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Beyond Technical Analysis

EURUSD 4H Time-frame analysis Let's dive into my EURUSD analysis on the 4-hour timeframe. From what I can see on your chart, here's a more detailed breakdown of potential interpretations: It looks like I've identified some key horizontal levels. These are often significant areas of interest for traders because they can act as: Support: Price might find it difficult to fall below these levels, and buying pressure could emerge. The lower horizontal line you've drawn around 1.12059 appears to be a potential support level. Notice how price bounced off this area previously in late March. Resistance: Conversely, price might struggle to rise above these levels, and selling pressure could take over. The upper yellow highlighted area, with the recent high reaching just above 1.13345, looks like a significant resistance zone. The price has recently tested this level and is currently pulling back. Recent Price Action: The sharp upward move in April, culminating at that high, suggests strong buying pressure. However, the immediate pullback indicates that the resistance zone is holding, at least for now. Potential Scenarios: Based on what I'm seeing, here are a couple of potential scenarios to consider: Rejection at Resistance: The current pullback could signify a rejection of the resistance zone. If selling pressure continues, we might see the price move back down towards your identified support level around 1.12059. A break below this support could then open the door for further downside. Consolidation and Breakout: Alternatively, the price might consolidate within the range defined by your resistance and support levels for a while. A subsequent break above the resistance (the yellow zone) would suggest renewed buying momentum and could lead to further upside. Conversely, a break below the support would reinforce the bearish scenario. Things to Consider for Further Analysis: To get a more complete picture, you might want to consider: Candlestick Patterns: Are there any specific candlestick patterns forming at the resistance level (like a bearish engulfing or a shooting star) that could confirm rejection? Similarly, look for bullish patterns near the support if price revisits that area. Volume: Analyzing the volume during the recent push to the high and the subsequent pullback could provide clues about the strength of the moves. High volume on the push-up might suggest strong buying interest, while high volume on the pullback could indicate strong selling pressure. Technical Indicators: Incorporating indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD could offer additional context and potential confirmation signals. For instance, is the RSI in overbought territory near the resistance? Is the MACD showing signs of bearish divergence? Fundamental Analysis: Keep an eye on any upcoming economic news or events related to the Euro or the US Dollar that could influence the price action. Remember, this is just an interpretation based on the snapshot you've provided. Trading involves probabilities, and no analysis is foolproof. It's crucial to manage your risk appropriately. What are your thoughts on these observations? What was your initial reasoning behind marking these specific levels? I'd be interested to hear more about your perspective!
by sitokagebson
Long at 131.61 for a quick flipNothing special about this trade except that it was one of only 6 large cap stocks that registered as a buy for me today and was the best of the bunch, technically, imo. Historically, the returns here are only about 20% better than an average market return per day, but using this trading technique, it has never lost money - 1027 wins, 0 losses (real and backtested) going all the way back to January of 1968. Having been through everything that 50+ year trading history threw at it and coming out perfect, I'm comfortable making this trade now. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position periodically at the close on and I will likely use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit, though I have been playing around with a new exit strategy, so FPC may or may not be used - I'll have to see how things play out. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NYSE:KMBLong
by redwingcoach
TSLA LONG ~ All the technicals are there!TSLA will still hit $2600 ~ Says Cathie Wood Will it? Let's take a look ~ ELON is pissing people off and investors are worried, Tarrif FUD, brand deterioration. All of this doesn't matter Why? Pull up TSLA YoY earnings since 2013 and you will see that their revenue growth is outrageous, this past year is really the very first time TSLA flat lined, but holding at 25B revenue. From a technical analysis since 2013 on the LOG chart, you can see TSLA has done a 10x rally twice, and has held strong support through it's bear cycles. The next it due by 2027. TSLA has been uptrend for over a year, and broke it's ATH 6 months ago. Voluming is rising in the longterm and literally the conservatives love him, If you think competitors are nipping at their heels think again. The infrastracture that Elon has built with his mega factories, and their positioning in the market is so insane other's don't even come close. On the short term, The FUD will wash away, TSLA is finding support at the bottom of the channel, shorterm volume is waning on the sell offs, Shorts will get squeezed by end of June, and Up and UP TSLA will continue. BTFD!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by lillybear
Gold Updates - Friday April 25🔔 Friday Market Prep | Key Gold Zones Only Microstructure whispers. Friday price action bites. Friday is notorious for: Low-volume traps after London lunch; Dealer sweep games; Profit-taking volatility; And “just because” fakeouts to set up Monday gaps; We don’t predict—we prepare. These are the zones that matter going into NY session. 🔴 SELL INTEREST ZONES • 3362–3372 - HIT today gave 700+ pips profit✅ 🔁 Proven supply—hit twice already, high reactivity 🧠 Only valid on LTF confirmation for re-entry • 3384–3393 🔁 HTF imbalance + OB trap zone 🧠 Ideal for NY fakeout spike • 3410–3415 🔁 Premium OB + liquidity grab zone • 3450–3457 🔁 Untouched HTF OB + stop hunt territory 🟢 BUY INTEREST ZONES • 3278-3288 📍 Support pocket – OB + below Asia low • 3250–3260 📍 Deep OB + structural base • 3224–3233 📍 HTF EQ + reactive demand sweep zone 🧐 Friday is not for heroes—it’s for hunters. Watch for the sweep ➝ shift ➝ confirm before touching anything. Let Gold make the first move. We respond. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
ES UpdateWe have an open gap above and an open gap below. I assume the one above will fill first on this rate cut pump until POwell (and/or inflation numbers) squashes it then it fills the gap below. Everything is green right now, index futures, cryptos, and even gold but I assume that's because it's a commodity not because of speculative hedging. All otehr commodities are up as well. Flying out to WA tomorrow, no position. Also, RSI is overbought on the 3 hr so be careful. This may be a melt up though. I do expect the gap below to fill eventually, but as we know, sometimes it takes some time. Probably not trading next week, good luck.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
How do I know if a day will be bullish?"Daily Bias" is one of the most asked questions by traders! You’ve probably heard someone say: “If only I knew where the candle would expand, I’d be rich!” Well, today I’m sharing a framework that can help you start answering that exact question. 🚶🏽‍♂️Walk with me as we break down the ES Futures Daily Candle for April 24, 2024. By the end of this video, you'll have a solid starting point to study and apply this method— #OneCandlestickAtATime
CME_MINI:MES1!Education
by MarketsByLee_
Bitcoin Pullback or Opportunity📊 Bitcoin Analysis – Pullback or Opportunity? CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit strong resistance at 94,000 $ failed to push higher, entering a correction phase 📉. Key support zones now lie at 91,200 $ 87,500 $ , both of which have shown solid reactions in the past 🛡️. If price holds one of these levels, the next target could be around 98,500 $based on the previous move’s momentum 🚀. 📌 Price is still holding above the 200 MA, suggesting bullish momentum is alive but needs further confirmation ✅. 👇 What’s your take on the next move? 🔁 Save this if you're watching the next targets 📩 Share with a friend who's trading BTC right now
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
SMC Precision Short on EURUSD | SMT + Liquidity Grab = Clean Set📉 EURUSD 15M | Smart Money Concept (SMC) Trade Idea 🔍 Market Structure & Bias: - High Timeframe POI (1H): Price tapped into a 1H Supply Zone, indicating potential short setups aligning with HTF bias. - Break of Structure (BOS):Clean BOS to the downside confirms market intent shifting bearish. 🧠 Smart Money Logic : - Liquidity Grab: Price swept liquidity above the equal highs and immediately rejected the 1H supply zone. - Refinement: On the 15M, an entry block (OB) formed right after the SMT - Mitigation: Price mitigated a lower timeframe demand and then gave an impulsive move down confirming intent. - Entry: Entered short at the mitigation of the refined 15M supply zone. - Stop Loss: Above the recent high (liquidity sweep). - Target: TP1:At the internal liquidity low (marked green @ 1.13152). TP2:Final target at external liquidity below swing low @ 1.12637 Trade Details : - 📍 Entry: 1.1372 - 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.1391 - 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 1.13152 TP2: 1.12637 Thanks for your time..
Short
by Naren_2410
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. So what we see in the report of this week: We can see slight decrease in the longs and increase in the shorts but for the reversal it has to happen in the liquidity pool. So for the bigger pullback I think market makers will be adding shorts att highs as well as closing longs. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
2
BTC Breakout is Loading... Don't Miss This Long Setup!BTC/USDT Trade Signal Analysis Setup Alert 🚨 Bitcoin looks ready to break higher after a clean retest of the breakout zone. Bulls in control—let’s get ready for a long! • Signal Setup 📍 Entry Zone: 94,531 – 95,398 🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 96,537 🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 97,643 🎯 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 99,023 ❌ Stop Loss (SL): 93,120 ⸻ Technical Breakdown: ✅ Breakout above resistance turned support ✅ Retest + bounce with volume confirmation ✅ Clean bullish structure and momentum Stick to your plan. Wait for confirmation and protect your capital! Do trade at your own risk.
Long
by Alex_gold_trader