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What to consider when trading... Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This is my personal opinion, so it may differ from yours. Please keep this in mind. - So, how should I proceed with day trading? When trading day trading, the first thing to consider is the trading volume. Coins (tokens) with low trading volume should be avoided because volatility can occur in an instant, making it difficult to respond quickly and likely to result in losses. Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to choose coins (tokens) with high trading volume. The next thing to consider is the price of the coin (token). If the price of the coin (token) becomes too high or too low, even if you sell it for profit, you may incur a loss. Therefore, when trading a coin (token) with a very high price, you should trade with a longer time frame. In other words, the increase should be high. When trading a coin (token) with a very low price, you need to be persistent. This is because the amount you want to trade is large, so the rise or fall may be slow. The next thing to consider is the size of your trading funds. If your trading funds are too small, you may not be able to enjoy trading because you will earn too little profit compared to the stress of trading. If you lose the fun of trading like this, you will have difficulty continuing to trade or you will likely leave the investment market, so you need to be careful. If you set the trading fund size too high, you can suffer a big loss with one mistake, so you must set a stop loss point and keep it. You can find out how much trading fund size is right for you by looking at your psychological state when you trade. If you think you are trading too boldly, it is better to think that the trading fund size is small and increase it little by little. If you feel extremely anxious when you trade and incur a loss, it is better to reduce the trading fund size little by little. - (BTCUSDT 30m chart) Considering the above considerations (trading volume, price, trading fund size), you should continuously observe the selected coin (token) chart to check the movement at the support and resistance points. To do this, you need to check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts when you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, which can be the basis for starting a transaction, or when you have a trading strategy. Usually, when the Trend Cloud indicator shows an upward trend while receiving support near the HA-Low indicator and rising, there is a high possibility of rising. Therefore, you should consider whether to buy when the HA-Low indicator shows support. And, when the HA-High indicator touches and falls, there is a high possibility of falling when the Trend Cloud indicator shows a downward trend. Therefore, the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the first selling section. In this way, you can conduct transactions within the sideways section trading within the HA-Low ~ HA-High section. Then, when there is a movement that falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you can conduct a transaction according to the trend. Therefore, split trading is essential. The basics of split trading are to sell half when you make a profit and set the stop loss at the principal price for the remaining half. - This is something everyone knows, but it is not easy to follow. Also, there are times when it is difficult to decide what to use as the standard for trading. In such cases, as I mentioned, I recommend that you choose a coin (token) considering the trading volume, price, and trading fund size and continuously check the movement of the chart. Even if you are not familiar with chart analysis, if you continuously look at the chart, there is a possibility that you will see movement. However, you need prior knowledge on how to set the stop loss point. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
8
(JASMY) jasmy "cycle-phase-wave"According to an enhanced MACD indicator that follows three layers of information I found the peak MACD green to line up with the yellow lines on the chart that are assigned with the next alternative colored line to be aligned with the most recent improvement in the otherwise losing price for the last months of time. Although an elliott wave is not seen I figured it would be possible to create a measurement like wave using an indicator to guide where those points should be.
COINBASE:JASMYUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Oil Trends: Mid - Term Downward, Short - Term Breakout HintsFrom the perspective of the daily chart of crude oil, the moving average system in the medium-term trend is arranged downward, indicating that the objective direction of the medium-term trend is downward. After the oil price reached a low of 55.20, there have been frequent alternations between bullish and bearish forces. In the medium term, the bearish momentum is being accumulated, and it is expected that the price will further decline to the 50 mark in the later stage. In the short term (1-hour chart), the crude oil price has been fluctuating within a narrow range for three trading days at the position of the right shoulder of the embryonic head-and-shoulders bottom pattern, and the proportion between the left and right shoulders is gradually becoming unbalanced. During the correction rhythm in recent days, the volatility of the oil price has gradually narrowed, and the market is waiting for the direction of the breakout. It is expected that there is a relatively high probability of a slight upward movement of crude oil within the day. USOIL buy@60.5-61 tp:61.5-62.5 Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
TVC:USOILLong
by SterlingOracle
BTC/USDT - Liquidity Trap in Progress: The Smart Money's Favorit🚨 Warning: This is not financial advice – this is a post-mortem for early longs. 📍 BTC is consolidating at the exact Point of Control (~84.200 USDT) – aka the zone of weak hands. Tape shows consistent negative delta, falling Open Interest, and phantom volume. 🎯 Likely scenario in the next few hours: Pump trap to 85.800 (liquidate aggressive shorts) Reversal into oblivion down to 83.200 → 81.500 💣 Liquidity clusters are waiting at: 🔺 86.000 – 86.800: where retail longs dream of “breakout season” 🔻 82.000 – 81.500: where they go to rest in peace ⚙️ Pôncio Setup (a.k.a. Institutional Homicide Strategy): Short Entry: 85.5K–85.8K (on rejection + weak delta) SL: 86.2K (just above stop cluster) TP1: 83.2K (first blood) TP2: 81.5K (massacre zone) 🔮 If we get a deep sweep into 82K and trap sellers with a reversal spike in OI + green delta... maybe, just maybe, a long from hell is viable. 📈 Chart below shows expected price trajectory. Trade safe. Or at least, trade interesting.
Short
by NunoSid
1
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern. Levels to watch: $110, $140 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
31
Nvidia Drops 9%+ Amid Export Curbs and Fed WarningNvidia Corporation (NVDA) saw its stock fall by 9.18%, trading at $101.68 as renewed fears over U.S.-China trade tensions and monetary policy signals shook investor confidence. The decline came after the company confirmed costly new restrictions on chip exports to China, intensifying market concerns about long-term demand and global supply chain disruptions. The broader market reacted sharply to these developments. The Nasdaq Composite dropped nearly 4.3%, while the S&P 500 shed around 3.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also lost more than 900 points, a drop of about 2.2%. Contributing further to the sell-off, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered remarks in Chicago, stating that the central bank would “wait for greater clarity” before making interest rate changes. Powell highlighted the conflicting effects of tariffs, warning that they could bring “higher inflation and slower growth,” placing the Fed’s dual mandate of stable prices and full employment under pressure. These comments, coupled with geopolitical uncertainty, pushed stocks to session lows. Technical Analysis Nvidia's price action shows a notable rebound from a major support zone near $92, which has historically attracted strong buying interest. Despite Wednesday’s sharp drop, the price trades above this level, suggesting traders are still defending it. The next key resistance lies at $153.13, a level that capped previous rallies. If Nvidia breaks above this zone, it could signal a bullish continuation, potentially leading to a move toward new all-time highs. However, rejection at this point could trigger a pullback, with a possible retest of the $92 support. The Relative Strength Index stands at 41, indicating a close to average momentum. This positions Nvidia at a crossroads, where upcoming price action around the resistance will determine the near-term trend.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
GOLD Next Possible GrowingA next GOLD All High top movement From Mr Martin Date 15 Tuesday April 2025 Gold is very sacred to mover the top because all time price will high no any seems falling pattern the price is very strong reaching the US concessions on tariffs on Chinese electronics and china pledges to boost economic stimulus a next resistance zone 3270 and also fallow the Rejection support will be 3170. Ps Support level with like and comments must Guys So we will Modify to share analysis with your and also share Your thought's about Bitcoin Price.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
S&P 500 Outlook Post-PowellBelow is a focused prediction for the S&P 500’s direction in both the short term (next few days to 1–2 weeks) and long term (next 3–12 months) following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on April 16, 2025. The analysis is based on Powell’s remarks, market reactions, and economic context, avoiding speculative overreach and grounding predictions in available data. Short-Term Prediction (Next Few Days to 1–2 Weeks) Outlook: Downward Bias (60%–70% Probability of Decline) Prediction: The S&P 500 is likely to face further declines, potentially dropping toward 4,800–4,900 or Morgan Stanley’s projected 4,700 level (a 7%–8% decline from the April 8, 2025, close of 5,074.08, likely lower post-speech). A temporary bounce is possible but expected to be limited. Key Drivers: Hawkish Fed Stance: Powell’s cautious tone, emphasizing persistent inflation (PCE at 2.3% headline, 2.6% core) and no urgency for rate cuts (rates steady at 4.25%–4.5%), has dampened hopes for monetary easing. His view that Trump’s tariffs could drive sustained inflation increases the risk of prolonged high rates, pressuring equities. Tariff Uncertainty: Powell’s remarks on “larger-than-expected” tariffs, alongside U.S.-China trade tensions and the World Trade Organization’s slashed 2025 trade forecast, fuel fears of a trade war, higher costs, and slower growth. Weak Sentiment: Declining household (March 2025 confidence at its lowest since January 2021) and business sentiment, as noted by Powell, could curb spending and investment, weighing on stocks. Market Momentum: The S&P 500’s 9% drop in the week ending April 8 and its decline during Powell’s speech signal bearish momentum. Technical weakness, with many stocks below their 200-day moving averages, suggests vulnerability. Potential for a Bounce (30%–40% Probability): Oversold conditions could trigger a technical rally toward 5,200–5,300, especially if trade policy fears ease (e.g., signals of negotiation) or softer economic data renews rate-cut hopes. However, Powell’s inflation focus limits upside, making a sustained rally unlikely. Key Levels: Support: 5,000 (psychological), 4,800–4,900, or 4,700 (Morgan Stanley’s target). Resistance: 5,200–5,300 (recent pre-sell-off levels). Catalysts to Watch: Q1 2025 GDP (due in ~2 weeks): Weak growth could deepen fears, while strong data might reinforce inflation concerns. Trade policy: Escalation (e.g., new tariffs) could drive further declines; de-escalation could spark a bounce. Inflation data (CPI, PCE) and consumer sentiment reports. Short-Term Verdict: Expect downward pressure toward 4,800–4,700, with a possible short-lived bounce to 5,200–5,300 if positive catalysts emerge. Monitor GDP, trade developments, and Fed commentary. Long-Term Prediction (Next 3–12 Months) Outlook: Cautiously Optimistic with Volatility (55%–60% Probability of Modest Gains) Prediction: Over the next 3–12 months, the S&P 500 is likely to experience volatility but could see modest gains, potentially reaching 5,500–5,800 (8%–14% above April 8’s 5,074.08 close) by mid-2026, assuming no severe economic downturn or trade war escalation. However, significant risks could cap gains or lead to stagnation/declines. Key Drivers Supporting Gains: Economic Resilience: Powell noted the U.S. economy remains “in a solid position,” with a balanced labor market (4.1% unemployment, 150,000 jobs added monthly) and positive consumer spending. If growth stabilizes (e.g., Q1 2025 slowdown proves temporary), corporate earnings could support higher valuations. Historical Trends: The S&P 500 often performs well in the second half of election years under a first-term president, with gains potentially extending into the following year. Seasonal strength could bolster markets if trade and inflation fears subside. Potential Fed Pivot: If inflation moderates toward 2% (e.g., due to weaker demand or resolved supply chain issues), the Fed could signal rate cuts by mid-2025, boosting equities. Markets historically rally when monetary policy eases. Corporate Adaptability: Companies may adjust to tariffs by diversifying supply chains or passing costs to consumers, mitigating earnings damage over time. Key Risks Capping or Reversing Gains: Persistent Inflation: If tariffs drive sustained inflation (Powell’s concern), the Fed may maintain or raise rates, squeezing valuations. Core PCE above 2.6% or rising CPI could trigger tighter policy. Trade War Escalation: A full-blown U.S.-China trade war or broader global trade disruptions could slow growth, hurt earnings, and push the S&P 500 toward bear market territory (e.g., 4,500 or lower). Economic Slowdown: If Q1 2025’s slowdown (weak GDP, souring sentiment) persists, consumer spending and corporate investment could falter, risking a recession. Morgan Stanley’s bearish scenario (4,700) could extend if growth weakens further. Geopolitical and Policy Uncertainty: Trump’s trade policies, combined with global risks (e.g., China’s response to chip restrictions), could keep volatility high, deterring investment. Key Scenarios: Bull Case (20%–25% Probability): Inflation moderates, trade tensions ease, and the Fed cuts rates by Q3 2025. The S&P 500 could rally to 5,800–6,000, driven by strong earnings and renewed optimism. Base Case (55%–60% Probability): Volatility persists, but growth stabilizes, and tariffs are partially mitigated. The S&P 500 grinds higher to 5,500–5,800, with periods of pullbacks. Bear Case (20%–25% Probability): Inflation spikes, trade wars escalate, or growth slows sharply, prompting tighter Fed policy or recession fears. The S&P 500 could fall to 4,500–4,700 or lower. Key Levels: Upside Targets: 5,500 (near recent highs), 5,800 (moderate growth scenario). Downside Risks: 4,700 (Morgan Stanley’s target), 4,500 (bear market threshold). Catalysts to Watch: Fed policy: FOMC meetings (e.g., May 6–7, 2025) and Powell’s comments on inflation vs. growth. Economic data: GDP, inflation (PCE, CPI), unemployment, and consumer confidence over Q2–Q3 2025. Trade policy: Resolution or escalation of U.S.-China tariffs and global trade dynamics. Earnings: Q1–Q2 2025 corporate earnings for signs of tariff impact or resilience. Long-Term Verdict: The S&P 500 is likely to see modest gains to 5,500–5,800 by mid-2026, driven by economic resilience and potential Fed easing, but volatility will persist due to tariff and inflation risks. A bearish outcome (4,500–4,700) is possible if trade wars or inflation worsen. Stay vigilant on Fed signals, trade policy, and economic indicators.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SnyperTA
1