SXT | Long | At Reclaim VWAP | (May 22, 2025)SXT | Long | Reclaiming VWAP & Eyeing Resistance Zone | (May 22, 2025)
1️⃣ Quick Take: SXT is showing strength, climbing toward a key resistance area while holding bullish structure on higher timeframes. Liquidity remains on the bulls' side despite a brief corrective signal on the 30-min chart.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry Zone:
✅ Early Entry: Around $0.84
✅ Main Entry: $0.74
Stop Loss: Below VWAP and recent low – structure-based, ideally near $0.70 zone
TP1: $1.00 (Partial Exit)
TP2: $1.37
TP3: $1.47
🪙 Holding 5% of position for extended move potential
3️⃣ Key Notes:
SXT bounced from VWAP, showing continuation toward the Value Area Low, POC, and higher resistance levels.
Inverse head & shoulders pattern forming – would prefer a dip below VWAP for re-entry confirmation.
Order flow shows aggressive spot selling, possibly by a single player. Liquidations noted, but broader sentiment remains long-biased.
On higher timeframes, liquidity still supports bullish continuation.
Watch overall market mood and correlation with BTC/NQ/SPX for additional confidence.
4️⃣ Follow-up: I’ll be monitoring for that re-entry opportunity near VWAP and updating the setup if structure shifts.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Market next move
1. Overreliance on Basic Support/Resistance
Issue: The analysis uses a simple support/resistance concept without clear validation (e.g., no multiple touches or volume confirmation).
Disruption: Support could easily break if there's insufficient volume or strong bearish sentiment, invalidating the buy signal.
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2. Lack of Confirmation Indicators
Issue: There's no use of confirmation tools like RSI, MACD, or moving averages.
Disruption: Entering a "Buy" based purely on support without a reversal signal (like bullish divergence or candle patterns) increases risk.
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3. Premature Target Setting
Issue: The target is drawn quickly after a minor dip, with no fib levels, pivot points, or historical resistance considered.
Disruption: The price might face resistance before reaching the “Target,” especially around previous highs or psychological levels.
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4. Ignoring Downside Risk
Issue: The scenario assumes price will bounce back but doesn’t show a stop-loss or contingency for a breakdown.
Disruption: If price breaks the "Support" zone, it could trigger a stronger bearish move—this risk is not accounted for.
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5. Misleading Arrows
Issue: Arrows (red, yellow, blue) seem speculative and oversimplified.
Disruption: They imply a clear path, which can mislead traders into thinking price action follows linear logic—real markets are more chaotic.
xauusd stron down next movePrice is in a resistance/selling zone near 3,310–3,340.
Expected to reject and drop to the target/support near 3,260.
Strong bearish bias based on resistance zone.
Disruptive Bullish Scenario:
Breakout Confirmation:
If the price breaks and closes above 3,340, this invalidates the resistance zone.
This would trigger stop-losses from sellers and initiate buy momentum.
Volume Spike & Momentum:
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Signals Reversal from Discount PricingGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, we are closely monitoring NAS100USD for a potential reversal of bearish institutional order flow. While the broader trend has been bearish, current price action presents strong confluence for a bullish shift, suggesting an opportunity to align with a possible upside move.
Market Context:
NAS100USD is currently trading in deep discount territory, which historically presents favorable conditions for institutional accumulation. We’ve observed a liquidity sweep—price took out previous sell stops—suggesting institutions may have order-paired against willing sellers at these discounted levels.
Key Observations:
SMT Divergence with S&P500: While the S&P500 took out its previous low, NAS100USD remained above its corresponding low. This divergence signals underlying strength and institutional buying on NAS100USD, offering a strong indication of a reversal.
Bullish Structure Hints: Minor breaks in market structure to the upside are emerging, further validating the bullish narrative.
Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently trading inside a bullish order block that is also aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—a strong confluence zone that may act as support for continued upside movement.
Trading Strategy:
Await confirmation of support holding within the order block and FVG zone.
Target 1: Relatively equal highs just above current price action—an engineered liquidity pool where buy stops are likely resting.
Target 2: The premium FVG, a key area of institutional interest where longs accumulated at a discount will be offloaded for profit. The area of fair value is an region where the institutions start to book their profits.
By reading the divergence, price action, and institutional behavior, we can strategically position ourselves to capitalize on a high-probability reversal.
Happy Trading,
The Architect 🏛📊
XAUUSD✅ Second Trade of the Day – XAUUSD
The second trade of the day comes from Gold (XAUUSD).
Just like BTC, gold has shown strong bullish momentum in recent days. I’m looking to take advantage of this minor pullback within the broader uptrend — a classic continuation setup on the 15-minute chart.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3330.72
✔️ Take Profit: 3341.37
✔️ Stop Loss: 3325.42
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm simply sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 If you're interested in a more systematic and data-driven trading approach:
💡 Follow the page and enable notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Ethereum will beat Gold.
Gold has been adored by humans since ancient times. Countless lives have been lost fighting over such treasure. Empires, governments and banks love the precious metal and keep thousands of tons of them with utmost security.
Ethereum, on the other hand, was created by a person just 12 years ago. You can't actually feel or touch it because it's purely virtual. But its potential is far greater than gold itself. Because of supply and demand, as well as certainty.
There's still plenty of undiscovered deposits of gold worth millions. When they are discovered and mined, there's more gold to go around for everyone, although we don't know how much gold there's left. But for Ethereum, we know its supply will shrink over time and the amount is completely certain. We know exactly how much there is and how much there will be.
It's also a lot easier to own Ethereum than to own actual gold. There's so many transactional costs involved. That's why even though gold is physical and has been gaining pretty well throughout the years, it just can't beat something better.
BTCUSDT | Bitcoin is ready to new ATHBitcoin ATH is 109,588. All previous resistances and liquidities have been swept! There is no resistance level for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is ready to go up more. As you can see, there is a Fair Value Gap for Bitcoin. The price is moving down to sweep liquidity at about 103,000 to 104,000. Then we will be ready to go up more and see these targets: 108,000, 110,000, and 112,000. Be profitable!
BTCUSDT – Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Breakout ContinuesBitcoin is advancing through a textbook Wyckoff Re-Accumulation structure on the 4H chart. After the Spring and multiple LPS confirmations, price surged above the previous range high (~110k), entering a strong Sign of Strength (SOS) rally.
We now observe:
✅ Second 4H candle close above ATH (110,000)
✅ RSI: 70.9 → Strong bullish momentum
✅ Volume: Above MA during breakout, healthy but slightly declining
✅ Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper BB (111,227)
✅ Structure forming a Backup (BU?) test near ATH
The current move targets a measured pennant breakout projection:
🎯 TP1: 115,224
🎯 TP2: 116,199
🎯 TP3: 117,449 – 118,237 (Fib extension confluence)
This aligns with Wyckoff Phase E and continuation of the markup cycle.
No short setups valid — trend remains firmly bullish. Pullbacks to 110k could offer high-conviction long entries as BU confirmation.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTA #BTCAnalysis #Reaccumulation #TradingView
BTC on weekly chart ( cup and handle )CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD
As an overview of Bitcoin on the weekly chart.
We have a cup and handle targeting the area at 131,000 and I think this price is the target of this cycle.
We also have the neckline zone at the price of 73k and we see that the price is still trading above it until now, so in the event of any other decline, I think the neckline area is the lowest price that will be reached and represents the retest point to start for the new highs.
We also note that the price is still above the averages: 50-100-200 and we notice its rebound when it touched the average of 50
Conclusion: Since we are above the 70-73 thousand zone, there is no need to worry because this indicates that the chart is moving in the right direction, but in the event of a break in the 70k zone, this will be the first sign of the beginning of the negative.
UPDATE SOON ....
GOLD UPDATES – XAUUSD -MAY 22nd ahead of Unemployment claims&PMIGold is walking on a tightrope today — and below it is a pit full of retail stops. With a full lineup of high-impact USD news and price tapping into key supply zones, you already know:
The first move is bait. The second pays the sniper.
🧨 FUNDAMENTAL MINEFIELD – MAY 22
Today is packed with market-moving data — every piece adds fuel to the fire:
🕒 15:30 – Unemployment Claims
230K forecast vs. 229K previous
👀 A miss = USD weakness, gold spike
🧨 A beat = potential pressure on gold
🛠️ 16:45 – Flash PMIs (Manufacturing & Services)
Manufacturing: 49.9 → contraction
Services: 51.0 → weak expansion
💥 This is the real bias decider. Two beats = gold down. Two misses = gold up. One of each = chop zone.
🌍 G7 Meetings – All Day
Geopolitical tension brewing? That’s the stealth trigger gold always loves.
🧠 MACRO STRUCTURE OUTLOOK
• HTF still shows price moving inside key supply
• D1/H4 momentum looks bullish but stretched
• No clean HTF BOS, and no new structural dominance post-May 21 sell setup
⚠️ Translation: Rally looks strong but smells like trap. NY session will expose the truth.
🗺 GOLDMINDSFX SNIPER ZONE MAP ✅
🔴 SUPPLY / SHORT BIAS ZONES
• 3355–3364
→ H1/H4 supply + internal sweep zone
→ Primary area for fakeouts/premium fades
• 3385–3395
→ Old POI + unmitigated H4 OB
→ Algo zone for stop-hunt before dump
• 3418–3427
→ Daily imbalance extension
→ Low-touch, high-R:R trap — news only
🟢 DEMAND / LONG BIAS ZONES
• 3315–3308
→ H1 OB + micro break zone
→ Must hold for bullish continuation
• 3298–3288
→ Post-CHoCH FVG + OB = sniper buy zone
→ High-prob bounce zone
• 3270–3260
→ H4 breaker + old demand
→ Key flip zone — if lost, bears take control
• 3236–3228
→ D1 OB + FVG tail
→ Only valid in a meltdown. Deep liquidity final boss.
🎯 CONTROL ZONE: 3315–3308
→ Holds = bulls stay in the game
→ Breaks = we open the door to 3288–3260 slides
⚔️ PLAYBOOK
✅ BULLISH SCENARIO
News comes in weak → price sweeps 3308 or 3288 → reclaims on M15
→ Enter on confirmation
❌ BEARISH SCENARIO
USD data strong → gold nukes 3308 → flips it to resistance
→ Short confirmed rejection at 3355 or 3385
⚠️ TRAP SCENARIO
Expect first move post-news to be fake. Spike above 3355 or below 3308 is bait.
→ Real sniper entry = the second move, after reclaim or rejection with structure
🎯 FINAL WORD
No confirmation = no entry.
The market doesn’t care how you feel. It only respects execution.
“Structure is the setup. News is the trap. Your job is to wait.”
If this helps you stay clear and deadly — drop a 🚀 and follow for sniper-grade clarity daily.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Greed: The Silent Killer Behind Your LiquidationsWhen the market turns green, everyone feels like a genius... But why do most traders lose the most money exactly at that point?
Is it your greed tricking you, or is the market designed to trap emotions?
In this analysis, we take a deep dive into how greed shapes your decisions — plus tools to help you stay rational before placing any trade.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Solana:
SOL, a market leader and one of my top picks, is currently consolidating near the critical psychological level of $200. Given its historical momentum and influence over correlated assets, a clean break above this level could trigger a minimum 14% upside, with $200 as the immediate target . Market sentiment remains cautious, but the setup hints at a potential bullish continuation 🚀.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
💥 Where Does Greed Actually Start?
Greed often wears the mask of motivation. The difference? Motivation is rooted in analysis. Greed is rooted in fantasy.
When a coin suddenly pumps 150%, the noise on social media explodes — and so do your imagined gains… often before you've even checked the 4H chart.
📊 TradingView Tools to Spot Greed Traps
TradingView isn't just about pretty charts — it's a powerful platform to organize your trading mindset, if you know how to use it right. Here are three practical tools to help you identify whether your next trade is based on logic — or just plain hype:
Fear & Greed Index:
A composite indicator showing the market's emotional state using volume, volatility, and other metrics. Readings above 70? You’re probably in a greed zone.
Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR):
This shows where real money has flowed. If you’re buying in a price zone with historically low volume, you might be walking into a fake breakout.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) with 2 or 7 Settings:
A hyper-reactive RSI setting helps you catch emotional peaks in smaller timeframes. Above 80? Time to breathe, not buy.
Pro tip : Build a self-check list on your chart. Questions like: “Am I acting on impulse?” or “Is this revenge trading?” can save you from emotional trades.
🔁 Repeating Behaviors That Kill Accounts
Entering with high leverage and no stop-loss
Buying into massive green candles
Copying trades without personal analysis
Switching strategies based on emotions
Trading just to recover past losses (aka revenge trading)
These are not strategy flaws — they are emotional traps caused by unchecked greed.
🧘♂️ How to Calm Your Mind Before Trading
Ask yourself: "If this trade flips against me, what's my move?"
Use TradingView Alerts instead of staring at charts for hours
Define risk per trade as a percentage, not based on "gut feeling"
Always have an exit plan — the market doesn’t care about your hopes
📉 Is Liquidation Always a Sign of Bad Analysis?
Not always. Often, the chart was right, but greed kept the trader from exiting at the logical spot. Tools told you to get out — but your mind said, “What if it goes higher?”
🧭 How Greed Shows Up in Different Timeframes
In 5-minute charts, greed looks like sudden spikes. In 4H charts, it can be a fakeout or deceptive pullback.
Recognizing the form greed takes in your preferred timeframe is a game-changer.
🧲 How to Use Greed to Your Advantage
Yes — you can flip the script. When everyone is entering trades driven by greed, you can prepare to exit.
If RSI is high, volume is weak, and hype is everywhere — maybe it’s time to cash out, not load up .
💡Closing Note
Greed exists in every market — but that doesn’t mean you have to follow it.
Start treating your chart like a mirror — not a crystal ball. When a trade feels “too perfect,” stop and reflect. It might not be your edge talking — it might be your greed .
always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Pump and Dump🚨 Market Update – AGT Traders Beware 🚨
On May 21, Binance saw $141.14K in short liquidations vs. $90.47K in longs.
Today, just on Gate.io, there were a whopping $609.92K in long liquidations.
Overall volume remains low compared to previous days - signaling weak momentum and increased risk.
📅 On June 1, 82.35M AGT tokens (~$2.57M) will be unlocked.
⚠️ Expect high volatility - potential pump and dump scenarios.
Stay cautious out there.
Golden Dome: the new space shield redefining global securityBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst, ActivTrades
In the full-throttle race for orbital supremacy, the U.S. government has unveiled its ambitious “Golden Dome” plan, a next-generation missile-defense system that builds on the newly established Space Force. With an estimated budget of USD 175 billion and an operational target date of 2029, the project aims to detect and neutralize threats using space-based interceptors and a network of sensors and communications capable of near-real-time alerts.
A rebooted heir to Reagan’s “Star Wars”
In the 1980s, Ronald Reagan launched the Strategic Defense Initiative—widely dubbed “Star Wars”—to shoot down enemy missiles in mid-flight. That effort collapsed under technological constraints and fears of uncontrolled proliferation. Today, however, evolving strategic challenges have revived the need for a deep-layered defense before a long-range weapon can threaten national security.
Threats without borders or predictable trajectories
The danger spectrum has expanded: from Russian satellites carrying offensive payloads to Chinese nuclear-capable hypersonic glide vehicles. Added to that are coordinated swarms of drones and erratic missiles—like the one Iran launched at Israel in April 2024. “By 2050, we should expect ultra-precise threats launched from any domain, including space,” warned Frank Kendall, former Secretary of the Air Force, in a December report. “There will be no sanctuary. Space will be recognized as the decisive domain for almost all military operations.”
L3Harris and Lockheed Martin front and center
Defense giants are already lining up. L3Harris Technologies (LHX) will supply next-generation satellite communications and infrared sensors, while Lockheed Martin (LMT) will refine space-based interceptors and ground integration. Both predict Golden Dome will generate billions in revenue for over a decade, with the technology potentially exportable—under strict controls—to allied nations keen to bolster their defenses.
Lockheed Martin: fundamentals under the spotlight
In fiscal 2024, Lockheed Martin smashed its own sales record, reaching USD 71,043 million versus USD 67,571 million in 2023. Yet net profit dipped from USD 6,920 million in 2023 to USD 5,336 million in 2024, weighed down by higher R&D costs and accelerated space-program spending on Golden Dome. The momentum continues into 2025, with Q1 sales of USD 18,000 million (+4 % YoY) and net earnings of USD 1,712 million, although margins have stalled slightly amid heavy investment in orbital infrastructure and interceptor satellites. On the markets, LMT closed at USD 475.82 on May 20, 2025—2.5 % below its USD 485.94 year-open high—after swinging between lows near USD 419 and highs above USD 509, reflecting investor jitters over Golden Dome’s costs and new Space Force contracts.
A security gap and the future of treaties
Deploying an orbital shield poses vast diplomatic challenges. The ability to intercept missiles in their boost phase would undermine the doctrine of mutual assured destruction and accelerate obsolescence of the 1967 Outer Space Treaty, which bans weapons of mass destruction in orbit. Several nations, notably Russia and China, have already voiced objections and warned they may respond by expanding their own counter-space arsenals.
Toward a new arms race?
As the West grapples with these questions, Golden Dome looms as a prime catalyst for a potential space arms race. Beyond tangible gains in homeland defense, the real test will be balancing deterrence without triggering a tit-for-tat cycle that leads to irreversible militarization of Earth’s orbit.
Conclusion
Golden Dome is more than a technological evolution of an ’80s dream—it is America’s bet to retain strategic advantage in the final frontier. With L3Harris and Lockheed Martin at the vanguard and an international stage fraught with recriminations, the project will shape global security and space law for years to come. As development advances, the world community must decide whether a defensive shield can coexist with orbital peace or, conversely, usher in an unprecedented era of tension.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Swing Trading for EICHERMOTMulti-Timeframe Market Analysis
🕐 1-Hour Chart (Higher Timeframe – HTF)
Trend: Bullish
Structure: The market recently formed a Break of Structure (BOS) by taking out the previous swing high.
Retracement: Price has retraced to the 72% Fibonacci level, indicating a potential area for continuation of the uptrend.
Key Zone: Price has now tapped into a significant 1H Order Block (OB), which may act as a strong support zone.
🕒 15-Minute Chart (Mid Timeframe – MTF)
Change of Character (ChoCh): A bullish ChoCh has occurred, signaling a shift in internal structure from bearish to bullish.
Implication: This confirms alignment with the bullish HTF trend and strengthens the case for a potential long entry.
🕐📉 Lower Timeframe (3-Minute or 1-Minute – LTF)
Confirmation Required: Wait for one of the following before entering:
ChoCh (bullish structure shift)
Flip Zone (resistance turning into support)
Entry Strategy: Enter a long position after confirmation from LTF price action.
Stop Loss: Place below the LTF swing low or the 1H OB (based on risk tolerance).
Target: Previous 1H high or next significant liquidity level.
Gold Long, S&P Short, USDJPY Short: Flight to SafetyThis is a multi-asset idea in which I explain how different instruments helps us to paint a picture of what is happening at a macro level, specifically to the financial markets.
Over here, I proposed that the equity markets, represented by S&P500, are going to correct heavily and that we will be in a flight-to-safety mode. Not brought up here but will add strength to the hypothesis is the yield on US Treasuries have also gone up.
Gold Tap into Order Block, Ready for the Drop?Here’s a surgical bearish setup on XAUUSD, right out of the smart money playbook. Gold has tapped into a premium order block inside the golden zone (between 61.8%–79%) and is showing signs of exhaustion. This could be the beginning of a major sell-off.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
🔻 Bearish Channel:
Market respecting both internal and external structure — clear downward channel
🟣 Order Block Zone:
Price tapped into the OB nestled between 3,332 – 3,338
➕ Aligns with 70.5%–79% Fib retracement zone (premium price)
🔂 Swing Failure Pattern (SFP):
Price wicked above previous minor high, showing manipulation + rejection
🔥 High RR Setup:
✅ Entry: 3,331.7 (current OB tap)
❌ SL: ~3,370
🎯 TP: 3,120 zone (0% fib extension + previous structure)
🧠 Confluences:
Liquidity taken above minor highs
OB + Fib alignment
Previous channel high rejection
Structural LH forming
🎯 Trade Idea:
This is a textbook distribution phase after a channel mitigation. Smart money has likely finished accumulating above highs and is prepping for markdown.
Plan:
Wait for bearish confirmation (e.g., 15min BOS or engulfing candle)
Enter short from OB
Trail SL if price breaks below the mid-channel zone
🧠 Quote for Traders:
“Price doesn’t reverse randomly. It reacts at engineered levels by the institutions.”
— Stay reactive, not predictive.
#AN001: Geopolitical Situations and Forex Impact
Hi, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about how the recent geopolitical turmoil is impacting global currency markets. In this week of May 2025, significant events are shaking up the global economic and political balance, with direct repercussions on Forex.
Geopolitical Overview: Rising Tensions
India-Pakistan Crisis
Following the terrorist attack in Pahalgam on April 22, which left 25 Indian tourists dead, relations between India and Pakistan deteriorated rapidly. Artillery exchanges along the Line of Control, diplomatic expulsions and the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty characterized the following weeks. Although a ceasefire was reached on May 10, the situation remains volatile, with significant impacts on air traffic and regional trade routes.
Wikipedia
Iran-US Nuclear Stalemate
The nuclear talks between Iran and the United States are at a standstill. Tehran refuses to stop enriching uranium and negotiate on its missile program, while Washington insists on these conditions. Iran, under economic pressure from sanctions, may seek support from China and Russia, although these allies face their own geopolitical challenges.
Reuters
"Golden Dome" and US Trade Policies
President Donald Trump has announced the "Golden Dome" project, a $175 billion missile defense system inspired by Israel's Iron Dome. Meanwhile, protectionist US trade policies are generating uncertainty in global markets, with the European Union proposing a "Buy European" strategy to strengthen the bloc's economic autonomy.
The Times of India
Financial Times
FX Impacts: Currency Market Analysis
EUR/USD: Downside Pressure
The euro is under pressure due to trade tensions with the US and domestic economic uncertainties. Proposals to reform public procurement and European defense initiatives could affect investor sentiment. The ECB has highlighted risks to financial stability arising from these tensions.
USD/JPY: Yen Safe Haven
Amid global uncertainty, the Japanese yen is strengthening as a safe haven currency. Tensions in the Middle East and US policies are pushing investors towards safer assets, supporting the yen’s appreciation.
GBP/USD: Towards a New UK-EU Relationship
The UK, under Prime Minister Keir Starmer, is seeking to re-establish closer relations with the European Union, without rejoining the bloc. This pragmatic strategy could reduce economic uncertainty and positively impact sterling in the medium term.
USD/CAD: Influence of Oil Prices
The Canadian dollar is affected by fluctuations in oil prices, influenced by uncertainties in the Iran-US negotiations and tensions in Ukraine. Canada's dependence on energy exports makes the CAD sensitive to these developments.