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Beyond Technical Analysis

Spy PathI can see SPY moving this way—a potential relief rally off the unmitigated order block from September that caused the imbalance and the macro Break of Structure (BoS). We've already taken out some key sell-side liquidity at the Equal Lows from October/November (EQL), so there's no immediate need to keep chasing more sell-side liquidity. If an aggressive buyer steps in, I could see price pushing back up through the Bullish Order Block, retesting the Equal High (EQH) I marked earlier, which would tap into buy-side liquidity. From there, it could reach the bearish order block that caused the imbalance, triggering the Change of Character (CHoCH), and then reverse lower, as it looks we are now in bearish order flow for the timeframe.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SPYDERMARKET
$DXY 10% Declines along with $SPX declines from 1987-1995In case you are wondering if the drop in the $USDOL TVC:DXY US Dollar of 10% from a high is a sign of something major going on in the stock market, it reminded me of research I did right when I got out of college in 1987. Here's a quick overview of that pattern of TVC:DXY declines of 10% against the backdrop of SP:SPX or S&P500 Index declines at that time. The 1987 stock market crash is on the far left of this graph and gets the chart started for you to review. The 10% drops from highs in the TVC:DXY index are labeled with yellow arrows and there were 9 of them across this time series from 1987-1995. We can imagine how a Non-US investor would handle both a drop in the TVC:DXY and a drop in the SP:SPX , but a drop of both the TVC:DXY and SP:SPX of 10% together would mean a loss of 20% for the non-US investor. That is a painful loss and perhaps more than investors wanted to risk. Historically, it was a good time to look for a stock market bottom AFTER a drop in the TVC:DXY index and the green boxes at the top show the risk of a deeper decline in the SP:SPX was minimal after this scenario. So the end result of this analysis is that the Dollar can be viewed as a contrarian indicator after a meaningful decline, as in 10% in this time frame. Look for other signs of a market bottom, especially using my TVC:VIX signals (5 point spike indicator and VIX75% retracement) to help define a bottom. The VIX75 signal triggered on Monday, March 24th, indicating that the panic from the selloff had moderated to a point enough to signal that the panic was over. Do some more research for yourself and see if the TVC:DXY drop was an "asset allocation" shift as US investors bailed out of US stocks to invest in non-US stocks or was it another wave of non-US investors dumping US stocks to cut risk. Either way, know what you are investing in and question everything. These days, it is more important to be educated and use TradingView to chart and research the past will help you be a more educated investor. Cheers, Tim
SP:SPXLong
by timwest
2
Gold/EUR Analysis –Bearish Continuation from Channel Resistance📉 Market Structure & Trend The chart represents a descending channel where price has continuously rejected from the upper boundary. Multiple lower highs and lower lows indicate a bearish trend. Gold/EUR has once again reached the channel resistance and failed to break above, suggesting a strong sell opportunity. Key Technical Levels 🔴 Resistance: 2,809 - Local resistance where price has faced rejection multiple times. 2,849 - Major resistance level, a break above this could invalidate the bearish outlook. 🟢 Support & Target Levels: 2,790 - Short-term support; if broken, further downside is expected. 2,740 - First key target where previous demand is present. 2,660 - Major support and final bearish target if selling pressure continues. Trade Setup & Strategy 📍 Sell Below: 2,790 🎯 Target 1: 2,740 🎯 Target 2: 2,660 ❌ Stop-Loss: Above 2,810 Conclusion Bearish bias remains strong as long as price stays below 2,809. A breakdown below 2,790 could accelerate selling pressure. Traders can look for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., break of structure, candlestick patterns) to enter short positions. Would you like a refined strategy based on lower timeframes?
