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WTI Short - if we see the following play out.Looking at fair value gaps, and imbalance in the markets. This morning I identified the fair value gaps on WTI, as you can see on the chart it is playing out according to plan. If the price now continues to rise and starts to turn round when it hits the sell zone on the chart, then I will look for the following before I take the short. - Price Action - Deal flow where the buyers are running out of steam, and the sellers are starting to take over. If this happens then I plan a short on WTI. James Sandrock
CFI:WTIShort
by James_Gordon_Sandrock
A Huge Move on the Dow: Are You Ready for What’s Next?In this idea, I’ll be analyzing the Dow E-Mini Futures (YM) using a 4-hour bar interval. For those who don’t trade futures, you can follow along with Dow-focused ETFs like DIA. The goal is straightforward: gather as many clues as possible to determine the most likely market direction. Have a different take? Share your thoughts in the comments—let’s discuss! My Analysis Setup I’ve divided my screen into four quadrants for a comprehensive view: Price Action 1 (Q1) Price Action 2 (Q2) RSI Action 1 (Q3) RSI Action 2 (Q4) What Does RSI Tell Us? The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals momentum. A declining RSI typically indicates that sellers are gaining control, as selling pressure outweighs buying. Q1 (Price) and Q4 (RSI): November 11–19 From November 11 to November 19, both price and RSI were in decline, marked by red arrows. This led to a pullback of 1,463 points before the Dow reversed course and ultimately hit an all-time high of 45,106 on December 4. Q2 Price and Q3 RSI Divergence: After November 25 Post-November 25, price continued to rise, hitting new highs (green arrow), while RSI began to decline (red arrow). By the close on Friday, December 8, RSI showed continued weakness, but the price only experienced a modest 400-point pullback compared to the earlier 1,463 points. What Does This Tell Us? Earlier Phase (Q1/Q4): A declining RSI aligned with a drop in price, signaling sellers were in control. Later Phase (Q2/Q3): Despite RSI weakening, buyers became stronger and more aggressive. They drove prices higher, limiting pullbacks and resisting sellers’ pressure. This shift suggests growing buyer strength, with demand outpacing selling pressure. What’s Next? If buyers can clear out the remaining sellers, I believe the Dow could test 50,000, the next major psychological level for traders. Beyond that, the 100,000 mark could start appearing on the radar for the largest market players. Based on Friday’s closing price of 44,706, I see any pullback as a potential buying opportunity. Final Thoughts This market is looking very bullish. The resilience of buyers, even in the face of weakening RSI, is a strong signal of upward momentum. Let’s keep monitoring for signs of continuation and see how long the bulls can maintain control. Do you agree with this bullish outlook? Or are you seeing something else? Share your perspective in the comments!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by onlytrade2win
XAG/USD - Buy Limit OpportunityXAG/USD - Buy Limit Opportunity at Key Liquidity Zone Silver (XAG/USD) has swept liquidity below a critical support level, creating a high-probability buy limit setup. This move suggests the market is absorbing selling pressure, signaling potential bullish momentum from this zone. Key Observations: Liquidity Grab: Price dipped below a significant support level, triggering stop-losses and trapping sellers, indicating a possible reversal. Market Structure: Early signs of bullish rejections at the liquidity zone align with a potential upward move. Optimal Entry: A buy limit at targets the liquidity zone for an anticipated bounce. Trade Plan: Entry: Buy limit placed at for a strategic entry point. Stop Loss: Below the recent liquidity sweep to protect against false breaks. Take Profit: Targeting resistance levels around for a strong risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This setup leverages liquidity dynamics for a high-probability trade, but careful position sizing and disciplined risk management are essential. Monitor price action closely for bullish confirmation.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Vusizwe_Capital
Opening (IRA): EWY July 18th 35C/February 21st -55C PMCC*... for an 18.17 debit. Comments: Back into EWY, after missing out on the dividend due to my shares being called away. Since there is no longer a dividend to be had, going with a Poor Man's Covered Call/long call diagonal, buying the longer-dated 90 delta strike and selling a shorter-dated call that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long, resulting in a setup that has a break even slightly below where the underlying is currently trading. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 18.17 Break Even: 53.17 Max Profit: 1.83 ROC at Max: 10.07% 50% Max: .92 ROC at 50% Max: 5.04% Delta/Theta: 46.50/.751 Will look to money/take/run at 50% max.
AMEX:EWYLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TLT February 21st 87 Covered Call... for a 85.97 debit. Comments: Going long at or near November lows, selling the -75 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, with the built-in defense of the short call. I'm also looking to snag the January and potentially the February dividends here. This is a bit longer-dated than I ordinarily like to go, but I'm not doing a ton here besides waiting for January setups to come in/be managed. The obvious variant is to sell the standard -30 delta against: TLT Feb 21st 94 covered call, 89.72 debit, 4.28 max. 4.77% ROC at max where the short call is paying >1% of the strike price in credit. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 85.97/share Max Profit (ex. dividends): 1.03 ROC at Max: 1.20% 50% Max: .52 ROC at 50% Max: .60% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max after at least the January dividend drops.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
MDB - Scary Pullback Or Give UpNow THIS is a heck of a scary pullback! But the sime time, for me it's a gift from the trading God to Enter/Re-Enter with a start position, if not already in. Price got rejected at the 1/4 line, which I find it does often. But this doesn't mean that the party is over. The Pitchfork/Medianlines give us the projection in time. And the white Pitchfork is pointing upwards, while the orange Pullback-Fork has a level of Support at the Center-Line. All in all, it's a nice Long for me.
NASDAQ:MDBLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
3
NVIDIA - Arguments For BearsAs in my last post "Arguments For Bulls" I do my Analysis for NVDA with eyes of a Bear. We see the red down sloping Pendulum Swing Pitchfork. Because the A-Point is LOWER than the C Point, it's a Pullback Fork that would give us the potential downfall target at the Center-Line, before the Pendulum of price would swing to the upside again. - the "Trend Barrier Dow" was breached - price reacted to the tick multiple times at the U-MLH (White Rectangle) (Upper-Medianline-Parallel). This is clear resistance. - Price just filled the GAP from 3 Days ago, so it can continue in the opposite direction (down) again. So, that's it. You have 3 ways to play this: Long, Short, Flat. Earnings of such a Market influential underlying is a pure gamble. I grab some Pop-Corn and watch the show and see, which of the cases is wrong and right. §8-) Happy Profits all
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Xauusd (GOLD): I am thinking to short positionshello guys! let's analyze GOLD Liquidity Hunted: The chart highlights a liquidity grab near the recent high (marked as hunted), where the price spiked above resistance before reversing sharply. Downtrend Movement: Gold has shown strong bearish momentum, breaking below a rising trendline and key support levels. A continuation toward the gray demand zone around $2,585–$2,595 is likely. Key Demand Zone: The gray highlighted area is the next potential support, where buyers may step in to halt the decline. Scenarios: Scenario 1: If the price respects the demand zone, a short-term bullish rebound towards $2,620–$2,630 can occur. Scenario 2: Failure to hold the demand zone could push Gold further down toward the blue support area near $2,539–$2,535. Conclusion: Gold is currently bearish, with a strong possibility of reaching the demand zone at $2,585–$2,595. Traders should monitor this level for signs of a reversal or continuation, with $2,539 as the next downside target if support fails.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
22
The Next Bubble: Hunting for Sci-Fi Hype in Emerging MarketsExploring potential emerging market bubbles with a focus on futuristic and lesser-known technologies. In the ever-evolving landscape of investment opportunities, savvy investors are always looking for the next big wave. This potential market bubble could transform obscure technologies into astronomical valuations. While traditional industries like banking and oil remain predictable, the most exciting investment frontiers lie in science fiction-adjacent technologies that most people can barely comprehend. Quantum Computing: The Invisible Revolution Quantum computing represents a prime candidate for a potential market bubble. Most people struggle to understand how quantum computers work, which makes them perfect for speculative investment. Companies like IBM, Google, and several stealth startups are developing quantum technologies that seem more like science fiction than reality. The allure is simple: quantum computers promise to solve complex problems that classical computers can't handle. From cryptography to drug discovery, the potential applications are mind-bending. As public understanding remains limited, this knowledge gap creates fertile ground for massive hype and potentially inflated valuations. Synthetic Biology: Programming Life Itself Another frontier that screams "future bubble" is synthetic biology. Imagine companies that can program biological systems, design custom organisms, or create entirely new forms of life. Startups in this space are working on everything from lab-grown meat to engineered microorganisms that can clean up environmental pollution. The complexity of synthetic biology means most investors won't understand the underlying technology, creating perfect conditions for a speculative frenzy. Companies like Ginkgo Bioworks are already pushing the boundaries of what seems possible, blurring the lines between engineering and biology. Space Resource Extraction: The Final Economic Frontier While space tourism gets most of the headlines, the real potential bubble might be in space resource extraction. Companies are developing technologies to mine asteroids, harvest helium-3 from the moon, or extract rare minerals from extraterrestrial sources. These ventures sound like plot points from a science fiction novel but are becoming serious investment considerations. The total addressable market is astronomical, and the technological challenges are so complex that they create a perfect environment for speculative investment. Most people can't comprehend the engineering required, which means wild narratives can drive market sentiment. Neuromorphic Computing: Brains in Silicon Neuromorphic computing represents another potential bubble zone. These are computer systems designed to mimic the human brain's neural structures, promising revolutionary approaches to artificial intelligence and machine learning. Companies developing neuromorphic chips and systems are creating technologies that seem more like sentient machines from a William Gibson novel than traditional computing. The mystique of creating "brain-like" computers that can learn and adapt independently is a powerful narrative for investors seeking the next transformative technology. Key Bubble Indicators When hunting for potential market bubbles in sci-fi-adjacent technologies, look for these red flags: - Technological complexity that defies easy explanation - Massive potential market size with minimal current revenue - High-profile founders with grandiose visions - Media coverage that sounds more like science fiction than economic analysis - Significant venture capital interest despite unclear monetization paths Investor Caution: The Thin Line Between Innovation and Illusion While these technologies represent exciting investment frontiers, they also embody significant risks. Not every sci-fi-like technology will become the next big bubble. Careful research, understanding technological feasibility, and avoiding pure hype is crucial. The most successful investors will be those who can distinguish between genuine technological breakthroughs and elaborate narratives designed to attract speculative capital. Remember: Today's impossible dream could be tomorrow's trillion-dollar market—or next year's cautionary tale. #RGTI: is up +650% in less than 2 months since I published the analysis!
NASDAQ:RGTIEducation
by Moshkelgosha
34
USD/JPY SHORT POSSIBILITY FX:USDJPY If the Bank of Japan (BOJ) signals or implements an interest rate hike—moving away from its traditionally ultra-low or negative rates—the yen could become more attractive to investors seeking yield, thereby strengthening against the U.S. dollar. At the same time, if the Federal Reserve moves toward a more neutral or dovish stance, pausing hikes or even contemplating cuts in response to slowing U.S. economic growth, the dollar’s yield advantage diminishes. This combination of a relatively more hawkish BOJ and a less aggressive Fed would likely reduce the interest rate differential that has been supporting the USD/JPY pair, thus increasing the probability of a downward move in USD/JPY. For retail investors I would suggest approach a cautious stand on short position and wait for confirmation from institutional money GOOD LUCK TRADERS!
Short
by alakorn_FX
Bitcoin is Teasing $105K: Bullish Breakout Ahead?Bitcoin has exhibited bullish momentum yesterday and now is teasing the intraday resistance level near $105,140. However, given the current market conditions, caution remains essential as price action could develop in either direction. Ideally, I would like to see either (A) a pullback to retest the $103,032 level, followed by a bounce back above this level, or (B) sustained break-out above $105,140. These scenarios would increase the likelihood of a bullish continuation toward the next major resistance zone between $107,655 and $108,550 (Green Projections). On the flip side, if Bitcoin drops below the $103,032 level and fails to recover quickly, it may signal a shift in momentum. This could lead to increased bearish pressure, sideways price action with a potential retest of support at $99,108 (Red Projections). Traders should monitor these key levels closely for confirmation of the next major move.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Trade-Lean
ARE THE BEARS TIRED? (EARTHTRADER ANALYSIS)There's a lot of confusion in the market currently, so many questions are being asked and a handful of thoughts are being relayed, but the real question here is; ARE THE BEARS TIRED? At the moment? No! After the sweep on liquidity we saw SHIB contract going all the way to the point of inefficiency/imbalance, and the point is being overlapped by a bearish order block which denotes that they could be a potential silver bullet lying just at that point. If all protocols are to be respected we should see price retrace to the overlapping area and the shoot downwards to the nearest liquidity. If price respects our entry it will form a new lower high which will just make our draw down very valid. I have drawn potential entry, exit and stop caution areas. Fix your analysis based on these. Remember, this is NFA and always DYOR. LEAVE A FOLLOW!
Short
by earthtraderx