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EURAUD Short 4/17/2025EUR/AUD Short Setup – ECB Catalyst + Technical Rejection Looking to short EUR/AUD based on multi-timeframe confluence and a pending ECB rate cut. 4H Chart: Price is showing repeated rejection at a key resistance level initially formed during erratic price action on April 9th. That same level saw a strong rejection on April 16th, and price is now testing it again on April 17th with additional upper wicks and rejection candles. 1H Chart: A potential double top is forming at this resistance zone, reinforcing the bearish outlook. 15-Minute Entry: Planning to enter short at the close of the current 15-minute channel — expecting a clean breakdown from this consolidation. Macro Context: With the ECB expected to announce a 25 bps rate cut today, euro weakness is likely. Given the lack of pre-event movement, I believe the cut is not yet fully priced in, increasing the odds of a sharp reaction post-announcement. Targeting a 1:2 or greater R:R into the next 4H support or liquidity zone.
Short
by Big6Financial
TSLA Eiffel Tower Not CompleteEiffel tower patterns are rare but very powerful TA structures when they develop. They are very hard patterns to short since we can never know when the wave up ends. However, there is so much information we can extract from them during and after the collapse. When they are rising and going vertical, and you happen to be in it. The benefits will be great! As the price action sucks in everyone all at once with virtually no sellers. So, what info can we learn? On the way up, when this is happening, you should have the ability to recognize it at some point without worrying if you got the top. Take your money and RUN! Never try to get back in and try to chase it up! Never try to short it, thinking it is too high, this is the top! When it tops out, never buy the dip! Bc you know how this structure will end. Never buy based on some silly FIB or bc it's down too much! Never buy the base thinking it will go back to new all-time highs, and it is now safe to get back in bc it will only keep going lower, more through time, frustrating you until you puke it up. So remember this gimmicky sound bite. "If they don't scare you out, they will wear you out!" Ain't nobody got time for that! Your money has a much better place to be allocated to make you money instead of being fixated on a chart like this. The reason people get stuck is bc the move provoked emotion! Then, when they get involved thinking they will be Buffett tomorrow from this one trade, they will experience Euphoria, sadness, anger etc., further provoking even more emotions to the point they become obsessed! Guessing, waiting, hoping, doubling down on and on... Ask me how I know! hahaha! While I made a lot of money shorting GME, here is an example of an Eiffel tower with many, many people that have this trading disease I just spoke about. In conclusion, anyone who believes that TSLA will hit $1,000 blah blah blah and suckered into buying it. You now know you are being honey dicked by a bunch of armatures and bots on X. Beyond TSLA there are many such charts out there tight now that have formed the beginnings of ET. As such, you should know how to recognize it quickly and avoid the pitfalls out there.FYI I called the Top on TSLA )) Click Like, Follow, Subscribe to learn much more about real macroeconomics and technical analysis. Let me help you navigate these crazy markets.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by RealMacro
14
If Nike Were Born Today: The Hypothetical Valuation of a New-AgeAbstract Nike is one of the most recognizable brands on the planet, yet its valuation often lags behind newer, tech-driven companies with far less global influence. What if Nike were launched today — with its current revenue, market dominance, and brand power — but operated like a modern D2C startup with a tech DNA? This research explores what Nike would be worth in today’s market conditions, showing just how undervalued it may actually be when compared to new-age companies. 1. Introduction Nike, Inc. (NYSE: NKE) is a global sportswear powerhouse with over $51 billion in annual revenue and a footprint in more than 170 countries. It has shaped athlete endorsement culture, built a generational brand, and transformed consumer behavior. Yet its current market capitalization sits around $80 billion — modest compared to newer players with less revenue but tech-first narratives. This article dives into a simple but powerful hypothetical: If a new company replicated Nike's current revenue and global dominance today, how would the market value it? 2. Nike Today: A Snapshot Metric Value FY2023 Revenue $51.2 Billion Market Cap (Apr 17, 2025) ~$80 Billion Net Profit Margin ~10.5% P/E Ratio (TTM) ~17.9 Brand Value (Forbes, 2020) ~$39.1 Billion* Global Reach 170+ Countries *According to Forbes' Most Valuable Brands, Nike ranked #13 globally with a brand value of $39.1 billion in 2020. Other rankings (e.g., Interbrand 2023) place Nike's brand value even higher at $53.7 billion. Despite being a category leader, Nike trades at a modest 1.6x sales multiple, compared to modern companies that command 5x, 7x, or even 30x+ valuations. 3. New-Age Valuation Framework Today’s market rewards: Tech-first operations High-margin D2C models Recurring revenue (subscriptions, memberships) Community-driven brand growth AI, personalization, and digital experiences Let’s compare valuation multiples: Company Sector Revenue Market Cap P/S Ratio Nike Apparel $51.2B $80B ~1.6x Lululemon Apparel SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B $50B ~5.5x Salesforce SaaS $34B $240B ~7x Nvidia AI/Chips $60B $2.3T ~38x 4. What Would a “Modern Nike” Be Worth Today? If a new company today built: $50B+ revenue Global presence and branding like Nike D2C-first, tech-enabled business 40–50% gross margins with scalable digital ops Then, even at a conservative 6x revenue multiple, its valuation would be: $50B × 6 = $300 Billion And that's before factoring in: AI-driven retail personalization Creator monetization ecosystems Loyalty programs and recurring revenue streams Lower inventory risk with tech-driven fulfillment 5. Brand Value Through Royalty Method Using the Royalty Relief Method: Brand-attributable revenue (90% of $51.2B) = FWB:46B Royalty rate = 6% Annual royalty = $2.76B Present Value (8% discount rate): $2.76B ÷ 0.08 = \boxed{~$34.5B} Nike’s brand, purely from an intellectual property lens, is worth significantly more than market pricing implies. 6. Why Nike Seems Undervalued Categorized as a traditional apparel retailer vs. tech-first brand Slower YoY growth relative to newer disruptors Wholesale-heavy model impacts margins Market overlooks its cultural dominance and brand loyalty If Nike shifted its model to fully digital, leaned into AI and subscriptions, and emphasized platform economics, its valuation could more than double. 7. Conclusion Nike, if built today, would not be an $80B company — it would likely be valued between $300B and $400B. That’s the gap investors often miss. Nike isn’t just a shoe and apparel brand — it’s global IP, media, culture, and influence. Yet in today’s market, it trades like a legacy retailer. If a startup were to achieve what Nike already has, it would be considered a generational tech unicorn. Nike isn’t overvalued — it’s misunderstood. About This Research This research article was developed using AI-powered analytical tools, historical data modeling, and comparative valuation logic to explore hypothetical scenarios around Nike’s valuation. It combines financial fundamentals with modern market heuristics to offer a data-driven perspective on brand valuation in the context of today’s tech-driven economy. Disclaimer The information provided in this article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The analysis, opinions, and projections expressed are solely those of the author and are based on publicly available data as of the time of writing. This article is a hypothetical research exploration and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities mentioned herein. All trademarks, brand names, and company references (including Nike Inc., Nvidia, Salesforce, etc.) are the property of their respective owners and are used for illustrative purposes only. The author is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by any of the mentioned companies. Investing in the stock market involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Readers are strongly advised to do their own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor or other qualified professionals before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The hypothetical scenarios and valuations discussed in this article are speculative in nature and are not guarantees of future company valuations or performance.
NYSE:NKE
by IDONTKNOW2
LSTM AI Model Predicts BTC Move on the 4H Chart 🧠 LSTM AI Model Predicts BTC Move on the 4H Chart ⚡ I've built and trained an LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) deep learning model specifically to analyze 4-hour BTC chart data — and it's showing some strong signals. 📚 What the model does: The LSTM takes recent 4H candlestick data and learns from historical trends, volatility patterns, and short-term momentum. With ~96% accuracy on training data, it's shown solid potential in picking up turning points and projecting short-term moves. 🚀 Current Prediction: The model suggests Bitcoin is on track to push toward $70K, continuing its current uptrend within the next 30 days if momentum holds. This isn’t just a moving average crossover — this is deep learning trained to recognize complex crypto behavior. ⚠️ Disclaimer: As always, no model is perfect. This is a forecast, not financial advice. Use it as a perspective, not a guarantee. Let me know if you're seeing similar signs, or if you're using ML in your trading too! 🔍 #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoForecast #4HChart #LSTMModel #AITrading #BTCto70K #CryptoAnalysis
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by BissTrade
2
Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)🧠 Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading) ✅ HTF (D1, H4): Price has made a new all-time high at 3357, extending the bullish run — but we're now deep in premium exhaustion territory. 🟠 M30–H1: First signs of distribution and internal CHoCH on M15 are showing. No follow-through above ATH. Price is stalling, likely waiting for NY volume. ⚠️ Volatility is low, and Friday is a market holiday, so any manipulation or rejection will likely happen today. 🔼 New ATH: 3357 This makes previous zones like 3333–3340 less relevant for traps. Focus shifts to the true inducement zone: 🔻 3355–3365 → Main sniper short zone, valid only with clear M5 structure (BOS or reversal FVG). 🔻 Key Sell Zones (Updated): 3355–3365 → Final inducement / exhaustion zone near new ATH 3342–3345 → OB retest below weak high, valid only if confirmed with bearish PA on M5 🟢 Key Buy Zones (Same): 3284–3288 → OB + FVG + discount zone 3260–3265 → H1 equilibrium and last clean demand 3230–3235 → Deeper reentry zone if we get a flash crash before NY 📊 Trading Logic: If NY session spikes again into 3355–3365, we're ready to snipe with precision. If price fails to reclaim 3345 and breaks M5 structure, we target early shorts. On a clean dump, we look for longs in the 3280–3260 range, with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 16, 2025🟨 XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 16, 2025 🎤 Pre-Powell Speech – Gold hit 3333 ATH... what’s next? 🌐 Macro Context Gold just printed a fresh ATH at 3333. All eyes now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell – his upcoming speech could spike volatility in both directions. If Powell sounds hawkish → possible USD strength → gold correction. If dovish → gold could explode higher into 3350–3365 before retracing. 📊 Market Bias ✅ HTF (H4–D1) trend: Bullish 🔄 Intraday: Overextended – potential short-term correction zone forming 🔺 ATH liquidity sweep at 3333 already done. We're now in premium territory = reversal risk increases. 🔻 Sell Setup 1 – Sniper Sell from 3340–3342 OB 🎯 Entry: 3340–3342 🛑 SL: 3347 ✅ TP1: 3325 ✅ TP2: 3308 ✅ TP3: 3288 🧠 Logic: Fresh OB at the top + RSI showing divergence + possible Powell spike = ideal top sniper sell zone. 🔻 Sell Setup 2 – Final breakout trap sell at 3350–3352 🎯 Entry: 3350–3352 🛑 SL: 3360 ✅ TP1: 3330 ✅ TP2: 3305 ✅ TP3: 3285 🧠 Logic: If price squeezes one last push into 3350–3360 zone, this would trap late buyers chasing breakout. Perfect for short entry post-fakeout. 🟢 Buy Setup 1 – Buy from clean H1 demand below 3300 🎯 Entry: 3291–3293 🛑 SL: 3285 ✅ TP1: 3305 ✅ TP2: 3320 ✅ TP3: 3330 🧠 Logic: Unmitigated H1 OB just under 3300 + fib discount zone + bullish trend continuation setup. 🟢 Buy Setup 2 – Deep retracement buy from HTF OB 🎯 Entry: 3273–3276 🛑 SL: 3267 ✅ TP1: 3290 ✅ TP2: 3308 ✅ TP3: 3325 🧠 Logic: HTF demand + deep fib retrace zone + RSI reset. If Powell triggers a deeper flush, this zone could catch the bounce. ⏱️ Powell Risk Note: Powell’s speech can spike both directions. Wait for M5/M15 confirmation, don’t jump in early. Expect volatility, false breakouts, and possible whipsaw traps. Stick to clean sniper entries only. 🧠 Final Bias: 🔁 Intraday: expecting a final top around 3340–3365, then short-term correction. 🔂 HTF: still bullish, but pullback toward 3285–3300 is healthy and likely. ⚠️ Best RR setups are at the extremes – not in the middle of nowhere.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold Price Rollercoaster: Is the Rally Just Beginning?The gold price has had a pretty crazy six days, jumping from 3,014 USD on April 9, 2025, to 3,357 USD on April 17 – that’s a solid 11%+ gain. So, what’s going on now? Is the gold rally over, or could we see even more upside? Let’s break it down. 🔥 What’s driving the gold price? The big reason behind the recent surge is the trade war between the US and China. Trump has slapped new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, which has shaken things up in the markets. The Fed has also warned that these tariffs are bigger than expected, and could slow down growth and increase inflation. When things get uncertain, investors tend to rush to safe havens like gold, and that’s exactly what’s happening right now. The demand for gold is up, and so is the price. 📉 What does the ECB rate cut mean? The European Central Bank (ECB) has lowered interest rates by 0.25% today, dropping from 4.5% to 4.25%. They’re trying to help the economy out and ease inflation. Lower rates mean fixed-income investments aren’t as attractive, which makes gold a better option. But, the US Fed has made it clear they won’t cut rates before June 2025, which could strengthen the US dollar and make gold a little less appealing. 🕊️ What if there’s a trade deal? Now, imagine there’s a breakthrough – a trade deal, fairer tariffs, and everyone’s calming down. That could change things for gold: 📉 Less risk = less demand for gold: If things chill out, less capital will flow into gold. 💵 Stronger Dollar?: A trade deal could make the US dollar stronger, which isn’t necessarily great for gold. But Trump has made it clear that he doesn't want a strong dollar, since it makes US goods less competitive abroad. Even if the dollar does strengthen, it might put pressure on gold since it becomes more expensive for people using other currencies. 🔁 Money shifts: If things get calmer, investors might move away from gold and back into stocks or bonds for better returns. So, a deal could definitely slow down or even end this gold rally. 🧭 What does this mean for investors? Daytraders For day traders, the current ups and downs can offer some good opportunities, but they also come with risks. The markets are super sensitive to news about the trade war and rate cuts. Quick gains are possible, but you’ve got to be careful. If a trade deal happens, expect the classic “Sell the News” scenario where the market cools off. Medium-Term Investors (1 Month) Over the next few weeks, we’ll see if more trade war news or central bank decisions impact the gold price. The rally could keep going, but nothing is guaranteed. If you’re in it for the medium-term, keep your positions flexible and manage risk closely. A trade deal could be bad news for gold, though. Long-Term Investors Long-term, gold is still a great way to hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. The current trends could help gold prices, but keep in mind there could be some ups and downs. If the price drops due to a trade deal, it might actually be a good opportunity to buy. 📊 The Bottom Line Gold has been on a hot streak lately, driven by the trade war and central bank moves. Whether this rally continues or cools down depends on what happens next. A trade deal could bring a correction. So, keep an eye on things and adjust your strategy accordingly. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
BTCUSDT – Watching for a Potential Short Near 87KBitcoin is currently trading within a broader downtrend, and the recent bullish move appears to be a correctional phase within that structure. Price is approaching a key resistance zone around $87,000, which aligns with the descending trendline and a previous support-turned-resistance level. This confluence zone could act as a strong rejection area, offering a potential selling opportunity if bearish confirmation is seen. I’ll be watching for reversal signals (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, momentum divergence) around that level to validate a short setup.
Short
by JoeChampion
5
Gold - 7000 USD by 2027 (must see, sell here!)Gold is extremely bullish, but nothing lasts forever. To trade gold profitably, you need to always trade with a trend. Clearly the trend is bullish, so we want to open only long positions and avoid short positions to increase the probability of success, and it doesn't matter if you are an intraday or swing trader. When can this huge uptrend end? The price of gold is inside this huge ascending parallel channel on the monthly chart. This channel has a total of 5 touches, and we are waiting for the 6th touch to take action. I made a calculation, and gold will hit the top of the channel at around 7000 USD in around 2027. This channel is on the LOG scale, so to draw it, you need to switch from linear to LOG. This ascending channel started in 1993 and currently has 32 years! From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave 3, so expect a wave 4 pullback, probably this or next year. This upcoming pullback will drop the price by 20% to 30% based on historical data. But right now I am very bullish and expect much higher prices! Please let me know in the comment section what your ultimate profit target for gold is. Are you also bullish? Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xanrox
144
3382 , next ATH number today, GOLD⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) enters a phase of consolidation on Thursday, trading within a narrow range near its all-time high reached during the Asian session, as investors digest conflicting market signals. Stronger-than-expected US Retail Sales figures and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell have lent support to the US Dollar (USD), curbing some of gold’s upside momentum. Meanwhile, the upbeat sentiment across equity markets and mildly overbought technical conditions are prompting traders to remain cautious, limiting fresh buying interest in the precious metal for now. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price continues to increase today, the fomo still has no end, pay attention to the new ATH price zone 3382 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3381- 3383 SL 3388 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3355 TP3: $3333 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3302 - $3300 SL $3295 TP1: $3310 TP2: $3320 TP3: $3330 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4
DOW/US30Team, time to go long DOW/US30 yesterday the market disappointed on the FED decision, i just cant believe the FED compare the inflation in 2020-2021 that is where the COVID and lock down. And compare to 2024. he should have cut the interest rate to ease the market. Given the fact the market is dropping 1000 points, i expect we should have some recover at least 200-300 points medium Target 1 at 39225 Target 2 at 39335-39420 Target 3 at 39560-39670 We should see the market pump in 2-3 hour time frame or recover.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
Bears to Dominate the Euro @1.2000 Handle The ECB is set to deliver another 25 basis points (bps) cut after the April policy meeting, reducing the benchmark rate on the deposit facility to 2.25% from 2.5%, with the disinflation process remaining on track. That being said, my Short-Term Outlook: Euro Likely to Decline Lower interest rates reduce the returns investors can earn from euro-denominated assets (like bonds), making the euro less attractive globally. Because this cut was expected, a small decline might already be "priced in." However, if the ECB hints at more cuts to come or shows a dovish tone, the euro might fall further. My first TP for this week and early on Next week will be 1st Tp @1.2000 zone 2nd Tp aggressive traders with trailing sl.@1.10560 handle good luck
Short
by que
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍 📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date. This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future. 📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event. You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by EhsanZeydabadi
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/04/2025Tuesday's price action on FX:AUDUSD , we got a textbook Judas Swing play and for those still getting used to spotting these setups in real-time, let’s break this one down and talk through what happened and more importantly, why it happened. Going into the session open, we had a relatively tight consolidation, with the 00:00 - 08:30est range acting as a container for liquidity. Price had built up liquidity at the high and low of the zone. Whichever side gets swept first will determine our directional bias for the session Just after the session began, we saw price aggressively push up taking out the buy side liquidity resting above those early highs. This is what is called the "Judas move", a false breakout meant to trap breakout buyers and entice liquidity into the market. This move is not random. It’s designed to induce traders into the wrong side of the market before the real direction reveals itself As soon as that liquidity grab was complete, we noticed price begin to stall and form a shift in market structure. This is critical. Once you see a break of structure to the downside, followed by a lower high into a FVG, that’s your confirmation that the real move, the sell-off is in play. We then saw clean displacement to the downside, confirming the manipulation phase was over Now we wait for a retracement into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). We'll only look to execute a trade once a candle enters the FVG and closes. After a few minutes of waiting, price finally retraced into the FVG, giving us the green light to execute the trade. Entry: 0.63749 Stop loss: 0.63849 Take profit: 0.63549 This FX:AUDUSD trade gave us a smooth ride with minimal drawdown. Right after entry price moved swiftly into profit. Although there was a brief retrace back to our entry point, it quickly corrected, and we were back in the green. With just a 1% risk, the trade delivered a solid 2% return all within 1 hour and 20 minutes This setup is an excellent example of why you don’t want to chase early session breakouts blindly. The Judas Swing strategy teaches us to look for the trap, wait for confirmation, and then trade in alignment with the real intention behind price. Beginners often get caught up in the initial move, thinking it’s the real trend. But if you can slow down, understand the time of day, the draw on liquidity, and the reaction around key highs/lows, you’ll start to see how often price manipulates before delivering.
by CleoFinance