Bitcoin Price Analysis: Breakout Potential and Targeted Upsidehello guys!
The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart shows a strong upward trend after breaking out from a key resistance level. The breakout occurred around January 20, 2025, when the price surged through a horizontal resistance zone. The bullish momentum suggests that the price is headed toward the next significant resistance level near $110,000, marked by a potential target zone highlighted on the chart.
what I see:
Breakout Confirmation: BTC has successfully broken out from a consolidation zone, as indicated by the strong upward movement after the breakout.
Bullish Channel: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, with the breakout occurring near the middle of the channel. This suggests that the market has significant upward potential.
Potential Resistance: The next critical resistance lies at the $110,000 level, and if the price continues to gain momentum, it could reach $115,000, as seen in the forecasted range.
Support Level: A major support level lies near $99,000, which could provide a strong base for any short-term pullbacks.
Beyond Technical Analysis
BTC/USD Bulish signalWe anticipate BTC/USD to test the **$101,000** support level. If this level holds, the price is expected to rebound and target the **$110,000** resistance zone.
**Key Levels:**
- **Support:** $101,000
- **Resistance:** $110,000
**Action:**
- Watch for a bounce at $101,000 to confirm the bullish momentum.
- Consider entering long positions near $101,000 with a target of $110,000, applying proper risk management.
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.*
#ES_F Approaching ATH'sES has again found strong buying support from the 5866-09 range and clearly traded back towards the previous ATH's.
We approach this week with heavy Financial Calendar News mainly FOMC as well as Tesla, Microsoft, Meta and Apple Earnings Reports on Wednesday and Thursday after market close.
Friday has seen a Bearish Response on the H4 chart however a change in price direction has yet to be seen.
Coming into this week I will be watching 6125 to hold with price able to trade above 6140 to remain Bullish; the exception being if we see a further rejection from 6143-50.
Trading Higher I will be watching 6179-74, 6181 and then into new ATH's with projections as detailed on the chart.
Trading Lower from a 6143-50 rejection I would be monitoring the 3 previous daily lows for failed breakdowns keeping in mind that FOMC is approaching and that the outcome is always a 50/50 probability and that I can understand my trade more after I see the News Result and Price Action response to that News only after the event has passed. Anything within the noise of release is a gamble.
SHIBUSDT BUY With MCIf the market cap of Shiba can reach its range of 40 billion dollars again, a price of 0.000075 could be our target of +300%.
Considering that Doge is a meme coin and has managed to return to its historical market cap ceiling, and also that prominent individuals have intensified the meme coin market with their entry into the meme coin sector, we can expect that the market cap of the coin ranked 2 among meme coins will also return to its historical market cap ceiling.
But in general, prioritize risk management and capital management
Good luck and be profitable 💲🔥
Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator (PAID)Welcome to my Order Flow Slat / Delta Volume Indicator , the most affordable and effective tool for momentum analysis based on order flow and volume. This indicator is designed to perfectly capture market trends and highlight potential traps.
Let me break it down for you:
• The black line represents the VWap Line, which tracks the overall momentum.
• The blue line is the real game-changer. It acts as a confirmation line that syncs with price action to validate whether a trend is solid or deceptive.
Here’s how it works:
• If the price moves up and the blue line also moves up, the trend is confirmed as solid.
• However, if the price moves up while the blue line moves down, it’s likely a trap—indicating weakness in the trend.
Take this example: Around the green line at the 101,115 price level, the price appeared to be going up, but the blue line was still rising, signaling a trap. Later, as we observed the 6th red candle, both the blue line and the price were moving down together, confirming a strong downtrend.
It’s that simple! This indicator helps you differentiate between solid trends and potential traps with ease. Thank you for watching!
Message me to know more about this indicator and pricing and follow for more interesting Indicators.
