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Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Setup on Silver (XAGUSD)Silver (XAG/USD) is currently trading within a bearish rising wedge formation on the 8-hour timeframe, and the market structure is hinting at a potential reversal to the downside. The confluence of resistance zones, pattern anatomy, and historical price action all point to a high-probability short setup, especially if key support levels are breached. 📈 Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge A rising wedge is typically a bearish chart pattern that forms when price consolidates between two upward sloping trendlines. However, the upper trendline rises at a slower pace than the lower one—indicating decelerating bullish strength. It often precedes a bearish breakout, especially if volume decreases near the apex. In this case, the wedge is forming just below a major resistance zone around the $34.00 area, adding weight to the bearish scenario. 🔹 Key Technical Levels : 🟥 Resistance Zone ($33.80–$34.80): Price has tested and rejected this area multiple times in recent weeks. It marks a clear liquidity zone where sellers are in control. 🟩 Support Zone ($29.50–$30.30): This zone has provided strong support in previous retracements. If broken, it may flip into resistance upon retest. 🟦 Retest Zone (~$31.00–$31.50): If the wedge breaks downward, price may retest this area—creating an opportunity for traders to enter short with better risk-reward. 🎯 Final Bearish Target : $26.85: This level is derived from the height of the wedge and prior demand zones, making it a strong target area in a fully played-out bearish move. 🧠 Market Structure & Sentiment: Volume Analysis – Volume has been tapering off as the price squeezes within the wedge, which is a typical trait of rising wedges. A volume spike on breakdown would serve as confirmation. Trend Analysis – While the overall trend in the medium term has been bullish, the weakening upward momentum suggests that buyers are losing strength, and sellers may regain control soon. Rejection Candle s – Several recent candle wicks above the $33.50 zone show clear rejection and failure to close above, reinforcing the resistance level. 📊 Trade Plan (Educational Purposes Only): Criteria Details Bias Bearish (Rising Wedge Breakdown) Entry Option 1 On breakdown of wedge + retest Entry Option 2 Aggressive entry on breakdown candle close below $31.50 Stop Loss Above $33.80 (last resistance) Take Profit 1 $30.00 (support zone) Take Profit 2 $28.00 (partial exit) Take Profit 3 $26.85 (final target) 📌 Trading Psychology Note: Traders should remain patient and avoid entering prematurely. Let the pattern confirm itself with a clean break and retest. Risk management is critical—wedge patterns can also fake out before reversing hard. 🧾 Summary: Silver is nearing the end of a rising wedge pattern, right under a heavy resistance zone. Historical behavior, weakening momentum, and classic wedge structure suggest a potential bearish reversal. A break below the wedge support and a retest around $31.00 could present a high-probability short trade setup targeting the $26.85 area. Keep this chart on watch. A decisive move is likely coming soon.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC/USD: Structural Breakout of Curved Resistance – Eyes on $116Technical Overview: Bitcoin (BTC) has successfully completed a significant technical breakout after months of accumulation and resistance interaction. The chart highlights a precise market structure where price has moved from a phase of consolidation into a confirmed bullish breakout, with a clearly defined target and invalidation level. 1. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance): From May to October 2024, BTC price action was trapped in a sideways range, marked by an extended accumulation phase between approximately $60,000 to $73,000. This zone acted as a historical resistance level during the downtrend, but was later flipped into support, forming a classic SR Interchange — a foundational concept in market structure analysis. This area provided a strong base from which BTC launched its late 2024 rally. 2. Consolidation Below Curved Resistance (Dec 2024 – Apr 2025): Following a steep bullish impulse, BTC entered a multi-month consolidation phase, forming a rounded top pattern — shown on the chart as the Black Mind Curve Resistance. This curved resistance represented a psychological and structural ceiling, suppressing bullish momentum and trapping liquidity. Price action was tightly compressed under this dynamic resistance curve, with multiple failed breakout attempts. This period was marked by range-bound volatility and low directional commitment — classic behavior during a re-accumulation phase. 3. Breakout of Black Mind Curve Resistance (May 2025): A major technical event occurred as BTC broke decisively above the Black Mind Curve Resistance, accompanied by a surge in bullish momentum. This move not only invalidated the prior rounding top structure but also confirmed a trend continuation breakout. The breakout was clean, with strong follow-through volume and a higher high structure above the Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~$105,000–$109,000) — now confirmed as flipped support. 4. Bullish Continuation & Price Target: Following the breakout, BTC has established a higher low and continued its upward trajectory toward the marked target zone at $116,065. This zone coincides with: Previous untested supply levels Technical Fibonacci extension (1.272–1.618 zone) Measured move from the curve structure base With current momentum and structure intact, BTC remains bullishly biased until it either reaches the target zone or breaks below the invalidation level. 5. Invalidation & Risk Management: A close below $102,005 — the defined SI (Support-Invalidation) level — would be considered structurally bearish. This level represents: The most recent higher low Base of the breakout structure Re-entry into previous consolidation range A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis and may open the door for a deeper pullback toward $95,000 or even $88,000. ✅ Conclusion: The breakout of the Black Mind Curve Resistance marks a significant technical shift in Bitcoin’s trend. With momentum in favor of the bulls and market structure supporting higher prices, BTC appears poised to test the $116,000 target zone in the short to mid-term — barring a breakdown below key support. 📌 Key Levels Recap: Level Type Price Target Zone $116,065 Current Price $110,902 Support / Invalidation (SI) $102,005 📈 Strategy Outlook: Bias: Bullish Entry Area: Retest of $107,000–$109,000 (if offered) Target: $116,065 Stop-Loss: Below $102,005 (structural invalidation) 💬 Stay focused on structure, not emotions. The best trades are born from patience, not prediction. Let me know if you'd like a summary version for use on social media or a custom signature block for your TradingView profile.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown in Play? | Bearish Setup Alert🧠 Market Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) has shown incredible bullish strength in recent months, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation uncertainty, and increased demand for safe-haven assets. However, every trend experiences a pause or correction — and that’s where we may currently be. 📊 Pattern Overview: Rising Wedge Formation One of the most prominent technical patterns right now is the Rising Wedge. This is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when price action consolidates upwards in a narrowing range, indicating waning bullish momentum and an imminent breakdown. In this chart: We see a clear series of higher highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. The upper trendline acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower one has been supporting price until now. The wedge has now broken to the downside, signaling the potential start of a new short-term downtrend. 🔍 Key Technical Elements Explained: 🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone Marked in the blue rectangular box, this zone has acted as a historical pivot area — both as support and resistance in the past. The market respected this zone multiple times. Price action tends to hesitate or reverse in such regions due to large institutional order flows. 🧠 2. Black Mind Curve Resistance Unlike flat trendlines, the "Black Mind Curve" represents a curved, psychological dynamic resistance — often based on market sentiment, Fibonacci arcs, or logarithmic regression. It reflects the market’s natural rhythm and is respected due to the hidden behavior of algorithmic trading systems. Price just rejected this resistance after touching it during the wedge formation — a strong bearish clue. 🔄 3. Retest in Progress After breaking out of the rising wedge to the downside, price is now retesting the broken wedge support. This is a common price behavior known as the “kiss of death” — a final tap before continuation. If the price fails to reclaim this broken support zone, it confirms a bearish continuation is on the table. 🎯 Trade Plan: Entry, Target & Stop Trade Element Details Bias Bearish Entry Idea On confirmation of retest rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing candle) Stop Loss (SL) Above the recent high or resistance – near $3,413.58 Take Profit (TP) First major support near $3,153.70 (SR Interchange) Risk-Reward Ratio Estimated between 1:2 to 1:3, depending on entry 🔥 Bonus Target: If momentum increases, an extended drop toward $3,100–$3,080 is possible — where deeper demand lies. 🧘‍♂️ Trading Psychology & Risk Management: Let’s face it: Even the best setup can fail — which is why discipline is your edge. Confirmation is Key: Never short just because of a pattern. Wait for structure + candlestick confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.). Emotions Kill Accounts : Don’t let greed convince you to skip stop-losses or over-leverage. Let Price Come to You: If you missed the perfect entry, don’t chase. The market always gives second chances. 🧠 Educational Insight : What Makes This Setup Powerful? This setup is a confluence trade, meaning: You’re not relying on one signal, but multiple confirmations: Rising wedge (pattern-based) Resistance zone (horizontal S&D) Curved dynamic resistance (psychological + advanced trendline) Retest + rejection behavior (price action) These stacked layers of confirmation increase the probability of a successful trade. 📌 Final Thoughts: Gold is showing all the technical signs of a short-term bearish correction, despite the broader bullish narrative. For smart traders, this is an opportunity to catch a swing short with a clear entry, stop, and target. The key to winning here? Patience and confirmation. You don’t have to predict the market — just react to it with logic and discipline. Let the setup unfold naturally, and let the trade come to you. 💬 What’s Your Take? Are you shorting Gold here or waiting for more confirmation? Have you used curved resistance lines before in your analysis? Drop your thoughts below — and if this helped you, smash the like button, share with others, and follow me for more high-probability setups!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
HIFI | Long | Fixed-Rate Lending Narrative| (May 22, 2025)HIFI | Long | Fixed-Rate Lending Narrative + Swing Setup Forming | (May 22, 2025) 1️⃣ Quick Take: HIFI is showing strong upside potential, with open interest rising and a key liquidity zone approaching. This is a swing trade idea targeting a breakout above recent structure levels. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry: Current market price (~$0.0932), just below last week’s key level Stop Loss: Below $0.0932 support TP1: $0.155 (Partial Exit – liquidity cluster zone) TP2: $0.1855 TP3: $0.4342 (Swing Target) 📈 If we approach $0.155, expect possible liquidations that may cause a short squeeze—watch closely for volatility around that area. 3️⃣ Key Notes: HIFI is riding the momentum of the fixed-rate, fixed-term lending narrative in DeFi. Its bond-like, tokenized debt instruments bring stability in an otherwise volatile market. Built on Ethereum, HIFI targets a niche yet valuable DeFi segment—predictable borrowing. Open interest and volume are starting to pick up, indicating early accumulation. Liquidity at $0.155 makes it a tactical TP1, while the broader target at $0.4342 hinges on continued trend and macro sentiment. 4️⃣ Follow-up: This is a swing setup, so I’ll monitor and adjust based on how price behaves near the liquidation zone and trend continuation structure. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
ONDO | Long | Real-World Asset (RWA) DeFi Strength | (May 2025)ONDO | Long | Real-World Asset (RWA) DeFi Strength + Institutional Backing | (May 22, 2025) 1️⃣ Quick Take: ONDO is running into resistance, but the strong momentum, institutional backing, and broader RWA/DeFi trend continue to support the bullish thesis. Current long setup looks solid, with compounding opportunities on pullbacks. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry: Current market price (~$1.00–$1.05) Stop Loss: $0.95 📉 If price dips to $0.91, I plan to compound the position and add more, adjusting the stop accordingly. TP1: $1.46 TP2: $1.59 TP3: $2.00 TP4: $2.46 (Final Take Profit) 3️⃣ Key Notes: ONDO is riding the narrative of Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization, a major DeFi theme in 2025. Price currently testing resistance. If it clears, there’s room to run significantly higher. Institutional involvement (e.g., BlackRock, JPMorgan, BNY Mellon) gives this project serious backing and legitimacy. On-chain indicators like open interest, spot buys, and general momentum are bullish. The project’s unique positioning—offering tokenized Treasuries and stablecoin yields—places it ahead in the TradFi-to-DeFi transition. 4️⃣ Follow-up: Will monitor how price reacts to resistance and update if there's a structural change or if the $0.91 compounding level gets triggered. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
GBPJPY Update. May 22thAlthough price didn’t follow my initial trade setup exactly, it’s still doing precisely what could be expected. Knowing which levels to focus on — and how to anticipate reactions — is crucial to avoid chasing trades. Let the market do its work. I’m still looking for buy setups (mid to long term) as long as a main key level remains intact. This is not defined by new lows alone, but by how price behaves according to my system. There’s still an area of imbalance within the current structure — that remains my main target. Keep following this trade to see how the market unfolds. Pay close attention to the levels I’ve marked — they’re not random. Each one serves a purpose
by daghandelaar110
