Bitcoin May Break Higher if $108K Clears📊 Market:
BTC trades around $106,860, driven by strong ETF inflows and weaker USD ahead of Fed rate decisions.
📉 Technical:
• Resistance: $107,400–108,000 → breakout may target $110,000+
• Support: $106,500–106,800 → next at $105,500
• EMA: Price above EMA9 → short-term uptrend
• Momentum: RSI > 80, Stoch high → upside potential but overbought
📌 Outlook:
BTC could rise if $108K breaks. If not, expect a pullback to $106,800.
💡 Trade Setup:
🔺 BUY BTC/USD: $107,000–107,200
🎯 TP: 1000–2000 pts
❌ SL: $106,500
🔻 SELL BTC/USD: $108,000–108,200
🎯 TP: $106,800–107,000
❌ SL: $108,500
Beyond Technical Analysis
Is Japan's Economic Future at a Tariff Crossroads?The Nikkei 225, Japan's benchmark stock index, stands at a critical juncture, facing significant pressure from potential US tariffs of up to 35% on Japanese imports. This assertive stance by US President Donald Trump has already triggered a notable decline in Japanese equities, with the Nikkei 225 experiencing a 1.1% drop and the broader Topix Index falling 0.6% on Wednesday, marking consecutive days of losses. This immediate market reaction, characterized by a broad-based selloff across all sectors, underscores profound investor concern and a pre-emptive pricing-in of negative outcomes, particularly for the highly vulnerable automotive and agricultural sectors.
The looming July 9 deadline for a trade agreement is pivotal, with President Trump explicitly stating his intention not to extend the current tariff pause. These proposed tariffs would far exceed previous rates, adding substantial financial burdens to industries already facing existing levies. Japan's economy, already struggling with a recent contraction in GDP and persistent declines in real wages, is particularly susceptible to such external shocks. This pre-existing economic fragility implies that the tariffs could amplify existing weaknesses, pushing the nation closer to recession and intensifying domestic discontent.
Beyond immediate trade concerns, Washington appears to be leveraging the tariff threat to compel allies like Japan to increase military spending, aiming for 5% of GDP amidst rising geopolitical tensions. This demand strains the "ironclad" US-Japan military alliance, as evidenced by diplomatic setbacks and Japan's internal political challenges in meeting such ambitious defense targets. The unpredictable nature of US trade policy, coupled with these geopolitical undercurrents, creates a complex environment where Japan's economic stability and strategic autonomy are simultaneously challenged, necessitating significant strategic adjustments in its international relationships.
Bearish continuationI am expecting price to continue lower from here for the short term. Since we have already mitigated the HTF bullish continuation demand zone this is a medium probability setup. Often this types of setup works best when applied with the LTF confirmation. Also there is a strong spike after the mitigation of daily demand zone so that is a good indication of big money buying pressure.
Weekly Uptrend, Daily Uptrend, H4 Uptrend - It's a BUY????All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
Euro Dollar, institutions are still bullish ($1.20 this summer?)There's one constant on the floating exchange market (Forex) this year, the US dollar is by far the weakest currency. It's the same scenario as the first months of Donald Trump's first term in office in 2017 repeating itself. The US President's stated aim is to give US exporters a competitive exchange rate.
The Euro exchange rate is also being supported higher by a combination of fundamental factors, notably a relative catch-up of European assets against US stock market assets. It is the sum of these fundamentals that is enabling a well-constructed uptrend in the EUR/USD rate on FX this year 2025. A new monthly technical close was recorded on the evening of Monday June 30, and with technical resistances breached, it looks as if the euro-dollar rate is on course to reach $1.20 this summer.
1) A new monthly technical close (June technical close) continues to support the euro-dollar's annual uptrend
The June technical close has been in place for the euro-dollar since the start of the week, providing further bullish chart confirmation. The euro-dollar price has confirmed that it has broken through a descending resistance line in place since the 2008 financial crisis. The price is converging with its momentum (represented here by the RSI and LMACD technical indicators) and the next natural technical target lies at $1.20. This is a technical target for the summer, bearing in mind that in the short term, a move back towards support at $1.15 and $1.17 remains possible.
The chart below shows monthly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, with the Ichimoku, RSI and LMACD technical indicators
2) Institutional traders are still bullish on the euro-dollar rate, according to the CFTC's COT report
What's most interesting about the overall analytical approach is the convergence between technical analysis signals and institutional positioning signals on the EUR/USD rate.
According to the CFTC's COT (Commitment Of Traders) report, institutional traders (hedge funds + asset managers) became net buyers of the euro dollar at the start of 2025, and weekly updates of this positioning data show that their buying exposure is increasing as the EUR/USD price rises. This bullish convergence between chartism and institutional investor positioning lends credibility to a scenario that would see the euro dollar reach resistance at $1.20 this summer. This market view would be invalidated if support at $1.14 were broken.
The two charts below show institutional traders' positions on Euro Dollar futures. Institutional traders were predominantly bullish at the start of the year, and month after month, they are increasing their buying exposure.
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Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 2nd July 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Notes:
- Strong bullish closure on daily
-Looking continuation buy
after a solid pullback
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
EMA SystemThe system of Moving Averages I started out using is the 9-21-50 SMA. I would use the Fast EMA as a trailing stop loss and only trade long when it's above the 50 SMA. The 21 SMA is often a zone where price can bounce back.
12-21 EMA—EMA of EMA can work as well. So can 50-200 SMA or EMA of EMA for telling the larger trend if you want to enter an Option, then trading against it can be fatal.
SHORT AUS200/ASX200 - TIME TO SHORT THE AUSSIETeam, over the last few days, we have been successfully SHORT BOTH UK100/AUS200, but I did not post the chart
Today is a good time to post.
Ensure you understand your RISK - can always discuss with us in the room
Let's SHORT UK100/FTSE100, I still expect the market to be volatile even though the US expect a rate cut. on the 9th JULY, there will be a tariff announcement, and it could also extend towards September
We are SHORTING AUS200 at 8586 toward 8616 - SLOWLY
with target at 8562-47
DOUBLE THE SHORT AT 8632-56
Target at 8608-8592
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bias for July 2Yesterday, price broke above the key H4 Lower High zone (3348–3350) with strong bullish momentum.
This breakout suggests a possible shift in the higher timeframe structure — indicating that the market may now be building toward a larger uptrend.
But we don’t chase breakouts — we prepare for the pullback phase .
🔍 What to Watch:
At present, M15 remains in a clean uptrend , fully in sync with the new H4 structure.
This multi-timeframe alignment gives us a clear bullish bias — but not an entry by itself.
We now need to see how price develops the pullback.
The best trades come when structure retraces with clarity — and confirms before continuation.
📍 Key M15 Level to Track:
• 3302 – Current M15 Higher Low
→ If this level holds, we may see a continuation of the uptrend from here.
→ If it breaks, the next potential reversal zone is around 3290 , where demand may reappear.
🎯 Execution Plan:
The trend is now clearly bullish across HTF and LTF.
We will only look for long setups , and only where structure confirms — either at the current HL or at deeper demand zones.
No confirmation = No trade.
No alignment = No edge.
Let price come to you. Our job is not to anticipate, but to align.
📖 From the Mirror Philosophy:
“In trend-following, the edge lies in waiting — not in chasing.
The market will reflect your patience back at you.”
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
UK100/FTSE100 - TIME TO SEND UK100 TO RECESSIONTeam, we are setting two strategies to the SHORT UK100/FTSE100
Ensure you understand your RISK - can always discuss with us in the room
Let's SHORT UK100/FTSE100, I still expect the market to be volatile even though the US expect a rate cut. on the 9th JULY, there will be a tariff announcement, and it could also extend towards September
We are SHORTING UK100 at 8789 toward 8816
Target at 8762-8745
I will DOUBLE the short at 8836-8862
Target at 8816-8805
SPY Stuck at Gamma Ceiling! Will Bulls Break 619 or Get Rejected Again? 🎯
🔍 GEX Option Flow Outlook
SPY is grinding right under the heavy call wall at 619, which aligns with the highest NET GEX resistance zone. The flow is dominated by calls, and GEX is flashing 4 green dots, meaning dealer hedging could drive price higher if 619 breaks cleanly.
* GEX Resistance Wall:
* 🔹 $619–$620 = stacked resistance (Call Wall + GEX7 + GEX8 + GEX9)
* 🚫 Historically acts like a magnet & rejection zone
* GEX Support Wall:
* 🔸 $614 = HVL support (strong bounce zone for 0DTE plays)
* 🔻 $610–$608 = Put Wall danger zone
💡 Based on the current GEX map, if bulls can break above 619 with volume, the path to 623 opens. But failure to do so likely triggers a pullback to 614.
🧠 Smart Money Price Action (1H Chart)
SPY remains in a bullish rising channel, printing higher lows. However, price is stuck inside a CHoCH zone (consolidation under resistance) right under the 619 level.
* BOS from June 27 confirms structure shift
* CHoCH zone holding short-term price action
* 📦 Demand zone: 615–614 → where bulls stepped in before
* Volume dropping = market waiting for catalyst
🎯 Trade Setups:
📈 Bullish Breakout Plan:
* Trigger: Above 619.50 with momentum
* Target: 621 → 623
* Stop: Below 617.50
* Trade Idea: Buy 620C or 622C (0DTE/1DTE) for a quick breakout scalp
📉 Bearish Rejection Plan:
* Trigger: Rejection below 619 with spike in volume
* Target: 614 → 610
* Stop: Above 620
* Trade Idea: Buy 615P or 612P (1–2 DTE) on failed breakout
🧠 My Take:
SPY is at a critical pressure point. If dealers are forced to hedge more delta due to call buying, we could see a breakout. But the Gamma Wall at 619 is real — bulls must break it with force or risk another fade.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always manage your risk. 🎯
Better MACDWhat is the MACD?
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a momentum and trend-following indicator. It’s based on the difference between two EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) and helps spot:
Trend direction
Momentum shifts
Reversals
Entry/exit points
✅ Basic MACD Techniques
1. Signal Line Crossovers
Bullish Crossover: MACD line crosses above Signal → buy signal
Bearish Crossover: MACD line crosses below Signal → sell signal
🔸 Works best in trending environments, 200 SMA as a filter.
🔸 Combine with volume or trend filters for best results
2. Zero Line Crossovers
When MACD crosses above 0, the shorter EMA is above the longer EMA → bullish. This is typically the sign of a larger trend than crossovers.
When MACD crosses below 0, shorter EMA is below → bearish
🔸 Zero line = baseline momentum direction
🔸 Cross above = bullish trend confirmation
🔸 Cross below = bearish confirmation
3. Histogram Momentum
The histogram is often the first sign of a shift before a crossover happens.
Read it like this:
Histogram growing: Increasing momentum in that direction
Histogram shrinking: Momentum is fading
Histogram changing color (in many indicators): Potential reversal
🔸 Use histograms to get early signals, even before crossovers. Confirmed with volume surge and Price Action.
🔍 Advanced MACD Tricks
📉 4. Divergence Detection
Divergence occurs when price and MACD move in opposite directions.
🔸 Bullish Divergence:
Price makes lower lows
MACD makes higher lows
→ Hidden buying pressure, trend reversal likely
🔸 Bearish Divergence:
Price makes higher highs
MACD makes lower highs
→ Trend weakening, reversal likely
🔹 Confirm with:
RSI, when the lower timeframe RSI is oversold and the higher timeframe MACD is rising, then it's a good sign, and the opposite is true for bears.
Support/resistance zone: draw trendlines either on the volume or price and watch out for retests on the breakout.
Candlestick reversal patterns: some bearish patterns are bullish on indexes because of dollar cost averaging.
GOOGL Option Flow Suggests Opportunity Ahead 🧠 GEX Sentiment Breakdown (Options Insights):
From the GEX data:
* GEX is green with 3 bullish signals ✅
* Call flow dominance at 21.3%, showing stronger bullish participation
* IVR: 37.1 — implying slightly elevated premium conditions, which benefits directional plays
* Key Levels:
* $180 → Major Call Wall (profit-taking & resistance)
* $177.5 → 3rd Call Wall (possible stall zone)
* $175 → 2nd Call Wall, currently being tested
* $172.5 → HVL + GEX Support, critical for bulls to defend
* $170 → Next GEX flip zone
💡 Trade Bias from GEX:
→ BUY CALLS if price reclaims and holds above $175 with momentum
→ Avoid CALLS if it rejects $175 and drops under $172.5 — at that point, PUTs become viable
📉 1H Price Action (Intraday Game Plan):
Based on the second chart:
* GOOGL is consolidating just below a recent CHoCH zone (change of character), forming a tight range under a bearish breaker block at $176–$178
* Trendline from June breakout was broken and is now acting as dynamic resistance
* If $175.80–176.20 gets rejected again, we may see a move down to test $172.50 or deeper into demand zone near $170–$168
📊 Intraday Setup Ideas:
🔼 Bullish Setup (CALLS):
* Entry: Above $176.20 with strong volume
* Target: $178 → $180 (Gamma Wall & resistance)
* Stop: Below $174.80
* Best if IV stays stable and GEX remains bullish
🔽 Bearish Setup (PUTS):
* Entry: Rejection at $176 → enter short or PUTs below $174.50
* Target: $172.35 → $170
* Stop: Above $176.50
* Confirmation if GEX flips or if IV spikes and GEX green dots disappear
🎯 My Thoughts:
This is a tricky zone. GOOGL is sandwiched between resistance at $176 and support at $172.5. GEX flow supports buying CALLs on strength, but price needs to break above $176 to make that valid. Watch for any gap open or strong push with volume for confirmation. If the market stays weak, don’t chase CALLs blindly — the safer play is fading into $170.
Disclaimer:
This breakdown is for educational use only — not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, manage position sizing, and stay disciplined.
MSFT at a Key Spot–Rejection or Rebound? Here’s the Trade SetupGEX-Based Option Outlook:
The GEX chart reveals strong support around 487.5, with the highest positive NetGEX zone at 491.5. This is the “Gamma Wall” — market makers likely defending this level. Below that, heavy PUT support is stacked around 485, signaling hedging flow that could act as a floor. IVR is sitting at 21.5, and the PUT% is 3.2%, suggesting relatively cautious sentiment.
→ Call buyers can consider 495C or 500C for a bounce if MSFT holds this zone — ideally for a short-dated scalp if 492.5 reclaims and confirms.
Price Action (1H) Intraday Analysis:
MSFT sold off into a key SMC demand zone, now stabilizing inside the green OB box just above 487.5. We saw a CHoCH (Change of Character) and Break of Structure confirming weakness, but the last candles suggest deceleration in selling.
There’s also a previous supply zone at 497–500 which is likely to reject price on the first retest. A lower high could print there if bulls step in early.
Trade Ideas:
Scenario 1 – Long (Reclaim and Bounce):
* Entry: Above 492.5
* Target: 497 → 500
* Stop: Below 487.5
* Reason: Reclaim of key GEX resistance + bounce from demand zone + volume tapering on dip
Scenario 2 – Short (Rejection):
* Entry: Near 497–500 if tapped fast
* Target: 487.5 → 485
* Stop: Above 501
* Reason: GEX call wall + previous SMC BOS zone + weak structure on pop
Thoughts:
MSFT looks weak on momentum, but it’s sitting on a gamma and SMC confluence zone. If bulls are going to defend this, they need to do it early tomorrow. Watch volume — low-volume grind higher is ideal for a long scalp. Otherwise, fade any pop near 500.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and manage your risk.
AAPL Gamma Says Buy the Dip! Smart Money Prepping a Move?🧠 GEX Options Insight
Apple is sitting right above the highest positive GEX and gamma support zone at $208–210, backed by strong CALL walls and net positive gamma flows.
* Call walls stacked at 208, 210, and 212.5 – strong signs of bullish pressure.
* Positive NETGEX reinforces 208–210 as a potential bounce zone.
* IVR low at 25.1 suggests cheap options – favoring long CALL entries here.
👉 Trade idea (option strategy):
Buy $210 CALLs for this week or next week, targeting a breakout above 212.5. Risk is minimal if price holds above 205.
📊 Intraday Trading Setup (1H Price Action)
From the second image, we can see AAPL just completed a ChoCH (Change of Character) and is consolidating right above the last BOS (Break of Structure).
* Holding a bullish order block (OB) just under 209.
* Formed a tight consolidation under the 212.5 resistance.
* Momentum still bullish, volume cooling off (healthy).
🧠 My Thoughts
Price is respecting the 208.92–209 zone as a base, with a low-volume pullback. If the market holds, this is a textbook bullish continuation. Keep an eye on:
* Break and hold above 210 → targets 212.5, 215.78
* Break below 208.5 with volume → invalidate, possible dip to 205 or 202.5
✅ Action Plan
* CALL Entry: 208.5–209 zone
* Targets: 212.5, 215.8
* Stop: Below 205
* Confirmation: Break OB + candle close above 210
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
PLTR Looks Ready for a ReboundPLTR Looks Ready for a Rebound — Gamma & SMC Say Watch This Level 👀
GEX Insight: Why Calls Might Be the Move
Looking at the options sentiment chart, we’re sitting on top of the strongest PUT support wall at 130, which lines up with the highest negative NET GEX. This area often marks a pivot or bounce zone. IVR is elevated at 24.8, and while IVX is still higher, GEX is flipping cautiously bullish with GEX 🔴🟢🟢.
