Beyond Technical Analysis
EUR/USD Testing Support — Will Buyers Step In Again?Hi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD is currently testing the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone; if price can stabilise here, we could see a retest of the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Retail trapped. Volume confirmed. Liquidity targeted.🔻 We are in a highly reactive zone where emotional long entries and early short SLs create perfect liquidity magnets.
🔍 Key Levels & Zones:
• Early Short SL Zone → 3337.2
• Retail FOMO Entry Block → 3251.9
• Volume-based Rejection Point → 3392.0 (SL/TP sweep)
• TP1 & TP2 Zones → 3251.9 / 3208.0
• Bonus TP → 3159.9 → Complete sweep of long SLs and demand exhaustion
• Final Trap Exit Zone → 3157.4 — Institutional reload zone
💡 Volume confirms this cycle of:
• Trap > SL hunt > Emotional entry > Volume fade > Dump > Accumulation > Reversal
🧠 This is NOT financial advice. I post to share deeper insight into manipulation mechanics & sniper-level liquidity structure analysis.
If you’re still trading candles, you’re playing retail games. Start seeing the architecture.
🧷#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #VolumeStrategy #TradingPsychology #RetailTrap #SniperMindset
AUDUSD 4H: Sell Zone Confirmed📉 AUDUSD Analysis – Current Trend & Trade Opportunity
Hello Traders,
I’ve prepared an updated analysis for the AUDUSD pair.
At the moment, AUDUSD has shifted out of its previous bullish structure and has now entered a bearish trend. Based on this shift, I’m planning to enter a limit sell trade at the level shared below:
🔹 Limit Sell Entry: 0.65232
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.65576
🔹 Targets:
• TP1: 0.64591
• TP2: 0.64591
• TP3: 0.63738
🔸 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.27
Considering the trend reversal, I’m looking to open a position from these levels.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
"DXY Bullish Setup – High Probability Trade!"🚨 "DXY DOLLAR BANK HEIST" – THIEF TRADING STYLE MASTER PLAN (HIGH-IMPACT TRADE ALERT!)
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🌍 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌍
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Based on the 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥 (a lethal mix of technical + fundamental + psychological warfare), we're executing a DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist—a high-stakes robbery where YOU get to keep the loot!
📜 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT (TRADE PLAN)
🎯 ENTRY ZONE – "BREAK THE VAULT DOOR!"
📍Key Trigger: Wait for price to SMASH through the Moving Average Wall (97.700) – then STRIKE!
🔪 Thief’s Entry Trick:
Buy Stop Orders above MA (aggressive)
Buy Limit Orders near recent swing low (smart pullback play)
DCA/Layering Strategy for max profit extraction (real robbers scale in!)
🚨 ALERT SETUP: "Don’t miss the breakout – set an ALARM!" ⏰
🛑 STOP LOSS – "DON’T GET CAUGHT!"
"Yo, rookie! If you’re entering on a breakout, WAIT for confirmation before placing SL!"
📍Thief’s SL Zone: 97.400 (30min swing low – adjust based on your risk appetite!)
⚠️ WARNING: "Place it wrong, and the cops (market) will lock YOU up!" 🚔
🎯 TARGET – "ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT!"
🏆 Primary Target: 98.350 (Take profits before the resistance police show up!)
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💣 WHY THIS HEIST WILL WORK (MARKET DYNAMICS)
✅ Bullish Momentum Building (DXY showing strength!)
✅ Overbought? Maybe… but thieves don’t wait for permission!
✅ Trend Reversal Potential (Big money shifting!)
✅ Police (Resistance) Trap Ahead (Escape before they catch you!)
📡 NEWS & RISK MANAGEMENT (DON’T GET BUSTED!)
🚨 High-Impact News? AVOID new trades! (Use trailing stops to lock profits!)
📊 Check COT Reports, Macro Data, Geopolitics (Smart thieves do their homework!)
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER (LEGAL SPEAK)
"This ain’t financial advice – just a damn good robbery plan. Trade at your own risk, and don’t cry if you ignore the SL!" 😎
🔔 Stay tuned for the next heist… The market’s our playground! 🏴☠️💰
🚀 "See you at the next breakout, thief!" 🚀
🔥 #DXY #Forex #Trading #BankHeist #ThiefTrading #ProfitPirates #MakeMoney #TradingView #SmartMoney 🔥
EURAUD higher bearish for expect
OANDA:EURAUD bullish trend nearly last two months.
Good structure visible, we have breaked trend line, sup zone (1.79100) breaked and DESCENDINGING TRIANGL is breaked, we are have and RBA and RBNZ in last days.
EUR looks like is start losing power and like cant more pushing, from here expectations are for more bearish.
SUP zone: 1.79500
RES zone: 177500, 177000
Pancake Swap (CAKE): Buyers Took Control Over EMAs | +22% ComingCAKE coin had recently dumped below the local triangle pattern, which would have been a good entry for a short position, but buyers took back control, it seems.
What we see is a slight pressure and dominance from buyers, which glides the price near the broken trend area, looking for explosive movement from here.
As soon as we see that break of structure near the current, we are going to look for a long, as long as buyers maintain the dominance over 200 and 100 EMA.
Swallow Academy
SPY Approaches Gamma Wall-TA for July 10SPY Approaches Gamma Wall: Key Zones to Watch for Tomorrow’s Trade 🔥
GEX Options Sentiment Analysis:
SPY is currently hovering just below the major GEX resistance zone around 624–626, where the highest positive GEX and gamma wall overlap with strong call walls (52.17% and 41.33%). This region has historically capped upside momentum, so traders should prepare for potential rejection or breakout scenarios.
Downside has modest protection around 620 (HVL level), with negative GEX zones building near 619–617, marking a weak PUT wall. The lack of deep PUT dominance signals limited downside hedging pressure.
* IVR: 8.9 (low), IVx avg: 13.8
* Options Flow Sentiment: 24.1% PUTs
* GEX Bias: Mildly bullish unless 623 fails
Options Strategy Suggestions:
* If price breaks and holds above 626.5, consider buying CALL spreads (e.g., 626c/630c) targeting a gamma squeeze into 628+.
* If 623 breaks, look for short-dated PUT spreads (e.g., 623p/620p) targeting a fade back into 620 or even 617.
1-Hour Chart Price Action Analysis:
SPY has reclaimed a bullish posture after the CHoCH (Change of Character) on July 8 and is pushing into a supply zone just beneath the prior swing high. The price structure now forms a clean ascending channel, supported by higher lows and rising demand.
* Support Zones: 622.00, 620.34
* Resistance Levels: 624.72, 626.27
* BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed earlier, adding bullish confluence
Watch for a breakout above the current supply zone to continue momentum toward 628+. However, failure to break and a rejection near 625 could lead to a retest of 620–622 as the next demand zone.
Trading Outlook for Thursday:
* Bullish Case: Break and close above 626 opens the door to a squeeze into 628+. Use pullbacks to 623–624.2 as entry zones.
* Bearish Case: Rejection at current levels with a breakdown below 622.5 could pull SPY into the 620.3 and possibly 617.9 levels.
* Scalp Setup: Long above 625 with tight stop below 623. Short below 622.5 targeting 620, risk above 624.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own plan.
MSTR Heating Up! Options and Intraday Setup Ahead for July/10🔥GEX-Based Options Analysis (Macro Sentiment):
MSTR is showing strong bullish momentum fueled by aggressive options flow. The key GEX levels show:
* Gamma Wall / Max Resistance is at $405–$410, aligning with current price action.
* Positive GEX Flow continues to build up toward $425, where the 3rd CALL Wall sits.
* On the downside, minimal PUT Wall pressure is seen until $390, offering a strong base of support.
💡 Options Setup Ideas:
* Bullish Setup: If MSTR holds above $405–$410 zone, consider a 415C or 420C for 07/12 expiry, targeting a move to $422.50–$425.
* Bearish Reversal Risk: If MSTR breaks back below $400 with volume, risk shifts to downside with $390 PUTs back in play.
IV is still low (IVR 7.4, IVx below average), which supports buying premium over selling.
1H Price Action & Intraday Setup:
On the 1-hour chart, MSTR just broke out of a compression wedge after forming a clean CHoCH and BOS (Change of Character and Break of Structure). Price is now flagging just below the purple supply box, creating a textbook bullish continuation setup.
* Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: $414–$416 (if broken, opens room to $422+)
* Support: $404–$408 (recent CHoCH zone and breakout base)
* Deeper Support: $396–$400 (prior structure, invalidation if lost)
📈 Intraday Trade Plan:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break and close above $416
* Target: $422.50–$425
* Stop: Below $408
* Pullback Long:
* Entry: Retest of $405 with bullish reaction
* Target: $415+
* Stop: Below $400
* Bearish Reversal (low probability):
* Entry: Breakdown below $400
* Target: $393–$390
* Stop: Above $405
My Thoughts:
MSTR is building strength with both option sentiment and price structure aligning for continuation. It’s one of the cleanest bull flags on the board right now. Keep eyes on the breakout zone at $414–$416 — a push through with volume could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $425.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk before trading.
Safe Entry Zone CRSPPrice will Re-test Blue Line.
Blue Line act As Strong Support level now.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock (safe way):
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
Gold Price Holds Within Channel - Watching for Channel BreakGold is currently moving within a downward sloping channel, reflecting a period of controlled price movement.
If the price continues to follow the channel, it may trend lower in the short term, with the next key support level seen around $3260.
Alternatively, a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel may signal a shift in momentum, opening the way for further upside.
Technical Levels to Watch:
Support: $3260
Resistance: Channel top (watch for breakout confirmation)
Outlook: Continuation within the channel suggests further downside, while a breakout could shift momentum in favor of buyers.
XAUUSD ShortMarket Structure
• Price has formed a clear lower high structure following the peak near 3360–3365.
• Subsequent highs (highlighted in blue circles) show consistent failure to break previous highs, indicating bearish momentum.
• The price is currently reacting from a well-defined supply zone (red box near 3325–3330), where selling pressure previously emerged.
Key Resistance Zones
• 3325–3330: This supply zone has held strong multiple times. Price failed to break above this area during the latest retest.
• 3340–3345: Previous support turned resistance, also aligns with a prior lower high.
• 3360–3365: Major resistance and recent swing high (bearish market invalidation point).
Support Zones to Target
• 3305.475: Minor support; price could consolidate here before further drop.
• 3280–3285: Key demand zone where price previously bounced.
• 3263.855: Major support level and likely final target in the short term if bearish move continues.
Confluences Supporting a Sell
• Series of lower highs (bearish structure).
• Strong supply zone rejection.
• Bearish engulfing candles around resistance.
• Clean liquidity sweep above prior highs followed by sharp rejections.
• Arrow on chart suggesting bearish projection.
Risk Consideration
• A break and strong close above 3335 would invalidate this bearish setup.
• Watch out for possible whipsaw behavior around 3305 zone before continuation.
TESLA (TSLA) ARE WE HEADING TO 336? Morning Folks
It appears we are trying to break the highs of 304 and if we are successful a nice range up to 327-336 makes sense. However be careful if sink back down under 289 which then can see levels of 259 getting hit.
What are your thoughts on Tesla? Put in the comments section below
Kris Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
SMCI buy cycle in progress into yr endStrong buy rates on order flow indicating buy-side targets as follows
tp1 = 88
tp2 = 96
tp3 = 105
...by end of 2025
Still expecting strong sell wave sometime by mid-2026 all the way back to 20's as the semiconductor space continues dealing with growing bearish forces. Recent weakness should be seen as "shots across the bow" or warning shots. Next set of highs will be opportunities to EXIT and go short imo.
