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Beyond Technical Analysis

Iran-Israel Political Tension & End of Crypto marketDo geopolitical tensions truly cause markets to crash or pump? In a world where financial safety is more fragile than ever, how do traders react? This analysis dives deep into how pro traders think and act during critical moments. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: Bitcoin is experiencing a fear-driven shock amid escalating geopolitical tensions, triggering potential downside volatility toward the $98K level 📉. Despite this risk-off sentiment, the broader market structure remains intact, and I maintain a bullish bias. A recovery from key support zones could pave the way for a renewed breakout above $100K in the mid-term . Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧠 Fear, Safety or Opportunity? Trading Psychology in Crisis 🧨 Markets don’t move based on headlines—they move based on how the crowd feels about those headlines. Political tension triggers emotional responses, especially panic selling. However, experienced traders spot opportunities while others flee. In such moments, two emotional extremes dominate: 🔸 Fear of losing capital (FUD) 🔸 Greed to seize a rare opportunity (FOMO) Both are dangerous if uncontrolled. Tools like RSI and Fear & Greed Index (via external APIs) can provide rough estimates of market sentiment and potential turning points. 📊 Practical TradingView Tools for Analyzing Crisis-Driven Markets 🔍 When global tension spikes, the markets reflect collective emotion like a mirror. During uncertain times, smart traders rely on tools that turn raw data into sharp insights. TradingView provides several features that become extremely useful in times of high uncertainty: 1. Crypto Volatility Index Proxy (using ATR + Bollinger Bands) These indicators help detect when the market is driven more by fear than logic. They show increasing volatility levels as tensions rise. 2. Sentiment Indicators – Funding Rate & Long/Short Ratios These metrics, pulled from major exchanges, show whether traders are overly bullish or bearish. A sudden imbalance usually hints at insider expectations or fast-breaking news. 3. DXY and Gold (XAUUSD) Side-by-Side with BTC Analyzing Bitcoin’s performance alongside USD and gold gives insight into whether investors are going risk-off or seeking crypto as a hedge. 4. Volume-Based Indicators – OBV & Volume Profile While headlines can lie, volume doesn’t. These tools highlight areas of serious buying/selling interest and help identify where smart money enters or exits. 5. Multi-Chart Layout Feature TradingView allows you to analyze multiple assets together—BTC, gold, oil, and stock indices like S&P 500—on one screen. Perfect for understanding macro capital flow during geopolitical events. 💣 Interconnected Markets During Regional Conflict 🌍 Crypto often acts like a risk-on asset during global crises. If traditional markets fall, Bitcoin may follow—unless it’s being viewed as a safe haven. That’s why watching DXY, gold, and oil charts alongside BTC is crucial. Understanding these correlations using TradingView’s comparison features gives you a better sense of where capital is flowing during uncertain times. ⏳ What Traders Should Focus on in Crisis Mode 💼 1. Focus on chart confirmations, not news hype. 2. Use multi-dimensional analysis with TradingView. 3. Prioritize risk management more than ever. 4. Cash is a position. Sometimes the best move is no move. 5. Always have a backup scenario—no analysis is guaranteed. 📌 Final advice: When headlines play with your nerves, data becomes your best ally. With the right tools and a disciplined mindset, traders can navigate even the stormiest markets with confidence. The market rewards the calm, not the reckless. ✨ Need a little love! We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛 Big thanks, Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Education
by MadWhale
23
BTC will botom now(sorry I wrote this took quite a long time so the price has moved first) Summary: The recent drop in Bitcoin is primarily due to geopolitical tensions specifically the conflict between Israel and Iran. This is interpreted as a short-term market shock rather than a fundamental breakdown. Structurally, the bias remains bullish with expectations of a near-term rebound. Why is BTC dropping? The sell-off is driven by global risk aversion due to the geopolitical escalation. Investors are temporarily fleeing into cash and defensive assets like gold. However, this behavior is emotional and not based on a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s outlook. Bullish Thesis: * Bitcoin’s recent decline is not structurally bearish; it's a reaction to short-term uncertainty * Historically, Bitcoin has shown strength and recovery following global shocks * The current correction may provide a setup for a relief rally before any further downside movement * Even if a deeper correction is ahead, the price is likely to move upward first to sweep liquidity or test resistance Technical View: * The current price level is a key area from a price action perspective * BTC is showing signs of rejection at this key support, indicating potential buyer interest * This level has acted as a significant pivot in previous swings, making it technically important for short-term direction * If this rejection holds, it may serve as the base for a short-term recovery leg Correlation Insight – BTC vs. Gold: * Bitcoin has been showing a moderate positive correlation with gold, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical risk * Currently, gold is approaching its major resistance or all-time high level * If gold reaches this zone, it may trigger profit-taking or sell pressure, prompting a rotation of capital out of gold into BTC * This potential rotation strengthens the case for a bullish move in Bitcoin, especially if BTC stabilizes around current support Expectations: * Near-term bounce or consolidation, followed by a potential breakout toward key resistance levels * A shift in capital from traditional hedges like gold to crypto could act as a tailwind * As volatility from the conflict settles, Bitcoin could regain its role as a risk-on asymmetric bet Conclusion: The pullback appears to be a temporary, sentiment-driven move rather than a trend reversal. BTC remains fundamentally strong, and the potential reversal in gold adds confluence to a bullish Bitcoin thesis. With price currently showing rejection at a key technical support level, this may be a strategic accumulation zone for mid- to long-term investors.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Rich_From_Home
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has displayed both upward and downward movements throughout this week's trading session, narrowly missing the targeted Outer Index Rally level of 6073. Currently, the index is characterized by a bearish trend, warranting attention towards the Mean Support level of 5940, with additional critical support identified at 5888. Conversely, there exists a significant potential that, upon reaching the Mean Support of 5940, the index may recover and rise to the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate an interim rally, culminating in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073 and enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level positioned at 6150.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable volatility, mirroring patterns observed in the preceding week. The currency has surpassed both the Mean Resistance level of 1.145 and the Key Resistance level of 1.151, subsequently retesting the significant completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.157. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to revisit both the Key Resistance and the completed Outer Currency Rally and expand further to the next Outer Currency Rally of 1.177 in the forthcoming trading session(s). However, there exists a potential for a continuation of the downward trend from the current level, which could lead to the price action targeting the Mean Support level at 1.149 and possibly a further extension to the Mean Support level at 1.140.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: Throughout the past week, Bitcoin has exhibited considerable volatility. After reaching a peak at the first Mean Resistance level of 109500, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant decline. Nevertheless, on Friday, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery, ascending to a newly established resistance now designated as the new Mean Resistance level marked at 110300. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downward as it retests the initial Mean Support level of 104000 while aiming to target the Mean Support at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to recognize the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $ 104,000 and/or $ 101,500, which could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level of $ 110,300.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
Bull Trap or Just the Beginning? All Eyes on 103kOnce we cleared the 109k ATH, I began tracking this new structure (in blue). Considering the current macroeconomic backdrop, it’s starting to make a lot more sense. There’s plenty of noise about this being the biggest bull run in recent times, but looking at the chart, FVGs left behind, lack of volume commitment, and inefficient price action… are we actually gearing up for one of the largest bear markets we’ve seen instead? You really don’t want to see a weekly close below 103k.
by Heisenberg_0721
Iran vs Israel Conflict: Which assets are being affected?The ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel has had a notable impact on global stock markets and currency pairs, primarily driven by concerns over oil supply disruptions and increased geopolitical uncertainty. Here's a breakdown of the affected assets: Stocks Overall Market Decline: Major global stock indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and India's Sensex and Nifty 50, have experienced declines following the escalation of tensions. Negatively Impacted Sectors/Stocks: Airlines & Travel: Companies like United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, American Airlines, and cruise operators (e.g., Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Carnival Corp.) have seen sharp losses due to surging fuel costs and reduced travel sentiment. Hotel operators (e.g., Hilton, Marriott) and car rental companies (e.g., Avis Budget Group, Hertz) also felt the impact. Consumer Discretionary: Companies tied to discretionary spending and those with high energy-input costs (e.g., General Motors, Ford, Target, Best Buy, Nike) have been negatively affected, as rising oil prices can impact consumer behaviour. Technology & Financials: Broad technology companies, particularly those producing consumer goods, and the financial sector have seen declines. US-listed Israeli Companies: Companies like Check Point Software Technologies, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Mobileye Global, and eToro Group experienced drops. Positively Impacted/Benefiting Sectors/Stocks: Oil & Energy: Oil prices surged, leading to gains for energy stocks such as Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, and Diamondback Energy. Defence: Defence contractors like Lockheed Martin, RTX Corporation, and Northrop Grumman have rallied due to increased geopolitical uncertainty. Gold Miners: Shares of gold miners (e.g., Newmont, AngloGold Ashanti) rose as gold prices climbed, driven by safe-haven demand. Renewable Energy/EVs: Electric-vehicle maker Tesla and solar power companies like First Solar and SolarEdge Technologies saw gains, possibly as alternatives to fossil fuels. Currency Pairs Safe-Haven Currencies Strengthen: US Dollar (USD): The US dollar has rallied against most G7 currencies, benefiting from safe-haven flows. Japanese Yen (JPY): The Japanese Yen strengthened as investors sought safety. Swiss Franc (CHF): The Swiss Franc also gained alongside other safe-haven assets. Gold (XAU/USD): Gold prices surged to multi-month highs, trading above $3,400 per troy ounce, reflecting strong safe-haven demand. Risk-Sensitive Currencies Weaken: Euro (EUR/USD): The EUR/USD pair retreated, with the Euro being "hardly damaged" initially but experiencing downward pressure from the escalating conflict. Australian Dollar (AUD) & New Zealand Dollar (NZD): These risk-sensitive Asian currencies weakened. Indian Rupee (INR): The Indian Rupee weakened against the US dollar due to the impact of rising crude oil prices on India, a major oil importer. While the immediate market response has shown volatility and a "risk-off" sentiment, some analysts suggest that the longer-term impact will depend on the conflict's duration and whether it escalates into a broader regional or global issue, particularly concerning oil supply disruptions.
FX:USOIL
by troias
Pi Network at the cliff edge ?SInce there a lots of speculation about Pi coin, people are still doubt about it and beliving that Pi coin will bankrupt. No real CGV price USD 314,159 will be done somewhare 10 years ahead, the cummunity of Pi pioneers getting more weaker and no trust with the project.. Eventually Pi coin end like a shit coin dies in the blockchain space with no value. Floating in the space with tears and no hope..... BUT !! The awaitting news this 28th June 2025, will it change on more again? Or just a pity small news that no changes at all, like the Pi core team does when 6 years past, the project phase. Lies with lies.. and more lies ahead ? Just stay tune, keep mining, and no body realy knows what in the future.. Baba Vanga never told about Pi Coin, only the Simpson was telling about the Pi.
by SL-Trades
Gold Extends Rally as New High Emerges📊 Market Overview: Gold reached a new intraday high at $3,447 today, supported by a weaker USD and stable U.S. Treasury yields. Prices then pulled back slightly to $3,423 amid short-term profit-taking. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and expectations that the Fed may hold or cut rates continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Levels: • $3,447 – Intraday high on June 13 • $3,465 – Strong Fibonacci extension resistance • $3,480 – Next upside target if price breaks above $3,447 Key Support Levels: • $3,423 – Current price and intraday congestion zone • $3,410 – Minor support on the H4 chart • $3,400 – Psychological support & 20-day MA • EMA: Price is trading above the 09-day EMA → short-term trend remains bullish • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Strong bullish candle with high volume; RSI at 67 indicates further upside potential. Short lower wicks suggest limited selling pressure. MACD on both H4 and daily charts favors continued upside momentum. 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to continue rising if it holds the $3,410–$3,423 support zone. A break above $3,447 may open the path toward $3,480 or higher. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: • Entry: $3,420 – $3,425 • 🎯 TP: $3,480 • ❌ SL: $3,408 🔻 SELL XAU/USD • Entry: $3,445 – $3,450 • 🎯 TP: $3,423 – $3,410 • ❌ SL: $3,457
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
NASDAQ TRADING RESULT – JUNE 13, 2025📉 NASDAQ TRADING RESULT – JUNE 13, 2025 📉 Following the analysis from June 9, 2025, NASDAQ has reached the bearish target at Magnet Area (DmH4) 21524.00 on June 13, 2025. The move started with a rejection from Magnet Area (SpH4) 21767.00 – 22067.00. As long as price remains below 21767.00, there is still downside potential toward Magnet Area (DmH4) 21136.00. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risk. Always perform your own analysis and apply proper risk management.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Short
by magnettrader_id
Sell Bitcoin and buy Altcoins!🚨 Controversial Take Ahead – Packed With High-Value Insights 🚨 Let’s dive deep. 👨‍💻 A bit about me: I’ve been riding the tech wave since the beginning: Programmed video games in the 80s and 90s Built VSTi plugins in the early 2000s Started creating websites when Internet Explorer 1.0 launched Sold 3D assets when Unity 2.5 (first PC version) dropped Launched my own blockchain in 2016 Deployed smart contracts on TRON in 2018 I don’t follow trends—I predict them. My instincts are backed by decades of hands-on experience. Now, here’s what I see coming: ⚠️ 1. Sell Your Bitcoins Yes, Bitcoin is obsolete. It’s a technology—not a precious metal—and like all tech, it must evolve or die. Ask yourself: Do you use a Blackberry today? Still flying in 1930s planes? Gaming on an Atari or Commodore 64? Surfing the web with Lycos or Altavista? No? Then why are you betting on a 2009 technology? Most people don’t even understand how Bitcoin works—ask around what SHA256 or RSA means. Crypto is misunderstood, and that’s dangerous. Back in 1998, I created the UPL library, which handled data compression & encryption using all major algorithms—Huffman, LZSS, DES, RSA, etc. I’m not just throwing words around—I’ve built this stuff. Politicians and financial institutions (yes, even Saylor) are 15 years late to Bitcoin. They're missing the truth: BTC’s upgrades failed (Ordinals, Runes, etc). Its value holds due to FOMO from the uninformed, not innovation. One day, your Bitcoins will be as worthless as mp3.com stock. That’s not opinion—that’s technological reality. 🪙 2. Buy Altcoins Not every altcoin is a winner—but that’s where the real opportunity is. Remember: Nokia and Blackberry ruled before Samsung and Xiaomi. The next Amazon, Google, or Nvidia already exists—and it's trading for pennies. When people laugh at altcoins, that’s the time to buy low. Altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:SUI , MIL:UNI could 100x… even 100,000x. Bitcoin might double—and then crash. Smart traders buy when everyone else is mocking. 🌍 3. Consequences of the BTC Collapse This collapse will come at a turning point in global power. Wall Street and U.S. states are heavily exposed to BTC. If it crashes, the Western financial system could implode—a dot-com-level disaster. China, on the other hand, is stable, adaptive, and tech-forward. Crypto without staking, DeFi, NFTs, GameFi, smart contracts? That’s not the future—that’s Bitcoin. Altcoins are the future. Bookmark this post. Re-read it in 10 years. You’ll remember I said it first: Innovation is unstoppable. Enjoy the last Bitcoin pump. Then watch what comes next. DYOR. #CryptoRevolution #AltcoinSeason #BitcoinCollapse #Web3Future #BlockchainInnovation #SellBitcoin #BuyAltcoins #CryptoTruth #DeFi #GameFi #SmartContracts #CryptoShift #UnstoppableInnovation
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
13
XAUUSD TRADING RESULT – JUNE 13, 2025🎯 XAUUSD TRADING RESULT – JUNE 13, 2025 🎯 Following the market analysis from June 9, 2025, XAUUSD has successfully reached the bullish target at 3438.00 on June 13, 2025. The move started with a rejection from Magnet Area (DmH4) 3301.00, followed by a breakout above Magnet Area (SpD) 3357.00 and Magnet Area (SpH4) 3393.00, confirming strong bullish momentum to the upside target. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk. Always perform your own analysis and apply proper risk management.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by magnettrader_id
LTC TARGETS FOR Q3🔥 CRYPTOCAP:LTC swing setup (3D) 🚀 ✅ Entry Zone: $70 – $77 (multi-year demand) 🎯 Targets • TP-1: $180 (2021 breakdown line) • TP-2: $240 (2020-21 pivot) ⛔ Stop-Loss 3-day close < $66 📊 Thesis • #1 payment coin on BitPay in 2024-25 (201 K tx > BTC & ETH) • Active addresses +28 % YoY; record 92.8 M on-chain tx in 2024 • 27 % of transfers now use MWEB privacy layer 🔒 • SEC verdict on a spot-Litecoin ETF due 2025 🏛️ • Post-halving rallies average +300 % within 18 m — 2023 halving “digestion” almost done 😈
by Og_Bitpool
1
It Wasn’t on a Chart. It Was in My JournalYou don’t become consistent by learning more setups. You become consistent by learning more about yourself. ✍️ The Day I Started Journaling, I Stopped Guessing I used to chase charts like they owed me something.One moment I was confident. The next, I was doubting everything, not because the market betrayed me, but because I wasn’t keeping track of who I was becoming . Then I started journaling. Not just logging wins and losses, but writing what I felt, what I saw, where I rushed, and why I broke my own rules. It changed everything. What Journaling Gave Me (That Charts Alone Couldn’t) 1. Clarity Over Chaos Every trade became a lesson. I stopped reacting and started reviewing. 2. Accountability Over Emotion Writing “I entered out of fear of missing out” hits different when you see it five times in a row. I couldn’t lie to myself anymore. 3. Discipline Over Drama No more revenge trades. No more “just one more” trades. Journaling made me pause, and that pause saved me more than any setup ever could It’s Not Just a Journal. It’s a Mirror. Most traders document price. Few document themselves. And yet that’s where the edge lives, not in more indicators, but in more self-awareness. My Advice to Any Trader Trying to Break Through Don’t just journal for results . Journal to understand who you are in the market. Your wins will mean more, and your losses will teach more. And if you're consistent with it, your growth won’t just be measurable. It’ll be undeniable. The best setups won’t save you if your mindset is undisciplined.And the best mentors can’t help you if you don’t study your own patterns. Journaling isn’t just about logging trades.It’s about documenting your evolution as a trader, from reactive to intentional, from hopeful to professional. So, if you’re serious about growth: Don’t just screenshot your wins, start writing your journey. That’s where the edge really begins.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by Crusade1Jay
1
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Friday, the strategy of going long on gold at relatively low levels was once again precisely fulfilled. The morning strategy clearly suggested opening long positions within the range of 3400 - 3410. As expected, the price of gold once again surged to around the 3445 level, and profits were successfully secured once more. The hourly chart of gold shows a volatile upward trend. Driven by risk aversion in the early morning, it surged rapidly but fell back for correction after hitting resistance at 3444 during the European session. Before the U.S. session, it stabilized at 3412 and rallied again. The previous large bearish candlestick was more of a minor shakeout—after washing out floating chips, it has now regained its upward momentum. Maintain a strongly bullish approach for now. The 3415-3410 range forms a key support zone, and long positions can be continued above this level. Upper resistance remains at 3445-3450; a valid breakout could lead to further gains toward 3475 and beyond. However, be aware that a sustained rally may trigger a pullback due to overbought indicators or divergences. For operations, consider going long near support and exercise caution when chasing highs near resistance XAUUSD buy@3405-3315 tp:3430-3450 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField