Beyond Technical Analysis
XAUUSD BUYprice is making a good mov from 30 Minutes FVG level also a tredline break in 5 minutes time frame indicating a good probability to buy
Silver Insights: Aggressive Strategies and Bullish SentimentHello, friends! I’m excited to share some observations on Silver.
Yesterday, I came across a couple of intriguing portfolios focused on this metal.
The first one is an aggressive call spread at $40-$40.25, while the second portfolio is a "butterfly" spread, positioned slightly lower.
Both portfolios are designed to capitalize on price movement, but the first one could yield a threefold profit with just a little push in its direction. The second one, however, will require some time and ideally needs to reach around $38 by the end of April.
From a technical standpoint, the chart shows a "spring compression", which often leads to the emergence of such portfolios. While I don’t place too much weight on predictive elements, the sentiment remains bullish.
Stay tuned, plan your trades and let’s see how this unfolds!
Always do your own research but do no hesistate visit us to leverage the comprehensive analysis from our team to enhance your trading advantage! 💪💼
Entry Psychology Hey guys, Ray here, and I just entered a trade here.
Doesn't matter buy or sell,
or what currency your trading.
We all enter the market and none of us can ever know the "perfect price".
Therefore, our Stop Loss is inadvertently a key factor in our entries, lot sizes, and psychology.
In this video I explain what I mean...
Please comment if you found this insightful!
Buy, hold, and let those sweet returns melt in your portfolio!Guys, we all know the sector rotational for consumer defensive is now rebounded
regardless the sector rotation or tariffs noise, agribusiness and sugar remains an essential commodity in our daily life.
There are strategies that Wilmar has taken for the past 3 years. We have seen the share price is being strongly supported at SG$3.03.
Given the essential nature of sugar, Wilmar’s strategic positioning, strong financials, and resilient consumer demand, this could be an opportune time to buy and hold for long-term gains.
🗝️ Key Investment Considerations:
Strong Technical Support – Wilmar’s share price has consistently held above SG$3.03, indicating a solid support level.
📙 Fundamental Strength – The company has a wide economic moat, benefiting from its integrated agribusiness model.
💰 High Insider Ownership – With a 74.7% stake held by major investors, management has significant “skin in the game.”
SGX:F34
📌 Investment Call: Buy & Hold (24-36 months)
🎯 Target Price: SG$4.46
💰 Potential Upside: 33%
📈 Dividend Yield: ~5.13% (TTM)
Wilmar International (stock symbol: F34.SI) dividend yield (TTM) as of March 27, 2025 : 5.13%
Average dividend yield, last 5 years: 4.1% (including 2024)
W Chart - crossing above zero line for MACD indicator
EURUSD SHORTin monthly timeframe the price is making a strong rejection a FVG level also a ChoCh level (also march month is at its end )
indicating a strong down trend and in small time frame a lots of dominant break candle stick pattern which is also a good sign of a down trend .+ some of EUR news are coming at 13:30 Pm
if the the news goes RED(bearish) than you enter the market + wait for the trendline to Break in 15 minutes timeframe (for confirmation).and Inshallah you will see good results
Buy GoldGold continues to rise within the uptrend.
Smart money is buying the metal, increasing the chances of further growth.
Set the Stop-loss at 3010.
First target – previous high at 3057.
ATOM Breaks Falling Trendline – Eyes on $8.80 TargetATOM/USDT has broken out of a long-term falling resistance trendline on the daily chart, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
The price is currently testing a key resistance zone around $4.90–$5.20. A strong breakout above this level could open the path toward the $8.80 target, offering solid upside potential.
Immediate support lies near $4.40, with stronger support at $4.18. As long as the price holds above these levels, the bias remains bullish, with a favorable risk-reward setup for continuation.
Found this analysis helpful? Don’t forget to like, drop a comment, and follow us for more insights. Thanks for the love!
AUD/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle of Breakouts and SupportsTrade frictions remain a headwind in the market. US trade measures have triggered concerns, and the Australian economy, which is dependent on exports to China, may be impacted. Meanwhile, inflation triggered by tariffs conflicts with concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. The Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rate unchanged and adjusted its economic forecasts.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates in February, and future actions will depend on inflation data. Employment positions decreased in February while the unemployment rate remained stable. The upcoming release of the monthly CPI indicator for February is of great concern. The net short - positions of the Australian dollar have increased, and market sentiment is bearish.
