Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

The Effect of Sun in Capricorn on GoldThe Effect of Sun in Capricorn on Gold (21st December - 30 Days Forward) Historically, when the Sun transitions into Capricorn, gold exhibits a 90% probability of bullish movement within the following 30 days. Key Observations: 1. Seasonal Bullish Pattern The Sun in Capricorn often marks a period of increased demand or positive sentiment for gold, driving prices higher during this phase. 2. Current Market Dynamics - While many analysts predict further declines, with a potential target at $2,540 after breaking below the base level, I hold a contrarian view. - The current price action resembles a retest of the broken base, which many expect to confirm a downtrend. However, I believe this retest will serve as a setup for the price to re-enter the base and establish a bullish trend. 3. Swing Low Opportunity This could represent the final swing low of the year, offering a significant buying opportunity for traders who anticipate a return to higher levels. 4. Bullish Momentum Potential Once the price reclaims the base, the structure will likely support a rally towards key resistance levels outlined in the previous analysis, leading to a bullish breakout scenario. Conclusion: Despite the bearish narrative and the possibility of further drops, my perspective suggests a bullish reversal is on the horizon. Traders should watch for signs of strength as the price moves back into its base, signaling the beginning of a new bullish trend to close the year on a high note.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rich_From_Home
Building a massive short up to 55k We are seeing a similar pattern to the 2020-2021 bull run, but this time under different circumstances and with Bitcoin at a much higher price. Over the years, Bitcoin has significantly outperformed benchmarks like the S&P 500, which continues to attract both institutional and retail investors. Previously, we experienced a correction from $60K to $30K. Now, we’re observing a correction from approximately $100K to $50K. These are rough estimates, but the trend appears consistent. In my opinion, based on the past eight years of observing Bitcoin charts (though not daily), the market often feels manipulated. This is likely due to Bitcoin’s relatively smaller market cap compared to other asset classes like stocks, forex, or mega-cap stocks (e.g., FAANGM). Recently, we faced rejection from a falling wedge pattern on the ES, which is bearish. I had hoped that lower VIX levels would encourage portfolio managers to re-enter the market, but with the stock market holiday on Wednesday, the 25th, I anticipated heightened volatility and an additional correction of approximately 8-10%. I’m aware that hedge funds are engaging in “window dressing” as the year ends. Portfolio managers are likely to remain passive, avoiding risky trades that could jeopardize their year-end bonuses. As a result, we can expect a quieter market from their side. Along the way, we may see some “dead cat bounces,” but there’s no need to worry. I had hoped Bitcoin would maintain its upward trajectory, but putting emotions aside and analyzing objectively: VWAP is significantly below the current price. Fibonacci retracement suggests further downside. Awesome Oscillator (AO) and RSI indicate bearish momentum. Money flow is negative. A significant short wall has formed, and many positions have already been liquidated . Based on this, it seems likely that we’ll continue moving downward. I’ve included two additional charts in the comments below for further insights.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Risk_Adj_Return
4
#EURCAD 2HEURCAD (2H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: Channel Pattern: The price is moving within a defined channel, respecting both support and resistance levels. Currently, it is near the upper boundary of the channel, signaling potential resistance. Bearish Engulfing Area: A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern has appeared near the resistance zone, indicating possible selling pressure. Forecast: Sell Opportunity: The price is positioned at the channel resistance with bearish candlestick confirmation, suggesting a potential downward move within the channel. Key Levels to Watch: Entry Zone: Near the upper boundary of the channel or at the bearish engulfing area. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or engulfing candle high to protect against invalidation. Take Profit Zones: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel as potential downside levels. Market Sentiment: Bearish Outlook: Sellers are likely to dominate as long as the price remains below the resistance area, maintaining a downward channel trend.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
1
SOLUSDT - Will this nightmare come true?On October 22, I published this chart, and many were skeptical about what I was talking about. "I share it and u can check the link i left in attachment." Now, this scenario is highly likely, and everything is unfolding as shown in the chart below. You can clearly see the Wyckoff Distribution pattern already formed, and so far, price movements align significantly with the illustration provided. Currently, the price has returned to the distribution zone, hitting the "failed rally point" . All of this appears to have been a trap. And why not?... SOL is one of the largest coins in the market by market cap. Everyone is expecting SOL to achieve x3 or even x10. This makes it entirely logical for the price not to move higher amidst this level of optimism. I’m not entirely pessimistic, but I view things from a purely logical perspective. This pattern is not yet confirmed—we need a massive red candle closing below the distribution zone to confirm it. However, the price movement so far is perfectly aligned with the Wyckoff Distribution logic. If a close below this red zone happens, consider it a signal to exit the market entirely."
by ceciliones
10
Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT): Big Moves Ahead?Good morning, trading family! Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) is at a critical juncture, and here’s what we’re watching: If the price falls below $33.87: It could drop to $30-$28, with a chance of bouncing back to $59.57 afterward. If the price breaks above $38.51: We could see momentum push it to $59 or higher. If it fails to hold $28: Deeper declines may follow. These levels are key, and how the price reacts will set the direction. Let’s stay sharp and trade smart! Comment, like, follow, or send me a DM if you want more insights on this setup! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:DJT
by Mindbloome-Trading
AAPL Technical Analysis for Tomorrows - Dec.23 1. 1-Hour Timeframe * Current Price: $255.28 * Resistance Levels: * $257.30 (recent high and breakout level) * $260.00 (psychological level and potential target) * Support Levels: * $251.97 (previous breakout zone, now acting as support) * $249.79 (secondary key support level) 2. Key Observations A. Trend and Momentum: * AAPL recently broke out of a descending trendline with strong momentum, signaling bullish strength. * Price action is currently consolidating just below the resistance at $257.30, which will be critical for determining the next move. B. Stochastic Oscillator: * The Stochastic is nearing the overbought zone, suggesting that the stock might see a slight pullback before making another attempt to move higher. C. Volume Analysis: * The breakout was accompanied by a noticeable volume spike, validating the bullish breakout. However, sustained volume will be needed to push past $257.30. 3. Trade Scenarios Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Look for consolidation above $255.00, followed by a breakout of $257.30 with strong volume. * Target: $260.00 (psychological resistance) and potentially higher if momentum sustains. * Stop-Loss: Below $251.97 to limit downside risk. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: If AAPL rejects $257.30 and breaks below $251.97 with increasing volume. * Target: $249.79 (key support zone) and possibly lower. * Stop-Loss: Above $257.30. 4. My Thoughts on AAPL’s Direction Based on the current price action and volume dynamics, I believe AAPL is more likely to test the $257.30 resistance and break higher. The bullish breakout from the descending trendline, combined with strong volume, supports upward momentum. However, with the Stochastic Oscillator nearing overbought levels, we could see a brief pullback before further upside. If $257.30 is broken decisively, $260.00 becomes a realistic short-term target. 5. Key Levels to Watch * Support: $251.97 and $249.79 * Resistance: $257.30 and $260.00 AAPL is displaying strong bullish momentum, and my bias is tilted toward the upside for tomorrow. Keep an eye on the $257.30 resistance level for a breakout or rejection, as this will dictate the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please trade responsibly and manage your risk accordingly. -------------- Scalping Strategy (Options Trading) Key Observations: * Resistance Levels: * $257.50: Highest Gamma Wall, acting as a strong resistance. * $260.00: Psychological and GEX resistance zone. * Support Levels: * $252.50: 3rd Call Wall (moderate support). * $247.50: HVL (High Volume Level), a major support. Scalping Call Options: * Setup: Enter calls if price consolidates above $257.50 and breaks out with volume confirmation. * Exit Target: $260.00. * Stop-Loss: Below $257.00 to minimize risk. Scalping Put Options: * Setup: Enter puts if the price rejects $257.50 or fails to hold above $257.00. * Exit Target: $252.50. * Stop-Loss: Above $258.00. Long/Short Strategy Long Strategy: * Entry: Look for a breakout above $257.50 with strong volume and bullish momentum. * Target: $260.00 (short-term), $262.50 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Below $256.00 to protect against reversal. Why It Works: * $257.50 is the highest gamma exposure level, and a breakout above this zone indicates strong bullish sentiment. Short Strategy: * Entry: Enter short positions if the price fails to break above $257.50 and shows a rejection (e.g., wicks or bearish engulfing candles). * Target: $252.50 (3rd Call Wall), $247.50 (HVL). * Stop-Loss: Above $258.00. Why It Works: * Rejection at $257.50 confirms resistance and potential profit-taking, aligning with put gamma levels below $252.50. Key Tips for Scalping and Options Trading 1. Volume Confirmation: * Ensure volume spikes during breakouts or rejections for higher probability trades. 2. Timeframe: * Use the 1-minute or 5-minute chart for scalping execution. 3. Implied Volatility: * IV is at 24.1%. Look for slightly out-of-the-money (OTM) options with low time decay for scalping. Conclusion * Bullish Case: AAPL breaks above $257.50 → Target $260.00 and $262.50. * Bearish Case: AAPL rejects $257.50 → Target $252.50 and $247.50. Stay focused on high-probability setups by watching volume, price action near key levels, and momentum indicators like Stochastic Oscillator. Let me know if you'd like a more specific strike price or expiration recommendation! 🚀
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
1
DOGS/USDT: Bearish Continuation or Relief Bounce Ahead?hello guys! let's analyze Dogs! Liquidity Sweep ("Hunted"): A recent liquidity grab above the $0.0009000 resistance level indicates that smart money may have trapped late buyers before the sharp sell-off. This bearish move aligns with the concept of liquidity hunting, where key levels are taken out before price reverses. Bearish Momentum: DOGS/USDT has broken below the mid-range support zone ($0.0006800-$0.0007000), suggesting strong bearish pressure. The price is currently retesting this zone as resistance, a critical area for determining the next move. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: The previous support zone at $0.0006800-$0.0007000 is now acting as resistance. A rejection here could confirm a continuation of the downtrend. Support Levels: The critical support level lies at $0.0004500-$0.0004700 (purple zone). A break below this could open the door for a deeper correction toward $0.0003500. Possible Scenarios: Bearish Continuation: If the price fails to reclaim $0.0006800, expect a drop to the major support at $0.0004500. A breakdown below this zone could trigger panic selling. Short Position: Entry: Near $0.0006800-$0.0007000. Targets: $0.0004500, followed by $0.0003500. Stop Loss: Above $0.0007300. Long Position (Aggressive): Entry: Near the purple support zone ($0.0004500). Targets: $0.0006800, followed by $0.0009000. Stop Loss: Below $0.0004300.
by melikatrader94
1
theta midterm sell"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Short
by Golden_candle
Safe entry AMD Buy and HoldNASDAQ:AMD AMD is currently showing a solid pullback from its all-time high (ATH), with shares trading around $124. While $120 looks like a strong entry point, there’s potential for the stock to dip further, possibly hitting $100. Time will tell if it reaches that level. Under the leadership of CEO Lisa Su, AMD has evolved into one of the top semiconductor giants, making impressive gains in both CPU market share and stock value in recent years. With a rapidly expanding footprint in the AI chip market, the company is well-positioned for future growth. My 2025 price target for AMD is approximately $250, driven by its continued innovation and strong market dynamics.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Hoosh
UKOIL - Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key swing low and left untouched swing high. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
FX:UKOILLong
by Maks_Klimenko
Alerts Are a Trader’s Best FriendStaring at charts all day doesn’t make you a better trader, it just makes your eyes tired and your nerves fried. That’s why I rely on alerts—signal lines at key levels in both directions. They’re like my personal assistants, letting me know when the market needs my attention, so I don’t have to babysit the screen. It gives me time to focus on other things—whether it’s hobbies, learning, or just relaxing—without the fear of missing a move. When an alert triggers, I calmly assess the situation, decide the next steps, or set more alerts and close the chart again. Save your energy for the moments that matter. Let the alerts do the waiting for you 🚨. Your eyes, nerves, and trading performance will thank you 😁.
Education
by The_Traders_Memoirs
DOGE parabolicHello, I would like to draw your attention to the Blue forecast. This is a long range favorite for what DOGE does in these excited runs. Can you imagine a $69 Doge by mid February? Wowser! There must be an unlimited money supply out there…. Ah yes… flowing in to the crypto sphere from black rock ETF through BTC and ETH. Bu those insane prices already anticipated this ETF… buy the rumor, sell the news. And after everyone dumps BTC… what are they gonna do with it? The DOGE tribe is growing… and bound by LOVE. Love is the future… fear and greed the past.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD
by DHLawrence