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GBP/USD Today - News Supports Short-Term Uptrend💢💢💢 GBP/USD news : ➡️The GBP/USD pair surged sharply to nearly 1.2965 during Asian trading hours on Monday. Concerns that U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs could drive inflation and slow economic growth have put pressure on the U.S. dollar (USD), acting as a catalyst for the major currency pair. ➡️ Last week, Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3. This measure follows a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum and the upcoming announcement of retaliatory tariffs by Trump on Wednesday. Many analysts are worried that these tariffs will have a negative impact on the U.S. economy, potentially limiting the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates while also increasing inflation in the coming months. As a result, this could weaken the USD further, boosting the GBP/USD pair in the near future. Personal opinion: ➡️ Current news is supportive for GBP/USD in the short term. DXY is also having its third consecutive losing streak, further strengthening this pair. ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉 Buy GBP/USD 1.2940 – 1.2930 ❌SL: 1.2900 | ✅TP: 1.2980– 1.3010 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Gold updateGold Market Update & Analysis: Next Targets and Key Levels After Saturday’s analysis, both buy targets have been successfully reached as expected. The market opened with a gap up, which invalidated the short setup due to resistance being broken, triggering further bullish momentum. As a result, both our buy targets were hit, reinforcing the overall bullish trend in gold. Weekly Timeframe Outlook Taking Fibonacci levels from the high to the low of the broken consolidation range, we can now identify the next major Fibonacci resistance at 3149, which serves as our next target for bullish continuation. This aligns with the prevailing uptrend and provides a clear level to monitor for potential reactions. 1-Hour Timeframe: Short-Term Reversal Before Continuation? The latest Break of Structure (BOS) on the 1-hour timeframe indicates that price is currently reacting to a key Fibonacci resistance zone, signaling a potential short-term reversal before continuation to higher levels. Retracement & Buy Zones Given the recent reaction to resistance, we can anticipate a retracement before further upside. The Fibonacci retracement zone aligns with a trendline and a strong demand zone, offering a high-probability entry for longs. We can look to buy gold between 3092 and 3048, targeting further upside toward the weekly resistance at 3149.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by samstoobad
XAU/USD Continues to Rise - Will It Stop?📌 📌 📌 Gold news: ➡ Gold prices have reached a record high, surpassing the $3,100 mark for the first time, driven by growing fears of a potential global trade war. The surge in gold prices remains unabated as buyers push beyond this threshold, spurred by concerns over a possible trade conflict and the looming threat of a recession in the United States, which has led to an increased demand for the safe-haven assets. ➡ The risk-off sentiment is evident through the weaker tone across the stock market, which in turn is believed to be fueling the flow of capital into precious metals. Global risk sentiment continues to be dampened by worries over President Donald Trump's proposed car tariffs announced on Wednesday, the uncertainty surrounding upcoming retaliatory tariffs next week, and the potential impact on the global economy. Personal opinion: ➡ The driving force is too strong, and we need to respect the market. So buying at a cheap price is a reasonable decision. Limit sell orders because this time is quite risky. Watch for technical pullback zones to buy to make a profit ➡ Analyze based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy. Resistance zone: 3113 - 3137 Support zone: 3086 - 3060 Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉 Sell Gold 3113 - 3115 ( Scalping) ❌ SL: 3119 | ✅ TP: 3108 - 3103 - 3098 👉 Sell Gold 3137 - 3139 ❌ SL: 3144 | ✅TP: 3132 – 3127 – 3120 👉Buy Gold 3086- 3084 ❌SL: 3079| ✅TP: 3090 – 3095 – 3110 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
GBP/JPY - Market Breakdown/Trade IdeaHi all, Here we are currently making Higher Highs in the higher TF. We can also see the price is actually consolidating in the Higher TF-In a wedge pattern. We are still looking for buy positions and currently price is in a pullback stage so we will be looking for an entry around this smaller tf Demand zone 4H - Is displaying a slowing momentum of price from sellers. Looking at this Demand zone I will be waiting for buyers to step in to make a change of character before Buying Looking to break this Internal Protected High for me to then look for my Lower TF Entry model Good luck to anyone that follows this trade Idea
Long
by jamesibartram
Waiting for a healthy pullback or FOMO push to 3150+?🔸 News Update: Geopolitical Turmoil Boosts Gold’s Appeal 🔸 The Russian Ministry of Defense reported missile strikes on Ukrainian SBU and special operations units, further escalating tensions in Eastern Europe. This, combined with China’s continued gold hoarding and a weaker USD, has kept gold’s bullish momentum intact. 🟥 Sell Setup (Liquidity Trap Short) Entry Zone: $3,121 – $3,125 (Liquidity Grab + HTF Supply) Trigger: M5/M15 Bearish CHoCH + Weak Bullish Reaction SL: Above $3,130 (Invalidation Level) TP1: $3,100 (First Target) TP2: $3,085 (Deep Profit Zone) TP3: $3,074 (Full Breakdown) 📌 Why? Liquidity Hunt Potential → Market may fake out longs before reversal Bearish Order Flow Zone → Major supply area where sellers are active HTF Expansion Exhaustion → Price needs to cool off before further gains 🟥 Sell Setup 2 (Momentum Reversal – Only If Confirmed) Entry Zone: 3,150 – 3,155 (Extreme Supply Zone) Trigger: Bearish CHoCH + FVG reaction SL: Above 3,160 TP1: 3,120 TP2: 3,100 TP3: 3,073 📌 Reasoning: Extreme premium level where HTF supply could react Only valid if price extends to this level without pullback Ideal for a larger reversal if bullish momentum fades 🟢 Buy Setup 3 (Intraday Continuation Play – If $3,100 Rejects) Entry: $3,092 – $3,094 (LQ sweep + minor demand zone) Trigger: M1/M5 CHoCH + bullish rejection wick SL: Below $3,090 TP1: $3,100 TP2: $3,108 TP3: $3,117 📌 Why This Zone? If NY sweeps $3,100 liquidity and retraces, $3,092 – $3,094 could be a quick buy-the-dip area. Only valid if the previous demand structure remains intact. Ideal for short-term scalps rather than a deep retrace buy. ⚠ If price drops aggressively below $3,090, don’t force the buy—$3,083 – $3,087 is the next stronger zone. 🟢 Next Fresh Buy Setup (If Price Dips Again) Entry Zone: $3,067 – $3,070 (Untapped demand + imbalance fill) Trigger: M1/M5 CHoCH + bullish confirmation SL: Below $3,064 (Liquidity protection) TP1: $3,090 (Reaction level) TP2: $3,108 (Liquidity grab target) TP3: $3,120+ (Continuation move) 📌 Why This Zone? Previous NY session left unmitigated demand here. If price pulls back, smart money will likely buy from this area. Gold still bullish – this is the next potential buy-the-dip zone. ⚠️ If $3,067 fails, deeper support at $3,055 – watch for a strong reaction there!! ✅ Key Takeaways ✔ Gold remains bullish above $3,074 – buy dips, but avoid FOMO. ✔ A liquidity grab below $3,080 could be the next major long opportunity. ✔ Sells are scalps only – favor longs unless $3,067 breaks. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. Good luck on the market today.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Will Your Tether Holdings Be Frozen Overnight?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts ,✌ Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective: Since this is an educational analysis, I’ve kept the chart as simple as possible and provided the most concise Bitcoin analysis. 📉 The price is currently in a descending channel and approaching a key daily resistance level. I expect at least an 8% decline, with $75,000 acting as a major support zone. 📈 Now, let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram. 🧐 Educational Segment: Will Your Tether Holdings Be Frozen Overnight? Understanding the EU’s New Crypto Regulations 🇪🇺 🔍 In 2023, the European Union (EU) introduced the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), a comprehensive legal framework aimed at increasing oversight of the cryptocurrency market. The primary objective of this regulation is to bring stability, transparency, and security to a sector that has historically operated with minimal supervision. One of the core focuses of MiCA is stablecoins, particularly their issuance, reserves, and compliance with anti-money laundering (AML) and counter-terrorism financing (CTF) laws. The EU prefers highly regulated and trackable stablecoins, such as PayPal’s PYUSD, as these provide greater oversight of financial transactions. Under the new regulatory landscape, if Tether (USDT) fails to meet the EU’s compliance standards, authorities may restrict its usage within the European financial system and exchanges operating in the region. However, it is important to note that such restrictions would be a gradual process, not an abrupt overnight decision. ⏳⚖️ Who Will Be Affected? 🤔📉 These potential regulations primarily impact crypto traders, businesses, and exchanges operating within the EU. If Tether does not secure regulatory approval, platforms serving European customers may be required to delist or limit USDT transactions, similar to past instances where regulatory scrutiny led to the delisting of certain assets in specific jurisdictions. For individuals and businesses outside of the EU, particularly those using offshore or decentralized platforms, the immediate effects of these regulations would likely be minimal. However, broader market shifts and liquidity changes may still indirectly influence USDT trading volume and availability. 🌍📊 Will Tethers in High-Tension Middle Eastern Countries Be Frozen? 🚨🏦 Geopolitical Risks and US Sanctions 🇺🇸⚠️ Beyond EU regulations, concerns have arisen about whether Tether could be frozen in certain politically sensitive regions, particularly in conflict-prone areas of the Middle East. Given the U.S. government’s control over the global financial system and its increasing scrutiny of crypto transactions, there is speculation that Tether Holdings Ltd. could be pressured to comply with U.S. foreign policy directives, including asset freezes linked to sanctioned individuals, entities, or countries. Historically, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has taken a firm stance against financial transactions that could be linked to terrorism financing, money laundering, or sanctions violations. While Tether itself is not a U.S.-based company, it does interact with U.S. financial institutions and has previously cooperated with law enforcement agencies to freeze assets tied to criminal activities. 🏛️🔎 If geopolitical tensions worsen, there is a possibility that Tether’s compliance team may receive direct or indirect pressure to restrict access to its stablecoin in certain jurisdictions, mirroring actions previously taken against other crypto wallets and sanctioned entities. 🔥💰 How Can Users Protect Themselves? 🛡️💡 For individuals and businesses operating in high-risk regions, it is crucial to stay informed about potential regulatory and geopolitical shifts. Strategies to mitigate risks include: Diversifying stablecoin holdings by using multiple assets (e.g., DAI, USDC, or algorithmic stablecoins). 🔄💱 Utilizing decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions that reduce reliance on centralized stablecoin issuers. 🏗️🔐 Exploring on-chain privacy solutions to protect financial autonomy within legal and ethical boundaries. 🕵️‍♂️📲 Keeping funds in non-custodial wallets rather than centralized exchanges, which are more susceptible to regulatory enforcement. 🔑📜 In an upcoming guide , I will provide a comprehensive tutorial on how to protect your identity and crypto holdings while navigating regulatory challenges and geopolitical risks. Stay tuned for a detailed breakdown of secure storage, alternative stablecoins, and advanced privacy measures. 🚀🔮 However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 The EU’s MiCA regulations may restrict Tether (USDT) in European exchanges, but it won’t happen overnight. 🌍 Meanwhile, rising geopolitical tensions spark fears that the U.S. could freeze USDT in certain regions. If you’re outside these areas, the impact is minimal, but diversifying assets** is a smart move. Stay tuned for my next guide on protecting your identity, wallets, and crypto holdings! Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
9
BTC - Post Weekly Closure UpdateAgain, not an awful lot has changed since last week’s update. We’ve now closed a weekly candle yet again in no man’s land; in fact, one could argue it’s a bearish engulfing candle that closed below the previous week’s level, solidifying further bearish sentiment and likely continuation until key SH has been reclaimed. Like I mentioned in last week’s update - for now, we’re waiting for 65K–72K, a break of ATH, or at least a reclamation of HTF 🗝️ swings (95K minimum) to jump back into HTF trades. Until then, I’m exploiting LTF/MTF moves. Another thing to note: Everyone is so fixated on 72K being the potential bottom (if reached). It makes me wonder: will 72K happen soon (it will eventually), and if it does, will it hold? I personally think we’ll see a deeper pullback into the 2W demand at 68K, or potentially the 1W PHOB at 65K, which I’ve mentioned several times. On LTF/MTF - I’ve been updating every trade, and they’ve been playing out quite well so far. We failed to hold the 23H HOB at 83K, thereby breaking below the MTF SL at 83130, and now the same level is acting as an obstacle to higher prices. If accepted above, I expect 84K, potentially 86K, before a possible downward continuation. For us to see higher prices on MTF, we need to reclaim 88744, SH, to target 96K - potentially the 2D OB at 100K, which is also a psychological level and confluent with the volume drop in VRVP, as shown in the image above. If 88744 is reclaimed, followed by a pullback into newly formed liquidity or BB, I’d then look for a long to the above-mentioned levels. As long as we’re below 88,744, downward pressure remains.
by CryptoVan-HQ
Will the Fear Gauge Flash Red?The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street's closely watched "fear gauge," is poised for a potential surge due to US President Donald Trump's assertive policy agenda. This article examines the confluence of factors, primarily Trump's planned tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions, that are likely to inject significant uncertainty into the financial markets. Historically, the VIX has proven to be a reliable indicator of investor anxiety, spiking during economic and political instability periods. The current climate, marked by a potential trade war and heightened international risks, suggests a strong likelihood of increased market volatility and a corresponding rise in the VIX. President Trump's impending "Liberation Day" tariffs, set to target all countries with reciprocal duties, have already sparked considerable concern among economists and financial institutions. Experts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan predict that these tariffs will lead to higher inflation, slower economic growth, and an elevated risk of recession in the US. The sheer scale and breadth of these tariffs, affecting major trading partners and critical industries, create an environment of unpredictability that unsettles investors and compels them to seek protection against potential market downturns, a dynamic that typically drives the VIX upward. Adding to the market's unease are the growing geopolitical fault lines involving the US and both China and Iran. Trade disputes and strategic rivalry with China, coupled with President Trump's confrontational stance and threats of military action against Iran over its nuclear program, contribute significantly to global instability. These high-stakes international situations, fraught with the potential for escalation, naturally trigger investor anxiety and a flight to safety, further fueling expectations of increased market volatility as measured by the VIX. In conclusion, the combination of President Trump's aggressive trade policies and the mounting geopolitical risks presents a compelling case for a significant rise in the VIX. Market analysts have already observed this trend, and historical patterns during similar periods of uncertainty reinforce the expectation of heightened volatility. As investors grapple with the potential economic fallout from tariffs and the dangers of international conflicts, the VIX will likely serve as a crucial barometer, reflecting the increasing fear and uncertainty permeating the financial landscape.
CBOE:VIXLong
by UDIS_View
<69k = doom My thought process included drawing two trend lines that I had originated from an originally inverted scale >69k no doom but... by the time this enclosing triangle gets smaller, we will have more clarity re. trump tariffs or as his former trade rep said: something something "bulk of tariff actions still lie ahead" ___ + "Everyone needs to buckle up, because the President is just getting started and what lies ahead will likely be even more unpredictable than during his first term."
by moleclupa