OANDA:XAUEURShort
by PIPsOptimizer
LKOH / LONG / 25.03.25⬆️ BUY LKOH 25.03.25 💰 Entry: 7279.5 🎯 Goal: 10555.5 ⛔️ Stop: 7081.5 Entry reasons: 1) OSOK: — Month minimum was set at the 2nd weekly 2) Eliott waves: — 1D: 2th wave is formed, 3th is forming 3) Larry Williams: — Long term point is formed 4) Range: — Weekly bullish range, correction into OTE 5) Additional arguments: — Divergence delta cluster — Divergence delta oscillator — Weekly liquidity is captured Strategy: #osok #wave #larry #cluster
RUS:LKOHLong
by focusprofit
XAUUSD The ultimate Sniper Entry Plan for 25 March 2025XAU/USD - Daily Review & Sniper Entry Plan - March 25th, 2025 ✨ Overall Bias: Monthly: Bullish, but with a candle showing exhaustion, potential pullback towards discount. Weekly: Indecision, but we have a small CHoCH on the structure - possible correction towards the 2980 zone. Daily: Clear bearish candle on Friday, followed by a mild correction on Monday. Liquidity grab below 3000, but close above. 🌐 Timeframe Breakdown: D1: Last confirmed CHoCH. Imbalance and FVG in the 3022-3035 zone. Potential bearish OB between 3031-3036. RSI below 50, momentum fading. H4: Lower highs / lower lows structure. Bearish confirmation: BOS + rejection from OB. Imbalance 3016-3026. EMA 21 and 50 acting as dynamic resistance. H1: Last CHoCH in the 3024 zone. Bearish engulfing confirmation. Unfilled FVG: 3016-3020. RSI < 40, increasing volume on bearish candles. M30 / M15: BOS on M15 and retest in the area of interest. Last swing high at 3018.13. Liquidity above 3018 and 3024 (EQH), below 3000 (EQL). 🔹 Sniper Entry Scenarios Scenario 1 (Short) Entry: 3018 - 3022 (FVG zone + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci) Confirmation: M15 bearish engulfing or BOS + retest. SL: above 3028 TP1: 3000 TP2: 2985 (discount zone + liquidity) Scenario 2 (Long - Countertrend/Scalp) Entry: 2985 - 2990 (liquidity zone ) Confirmation: M15 BOS + bullish pattern (engulfing/pin) SL: below 2979 TP1: 3000 TP2: 3015 🔹 POI (Key Zones): 3022-3028: FVG + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci - potential short zone 3018.13: EQH - liquidity inducement 2985: Daily OB + 78.6% Fibonacci - potential buy zone 🌍 EMA Guide: EMA 5 < 21 on H1 and M30: bearish momentum EMA 50 acting as dynamic resistance (on H1: 3022) 🔹 Conclusion: Favorable short on retracement to the 3018-3022 zone with confirmation. Target remains the 2985 zone for liquidity. Market response around 2985 will give clarity for potential buy/scalp. ⏳ Expectations: After the Daily close, we can expect liquidity inducement towards 3020+, followed by a dump towards 2990-2985. 🔔 Don't forget to Like, Share, and Follow for more updates! Let's hit that target together! 💰📈 👉 Like if you found this helpful and follow for future setups!
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Attention! Key Signals in the EUR/USD Exchange Rate TrendThe EUR/USD pair has traded with a soft tone for five consecutive trading days, and the decline has expanded to 1.0776, the lowest level since March 6. However, the broad weakness of the US dollar in the middle of the European session pushed the currency pair to turn upward. In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, although the possibility of further upward movement is low, the downside potential also seems limited. The EUR/USD found buying support around the bullish 100-day moving average but failed to break through the bearish 20-day moving average. Finally, although technical indicators show an upward trend, they remain in negative territory. EURUSD Trading Strategy: buy@1.08200-1.08500 tp:1.08900-1.09300 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
4
EUR/GBP 4H | Sell Opportunity After Resistance Rejection The EUR/GBP pair has been in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows forming. Recently, price rejected a key resistance zone and is now continuing its bearish momentum. 🔎 Key Observations: ✅ Resistance Levels: 0.83598 - 0.83910 acted as a strong rejection zone. ✅ Sell Confirmation: Price has broken below minor support and is now moving downward. ✅ Bearish Expectation: The next major support target is 0.82618. 📌 Trading Plan: 🔻 Sell on pullbacks near resistance levels (0.83598 - 0.83676). 🔻 Target: 0.82618 as the next key support. 🔻 Stop-loss: Above 0.83827 to minimize risk. 🚨 Risk Management Tip: Always maintain a good risk-reward ratio and wait for confirmations. 💬 What’s your take on this setup? Are you looking to sell or waiting for a better entry?
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
Opening (IRA): XBI May 16th -91C/October 17th 60C LCD*... for a 26.56 debit. Comments: Back in to XBI on weakness, buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The back month 60C is shown at the 80 so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.56 Break Even: 86.56 Max Profit: 4.44 ROC at Max: 16.72% 50% Max: 2.22 ROC at 50% Max: 8.36% Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max, roll out the short call at 50% max to reduce my downside break even. * -- Long call diagonal.
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines
USOIL: Rally, Resistance, and Technical ReversalThe recent trend of USOIL has been continuously rising in a volatile manner, and the current intraday price has reached a three - week high. Currently, the bullish sentiment in the market is greatly influenced by fundamental news, mainly due to the combined effects of the United States increasing sanctions on Iran's energy and the ineffective and substantive implementation of the 30 - day cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine. Analyzing the short - term trend from the one - hour chart of USOIL, during the US trading session last night, the crude oil price surged again, hitting the resistance of $69.5 in the market. However, after encountering resistance, part of the bullish momentum took profits and fled, and the price slightly retreated to the support of $69 without further decline. After today's opening, the bullish momentum was obviously insufficient, and the price did not rise further. The upper track of the Bollinger Bands extended downward, exerting pressure. The moving average of the Macd indicator formed a cross at a high level and has a downward extension trend, and the momentum column began to release downward. USOIL Trading strategy Sell@69.5-69 tp:68-67.5 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
TVC:USOILShort
by JohnGonzalez7
EUR/USD 4H | Bearish Retest Before Drop? The EUR/USD pair has broken below an ascending channel, signaling a potential bearish trend. After the breakdown, price is now retesting the previous support as new resistance, creating a sell opportunity. 🔎 Key Observations: ✅ Resistance Zone: The 1.08392 - 1.08411 level is acting as a strong resistance after the breakdown. ✅ Sell Confirmation: A rejection from this resistance level will confirm the bearish move, with 1.06773 as the next target. ✅ Bearish Expectation: If price fails to reclaim the broken trendline, further downside momentum is expected. 📌 Trading Plan: 🔻 Look for bearish price action signals (e.g., rejections, bearish engulfing candles) at the retest area. 🔻 A confirmed sell setup can target 1.06773 as the next support zone. 🚨 Risk Management Tip: Use stop-loss above 1.08500 to protect against invalidation. 💬 What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you looking for shorts or waiting for more confirmation?
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Potential Bearish RetestThe USD/JPY pair has been in a clear downtrend, trading within a descending channel for an extended period. Recently, price action has broken above the channel, but it is now facing resistance around the 150.35 level. Retest Zone: The pair is currently retesting the broken trendline, and if it fails to sustain above this level, a rejection could lead to further downside. Bearish Expectation: If the price fails to reclaim 150.35, a move towards the 147.00 support zone is likely. Confirmation: A strong bearish candle from this level could indicate a reversal, confirming the downward move. Traders should watch for price action signals at the retest level before making decisions.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
XAUUSD SHORT CONCEPTWe have a HTF Market structure shift and we still look like we can create newer lows. We've cleared PDH and some Intermediate highs. Unlike yesterday where I did not have a clear bias of what the market would go to; but still had a 'not so clear' direction, today I'm confident in the draw on liquidity, Doesn't mean that I'm right, I'm just confident in my analysis. I'ma do so many updates on this, stay tuned. Follow & hit that boost button if you have not. Lets share the blessings
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by gachihi
GBP/USD Breakdown – Support Under Pressure, Bearish Target AheadChart Analysis: The GBP/USD pair is currently trading around 1.29578, facing resistance near 1.30366. A support zone has been identified around 1.29000, which the price is testing. If this support level breaks, we could see a bearish move toward the next target near 1.26970. Strong support is positioned lower, which may act as a key reversal point if the decline continues. Trading Outlook: Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the current support, a drop toward 1.26970 seems likely. Bullish Scenario: If GBP/USD holds above support, we may see a retest of resistance at 1.30366. Conclusion: Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout or rejection at support before taking positions. A clean break below could trigger a stronger bearish move. 🚨
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Bullish Breakout – Eyes on $2,500+ Target 📈 Chart Overview: Timeframe: 4H (Ethereum/USDT) Trend Reversal: Ethereum has broken out of a falling wedge pattern, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Support Level: Around $1,800 - $1,900, where price previously found strong buying interest. Retest Confirmation: ETH successfully retested the breakout level (~$2,020), confirming a potential bullish continuation. Resistance Zone: The next key resistance area is around $2,250, followed by a potential move towards the $2,530 - $2,550 target zone. 📊 Trade Setup: Bullish Bias: Price action suggests an upward move towards $2,250 and potentially $2,530. Risk Management: A stop-loss can be set below $2,020 to minimize downside risk. 🔥 Conclusion: If Ethereum maintains momentum above the retest zone, it could see a strong rally in the coming days! 🚀
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by PIPsOptimizer
1
TSLA bounce baby tgt $264Well, that was quite a trip on TSLA, my lord! My target at $242 from the last idea (TSLA big short) was blown, & I forgot I had a lower zone given from a reading (I'm a dowser) I did on 2/20 this year. I drew the range back then & suddenly price came into this huge drawing I had forgot I put on my chart. Maybe I mentioned it in the last idea, actually, but I'd have to check. Regardless the way I get zones sometimes is I'm given a date. In this case the date was all the way back to 1/16/24. That day price was from $212-$223, so I just draw the zone & see what happens. When I asked at the time (2/20) the guidance is that TSLA would revisit those prices. This is a long winded explanation of how I get info sometimes, and also why I think we bounce from here... besides the fact it's "due", right?! My work in indexes was pretty super with a new breakthrough on predicting the time it will take to hit targets, which is amazing, and I'm not even going to be shy about it. We're in that time window with targets hit on indexes & dowsing repeating there's bullish energy. Target on TSLA is $264 by the 24th of this month. Coincidentally, I have long indexes to the 25th. This is super experimental work, so let's just see what happens because I've had really good calls & then next time is horrible. Keeps me humble LOL. Go TSLA!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by JenRz
2
TSLA big short??? Tgt $242Alrighty, I've been creating a nice little track record with TSLA since just before earnings, and when I asked about it today, some different kind of energy or information came in. I get my information from dowsing with a pendulum. You really won't find technicals at all with my work, so if you'd like a new or different perspective from the esoteric "woowoo" realm, I'm it. If you know any others who do this kind of thing and post about it, please lmk who they are. So into tomorrow (Friday) should be pretty bullish on TSLA, however, my dowsing has pushed me about getting dates. When I did this, I noticed both dates (10/12/24 & 2/2/25) have large gaps down around that time frame. I also get that there's some kind of news - maybe this Saturday. Might Elon be too busy for TSLA??? Idk & didn't ask because I don't care. I only care what the stock is going to do & this took me a long time to do, so the fewer the questions, the better. The repeating "energy" is multi day downtrend and breakdown. When I asked about a target I have a couple things... one thing came as a date, 1/15/2024 & suggested it revisits the price. I have seen this work in the past, so maybe. It also would clean up many gaps. That price range was $212-223 & is right in a consolidation zone. My dowsing keeps giving me something with 42 though. This could be 42% from the next swing high, which if it makes it to $377 would take it to around $218. I let dowsing choose between the price 218 & 242 & it likes 242. Anyway, my lower targets are often blown (see last TSLA idea), but when you've already made so many points, is it a big deal?? It usually just indicates a warning zone for a reversal. When I ask how many weeks to hit, I get 10 weeks. When I ask what month, I get May. When I ask what's most important to tell you guys, it says "a big high is coming". We'll see. This'll be interesting!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by JenRz
6