GOLD THE WEEK TO COME We have an interesting week coming up and starting with the news we have the news that might favor the dollar strength to continue if this happens we might see a correction on gold for a short term and then continue the move to the upside. 2800 might be broken and it could be a fake out for us to go in to consolidation or correction. There is a bit of ease in some of the geopolitical news and this might also reduce the appetite for gold. how i expect this to play out is for gold to come down to 2760 and then try and break the all time highs and come down to 2750-2725
Happy trading
Retrace, Test, Bounce—The Path to ATHI believe that after we shifted to a bullish structure by forming a new Lower high, the Higher Low (HL) will now test the daily timeframe fair value gap (FVG) before bouncing to a new high, which I expect to be a new all-time high (ATH).
Not trading advice—just sharing my thoughts out loud. Good luck, everyone! 🚀
Can Turkey's Lira Dance with the Dollar?Turkey stands at a pivotal moment in its economic journey, navigating through the complexities of fiscal management and monetary policy to stabilize the Turkish Lira against the US Dollar. The nation has embarked on a strategic pivot towards domestic funding, significantly increasing the issuance of Turkish Government Bonds to manage soaring inflation and debt service costs. This approach, while stabilizing in relative terms, challenges Turkey to balance between stimulating growth and controlling inflation, a dance that requires both precision and foresight.
The Central Bank of Turkey's decision to cut rates amidst rising inflation paints a picture of calculated risk and strategic optimism. The bank is threading a needle between fostering economic activity and maintaining price stability by targeting a reduction in inflation over the medium term while allowing short-term increases. This policy shift, coupled with a focus on local funding, not only aims to reduce external vulnerabilities but also tests the resilience of Turkey's economy against global economic currents, including the impact of international political changes like the US election.
Globally, the economic landscape is fraught with uncertainties, and Turkey's strategy of maintaining a stable credit rating while forecasting a decrease in inflation sets an intriguing stage. The country's ability to attract investment while managing its debt profile, especially in light of global monetary policy shifts by major players like the Federal Reserve and the ECB, will be a testament to its economic stewardship. This narrative invites readers to delve deeper into how Turkey might leverage its economic policies to not only survive but thrive in a fluctuating global market.
The enigma of the USD/TRY exchange rate thus becomes a compelling study of economic strategy, where every policy decision is a move in a larger game of financial chess. Turkey's attempt to balance its books while dancing with the dollar challenges conventional economic wisdom and invites observers to ponder: Can a nation truly master its currency's fate in the global marketplace?
Market Analysis & Trading Opportunity | CAD/CHFToday's market opened with a clear risk-off sentiment, leading to a decline in most risk-sensitive assets. Considering the launch of Deepseek, funded with $6 million, it's likely that major investments by the Magnificent 7 in OpenAI could face significant setbacks.
In a risk-off market, one of the strongest options is the Swiss Franc, known as a safe haven currency. Currently, the CAD/CHF pair is positioned perfectly to capitalize on this opportunity. 📊
💡 What are your thoughts on this analysis? Do you also see the Swiss Franc strengthening in today’s market?
DOTUSDT| Long Position The last buying push is failing due to absorption and then in the absent of buyers price is moving downward with a very low volume. This week I like to see buyer will be active and start participating because price is moving faster to grab all the liquidity which is buying limit orders.
I will update you tomorrow that what's going on we are getting long side or sell side. My Initial idea is going long with the strong hands.
Sentiment Cycle Indicator update on BTC rallyDid you catch the move today? What a rally in BTC! It’s been an incredible day. Well played by sentiment cycle indicator (PAID). We received the signal right from the top, and the price surged all the way to the 1,750,000 level—a massive 4,400+ points move and further 2000+ points!!
After that, the price started pulling back, but notice there were no red background. That’s because the volume in that area wasn’t strong, and the sentiment hadn’t developed enough to confirm a trend shift. The indicator only provided a signal when a strong sentiment was detected. Look at the candles without any red areas, and then observe the first red signal—it was precise and aligned with the conditions.
Now, the price seems to be testing the last red candle, which could indicate a potential momentum shift. From here, it might turn sideways or attempt a pullback. How far could the pullback go? It could reach as high as 99,619, and if it closes above this level, the next target could be 1,02,569.85. At that point, we’ll analyze the price action again.
If it breaks out further, it could revisit the range around 1,05,000 or possibly between 1,06250 . However, in that range, a rejection could also occur. Let’s see how the price develops from here!
stay up to date by following me on tradingview!!
LTCUSDT| Showing Fake Move {1 Day Timeframe} According to the Volume price analysis, price shifts more than volume its mean buyers are more interested to buy at low so in the absent of buyers price is moving faster to the low side even with the low volume. Now I like to see long position in this week, once it will grab all the buying limit orders from the bottom.
EUR/USD: EU confiscation of Russian assets under discussionBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
The revival of the debate in the EU over the possible confiscation of frozen Russian assets, valued at €210 billion, raises concerns about its implications for the euro and thus the EUR/USD. The move, promoted by the likes of Valdis Dombrovskis and Kaja Kallas, seeks to pressure Russia over its war in Ukraine, but could have a disproportionate impact on the European currency.
Risks for the euro:
- Loss of confidence: T he move could damage global confidence in the euro as a safe-haven asset, given the precedent it would set in the legal framework. This could lead central banks, such as China's, to reduce their euro reserves, affecting demand for the currency.
- Financial volatility: Euroclear, which manages a large part of these assets, warns of possible Russian countermeasures and volatility in the markets, which would put negative pressure on the euro.
- Dollar Strengthening: Risk perception could reinforce the dollar as a safe haven, further weakening EUR/USD.
Technical Analysis:
The beginning of the Asian day the EURUSD has moved slightly lower, currently trading in the direction of the support of the last upward momentum started last week at 1.04506. However, the crosses of the averages do not indicate a change of direction and the RSI reinforces this by showing an oversold level at 42%. On the other hand, the POC is at 1.04177 marking a strong time frame pressure zone on the daily chart.
This week, key events that may affect EUR/USD include:
1. Monday 27: IFO index in Germany (business confidence). With a different result than expected, fluctuations could be seen.
2. Tuesday 28: US Durable Goods Orders, which may influence the dollar strength.
3. Wednesday 29th: Fed rate decision, with expectations to keep rates steady. Although the Fed is expected to keep interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range, any comments on future monetary policy or economic outlook could impact the dollar and thus the EUR/USD.
4. Thursday 30: ECB decision, with a possible 0.25% interest rate cut, and comments from Christine Lagarde to assess the future direction of European monetary policy.
5. Friday 31: Preliminary Eurozone GDP for the fourth quarter, which may influence the performance of the euro.
In addition, the results of large technology companies in the US (Microsoft, Meta, Tesla and Apple) could influence market sentiment and the dollar. It is advisable to monitor these events and keep an eye on possible statements from central bank officials, as any unexpected changes or comments may generate volatility in the EUR/USD pair.
Short-term outlook:
If the EU moves forward with this measure, EUR/USD could face downward pressures due to a combination of capital outflows, increased risk aversion and a strengthening dollar. This backdrop underscores the euro's sensitivity to political and economic decisions in the region.
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TSLA Consolidation Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch Technical Analysis:
* Trend Analysis: TSLA appears to be in a consolidation phase, trading within a rising wedge pattern. This signals potential for either a breakout or breakdown depending on market momentum.
* Volume: Volume has been declining, suggesting reduced conviction in the recent price movement.
* MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, signaling bearish momentum.
* Stoch RSI: The oscillator is moving into oversold territory, potentially indicating a bounce soon if demand picks up.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Support Levels:
* $405: Immediate support level coinciding with recent price action.
* $380: Stronger support if the wedge breaks downward.
* Resistance Levels:
* $440: First significant resistance.
* $480: Critical gamma resistance wall.
Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: $410
* Target 1: $440
* Target 2: $480
* Stop Loss: $395
* Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: $405
* Target 1: $380
* Target 2: $350
* Stop Loss: $420
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights for Options:
* Call Wall:
* $440: 94.99% of GEX concentration, making this the primary resistance level.
* Put Support:
* $380: High concentration of puts, indicating strong support if prices test this level.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank):
* 54.3: High implied volatility, making options premium-rich for selling strategies.
* Directional Bias: Neutral with a slightly bearish lean due to the MACD crossover and wedge pattern.
Actionable Suggestions:
1. Consider selling options (e.g., iron condors) to capitalize on premium from TSLA’s high IV.
2. Watch for price action near the $405 level for a potential breakdown or bounce.
3. Avoid over-leveraging as volatility remains elevated.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading.
SPY at a Key Inflection Point! Trading and Options Insights You Technical Analysis for SPY:
* Current Price: $607.50
* Trend Overview: SPY is currently trading within an ascending wedge pattern. This structure is often indicative of a potential pullback, but a breakout above the upper trendline could signal bullish continuation.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $610.78 (Recent high and top of the wedge).
* Support: $600 psychological support, $592 for stronger confluence with the lower trendline.
* Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Showing slight bearish divergence; potential short-term consolidation or pullback.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold levels signal reduced momentum but indicate a potential reversal opportunity.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Options Analysis:
* Options Activity:
* Call Walls:
* $610 with 94.83% GEX Call Resistance (Key for upward breakout).
* $615 and $620 as upper resistance layers for bullish scenarios.
* Put Walls:
* $600 with a 90.2% Put wall presence.
* $590 as the strongest support with concentrated negative GEX.
* IVR: 11.4, signaling lower implied volatility.
* Options Strategy:
* Bullish Setup: Look for an entry on a breakout above $610 with a target of $615-$620. Use $600 as a trailing stop.
* Bearish Setup: Consider bearish spreads targeting $600 if price fails to sustain above $607.
Actionable Trading Plan:
1. Scalping Outlook:
* Monitor price action near $607-$608. Quick intraday bounces or rejections can offer opportunities.
2. Swing Outlook:
* A sustained breakout above $610 can confirm bullish momentum; set targets at $615, then $620.
* Below $600, prepare for a retest of the $590-$592 zone.
Conclusion:
SPY is showing signs of consolidation near its highs, and key levels like $610 and $600 will play a crucial role in determining its next direction. Options activity aligns with resistance near $610 and major support near $590. Stay vigilant with stops and manage risk appropriately.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
btc updatenot a good look on the entire market. if im right we have have hit the top or we may test for one more high for btc before starting to see a retrenchment to wave-c in the big picture. as of now i will remain bearish until i see a clear break-out on any coin. we may see a slow grind down,and a lot of volatility with crazy swings that dont seem to make any sense before we see any more momentum to a break out.
The week could start red, not not sure it'll lastWeekend triangle pattern formed the 4hr.
I expected a Monday breakout to the upside with price action triggering long positions then liquidating them on the way to the GETTEX:97K region.
The reverse could also happen. Breakout to the downside, trigger shorts, then at LSE open on Monday, price reversal, liquidating shorts while rallying towards $112k.
On the back of Trump signing crypto related executive orders, it might be assumed bullish news.
It might have no effect, trigger longs and shorts, liquidate both sides, then trade sideways for the first half of the week.
Note to self: 1) Keep your stops tight or (2) sit this one out until direction confirmed (3) run a neutral bot in the meantime.
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 1.26 - 1.31.25Last Week :
Last week we opened over the Value of 6054 - 5933 HTF Range and were able to hold over, when we got over the Edge that brought in more buying that gave us a push into new HTF Value of 6195 - 6074 Range where we have sold off from before after contract roll and we closed Friday with a rejection from a push into VAH.
This Week :
Last week of the month, new president is in, what can we expect this week ?
Well looking at the structure we had a perfect rejection from the top on Friday which of course doesn't exactly have to be a top but if it were one it would be a very good looking one on the Daily TF if it was one.
Going into this week IF we can't get over VAH and hold over 6160 - 70 to build supply to take higher over upper Edge then we could see balancing inside the Intraday Range of current Value to build supply and digest the move we had last week that is IF we have truly accepted in this 6195 - 6074 HTF Range. IF we have not found the needed acceptance here and we start getting continuation into VAL we have Poor/Weak RTH Lows there at 6111 which we could aim for, If taken out that could give us more selling to at least fill the Gap we created into 6093 area.
From there we would watch if we absorb all the selling and can get back into above Value or if we can't and we hold under 6100 then we could see more selling to push into lower Edge and IF we happen to get inside it under 6070 then moves back towards lower VAH/Value are not out of the question as long as we can get through 6050s