💡 If buyers defend this 130 GEX pivot, the flow could shift bullish fast. Smart traders might consider grabbing short-term CALLS around 130 targeting the gap fill toward 137 or even 140 if momentum builds. But if 130 breaks and stays below, PUTS open up down to 127–125 range.
Price Action & SMC Setup
On the 1H chart, structure confirms a bearish BOS after a CHoCH, but price is now stalling at the lower channel and OB box. That green reaction block is the first test of demand in days — if price reclaims above 132.50, expect liquidity to drive back toward 135–137.
Trendline resistance is steep, but any break and hold over 137 could confirm a new bullish CHoCH. That gives us two key zones to watch.
Intraday Trade Plan (Tuesday July 2)
Bullish Scenario
* Entry: Near 130.50–131.00 (call buyers step in on support reclaim)
* Trigger: Break and hold over 132.50
* Target 1: 135
* Target 2: 137–138
* Stop: Below 129.50 (invalidates support)
Bearish Scenario
* Entry: Rejection at 132.00–132.50 or break below 130
* Target 1: 127
* Target 2: 125 (gamma wall zone)
* Stop: Above 133.00 (invalidates the bearish push)
My Thoughts
This is a bounce-or-break zone. If bulls can hold this GEX floor at 130 and reclaim structure on the 1H, we might see a quick short-covering rally. But failure here and PLTR will likely slide down to the next GEX support.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just a trader’s opinion based on GEX and price action. Always manage risk and trade smart.
NVDA Buyers Getting Squeezed? What Gamma & Price Action Say NextGEX-Based Options Insight (Gamma Exposure):
📉 NVDA is currently sitting at $152.54, just above a key PUT wall at $150, with GEX sentiment tilted bearish short-term.
* Highest Call Resistance / Gamma Wall: $160
This is the level with the strongest net positive GEX, acting as a cap where market makers may short against CALLs.
* 2nd Call Wall: $158 – Heavy positioning here, could slow price if it bounces.
* PUT Support: $150 – Strong gamma magnet; price may hover or bounce near this.
* IVR: 8.6 (low) – Options are relatively cheap.
* CALLs Flow: 2.6% bias – Weak call flow, favors downside or range behavior.
💡 Options Trade Suggestion:
Because NVDA is under the gamma wall and just above strong PUT walls, consider buying a debit PUT spread, especially if $152.50 breaks.
* Setup: Buy 155P, Sell 150P expiring this Friday
* Risk: Defined
* Reward: Targets $150 zone (gamma magnet)
* Only valid below $152.50 breakdown
1H Price Action + SMC Trade Plan (Chart 2):
🟣 Structure Breakdown Confirmed – NVDA lost its rising structure and broke BOS + CHoCH zones near $157–158.
📉 Current Bias: Bearish
Multiple break-of-structure (BOS) and change-of-character (CHoCH) events suggest a shift to downtrend.
🟩 Possible Short Entry Zone:
* Price could retest the last order block around $155–156 for a lower high before dropping.
📍 Short Trade Idea:
* Entry: Around $154.80–$155.50 (if price retests)
* Stop: Above $157.99 (previous high)
* Target: $150 (1st TP), $147.50 (2nd TP, PUT wall)
📍 Alternative Scenario (invalidates the short):
If price reclaims $158 with strength, we could get a squeeze toward the $160 gamma wall.
Conclusion & Plan:
Right now, NVDA is in a short-term downtrend, aligning with bearish GEX flow. Option sentiment, volume, and structure all favor selling bounces into $155–157 with $150 as magnet. But don’t short blindly—watch if price retests OB and rejects. Use PUT debit spreads or simple 1 DTE options with tight stops.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
AMZN Is Coiling Up for a Gamma Push — Don’t Sleep on This Zone🔍 GEX Outlook & Option Bias:
Amazon (AMZN) is sitting right at the heart of a bullish Gamma setup. The 220–225 zone is where the action is:
* Highest Net Positive GEX sits at 225 — major gamma magnet and potential squeeze target.
* 49.56% Call Wall at 222.5 confirms call-dominant sentiment.
* IVR at 27.4 and IVX avg 32.9 show room for expansion.
* Call dollar flow is 58%, signaling buyers are still active.
📌 GEX Implication: Price above 217.5 opens door for a push into 222.5 → 225. This is a clean Call Entry Zone for 0DTE or 2DTE scalpers looking for quick momentum moves into gamma walls.
