GBP/JPY – Breakout Incoming Hi Traders !, The price is forming an ascending triangle on the H1 chart. Watching for a breakout:
✅ Bullish if it breaks 194.92 with a pullback → Target 198.94.
❌ Bearish if it drops below 193.55 with confirmation → Target 187.35.
Waiting for volume validation , What do you think?
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Rising Wedge BreakdownMarket Structure & Analysis:
Rising Wedge Formation: Price has been moving within a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Bearish Breakdown Expected: BTC is testing the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating a potential breakdown.
Resistance Zone:
$89,649 – Key resistance level preventing further upside.
$88,336 – Local resistance that price failed to sustain above.
Support Levels:
$86,852 - $85,335 – Intermediate support range.
$80,402 – Main target for a bearish move.
$76,725 – Secondary support in case of further decline.
Trading Plan:
Sell Setup:
Wait for confirmation of a breakdown below the wedge.
Enter short if price closes below $86,852 with volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Above $88,336 to avoid false breakouts.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $84,474 (first support level).
TP2: $80,402 (main target).
TP3: $76,725 (extended bearish target).
Risk Factors:
If BTC finds strong support at $86,852, a bounce could invalidate the bearish setup.
Macro events (ETF approvals, institutional buy-ins, Fed rate decisions) may impact price action.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Retest SetupMarket Structure & Analysis:
Uptrend Confirmation: Price has been in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Resistance & Retest: The price recently hit a resistance zone around $3,054 and pulled back for a retest.
Support Zone: A key support level is marked at $3,010, which has held multiple times.
Bullish Retest Setup: If the price successfully retests this support level and confirms bullish momentum, we can anticipate a potential move toward the next resistance level.
Target Levels:
First Target: $3,054 (recent high)
Final Target: $3,089 (next major resistance)
Trading Plan:
Buy Setup: Enter after confirmation of bullish price action at the support level ($3,010).
Stop Loss: Below $3,010 to avoid false breakouts.
Take Profit:
TP1: $3,054
TP2: $3,089
Risk Factors:
If the support at $3,010 breaks, price may drop toward the next major support at $2,911, invalidating the bullish setup.
Economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI data, or geopolitical risks) may cause unexpected volatility in gold prices.
Opening (IRA): IWM May 16th 190/195/220/225 Iron Condor... for a 1.70 credit.
Comments: I think I have more than enough long delta on at the moment, so opting to go nondirectional/delta neutral here. Selling the 25's and buying the wings out from there, collecting one-third the width of the wings in credit.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 3.30
Max Profit: 1.70
ROC at Max: 51.5%
50% Max: .85
ROC at 50% Max: 25.8%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll in oppositional side on side test.
EURJPY still bullish for expect
OANDA:EURJPY strong bullish push we are have on start of month, thoughts are strong bullish volume is gathered and the we can see still here bullish trend.
Currently price is in ASCENDING CHANNEL, expecting to see break of same and new bullish push.
SUP zone: 158.500
RES zone: 164.500
Mid-Term Crypto Entry Setup is CompleteColleagues, we're witnessing a rare and highly interesting situation: several key patterns have aligned to form a setup for mid-term buying of Bitcoin and promising altcoins.
The price bounced off the lower boundary of the ascending channel that Bitcoin has been following since the second half of 2022.
Global monetary liquidity—shifted 10 weeks forward and historically strongly correlated with financial assets—is pointing to growth at least through the second half of May.
On-chain metrics have turned upward and exited the sell-off zone.
The cumulative imbalance reflects a shift in sentiment, with buyer-initiated trades now dominating.
Among the few negative factors, we’re still within the local downtrend and remain below the key range of the winter consolidation.
Short-term fluctuations and increased volatility are likely, but the dominant mid-term direction is now clearly defined.
Altcoins deserve a separate deep dive, but to put it briefly and at a high level — the situation is similar.
P.S: If you're interested, our website provides interactive charts with modified indicators — completely free and with no registration required.
We’d love to hear your feedback, and we’ll be continuously adding more useful features over time.
Opening (IRA): IBIT May 16th 41/44/57/60 Iron Condor... for a 1.02 credit.
Comments: Going neutral assumption here, selling the 25 delta's and buying wings 3 strikes out, collecting one-third the width of the wings.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 1.98
Max Profit: 1.02
ROC at Max: 51.5%
50% Max: .51
ROC at 50% Max: 25.8%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll wings in on side test.
Buy SilverSilver looks good. There was a strong rally yesterday.
On the daily chart, the metal is in an uptrend that has remained intact since the beginning of the year.
The news background is positive, and major players, also known as "smart money," are buying the metal.
There is a strong chance of moving higher, with the first target at 34.8.
Since the metal is highly volatile, a stop-loss should be set at 33.20.
SPY WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅SPY has hit a key structure level of 577.50$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from their long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Retailers on the Attack: The “Buy the Dip” Phenomenon on NasdaqBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
In a surprising turn of events for the stock market, so far in 2025 we see how retail investors have taken center stage, betting heavily on “ buy the dip” as large investors reduce their positions. According to data from VandaTrack, these small investors have injected nearly $70 billion into U.S. stocks and ETFs. This phenomenon, which seems to be straight out of a Reddit forum, has sparked conversation on digital platforms and has captured the attention of analysts and specialized media.
The “buy the dip” phenomenon is based on the idea of buying stocks during their declines, with the expectation that the price will recover and a profit will be made. Despite the volatility generated by the current environment - marked by geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes and the impact of technological innovations such as China's DeepSeek artificial intelligence - retailers have shown unusual resilience. Phrases such as “be the dip” have become popular in forums and social networks, driving a wave of optimism that contrasts with the cautious approach of large investors, who are withdrawing their liquidity or diversifying into less volatile assets.
The notable betting by retail investors is reflected in large-scale deals. For example, last week alone saw investments of $3.2 billion in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and $1.9 billion in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), according to figures released by JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM). These moves not only evidence confidence in the recovery potential of these companies, but also the ability of small investors to influence liquidity and market direction.
In addition, the trend extends to leveraged ETFs, whose trading volume has increased considerably. The “buy the dip” behavior has been internalized to the point of becoming an automatic reflection of today's retail mentality. This phenomenon has also been observed in other international markets, where online investment platforms and mobile applications have facilitated access to the stock markets, allowing a greater number of investors to participate actively and, in many cases, on a massive scale. This dynamic can have both short- and long-term effects. On the one hand, the massive inflow of capital by retailers can generate a “rebound effect” in certain sectors, especially those perceived as innovative and disruptive. On the other hand, the high concentration of investments in a few assets and sectors - such as technology - could increase volatility and systemic risk in the market. While the “buy the dip” strategy has worked in previous periods, relying solely on this tactic in such a changing environment could lead to significant imbalances if there is a sharp turn in the market.
The implications of this trend also extend to the regulatory arena. Financial authorities are closely observing how the massification of “buy the dip ” is impacting market stability, and some regulators have already initiated studies to evaluate possible control measures. The evolution of this phenomenon could force a rethinking of current regulations on retail investor participation in high volatility markets.
Technical Analysis Nasdaq 100(Ticker AT: USATEC)
Currently, the main support zone is around 16,986 points. The second support zone pivots around 18,400 points. The current range is between 18,737 and 20,505 points with the control point (POC) at 19,755 points. The RSI is at 53.64% since this last rebound started at 23.03% so it seems to have stabilized in a middle zone. If we look at the movement of the index, it does not seem to have finished its movement to the upper band of the range. At the moment, it is about to test its strength in the direction of the highs if the Bulls continue to drill hard. The truth is that on March 4th on the daily chart there was a bearish crossover, so it does not seem that this strength will hold and the lower part of the range will be tested again. If the index shows weakness we will see a return to the 18,400 level.
In short, while the “ sharks ” or large investors flee the water, the “ minnows ” continue to splash about happily, demonstrating a new era in which the democratization of access to the stock markets is redefining the rules of the game. The commitment to “ buy the dip ” is a clear reflection of a renewed confidence in the market's potential for recovery and growth, although not without risks and challenges that must be managed by both investors and authorities.
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All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
GILD is a dangerous buy, but a buy nonetheless for me.There is a lot NOT to like about this trade. Yes, I see how far it has run. Yes, I see how fast it is falling. Yes, I see the gap from 96 to 102 that “must” be filled. Yes, the market overall has been unhelpful of late. I realize all of it and I wouldn’t necessarily recommend anyone follow me on this trade because of all of that.
Here’s my “bull” case, such that it is with the way I trade. It's solidly in a long term uptrend. I know I’m jinxing myself with this, but GILD hasn’t had a trade with my system last longer than 5 days in almost a year. I did one last Friday that took 1 day to pay off, so going back so soon is REALLY tempting fate. But I am a slave to the data. The long term W/L record at this point is 988-0 for GILD.
The average gain for those trades is +2.55% in an average of 13 trading days. The vast majority have closed in 2 days or less. Those numbers are a compelling argument for me.
It is very possible, given the recent market action and its own price action, that this will be a longer than average trade in GILD. But it could also be like last Friday’s trade, too - one and done. There isn’t much else that is appealing to my algo right now - yesterday there was literally only one large cap stock that was a buy and it wasn’t in the top half of my rankings, so I didn’t trade it. Today this is one of fewer than 10, and the others are all lower tier stocks for me, historically.
So here’s hoping I catch lightning in a bottle twice in one week with this stock. Entered my initial position at the close for 107.51. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
EURUSD CONCEPTGood morning, depending where in the world you are @.
I've been following Fiber for quite sometime now and its price action is quite interesting.
So, we are currently in the London session and I still have no bias of the session.
Let me tell you why, the dollar index is not clear/ strongly biased but HTF analysis shows me that we might push the dollar higher.
That equates to me being confident that I wanna see E-U melt down sometime later in the day or week.
The tricky part about E-U according to my today's analysis is that it has 2 juicy levels which are so opposite from each other.
One level is @ the Asian lows; Sell-side liquidity. The other is @ the 1 hr premium array levels (POI) point of interest for sells.
Honestly, I don't know which level the market will follow for now.
If you have any comments, you can freely share.
Hit the follow & boost button for more insights and see me execute.
Hey, I'll update you guys once I see something happening.
Stay safe
BNB: Poised to Resume Bullish TrendBNB Poised to Resume Bullish Trend
Since February 13, BNB has experienced a month-long decline, entering a clear 4-hour bearish trend. However, the price appears to have completed a "Descending Channel" pattern, signaling a potential shift.
Currently, BNB is demonstrating renewed strength. A decisive move above the descending channel could propel BNB upwards, with an initial target of 625 and a secondary target of 670.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you:)
continue downtrend , GOLD⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds steady above the key $3,000 level for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, though it struggles to reclaim the previous session’s peak. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs set for next week continues to bolster demand for the safe-haven metal. At the same time, the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure following Tuesday’s weaker-than-expected macroeconomic data, providing additional support for gold’s upward momentum.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to decrease, around 2990 - 3000
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3039 - $3041 SL $3046
TP1: $3030
TP2: $3020
TP3: $3010
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2992 - $2990 SL $2985
TP1: $3000
TP2: $3008
TP3: $3018
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Two things I wish I knew about crypto before startingHere are two things I wish I knew about crypto before getting into the markets.
1. Volatility is part of the crypto game. Instead of fearing it, embrace it with a strategy.
2. Tracking your portfolio isn't just about numbers; it's about clarity in decision-making. If you don't know where you stand, how can you plan your next move?
If you want, one click the link in my bio. @CryptoJayTrades
GBPUSD LONGS CONCEPTWe had an inside bar on yesterday's price action on pound dollar.
I want to see a smart money reversal and the the market delivers liq to the Asian level.
But I would like to see a clear liq sweep @ the prev weekly lows and the see the reversal model form.
I think on a 15 min/5 min t.f, we might have completed the ongoing AMD /power of 3 setup and that's why I'm longs' biased
Follow and boost the idea if you agree and want to see more of such content