ($PORK) a memecoin created as a parody to the original CRYPTOCAP:PEPE coin is set to go parabolic amidst breaking out from the 61.5% Fibonacci retracement point, a level holding ground as the support pivot for $PORK. The asset is trading with moderate momentum as hinted by the RSI at 43. $PORK is nearly approaching the 61.5% Fibonacci point and a bounced from that level would spark a bullish campaign for PepeFork ($PORK). PepeFork Price Live Data The live PepeFork price today is $4.75e-8 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $2,431,278 USD. PepeFork is down 5.17% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $18,706,640 USD. It has a circulating supply of 393,690,000,000,000 PORK coins and a max. supply of 420,690,000,000,000 PORK coins.
UNISWAP3ETH:PORKWETH_331399.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
Buy BitcoinThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag: 🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity? M2 includes: Cash Checking deposits Savings accounts Other near-money assets When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to: Increase money supply Lower the cost of capital Make riskier assets more attractive 💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2? Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when: Investors are optimistic There's more disposable capital floating around Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve When liquidity enters the system: It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks) Then mid-cap equities Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days) This 70-day lag happens because: Institutions take time to reallocate capital Retail follows after they see initial market strength It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying 📊 Empirical Backing Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted: BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes ⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag? Cause Effect Global M2 rises Money becomes more available Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases ~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by rossjohnson47
USD/JPY Ready to Take Off: Golden Opportunity on 1H!Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry: 🔹 Entry: 150.08 🔹 TP: 150.589 🔹 SL: 149.547 USD/JPY is breaking out of a bullish pennant pattern, suggesting a potential upward move. The RSI is holding above 50, indicating bullish momentum building up. If the price sustains above 150.08, we could see a push toward 150.589. Keep your eyes on price action and manage your risk! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Long
by FXOnTop
GBP/JPY showing the Bulls some love !!As i write this down GBP/JPY teases us with a triangle on a 1h timeframe with a break and test... and maybe a confirmation? 195.00 level is also there - giving us extra confirmation the YEN showed some strength since the year began maybe because of the ongoing Japanese fiscal year ending up in march, but since we are talking about fiscal years, UK's fiscal year concludes in April ! ( during fiscal year end companies tend to repatriate their offshore capital for several reasons: Tax Optimization, Financial Reporting, Dividend Payments, Debt Servicing, Currency Exchange Considerations, Strategic Investments) - this ensure a increased demand for the specific currency making it raise in value ( supply and demand 101) so where are we at right now: - Fundamentals favor the GBP in the near term future ( other fundamentals must be taken into consideration - do some research tell me what you find) - Technically we see an opportunity to profit for the coming fundamentals even tough is a good chance this setup is not the start line of the race upwards when it comes to Taking profits the only level that comes into mind is 198.200 (not a guarantee but a possibility) - Other Technical's the currency sits above the YTD Anchored VWAP and the march Anchored VWAP for some time now, in terms of Market Structure we see higher highs on the 4h/Daily and previous highs taken out ( feb high and Jan high) - this an uptrend no doubt For day traders: on the lower timeframes we see some head & Shoulders formations gearing up 1min_ chart completed H&S 5m_chart H&S in construction - and if I'm stretching my luck a bit maybe another H&S on the 15 min that's all there is to it! Whatever your trading remember to take the risks into consideration and always do your own analysis before taking a decision !! I'm still new to sharing ideas on the community - don't start throwing rocks now if your Bearish :D -Not financial Advice !
Long
by Chrispy3000
Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide (Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results) Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset. --- Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average! Example: - Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators. - Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators. If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this. --- The Pivot Point Method for Calibration One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step: Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings. How to Add ZigZag on TradingView : 1. Open your chart. 2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it. 3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters). The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys). --- Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle. Example : - If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars. - If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars. In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots. Formula for Indicator Settings : - RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days. - MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8 --- Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators Backtest on TradingView : 1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings. 2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve. Look For : - Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early). - Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves). --- Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules) 1. RSI (Relative Strength Index) - Default : 14 days. - Calibrated : Half the average cycle length. - Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days. Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto). 2. MACD - Default : 12, 26, 9. - Calibrated : - Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle. - Slow EMA = ½ of cycle. - Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle. - Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3. Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts. 3. Williams %R - Default : 14 days. - Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle). --- How to Avoid Common Mistakes Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past) - Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future. - Fix : Test on 2 types of data: 1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate). 2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works). Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes - Problem : What works today might not work next month. - Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes). --- Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed) 1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested). 2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators Try pre-built adaptive indicators like: - Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility. - Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels. --- Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method : 1. Add ZigZag to your chart. 2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings. 3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD. Example : - Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12. - Calibrated RSI = 6 days. --- Why This Works (Without the Math) Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings. The Science Behind It When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm: - Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time - Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster - Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately --- A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration For even better results, calibrate across timeframes: 1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading 2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading 3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation --- Final Tips for Beginners 1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first. 2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations. 3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets. 4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it. Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by TradeVizion
NCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionNCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.9 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 212.70 Entry limit range ~ 212.50 to 209.50 (Avg. - 211) on April 02, 2025 at 12:53 PM. 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 223 (+5.69%; +12 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 233 (+10.43%; +22 points) Stop order limit ~ 206.5 (-2.13%; -4.5 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:NCCLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
Crude oil's Strong Return: Exclusive Trading Strategy and LayoutOverall, yesterday's market can be considered as a one-sided upward trend within the day. Both crude oil and gold gave a wonderful performance on the upward path yesterday. Gold reached a record high yesterday, and crude oil didn't show any weakness either, breaking through the $71 mark in one go. Traders who followed John's advice yesterday are believed to have reaped good profits. The data released by the US Energy Information Administration yesterday showed a decrease in production, which further pushed crude oil above $71 and to the current high of $71.8. Every time crude oil is at a crucial juncture and needs to choose a direction, there will be bullish news in the market to support it. This is caused by the excessive instability resulting from the current turbulent international situation, and Trump's fickle policies also lead to the dual nature of the market that makes it prone to fluctuations. Crude oil reached around $71.8 at its highest point yesterday, and the trend and price levels basically met the expectations. Judging from the current trend of crude oil, there are signs of a continued rebound. The resistance levels above are $72.5, $73.3 and $74 respectively, while the support levels below are $70.9, $70.4 and $69.9 respectively. USOIL buy@70-70.5 tp:72-73 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
TVC:USOILLong
by JohnGonzalez7
AUD/USD Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ AUD/USD news: ➡️ AUD/USD is struggling to extend its previous day's recovery and remains below the 0.6300 mark early on Wednesday, as markets await U.S. President Trump's tariff announcement later in the day. However, buyers continue to find support from optimism surrounding Chinese stimulus measures and the RBA's cautious stance on policy outlook. ➡️ Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) faces a challenging task: ongoing trade tensions could drive higher inflation, potentially justifying prolonged rate hikes. However, early signs of a cooling U.S. economy suggests the need for restraint, even as labor market data remains solid. ➡️ During its March 19 meeting, the Fed kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25–4.50% and reiterated its patient "wait-and-see" approach. Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the need for caution, highlighting forecasts that indicate slower growth and slightly higher inflation—some of which could be exacerbated by the upcoming tariffs. Personal opinion: ➡️ The Australian Dollar has a 2-day winning streak, but this currency still depends on the developments of global trade tensions, China's growth prospects and central bank policy moves ➡️ Technically, AUD/USD has entered the overbought zone and is showing signs of decline. Therefore, it is difficult to maintain the upward momentum in the short term, especially with the upcoming US tariff announcement. ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6295 - 0.6310 ❌SL: 0.6335 | ✅TP: 0.6255 - 0.6225 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
BTC MSB Short SetupInvalidation = 15min candle close above level (black upper line) Entry = hoping that the 15min candle spikes this dashed black line at 84k but still closes below the level I can't put limit orders on the level because SL and invalidation are so close that the invalidation would cause a -R too big. That's why I hope for price to shoot above the level, hit my entry but still close below it, and if price would close above the level, thus invalidating the trade, my higher entry can make up for this. -------------------------- Red dashed line = SL Black dashed line = entry TP = 76k.5-ish level (black dashed line further down) Red line: with a low like this (price not forming a structure at the lows but immediately going back up) I can't see price getting above the broken HL-structure, so SL should be somewhere above this HL-structure, so above the red line marking the top of the HL structure. Lower black line: if we get an SFP at the upper black line, price closing below this level would probably mean a new short opening with SL now being the SFP.
Short
by EyyJasper
EURJPY Double Top - Bearish Reversal Ahead Toward Target!🔍 Chart Analysis: Identifying the Double Top Pattern The EURJPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) 1-hour chart shows a classic Double Top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal formation. This pattern occurs when the price reaches a significant resistance level twice but fails to break above it, indicating a potential shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. 1️⃣ Top 1: The first peak formed as buyers pushed the price higher, but strong resistance forced a pullback. 2️⃣ Top 2: The price attempted to break the same resistance level again but failed, forming a second peak at approximately 164.165, confirming that sellers are overpowering buyers. 3️⃣ Neckline (Support Level): The critical support level around 160.000 acted as a trigger for the bearish move. Once this level broke, the double top pattern was confirmed. 📌 Key Levels and Market Structure 🔹 Resistance (164.165): The highest level where sellers dominated, preventing further upward movement. 🔹 Support/Neckline (160.000): This level acted as a crucial pivot. Once broken, it signaled a trend reversal. 🔹 Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 159.036: This serves as the first profit target, aligning with a prior demand zone. TP2 – 157.200: The full projected downside move based on the double top pattern. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Above 164.165, ensuring a risk-managed approach in case of trend invalidation. 📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup? 1️⃣ Entry Confirmation: The ideal entry was after the price broke the neckline at 160.000 and retested it as resistance. A breakdown candle with high volume confirmed seller dominance. 2️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: A stop-loss above 164.165 provides room for price fluctuations while protecting against false breakouts. 3️⃣ Profit Targets: TP1: 159.036, securing partial profits. TP2: 157.200, completing the double top measured move. 📊 Market Psychology & Price Action Insights The double top pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. The repeated rejection at 164.165 signals a lack of buying strength, increasing the probability of a downward move. The breakdown of the 160.000 neckline confirms that sellers have taken control. The price action also shows a lower-high formation, reinforcing bearish momentum. ✅ Conclusion: Bearish Bias Until 157.200 This setup strongly favors short positions, as long as the price stays below 162.500. A break above 164.165 invalidates the bearish setup, signaling a potential reversal. Until then, the market remains bearish, with TP1 & TP2 as achievable downside targets. 💬 What’s your outlook on EURJPY? Drop your analysis below! 👇
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown (1H + 4H Combo) gold can spike briefly in early Tokyo session if BOJ doesn’t act immediately. NO, it won’t last if BOJ hits the market or USD/JPY reverses. 1. Price Action – Tension’s High • 4H: Classic Evening Star showing up. That’s a solid bearish reversal — sellers are circling. • 1H: Weak bullish candle trying to break out, but it’s soft. Feels like bulls are exposed. • Inside Bar on 1H: Tight, coiled range. Something’s about to pop — either a breakout or a flush. 2. Range Game – Price is Trapped • Right now, we’re chopping between 3,154 – 3,160. • Price is teasing strength but keeps rejecting resistance. • Trap zone is active — don’t chase a late bull move here, that’s how you get clipped. 3. Indicator Signals – Read Between the Lines • VWAP on 1H: Flat. Price is just above, but there’s no real conviction. • Volume: • 1H: Dropping off — sellers may be setting the bait. • 4H: Climbing — looks like big money is getting ready to pull the rug after drawing in late buyers. 4. Trend Check – Short-Term Pullback Brewing • 1H: Price is pushing into resistance — feels toppy. • 4H: Overbought vibes, and bearish divergence is starting to creep in. 5. Volume – Telling the Real Story • 1H: Weak follow-through. Buyers are drying up. • 4H: Volume’s picking up, but it could be climax buying — one last push before it rolls over. 6. Key Zones – Support & Resistance • Resistance: 3,160 – 3,175. Price hit it and bounced like it ran into concrete. • Support: 3,132 – 3,122. That’s where buyers show up with bags of cash. • A clean break below 3,154 opens the trapdoor. 7. Momentum – Running Out of Gas • Bulls tried. They’re tired. • No solid follow-through = bears lining up to take control. 8. Elliott Wave – The Final Push • This looks like a stretched-out Wave 5. It’s spent. • Correction Wave A likely on deck — target: 3,132. 9. Harmonics – Pattern Breaking Down • Bearish AB=CD pattern forming, but the D-point never reached 3,172. • It’s rejecting early — could be a heads-up for reversal traders. 10. Volatility – Calm Before the Storm • Nikkei’s dropping — that’s risk-off. Could give gold a short-term pop. • But if the BOJ steps in and the yen strengthens, USDJPY drops, and gold might not hold gains. • No major moves out of Cambodia/Vietnam yet, but keep an eye on JPY volatility. ⸻ Trade Setup – Asia Session Plan • Order: Sell Stop @ 3,153.00 (wait for the breakdown) • Take Profit: 3,132.00 (targeting the demand zone) • Stop Loss: 3,163.00 (tight stop just above resistance) • Confidence: 88% ⸻ Why This Trade Makes Sense: • You’ve got a bearish reversal on the 4H and no real volume to support a bullish breakout. • A breakdown from this range opens up a clean downside run. • Asia’s risk-off, but gold already reacted — the juice might be gone. • 2.1 R:R setup — tight, sharp, and efficient. ========= SHORT-TERM: Gold’s Got a Window – But It’s Narrow • Nikkei’s drop = risk-off vibes. • Tariff tension = safe haven demand rises. • Asian traders might push XAUUSD up a bit early, sniffing fear in the market. • If BOJ stays silent, gold pumps toward 3,162 - 3,170.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE