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Beyond Technical Analysis

Quick flip idea - long at 181.26Today was a rough day for the market, but rough days are opportunities. Days like this require confidence in what you do, though. For me, confidence comes from data. Could there be more downside ahead? Yep. Taking the time to mine data to understand whether what you are doing has been successful in past circumstances where corrections have been involved helps me trade with confidence in these situations. Since May of 2022, this particular setup is 20-1 and has an average return of 1.82% in and average of under 9 trading days. That's over 4x the average daily return of the market overall. Of the 21 trades, all but 3 closed in 6 trading days or less, with 10 of them closing in one day. During that same time, PANW had corrections of 10% or more over a dozen times, and several 20%+ drops. Those results give me confidence that the trade will work out, and more likely than not, do so quickly. I normally don't trade stocks right after earnings, I usually like to wait 3 days for selling pressure to subside, but this setup has proven successful regardless of the proximity to earnings. In fact, some of its best returns are from just after earnings. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:PANWLong
by redwingcoach
Gold Price Outlook as Short PatternGold Price Outlook: Gold prices recently experienced strong upward momentum, but have since seen a downside correction without a clear catalyst. The initial decline at the start of the new trading session suggests some hesitation in the market. Currently, price growth appears constrained by two key factors: Resistance zone 3322 / 3370 Support Levels 3270 / 3260 Investors are displaying a cautious "risk-on" behaviour, limiting safe-haven demand for gold A stronger dollar is weighing on gold, making it more expensive for holders of other currencies. I Ned to support from you Guys Lets like and comments for more analysis share with you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
Bitcoin Price Growing 110K Next Target BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Analysis Bitcoin appears to be ranging slightly on the 4H chart, likely consolidating after a previous move Recent price action is forming a familiar bullish structure – potentially a breakout + retest scenario If price retests previous resistance as support and shows a strong bullish reaction (e.g., engulfing candles, volume spike), it could confirm buy-side strength. Next major resistance level you've identified is 110,300 USDT – likely a significant psychological or technical level. You can see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments I will be Glad
Long
by MrMartin_11
$LINK just broke the trendline! It's prob going to 40$Chainlink (LINK) offers compelling technical advantages by addressing the "oracle problem" with a decentralized and, its continuous focus on scalability and performance, evidenced by upgrades like Multistream, ensures its foundational role in the evolving Web3 ecosystem. However, from a technical analysis perspective, CRYPTOCAP:LINK has recently faced selling pressure, struggling to reclaim key resistance levels around $18 and $17.61, and could see further downside towards the $10-$15 support zones if current bearish momentum persists, with the $15.00 mark being a crucial level to watch for invalidation of recent bullish patterns.
Long
by Stallone27
2
Market next move 1. Support Zone Validation Observation: Price is reacting from a labeled “Support area.” Disruption: The support zone is based on very recent price action with limited prior structure. No confirmed double bottom, bullish engulfing, or strong rejection candle is present to confirm it as strong support yet. --- 2. Volume Context Ignored Observation: Volume has declined during recent candles. Disruption: A genuine reversal from support typically comes with a volume spike. The current volume profile shows weakening participation, which questions the strength of the bounce. --- 3. Premature Long Target Projection Observation: A bullish arrow targets the 1.134–1.135 zone. Disruption: This target is overly optimistic given the lack of a trend change signal. Price is still in a clear lower-high and lower-low structure, suggesting bearish momentum remains intact unless a breakout above 1.1300 occurs. --- 4. Bearish Scenario Underdeveloped Observation: Only a single red arrow shows bearish rejection. Disruption: There is no defined breakdown zone or bearish continuation pattern shown (e.g., flag or wedge). If support breaks, price could rapidly move to 1.1200, but this scenario is underrepresented. --- 5. No Confirmation Candlestick for Bullish Entry Observation: A bullish move is anticipated from current levels. Disruption: The current candle structure does not confirm bullish control—no hammer, engulfing, or clear reversal pattern. Entering long here could be premature without that confirmation. --- 6. Lack of EMA or RSI Confluence Observation: Analysis is purely price-action based. Disruption: No exponential moving averages (EMAs) or RSI are shown to validate trend change. These tools could help confirm divergence or trend reversal.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market falls downward 1. Resistance Zone May Be Weak Observation: A red rectangle marks a resistance area. Disruption: This "resistance" level is based on a short-term bounce and may not have strong historical confluence. It lacks multiple rejections to establish it as a true resistance zone. --- 2. Overemphasis on Bearish Bias Observation: Two bearish paths (blue and yellow) dominate the projection, indicating an expected drop. Disruption: This may be prematurely bearish. There's no confirmation of rejection yet—no strong bearish candlestick pattern (like a shooting star, engulfing, or evening star) is visible in that zone. --- 3. Lack of Bullish Consideration Observation: A small green arrow is shown but not given much weight. Disruption: The recent candles show higher lows, indicating potential bullish pressure. If price breaks above the marked zone, it may trigger a short squeeze rally. --- 4. Volume Misalignment Observation: Volume spikes during the bounce, especially on the green candles. Disruption: Rising volume on a recovery typically supports continuation upward. This analysis ignores the bullish volume context and instead forecasts reversal. --- 5. No Higher Timeframe Confluence Observation: 1-hour chart used in isolation. Disruption: A strong bearish or bullish direction on the 4H or Daily chart would validate or invalidate this local setup. Without it, the trade thesis lacks broader context.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Tesla - Don't get confused right here!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - is about to create the bullish reversal: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) 2025 has been a rough year for Tesla so far. With a drop of about -50%, Tesla is clearly breaking the average retail trader. But the underlying trend is still quite bullish and if position strategy, risk execution and mindset control are all mastered, Tesla is a quite rewarding stock. Levels to watch: $275, $400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
9
Flying upward 1. Assumption of Support Observation: The "Support" zone is marked around the 3,285–3,290 level. Disruption: This area has only a few touches and lacks clear validation. Support should be confirmed with multiple bounces and strong volume reactions. Here, volume is present but inconclusive. 2. Overly Optimistic Target Observation: The target area is set around 3,350, which assumes a clean breakout. Disruption: This ignores potential resistance levels between 3,310–3,330 that could act as hurdles. The price might stall or reverse before reaching that far. 3. Breakout Path Assumptions Observation: The blue arrows suggest a bullish breakout, possibly after a retest. Disruption: There's a strong red rejection candle marked by a red arrow—suggesting bearish momentum. Without strong bullish confirmation (like a bullish engulfing or volume spike), this breakout path is speculative. 4. Lack of Broader Context Observation: The chart is isolated to a 1-hour timeframe. Disruption: No higher timeframe trend is considered. If the 4H or Daily chart shows a downtrend, this small support could be insignificant and might break. 5. Volume Analysis Gaps Observation: Volume bars are visible but not integrated into the analysis. Disruption: No divergence or volume support is identified. Rising prices without rising volume can indicate a weak move, increasing failure chances.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals