ARE THE BEARS TIRED? (EARTHTRADER ANALYSIS)There's a lot of confusion in the market currently, so many questions are being asked and a handful of thoughts are being relayed, but the real question here is; ARE THE BEARS TIRED? At the moment? No! After the sweep on liquidity we saw SHIB contract going all the way to the point of inefficiency/imbalance, and the point is being overlapped by a bearish order block which denotes that they could be a potential silver bullet lying just at that point. If all protocols are to be respected we should see price retrace to the overlapping area and the shoot downwards to the nearest liquidity. If price respects our entry it will form a new lower high which will just make our draw down very valid.
I have drawn potential entry, exit and stop caution areas. Fix your analysis based on these. Remember, this is NFA and always DYOR.
LEAVE A FOLLOW!
Beyond Technical Analysis
USDCAD H1 ANALYSISUSD/CAD: Bullish Momentum Fades, Downward Correction Expected
The USD/CAD pair is currently trading near 1.4280, but its upward momentum is losing steam. Following softer Canadian inflation data and robust US Retail Sales, the pair appears poised for a downward correction.
Key Points:
- Weaker Canadian inflation data fuels expectations for additional BoC rate cuts.
- Strong US Retail Sales data bolsters the US dollar.
- Markets eagerly await the crucial Federal Reserve policy meeting for further guidance.
- Potential correction targets: 1.4200, 1.4050
Best Wishes Tom 😎
Bitcoin entering positive short term momentumAs predicted bitcoin is following the cycle very closely. We have been building a position inside the November bearish short term momentum (green dots) and we are about to re entry bullish short term momentum as indicated by SMAX.
Probability levels are below 20 indicating we are later in the cycle and the delta is about to turn positive (bullish momentum)
Our trade is in good profit already as the fun is about to begin!
Will keep you updated!
SCALPING ! XAU ! retest 2646 entry SELL SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Monday’s data revealed that a significant portion of the US economy grew at its fastest pace in over three years. The S&P Global flash US Services PMI climbed from 56.1 to 58.5 in December, marking a 38-month high.
Additionally, the Composite PMI rose to 56.6 in December, up from 54.9 in November, reaching its highest level in 33 months. This strong performance overshadowed a decline in the flash US Manufacturing PMI, which fell to a three-month low of 48.3. The data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may take a less dovish approach moving forward.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Bears dominate - short-term selling pressure before the US session, waiting for a retest of the SELL entry
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2645 - $2647 SL $2650 scalping
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2635
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Opening (IRA): EWY January 17th 52 Covered Call... for a 51.50 debit.
Comments: Primarily in this for the dividend, since the ROC %-age without it kind of blows chunks. The last four distributions were: .63, 1.68, .70, and 1.65. Would appreciate something in the neighborhood of 1.00 (please and thank you) ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 51.50/share
Max Profit: .50
ROC at Max (Excluding Dividends): .97%
I generally look to take profit on these at 50% max, but will wait for the dividend to drop to see what's what ... .
avaxusdt long"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
DPZ - An excellent buying opportunity?Clearly they're doing something right - with their impending move toward a more tech-sentric NASDAQ and bullish sentiment from fresh investors like Warren Buffet - DPZ is almost too big to fail and food does not get replaced by any emerging sector (at least pizza doesn't) and as the largest pizza chain in the world, they're set up for success and are proving it in their reports.
Technically, as you'll see in the video, we've been setting up very nicely on a HTF for a large-scale breakout and are just digging for some more bulls to sustain a larger move. Within our very controlled white selling algorithm, we are right where we want to be as we build a higher base and we attempt to head for ATH with a stronger base of buyers.
Trade at your level and always do your own analysis - this is just my way of reading the market and sharing some education on how you can do it yourselves irrelevant of the specific stock. You've all seen me be wrong on positions at different times and that's why I'm always managing my risk and preparing my trades for execution at areas that I pre-identify.
Happy Trading all :)
Atour: The Smart Way to Invest in China's Hospitality Market◉ Abstract
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited is taking advantage of China's fast-growing hotel industry. The hospitality sector of China is expected to reach $157.46 billion by 2032, growing at a rate of 8.23% each year. This growth comes from a strong economy, more people moving to cities, and an increase in travel. Atour uses a smart business model that allows for quick expansion while keeping costs low. They offer a variety of hotel brands and even sell sleep-related products.
In FY23, Atour's sales jumped to $657.4 million, a 106% increase from the previous year, along with strong earnings growth. With over 83 million members in its loyalty program and a focus on great customer experiences, Atour is set for continued success in China's hospitality market.
Overview of the Hotel Service Industry in China.
Continue reading full article here:
◉ Overview of the Hotel Service Industry in China
China's hotel service industry is on the cusp of a remarkable growth spurt, fueled by the country's soaring economy, rapid urbanization, and an unprecedented surge in domestic and foreign travel.
● Projected Market Value: $157.46 billion by 2032
● Growth Rate: 8.23% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2032
◉ What's Driving this Growth?
● Economic Growth: China's economy continues to expand, boosting disposable incomes and travel budgets.
● Urbanization: As more Chinese citizens move to cities, they're seeking better travel experiences and accommodations.
● Increased Travel: Both domestic and foreign travel are on the rise, driving demand for hotels and travel services.
As China's hotel service industry experiences rapid growth, Atour Lifestyle Holdings NASDAQ:ATAT Company has established itself as a prominent force in the market. By delivering a unique blend of comfort, style, and local charm, Atour is redefining the hospitality landscape in China.
Atour's strategic focus on mid-to-upscale hotels enables the company to provide immersive local experiences, innovative design, and exceptional service. This distinctive approach has fostered a loyal customer base and positioned Atour for continued success in China's burgeoning hotel market.
◉ Investment Advice
💡 Buy Atour Lifestyle Holdings NASDAQ:ATAT
● Buy Range - 27 - 27.5
● Sell Target - 36 - 37
● Potential Return - 30% - 35%
● Approx Holding Period - 12-14 months
◉ Business Model
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited utilizes an asset-light, franchise-oriented business model that enables rapid expansion and operational efficiency in China's hotel industry. Here are the key components:
● Manachised Model: Atour primarily operates through a "manachised" model, where franchisees handle capital expenditures and hotel leases while Atour provides management and training. This approach minimizes operational costs and maximizes revenue from franchise royalties.
● Diverse Brand Portfolio: The company offers various hotel brands, including Atour, Atour S, Atour X, and ZHOTEL, catering to different market segments and customer preferences.
● Retail Integration: Atour has expanded into retail by selling sleep-related products, generating significant revenue and enhancing the guest experience.
● Customer Loyalty Programs: The A-CARD loyalty program boasts over 63 million members, driving customer retention and engagement through various benefits.
● Digital Capabilities: Atour leverages technology for a seamless customer experience, allowing easy online bookings and efficient communication during stays.
● Focus on Experience: The company emphasizes delivering unique lifestyle experiences through thematic hotels and tailored offerings.
◉ Key Competitors
1. Huazhu Group (H World Group): A leading competitor with over 10,150 hotels, Huazhu operates a similar manachised model and has been expanding rapidly, making it one of the largest players in the market.
2. Jin Jiang International: With a vast portfolio exceeding 12,000 hotels, Jin Jiang is another major competitor that employs a mix of franchising and management strategies.
3. GreenTree Hospitality Group: Focused on midscale accommodations, GreenTree operates around 3,000 hotels and utilizes a franchise-based model with manachised elements.
4. BTG Homeinns Hotels: Known for its budget offerings, BTG Homeinns has a significant presence with thousands of hotels primarily targeting domestic travelers.
5. Plateno Group (7 Days Inn): Operating primarily in the budget segment, Plateno utilizes a manachised approach to grow its network of over 3,000 hotels.
These companies dominate the domestic market, while international brands like InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) and Shangri-La Hotels & Resorts lead the high-end segment.
◉ Strategic Initiatives Powering Atour's Growth Trajectory
● Expanded Hotel Network: 140 new hotels added in Q3 and 732 under development, increasing capacity and driving revenue growth.
● Upscale Brand Introduction: SAVHE Hotel launch in core business districts, enhancing occupancy and average daily rate (ADR).
● Retail Segment Growth: 107.7% year-over-year GMV growth in 'deep sleep' products, boosting revenue and net margins.
● Membership Base Expansion: Over 83 million members, increasing revenue potential through customer loyalty and repeated business.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Year-on-year
➖ FY23 sales reached $657.4 million, a remarkable 106% increase from $328 million in FY22.
➖ EBITDA surged to $142 million, up from $36 million in FY22.
➖ The EBITDA margin widened to 21.6% from 11.15% in the same period.
● Quarter-on-quarter
➖ Q3 sales reached $270 million, a 9% increase from $247 million in Q2 and a 52% jump from $177 million in Q3 2023.
➖ Q3 EBITDA climbed to $72.6 million, up from $56.2 million in Q2.
➖ Q3 diluted EPS rose to $0.39 (LTM) from $0.30 (LTM) in Q2 2024.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
ATAT has a P/E ratio of 24x, which is fairly valued when compared to the peer average of 23.7x.
● PEG Ratio
With a PEG ratio of just 0.15, ATAT appears to be undervalued based on its anticipated earnings growth.
◉ Profitability Analysis
With a 30.7% ROCE, ATAT demonstrates its expertise in generating substantial profits through efficient capital allocation.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
ATAT achieves remarkable growth in operational cash flow, rising 582% to $280 million in FY23 from $41 million in FY22.
◉ Debt Analysis
ATAT's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.67, signaling that debt is not a significant concern for the company.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ Mr. Haijun Wang, CEO of Atour Lifestyle Holdings, holds a significant 19.2% stake.
➖ Trip.com Group Limited holds approximately 13.6% stake.
◉ Technical Aspects
➖ The weekly chart indicates that after a long period of consolidation, the stock price has formed a Rounding Bottom Pattern and is likely to break through its strong resistance zone soon.
➖ A Pole & Flag pattern has formed on the daily chart, with the stock price targeting higher levels following a successful breakout.
◉ Conclusion
Following a thorough analysis, we believe Atour presents a lucrative investment opportunity. With its appealing valuation, impressive financial track record, and strategic growth initiatives, Atour is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing tourism sector. The company's commitment to delivering exceptional customer experiences further strengthens its potential for long-term growth and value creation for shareholders.
#XAUUSD/GOLD 4HXAUUSD 4-Hour Analysis
The XAUUSD (Gold) pair has broken below a significant trendline support on the 4-hour chart, signaling a shift in momentum to the downside. This breakdown indicates increased selling pressure and provides a strong opportunity for bearish positions.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Trendline Support Line Breakdown
Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position after confirming the breakdown with bearish price action signals, such as a retest of the broken support line acting as resistance or the formation of lower highs and lower lows.
Traders should monitor indicators like RSI for confirmation of bearish momentum or MACD for a bearish crossover. Risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed above the retest level and profit targets set at key support zones below.
EURAUD MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONEURAUD, Is presently consolidating at institutional renegotiation zone, decision has been take in favor of the Bulls because market has broken structure twice upward. The Final decision will still favor the Bulls , price will break the renegotiation trend line with as shift candle (FVG) and head towards the renegotiation resistance to clear of the buyside liquidity. NOTE: Price will retrace from this inducement move to fill up the imbalance and give the Bull a perfect entry at 61.8% discount price. Watch out for the Price at entry zone to go long with it.
Entry, Take Profit And Stop Loss Are clearly marked out on the chat.
GOOD LUCK GUYS!
How Donald Trump’s Connection with Bitcoin Could Drive ATH Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets.💡
The connection between Donald Trump and Bitcoin:
Trump has officially confirmed his intention to create a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve, signaling a shift in the nation's approach to cryptocurrency. In an interview with CNBC, he emphasized the need for America to stay competitive, stating, "We’re gonna do something great with crypto because we don’t want China, or anybody else to take the lead." By advocating for a proactive stance, Trump highlighted his concern that other nations, particularly China, are increasingly embracing digital currencies. 📚💡
This move reflects a broader strategy to position the U.S. as a leader in the global financial landscape, ensuring it remains at the forefront of emerging technologies like blockchain and cryptocurrency. The establishment of a strategic reserve would not only bolster the U.S. economy but also signal a clear intent to secure national interests in the evolving digital economy. Trump's remarks underscore a growing recognition that cryptocurrencies are poised to play a pivotal role in shaping global economic dynamics. 📚🎇
Overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin:
The outlook for Bitcoin is increasingly bullish, with strong potential for significant price gains and the prospect of reaching a new all-time high (ATH) in the near future. In the short term, a 15% gain is within reach for the first target, supported by key market indicators rather than mere speculation. Rising trading volumes signal heightened investor interest and a growing influx of capital, fueling upward momentum, while improved liquidity ensures smoother trades and reduces price slippage, stabilizing the market. 📚✨
Favorable technical indicators, including bullish chart patterns and solid support levels, further strengthen the case for continued growth. With positive market sentiment and aligned conditions, Bitcoin’s path toward new price targets looks increasingly promising, with even more explosive growth expected as the market progresses toward subsequent milestones. 📚✔
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Trump’s proposal for a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve signals a shift towards embracing cryptocurrency to ensure U.S. leadership in the global digital economy. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s outlook remains bullish, with rising volumes, favorable indicators, and strong market sentiment suggesting significant price gains ahead.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Pepe’s Path to ATH: Big Gains AheadHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for PEPE , 📚💡
This coin has emerged as one of the most promising opportunities in the market, supported by a large and highly engaged community. Despite its strong backing and the overall bullish market trend, it has yet to experience the substantial price surge seen by many of its competitors, which stands out as a significant anomaly. 📚✨
Beyond media influence, which certainly contributes to its growing visibility, the coin benefits from high trading volume and a solid technical chart, both of which indicate a strong upward potential. These factors collectively suggest a clear path for a potential price increase of at least 32%. Given the current market dynamics, this makes the coin an exceptionally compelling investment opportunity. 📚🎇
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
This coin stands out with a large, engaged community and strong market support, yet has not experienced the price surge of its competitors. With high trading volume, solid technical indicators, and a potential 32% price increase, it presents a compelling investment opportunity.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Could Shiba Inu see more gains and hit 0.000040 soon?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Shiba Inu , 📚💡
The SHIB token has been one of the most talked-about assets in the cryptocurrency market in recent years, particularly during the peak of the bull market. At its height, the token saw a dramatic surge in price, fueled by a massive influx of investors and a vibrant community. This surge was amplified by powerful media coverage, which led to substantial capital pouring in over a relatively short period. Investors at various stages of the market were buying into SHIB, and many saw impressive returns. 📚🎇
However, as often happens after such explosive growth, doubt and uncertainty set in before investors could capitalize on their gains. Consequently, the capital became stagnant, much like layers of sediment that settle at the bottom of the ocean.
Despite its current dormancy, SHIB still possesses significant growth potential. To revive this momentum, a fresh wave of investment is necessary. From my experience, I've learned that in both financial markets and life, accepting the ebb and flow of events can bring a new perspective and direction. 📚🙌
Financial markets, much like life, are deeply intertwined with human psychology, and knowing when to cut losses is an invaluable skill.
To summarize the current outlook for SHIB: the token is in a period of consolidation, reflecting typical market cycles. However, with a renewed influx of capital, we could see a significant upward movement in its price . So, reflect carefully on my thoughts, learn from past experiences, and stay mindful of the opportunities ahead. 📚💣
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
The SHIB token experienced explosive growth due to strong community support and media attention, but has since stagnated, requiring a new influx of capital to revive its potential. Despite its dormancy, it still holds significant growth prospects, with future price increases possible if fresh investment flows in. 📚💡
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
GBPZAR MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONGBPZAR, has been consolidating at the institutional renegotiation zone, price has already broken a structure twice upward, meaning the decision has favored the Bulls Twice. Am fully persuaded that the final decision that will effect a change of market direction will be in favor of the Bulls( because of the pattern and the characteristics of the consolidation). Price will break That renegotiation trend line and will head to the renegotiation resistance and clear of the Buyside liquidity.
Entry, Take Profit and Stop Loss are clearly Marked on The Chat.
GOOD LUCK GREAT TRADERS!
I LOVE YOU GUYS
ftm fantom"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
eth ethereum"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"