EURUSD LongNice long opportunity with tight stop loss, I have taken a trade yesterday low on long with nice trail stop of 50 pips profit~ didn’t have the time to share the idea~ but looking for another long setup
Beyond Technical Analysis
Break Below $1.90? Ripple Could Crash 35% to $1.50!Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Ripple , 📚💡
Ripple is in a clear downtrend, trading within a descending channel and approaching a key resistance level near the psychological $2 mark. A crucial support zone exists around $1.90, making it the first downside target. If this resistance fails and the psychological threshold breaks, a deeper 35% decline toward $1.50—aligned with the next major support—becomes likely. This level, marking the channel’s lower boundary, could serve as a pivotal point for price stabilization or reversal.📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Ripple is in a downtrend, facing key resistance at $2, with $1.90 as support—if it breaks, a 35% drop to $1.50 is likely.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
BTC on high time frame,
"Hello traders, focusing on BTC, the price has broken below a trend line and closed under it on high time frames. I anticipate a decline to (FVG) with a target at $84,000. This analysis is based on high time frames. On lower time frames, there might be a move up to $92,000 to complete a pullback for reduced risk.
Trade Plan:
- Entry Point: $92,000
- Take Profit: $84,000
- Stop Loss: $94,500"
If you require further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
GBPUSD On GBPUSD it has already swept sell side liquidity, waiting on price to fill the fair value gap/Order Block, and exhibit a change of character. Once I see this shift, I'll consider entering buy positions. Would you like me to share more setup ideas?
EURUSD On EURUSD waiting for price to absorb sell-side liquidity, fill the fair value gap, and exhibit a change of character. Once I see this shift, I'll consider entering buy positions. Would you like me to share more setup ideas?
BTC daily chartPHEMEX:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
After breaking the 91k area, we have a bounce from the 85k zones,
We note that the price respects the trend line as well as the M200, the RSI and CCI index reached the oversold areas and the CCI index also broke its low when Bitcoin was at the November 2022 low.
Conclusion: So far, the situation remains good despite the significant pressure on currencies.
Required:
The price should return above the 91k zone, but in case of a break of 85k, we may visit the 73k – 75k zones, but this is unlikely yet, let's wait and see what happens soon.
BIIB - Picture Perfect Market Maker ModelQuite Frankly This Is a Piece of Art.
Ai is been helping Bio Tech massively
Using the 3 Month and 1 Month Time frames we have a perfect Market maker model. Consolidation up top with market manipulation straight to distribution (A,M,D)
- 2 main accumulations before it hit's a perfect fair value gap.
Picture perfect <3
Bitcoin Trend Cap – Price Must Test the Floor $BTCUSD
A trend cap occurs when two bars of similar height form near the peak of a move, capping the trend and signaling that price isn’t going any higher. Bitcoin has just printed one on the 30-minute chart, rejecting off the upper Bollinger Band.
This means price is now set to return to test the floor it recently established. Many traders are misreading this as the start of a recovery, but this pattern suggests that the test will fail, leading to further downside.
Know thy shoe. The shoe will find the ground.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD CME:BTC1!
#MARUTISUZUKI Demand ZoneA demand zone for Maruti Suzuki (or any stock) refers to a price level or area where buying interest is strong, leading to a potential reversal or continuation of an upward trend. For Maruti Suzuki, which is one of India's largest automobile manufacturers, demand zones are influenced by both technical price levels and fundamental factors like earnings, industry trends, and macroeconomic conditions.
SPY's Make-or-Break Moment: Will $590 Hold or Collapse? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
SPY has been in a clear downtrend, forming a falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, which could indicate an upcoming reversal if price action confirms a breakout. The ETF is currently testing a crucial support level at $590, aligning with major options positioning.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: SPY is in a downtrend, but the falling wedge suggests a possible relief bounce.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $605 (breakout confirmation level).
* Key Support: $590 → If this breaks, expect further downside toward $580.
* Breakout Target: $610 - $615 if momentum shifts.
* MACD Indicator: Slight bullish divergence, signaling early signs of momentum recovery.
* Stoch RSI: Extremely overbought at 96.22, suggesting a pullback before a possible reversal.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator shows extreme negative gamma, with heavy PUT positioning at $590. If this level holds, a short squeeze could drive SPY back to $605-$610. However, a break below would likely trigger a further gamma-driven selloff toward $580.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 29.7, with IVx avg at 20.2%, signaling moderate volatility.
* Put Side Bias: 121.8% of options flow, showing heavy downside hedging.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $590 → A breakdown could lead to a fast drop to $580.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $605 → Breakout here could send SPY toward $615+.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $600 with strong volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $605
* Target 2: $610-$615 (Extended breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $589
📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $589 with increasing sell pressure.
* Target: $585 → $580
* Stop-loss: Above $595
Final Thoughts
SPY is at a critical inflection point, with $590 acting as the battleground. If it holds, expect a short squeeze rally toward $605+. But if it fails, the next leg down could accelerate toward $580. Given the extreme options positioning, expect high volatility and fast moves.
📢 Risk Management: Use defined stop-losses, watch for volume confirmation, and be prepared for sharp price swings.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
PLTR at a Key Decision Point! Bounce or More Downside? Feb. 26 Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Palantir (PLTR) has been in a downtrend, forming a falling wedge on the 1-hour timeframe, which could signal a potential reversal if it breaks out. The stock is currently testing a major support level around $85-$89, which aligns with strong options positioning.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: PLTR remains in a falling wedge, often a precursor to bullish reversals.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $95.73 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $85 (strong PUT support zone).
* Breakout Target: $100 - $108 if momentum returns.
* MACD Indicator: Flatlining, indicating a consolidation phase before a potential move.
* Stoch RSI: Near overbought, suggesting limited upside unless volume confirms a breakout.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator highlights significant PUT concentration around $85, meaning a break below could trigger additional downside momentum. However, if it holds, a relief bounce toward $95-$100 is possible.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 79, with IVx avg at 84.2%, showing increased volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 36% of options flow, suggesting some bullish positioning.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $85 → Breaking below could drive price toward $80.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $91-$100 → A breakout here could push toward $108.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $91 with confirmation of strength.
* Target 1: $95
* Target 2: $100-$108 (Extended breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $85
📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $85 with strong selling pressure.
* Target: $80 → $75
* Stop-loss: Above $89
Final Thoughts
PLTR is at a make-or-break level, with $85 being the critical zone to hold. If it breaks below, we could see a continuation toward $80. However, if buyers step in, a rally toward $95-$100 is likely. Options data suggests a battle between bulls and bears, making confirmation essential before entering a position.
📢 Risk Management: Given the volatility, traders should size their positions appropriately and wait for volume confirmation.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
NVDA at a Pivotal Level! Reversal Incoming or More Downside?Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
NVIDIA (NVDA) has been in a clear downtrend, forming a falling wedge on the 1-hour timeframe, which is often a precursor to a potential reversal. The stock is approaching a critical support level near $124-$126, where buyers may step in.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: NVDA remains in a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish reversal formation if it breaks out.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $134 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $124 (PUT support zone).
* Breakout Target: $138 - $143 if NVDA reclaims momentum.
* MACD Indicator: Slightly bearish but showing early signs of a potential crossover, indicating momentum shift.
* Stoch RSI: Approaching overbought conditions, meaning a relief rally could be on the horizon.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator signals significant PUT positioning at $120-$124, making it a crucial level for a bounce. A breakdown below this zone could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while a breakout above $134 could lead to a short squeeze.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 63.3, with IVx avg at 85.8%, indicating high volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 22.1% of options flow, showing some bullish positioning despite the decline.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $124 → Holding above could trigger a relief bounce.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $138 → Breakout above this would confirm a reversal.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $130 with confirmation.
* Target 1: $134
* Target 2: $138-$143 (Extended breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $124
📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $124 with strong selling pressure.
* Target: $120 → $115 (Next PUT Wall).
* Stop-loss: Above $128
Final Thoughts
NVDA is at a make-or-break zone, with $124 as the key support level to watch. If it holds, we could see a sharp reversal toward $134+. However, breaking below could bring another leg down to $120-$115. Given the high volatility, traders should be prepared for sharp price movements.
📢 Risk Management: Use tight stop-losses and wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
AAPL Approaching a Major Breakout! Is $250 the Next Stop? Feb. 2Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Apple (AAPL) is consolidating near a critical resistance zone at $250, attempting to maintain momentum within a strong uptrend. The stock has formed a rising wedge, signaling potential for continuation if buyers push through the upper boundary.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: AAPL remains in a well-defined uptrend, bouncing off key support levels.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $250 (Highest positive NETGEX & CALL Resistance).
* Key Support: $245 → Breakdown here could shift momentum.
* Breakout Target: $255-$260 if $250 is cleared.
* MACD Indicator: Showing slight weakness, signaling a possible consolidation phase before the next move.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting AAPL could find buying pressure soon.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator highlights a strong call wall at $250, suggesting a gamma squeeze could trigger if AAPL clears this level. PUT support sits around $242, which means downside risk is somewhat contained.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 41.4, with IVx avg at 29%, indicating moderate volatility.
* Put Side Bias: 9% of options flow, meaning limited downside hedging.
* Key GEX Levels:
* CALL Resistance / Gamma Wall: $250 → Breaking above opens the door to $255-$260.
* PUT Support Zone: $242 → Below this, downside could accelerate toward $240.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Breakout Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $248 with strong volume.
* Target 1: $250
* Target 2: $255-$260 (Extended target).
* Stop-loss: Below $245
📌 Bearish Reversal Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $244 with confirmation of weakness.
* Target: $242 → $240
* Stop-loss: Above $247
Final Thoughts
AAPL is at a key inflection point, with $250 acting as the next big trigger level. A breakout could send it to new highs, while failure to hold $245 could shift momentum. Options positioning favors bullish continuation, but volume confirmation is key.
📢 Risk Management: Given market conditions, adjust position sizing and use stop-loss protection.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or More Pain Ahead? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Tesla (TSLA) has been in a sharp downtrend, breaking key support levels and forming a descending channel on the 1-hour chart. The stock is now testing a crucial demand zone around $300, which aligns with a major PUT wall and strong buyer interest.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: TSLA is currently in a falling wedge pattern, often a sign of potential reversal.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $320 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $300 (PUT Wall and highest negative NETGEX).
* Breakout Target: $340 if TSLA regains momentum.
* MACD Indicator: Bearish but showing early signs of a possible crossover.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator reveals heavy PUT positioning near $300, making it a high-stakes level. A break below could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while holding above could fuel a short-covering rally.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 62, with IVx avg at 71.7%, indicating high volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 31.3% of options flow, meaning some traders are betting on a bounce.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $300 → Breaking below could see more downside toward $290-$280.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $340 → Breaking above this level would confirm a reversal.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Play (If $300 Holds)
* Entry: Above $306 with strong volume.
* Target 1: $320
* Target 2: $340 (CALL Wall breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $297
📌 Bearish Breakdown Play (If $300 Fails)
* Entry: Below $297 with volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $290
* Target 2: $280 (Potential next support).
* Stop-loss: Above $310
Final Thoughts
TSLA is at a make-or-break level, with $300 acting as the battleground. If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally toward $320-$340. However, if selling pressure continues, a break below $300 could lead to a further slide toward $280. High volatility means traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
📢 Risk Management: Adjust stop-loss levels and position size accordingly. This setup has high risk but also high reward potential.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
$XAU 26/02 UPDATE.Sticky Gold.
Positions dropped.
Clean & Sharp move away from entry.
In the image Again $2907.3 holds the answers and I’m looking for pa to rush through into $2901.76/ $2900.2 before moving upside to reclaim pricing above $2907 & validate the long setup.
Approach here would let pricing come down and if can get no further than $2893 with impulse back to initial entry it should be valid. Check off throughout timeframes for support.
Entry would be $2900.2/$2901.76
Stops: $2893
Tp $2969/$2980
LFG Traders 💨
EBAY: Strong Buy in My Radar List - Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
eBay (EBAY) is trading within a strong ascending channel, approaching key resistance near $71.40. The stock has consistently printed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish structure.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: EBAY is in a well-defined uptrend, respecting the channel’s support.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $72.50 (CALL Wall) → Breakout level.
* Key Support: $70, followed by $69 (Gamma Wall).
* Stronger Support Zones: $67.52 (Critical PUT Support).
* MACD Indicator: Bullish, signaling continued strength.
* Stoch RSI: Extremely overbought (97.74), suggesting a potential short-term pullback before continuation.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator signals high positive gamma above $70, which could fuel a breakout if sustained. However, downside risk is limited as PUT support is concentrated near $65.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 80.1, with IVx avg at 49.2%, indicating heightened volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 10.9% of total options flow, suggesting a moderate bullish tilt.
* Key GEX Levels:
* CALL Resistance / Gamma Wall: $72.50 → Break and hold could send EBAY toward $75.
* PUT Support Zone: $65 → Breaking below would invalidate the bullish trend.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Trade Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $70.50 with volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $72.50
* Target 2: $75 (Major resistance).
