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Why Trump Won't Push Oil Prices to $50I’m not really convinced that Trump cares about oil prices being at $50 a barrel. The U.S. is the biggest oil producer out there, and at that price, a lot of oil fields are going to struggle to stay profitable because of inflation and rising costs. Plus, American oil companies can’t just devalue their currency to cushion the blow from falling prices, so I doubt Trump would intentionally drive prices down, especially since those companies backed his campaign. And let’s be real—low oil prices aren’t exactly great for Elon Musk, who was a key player in getting Trump elected. When do you think consumers are more likely to look at electric cars? When gas prices are high or low? The answer seems pretty obvious. The only thing that might push oil prices down to $50 is a looming recession in the U.S., but that’s a whole different ballgame and not really about Trump. Besides everything else, today there was noticeable activity from 'robots' in the oil market. The last time I saw this was in 2021 with oil... during Trump's last term. Coincidence?
TVC:USOIL
by ClashChartsTeam
15 bets better than betting on Trump/Harris victory!If you think markets will move significantly after the Election result read this article! Let me help analyze this from a trading/investing perspective. The key differences between these approaches: 1. Strangle Options Strategy: - Has defined risk (maximum loss is premium paid) - Based on measurable market movements - Regulated through established financial markets - Success depends on significant price movement in either direction - Multiple exit opportunities before expiration - Average expected profits shown in the table range from 53-320% 2. Election Markets: - Binary outcome - Current pricing suggests narrower potential returns - Less liquidity than major stock options - Single outcome date - Not regulated in the same way as securities markets I'd encourage focusing on the following: 1. Your risk tolerance 2. Your expertise in the chosen market 3. The regulatory framework you're comfortable operating within 4. Your ability to actively manage positions 5. Your overall investment strategy and goals
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Moshkelgosha
Momentum is shifting into overdrive: BULL RUN detected! "Bitcoin seems set for another bull run" Trend Detector Channels Explained: Algo Channel: This channel uses volatility to shape dynamic bounds around a moving average. Premier Channel: Range Detection, Calculates the highest high and lowest low over a defined channel span. Volatility Gauge: Leverages ATR to monitor volatility shifts. Trend Strength: A strong trend emerges when ATR exceeds a certain threshold. If ATR is above half of that level, the trend is 'medium.' Anything below is 'weak.' Interestingly, the Algo Plotter has flashed two bullish confirmations, which are independent of stochastics and distinctly plotted. Historical Patterns Reflecting on historical patterns, there’s a timeline from the start of Wave 2 to its ATH, which I’m comparing to the current Wave 4. If they’re in sync, we might have about five candles left. But, given the setup, I suspect we’ll see a unique twist this time around." ATR "This configuration compresses a 14-day time frame into a 4-hour snapshot. I realigned the ATR lines to bring the full 14-day scope into focus within this compact view. With two entry points, there’s flexibility to catch the move—whether you missed the first or prefer waiting for confirmation on the second. Two profit targets round it out, providing smart checkpoints for capturing gains." 1 2 3 pattern "The current bull market is set to culminate on 12/31/26, marking the transition into a bear phase that may extend for roughly six years."
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
11
Is Tesla Poised for Growth in a Shifting Industry?Tesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer and technological innovator, continues to captivate investors worldwide. Despite recent market volatility and economic uncertainties, a bullish outlook for Tesla's stock persists, driven by several key factors. 1. Continued Dominance in the EV Market Tesla's early entry into the EV market and its relentless pursuit of innovation have solidified its position as a market leader. With a strong brand reputation, cutting-edge technology, and a loyal customer base, Tesla remains well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicles. 2. Expanding Product Lineup Tesla's diversified product portfolio, including the Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, and the Cybertruck, caters to a wide range of consumer preferences. The company's ability to introduce new models and enhance existing ones keeps it ahead of the competition. 3. Autonomous Driving and AI Leadership Tesla's ambitious autonomous driving program, Autopilot, and its advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) position the company as a frontrunner in the development of self-driving technology. Successful implementation of full self-driving (FSD) capabilities could significantly increase the value of Tesla vehicles and generate substantial revenue from autonomous ride-hailing services. 4. Energy Storage Solutions Tesla's energy storage solutions, including Powerwall and Powerpack, offer efficient and sustainable energy storage options for residential and commercial applications. As the demand for renewable energy grows, Tesla's energy storage business has the potential to become a significant revenue driver. 5. Global Expansion and Infrastructure Tesla's global expansion strategy, coupled with its expanding Supercharger network, is enabling the company to reach new markets and solidify its presence in existing ones. As more countries adopt stricter emissions standards and invest in EV infrastructure, Tesla is well-positioned to benefit from this trend. 6. Strong Financial Performance Tesla has consistently delivered strong financial performance, with increasing revenue and profitability. The company's ability to generate cash flow and invest in research and development is crucial for its long-term growth. 7. Elon Musk's Visionary Leadership Elon Musk's charismatic leadership and unwavering commitment to innovation have been instrumental in Tesla's success. His visionary approach and ability to inspire a passionate following have contributed to the company's strong brand and loyal customer base. Potential Risks and Challenges While the outlook for Tesla is generally bullish, it's important to acknowledge potential risks and challenges: • Intense Competition: The EV market is becoming increasingly competitive, with traditional automakers and emerging startups investing heavily in electric vehicles. • Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions, particularly related to semiconductor shortages, could impact Tesla's production and delivery timelines. • Regulatory Hurdles: Navigating complex regulatory environments, especially in different countries, can be challenging for Tesla. • Economic Uncertainty: Economic downturns and recessions could negatively impact consumer spending and demand for luxury goods. Despite these potential challenges, Tesla's strong fundamentals, innovative products, and experienced leadership team position it well to navigate the evolving automotive landscape. As the company continues to execute on its strategic plans, investors remain optimistic about its long-term growth potential. Conclusion Tesla's compelling growth story, coupled with its strong financial performance and innovative products, makes it an attractive investment opportunity for many investors. While it's important to conduct thorough research and consider the risks involved, a bullish outlook for Tesla's stock remains justified.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by bryandowningqln
Analyzing the Factors Behind the Recent Gold Price Decline A Post-Election Dip Gold prices experienced a significant decline following the recent US election. The precious metal, often seen as a safe-haven asset, retreated as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields surged. This confluence of factors put pressure on gold, which tends to perform poorly in a rising interest rate environment. Why Did Gold Fall? 1. Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar typically weighs on gold prices. When the dollar appreciates, it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers to purchase gold, reducing demand for the precious metal. 2. Rising Treasury Yields: Higher Treasury yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. As bond yields rise, investors may shift their focus from gold to fixed-income securities. 3. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: The election results, while not entirely unexpected, may have reduced some of the safe-haven demand for gold. Investors may have perceived less geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty, leading them to seek out riskier assets. Is More Downside Ahead for Gold? While the recent decline in gold prices has been significant, it's important to consider the factors that could influence its future trajectory: 1. Economic Uncertainty: Despite the post-election rally, global economic uncertainty remains elevated. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and potential economic slowdowns could continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal. 2. Inflationary Pressures: Persistent inflationary pressures could drive investors toward gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. Central banks may need to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, which could indirectly benefit gold. 3. Central Bank Demand: Central banks around the world have been significant buyers of gold in recent years. Continued central bank demand could provide support for gold prices. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, gold prices have broken below key support levels. A further decline could be on the cards, with potential targets at the next significant support levels. However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market sentiment can change rapidly. Investor Strategies Given the current market conditions, investors may consider the following strategies: 1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): By investing a fixed amount of money in gold at regular intervals, investors can reduce the impact of market volatility. 2. Physical Gold: Owning physical gold can provide a tangible asset and hedge against inflation. 3. Gold ETFs: Gold ETFs offer a convenient way to invest in gold without the physical storage costs. 4. Diversification: Incorporating gold into a diversified investment portfolio can help reduce overall portfolio risk. In conclusion, while the recent decline in gold prices is concerning, it's essential to consider the long-term factors that could influence its future trajectory. Investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any investment decisions related to gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
EUR / USD _ Distribution _ Prices _ Under _ Trading _ Venue _ OAEUR / USD _ Distribution _ Prices _ Under _ Trading _ Venue _ OANDA. 99.9% Struggle how to trade Forex , because when it come to Forex you must be a master of reading numbers. I will show you a simple strategy! __________________________ 1st Execution = 1.08801 ______________ Drop = $1.08801 ________________ Next Execution = 1.09788 ______________________ Drop = 1.08401 ________________________ Breakout = 1.11628
Short
by Skill-Knowledge-Conduct
GOLD REACHES NEW HEIGHTS AMID RISING SAFE-HAVEN DEMANDUS economic data   Positive news came from the jobless claims, which dropped to 241,000, much lower than expected and down from the revised 260,000 from the previous week. US retail sales also did better than predicted, rising by 0.4% from the month before, compared to an expected 0.3% increase. Nonetheless, positive retail sales and strong jobless claims are unlikely to alter the course of the Fed's monetary policy. ECB rate cut   ECB cuts rates as expected and upcoming months will be crucial as the ECB evaluates economic conditions and decides on its future monetary policy approach. US dollar index-   The US dollar index showed a minor decline due to profit booking.  A break above 104 would confirm a continuation of the bullish trend.   Based on the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in November has risen to 92.2%, up from 89.50% just a week ago.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DCFX-TA
USDMXN - Trump Sleeper Trade (100k+ Trade) With Trump projected to claim the White House after preliminary votes are in, all eyes turn to Mexico. Trump has been an outspoken opponent of the "Border Crisis" and the loss of jobs to nearshored workers. Trump has threatened Mexico with tariffs on both fronts and is projected to have the House and Senate's support when proposing ballots. Expect many Republican States to issue strong punitive measures AGAINST Mexico. I expect the Peso to weaken to historic lows during this presidency. Target is 32, but could be more or less. This is made BEFORE Trump has taken office or made any decisions, however, Mexican Peso will still weaken until clarity is provided on why it shouldn't. FOREXCOM:USDMXN Potential rate cut on 11/7, but this should be a minor event in comparison to the implications of a Trump Presidency.
Long
by dsmall
1
$BTC | [Redacted] zone is looming I was told by a friend that we aren't allowed to discuss the zone until we get above $72k. A few minutes ago, we just tapped ~$71,960 on the 1minute candles. Time is on our side. Look at these consistent higher highs boxed in on the RSI on the bottom chart- this is not a small time horizon to be building such momentum on! I think we are close to sending, so I wanted to make this as a meme / keepsake for down the line. Will be fun to look back on
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by httpz
XAUUSD Trade LogTrade Setup (2/11/2024) - XAUUSD Long in Daily FVG 1. Setup: Enter a long position within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), identifying it as a support zone for a potential bullish move. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:4 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Entry confirmation: Wait for the price to enter the daily FVG and show signs of bullish support, such as a reversal candlestick pattern or rejection wick. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss below the lower boundary of the daily FVG to manage downside risk. - Set take-profit at five times the stop-loss distance to achieve a 1:4 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Be aware of any major economic data releases or geopolitical developments that could influence gold prices. - Confirm that price action within the FVG shows clear signs of bullish momentum to validate the entry.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera-Trading
Gold _ XAU _ USD _ Distribution _ Prices _ Quarter 4 _ 2024 _ UnGold _ XAU _ USD _ Distribution _ Prices _ Quarter 4 _ 2024 _ Under _ Trading _ Venue_ OANDA. Retest = Drop to the key level of $2,696.798 _____________________________ Distributions ( Next Prices) after the above Retest: $2,818.757 ___________________ Retest (Drop) after $2,818.757 to $2,640.845 ________________________________ The Remaining Distribution ( Next prices) as follow: $3,003.785 $3,188.486 ____________________ This will be the end of the cycle for Quarter 2 + 3 period. Market from here will take a long mid term break.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Skill-Knowledge-Conduct