📈 TradingView Chart Analysis (1H):
From the second chart:
* AMZN broke bullish structure last week and is now consolidating after the CHoCH near 218.
* The price is respecting the uptrend channel and sitting just above the midline support.
* Volume is steady and bullish OBs below offer strong bounce potential.
🟢 Trading Idea:
Call Setup (if price stays above 219.4):
* 🎯 Entry: 220–221
* 🎯 Target: 222.5 → 225
* 🛑 Stop: 217.5 (below bullish OB & PUT support)
Put Setup (if price loses 217.5 with volume spike):
* 🚨 Entry: below 217.5
* 🚨 Target: 216.7 → 212
* 🛑 Stop: 220.3
🎯 Bias & Final Thought:
Market wants to test 222.5 and possibly gamma squeeze to 225 if buyers step up. If it fails to hold 219.4, fade it down into the lower OB zone around 212.
Watch volume at support — low volume means a trap; high volume confirms real move.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
TSLA at the Edge of Breakdown? Here’s the Options PlayGEX-Based Option Strategy Insight:
TSLA’s GEX landscape reveals heavy negative Gamma Exposure lurking below $305. That’s a red flag — dealers are likely to short more as price falls, amplifying downside. The highest negative NET GEX zone sits around $310–315, right near the current price, indicating a major PUT support zone — if broken, could trigger a volatility spike.
* PUT Walls: Stack up at $310, $300, $295, with max pain potential down to $285–290.
* Call Walls: Far above at $325/337.5/340 — little gamma resistance above, but TSLA would need a strong reversal to challenge those.
📌 Options Sentiment:
* IVR is 29.7 (lowish), IVx avg is 72.3 → options pricing isn’t cheap anymore.
* Calls 44.3% vs Puts 55.7% → leaning bearish.
* GEX suggests downside acceleration under $300.
➡️ Trade Idea (GEX View):
If $300 fails, consider buying 295 or 290 PUTs (weekly or next week expiry).
Target $285–290 zone for exit.
Above $310 = exit.
1-Hour Chart Technical Setup (2nd image):
TSLA has been in a clear downtrend, marked by:
* Break of Structure (BOS) followed by lower lows.
* Price is hovering inside a potential accumulation zone, but has shown no bullish confirmation yet.
* Volume is weak, and we are still sitting under a steep downtrend resistance line.
📉 Bearish Play:
* Break below $300 = confirmation of continuation.
* Entry: $299.50–300.00
* Target: $293.21 > $290 > $285
* Stop: Close above $305 (tight).
📈 Bullish Risk:
* Only valid if price breaks $310 and flips the BOS area at $317.
* This could trigger a squeeze toward $320/325, but that’s lower probability for now.
Final Thoughts:
Until we reclaim $310+, TSLA leans heavy. GEX confirms dealer pressure below $300. Use tight stops and don’t chase — volatility will increase fast on a breakdown.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always confirm your thesis.
GBP_CAD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made a
Retest and a rebound from the
Horizontal support of 1.8675
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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LULU – Compression Complete? Reversal in Progress | WaverVanir PTicker: NASDAQ:LULU
Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
Posted by: WaverVanir International LLC | VolanX DSS Framework
🧠 Technical Thesis:
LULU is showing signs of a potential macro reversal after a sharp capitulation and retest of key demand (~$235–240). The double-bottom formation and absorption at prior support suggest smart money accumulation.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: $237–245
Target 1: $310 (Risk:Reward ~2.5R)
Target 2: $385
Target 3: $460+ (ATH retest zone)
Invalidation: Daily close below $228 (breakdown continuation)
🧭 DSS Confluence (VolanX Modules):
✅ Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Displacement followed by BOS (Break of Structure)
✅ Volume Profile: Major acceptance above $240
✅ Fibonacci Cluster: 0.618 retrace aligns with breakout targets
⚠️ Earnings Watch: Next ER marked – high volatility expected
📊 Probability Estimate:
Reversal/Breakout (Long Bias): 72%
Chop/Retest: 18%
Breakdown Continuation: 10%
📎 Macro Context:
With consumer discretionary stabilizing and earnings revisions improving, LULU may benefit from a re-rating cycle, particularly if macro tailwinds (Fed cuts, soft landing) persist through Q3–Q4 2025.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This post is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. WaverVanir International LLC is not liable for any trading decisions based on this content. Always do your own research.
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