* Stop-loss: Below $69
📌 Bearish Alternative (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $69 with selling pressure.
* Target: $67.50 → $65
* Stop-loss: Above $71
Final Thoughts
EBAY is trading at a key inflection point. If it can break and hold above $72.50, we could see a gamma squeeze toward $75. However, given its overbought Stoch RSI, a small pullback before continuation would be ideal. Options data supports bullish bias, but traders should watch volume for confirmation.
📢 Risk Management: Manage position size carefully, especially with increased volatility.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
CSCO: Strong Buy in My Radar List - Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Cisco Systems (CSCO) has recently broken out of a falling wedge pattern and is showing signs of a potential reversal. The stock reclaimed key support levels and is attempting to establish a higher low for continuation.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: CSCO has broken out of a falling wedge and is attempting a trend shift toward higher highs.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $65.50 (CALL Resistance & Gamma Wall)
* Key Support: $63, followed by $62.50
* Stronger Support Zones: $61 (PUT Wall)
* MACD Indicator: Neutral, awaiting bullish confirmation with a potential crossover.
* Stoch RSI: Cooling off slightly but still in an upward trajectory.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator signals positive gamma flow, with key call resistance aligning near $65.50, suggesting a breakout here could push the stock significantly higher.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 14.3, with IVx avg at 21.7%, indicating a lower volatility setup.
* Put Side Bias: Only 4% PUT flow, meaning limited downside hedging.
* Key GEX Levels:
* CALL Wall Resistance: $65.50 → Breakout target toward $67.50 (3rd CALL Wall).
* PUT Support Zone: $61 → Breakdown could see a test toward $60.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Trade Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $64.50 with volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $65.50
* Target 2: $67.50 (3rd CALL Wall)
* Stop-loss: Below $63
📌 Bearish Alternative (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $62.50 with increasing selling pressure.
* Target: $61 → $60
* Stop-loss: Above $64
Final Thoughts
CSCO is on watch for a potential breakout above $65.50. Options data shows limited downside risk, while positive gamma exposure could fuel upside momentum. If $64.50 holds, this stock has the potential for a strong bullish continuation.
📢 Risk Management: Adjust stop-loss levels according to your risk tolerance. Be mindful of the upcoming price action confirmation before entering a position.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
TLT: Strong Buy in My Radar List - Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) has been steadily climbing, breaking through key resistance levels and forming an ascending trendline on the 1-hour chart. The price action suggests continued bullish momentum with a breakout above $91 and potential for further upside.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: TLT is in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $92.50 (PUT resistance) and $93.50 (2nd PUT Wall)
* Key Support: $91 (current breakout level), followed by $90
* Stronger Support Zones: $88 - $87.79
* MACD Indicator: Showing bullish momentum, with signals aligning for continuation.
* Stoch RSI: Slightly overbought but still has room for further upside before a pullback.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator highlights a strong call concentration at $91, indicating a potential gamma squeeze if price holds above this level.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 39.6, with IVx avg at 15.9%, signaling moderate volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 17.9% of options flow, supporting a bullish breakout scenario.
* Key GEX Levels:
* CALL Wall Resistance: $92 → Breaking this level could push toward $93.50.
* PUT Support Zone: $88 - $87 → A breakdown could trigger downward momentum.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Trade Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $91 with confirmation (sustained hold above resistance).
* Target 1: $92.50
* Target 2: $93.50 (2nd PUT Wall)
* Stop-loss: Below $90
📌 Bearish Alternative (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $90 with volume breakdown.
* Target: $88 → $87
* Stop-loss: Above $91
Final Thoughts
TLT is in a strong bullish structure and could see further upside if it holds above $91. Options data suggests a gamma squeeze toward $92-$93.50, but failure to sustain $90 could bring a retracement. Keep an eye on volume confirmation before taking positions.
📢 Risk Management: Adjust position sizes and stop-loss levels according to your risk tolerance.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
BUY NZDCAD - CAD still weak Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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LLY: Strong Buy in My Radar List - Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Eli Lilly (LLY) is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading within an ascending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The stock recently tested the upper trendline and is consolidating near $900, a key psychological level.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: LLY is in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined price channel.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $912 (recent high)
* Key Support: $894, followed by $881
* Stronger Support Zones: $869 - $865 (confluence with PUT walls)
* MACD Indicator: Bullish momentum persists but shows slight signs of cooling off. Watch for potential continuation.
* Stoch RSI: Approaching overbought conditions, which may signal a slight pullback before another push higher.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator suggests a high call concentration around $900, aligning with our price action resistance. This means market makers may hedge aggressively if LLY sustains above this level, fueling further upside.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 19, with IVx avg at 32.7%, indicating relatively lower volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 23.4% of total options flow supports a bullish breakout scenario.
* Key GEX Levels:
* Strongest Resistance / CALL Wall: $900 → Break and hold here unlocks $920 (2nd CALL Wall).
* PUT Support Zone: $865 - $867.5 → A breakdown could trigger downside hedging, making this a critical level to hold.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Trade Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $900 with confirmation (sustained hold above resistance).
* Target 1: $912
* Target 2: $920 (CALL Wall target)
* Stop-loss: Below $894
📌 Bearish Alternative (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $894 with volume breakdown.
* Target: $881 → $869
* Stop-loss: Above $900
Final Thoughts
LLY is one of the strongest setups on my radar. If it maintains above $900, it could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $920. However, failure to hold this level could result in a retest of $865-$869. Options positioning suggests a bullish bias, but watching price action closely is key.
📢 Risk Management: Always size positions according to your risk tolerance. Trade the setup, not the expectation.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
#COPPER DEMAND ZONE A demand zone in trading refers to a price area where buying interest is significantly strong, often leading to a potential reversal or continuation of an upward trend. When discussing copper demand zones, we're typically looking at key price levels where buyers are likely to step in, causing the price of copper to bounce or reverse.
Reflection on the connection between Trump's policies and tariffTrump’s trade policy follows Sun Tzu’s advice—he keeps his plans secret and acts suddenly but is sometimes open to negotiation.
His trade war aims to reduce trade deficits and increase government revenue. While China, Mexico, and the EU are his main targets, Canada has also been affected.
Mexico and Canada secured a 30-day break from tariffs by promising stricter border control and measures against fentanyl trafficking.
China responded with small counter-tariffs on U.S. oil, coal, and gas, investigated U.S. companies, and filed a complaint with the WTO.
Trump has left the extra tariffs in place and is in no hurry to negotiate with China’s President X!!
These trade tensions have led to market instability. The euro is struggling due to tariff risks, while the Australian and New Zealand dollars are affected by U.S.-China tensions. The Canadian dollar has recovered slightly, but its future depends on how border issues are handled.
Investors are watching tariff news closely but are also focusing on economic data like U.S. job reports, inflation, and central bank decisions. European and UK economic updates, Norway’s oil market outlook, and Trump’s meeting with Japan’s leader could also influence the markets.
I highlighted an important factor above that could impact the value of certain stocks. What do you think these stocks might be?
China's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. crude oil (10%) and coal/LNG (15%) could negatively impact several American companies in the energy sector, especially those that export these commodities to China. The main companies affected might include:
Oil Companies
ExxonMobil (XOM)
Chevron (CVX)
ConocoPhillips (COP)
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
These companies rely on global crude oil demand, and tariffs could reduce their export opportunities to China, potentially lowering revenues.
Coal Companies
Peabody Energy (BTU)
Arch Resources (ARCH)
Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)
China is a major coal consumer, and a 15% tariff could make U.S. coal exports less competitive, favoring suppliers from Australia or Indonesia instead.
LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) Companies
Cheniere Energy (LNG)
Tellurian (TELL)
Sempra Energy (SRE)
China is one of the world's largest LNG importers. A tariff could push Chinese buyers toward alternative suppliers like Qatar and Australia, potentially reducing U.S. LNG exports and affecting revenue growth.
Broader Impacts
Shipping & Logistics: Companies involved in transporting these commodities, like Kinder Morgan (KMI) and Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), could see reduced demand.
Manufacturing & Equipment: Companies like Caterpillar (CAT), which provides equipment for oil, gas, and coal industries, may experience indirect effects if production slows down.
Thus China’s tariffs could reduce demand for U.S. energy exports, hurt profits for oil, coal, and LNG companies, and shift trade flows to other countries.
Yes, you’re seeing it correctly—AMR is there as well, and indeed, it has already been on my watchlist. Based on this, I’m analyzing the chart from a technical perspective, and it’s possible that I will short AMR using a put option, because AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources) is heavily tied to the coal industry, so China's 15% tariff on U.S. coal could negatively impact demand, potentially leading to a decline in AMR’s stock price. If China reduces coal imports from the U.S. and shifts to other suppliers, it could hurt AMR’s revenue.
