Beyond Technical Analysis
USTEC100 Chart 4H, Trends To Watch for Short The provided USTEC 100 (US Tech 100) 4-hour chart highlights a strategic short (sell) trade setup based on technical price action and defined risk levels. The analysis suggests a bearish market bias, provided that specific price conditions are met and maintained. Let's explore the details and rationale behind this trade idea to understand how traders might approach this setup with calculated entries, targets, and stops.
As per the current market data presented, USTEC 100 is trading around 21,115.00 on Monday, 19 May 2025. The chart emphasizes a critical resistance zone highlighted in red, located at approximately 21,445.10. This level acts as a potential invalidation point for the short trade. If the price crosses above this red zone and a full candle closes above it, the entire bearish setup becomes invalid. This is a key condition – any move above this threshold signifies a shift in market sentiment and cancels the downward outlook.
GBPUSD Trend Analysis On The 4H Chart Profit SurgingThe GBPUSD currency pair, as observed on the 4-hour timeframe, is currently exhibiting signs of a potential bullish reversal, with a suggested entry near the 1.32696 price level. This analysis outlines retracement considerations, key target levels, and invalidation criteria based on technical structure and price behavior.
✦ Current Market Overview
As of May 18, 2025, GBPUSD is priced at 1.32696. The market has formed a recent consolidation structure, showing attempts to hold above key support. The setup presented encourages buying opportunities based on the expectation of a bullish continuation or breakout from the current price zone.
✦ Retracement Zone and Entry Strategy
The green highlighted area on the chart represents the **retracement or demand zone**. If price dips into this area, it is seen as a potential accumulation point for buyers. Key takeaways include:
• **Retracement Zone Range**: Approximated between **1.31394** (low) and the lower edge of the green zone.
• **Candle Close Below Green Zone**: If price closes below this zone, the bullish setup becomes invalid.
• **Stop Loss (SL)**: Set at 20 pips below entry to minimize downside risk.
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Daily Sniper Plan for Friday, May 23👋 Hey Gold Snipers, Ready to Slice Through the Noise?
The market has been throwing shadows and traps all day — but structure doesn’t lie. As we head into May 23, we’ve mapped out the real levels that matter. No hype. Just clean logic. You want sniper entries? Here's where we hunt 🧠🎯
🔭 Bias for May 23: Bearish-to-Neutral
Short-term bias is bearish as long as 3298 holds as resistance
If bulls reclaim 3300+ with momentum, we shift into bullish continuation bias toward 3332–3345
Until then, we’re playing inside structure → fading premium, buying deep discount only on confirmation
🧭 Market Update
Gold spent most of Thursday chopping inside indecision, dancing between reclaimed zones and rejected premiums. But smart money leaves a trail — and tonight, structure gave us the blueprint:
CHoCH confirmed from 3345 → now forming a lower high structure
EMA 5/21 still locked bearish on M15–H1, while price holds under the OB flip zone
RSI is showing divergence near key demand
FVGs still exposed both above and below = imbalance-driven reactions likely
Momentum is building... but direction depends on how we react to these zones👇
🧩 Plan for Friday, May 23 – Built Around Key Zones
🔺 Sell Zone: 3314–3320
💥 Premium OB reaction area
→ If price taps and rejects, this is where shorts load
→ EMA 100 and previous LH sit here — high probability fade level
→ Watch for M5 CHoCH or bearish engulfing to trigger sniper logic
⚖️ Flip Zone: 3292–3298
🧠 Former demand turned resistance — now the pivot of truth
→ If price rejects here again, expect quick drop to 3260s
→ BUT... if bulls reclaim and hold above 3300, this flips the script
→ In that case, structure opens doors to:
🟡3314
🟡3332
Even 3345+ (liquidity sweep zone)
We adapt with structure — not emotions.
🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3263–3273
✅ CHoCH support base + FVG + RSI bounce
→ This is sniper ground if price returns here cleanly
→ Look for EMA 5/21 bull lock + M15 BOS
→ Reactive zone, not for the impulsive — confirmation or nothing
🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3242–3250
🔑 Deep liquidity sweep + fib 78–88.6%
→ If price runs the 3260 zone and traps liquidity, this is the reload zone
→ Needs strong wick + RSI divergence + internal BOS to act
❌ Breakdown/Invalidation Zone: 3222–3230
🚨 Below here = no more sniper longs
→ Structure flips HTF bearish
→ If it breaks with volume and OB rejection on retest = prepare for deeper slide
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This isn’t about signals. It’s about structure.
Gold moves best when we wait — not when we guess. We mapped every key zone. Now we wait for confirmation, follow the logic, and let the amateurs get baited in between.
🎯 Bias stays bearish under 3298. Above 3300, we start building toward higher liquidity zones — but confirmation is king.
💬 Let me know which zone you're watching.
🔁 Share this plan if it helped clarify your direction.
🟡 Like + Follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level structure — every session.
GOLD is About to COLLAPSE from a Fake Pump!📊 GOLD SMC Analysis (XAU/USD 4H)
Gold just tapped into a major Fair Value Gap + Premium OB Zone, aligning with the 79% retracement level. Market structure shows exhaustion, and a perfect short setup is forming.
🔍 Smart Money Narrative:
Strong prior bearish move = institutional sell-off ✅
Clean retrace into FVG (Fair Value Gap) and OB (Order Block) = sell zone 💯
Price tapped into 3,351 – 3,364 range (marked red)
That level aligns with the 79% Fib + channel resistance 🚨
The confluence = Smart Money liquidity grab ➡️ expect dump
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ FVG: clear imbalance filled (great trap zone)
✅ Order Block: bearish origin of last impulse
✅ 79% Fib Level: classic retracement kill zone
✅ Bearish Trendline + Channel Top: dynamic resistance
✅ 3:1+ RRR short idea in play
📉 Trade Plan (Sell Setup):
Entry Zone: 3,351 – 3,364
Stop Loss: 3,442 (above swing high)
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,280 (61.8% level)
TP2: 3,120.76 (full move, 0% Fib)
RRR: 1:3 to 1:4 🤑🔥
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Retail is chasing breakout highs 😬
Smart Money is selling into OB + FVG → trap those late longs
Next? Smash weak lows and rebalance price with a deep pullback
💬 “Gold’s headed for a cliff dive?” Drop a 💰 or ‘XAU’ if you’re riding this wave down!
Moving in the uptrend, bulls dominate⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices slipped by approximately 0.48% on Thursday, retreating from a two-week peak of $3,345 and falling below the key $3,300 level. The decline was driven by renewed strength in the US Dollar, even as Treasury yields pulled back from their intraday highs. The pressure on the yellow metal intensified after the US House of Representatives passed President Trump’s budget proposal, which now heads to the Senate for final approval. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,289, marking a 0.83% daily loss.
While sentiment in the broader market has seen a modest rebound, it remains fragile following Moody’s recent downgrade of US sovereign debt. The fiscal package approved by the House is expected to raise the national debt ceiling by a staggering $4 trillion, amplifying concerns over long-term fiscal sustainability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still moving in the H1 uptrend line, buying power is still quite strong.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3344- 3346 SL 3351
TP1: $3335
TP2: $3322
TP3: $3307
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3248- $3246 SL $3241
TP1: $3258
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTCUSD (Bitcoin) Setting Up for a Trap and Crash📊 BTCUSD Smart Money Breakdown – May 23, 2025
This is a textbook liquidity trap setup — and the roadmap is crystal clear. The market already induced buyers at the top, is now tapping into an Order Block (OB) + 79% zone, and is preparing to nuke.
🔍 Market Narrative:
Strong high established – retail likely placing longs above that.
Clean retracement into Order Block zone (110,322 – 110,850) – where Smart Money is selling into demand.
PA is projected to fake a bullish breakout, reverse, and go for a deeper Fair Value Gap fill near 107,786, eventually targeting the Sell-Side Liquidity zone at 106,188.31.
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ OB + 79% Fibonacci = strong SMC reversal zone
✅ Clear FVG waiting to be filled = imbalance = magnet
✅ Weak low at 107,786.83 = perfect inducement for Smart Money run
✅ Final stop = Sell Side Liquidity sweep below 106,200
📉 Price Path Forecast:
Reject Order Block + Premium zone (110,496 – 110,850)
Retrace → FVG fill (between 108,900 – 107,800 zone)
Minor pullback or fake rally
Final move: liquidity raid under 106,188
Smart Money buys low again, setting up next bullish leg (later)
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Idea):
Entry Zone: Between 110,322 – 110,850 (OB)
SL: Above 111,000 (above inducement)
TP1: 107,786 (Weak Low)
TP2: 106,188 (Sell-Side Liquidity Pool)
RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 🔥
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Retail sees sideways structure = buys top resistance
SM sees that = sells into premium zone
This is accumulation → manipulation → distribution at its finest.
💬 Think BTC’s about to drop hard? Type “DUMP” or 🔻 in the comments! Let’s see who’s trading with the big boys.
BTCUSDT 4H — Re-Accumulation in Play or Breakdown Brewing?Bitcoin is currently testing a critical confluence zone just below the prior ATH breakout (110k). After a clear Sign of Strength (SOS) breakout, price has retraced to retest the:
🔸 Mid Bollinger Band (108.9k)
🔸 Previous ATH breakout zone
🔸 Local channel support & uptrend line
RSI is neutral at 50.76 and volume remains slightly elevated — suggesting a potential BU/LPS retest phase in this Wyckoff re-accumulation.
📉 Breakdown Risk?
So far, no breakdown triggers confirmed per our risk model:
⛔ Price > lower BB (104.5k)
⛔ RSI > 45, not in weak momentum
⛔ No pattern breakdown with RSI < 40
That means no short hedge activated yet — but caution is warranted. A close below 104.5k with weak RSI & volume spike would invalidate the bullish structure.
🎯 Upside Targets if BU Holds:
Resistance: 113.2k (Upper BB)
Measured move from the pennant: 116.2k
Further confluence at 118.2k (Fib 0.66 extension)
🧠 Weekend Watchlist:
Do not trade based on 4H chart to avoid fakeouts and traps. Use it as early signal and confirm with daily close!
🔹 Hold above mid-BB keeps re-accumulation valid
🔹 Breakdown below lower-BB = structural failure
🔹 Volatility likely to spike — stay risk-managed
📚 Still within Wyckoff markup logic unless proven otherwise.
PEAQ — Fibonacci Meets Wyckoff Structure +100% SetupAfter more than 70 days of sideways action, PEAQ is finally showing signs of life — with a well-defined structure that suggests accumulation is giving way to a potential new trend.
What we’re seeing aligns closely with a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. A local bottom formed around the psychological $0.10 level, followed by a clean breakout — marking a potential Sign of Strength (SOS).
Now comes the real opportunity.
Wyckoff Accumulation Structure
Following the long consolidation range:
🔹 Phase D: Breakout from range = Sign of Strength (SOS)
🔄 Current: Pullback = potential Last Point of Support (LPS)
The recent correction has now retraced into the 0.786 Fib zone of the impulse wave — a deeper but still healthy retracement for Wyckoff structure. Notably, this level also coincides with the previous highs that PEAQ broke out from, now flipping into support. A perfect test of demand.
🔍 Confluence Zone Breakdown
0.786 Fibonacci retracement: ~$0.1312
Previous highs: ~$0.14
Monthly open: $0.1289 (ideal invalidation level)
These overlapping signals create a tightly packed support zone that defines the next high-probability long setup.
🟢 Long Setup — 0.786 ($0.1312)
Entry: $0.1312
Same stop-loss: $0.125 (below mOpen)
Targets: $0.2589 and 1.618 Trend-Based Fib Extension target at $0.2694
R:R: ~16:1+
Potential upside: +100%+
📘 Educational Insight: Wyckoff Meets Fibonacci
This setup is a combination of Wyckoff theory and Fibonacci structure:
SOS breakout signals strength
LPS pullback into 0.786 Fib = high-probability continuation zone
Previous highs now acting as support
When structure, confluence, and psychology align — you don't chase. You wait.
📌 Summary
✅ 70+ days of accumulation
✅ SOS confirmed
🔁 Now retracing to LPS around $0.131
🔒 Monthly open provides clear invalidation
🎯 Targets: $0.2589 and $0.2694
💰 Potential R:R: 16:1+
Each chart is a lesson. Read it with patience, trade it with purpose.
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Gold Future Move Prediction By Mythic TraderGold Future Move Prediction By Mythic Trader. Gold will 100% touch 3396 by today or by tomorrow. I will let you know the Upcoming Exact targets of it if it bReaks by TP.
This is very exclusise knowledge which no one knows about. Everyone is stucked in 1:2, 1:3,1:5,etc.
No one know or have the Guts to hold or Predict the 1:20,1:30 Trades....
XRP Correction Complete? — Long Setup Aligned with Fib & OBXRP has completed a 5-wave impulse move. As expected, XRP is now in a corrective phase, pulling back after rejecting from a key resistance — and it’s doing so with technical precision.
The question now: where is the next high-probability long setup? Let’s break it down.
🧠 Market Structure & Key Zones
Using Fibonacci retracement from the base of the 5-wave impulse, we now have a potential golden pocket target aligned with major confluence.
🔽 Support Zone
🔹 0.618 Fib retracement: $2.2982
🔹 Daily Bullish Order Block: $2.2949
🔹 Daily 21 EMA: $2.329
🔹 Daily 21 SMA: $2.301
🔹 Liquidity pool
🔹 0.786 Fib Speed Fan (only if price drops between May 17–18)
This creates a high-confluence support cluster at ~$2.3 — a prime candidate for a long re-entry.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Ladder between $2.32 and $2.28
Stop-loss: ~$2.21
Target: $2.7175 (0.618 Fib retracement of the corrective downtrend)
R:R: ~5:1
🔴 Short Setup (Conditional)
Trigger: Rejection at $2.7175
Entry: ~$2.7175
Stop-loss: Above $2.8033 (0.666 Fib) → set at ~$2.811
Take Profit: ~$2.56 or lower
R:R: ~2:1+ (dependent on entry confirmation and PA behaviour)
Shorts only valid if a clear rejection or SFP pattern emerges. If momentum is strong, this level may break — so wait for structure to confirm.
📘 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Matters
Too often, traders chase single-indicator signals. But real edge comes from confluence — when multiple tools (Fibs, MAs, Order Blocks, Liquidity, VWAPs, FVG, Speed Fans etc.) agree on the same zone. This alignment not only increases confidence in your entry, but also sharpens your risk management.
Think of it as building a case — the more aligned evidence you have, the stronger your trade thesis becomes.
📌 Summary
XRP is in a corrective phase after a 5-wave impulse
Clean rejection from weekly resistance → continuation of bearish trend
Long zone: ~$2.3
SL: ~$2.21 | TP: $2.7175 | R:R ~5:1
Optional short: $2.7175 rejection → SL $2.811 | TP $2.56
Precision isn’t about predicting — it’s about being ready when the chart speaks with clarity. Patience makes probability powerful.
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gold on sell#XAUUSD is trying to correct back above week high 3345 but unfortunately it's need a breakout above the today high to continue.
Below the 3322 breakout shows a strong fall on which target till 3286, stop loss 3331.
Above the 3335 shows a bullish range which will reach 3344, around 3344 will either decline and head sell or reach the 3367 limit. Below 3312 shows another bearish continuation but multiple breakout will decide.
GBP/USD Firms as UK Data Performs WellGBP/USD edged up by 0.25% in Friday’s Asian session, nearing 1.3450, after upbeat UK retail sales and consumer confidence data lifted sentiment. The GfK index rose to -20 in May, beating forecasts, while April retail sales surprised to the upside.
However, PMI data showed divergence as manufacturing fell to 45.1 (vs. 46.0 expected), while services ticked up to 50.2 from 49.0.
The pound also benefited from a weaker U.S. dollar as Treasury yields retreated from 19-month highs. Trump’s budget bill, which includes tax breaks on tips and U.S.-made car loans, passed narrowly and is projected to add $3.8 billion to the deficit.
Resistance is at 1.3470, followed by 1.3550 and 1.3700. Key support lies at 1.3250, then 1.3150 and 1.3000.
PIVOTAL FRIDAYToday, market makers will decide who is going to drive the train for the next weeks and months.
Since Monday, May 19, the NASDAQ index has been posting lower highs and lower lows.
Yesterday it closed higher than the opening prices.
The line in the sand is at 21,040.
If we close today below this level, bears take the driver's seat.
It might take us to the 19,900 support level (meaning a 6% decline from the current levels).
From there, we would likely visit new lows again, which would be catastrophic for investors and the American economy in general.
Also, it would nuke crypto prices.
In that scenario, forget about "alt season".
Sell all your crypto assets and short the market.
Bitcoin and crypto follow NASDAQ, not the other way around.
In times like these, it’s not about predicting the future — it’s about preparing for it.
Today’s close will likely set the tone for Q2 and beyond.
Whether you’re long, short, or sidelined, understand the stakes: we’re at an inflection point.
Stay sharp, stay nimble.