$COIN Options Trade Blunder | AI vs. Flow — Who Wins?NASDAQ:COIN – When LSTM Confidence Misfires at the Top
This week I entered puts on NASDAQ:COIN off a 95% confidence signal from my LSTM model, anticipating a bearish reversal near the premium zone.
It looked clean:
🔺 Price had tapped a weak high
📈 Extended rally from discount to premium
🧠 LSTM model flagged a local exhaustion top
But I ignored the bullish options flow.
Institutions were loading calls.
Volatility structure showed strength.
I chose the model. The market chose pain.
📉 Trade Setup:
Short thesis: Rejection from premium + weak high
Entry: $370 zone
Target: $325 (mid EQ)
Invalidation: Break above $380
Actual Result:
Price consolidated, then held bullish structure.
Implied volatility stayed elevated. No follow-through on the short.
Loss: ~50% on puts.
💡 Lesson:
Chart logic aligned
AI signal was compelling
But real-time flow > model output
LSTM is 70% of my AI trading system, and I’m now integrating options flow override filters to prevent this kind of mismatch in future signals.
📌 I’m currently risk-off, rotating capital into 5Y Treasury futures ($Z) to cool down, refine logic, and reassess volatility pricing models.
🧠 This phase is experimental. If you’re watching my trades – don’t follow. Observe. Learn from the debug phase.
—
Prabhawa Koirala (Pravo)
Founder – WaverVanir International LLC
#COIN #TradingView #SmartMoneyConcepts #LSTM #AITrading #OptionsFlow #WaverVanir #PremiumZone #QuantTrading #VolanX
USD/CHF Weakness Alert: Retail Bulls vs. Smart Money FlowHere’s the latest aggregated data on the pair:
📊 4 out of 5 indicators suggest potential for further downside.
Sentiment - Bearish!
A quick note on sentiment in the table:
✅ It’s structured hierarchically — from the broadest view (COT reports) to specific entry points (algorithmic setups).
So, Retail traders are massively long USD/CHF — over 80% still buying , expecting strength.
But here’s the problem: the options flow tells a different story .
Looking at recent data from CME , we’re seeing fresh calls buying and growing open interest at key strikes upper current Swiss futures price — a sign that option traders are preparing for strong CHF
💡 Use this data in your trading OR quick check for market conditions at glance!
🎯 No Valuable Data, No Edge!
DAX / GER TIME TO PRINT MONEY ON SHORTTeam, i have not been posting DAX/GER for almost 3-4 weeks
now it is time to attack the DAX.
I have set two different target ,
ensure you take 60% and bring stop loss to BE
I also want to give you the time frame for target to hit.. do not expect today, however we could see the target for tomorrow or early next week
Sometimes i wait for the right moment to trade. DAX is very sophisticated to trade with, but if you have the patience, you can make money on them.
DAX (Ger40): Defying Global TensionsDespite all this tariff drama, the DAX hit another record high. What gives? Markets seem to be betting that Trump enjoys the threat of tariffs more than the implementation. Some traders are pricing in yet another extension beyond the August 1 deadline.
The DAX is riding momentum from both global AI enthusiasm, thanks to Nvidia’s $4 trillion market cap milestone, and the assumption that European exporters might dodge the worst of Trump’s trade penalties, at least for now. However, this rally is precarious. If a tariff letter hits Brussels, or copper tariffs ripple into industrial demand expectations, we could see a swift correction.
Technically, near term resistance is sitting around. 24,700. However as stated, should sentiment change. A correction back down, to the support level at 24,200, which also aligns with the 50 Fibonacci retracement level, could be on the cards. Or even all the way down to 23,800, aligning with the 88% Fibonacci level.