Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

Narayana Hrudayalaya - Strong Fundamental & TechnicalFundamental plus Technical Analysis on a Financially Strong Company: Narayana Hrudalaya Ltd is engaged in providing economical healthcare services. It has a network of multispecialty and super specialty hospitals spread across multiple locations. Focus Company plans to add 700 plus beds for the next 3-4 years at Bangalore Health City. It intends to invest upto Rs. 1,000 Cr in the West Bengal for setting up a superspecialty hospital. Capex Plan Company has planned a total capex of 1136 Cr for FY24 and till Q3 FY24 it has spent 477 Cr. Stock P/E - 31.7 Industry PE - 56.3 EPS growth 5Years - 67.8 % Buy Score - 4.56 (Buy Score above 0 for me, is considered very good and above 1, excellent.) ROCE 5Yr - 19.6 % Please note that this idea is meant to spread awareness and should NOT be considered a buy recommendation. Do your own research before making any financial commitments.
NSE:NHLong
by Gaurav_Singh_5705
"Pricing Perfection: The Thin Ice Beneath Record Highs"As markets push to all-time highs, the rally feels less like euphoria and more like walking a tightrope. What happens when the market prices in perfection The S&P 500 is sitting at all-time highs, not because the world is perfect — but because the market is betting that it will be. This rally is no longer driven by surprises or revisions — it’s driven by expectations that everything will go right: inflation will cool, rates will drop, earnings will beat, AI will deliver, and geopolitical tensions will stay neatly compartmentalized. In reality, we are walking on thin ice. Beneath the surface lies fragile market breadth, decelerating economic data, and a Fed that continues to speak hawkishly even as liquidity props things up. Any minor deviation from this “Goldilocks” scenario — a hot CPI, a guidance miss from a mega-cap, or a geopolitical headline — has the power to trigger sharp repricing. When the market prices in perfection, it doesn’t need a bear to show up. It just needs something less than ideal. At these levels, risk becomes asymmetric — all reward is front-loaded, but the pain, if it comes, is unpriced and sudden. The current equity landscape isn’t just optimistic — it’s priced for flawless execution across earnings, rates, geopolitics, and liquidity. That leaves asymmetric downside risk if even a minor narrative breaks. Trump has become know for creating larger than minor narratives... ;)
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by nsearra
Market next move Disruption (Bearish Scenario): 1. False Breakout Risk: The price has recently tested the lower support range (red boxes) several times without strong follow-through. This could suggest weak buying momentum. 2. Volume Spike Trap: The large volume spike on the wick down may represent stop-loss hunting or a liquidity grab rather than true accumulation. If it were strong accumulation, we would expect a more sustained bounce. 3. Resistance Zone Ahead: The price is nearing resistance around $3,275–$3,280, where previous breakdowns started. If it fails to break above this zone decisively, a rejection and continued downtrend is possible. 4. Lower High Formation: The most recent price action could form a lower high, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend instead of a reversal. --- 🔽 Bearish Path (Alternative Projection): Price retests $3,275–$3,280, fails to break out. Drops below the red box support (~$3,260). Heads toward the next support levels around $3,240 or lower. 📉 "Target becomes invalidated if price fails to hold above the red box support zone."
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
XAUUSD H4 Structure – Eyes on 3225 POI for Possible ContinuationXAUUSD has been in a structured 4H pullback, and price is now approaching a key high-timeframe zone around 3225 — marked by prior CHoCH and unmitigated price action. This level has the potential to act as a base for bullish continuation, but I will only act based on lower timeframe structure. The trap for most traders is entering too early just because price hits a level. My approach is different — I wait for the market to tell me when it’s ready. 🔍 The Flow I Follow (As Always): HTF Context – Price is pulling back within a broader bullish range POI Identified – 3225 zone = key area of interest Wait for LTF Shift – I’ll only consider a trade if: - M15 shows CHoCH (shift in internal structure) - Followed by a BOS (momentum confirmation) Then, and only then, I enter. Otherwise, I let it go. 🧠 Why This Matters: This structure-first mindset keeps me out of random trades. I don’t predict — I align. No M15 shift? No BOS? No trade. 📊 Chart Context: The chart attached shows: Previous CHoCH levels Recent BOS confirming internal structure break Cleanly marked POI around 3225 Still no valid LTF shift — so it’s a “watch, not trade” phase 📖 From the Book Philosophy: “The chart is the mirror. It reflects your level of patience, not your level of prediction.” This setup reflects exactly what I teach in my book The Chart Is The Mirror — how to stop reacting to candles and start respecting structure. No signals. No indicators. Just clean alignment of levels and psychology.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
2
XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025)XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025) Currently, XAUUSD is showing a rejection at the 3261 demand zone, signaling a potential short-term pullback. As long as the price remains above the 3241 demand level, there is a possibility of testing the 3289 supply zone. However, if sellers re-enter from that area, the market may resume its decline toward the next demand target at 3225. Key Levels: Demand (current rejection zone): 3261 Demand (critical support): 3241 Supply (resistance target): 3289 Next downside target: 3225 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by magnettrader_id
Volume Spread Analysis - Understanding Traps & ConfirmationDespite the fact that the so-called “Big Players” in the game of ups and downs we call the market have the power to manipulate it in ways some cannot even imagine, what they ultimately seek is a healthy market. I’ve mentioned in previous posts that the market behaves like a living organism — and like any organism, it must be healthy in order to grow. In simple terms, the traps institutional players set are there because they need cash flow — liquidity — to achieve that growth. But why do they need to use traps at all? The answer lies in the numbers: one institutional player is equivalent to hundreds, if not thousands, of uninformed or poorly trained retail traders. So, to sustain growth, they are not just inclined but sometimes forced to create traps. Now imagine this: in a market with enormous capital, one big player is equivalent to 100 retail traders. If 25% of those traders were skilled — truly good at the game — think of how much more cash flow would occur, and how much healthier and more stable that growth could be. But don’t be fooled — while big players may benefit from a small portion of skilled retail participants, it’s not their actual goal. Still, it wouldn't hurt them either, as long as liquidity and volatility are preserved. In fact, a higher percentage of skilled players could deepen liquidity and reduce the need for extreme manipulation. However, if too many retail traders become skilled, the game tightens. Profit margins shrink. The edge that institutions hold becomes harder to maintain. And in such a scenario, consistent profitability becomes more difficult — for everyone. As I’ve emphasized in previous ideas, there is a way to understand institutional traps — and one of the keys is learning how to interpret the Relative Strength Index (RSI) properly. However, since RSI is by nature an oscillator, its signals require confirmation. And what better tool to use for confirmation than Volume — specifically through the lens of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)? In this post, we’ll partially explore how these traps are revealed, using basic tools available on TradingView. We'll also uncover a potential trap in the chart of AIXBT/USD Coin from Binance, using the 1-hour time-frame. 🔹 1. Pre-Top Volume Cluster Let’s begin at the very top of the chart. Just before this top, we can spot a bullish volume cluster — four consecutive volume spikes with rising price. In VSA, such a cluster often suggests that the current trend is reaching exhaustion. ⚠️ Important Note: Not all clusters mark a reversal. Even if we see one or two bearish candlesticks after-ward — even if they are engulfing — that alone does not confirm the reversal. The real signs are already present in the volume indicator. As I’ve said in the past, in previously posted ideas: Big Players always leave footprints. Learning to read those footprints is the language every serious retail trader must eventually understand. And one of the clearest footprints is what we’ll discuss next. 🔻 2. The Buying Climax A Buying Climax is a tell-tale sign of professional distribution — it appears (in our case) as a large bullish volume spike accompanied by a bearish candlestick, signaling the potential end of a rally. In our AIXBT/USD Coin chart, we observe two buying climaxes: • The first comes at the end of the bullish volume cluster, followed by a bearish candle. • The second follows right after, repeating the same bearish confirmation. 🧠 Even though price was making a new Higher High — these repeated climaxes on increasing volume suggest supply is entering the market, and the uptrend is likely unsustainable. ✅ Conclusion This is just one piece of the larger puzzle, but even basic tools like RSI and Volume, when read in the context of structure and intent, can reveal traps set by institutional hands. The more we train ourselves to see these signs, the closer we get to trading in harmony with the market’s true rhythm — not against it. Now let’s take a look at another signal that hints at a possible reversal. But before we continue, keep in mind: what I’m about to describe doesn’t always play out in the simplified way I’ll mention here. The market behaves differently at any given moment — so this kind of analysis always requires a careful and adaptive approach. This time, I’m referring to a smaller bearish cluster, made up of three volume spikes, each of them clearly above the 20-period Moving Average — and appearing just before the bullish cluster I highlighted earlier. • The fact that the first spike in this bearish group breaks above the MA is a strong signal that bearish pressure is stepping in. • The fact that all three spikes remain above the MA adds weight to that signal. However — and this is crucial — just like I mentioned before, this alone doesn't confirm a reversal. It still requires confirmation. Even though this smaller bearish cluster forms a new low, and even though it aligns with a bearish RSI divergence marked with a dashed trend line, it’s not a signal to enter a trade. Why? Because volume confirmation is missing. And that's exactly why RSI alone isn't enough. It can point to weakness — but not confirm the turn. True confirmation only comes with the next bullish volume spike, which: • a) breaks above the MA, • b) is higher than the first bearish spike in the previous cluster, • c) appears with an engulfing candlestick, and • d) is supported by an RSI plot that follows the move. This collective behavior — the interaction between price, volume, and momentum — is not random. It’s one of the many harmonies that exist in the market’s structure. And learning to recognize these harmonies is key to understanding when the market is genuine — and when it's trying to trap you. 🔚 Conclusion All of this leads me to one conclusion — based not just on theory, but on direct experience. We’ve all seen the countless videos across platforms where retail traders explain things like RSI divergences as if they’re guaranteed signals. But the truth is: not all of these videos are made by successful traders — and blindly following them can be dangerous. Early in my trading journey, I made that exact mistake. I followed those “educational” videos without question, and nearly blew my account in the process. Can you imagine what would happen if someone entered a trade solely based on the divergence we discussed — without waiting for confirmation? If you’ve followed this chart example to its end, you already know the answer. Worse, this kind of psychological frustration often leads to even bigger mistakes — especially if you haven’t applied one of the simplest protective tools: the Stop Loss. And sadly, many traders skip it. So let this be a reminder: A divergence is not a signal. Confirmation is everything. Let’s now take things a step deeper — by partially revealing something that remains known only to a small circle of elite traders. Something that’s rarely discussed in public — yet sits hidden in plain sight. Many traders know that Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is based on the teachings of Richard Wyckoff and expanded through Tom Williams in Master the Markets. And yes — the most of VSA’s power comes from those principles. But that’s only part of the story. What did these two big names revealing in secret code using multiple paragraphs and terminologies, but purposely do not reveal it in simple words in a few lines. And they are doing the right thing. Because if I said to myself that if everyone knew that then the market might crashed, then for sure they had that thought as well What truly sets VSA apart, and what gives it its real power, is that it operates in two distinct languages. 🧩 The Hidden Language of VSA — What Most Don’t See Let’s now go a step deeper — by partially revealing something known only to a few traders who’ve spent enough time observing the market beyond surface-level signals. Something that’s often overlooked, yet has always been in plain sight. We all know that VSA stands for Volume Spread Analysis. And we commonly refer to “spread” as the distance between the open and the close of a candlestick. This is what many traders fixate on — the relationship between price movement and volume. But that’s only part of the story. What did names like Wyckoff and Tom Williams really reveal? They spoke in code — long paragraphs, obscure terminology, layered ideas — never quite saying "this is the hidden key" in a few plain words. And they were right to do so. Because I’ve thought the same thing myself: If everyone knew this… if it was simplified and passed around like a hack… the market could collapse into chaos. If I’ve had that thought, I’m certain they did too. So instead, they left trails. Patterns. Puzzles. They left the second language in the open — but made sure only those with patience, discipline, and time in the charts would ever truly hear it. There are things the open and close can’t tell you, but... That… is part of what I meant earlier when I said VSA speaks in two languages. Some of you already sense what I’m pointing toward. For the rest — keep watching. You’ll know it when you see it. And once you do, you’ll never unsee it again. Let’s begin with what most traders already know. We say "spread" in VSA to refer to the range between the open and the close of a candlestick. This spread, in relation to volume, tells us whether a candle shows strength or weakness. • A wide spread on high volume may signal professional activity. • A narrow spread on high volume could suggest absorption or hidden effort. This is the first language — the most commonly taught, and the most widely shared. But what about the second? Here's where things get interesting. Let’s revisit our AIXBT/USD Coin chart, and specifically the large engulfing candlestick that forms around 18:30, just after the very top. Now ask yourself: • 🔍 Where did this candle open? • 📍 What previous zone did it revisit or retest? What’s the story behind on that retest? • Have you noticed the macro scale Hidden bearish divergence between RSI & PA? What you're seeing is not just a rejection. It’s a trigger zone — a price level left behind earlier by institutional activity. This candle, with its precise open, combined with the volume behavior, is no coincidence. It's not just a rejection — it's a setup, part of a pre-engineered trap. By stealing what Tom Williams said: Big players are simply saying to uninformed traders – “thank you for your money”. The interaction of price levels over time, the zones formed by previous activity, and how volume behavior aligns with those zones to signal intent. Most traders never see this and even fewer can interpret it. Why This Matters That engulfing candlestick is not just a visual cue — it's a multiple level footprint. It confirms everything we discussed earlier about how the market is manipulated — often in ways most traders can’t even begin to imagine. Two opposite forces within a zone. One prevails while the other reveals a future! So now, let this sink in: To truly master VSA, one must learn to read both languages. The visible structure, and the hidden context. One without the other is incomplete. Now you know why Confirmation is so crucial. That’s all for now. I hope that all the above paragraphs were able to give you a hint of how things work! And remember: Everything I write is just a small glimpse of the whole that needs to be considered. Until next time — stay safe, trade wisely, and never stop learning.
by WhatComes21
SUI | — Key Buy Trigger AheadPrice is drifting lower and approaching a high-confluence retracement zone. A key bullish setup may form if price sweeps the 0.618–0.666 Fibonacci region and reclaims the level with strength. 📌 Buy Trigger: • Sweep into the $2.38–2.5 zone • Look for reclaim and bullish reversal for long entry • Structure remains constructive while above monthly support ($1.91) 📈 Reclaim Level for Strength: • $2.83 — clearing this confirms bullish intent • Flip = strength toward $3.80 and beyond 🎯 Targets: • $2.83 → Range reclaim level • $3.50–3.60 → local resistance • $5.36–5.37 → full upside liquidity target 🟥 Invalidation: • Clean break below $1.90 (monthly support) = full invalidation 📌 Best setups form when liquidity is swept and price reclaims structure. Wait for the flush and follow strength.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
FARTCOIN Swing Long — Reclaimed Support, Bids at Bullish OBSwing Long Setup: Entries: Limit orders in $0.91–$0.93 (12h OB zone, 1D support) Stops: 4h close below $0.86–$0.87 (support invalidation) Targets: $1.16 (first TP), $1.43 (secondary target) 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Only stay in trade if 1D/12h support holds on 4h closes Re-enter on reclaim if stopped out and structure recovers 🚨 Risk Warning: Breakdown of reclaimed S/R flips setup invalid — exit on signal
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
AAPL: Premium PlayApple beat expectations this quarter—revenue, profit, EPS—all slightly better than analysts hoped. But the stock dropped to $196.26, down from $212.83. Why? Investors are still worried about tariffs, margin pressure, and supply chain changes. Tim Cook talked about strong product sales (iPhone, Mac, iPad) and all-time high Services revenue. But he also admitted tariffs and regulatory issues are weighing on Apple’s outlook. My Covered Call Strategy I’m selling the $202.5 call and buying the $210 call for June 27, 2025. Big money seems to be doing the same—there was a huge premium sale over $2 million, likely betting Apple stays range-bound short term. - Why this works: - Resistance near $202.50 gives me a clear ceiling - Apple fundamentals are strong, but macro risk caps upside Chart Notes - Resistance: $202.50 and $210 - Support: Around $192.50 Bottom line: I like this trade as a way to bring in income while defining my risk. If Apple grinds sideways or pushes a bit higher, the trade still pays. Clean structure, high odds.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Wiiso
I'm a little nervous about this one - LONG QRVO at 83.02The chart is a mess. There's really no support close by after the big post earnings pop. 5 red candles in 6 days. Trump tariffs taking effect this weekend...nobody in their right mind should take this trade. So why did I? A) I literally have only JNPR in my portfolio when it comes to tech, so I am underrepresented in the space. B) anyone who follows me already knows what I'm about to say... my algo made me do it. 295-2 with an average gain of 1.93% in an average of 13 trading days (.15%/day - about 3.5x the average return of the market). It has had some rough trades in the last year (long holds and more lots of capital committed than I'd like), but this is a probability game for me, so I'm hoping it'll go as smoothly as my other trades have lately. I'm prepared for that not to be the case, though. I don't like what the market did today and I think it could be a bumpy ride next week. I may regret not just leaving this money in AMEX:BIL over the weekend, but that's the trading life. Wish me luck. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:QRVOLong
by redwingcoach
3
Broadcom - This was just the first all time high!Broadcom - NASDAQ:AVGO - just created new highs: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Over the course of the past three months, Broadcom has been rallying an impressive +80%. However looking at market structure, all of the previous "dump and pump" was not unexpected. Following this recent bullish strength, Broadcom is likely to channel a lot higher. Levels to watch: $250, $400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by basictradingtv
5
Watching for Pullback Below $84 in Citigroup (C)Over the past month, Citigroup shares have appreciated 8.58%, outperforming both the Finance sector's 1.91% gain and the S&P 500's 3.92% increase. This relative outperformance may signal strength, but short-term positioning and market structure suggest a potential shift. Expecting a Sharp Move Below $84 – Option Flow Insight Despite the recent strength, I anticipate a significant downward move below the $84 level in the upcoming week. This expectation is based on notable option activity detected in the Times & Sales feed, specifically large put orders suggesting bearish positioning. In response to this setup, I plan to execute a bearish vertical spread, specifically: Buying the $84 puts Selling the $80 puts This strategy limits downside risk while still profiting from a potential retracement. Fundamental Picture Ahead of Earnings Citigroup's next earnings release is scheduled for July 15, 2025. The company is expected to report: EPS of $1.70 (+11.84% YoY) Revenue of $20.85B (+3.51% YoY) For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasts: EPS of $7.38 (+24.03%) Revenue of $83.84B (+3.33%) While these figures suggest healthy growth, it's important to note that recent analyst estimate revisions have been modestly negative, with the EPS estimate decreasing 0.27% over the last 30 days. Citigroup currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reflecting a neutral sentiment from analysts. Valuation Metrics From a valuation standpoint: Forward P/E: 10.75, notably below the industry average of 15.02 PEG ratio: 0.61, versus the industry average of 1.26 This indicates that Citigroup is undervalued relative to its peers, especially when considering growth prospects, which could provide some support. However, short-term bearish flows may dominate price action heading into earnings. Industry Outlook The Financial - Investment Bank industry, which includes Citigroup, currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 96, placing it in the top 40% of over 250 industry groups. Historically, industries in the top half outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
NYSE:CShort
by Wiiso
Safe Entry Zone ARQQ 4ever ZoneQuantum stocks in free money Ranging Zone. Green is buy. Red is sell. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NASDAQ:ARQQ
by Faisalzor