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Beyond Technical Analysis

Long term gold bull still good even if near current sell zoneFrom 1970 to 1980 I took 2 different fib extension to project the target sell zone for the blow off top and the price hit the target. I used the same fib extensions to give the target sell zone for the current bull market. Then I looked at how extended was the price from the 12 month SMA and it was 57%. Then I made a channel with the at the 12 month SMA and expanded it by 57% from the current and followed the angle of the 12 month SMA. If the price reaches the target sell zone and also is extended to reach the top of the channel this would most like be the blow off top. There are also other trend channels (gold color) that will give top side resistance. The green box in 2000 is the retrace buy zone and since we do not know the exact current top I drew possible bottom retrace buy zones of the next bear way out in the future and will need to be adjusted. This is not trading advise , just my thoughts.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by nsprph
Global Market Overview. Part 4.2: SOLANA Solana: The American Blockchain Making a Comeback (Previous post: ) Continuing from everything I’ve written earlier about Bitcoin and Ethereum, Solana deserves a separate spotlight. Because this asset is a different story altogether. It’s not like Bitcoin. It’s not like Ethereum. Solana has its own path, its own logic — and most importantly, its own market cycle, which follows a very different pattern of growth. Why did Solana rally? Let’s be blunt: Solana isn’t just a blockchain — it’s the epicenter of the new crypto cycle, where the main drivers weren’t decentralization or institutional capital, but memes, hype, and community. Thousands of new tokens launched on Solana became the spark behind an explosion of interest. The network surged with activity, and it was that real usage — not marketing — that pushed market cap higher. But that’s not all. Solana is Made in the USA. And in crypto, just like in politics, that matters. An American project, developed on U.S. soil, Solana quickly gained the trust of the largest and wealthiest crypto investor base in the world — American investors. To be precise: it was the U.S. crypto community that pushed Solana into the mainstream. And once funds and OTC brokers joined the party, it became clear — this asset isn’t going anywhere. What about fundamentals? Peak price: nearly $300 Growth from 2021 to 2024: one of the fastest in crypto Network load: consistently high Number of projects in the ecosystem: growing Confirmed approval for a Solana ETF in the U.S. Technological flexibility and strong developer support U.S. jurisdiction: trusted by both institutions and retail Why didn’t it crash with the rest of the market? Here’s the twist: even as the crypto market was rocked by negative news and broad corrections, Solana held above $100. That’s a key support level — and it held up under pressure from: Trump’s tariff panic Futures market liquidations Capital outflows from other altcoins Rising Bitcoin dominance Yes, the price pulled back to the $130–140 range, but it never broke major support — a clear sign that strong hands haven’t let go. But why hasn’t it gone higher if things are so good? Simple: the Solana ETF hasn’t officially launched yet. But once formal approval from the SEC is in place — the asset is set to explode. We already saw a pump above $200 just on rumors. Now the clock is ticking — when will rumor become reality? And here’s a spoiler: the Solana ETF has already been approved. In crypto, that’s how it goes — first the whispers, then insider info leaks, then the price runs. And finally, when the official news drops — that’s when the real move starts. We haven’t seen that final leg yet because of all the macro confusion over tariffs. What’s next? I’m not giving financial advice. But here’s the reality — I bought Solana on the dip and I’m still buying. Why? Because I need to recover the $300K I lost on Ethereum Because everything points to a continuation of the bull trend Because no other major asset offers this kind of symmetry between fundamentals and upside potential Solana isn’t a bubble. It’s a trading platform for the meme economy — and one of the few blockchains where actual demand matches real scalability and low fees. And in crypto, that means a lot. My personal take If you’ve got free cash right now — don’t be afraid to look Solana’s way. I see no reason to fear this asset in the medium to long term. The network is alive. The network is growing. The asset is holding strong. Now all we need is the next trigger — and it will come. The potential to see $200 again in the coming months? Very real.
Long
by StarTradePro
3
Global Market Overview. Part 4: BITCOINPreliminary Context — See Above Bitcoin: Euphoria, Fear, and a Foundation That Withstood It All If we were to describe the mood of the crypto market over the past few months in a single phrase, it wouldn't be just a roller coaster — it’s been a full-blown thrill ride, driven by geopolitics, news hype, and emotional burnout among participants. Public sentiment toward Bitcoin this year has swung across the entire spectrum — from wild excitement and $200K price forecasts after Trump’s projected victory, to total pessimism with claims like: “That’s it, Bitcoin’s going back to $20K — crypto is a scam.” And, as is so often the case, both camps were wrong. The market survived — not on hype, but on fundamentals. I make no secret of the fact that I remain a Bitcoin optimist. Not because I want to believe — but because when you mute the media noise, one thing remains: the strongest macroeconomic foundation the crypto market has ever had. Let’s be honest: it’s getting harder and harder to find a solid reason why Bitcoin should collapse back to $50K — let alone $20K. Strip away the emotion, and here’s what we’re left with: What do we have, in fact? 1. Regulators are no longer suffocating the market — they’re participating. The SEC has dropped major investigations into crypto projects, including Ethereum and leading DeFi platforms. The U.S. Senate has approved legislation to create a national crypto reserve — for now, it’s based on confiscated assets, but it marks the first precedent of crypto being recognized as part of state strategy. Meanwhile, the European Union has officially launched the MiCA regulatory framework, making crypto a fully legal asset class in the EU with clear compliance norms, a tax model, and open access to institutional clients. 2. Institutions are playing big. Crypto ETFs have launched not only in the U.S., but also in Europe. This means one thing: Pension funds, insurance companies, and hedge funds are entering the market. The capital is not speculative — it’s strategic. These are not "hot" retail dollars chasing tweets — they’re building portfolios for the long haul. 3. Exchanges are drying up. Whales are accumulating. Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at historic lows. This tells us: Long-term holders aren’t selling. Large players are moving assets to cold wallets. Retail hype hasn’t kicked in yet — which, frankly, makes it a perfect entry point. When the crowd starts buying, it’ll be too late. 4. Even a trade war couldn’t break the market. The tariff escalation between the U.S. and China has hit global trade hard, triggering corrections across traditional markets. Yet despite that: Bitcoin held strong above $70K, rising from the $110 levels. This zone has become ironclad support — a sign that the market has matured. There’s panic in the headlines, but not in the charts. Even Wall Street veterans are cautiously suggesting Bitcoin may be a necessary hedge against fiat devaluation. 5. China is silent — for now. But if that changes... Any positive signal from Beijing — even a hint at easing restrictions or partial legalization of crypto ownership — would cause an immediate surge. Because: Chinese capital is waiting. The tech infrastructure is already in place. And if the government gives the green light, the market will relaunch overnight. What do I think? The current Bitcoin price range is a prime entry zone for medium-term positions. The 70K–85K range is a fundamental accumulation corridor, where: Strong hands are already in. Weak hands have been shaken out. FOMO and retail hype haven’t even started. By Fall 2025, even modest optimism in geopolitics or trade could push the market to new all-time highs — not on hype, but on dry institutional demand. Final thoughts I’m not a fan of conspiracy theories. But this setup is too clean to be a coincidence. The crypto market has survived it all: bans, lawsuits, regulatory crackdowns, exchange collapses, hacks, FTX, LUNA, and every form of digital black magic. But it's still here. More than that — it’s quietly becoming a legitimate part of the global financial system. Without noise. Without asking permission. While everyone else is talking panic — the market is already in an accumulation phase. And those who understand the cycles don’t look to the news for validation. They look at the fundamentals — and act accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by StarTradePro
Global Market Overview. Part 4.1: ETHEthereum: Fell. Miscalculated. Still Believe. (Previous post:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/ecmMaAdq-Global-Market-Overview-Part-4-BITCOIN/) Let me get straight to the point: I lost over $300,000 during the last Ethereum rally. That’s a fact. And I’m not alone. But here’s what truly matters: I still consider Ethereum one of the most fundamentally strong assets in the entire crypto market. And I’ll explain why this drop isn’t a collapse into the abyss — but a temporary breakdown in price mechanics, driven not by fundamentals, but by greed and speculation. What went wrong? At first glance, the market behavior made no sense. While BTC, Solana, XRP — and even meme coins — were being aggressively bought up, Ethereum just... froze. No breakout. No test of previous highs. Not even a real attempt. Which is strange, considering: Ethereum has become a deflationary asset — more ETH is being burned than issued ETH ETFs have attracted hundreds of millions of dollars Developers are consistently improving the network and reducing fees It remains the backbone of both the DeFi and NFT ecosystems And yet — the price stood still. And then it fell. Why? Because we are to blame. Let’s be honest. I made a mistake. Just like millions of others. Instead of holding ETH on spot, I went long with leverage on futures. I thought I’d amplify my volume. Boost my profits. Instead — I amplified my liquidation. That’s exactly what happened to the market: ETH futures volume exceeded spot volume Open interest in long positions skyrocketed Market makers saw the imbalance — and began systematically flushing out over-leveraged positions The price didn’t fall because there’s something wrong with Ethereum. It fell because the market became too one-sided. Greed became vulnerability — and the market makers took full advantage. And then came tariffs. As if the futures flush wasn’t enough, the market got hit with more bad news: Trump’s administration escalated a new trade war. Stock indices dropped. The dollar strengthened. Crypto got slammed again — this time not technically, but macroeconomically. Now Ethereum is sitting far below its highs. Disappointment in the eyes of millions. And yes — heavy losses, including mine. Will there be a reversal? Yes. Hell yes. I don’t know exactly when, but I’m absolutely certain that it will come. Ethereum will recover. Why? There’s fundamental demand. Exchanges are running low. Whales are accumulating and transferring ETH to cold storage. Technologically, it’s stronger than its competitors. No other L1 or L2 has the developer base or ecosystem Ethereum commands. The market will get a tailwind. Any de-escalation in the trade war could reignite the entire crypto space. It’s undervalued. ETH at $2,000 is a floor. In a normal market phase, it’ll trade much higher — significantly. This isn’t a revenge play. It’s analysis. I’m not writing this to justify myself. I’m writing to say this: Ethereum is not dead. It’s exhausted. Temporarily. I understand those who sold. It’s human. But I’m staying. Because unlike hype-driven altcoins, Ethereum is infrastructure. You can’t replace it. You can’t bypass it. You can only ignore it — and regret it later. Bottom line Ethereum doesn’t have to move in sync with Bitcoin. It has its own path. But that path is not downward. Right now, it just happens to go through the pain of futures liquidations and media noise. As soon as Trump exhales, as soon as the rhetoric shifts — the market will see ETH at $2,500 and beyond. And this growth won’t be speculative — it’ll be based on fundamentals. Yes, I lost $300K. But I haven’t lost faith in the asset. And I’m not going anywhere. Because Ethereum doesn’t end with this drawdown. It’s just getting ready for its next phase.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by StarTradePro
4
Reversal Pattern in Play – Will AVAX Flip Bullish?CRYPTOCAP:AVAX is showing signs of a potential reversal after forming a double bottom near the $17 zone. It’s currently testing a key resistance trendline along with a minor horizontal resistance around $19.50–$20.50. A successful breakout and close above this zone could trigger bullish momentum toward $22+. However, rejection here may lead to another dip back toward support. Price action is tightening, so a decisive move is likely soon. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
BTC: Inverse Head & Shoulder Breakout (Time to go All-in) BTC Market Outlook (Multi Timeframe Analysis) First of all, according to the higher timeframes (Weekly & Monthly), BTC is still in a bullish trend. However, on the Daily timeframe, structure remains bearish — but we’re now seeing multiple bullish confluences building up: Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on Daily TF Bearish Order Block has been broken, turning into a bullish breaker On the Shorter Timeframe, we’ve got CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmation Sell-side liquidity (SSL) has already been swept All of these factors indicate that this could be a strong long opportunity, possibly the "mother of all buy setup. Oh, and don’t forget to say thank you later. 😉 BYBIT:BTCUSDT
Long
by Hamzaali08899
Gold: A textbook example of an extreme short squeeze!📌 Gold has surged over $400 in just six trading days—a textbook example of an extreme short squeeze! Yesterday, gold broke above the 3300 psychological barrier and is now trading above 3360. While safe-haven demand driven by escalating trade tensions is part of the reason, such a rapid and steep rally is clearly unsustainable. ⚠️ If you enter at these levels and get trapped, trying to "hold and hope" could result in facing $100+ of price swings—a dangerous gamble for most traders. 👉 Experienced traders might manage this volatility with scalping or short-term strategies to mitigate losses or even turn a profit. ❌ But if you don’t have that level of skill, don’t chase this rally blindly. ✅ Suggested approach: Scale into short positions gradually, or Wait for clear topping signals before going short Missing this rally isn’t the end—some of the best opportunities come during corrections. Profit potential remains strong on the way down. 🎯 Bearish targets: Short-term: 3312 → 3291 → 3250 Mid-term: 3196 → 3137
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
GBPUSD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 1.33Hello traders. On GBPUSD, I'm watching this 1.33 zone closely. It's where I'll be looking for a reaction. It can be a solid bounce spot if it shows signs. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
29