Gold Shows Clear Signs of Weakness – Short-Term Downtrend LikelyGold is showing clear signs of weakness after failing to break the strong resistance level at $3350/oz. Bullish momentum has faded as gold broke below the $3325 support and continued its decline, now trading around $3310. Current technical signals indicate that the downtrend remains dominant, and there is a high probability that gold will continue correcting toward the $3290 support level, possibly even testing the $3225 area if the bearish pressure persists. 📰 Key Economic Data Scheduled for Today (U.S.): • Unemployment Claims • Flash Manufacturing PMI • Flash Services PMI These reports could trigger strong short-term volatility, especially if the data is positive and strengthens expectations that the Fed will maintain a tight monetary policy. This scenario could put further downward pressure on gold, as the USD strengthens and Treasury yields rise. ⚠️ Recommendation: Investors are advised to avoid trading during news releases to minimize risk from high volatility. 🔍 Short-Term Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3350 – remains unbroken, confirming weakening buying power. • Nearest Support: $3290 – crucial level to monitor if the downtrend continues. • Deeper Support: $3225 – could be tested if no strong rebound occurs. • Short-Term EMA: Price is currently below the EMA 09, signaling further downside momentum. • Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Series of long red candles reinforce the ongoing bearish trend. 💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios: SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3325$ - 3328 💰 TP : 3310 - 3313 🚨 SL $3335 BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3288$ - 3290$ 💰 TP : 3313 – 3315 🚨 SL $3283
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 20/05/2025We’re halfway through the week and already sitting on two clean setups, all rooted in the Judas Swing Strategy. After Monday gave us nothing worth trading, Tuesday served up textbook opportunities on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. In this breakdown, we’ll walk through two trades from Tuesday and highlight how they followed the exact Judas Swing playbook: manipulation first, then break of structure, retracement and execution AUDUSD: The Classic Fakeout Reversal Tuesday's OANDA:AUDUSD setup was as clean as they come. Price action leading into our session was heading downward. Liquidity had built up nicely above and below our zones giving us the bait we needed for the Judas Swing setup to trigger. As expected, our session opened with a sharp fake move to the downside, sweeping the sell-side liquidity and trapping breakout sellers. What came next was the real clue: a decisive break of structure to the upside, signaling that the manipulation was complete and the true direction was about to unfold. Price formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) during the move up, and once it retraced into that imbalance, we executed our buy: Entry: 0.64007 Stop Loss: 0.63907 Take Profit: 0.64207 The result? We faced some drawdown and a clean move into target. It was a low-stress trade that respected the plan from entry to exit NZDUSD: Same Script If OANDA:AUDUSD was the blueprint, OANDA:NZDUSD mirrored it almost exactly since they are closely correlated pairs. Again, we started the session with a tight range. Liquidity had stacked nicely above and below the zone. Then, right on cue, the market delivered its Judas move, a fast pump below the pre-session lows, baiting in breakout shorts. This was followed by a swift rejection and a clear break of structure to the upside. Once that displacement printed a Fair Value Gap, we knew where our opportunity lay. Entry: 0.59002 Stop Loss: 0.58902 Take Profit: 0.59202 We entered on the retrace, and price moved smoothly in our favor. The difference here? We barely faced any drawdown on this trade as it moved straight to hit our TP putting us up 4% on the two trades These setups reinforce why the Judas Swing Strategy is so effective in manipulated markets: - We don’t chase breakouts we wait for the trap - We don’t force trades we wait for displacement and confirmation - We trust our backtested process even when we miss trades or price misses TP by a whisker Not every trade will close out perfectly, but this method is built around structured logic and patience
by CleoFinance
Market fall down 1. Weak Bearish Confirmation Issue: The red arrow implies a confirmed downtrend, but the price action doesn’t show a strong breakdown—just a slight dip through a thin support zone. Disruption: Without strong bearish candles or volume spikes, the breakdown could be a false move or liquidity grab before a reversal. --- 2. Overconfidence in Double Bottom Reversal Issue: The blue “W” pattern and green arrow suggest a possible double bottom, but no clear second bottom has formed yet. Disruption: Assuming a reversal prematurely is risky. The price may continue dropping, invalidating the bullish reversal scenario. --- 3. Target Placement Is Vague Issue: The "Target" is placed arbitrarily along a horizontal line without referencing key resistance levels or technical confluences. Disruption: Without support from Fibonacci, previous highs, or indicators, the target lacks reliability and could mislead trade planning. --- 4. Lack of Volume Context Issue: The volume histogram shows a spike during a previous down move, but no current volume analysis is integrated into the decision. Disruption: Price action alone, especially on lower timeframes, is insufficient without volume confirmation to validate breakouts or breakdowns. --- 5. No Risk Management Displayed Issue: The analysis includes bullish and bearish paths but omits stop-loss levels or invalidation zones. Disruption: Without clear invalidation, the trade becomes ambiguous and exposes the trader to unnecessary risk if price deviates unexpectedly.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals