Beyond Technical Analysis
Scalping ! XAU ! wait for price recovery at SELL entry 2947⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee emphasized on Monday that the central bank will adopt a cautious approach, waiting for more clarity before considering rate cuts.
Meanwhile, the World Gold Council (WGC) reported that gold-backed ETFs saw their biggest weekly inflow since March 2022.
Traders now focus on upcoming US data, including the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Richmond Manufacturing Index, along with speeches from Fed officials, which could impact the USD.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulated price zone according to H1 trendline, continue sideways waiting for tariff momentum to reach 3000
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2947 - $2949 SL $2952
TP1: $2943
TP2: $2938
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Can Innovation Soar Higher Than the F-22 Itself?Pratt & Whitney, a titan in aerospace propulsion, has clinched a $1.5 billion, three-year contract from the U.S. Air Force to sustain the F119 engines powering the F-22 Raptor, announced on February 20, 2025. This deal is more than a financial milestone; it’s a bold step toward redefining military aviation through innovation and efficiency. With over 400 engines, boasting 900,000 flight hours, under its wing, Pratt & Whitney is tasked with enhancing readiness and slashing costs—ensuring the Raptor remains a predatory force in the skies. Imagine a future where every ounce of thrust is optimized, every maintenance call timed to perfection: this contract dares to make that vision real.
The F119 engine isn’t just machinery; it’s the heartbeat of the F-22, delivering over 35,000 pounds of thrust to pierce altitudes above 65,000 feet and sustain supersonic speeds without afterburners. This supercruise capability stretches fuel efficiency and range, giving pilots an edge in air superiority missions. Coupled with upgrades like next-generation infrared sensors, the F-22 is evolving into a smarter, sharper weapon. But here’s the challenge: can technological leaps like the Usage-Based Lifing (UBL) program, which uses real-time data to predict maintenance needs, truly transform how we sustain such power? With projected savings topping $800 million, Pratt & Whitney suggests yes—pushing readers to ponder the limits of predictive ingenuity.
Financially, this contract is a jetstream of opportunity for Pratt & Whitney, whose 2023 revenue hit $16.2 billion. Against rivals like General Electric and Rolls Royce, this deal fortifies their stronghold in military aviation, promising a steady climb in market influence. Yet beyond dollars, it’s a narrative of ambition: sustaining a fleet that defends nations while pioneering methods that could ripple across industries. What if this blend of power and precision isn’t just about maintaining jets but elevating how we innovate under pressure? The skies are watching—and so should you.
Opening (IRA): IBIT April 17th 41 Covered Call... for a 39.93 debit.
Comments: Adding to my position at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.93/share
Max Profit: 1.07
ROC at Max: 2.68%
50% Max: .54
ROC at 50% Max: 1.34%
Will generally look to take profit, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
EURUSD / LONG / 25.02.25⬆️ BUY EUR/USD 25.02.25
💰 Entry: $1.04732
🎯 Goal: $1.05333
⛔️ Stop: $1.04528
Entry reasons:
1) OSOK:
— Week minimum was set on tuesday and price is above weekly open level.
— Month minimum was set at the first weekly of month and price is above monthly open level.
2) Eliott waves:
— 1D: ABC
— 4H: 1-2, wave 3 is forming.
3) Range:
— Price is inside bullish weekly range
— Price is inside bullish daily range (correction, 50%)
4) Additional arguments:
— Testing of big cluster
— Testing poc previous daily
— Divergence (1h)
— Uptrend is confirmed by volumes (low effort and result).
Goal is previous weekly high: $1.05333
Strategy: #osok #wave
Entry: #range
US Wall St 30Dow Jones Market Analysis
Introduction
Hello dear traders! In this analysis, we will examine the status of the Dow Jones chart in the one-hour timeframe.
Technical Analysis
The Dow Jones chart is currently in a bearish phase, but it has provided us with a bullish confirmation. Based on this, we can hold a buy position (Buy Position) until the one-hour liquidity.
Key Levels
Liquidity 1H: 44662.2
Secret Order Block: 44792
Ideal Time to Buy with Confirmation: 43783
Conclusion
My analysis is very simple and straightforward so that you can easily utilize it. Considering the mentioned key levels, you can make your trading decisions.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the cryptocurrency market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
US Wall St 30Hello dear traders!
This is an updated analysis of Dow Jones. Please note that since you may not have enough information about smart money and liquidity, let me put it simply for you: Whenever this trend line breaks, you can set the stop loss above this trend line and determine your target based on your strategy.
A scalper trader utilizes positions and always has a fixed risk to maintain a consistent outcome, and should never use unreasonable risk because the market is continuously changing. What matters is that we are winning.
Yesterday, I was waiting for the price to reach the Secret Order Block zone, but when my trade entered a good profit, I closed it and didn't feel the need to hold the trade until the very end. So, this is the cleverness of a trader in how to use analysis to their advantage. The previous zone seemed to be ineffective for a significant drop, so I have replaced this updated analysis with the previous one.
Key Points
Resistance (1.H): 77943
Secret Order Block: 44994
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Gold: Eternal Love Sounds like a romantic money doesn’t it?
LOL
1. Long story short, DAX is not getting above 107$ after numerous trials. It promises a probability of profitability trading downwards.