Technically, if the AUD/USD breaks through key levels, there is upward potential. If the bears dominate, there are multiple support levels. Momentum indicators show mixed performance.
AUDUSD
sell@0.63500-0.63000
tp:0.62500-0.62000
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
XAUUSD H4 ANALYSIS We are currently bullish on the H4, Expect higher prices to the upside! Price is currently on a minor resistance zone with a multiple rejection. there's a possibility that the price might want to go lower making a bigger retracement. if price ended up breaking the internal low i expect the price to go all the way to the daily orderblock.
Gold Trend Today - Downward Correction Is Over?🔔🔔 🔔GOLD news:
👉Gold regained some of its luster on Tuesday, driven by concerns over tariffs. The XAU/USD pair climbed to $3,036.04 early in the U.S. trading session as headlines regarding U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff plans weighed on the U.S. Dollar.
👉Reports indicated that Trump intends to implement a two-step approach to his tariff strategy, aiming to establish a more structured legal framework for the president's reciprocal tariff regime.
👉Meanwhile, geopolitical developments emerged, highlighting progress toward a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. The news suggested a "maritime ceasefire," effectively reinstating the Black Sea Grain Initiative, which enables Ukraine to export grain and agricultural products to global markets.
👉Earlier in the day, the U.S. reported a significant decline in consumer confidence for March. The CB Index fell to 92.9, below the expected 94.2 and sharply lower than the previous 100.1.
Personal analysis:
👉Gold has had a correction in recent days, and the buyers are gradually regaining control after failing to break the 3000 level. Therefore, waiting to buy at a cheaper price is a reasonable choice
👉Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3038- 3040
❌SL: 3044 | ✅TP: 3033 – 3028 – 3023
👉Buy Gold 3005 - 3007
❌SL: 2999 | ✅TP: 3012 – 3018 – 3025
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames!
- Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason!
- I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how!
- You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why!
- I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that!
- Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart!
- In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave!
- Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop!
- The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames!
- Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart!
- My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen!
- My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there!
-
$Nestle PLC over 40% retracement in a Falling WedgeNestlé Nigeria Plc is a leading food and beverage company in Nigeria, manufacturing and marketing a variety of products under renowned brands such as Maggi, Milo, Nescafé, and Golden Morn.
MYX:NESTLE all time high is about 1600 Naira/share
Current price: 975 Naira/share - A 40% discount from all time high.
In the past, after #nestle price action broke out its falling wedge, it made over a 100% move upwards. IF HISTORY REPEATS, Nestle stands a chance to reclaim these resistances: 1026, 1253, 1553 and even higher.
This idea invalidates under 793.
xrp format rsi and macd"The XRP/USD pair is currently exhibiting signs that may indicate a potential bullish reversal.
Technical Analysis:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 49.28, suggesting neutral momentum. A move above 50 could signal strengthening bullish momentum.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line is at -0.00453, positioned above the signal line at -0.01699. Despite both values being negative, this crossover may indicate a weakening bearish trend and a potential shift towards bullish momentum.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the RSI crosses above 50, confirming bullish momentum.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below recent support levels to manage risk effectively.
Take Profit: Identify key resistance levels as potential take profit targets, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Time Frame: This analysis is based on the daily chart, suggesting a medium-term trade horizon.
Shorting GUDaily and 4h time frame showing bearish order flow.
Potential internal range to external range move on both 4h and 1h time frame.
SMT divergence w EU
#SOL Don't worry until 240 $.but after that, 60 $ is coming.#SOL Don't worry until 240 $.but after that, 60 $ is coming.
#SOL Crash. We already warned when SOL is Trading above 240 $ ..
Past Analysis also attached.
Accurate Entries using the H4, I am BUYING CADJPYAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
SPY Hanging on Mid-Range Support – Will It Rebound or Flush?⚠️ Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View
Current Price: ~$567.56
* SPY recently experienced a CHoCH followed by BOS, but now formed a new CHoCH → bearish shift in structure.
* Price is testing a minor demand zone between 566–567, holding just above the larger support base at 560–555.
* Volume increased on recent sell candles, showing seller control — but Stoch RSI signals nearing exhaustion.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover – but histogram showing potential slowing of momentum.
* Stoch RSI: Deeply oversold and starting to turn up – signals possible bounce/retracement coming.
🔐 Key Levels
Support Zones:
* 566–567 → Short-term demand / micro CHoCH
* 560 → Highest negative GEX zone – PUT support
* 555–550 → Strong liquidity zone & 2nd PUT Wall
Resistance Zones:
* 572.5 → HVL zone and broken structure
* 580 → Gamma wall zone, strong CALL resistance
* 590–600 → Extended resistance levels for swings
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade Pro)
* GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔵🔴 — Bearish skew, with a weak neutral pocket
* IVR: 26.4 → Volatility low, but near option seller zone
* IVx avg: 20.7
* PUT$%: 53.8% — Strong bearish hedging flow
* CALL Resistance: 580 → gamma ceiling
* PUT Wall:
* 560 → Highest negative NetGEX (dealer support)
* 555 & 550 → backup defense zones
* HVL: 572.5 → key flip level
📌 Current setup shows dealers are heavily short gamma below 572.5, causing negative delta pressure.
🛠️ Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 566–567
* If SPY holds and reclaims 570 with strong bid, a move toward HVL possible
* Entry: Break and hold above 570
* Target 1: 572.5
* Target 2: 578
* Stop-Loss: Below 565
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 3 $575 Calls
* OR Call Debit Spread: Buy $570 / Sell $580
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 565
* Confirmed lower high and break of demand → opens trapdoor
* Entry: Below 565 with momentum
* Target 1: 560
* Target 2: 555
* Target 3: 550
* Stop-Loss: Above 570
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 3 $560 Puts
* OR Put Spread: Buy $565 / Sell $555
🧭 Final Outlook
* Bias: Bearish → unless 572.5 HVL is reclaimed.
* SPY is caught between strong PUT support at 560 and heavy gamma ceiling at 580.
* If market sentiment worsens or macro triggers hit, 555 is the magnet zone.
* If buyers step in and hold 566+, bounce setups are likely — but it must reclaim HVL for any strength.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
PLTR Retracing into Structure – Gamma & Trend Support in Focus!🔍 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View
Current Price: ~$90.55
* PLTR broke out strongly from the CHoCH zone and achieved a Break of Structure (BOS) at the ~$94–95 level.
* It is now retracing inside the bullish channel, testing support just above the CHoCH region.
* Price is approaching a strong confluence zone of dynamic trendline support and previous resistance flipped support.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish but flattening — early sign of stabilization.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and starting to curve — watch for momentum reversal if it crosses upward.
🔐 Key Levels
Support:
* 89 → GEX HVL pivot zone, potential bounce level.
* 85 → Highest negative NETGEX support zone (PUT defense).
* 80 → Key PUT wall and broader liquidity zone.
Resistance:
* 94–95 → BOS supply zone + minor CALL wall.
* 100 → Major resistance (Gamma Wall + 3rd CALL Wall).
* 107.40 → Extended high – unlikely unless squeeze happens.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade Pro)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 – Fully Bullish
* IVR: 53.1
* IVx avg: 72.8
* CALL$%: 36.2% → Bullish positioning, strong call dominance
* Gamma Wall: 100 → Strong resistance magnet
* PUT Walls:
* 85 (Primary GEX support)
* 80 → backup floor
* HVL Cluster: 89 → Gamma pivot level today
📌 This positions PLTR in a bullish gamma structure, and the current pullback could be a buy-the-dip setup.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce off 89–90
* Price holds HVL/GEX pivot zone and shows signs of buyer absorption
* Entry: Above 91.5 with confirmation
* Target 1: 94
* Target 2: 95.5
* Target 3: 100 (Gamma squeeze)
* Stop-Loss: Below 88.5
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $95 Calls
* OR Bull Call Spread: Buy $90 / Sell $100 Calls
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 88.5
* Clean rejection from supply zone + break of rising channel
* Entry: Breakdown below 88
* Target 1: 85
* Target 2: 80
* Stop-Loss: Above 91
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $85 Puts
* OR Bear Put Spread: Buy $90 / Sell $85
🧭 Final Bias & Strategy
* Bias: Bullish unless price closes below 88.
* Currently consolidating near strong gamma and trendline support.
* As long as it holds above 89, there is potential for continuation toward 95–100.
* Watch for reclaim of BOS zone to trigger option flows toward the next CALL wall.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research.
NVDA Breakdown Confirmed! Will 110 Hold or Will Bears Target 105🔻 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View
Current Price: ~$112.20
* NVDA suffered a Break of Structure (BOS) from the rising wedge pattern.
* Price broke below key CHoCH and consolidation areas, and is now hovering just above major PUT support near $110.
* Volume on breakdown was heavy — bearish pressure is strong, but we are approaching a potential reversal zone.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish, but histogram is slowing → early signs of bearish momentum loss.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, starting to curl up → bounce attempt possible if support holds.
🔐 Key Levels to Watch
Support:
* 110 → Strong GEX PUT support & 2nd PUT Wall.
* 105 → 3rd PUT Wall + prior demand zone.
* 104.77 → Swing low — a break here opens the door to 100 psychological level.
Resistance:
* 115 → Highest negative NetGEX zone (put support flipped resistance).
* 119 → Previous HVL & key breakdown level.
* 125.09 → CALL wall & prior rejection area.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Insights (TanukiTrade Pro)
* GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔵🔴 — Bearish bias overall
* IVR: 21.4 (low)
* IVx avg: 52.5 → Traders not aggressively pricing future volatility
* CALL$%: 11.1% — Weak call flow suggests downside hedging still dominant
* PUT Pressure Zones:
* 110 → High dealer support zone
* 105 → 2nd critical wall
* Gamma Resistance: 119 → strong reversal zone if a bounce occurs
📌 This setup shows potential for a short-term bounce, but overall bearish gamma structure still dominates.
🛠️ Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Setup – Reclaim 115 After Holding 110
* A bounce from 110 may attract dip buyers for short squeeze toward 119
* Entry: Above 113.50 with volume
* Target 1: 115
* Target 2: 118.50–119
* Stop-Loss: Below 110
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $115 Calls
* OR Call Debit Spread: Buy $112.5 / Sell $120
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 110
* If 110 fails with momentum, flush to 105 becomes likely
* Entry: Break below 110 with confirmation
* Target 1: 105
* Target 2: 100 (psych level)
* Stop-Loss: Above 112.5
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $105 Puts
* Bear Put Spread: Buy $110 / Sell $105
🧭 Final Bias & Outlook
* Bias: Bearish unless 115 is reclaimed.
* Strong breakdown structure, bearish GEX sentiment, and low IVR suggest continued weakness unless we see buyer absorption at 110.
* If 110 breaks, expect increased put gamma pressure to drag toward 105 or lower.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk carefully and do your own due diligence.
AMZN Testing Key Support After Rally – Gamma Zone Ahead! 🚀 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Overview
Current Price Zone: ~$200.20
* AMZN made a Break of Structure (BOS) near $206 before rejecting from a key supply zone.
* Currently retracing into a rising channel support line and near previous CHoCH retest zone.
* The price is still inside a bullish structure — watching for reversal confirmation near $198–195.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish, but histogram flattening — suggests weakening momentum to the downside.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and starting to curl up — possible bounce setup.
🔐 Key Levels
Support:
* 195 → HVL + psychological round level + trendline support.
* 190 → Strong PUT support zone via GEX.
* 189.38 → Recent swing low – must hold for bulls to remain in control.
Resistance:
* 206–208 → Supply zone + previous BOS level.
* 210 → Gamma wall (Highest positive NetGEX)
* 220 → 3rd CALL Wall (far extension)
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade GEX Zones)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟡🟢 — Moderately Bullish
* IVR: 33.6
* IVx avg: 35.4 → Options are fairly priced, no volatility extremes
* CALL$%: 2.4% (weak call flow but dealers not aggressively hedging short)
* Key Gamma Wall: 210
* PUT Support: 190
* HVL Cluster: 195 (May expiry, pivotal)
📌 GEX suggests gamma compression between 195–206, with breakout potential above or breakdown if 190 fails.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 195 or Trendline
* If AMZN holds the rising channel and HVL zone around 195, reversal likely toward 206.
* Entry: Above 200 reclaim with volume
* Target 1: 204
* Target 2: 206
* Target 3: 210 (Gamma wall)
* Stop-Loss: Below 194.50
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $205 Calls
* OR Debit Call Spread: Buy $200 / Sell $210 Calls
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 195
* Break below channel support and HVL may trigger a flush to 190.
* Entry: Break of 194
* Target 1: 190
* Target 2: 185
* Stop-Loss: Above 197
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $190 Puts
* OR Bear Put Spread: Buy $195 / Sell $185
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Neutral → Leaning bullish if 195 holds.
* Gamma and SMC zones align for a bounce setup.
* If price fails to hold trendline near 195, bearish momentum may escalate toward 190 PUT Wall.
🎯 Key Watch: Reaction near $195 is everything today.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk.
AAPL Eyeing Gamma Reversal Zone – Will Bulls Defend the Pullback🍎 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Setup
Current Price Zone: ~$221.39
* AAPL recently broke structure to the upside (BOS) after a clean reversal from the CHoCH zone near 210–213.
* Price tapped the supply zone at 225–227.5 (aligned with GEX call resistance) and is now retracing.
* This pullback is happening in low volume, hinting at a possible reload phase.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover, but fading momentum — potential for a bullish crossover soon.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and curling, signaling potential bounce opportunity.
🔐 Key Zones
Support Levels:
* 217.5 → HVL support zone, critical gamma level.
* 215 → Strong PUT support zone; multiple touches + GEX protection.
* 210 → 2nd PUT wall and base of previous accumulation.
Resistance Levels:
* 225 → CALL resistance (Highest NetGEX + Gamma Wall)
* 227.5 → 2nd CALL Wall
* 230 → Extended target / 3rd CALL Wall
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 — Bullish
* IVR: 39.1
* IVx avg: 30
* PUT$%: 14.7% → Dealers are likely hedged long → may support dips
* Gamma Wall: 225 → Key resistance (calls dominate here)
* HVL Cluster: 217.5 → strong likelihood of pin or bounce at this level
📌 This sets up a Gamma Pin Scenario between 215 and 225, with room to breakout if buyers step in early.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce at 217.5–215
* If AAPL reclaims 220+ after defending HVL, expect push to retest resistance.
* Entry: On reclaim of 222 with volume
* Target 1: 225
* Target 2: 227.5
* Target 3: 230
* Stop-Loss: Below 215
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $225 Calls
* OR Bull Call Spread: Buy $222.5 / Sell $230 Calls for a defined risk
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 215
* Would indicate bulls failed to defend demand zone.
* Entry: On clean break of 215 with selling volume
* Target 1: 210
* Target 2: 208
* Stop-Loss: Above 218
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $210 Puts
* Bear Put Spread: Buy $215 / Sell $210
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Leaning Bullish above 217.5 — structure still supports higher low formation.
* If 217.5 breaks, watch 215 for final support test.
* GEX zones suggest dealers may support near 215 and sell near 225, so expect chop unless a catalyst forces breakout.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
TSLA Reversal or Continuation? Gamma Magnet at Work – Watch This ⚠️ Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Setup
Current Price Zone: ~$268.41
* TSLA recently broke structure to the upside (BOS) after a strong rally from the previous CHoCH zone near $230–240.
* After tapping into the supply zone at $282–288, price has pulled back toward $267–268.
* Still trading above all major recent swing lows and inside a potential retracement zone.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish cross, momentum slowing after breakout.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a possible bounce opportunity.
🔐 Key Zones
Support Levels:
* 267.50–268.00 → HVL + consolidation zone; key intraday pivot.
* 255 → Strong demand / GEX support zone.
* 250 → PUT wall and prior consolidation base.
Resistance Levels:
* 282.5–288 → Supply zone + 2nd CALL Wall.
* 300 → Gamma Wall and highest positive GEX — strong resistance unless momentum breakout.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade Sentiment)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 — Fully Bullish
* IVR: 62.7 → High implied volatility, tradable swings.
* IVx avg: 81.2
* CALL$%: 32.4% → Bullish call flow dominates.
* Support Walls:
* 255 (PUT Wall 1)
* 250 (Put Support)
* Resistance Walls:
* 282.5 (CALL Wall 2)
* 300 (Gamma Wall)
📌 With strong bullish options flow and GEX positioning, market makers are likely to support pullbacks and encourage reversion higher unless 255 breaks.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Rebound from 267–268 Zone
* Price respects current HVL zone and shows reversal signs.
* Entry: Break above 270 or reclaim with volume.
* Target 1: 275
* Target 2: 282.5
* Target 3: 288–300 (extended breakout)
* Stop-Loss: Below 265
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $275 Calls
* Aggressive: $280/$290 Call Spread targeting breakout to Gamma Wall
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 267
* If 267 fails and price breaks into lower zone.
* Entry: Break below 265 with strong volume
* Target 1: 255
* Target 2: 250
* Stop-Loss: Above 270
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $260 Puts
* Debit Spread: Buy $265 / Sell $255 Puts
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Bullish unless 267 fails.
* Key Level: 267.5 (gamma pivot) – price staying above suggests bullish continuation.
* GEX Implication: Dealers are long calls and may hedge by buying dips → supportive near 255–267.
📍 Ideal play today: Watch for early reversal near 267, and scale into calls on confirmation.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
