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ATR+Order Block IndicatorThis is my ATR + Order Block Indicator , a powerful tool for identifying price ranges and reversals. The red line represents the accumulation zone, while the green line is the distribution zone. When the price touches either line, it tends to reverse, creating a predictable range. The distance between the two zones defines the expected price range, dynamically adjusting based on buyer and seller pressure. The blue line is the ATR line, which indicates market conditions—whether the price is rising, falling, or moving sideways. A flat blue line signals a sideways market, helping traders refine their strategies. This chart of Nifty Bank demonstrates clear and concise signals generated by this indicator. Unlike traditional tools like EMA, RSI, Bollinger Bands, or Supertrend, my indicators are designed to be unique and combine multiple elements for more accurate buy and sell signals. This indicator is free, but if you’re impressed by its performance, imagine what my paid indicators can do! follow me on TradingView, and stay updated as I release more innovative tools. Feel free to message me on TradingView for details about my paid indicators or to explore the many ideas I’ve published. Thank you for your support, and happy trading!
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by TradeTechanalysis
China stocks ready to go? #DeepSeek another reason..This is a chart of the benchmark index for Hong Kong - HK50 It's up on Monday, while Nvidia is down 10+% If funds are flowing out of Nvidia - China (home of DeepSeek) could be one place they end up. The Hang Seng is a perfect example of how long a trend can take to reverse. How many times would traders have tried to go long this index only to see it slump right back towards the bottom? Now while this trend reversal might be delayed further - and might fail altogether - we think there is enough evidence to suggest a reversal is happening. The price is above a rising weekly 30 week SMA A long term trendline has broken Crucially - the price made a double bottom pattern around 15,000 DAILY CHART On the daily chart we see the strong surge in buying interest from September has given way to a long multi-month correction. We are looking for a breakout above the down trendline to demonstrate the correction has finished and a new up-leg is beginning. The final confirmation would come from a break of resistance (not drawn) from the November and December highs at 21,350. Should the price turn lower and make a new fractal low under 19,650 then we’ll have to wait a bit longer for the Hang Seng trend reversal. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by jasperlawler
what is Volume?Volume Indicators are technical analysis tools that evaluate the strength of a trend or price movement based on trading volume, which represents the number of shares, contracts, or units of an asset traded over a given period. Volume indicators provide insights into the participation and conviction behind price moves, helping traders confirm trends, spot potential reversals, or detect breakouts. Why Volume Matters Volume reflects market activity and interest: High Volume: Suggests strong participation, confirming the validity of price movements. - Low Volume: Indicates weak interest, often leading to uncertainty about the sustainability of price moves. For example: In an uptrend, rising prices with increasing volume confirm the bullish trend. - Conversely, falling prices with increasing volume confirm a bearish trend. Popular Volume Indicators On-Balance Volume (OBV): OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting it on down days. Signal: If OBV rises while the price is flat, it indicates hidden buying pressure, suggesting a potential price breakout. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP): VWAP calculates the average price of an asset weighted by volume, providing a benchmark for institutional traders. Signal: If the price is above VWAP, it\u2019s considered bullish; below VWAP is bearish. Volume Oscillator: The Volume Oscillator compares short-term and long-term moving averages of volume. Signal: Positive readings indicate increasing volume momentum, while negative readings suggest declining momentum. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): CMF measures buying and selling pressure by analyzing volume and price movement. Signal: A positive CMF indicates accumulation (buying), while a negative CMF indicates distribution (selling). Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D): Tracks the flow of money into or out of an asset by analyzing volume and price close relative to its range. Signal: Rising A/D suggests accumulation (buying), while falling A/D suggests distribution (selling). How to Use Volume Indicators Confirm Trends: - Use volume to validate price movements. For example, a breakout above resistance is more reliable with strong volume. 2. Spot Divergences: - If price moves up while volume decreases, it could indicate a weakening trend and a potential reversal. 3. Detect Breakouts: - Sudden spikes in volume often accompany significant price breakouts from consolidation patterns. 4. Evaluate Trend Strength: - Increasing volume during a trend suggests strength, while declining volume signals weakness. Limitations of Volume Indicators False Signals: High volume alone doesn\u2019t guarantee a sustainable price move. - Market Context Needed: Volume behavior differs across asset classes (e.g., stocks vs. cryptocurrencies). - Timeframe Sensitivity: Volume signals can vary based on the chosen timeframe. By understanding and using volume indicators effectively, traders can gain a deeper perspective on market dynamics and improve decision-making.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Cryptonic_Trading
Trading’s Worst Kept Secret: How Inconsistency Wiped My $200kLast week, a trader messaged me about his "profitable" strategy. He made $5,000 in one week, lost $3,000 the next, made $2,000 after that, then lost everything trying to recover his losses. His strategy wasn't the problem, his inconsistency was killing his results. I know exactly how this feels. Five years ago, I was the same trader. One month I'd make 20% returns, feeling like I'd finally cracked the code. The next month, I'd lose 30%, wondering what went wrong. This cycle continued until I lost over $10,000 and nearly quit trading altogether. If you're finding yourself on this emotional rollercoaster, stick with me. I share weekly insights about transforming your trading psychology in my newsletter. But first, let me show you what's really happening in your trading. The Hidden Pattern Most Traders Never See Think about your last few weeks of trading. You start Monday motivated and disciplined. By Wednesday, you're taking random trades out of boredom. Friday comes, and you're either trying to recover losses or risking too much to "make the week count." Does this sound familiar? This isn't just about having good days and bad days. It's about the invisible force that's destroying your trading results: inconsistency. I remember one particular month when I was trading a $200,000 funded account. My first week was perfect. I followed all my rules, and made 3% profit. The next week, I got overconfident and started taking trades without proper confirmation. Third week, I barely traded at all because I was scared of losing my gains. By the fourth week, I was revenge trading and wiped out the entire month's profits in two days. Why Most Traders Never Realize This Problem Here's what makes inconsistency so dangerous. It masquerades as other problems. When we're losing, we blame our strategy. When we're winning, we credit our "intuition." We never realize that the real issue is our inconsistent execution. Let me share something embarrassing. During my early funded trading days, I had a strategy with a proven 42% win rate and 1:2.5 risk-reward ratio. Mathematically, this strategy should have been profitable. But my actual results were all over the place. Why? Because I wasn't trading the same way every time. Some days I'd risk 1%, other days 2% when I was "sure". Sometimes I'd take profits early, other times let trades run I'd follow my rules strictly after losses but get sloppy after wins This inconsistency turned a profitable strategy into a losing one. The Mathematics of Inconsistency Most traders don't understand that inconsistency doesn't just affect your profits. It changes the entire mathematics of your trading. Let's say you have a strategy that wins 40% of the time and makes twice as much on winners as you lose on losers. If traded consistently, this strategy will make money over time. But add inconsistent execution, and everything changes. When you cut winners short, your 2R winners become 1R winners. When you move stop losses, your 1R losses become 2R losses. When you overtrade, you take setups with lower probability. Suddenly, your profitable strategy becomes a coin flip, except you're risking more than you're making. Want to learn more about how mathematics affects your trading? I break down these concepts every week in my free newsletter. Just drop your email here, and I'll show you exactly how to turn inconsistent results into reliable profits. The Real Cost of Inconsistency The most dangerous part of inconsistency isn't just the money you lose - it's the psychological damage it causes. When you trade inconsistently, you never know if your losses are due to: Your strategy not working Your execution being poor Normal market conditions Your position sizing being wrong This uncertainty leads to constant strategy-hopping, system tweaking, and emotional decision-making. I see this in my mentoring sessions all the time. Traders with perfectly good strategies fail simply because they can't execute consistently. The Professional Approach to Consistency After managing multiple six-figure funded accounts, here's what I've learned about trading consistently. Firstly, you need a detailed trading plan. You should leave no room for interpretation. No "it depends" scenarios. Every decision should be pre-planned so that you will take your trades mechanically. Secondly, you need a daily routine. Have a routine that puts you in the right mindset. For me, this means reviewing my rules every morning, checking my maximum risk for the day, and setting alerts for potential setups. Lastly, you need accountability. It's easy to break your own rules when no one's watching. This is why I started my discord community where traders support each other in maintaining consistency. Building Your Consistency Framework After blowing multiple accounts, I finally developed a system that works. Here's how I transformed my trading: I start each day by writing down my maximum risk per trade. This number never changes, regardless of how I feel about any setup. Before entering any trade, I take a screenshot of my analysis and compare it to my trading plan. If anything doesn't match exactly, I don't take the trade. After each trade, I score myself on execution, not profits. A losing trade that followed my plan perfectly gets a higher score than a winning trade that broke my rules. Taking Action: Your First Steps If you're reading this and realizing inconsistency might be your problem, here's what you need to do. First, admit that your current approach isn't working. Inconsistent execution will never lead to consistent profits. Second, create a trading plan that eliminates decisions during market hours. Every action should be pre-planned. Third, join a community that values consistency over profits. My discord community is filled with traders who understand this. We celebrate perfect execution more than profitable trades. The Path Forward Remember, the market doesn't care about your strategy. It only cares about your execution. Want to learn how to build rock-solid consistency in your trading? Subscribe to my newsletter here. Every week, I share: Practical tips for maintaining consistency Real trade examples with execution breakdowns Psychology frameworks for steady performance Risk management techniques that work Don't let inconsistency keep destroying your results. Join hundreds of traders who've transformed their trading through consistent execution. The choice is yours: Continue riding the emotional rollercoaster of inconsistent trading, or build the framework for reliable, consistent results.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/04]: Bullish Trend Pre-CNYSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) rose last week, closing USD 1.05/ton higher by 24/Jan (Fri). SGX IO Futures opened at USD 103.70/ton on 20/Jan (Mon) and closed at USD 104.75/ton on 24/Jan (Fri). Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 105.35/ton on 21/Jan (Tue) and a low of USD 102.85/ton on 20/Jan (Mon). It traded in a range of USD 2.50/ton during the week, which was narrower than the prior week. Prices traded between the pivot point of USD 101.85 and R1 point of 106.35 throughout the week. Volume peaked on 21/Jan (Tue), as prices traded within the range in the week leading up to Chinese New Year. Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary Dalian iron ore futures saw early gains on China’s stimulus and easing Sino-U.S. tensions but fluctuated midweek on U.S. tariff threats, closing slightly higher as falling port inventories and a weaker dollar provided support. Mixed steel prices reflected short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support, offset by lingering property sector woes, trade uncertainties, and structural market challenges. Port Hedland reopened after a cyclone, easing supply concerns, while Fortescue and ASX:BHP reported stable iron ore output despite operational challenges, contributing to steady market sentiment. China's port IO stockpiles dropped by 1.35 million tons (-0.92%) WoW to 145.28 million tons for the week ending 24/Jan per MMI data . With implied volatility at multi-year lows, the market signals limited expectations for significant price moves after a strong 2025 showing. Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Jan contract trades 18.6% below its last 5-year average (USD 128.93/ton). Short-Term Moving Averages Indicate Strengthening of Bullish Trend Formation of a golden cross on 17/Jan (Fri) followed by upward trend this week indicate that the bullishness may sustain in the near term. Prices hit a significant high the previous week before consolidating at elevated levels. Long-Term Averages Signals Possible Consolidation Near 200-day MA IO prices consolidated near the 200-day MA and closed slightly above the 200-day MA. This indicates the strengthening of the bullish trend as prices near the 200-day MA, with prices may consolidate at this level or show signs of a correction next week. MACD Signals Bullish Momentum; RSI Inching Towards Overbought Zone The MACD signals a positive momentum starting from 14/Jan. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 64.67 inching towards the overbought zone and hovering above the midpoint. Its RSI-based moving average is at 54.02. Volatility Steady, Price Closed Above 38.2% Fibonacci Level Volatility remained steady throughout the week. Prices traded between the resistance levels of 38.2% Fibonacci level (USD 103.15/ton) and the 50.0% Fibonacci level (USD 105.40/ton) during the week. Going forward, the 50.0% Fibonacci level at USD 105.40/ton will act as resistance while the 38.2% level at USD 103.15/ton will act as the support. Buying Pressure Intensified, Price Trading Near the High-Volume Nodes Buying pressure has grown stronger from the start of this week according to the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator. The price is trading near the high-volume node. Price closed the week near the Upper Bollinger Band. IO Prices Rise Towards CNY & Then Decline Thereafter Between 2021 & 2024, SGX IO futures prices have risen leading up to the Chinese New Year before tapering off ten trading days after the holiday. Prices declined before & after CNY holidays only in 2024 while prices continued to rise even after CNY before falling sharply in 2021 & 2022. A similar trend is observed in the first seven days of the ten-day period leading up to CNY 2025. IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIIs) are net long with 157.1k lots across all futures expiries. Managed Money participants, Physicals participants and Others are net short with 134.7k, 5.1k and 17.2k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed Money decreased net short positions last week, while FIIs decreased net long positions. Overall futures open interest as of 17/Jan stood at 1,213,572 lots (9.6%), while it was 1,107,236 lots as of 10/Jan. Source: SGX IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIIs) are net long with 152.9k lots across all futures & options expiries. Managed Money participants, Physicals participants and Others are net short with 129.1k, 5.1k and 18.6k lots respectively across all futures and options expires. Managed Money decreased net short positions last week, while FIIs decreased net long positions. Overall futures and options open interest as of 17/Jan stood at 1,484,889 lots (8.2%), while it was 1,372,286 lots as of 10/Jan. Source: SGX Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants Physical participants have switched from net long to net short over the last week. Managed Money transitioned from net long to net short positions over the last month, signaling a notable shift in market sentiment. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of this year. Source: SGX Hypothetical Trade Setup Optimism around China's improving narrative in the lead-up to CNY has bolstered sentiment. Iron ore prices have climbed sharply, buoyed by a brighter outlook on recent stimulus measures. Technical indicators present mixed signals, with bullish signs such as a golden cross formation in short-term moving averages and prices trading near the upper Bollinger Band, alongside consolidation signals like RSI inching towards the overbought zone and prices nearing long-term moving averages. Amid this backdrop, a Bullish Call Spread enables portfolio managers and traders to participate in potential further upside while limiting the downside risk of a price pullback. A bullish call spread involves buying a lower strike call option (105 Call paying a premium of USD 3.48/ton) and selling a higher strike call option (108 Call collecting a premium of USD 2.32/ton). The position provides a maximum profit of USD 284/lot, a maximum loss of USD 116/lot delivering a 2.45x reward-to-risk ratio with a breakeven at USD 106.16/ton. These calculations are based on SGX IO option premiums as of close of markets on 24th January 2025. DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
SGX:FEFH2025Long
by MintBulkCommods
XAUAUD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
OANDA:XAUAUDShort
by Maks_Klimenko
GOOGL at a Key Inflection Point! Trade Setups for Jan 23 Analysis: Google (GOOGL) is currently trading near a critical resistance level at $200, which coincides with the highest positive Gamma Exposure (GEX) and a significant psychological round number. The price action suggests a potential breakout or rejection scenario. Technical Observations: 1. Trend Analysis: * GOOGL is forming an ascending triangle pattern on the hourly chart, indicating bullish consolidation. * Higher lows reinforce buying pressure. 2. Key Levels: * Resistance: $202 (recent high and 3rd call wall) * Support: $192.5 (major support level and put gamma wall), $187.3 (next key support) 3. Indicators: * MACD: Shows a weak bullish crossover, suggesting momentum is building but not yet decisive. * Stochastic RSI: In the overbought zone, hinting at potential short-term exhaustion. 4. Volume Profile: * Increased volume near $200 suggests significant market interest at this level. GEX Insights: 1. Call Walls: * Key Call Levels: $202 (3rd call wall) and $205 (2nd call wall). These levels act as resistance where call sellers might hedge, amplifying upward movement if breached. 2. Put Walls: * Key Put Levels: $192.5 and $185. These serve as support levels where put sellers may defend prices. 3. IVR and Options Activity: * IVR: 53 (indicating above-average implied volatility). * Options Flow: Call volume dominates with 27.6% skew, highlighting bullish sentiment in the short term. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Break above $202 with strong volume. * Target: $205 (next resistance) and $210 (longer-term resistance). * Stop-Loss: Below $198 to minimize risk. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Rejection at $200-$202. * Target: $192.5 (support) and $187.3 (next key level). * Stop-Loss: Above $203 to limit losses. Actionable Suggestions: * Monitor price action around $200-$202. A decisive move above or rejection will define the next direction. * Keep an eye on options flow. Increasing call open interest near $205 may signal bullish continuation. * Be cautious of overbought signals from the Stochastic RSI. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
HTF PREMIUM LIQUIDITY ATTACKIt seems to me like the market will continue to be bullish. The target for this week is the Weekly High (22111.00) which would mean All Time High for ES (given the effect of President Trump that is a very likely scenario). Coupled with the Premium Liquidity are the Premium levels of an old Opening Range Gap and a 1H FVG. If it trades there and bullish PDAs support price it might run for the ALT. On Friday, the market already drop below a Daily Low and filled the ORG around 50% which could be enough to project price higher (potential Daily IOFED). Although there still are two Daily Discount FVGs and a 4H Breaker where price could trade to before running. Therefore, I want to see how price trades on Monday / Tuesday and depending on the signatures I will trade it accordingly.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by TheMatrix-