2. Trump is promising to regain the position of DAX so a lot of promising future outlook that will get Gold Upwards if it fails. These decisions will increase risks of neighboring countries so Gold will jump as a reaction to increased trade tension.
3. All oscillators and technical analysis shows that bulls are here to stay at least for Q1 2025.
Good luck
Cardano (ADA) – Potential Rebound or Further Decline?hello guys!
such a day!
let's look at ADA!
Breakdown from the Ascending Channel:
The price has fallen below the ascending channel, signaling a potential bearish trend continuation.
A key support level around 0.7765 was broken, and the price is now testing lower regions.
Two Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Rebound: If the price reclaims 0.7765, a retest of higher levels like 0.95 - 1.00 USDT is possible.
Bearish Continuation: If rejection occurs, price could drop further towards the 0.4836 Fibonacci level and even 0.2910 as the next demand zone.
Key Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance: 0.7765 - 0.80 USDT (previous support, now resistance).
Support: 0.63 USDT, 0.48 USDT, and 0.29 USDT (major demand zones).
Trading Outlook:
Bullish Case: A successful reclaim of 0.7765 could lead to a price recovery.
Bearish Case: Failure to hold current levels may result in further downside.
Traders should monitor price action near 0.63 USDT for confirmation of the next move.
Crypto Market Cap: Short-Term Pullback Before Major RecoveryTechnical Analysis
The chart illustrates a well-defined ascending channel for the total crypto market cap (excluding BTC), currently experiencing a downward retracement. The price action suggests a probable dip towards the lower boundary of the channel around the $969 billion support zone before rebounding significantly. This level aligns with previous price reactions and serves as a strong demand zone, making it a potential bottom before the market resumes its uptrend.
Fundamental Analysis
Liquidity Flow & Market Sentiment
The broader market has seen increasing stablecoin dominance (such as USDT’s market cap exceeding $130 billion), indicating risk-off behavior as investors move to safety. This suggests a short-term sell-off in altcoins before a reinvestment phase.
Institutional inflows into ETFs (like Ethereum and broader crypto ETFs) will likely drive the next bullish wave, but the current correction reflects temporary uncertainty.
Macroeconomic Factors
Interest Rate Policies: If the Federal Reserve signals rate cuts in mid-2025, risk assets (including crypto) will likely benefit from increased liquidity.
Regulatory Clarity: The market is awaiting key regulatory developments, especially in the U.S. and EU, which could influence capital inflows into crypto.
Altcoin Cycle & Market Recovery
Historically, the crypto market experiences phases of correction before a strong recovery. With the next Bitcoin halving approaching (April 2025), the overall crypto market cap is expected to rebound as bullish momentum returns.
DeFi, gaming, and AI-based tokens continue to gain traction, setting the stage for an altcoin-driven rally once risk appetite returns.
Conclusion
A short-term pullback to the $969 billion support level is highly probable, after which a strong bullish reversal is expected. Long-term investors might see this dip as a buying opportunity, anticipating a rally towards the upper boundary of the channel (above $2 trillion) as macroeconomic and institutional factors align in favor of crypto.
USD/JPY1-hour time frame technical analysis next move possible.This chart represents a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) 1-hour time frame analysis. The key elements of the chart include:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
149.294: A lower support level where price could bounce.
150.643: A resistance level that price may break through.
Red Zone (~152.000): A strong supply/resistance area where price may struggle to go higher.
2. Price Action & Prediction:
The price is currently around 149.713 and testing support near 149.294.
The black arrow suggests a bullish scenario, where price is expected to bounce from support and move towards 150.643, potentially reaching the 152.000 resistance zone.
3. Technical Patterns:
A potential breakout setup where price may push higher if it holds above support.
Price previously rejected from the red supply zone (~152.000), meaning it could face resistance again if it reaches there.
This chart suggests a possible buy opportunity around 149.294, with targets at 150.643 and 152.000. However, if price breaks below support, the setup could become invalid.
Brace for Impact: NQ’s 15% Plunge AheadAgainst the backdrop of current market conditions and based on the collected indicators, the situation for the NQ index appears rather unfavorable. If the price fails to hold above the 21850 level in the near term, there is a high probability of a scenario where the current price declines by 15%. This forecast is based on a comprehensive analysis that includes both technical and fundamental indicators.
Considering the possibility of further decline, I have decided to hold a short position, distributing profit targets to optimize risk. The strategy involves setting a stop-loss at 21860, which will help mitigate potential losses in the event of an unexpected market reversal. The profit target levels are broken down into several stages:
Take 1: 20900
Take 2: 20150
Take 3: 18500
Current data indicate the realism of this scenario, and therefore it is crucial to closely monitor market behavior, especially around the key level of 21850. Should that level be breached, the short-term decline may materialize faster than expected, making this trading idea particularly attractive for a short strategy.
Always remember the importance of risk management and regularly reviewing positions in response to market changes.
BTCUSDT, What will happen in upcoming weeks ?Hello Traders, Hope you're great.
for Upcoming weeks, I anticipate 2 Bearish scenarios :
In First Scenario, I expect price goes to the demand zone at first and does an upward correction to supply zone around 104-108K and after that starts to drop below 90K.
in Second scenario, I expect price does an upward movement and goes to grab liquidity above 110K and after that starts a major fall and drops to below 80K.
Targets have determined by Blue dashed lines.
and finally tell me what do you think about BTCUSDT, UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.