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Beyond Technical Analysis

What Has Warren Buffet, Elizabeth Warren & Arbitrum In Common?The good news is that the market is now turning green. All is well that ends well. There was lots of excitement in late 2024 because of the bullish period, but this bullish period was followed by an even stronger bearish period. Just as there was excitement, now all that there is is depression. People are worn out, they can't take it anymore. That's the signal. When the market participants are tired and ready to give up, that's when the market turns. When nobody is around and people no longer care, that's the best time to buy and that's exactly when the market looks great. When people are on vacation away from home, that's when the signals will start to show that the bearish wave is over, but people won't know. When the market becomes strongly bullish again, it will be too late. There will be additional growth but when the majority decide to buy because of a challenge of the previous high, a new correction will form. The participants seeing a correction and having samskaras of the previous bearish wave, they start thinking that this one will be the same and will last a long-term, so instead of holding they decide to fold. The moment they fold, the market resumes growing but too fast for them to decide to buy again and there goes the last run. It is a psychological game. One has to buy when there is strong aversion to the market, one has to sell when the feeling is to stay in for as long as possible; forever growth. When people start talking about Bitcoin going to $1,000,000 when it already trades at $160,000 or $180,000, that's the time to take profits. When people start calling for Bitcoin to $5,000,000 and Michael Saylor starts making videos, that's the time to consider how much money you can withdraw. When even Elizabeth Warren starts to admit that we were right and she was wrong, that's the moment to sell everything because the moment the bank puppet turns, that's the sure sign of a doom scenario. The moment that Warren Buffet decides, "I am buying Bitcoin," that's it, all 21 million Bitcoins will be already gone. By the time Mr. Buffet figures out that Bitcoin is the new Internet, it will already be the year 2,140, it will be impossible to mine a new Bitcoin. Actually, I don't know anything about these people, all I know is that Crypto is going up. Arbitrum is ready to start a new wave of growth. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
Relationship between trendline and StochRSI Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I think that everything used in chart analysis should be objective so that everyone can understand it. If not, I think that if we start complaining about the different interpretations used in chart analysis, the essence may be damaged. Therefore, I am trying to present a method that anyone can understand and draw in the same way. In that sense, I have talked about the method of drawing trendlines several times. Today, I will explain additional parts that were not covered in the previous drawing methods. To set it like the StochRSI indicator on this chart, - Source value: ohlc4 - Setting value: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D) You can set it like this. - A trend line is literally a line drawn to find out the trend. It can also be used to predict how the current trend will change in the future. However, since a trend line is drawn for chart analysis, what we need to draw importantly is the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - The trend line currently drawn is as follows. Trend line (1): Trend line between lows drawn on 1W chart Trend line (2), (6): Trend line between lows drawn on 1D chart Trend line (3), (4): Trend line between highs drawn on 1D chart Trend line (5): Trend line drawn on 1M chart Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend in the medium to long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (1). Similarly, in order to continue the uptrend in the long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (5). - The trend line is drawn by connecting the points between the highs or lows of the StochRSI indicator. The StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case. However, when creating waves, you should consider that the points necessary for drawing the trend line have been formed by touching the overbought and oversold areas and draw them. Therefore, the points of the A and B sections of the StochRSI indicator are ambiguous points for drawing trend lines. The solution to these points is the same as the trend line drawn above. That is, the trend line is operated by connecting the points of the A section or the B section based on the last point created by touching the overbought or oversold section. At this time, the important thing is that it must have escaped the overbought or oversold section. The trend line (3) and trend line (4) drawn in this way form an expansion channel. Therefore, once the decline begins, you can see that there is a possibility of a large decline. However, as I mentioned earlier, the trend line was drawn to analyze the chart. Therefore, you need to check the importance of the support and resistance points drawn in the area to see if it will actually lead to a decline. Currently, the important support and resistance range from a short-term perspective is 76322.42-78595.86. And, from a medium- to long-term perspective, the important support and resistance range is 69000-73499.86. Therefore, even if it falls below trend line (4) and shows a large decline, it is expected that it will not be easy to touch trend line (3). - Trend line (2) and trend line (6) are trend lines drawn between low points on the 1D chart. Therefore, even if it falls, it is highly likely that the area around trend line (6) will be the maximum. In other words, even if the decline begins, it is highly likely that it will re-confirm the support around 76322.42-78595.86. - In any case, this volatility period ended without any significant movement. The next volatility period is around April 25-29. Since the StochRSI indicator is clearly showing a downward trend in the overbought zone, the key is whether there is support around 83423.84-84591.59. If the price is maintained above the 1D chart, there is a high possibility of maintaining a short-term uptrend. However, from a trading perspective, it should show support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart to be a trading period. Therefore, whether there is support near 89294.25 is important. - Therefore, we are troubled. Should we buy when it is supported in the current zone, 83423.84-84591.59, or should we buy when it is supported near 89294.25? If the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to sell, and if it falls below the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to buy. If you look at the chart again with this information, you can decide that it is better to wait a little longer rather than proceed with the current transaction. - In the previous idea, I said that if it rises to around 89294.25, there will be a psychological feeling that it will rise further, and you will try to make a breakout trade. At this time, what we should be interested in is whether the trend line between the lows and the trend line between the highs are formed in the same direction. And, whether the StochRSI indicator shows an upward trend below the 50 point. If it does not show such a movement, it is highly likely that it will shake up and down with a large fluctuation range. Therefore, it is absolutely necessary to check whether it is supported near 89294.25. Checking support and resistance is a tedious and difficult task. Checking support and resistance requires checking the movement for at least 1-3 days. - The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point range. Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it can be interpreted that it has fallen back to the low point. Therefore, in order for an uptrend to begin, the trading volume must increase when confirming support near the HA-Low indicator. If the trading volume does not increase and it rises, it may not rise much and turn into a downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Gold Strategy: False Alarm, Bottom BounceOn Thursday, after hitting a record high of $3,357.66, the spot gold price pulled back, and the bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce battle. The pressure of short - term profit - taking is emerging, but the fundamental support still exists, and the key support level will determine the future trend. The intensifying trade tensions between the United States and China have increased the demand for safety, keeping the gold price near its record high, and the upward trend is far from over. In the short term, gold is likely to start a large - range oscillation again. It has begun a reverse - V trend in one hour. Gold will either start a large - range oscillation or make an adjustment. In the short term, without the support of bullish news, the short - term gold bulls may be under pressure. Since the international gold market is closed tomorrow, there is not much point in participating at present. Overall, for the current short - term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on selling on rallies and supplement with buying on dips. In the short term, pay close attention to the resistance level of $3,315 - $3,320 above, and the support level of $3,285 - $3,270 below. Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SterlingOracle
1
USD/JPY Dynamics & Investment StrategiesOn Wednesday, the USD/JPY exchange rate kept falling, trading around 141.950 with a drop of about 0.90%. Weakened by the US dollar's continuous decline, it hit a low of 141.645 and then recovered slightly. The yen's appreciation was due to the dollar's weakness, as new US tariff plans caused selling pressure on the dollar. Trump's call to investigate key mineral import tariffs added to investors' anxiety. The USD/JPY was consolidating around 143.20. A downward break might lead to 141.70, the third wave of decline, while an upward break could trigger a pullback to 145.00, supported by the MACD indicator. It formed a wider consolidation range between 142.46 and 144.07 with a triangular pattern. Breaking above might cause a rally to 145.00, also supported by the Stochastic Oscillator. The yen's rapid appreciation reflected the dollar's weakness and Japan's manufacturing optimism. However, trade policy uncertainty and technical patterns suggest the exchange rate will remain volatile, with key levels at 141.70 (downside) and 145.00 (upside). Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Short
by SterlingOracle
1
AUD/USD's Climb: From Market Conditions to Trading SignalsThe AUD/USD continued its upward trend from last week and further climbed above the 0.63 mark. This rally is mainly propelled by risk - on sentiment; simultaneously, rising commodity prices have bolstered the Aussie. On the 120 - minute chart, AUD/USD pierced the mid - line of the upward channel and is now edging towards the recent peak of 0.6342. The MACD shows a DIFF of 0.0046, a DEA of 0.0044, and a MACD value of 0.0005, with histograms above the zero line, indicating positive short - term momentum. The RSI stands at 67.9796, close to but not yet in overbought territory, suggesting short - term upside potential. Notably, AUD/USD is trading above moving averages across multiple time frames. The MA55, MA14, and MA200 are at 0.6139, 0.6280, and 0.6224 respectively, in a bullish alignment, a clear bullish signal. Chart - wise, AUD/USD stays within the upward channel, aiming for 0.6400, with support around 0.6260 and 0.6180. In the near term, AUD/USD is likely to keep rising. Supporting factors are: the weakening DXY , which has dropped below the key 100 level; improving risk sentiment; and eased global trade tensions. Technically, indicators have turned bullish, with strong upward momentum. If market expectations for Fed rate cuts firm up, it'll further boost the Aussie. In this scenario, after clearing 0.6400, AUD/USD could target 0.6500 - 0.6550. Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment. Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
Long
by SterlingOracle
Pi Network is a stablecoin? “Cryptocurrency is becoming more popular. A legal framework for stablecoins is a good idea.” Jerome H. Powell The market, global economy is entering a greatest thunder storm, yet not end.. and it is still going. The financial market, organization, banks, ets.. are now getting fear, panicking on what is happening to the market crash, and new tariff pause. Yet, there is a crypto..still not yet plumeting crashing and waitting the game changer. Crypto already grow rapidly fast years by years, and proven in the market crash, covid , the crypto still strong. The price currently trying to breaking trough resistance and still in the bearish for the moment.
Long
by SL-Trades
SBI: Inverse H&S BreakoutThe Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. It consists of three key components: Structure of the Pattern: Left Shoulder: A price decline followed by a temporary rally. Head: A deeper decline forming the lowest point, followed by another rally. Right Shoulder: A decline similar in size to the left shoulder but not as deep as the head, followed by a move higher. Neckline: A resistance level that connects the highs of the two rallies after the left shoulder and head. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in SBI, with a neckline at ₹783, indicates a potential bullish reversal. The stock has formed a well-defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening. The target price for this breakout is ₹900 calculated by measuring the distance from the head’s low to the neckline and projecting it upwards. If the stock sustains above the neckline, it could gain further momentum. However, traders should consider placing a stop-loss at 730 to manage risk in case of a failed breakout.
NSE:SBINLong
by TradingSutra
Global M2 MONEY SUPPLY VS GLOBAL LIQUIDITYWhich is the best to track ₿itcoin price action? Lots of macro gurus have been arguing over the two. For comparison, I have indexes for both metrics on a 12-Week Lead, tracking the 4 largest central banks: The Federal Reserve (including TGA & RRP), People’s Bank of China, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan. Let’s start by defining each. Global M2 Money Supply covers physical cash in circulation and cash equivalents such as checking and savings deposits, as well as money market securities. Global Liquidity covers a broader measure of liquid assets driven by central bank balance sheets, private sector financial activity (e.g., lending, corporate cash), and cross-border capital flows. Historically, both move closely in lock-step and act as a great leading indicator for ₿itcoin, however we can see that Global Liquidity can have more drastic fluctuations. We saw a large divergence in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA with both metrics when the Blackrock iShares ₿itcoin ETF appeared on the DTCC list, a procedural step signaling progress toward potential approval. When you look at the charts of all three, you can see there are points where either metric might follow CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA a bit closer, so in the end I would say it’s best to track both to find confluence in the signal.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
CAKEUSDT Short Setup – Watching 2.40 Zone for RejectionHey Traders, CAKEUSDT is currently trading within a well-defined downtrend, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. The recent move appears to be a corrective rally, bringing price back toward a key daily resistance zone around 2.40, which also aligns with the descending trendline. I’m monitoring this area closely for potential bearish price action to develop, signaling a continuation of the dominant bearish trend. Key Confluences: Major daily resistance at 2.40 Approaching descending trendline Market still in a clear downtrend Possible lower high formation in progress Trade Plan: If I see bearish confirmation in this zone (e.g. rejection candles, bearish structure break on lower timeframes, or weakening momentum). A strong break and hold above 2.40 would invalidate the setup!
Short
by JoeChampion
The Hidden Correlation Between Dollar Strength and crypto marketHello Traders 🐺 Maybe you’ve asked yourself this question: Why is it so hard to figure out exactly when the financial markets are about to pump or crash? And how can I predict and prepare before it actually happens? Because usually, people realize we’re in a bull or bear market when it’s already too late — when we’re halfway through the move. And as you probably know, the biggest opportunities always happen at the bottom, like now — when everyone is bearish, scared of recession, or talking about trade wars (which in my opinion is just a distraction). If you know even a little about economics, you’d realize that most policies are made to strengthen markets — not to destroy them. So why did we experience things like recessions or events like Black Monday? The answer is simple: Recession is a normal and even healthy part of any economy. It resets prices, clears bubbles, and restores balance. Imagine a world where prices just keep going up forever... at some point, your purchasing power disappears. Inflation, in moderation, is part of a healthy economy — but when it turns into hyperinflation, it becomes a silent thief. 📊 But Why Am I Saying All This? Because today, we’re going to look at the correlation between the DXY (Dollar Index) and TOTAL2 (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding BTC). You might be wondering: Why TOTAL2? Why not just talk about BTC? If you’ve been following my ideas, you know I’ve been calling for an upcoming Altcoin Season. Right now, we’re in the BTC phase. BTC is doing its thing — and everyone knows it’s likely to go higher. There’s no need to overhype the obvious. But the real story is: while BTC is dominating, altcoins are bleeding — most of them are sitting at their ATL levels against BTC. That’s where the real opportunity is. 💵 Why the DXY? If you read my previous DXY idea, you already know that deflationary assets like BTC and GOLD move inversely to the Dollar. Every time we enter a QT cycle (a.k.a. Dollar Season), we see liquidity being drained, inflation being fought off, and markets getting crushed. But here’s the alpha: Every time the DXY crashes → crypto explodes. Especially altcoins — because they are inherently riskier than BTC and react more aggressively to new liquidity entering the system. Let me break it down 👇 DXY crash in 2020 → Altseason DXY rise in may 2021 → Major crypto crash Now → DXY breaking below a critical support line... 👀 If this breakdown holds and the Fed confirms the shift to a QE-friendly policy, we’re likely heading toward another massive crypto bull market. Also — if you zoom in, there’s a clear bull flag forming on TOTAL2. If DXY shows more weakness and Fed starts cutting rates, this flag might explode to the upside. I hope you enjoyed this idea and as always, never forget our golden rule: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable — but almost always profitable 🐺 🐺KIU_COIN🐺
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Kiu_Coin
Crucial Zone Ahead: Will TAO Confirm a Bullish Reversal? TAO/USDT Daily Chart Analysis Trend Line Breakout: The chart shows a successful breakout above a long-term descending trend line, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Fakeout Rejection: A previous attempt to break above the trend line resulted in a fakeout and strong rejection, but this recent move looks more decisive. Key Resistance Cleared: The price has clearly broken above a key resistance level, suggesting renewed buying pressure. However, confirmation is still needed. Current Price Action: Price is now hovering above the trend line and testing the local resistance zone. Watch for a breakout confirmation and retest of the marked zone (approx. $265–$275) to validate further upside movement. Next Targets: If the breakout holds, potential upside targets could be the previous high resistance zones between $305–$335. 📌 Strategy Tip: Wait for a daily candle close above the marked zone for confirmation. If it fails, we could see a pullback into the local support range near $270–$290
Long
by unichartz
6