EL (Estée Lauder) Swing Trade Setup — June 15, 2025🔻 EL (Estée Lauder) Swing Trade Setup — June 15, 2025
💡 Ticker: EL
📉 Setup Type: Bearish Swing — Weekly PUT
📅 Expiry: June 20, 2025
⏱ Entry Timing: At Market Open
💬 Confidence: 70%
🧠 Model Insights & Technical Context
Across the board, our four AI models (Grok, Llama, DeepSeek, Gemini) provide the following signals:
✅ Short-Term Weakness:
Price is below all key EMAs (5-min and daily charts).
RSI is low (~30), near oversold but not reversing yet.
MACD is bearish and gaining downward momentum.
✅ Options Sentiment:
Very heavy put open interest at the $65 strike (4,935 contracts).
Max pain at $70 suggests potential price drag upward, but not immediate.
⚠️ Risk Flags:
Oversold conditions might cause a short-term bounce.
Gemini model recommends a $70 call if price holds support at open.
News risk remains (e.g., the death of Leonard Lauder) and volatility is rising (VIX ↑).
✅ Recommended Trade
💼 Strategy: Naked PUT (short bias)
🎯 Strike: $65.00
🕰 Entry Price (Limit): ~$0.65
🎯 Profit Target: ~$0.97 (≈+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: ~$0.33 (≈–50%)
📆 Expiration: June 20, 2025
📈 Confidence Level: 70%
This setup reflects the dominant bearish view with strong technical momentum and favorable OI at the $65 strike. The trade benefits from liquidity and an attractive risk/reward skew.
🔍 Key Considerations
⚠️ If EL bounces sharply at open and holds above ~$67.30, the Gemini model’s call trade may activate. Monitor early action closely.
📊 News risk and market volatility may distort option pricing. Manage size and slippage carefully.
📉 If price reverses and breaks above $68.50, bearish thesis is invalidated.
💬 What’s your move on EL this week? Bearish into expiration or expecting a mean-reversion bounce?
Drop your thoughts 👇 or follow along in the QS trading room.
Beyond Technical Analysis
IONQ Swing Trade Alert – Bearish Setup Confirmed (June 15, 2025🐻 IONQ Swing Trade Alert – Bearish Setup Confirmed (June 15, 2025)
📉 Current Price: ~$37.84
📅 Expiry: June 27, 2025 | ⏱ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Trade Type: Bearish Swing via Naked PUT
🔍 Market Context & Technical Picture
All four AI models (Grok, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek) agree: IONQ is in a short-term bearish phase, supported by clear technical breakdowns across the 15-minute and daily charts. While weekly trends remain bullish, immediate price action points lower:
📉 Price < EMAs on M15 and Daily
📉 Bearish MACD and weak RSI (low 30s)
📊 Rising VIX (~20.82) supports market-wide caution
🧲 Max pain at $39.00 = upside gravity, but unlikely to reverse trend in short term
🔻 Support zones: $36.00 – $35.50 range
✅ Trade Setup
💼 Strategy: Naked PUT
🔻 Strike: $37.00
🎯 Entry Price: ~$2.09 (mid of bid/ask: $1.94 / $2.24)
📊 Target: $3.14 (+50%)
🛑 Stop: $1.46 (–30%)
📆 Expiry: June 27, 2025
📈 Confidence: 75%
📉 Why This Trade?
✔ Consensus bearish across models
✔ Strong downside momentum on intraday/daily charts
✔ Option has decent liquidity (243 OI)
✔ Strike sits just under current price with tight R:R control
✔ Sector weakness and volatility support continuation
⚠️ Key Risks
🪫 Short-term RSI is oversold → minor bounce possible
💥 A sharp reversal above $39.50 invalidates the bearish thesis
📉 Wide spreads or poor fills → enter carefully at open
🎢 Rapid volatility spikes may distort option pricing
💬 Traders—What’s your read on IONQ?
Do you see it cracking $36 or rebounding from oversold?
Comment below 👇 or join the QS community for daily AI-generated signals.
XAUUSD - Breakdown: Israel-Iran Conflict - RISK OFFTVC:GOLD Weekly Outlook:
Spot ended Friday with bullish momentum, primarily driven by a Risk OFF sentiment in financial markets due to the Israel-Iran conflict, we also had fundamentals like CPI & PPI, US-China talk during the week which supported the bullish momentum.
With escalations over the weekend, Israel has continued its attack on key military and nuclear facilities as well as Oil Infrastructure including Iran's South Pars gas field, these escalations could lead to more safe heaven inflows and a RISK OFF sentiment when market opens, which could point to higher targets of 3450-3500, above 3430, the next resistance is 3500, which with such instability can easily be broken through.
However Iran has communicated to the US that if Israel stops their attacks, they will also consider the same, Trump has drawn a red line and said they will not get involved unless American Lives are directly targeted, this is in spite of Israel requesting them to join the war multiple times as Israel does not have the equipment and armaments to complete the job. Trump wants them to make a deal and become the hero that accomplished it, this remains to be seen , but if talks do happen, expect a Risk ON environment where a drop below 3450 will find support/ bounce at 3350, 3304 and below that opens the floor to 3275 and below.
We also have Monetary Policy this week with Pappa Powell speaking mid week, I believe rates will stay the same, with cautious Fed Policy, No rate change in June with inflation fears due to Tariffs. As always risk management should be No 1, combined with Tech and Funda knowledge, Trade Safe, this week will be very interesting.
The next down move on Gold will depend on whether we get de-escalation headlines and if so then RISK ON with money moving into Risk Assets like the Stock Markets
Macro Analysis (GBP/USD)Likely aiming for 1.42491 and 1.43886 as potential targets.
There's also a possibility of a bounce near 1.17610 in the future.
The yearly timeframe failed at 1.05200 back in 2022, suggesting we're sitting at the bottom of the range.
Quick analysis — Despite all the social and political controversy in the UK, the macro chart clearly shows a long-term downtrend. Until price closes strongly above 1.43886, that's when this pair might have a chance vs the US dollar. (1.72062 for some stronger confidence lol)
That said, the past five monthly candles have all been green, showing some momentum and short to mid-term strength. Could easily just be a pullback before continuing lower, breaking below 1.05200, which honestly, wouldn’t surprise me.
But hey, let’s keep it to the charts. WOMEN lie, men lie, but numbers don’t. And this is all just numbers printed in a chart.
AUD_JPY MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅AUD_JPY made a retest of
The strong horizontal resistance of 93.900
Level of 106.083 and as you
Can see the pair is already
Making a local pullback from
The level which sends a clear
Bearish signal to us therefore
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY is turning BULLISH,I'm buying at market open, you should tooTechnically, DXY should retrace from here, range for sometimes, take out liquidity and then continue higher. My DXY post this year has a 99% accuracy. Dont take it lightly.
Now, Dxy had been following a downward trendline since the beginning of this year and I'm seeing a break out soon. Conservative traders can wait for a break and retest but I'm fairly sure we will get it. Enter and add more as the move goes in your favour, stop wasting pips. Dont hold this trade and make only 1k. Add more, compound, not when in loss but when in gain. This will change the game for you.
This means that you should be looking for sell on EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD et al.
Ya gaziere unu
TP1 @ 99.4
TP2 @ 100.5
Buy the Dip into 0.0070 Pre-Expiry Pin & Policy RiskThe Japanese yen has experienced significant swings in recent weeks, both higher and lower, reflecting a fragile balance between diverging monetary policies and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. That said, its status as a safe-haven currency continues to offer it defensive appeal among global investors, independent of technical flows, such as the major USD/JPY option expiry scheduled for Monday, June 16.
Fundamental Analysis
Central banks have entered a wait-and-see mode. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady at its upcoming June 18 meeting. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets price in a 97% probability of no change, with only a 3% chance of an immediate cut. In this context, the USD still benefits from rate differentials, but forward guidance is now increasingly balanced over the next 6 months.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan has started to normalize its ultra-loose policy. After decades of zero or negative interest rates, the BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.50% in January 2025. Although no hike is expected on June 17, the central bank has signaled vigilance toward imported inflation and yen depreciation. As a result, the USD/JPY interest rate gap remains wide but is gradually narrowing.
On the geopolitical front, Israel’s recent airstrike on Iranian strategic sites has lifted energy prices and reignited risk aversion. The VIX briefly jumped around 22, before retreating to 20. Historically, such uncertainty tends to benefit the yen, as risk-averse capital flows gravitate toward defensive assets.
Technical Analysis
The Japanese currency has gained over 8% year-to-date, with spot USD/JPY retreating to a low of 140 in April. This level corresponds to 0.007263 on the 6JU2025 futures contract.
We now shift focus to the September contract, with the March expiry settling this Monday.
After the volatility spike mostly driven by US tariffs (which pushed the VIX above 50 for the first time since the pandemic), risk conditions have stabilized. The yen has since consolidated within a well-defined range with stable volumes.
In late May, buyers stepped in aggressively around 0.00692, leading to a sharp rebound to 0.00710. Price action has now stabilized near 0.00700, inside a pivot zone that acts both as equilibrium and a tactical entry area. These dynamics suggest a buy-on-dip strategy may offer strong asymmetry.
If price returns to the 0.00692–0.00700 area, the trade setup remains valid. However, a clean daily break below 0.00691 would invalidate the bullish view and suggest a return to a broader sideways range.
Sentiment Analysis
According to the CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report, asset managers remain net long the yen, reflecting a structurally bullish bias. These positions are consistent with macro/geopolitical hedging strategies, and reflect growing expectations that the policy rate differential between the Fed and the BoJ may gradually narrow.
On the retail side, positioning is surprisingly neutral on USD/JPY, a rare condition for a pair often dominated by consensus directional trades. This suggests that retail traders are in a wait-and-see mode, likely due to the policy event risk ahead.
Options Analysis – The $7 Billion USD/JPY 145.00 Magnet
A massive $7+ billion USD/JPY option position at the 145.00 strike is due to expire Monday, June 16, at the 10am NY cut. This level currently acts as a gravitational anchor on spot price action, keeping USD/JPY within a tight range near 145.
Market makers are likely adjusting hedges as expiry approaches, suppressing volatility in the short term. This has also indirectly stabilized the 6JU2025 contract in the 0.00700–0.00705 range.
Once the strike expires, we may see a volatility release and potentially a new trend emerge, depending on the Fed-BoJ policy tone.
Trade Idea – Buy on Dip Around 0.00700
Strategy: Buy the pullback ahead of expiry and potential breakout
• Entry target: Buy at 0.0070000 (tactical dip zone)
• Stop-loss: 0.0069100 (below the May 29 rejection low)
• Take-Profit 1: 0.0071000 (recent resistance)
• Take-Profit 2: 0.0072500 (near YTD highs)
Rationale:
Geopolitical risk and Fed-BoJ policy events support safe-haven flows
• Technically clean reaction from 0.00692 suggests strong buying interest
• Option expiry-induced pin near spot 145 could offer a lower entry window
• COT positioning supports a bullish JPY view
• Attractive risk-reward setup with tight stop
This setup allows traders to take advantage of a volatility compression regime due to options expiry before potential breakout catalysts next week, with well-defined risk.
The 6JU2025 contract is currently resting in a strategic equilibrium zone near 0.00700. Macro fundamentals and speculative positioning both argue in favor of yen stabilization or modest appreciation.
The expiry of the $7B option on Monday, followed by central bank events midweek, could unleash a directional move. Until then, a dip-buying strategy near 0.0070 appears compelling, as long as the 0.00691 support holds on a daily closing basis.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.com/cme/.
This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Bull divergence at lower level , means bulls for coming back.Here we are going for long in SBICARD through its running in all time high. it's showing bullishness. So, a long trade should be initiated here by seeing RSI indicator there it's running above 50 level means bullishness can be seen in this stock.
My trade idea on NASDAQ 100 For the coming week I'm seeing NAS100 dropping lower to pull/draw on liquidity below there heading to where we have what looks like a strong POI...
Drop your comment below if you're seeing something totally different from what I'm seeing here and lets have a discussion about our views.
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders,
Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇.
Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning.
Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309.
Key Drivers for the Week Ahead:
📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday)
US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London
High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive".
The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard
Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST / 04:12 EDT).
These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model.
The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy.
Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥
📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%.
📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows.
Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%.
📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄.
Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements.
Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch:
Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move.
Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously.
Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment.
Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃
Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍
India / Pakistan
The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability.
Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️
Gaza Conflict
Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point.
Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌
Russia / Ukraine
In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled.
Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️
U.S.–China Trade War
Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation.
Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔
🌐 Global Trade War
The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED.
Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗
🏛 Trump vs. Powell
Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut.
Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯
💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025
Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11.
Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑
Technical View 📐
Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome.
Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image.
As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄
Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩
Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅
Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗
While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting.
Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂.
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold Rises Amid Growing Economic RisksXAU/USD (Gold) Rises Amid Growing Economic Risks
Gold surged 1.5% on Friday during Asian trading as investors sought refuge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The safe-haven demand pushed gold prices closer to a 7-week high. If the conflict intensifies further, prices could potentially reach the $3,500 mark.
Resistance zone 3450 / 3480
Support Level 3420 / 3410
Technically if the gold consolidation 3420 above continues to start the resistance Growth may continue you may see more details in the chart.
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Gold's Wild Ride: Must-Know Price Predictions for Next Week!I can write a lot of smart words but lets make it short, like and sub from you for that)
3 options that i can see:
1- dump to Gap at 3292 then bounce target PWH or higher
2 - move a bit lower till PWL and then all the way up till PWH or ATH
3 - cancel all longs, move down below , break 3250 lvl with fvg and second shift on 4h time frame and then gold will keep going lower all the way down to 3k (Low-probability)
SaylorCycle - The Next 100XWe are in the first year of the SaylorCycle.
The next decade we will see a complete change in the structure of the Bitcoin market as there is a 10 year boom in bitcoin accumulation on a global level.
Bitcoin will be seen as a corporate treasury, and there will be thousands of public companies hoovering up Bitcoin for their Corporate Treasuries.
Bitcoin will also been seen as a Strategic Reserve and countries will compete with each other to accumulate as much as possible.
Individuals will also be given plenty of options to earn bitcoin as companies like Square and other major payments companies adopt Bitcoin for merchants.
Retail will have plenty of options to get bitcoin exposure and new technologies like chaumain ecash mints will scale Bitcoin to billions enabling small retail savers to accumulate sats.
The last decade was the story of Bitcoin transitioning from an illegitimate asset to a legitimate asset, and now Bitcoin is transitioning from a legitimate asset to a must own asset.
Over the next decade Bitcoin will become a global reserve asset up there with US treasuries and Gold.
We should no longer see 80-90% drawdowns and the Bitcoin market structure should move like the rest of the global markets as there is a strong bid for bitcoin from institutional & sovereign buyers.
In this 10 year SaylorCycle, we should expect to see "bear market" declines as low as 50% and "bull market" rises as high as 200% year over year.
I believe the days of parabolic bitcoin advances and brutal 90% drops are done, and Bitcoin will advance to levels as high as $10 million per coin over the next decade or 2, giving parabolic-like returns.
I believe there is one last 100X in Bitcoin, but it will happen over 10-20 years instead of 1-2.
I am going to position myself conservatively to be ready for the worst case scenario where this is wrong and we do see a -90% drop. Don't over-leverage yourself. You should always be able to survive -90% without being a forced seller or being liquidated on loans.
PTON Peloton Potential Buyout Interest from Amazon or NikeIf you haven`t bought the dip on PTON, before the rally:
Now Peloton Interactive PTON remains a compelling bullish candidate in 2025, supported not only by strategic buyout interest from major players like Amazon and Nike but also by significant unusual options activity signaling strong investor conviction in a near-term upside move. These factors combined create a powerful catalyst for a potential stock rally.
1. Confirmed Buyout Interest from Amazon and Nike
Since 2022, credible reports have indicated that Amazon and Nike are exploring acquisition opportunities for Peloton, recognizing its value as a leading connected fitness platform with over 2 million subscribers.
Amazon’s interest fits its broader health and smart home ambitions, while Nike sees Peloton as a strategic extension of its digital fitness ecosystem.
Such buyout interest implies a potential premium valuation, which could trigger a sharp upward re-rating of Peloton’s shares if a deal materializes or even if speculation intensifies.
2. Massive Unusual Call Option Activity for July 18, 2025 Expiry
A mystery trader recently purchased over 80,000 call options on Peloton with a $7 strike price expiring July 18, 2025, representing a $3.1 million bet on a price rise within the next few months.
On May 20, 2025, over 90,000 contracts of the $7 strike call expiring July 18, 2025 traded, equating to roughly 9 million underlying shares—well above Peloton’s average daily volume.
This unusually high call volume signals strong bullish sentiment and possible insider or institutional anticipation of a positive event, such as a buyout announcement or operational turnaround.
3. Strategic Fit and Synergies for Acquirers
Peloton’s subscription-based connected fitness platform offers Amazon and Nike a valuable recurring revenue stream and engaged user base.
Amazon could integrate Peloton’s offerings into its ecosystem of devices, health services, and e-commerce, while Nike could leverage Peloton’s content and hardware to deepen its digital fitness presence.
The potential for cross-selling, brand synergy, and data monetization enhances Peloton’s attractiveness as an acquisition target.
4. Attractive Valuation and Growth Potential
Peloton’s market cap has contracted significantly, making it an affordable target for large corporations with strategic interests in health and fitness.
Recent product launches, cost-cutting measures, and renewed marketing efforts aim to stabilize and grow Peloton’s subscriber base and revenue.
The connected fitness market continues to expand, driven by consumer demand for at-home and hybrid workout solutions.
5. Technical and Sentiment Indicators
The stock has shown signs of stabilizing after recent volatility, with support forming near $6–$6.50.
The surge in call options activity, especially at strikes above current prices, suggests growing investor confidence in a near-term breakout.
Historical patterns show Peloton’s stock reacts strongly to buyout rumors and unusual options volume, often resulting in rapid price appreciation.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Due to the economic crisis, the gold market may open with a gap"Due to the economic crisis, the gold market may open with a gap tomorrow."
This upward trend is attributed to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical uncertainties. The conflict has also led to a spike in oil prices and a decline in global stock markets, further enhancing gold's appeal .
WOOF Petco Health & Wellness Company Potential Bullish ReversalIf you haven`t sold WOOF before this major retracement:
WOOF Petco Health and Wellness Company has experienced a notable selloff recently, with its stock price declining to around $2.47 as of mid-June 2025. However, several fundamental and technical factors suggest that WOOF could be poised for a meaningful reversal and upside recovery in the near to medium term.
1. Attractive Valuation and Upside Potential
Despite the recent pullback, Petco’s stock is trading at a compelling valuation relative to its long-term growth potential.
Price forecasts for 2025 indicate an average target of approximately $3.55, representing a 43.7% upside from current levels.
More optimistic scenarios project highs up to $7.05 within this year, suggesting significant room for a rebound if market sentiment improves.
Long-term forecasts are even more bullish, with price targets of $14 by 2030 and as high as $77 by 2040, reflecting confidence in Petco’s strong market position and growth prospects.
2. Resilient Business Model in a Growing Pet Care Market
Petco operates in the resilient pet care and wellness industry, which benefits from secular trends such as increased pet ownership, premiumization of pet products, and growing consumer spending on pet health.
The company’s omni-channel approach—combining e-commerce with physical stores and veterinary services—positions it well to capture multiple revenue streams.
Petco’s focus on health and wellness services, including veterinary care and pet insurance, provides higher-margin growth opportunities that can drive profitability improvements.
3. Technical Signs of Stabilization and Potential Reversal
After the recent selloff, WOOF’s stock price has found some support near the $2.40–$2.50 level, with increased trading volumes indicating growing investor interest.
The stock’s recent modest gains and stabilization suggest that selling pressure may be easing, setting the stage for a potential technical rebound.
Options market activity and analyst upgrades reflect improving sentiment.
4. Improving Operational Execution and Financial Health
Petco has been investing in expanding its veterinary services and digital capabilities, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth and margin expansion.
The company’s recent earnings calls and financial reports highlight progress in cost management and customer engagement initiatives.
Strong cash flow generation and manageable debt levels provide flexibility to invest in growth and weather macroeconomic uncertainties.
5. Market Sentiment and Analyst Support
While some analysts remain cautious, the overall sentiment is shifting toward a more constructive outlook, with several price target upgrades and “hold” to “buy” rating adjustments.
The combination of attractive valuation, improving fundamentals, and sector tailwinds is likely to attract renewed institutional interest.
BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 22 JUNI 2025💹 BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 💹
BTCUSD is currently trading below Magnet Area (spH4) 106035.00 – 106931.00, and is showing potential for a retest toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 103579.00 – 102849.00.
As long as price holds above Magnet Area (dmD) 102098.00 – 97411.00, the market may resume bullish momentum toward the next Magnet Area (spH4) 110067.00 – 110412.00.
However, if price breaks below Magnet Area (dmH4) 103579.00 – 102849.00, a deeper drop may occur toward the next Magnet Area (dmH4) 100793.00 – 99880.00.
📌 Key Scenarios:
🔄 Retest zone: 103579 – 102849 (dmH4)
📈 Upside continuation: valid above 102098 – 97411 (dmD), target 110067 – 110412
📉 Bearish breakdown: below 102849 could trigger drop to 100793 – 99880
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries a high level of risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before entering any trade.
WULF TeraWulf Leader in Clean Crypto Mining & HPC InfrastructureIf you haven`t bought WULF before the rally:
Now TeraWulf WULF is emerging as a compelling growth story in the digital infrastructure and cryptocurrency mining sectors, distinguished by its commitment to zero-carbon energy and expanding high-performance computing (HPC) hosting capabilities. Despite near-term financial challenges, the company’s rapid capacity growth, strong cash position, and strategic initiatives position it well for substantial upside in 2025 and beyond.
1. Rapid Expansion of Mining Capacity and Hashrate Growth
TeraWulf energized Miner Building 5, increasing its total mining capacity to 245 MW and boosting its Bitcoin mining hashrate to 12.2 exahashes per second (EH/s), a 52.5% increase year-over-year.
This significant growth in self-mining capacity enhances revenue potential and operational scale, positioning TeraWulf among the more efficient and sizable clean-energy miners.
The company’s vertically integrated model, powered primarily by zero-carbon energy, aligns with increasing regulatory and investor demand for sustainable crypto mining.
2. Strategic Buildout of High-Performance Computing (HPC) Infrastructure
TeraWulf commenced the buildout of dedicated HPC data halls and remains on track to deliver 72.5 MW of gross HPC hosting infrastructure to Core42 in 2025.
The company is actively pursuing additional HPC customers, targeting 200–250 MW of operational HPC capacity by the end of 2026, which diversifies revenue streams beyond crypto mining.
HPC infrastructure is a high-growth segment driven by demand for AI, big data, and cloud computing, offering TeraWulf exposure to secular technology trends.
3. Strong Financial Position and Capital Allocation
As of March 31, 2025, TeraWulf held approximately $219.6 million in cash and bitcoin holdings, providing liquidity to fund expansion and weather market volatility.
The company has repurchased $33 million of common stock in 2025, signaling management’s confidence in the business and commitment to shareholder value.
While total outstanding debt is around $500 million, TeraWulf maintains a strong current ratio (~5.4), indicating solid short-term liquidity.
4. Industry-Leading Sustainability Profile
TeraWulf’s focus on zero-carbon energy for its mining operations differentiates it in an industry increasingly scrutinized for environmental impact.
This green positioning not only appeals to ESG-conscious investors but may also provide access to incentives, partnerships, and preferential contracts as governments and enterprises emphasize sustainability.
5. Revenue Growth Outlook and Market Opportunity
Despite a temporary revenue dip to $34.4 million in Q1 2025, the company is projected to deliver a 53% increase in revenue for the full year 2025, significantly outpacing industry averages.
The combination of expanding mining capacity and HPC hosting services positions TeraWulf to capitalize on the growing demand for digital infrastructure powered by clean energy.
6. Navigating Financial Challenges with Growth Focus
TeraWulf reported a GAAP net loss of $0.16 per share in Q1 2025, reflecting ongoing investments in capacity and infrastructure.
Operational cash flow remains positive and improving, with management focused on scaling efficiently and improving margins over time.