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Beyond Technical Analysis

(jasmy) JASMYperhaps the numerical ideologies are not here, perhaps the theoretical possibility is not strong, perhaps the chance, rare, perhaps perhaps; what else can a person do other than wait and wonder and watch as the world storms to the top, only to crash all the way back down. What is learned is nothing other than the same redundant story about how to wait for the moment to jump from the top and be freed of the burden of care running off into the sunset never to worry about anyone left behind.
COINBASE:JASMYUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyBlot
1
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
Long
by syomking76418
Secure profits of SHORT Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily Chart Analysis - As of Feb 25, 2025 🔍 Chart Breakdown: BitcoinMF PRO Signals: Recent Long Signals: Several long signals were triggered, but the price has broken down from the previous uptrend. Recent Short Signals: The indicator has issued multiple short signals before the recent downtrend, indicating a bearish phase. Price Action & Trend Structure: Current Price: $88,339.9 (Bybit) High of the Day: $91,478.2 Low of the Day: $88,093.2 Change: -3.43% Trend Analysis: The price has broken below the mid-range of the channel, which previously acted as support. If this level doesn’t hold, BTC could continue downward. Linear Regression Channel & Trend Analysis: Bitcoin has broken below the mid-line of the regression channel, signaling potential downside continuation. The upper boundary of the channel (previous resistance) is around $111,900 - $118,800. The lower boundary is approximately $74,000, which could be tested if selling pressure increases. Fibonacci Levels & Support/Resistance: Key Resistance Levels: $95,100 (local resistance) $103,800 (major resistance) $111,900 (bullish breakout level) Key Support Levels: $86,800 (nearby support) $81,700 (critical support zone) $74,000 (historical major support) Volume Profile & Open Interest: The recent red candles are accompanied by an increase in volume, signaling strong selling pressure. If volume remains high on downward moves, BTC could continue dropping. Open Interest Check Needed: If OI is decreasing alongside the drop, it suggests weak long positions being liquidated. Bollinger Bands & Volatility: BTC broke below the middle Bollinger Band, signaling further downside risk. The lower Bollinger Band is expanding downward, which usually indicates volatility increasing to the downside. The upper Bollinger Band around $103,800 is acting as resistance. BitcoinMF PRO Take Profit Zones: Bearish Targets: $86,802 $81,768 $74,072 Bullish Targets (if trend reverses): $95,961 $103,894 $111,908 Since BTC is currently trading below the first bearish target, there is a high probability of hitting $81,700 next. Fisher Transform & Momentum Oscillator (Bottom Indicator): Fisher Transform is showing a bearish cross and is moving lower, which is bearish confirmation. The oscillator is approaching oversold conditions but not yet at extreme levels, meaning BTC could still drop further before a potential reversal. Bitcoin Dominance & Market Sentiment: If Bitcoin dominance is rising, it could signal capital moving into BTC from altcoins (potential bounce). If dominance is falling, it indicates altcoins are also experiencing heavy sell-offs, reinforcing a bearish BTC trend. Fear & Greed Index & Market Sentiment: Checking real-time Fear & Greed Index would be ideal to assess extreme fear or greed levels. If extreme fear is present, a bounce could follow. 🚀 Next Most Probable Move: Probability Scale (1-10) for Next Move: 7/10 Bearish There is a high probability BTC will test the $81,700 support if selling pressure continues. A relief bounce may occur, but resistance at $95,000-$96,000 is strong. The only bullish scenario would be a reclaim of $95,000+, which looks less likely short-term. 📌 Conclusion & Key Trading Plan ✔ Short-Term Outlook: Bearish unless BTC reclaims $95,000 ✔ Key Support to Watch: $81,700 - $74,000 ✔ Possible Rebound Levels: $95,000 - $103,800 📌 Final Recommendation: Short-Term Traders: Look for short opportunities on bounces toward $95K, targeting $81K. Long-Term Investors: Accumulation zones start at $81K, with major buys at $74K.
Long
by BitcoinMF
EURUSD Sell Trade Idea📉 EURUSD Sell Trade Idea 📉 Looking for a move lower as price tests resistance and starts rejecting. Targeting 1.0466 - 1.0462 for a potential drop. 🔹 Current Price: 1.0474 🔹 Target 1: 1.0466 🔹 Target 2: 1.0462 🔹 Deadline: Feb 25, 10:00 UTC This is the direction—now it’s up to you to implement your own strategy for entries. Stick to your plan and manage risk! 🔥 Drop your thoughts below! 👇🏼 #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradeSetup #MarketMoves #ForexStrategy
Short
by GlobalHorns
ARE WE REACHING THE 86k?Hello, The past analysis stops on February 20th (as shown by the white shaded rectungular) without explaing again all the price, volume and cycle action, what did i aspect in these past 5 days ? 1. after the liquidity recover and fakeout on 18th, i aspected a solid laterla position back in the 95-98K range, to confirm the fakeout. 2. a uptrend into the range (becasue otherwise the fakeout would have been a breakout) and then : 2a. bullish case : a strong breakout, namely BOS, with probabile drawdown and further break of 100K level, to confirm a change in trrend structure 2b. bearish case : a liquidity recovery until the 98K range, failing to break the 100K and downtrend back to the 95-98K range 3 . in the bullish case: a probable recovery until 102-105K, drawdown and next uptrend. in a bearish case main target were a. 92K support a b. 0.5 ineffency level left from start of february c. 89K level from a downtrend spike on jan 13th. What's the rational behind, these targets. The uptrend of btc, and aalong with the total market cap, i will say the uptrend of the cryptomarket, is efivent in the long-term. The monthly trendline are stable and persistent. The question is when ? Considering that, even in a bullish phase, these level and liquidity, left behind, will be taken, soon or after. Thus, recover sooner will help the future bullish movement to be more consistent and solid, ratehr than a scenario of liquidity void and high spikes, where can indicates bubbles or uncertainity in patterns and volumes. Reality meet expectations ? since im not god and good (yet), i always trade keeping in consideration different aspect ratehr than just price actions, volumes, cycles, fundaments.. etc. As well, both scenario must be consider and searching for confirmation has been the most efficient approach. 1. the sharp uptrend within the range, could give signal of a breakout but should have been confirmed by a BOS, which didn't occur. 2. The lil ranging above 98K, along with the candlestick pattern, led to understand a NON-breakout (doubletop without wicks tends to indicate a change in trend), confirmed by a strong trend reversal. right after. 3. The return below the 92K is the confirmation for the bearish case, and for setting a short position, at least until 95K. 4. at 95K there is a situation common in the recent low tf btc development, cupshape. Small range inbetween 95-96K and new dpwn trend. 5. the last range to be broken for a huge confrimation is the past fakleouts one, around 94K. breaking two range : the 96K keept for almost the wholoe february and 94K, arise from November, will be a trong indicator of a next bearish phase. Summrized BTC is going closer to a long-time-expected level, namely 88-86K. A Another range is waiting below this latter but, too soon to say. The liquidation, Open interest and volumes shows this new target as a new consolidation levl before juping tot he starts again. Here few fundamentals considerations, such as politics and institutional updats, must be taken into account to better understand why we drop, but from a technical point of view, this is a good sign for the healthyness and solidity of the market. And remember, a drawdown is just a possibility for a new or better entrance ; what's now? Next analysis on the profile .
by itsmcasalinii
BITCOIN Drops Below Major Support - Is $93,000 the Next Target?COINBASE:BTCUSD has decisively broken below a key support level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The recent price action shows a rejection at this broken support, now acting as resistance, indicating that sellers are regaining control. This rejection reinforces the bearish outlook, as failed attempts to reclaim the level suggest continued downside pressure. If bearish momentum persists, BTC could extend its decline toward the $93,000 support zone, a key level where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a sustained move back above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling a potential shift in momentum. In this scenario, buyers could regain strength, possibly driving the price higher and negating the bearish bias. Traders should remain cautious and monitor price action around these key levels to confirm directional bias before committing to a position. Risk management remains essential, given the volatility of BTC/USD.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TrendDiva
14
Timing the Markets with Consumer SentimentBusinesses and producers around the world always cheer when U.S. consumer sentiment is in the 80 to 100 zone, as U.S. consumers play a big part in the global economic ecosystem. The United States remains the largest consumer market in the world, but since the pandemic, this index has not recovered above the 80 level. Does it mean that, there is a risks economy to enter into a recession? How can we use this index to time our investments and trades? E-mini Russell Futures Ticker: RTY Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Russell Futures Ticker: M2K Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Trading competition: www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
FRED:UMCSENTShort
by konhow
4
EuroStoxx50:Pulse of Europe Under Schnabel's Magnifying GlassBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades The EuroStoxx50 index, which brings together the 50 largest companies in the euro zone, is today at the epicenter of financial attention. In an environment marked by uncertainty and transformation, the appearance of European Central Bank (ECB) member Isabel Schnabel stands as one of the key events of the day, as her comments on monetary policy could determine the direction of the market. What follows is an analysis of how these factors intertwine and affect European equities. Isabel Schnabel's speech is particularly relevant for investors, as any hint on the future of interest rates can generate significant movements in the EuroStoxx50. The expectation is whether the ECB will lean toward tightening policy or remain cautious in the face of a complex economic outlook. Schnabel's response will be interpreted as a barometer for adjusting investment strategies across the region. In parallel, the performance of the EuroStoxx50 acts as a reflection of European corporate performance. The companies that make up this index cover sectors that are crucial to the eurozone economy, and their financial results are an indication of the resilience of the corporate fabric in the face of global challenges and changes in monetary policy. In this sense, the index not only summarizes the performance of large caps, but also synthesizes investor sentiment in a highly volatile environment. Finally, European equities are directly affected by this changing scenario. With expectations about the ECB and fluctuations in corporate earnings, movements in the valuations of companies reflected in the EuroStoxx50 become more pronounced. Investors, attentive to the signals coming from both Schnabel's appearance and the evolution of economic indicators, will need to carefully weigh the impact on their portfolios to seize opportunities and manage risks in this dynamic European landscape. Technical Analysis Putting the magnifying glass on the chart we can see that since February 4th there has been a bullish breakout over its long term channel after piercing the 5,150 points touching highs at 5,544 points. The correction since February 19 seems to be reflecting a healthy corrective move which coincides with the RSI partially reducing the overbought level to 63.25% from 81.43% the other day. This week's political results in Germany may have been part of the key to this correction. These moves currently position the index in a very wide range uptrend. The middle of the range is around 5350 points. This value can be used as a pivot point to continue its ascent. If it does not hold this price zone, it could fall towards the 5,035 points being its previous support. It should be noted that the control point (POC) is located in the area of 4,900 points. In short, today the EuroStoxx50 is the thermometer of the European market. Isabel Schnabel's appearance promises to offer valuable clues about the future of monetary policy, while the index's response and stock performance will reflect how companies are adapting to an ever-changing environment. This is a crucial day for those who wish to understand the pulse of the Eurozone economy and adjust their investment strategies accordingly. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:EURO50
by ActivTrades
$XRP Ripple Breakdown to $2.00 LikelyIn this video, I analyze CRYPTO:XRPUSD 's current price action and explain why I expect it to continue moving lower. After closely examining the chart, I now have greater confidence that CRYPTO:XRPUSD is headed toward at least $2.00, possibly lower. The price is losing support within a key channel and appears to be failing a retest after a breakout without much momentum. There’s no significant support holding it up right now, meaning a further drop is the most likely scenario. Several technical factors—including trendlines, moving averages, and liquidity positioning—align with this expectation. Key Market Observations & Trade Setup 🔹 Why a Drop is Likely Price is breaking below key support, suggesting continuation downward. No structural support underneath the current level, making a drop to at least $2.00 likely. The broader market, including Bitcoin, is showing weakness, reinforcing this move. 🔹 Target Zones & Expected Movement $2.00 is a key level, but price could go lower. Trendlines and moving averages below indicate further downside potential. No immediate signs of reversal—the market is likely to keep declining in the short term. 🔹 Trading Considerations & Risk Management Holding here is risky—waiting for confirmation of a bounce is critical before considering entries. There’s no real support keeping price afloat, so traders should plan accordingly. This move aligns with previous technical expectations, confirming that further downside is not unexpected. Final Thoughts COINBASE:XRPUSD is falling as expected, and based on the chart, a move toward $2.00 or lower seems highly probable. There’s nothing holding price up right now, and broader market conditions support this outlook. And apologies if I sound a little slow and for the little pauses, I'm still going on no sleep and the entire time I was speaking I was just trying to compartmentalize my frustration with the terrible lag which I'm experiencing trying to move the mouse around on the screen...
COINBASE:XRPUSDShort
by Hollywood260AB
USTEC index- A tradeable high probabilty setup formingHello, USTEC, also known as the US Tech 100 or NASDAQ 100, is a widely traded stock index in the forex market. It tracks the performance of the top 100 non-financial technology-driven companies listed on the NASDAQ exchange, including major players from sectors such as information technology, healthcare, consumer discretionary, and telecommunications. Currently, the index is in a corrective phase, setting up a high-probability buying opportunity. From a technical standpoint, we anticipate USTEC will approach the moving average, aligning with the lower boundary of the corrective pattern. Once this level is reached, we will seek confirmation through the MACD zero crossover—a strong bullish signal indicating an optimal entry for a move back to the top. Additionally, upcoming tariff policies in the US could act as a catalyst, pushing prices toward our ideal entry zone. You can access this CFD index using Tradenation or any other brokers that integrate with TradingView. www.tradingview.com
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by thesharkke
Bitcoin Crash Incoming? Price Target Set at $71,200!The newly developed accumulation detection indicator currently shows a significant accumulation at the peak of Bitcoin, with a width of 20.9%. Typically, when such accumulations break out, the price tends to move in the breakout direction by an amount equal to the accumulation width, i.e., 20.9%. A breakout is confirmed when the closing price of a bar falls outside one of the accumulation boundaries. I believe that the closing price is more likely to occur beyond the lower boundary of the accumulation, which would indicate a prolonged downward movement of 20.9% from the lower boundary. This corresponds to a target of approximately $71,200. This indicator is optimized for use on the daily Bitcoin chart, and historical data suggests that breakout targets are met with high accuracy—unless a subsequent range forms immediately after the previous one. Wishing you success in your trading!
Short
by Smollet
NVDA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26, 202📌 Key Observations from the Charts 1. Market Structure & Price Action: * NVDA recently broke down from 141-143, currently consolidating around 135.01. * Support Levels: * 134.27 (current price zone, short-term support). * 129.08 (major support & put wall zone). * 123-120 (critical gamma zone, could see acceleration if breached). * Resistance Levels: * 136.84 (POC, first resistance). * 141.46 (VAH & key rejection level). * If NVDA loses 129, expect a sharper decline to 123-120. 2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels: * Point of Control (POC): 136.84 → Key resistance level that needs to be reclaimed for upside. * Value Area High (VAH): 141.46 → Major resistance zone. * Value Area Low (VAL): 134.27 → Must hold for buyers to prevent further decline. 3. Indicators Review: * MACD: Bearish, downward momentum is still present. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold, but no confirmation of a reversal yet. 🛠️ Options GEX Analysis * Call Resistance: * 145-150 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls. * Put Walls & Support Zones: * 129 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support. * 120-118 → Strong Put Wall—if broken, NVDA could drop significantly. * Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx): * IVR 51.9 | IVx Avg 79.4 → Higher volatility, larger price swings expected. * Call Positioning 23.7% → Weak bullish positioning, suggesting more downside risk. 📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup) 🔹 Entry: Short below 134 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 129.08 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 120-118 (Put Wall Breakdown Level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 138 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy: * Buy PUTS 135/125 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms. * Debit Put Spread (Bearish 135P/120P for risk control). 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely) 🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 138-141, targeting 145+.
🔹 Target 1: 141.46 (POC, first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 145.00 (major resistance).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 134 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy: * Sell 120/115 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play. 🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions * Main Bias: Bearish, unless 138+ is reclaimed. * Gamma Risks: Below 129, strong gamma exposure can push NVDA lower quickly. * Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
5