Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

S&P 500: Bullish Outlook for Next Week, Targeting 6050 - Key Insights: The S&P 500 is on the brink of a bullish breakout, with strong support at 5900 and market sentiment leaning positively due to easing inflation fears. The index is currently testing critical resistance at 6000. Sustaining above this level could lead to further upward momentum. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1: 6050, T2: 6100 - Stop levels: S1: 5900, S2: 5850 - Recent Performance: The S&P 500 has seen a notable rally, bouncing off the 5750 support level and showing strong overall performance this week. The current price at 5996.66 indicates bullish trends, and market confidence appears to be returning. - Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view for the S&P 500, highlighting strong technical patterns and positive economic indicators. If the index can hold above 6000, this could trigger further gains and reinforce bullish sentiment. - News Impact: Recent economic releases regarding consumer sentiment and inflation have positively impacted market dynamics. The upcoming earnings season, featuring major companies like Netflix and Johnson & Johnson, could influence market sentiment. Additionally, speculation around President Trump's inauguration and potential economic policies adds to the bullish outlook, but traders should prepare for possible volatility in light of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
SP:SPXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Build Your Position: Consider Going LONG on Shopify Next Week - Key Insights: Shopify is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing positive retail sentiment and an expected boost from the holiday shopping season. Analysts suggest that the stock might be oversold, with a potential rebound anticipated as user adoption and retention grow. Forthcoming earnings on February 11 could provide further clarity on the company’s growth trajectory, making it a strategic point for traders to evaluate long positions. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: - T1: $110 - T2: $115 - Stop levels: - S1: $93.50 - S2: $90 - Recent Performance: Shopify has seen increased activity in its stock as the retail sector benefits from consumer spending trends. Observers note a steady rise in retail sales, signaling robust market dynamics favoring e-commerce platforms like Shopify. - Expert Analysis: Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Shopify, highlighting potential for growth ahead of the upcoming earnings report. The general sentiment leans towards a favorable outlook, underpinned by positive shifts in online shopping that support long-term value for the company. - News Impact: The upcoming earnings release on February 11 is crucial for Shopify. Investors are eager to see how the company aims to capitalize on strong holiday spending amidst improving economic conditions, as any news could influence stock performance significantly.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Focus on Long Position for TSLA Next Week - Key Insights: TSLA has demonstrated strong bullish momentum with a notable increase of about 25% since the post-election period. Key support levels at $414-$411 should hold to maintain upward momentum, while breaking resistance at $429 could lead to a target price of $451. With the potential for innovations in FSD technology and strategic partnerships, the sentiment remains positive despite regulatory concerns. - Price Targets: Next week targets: T1: $441, T2: $451 Stop levels: S1: $414.5, S2: $411.0 - Recent Performance: TSLA has witnessed significant market activity, trading above major moving averages, indicating a recovery with optimistic investor sentiment. Currently, it maintains a market cap of around $1 trillion and is poised for potential upward movement if price levels hold. - Expert Analysis: Market analysts express cautious optimism regarding TSLA's growth due to advancements in autonomous vehicle technology and its prominent position in the EV landscape. Influential investor Ron Baron advocates for substantial long-term growth potential, suggesting a market cap increase to $5 trillion in the next decade. - News Impact: Recent developments, including inventory refresh efforts and strategic discounts, reflect Tesla's adaptability in a competitive market. Anticipated regulatory changes following the inauguration of Donald Trump represent potential growth catalysts, alongside discussions around partnerships for autonomous projects. The balance of optimism and caution surrounding autonomous service rollouts will affect investor expectations moving forward.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Bitcoin: Don't be blind to the world (Trump inauguration)Regular readers will know that we avoid fundamental analysis In these reports - we stick to the price. But that doesn’t mean being blind to the world around us. On Monday January 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as US President. I’m sure many of you have your political views about Trump - but just keep those away from your trade ideas! The crypto market - and Bitcoin especially - has been on a huge rally since Trump spoke at a Bitcoin conference in favour of cryptocurrencies last year. There’s a chance President Trump could mention Bitcoin in his inaugural speech but even if he doesn’t, the prospect of favourable regulation is broadly positive for Bitcoin - or if we’re more honest - the idea of better regulation could be enough justification to keep the crypto bull run going for now. Bitcoin On the weekly chart, we can see Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been trading sideways around the $100,000 level - with roughly $90,000 as support. But bigger picture it’s a huge uptrend and we want to trade in line with the trend (as always) Importantly - it just closed the week back over the critical $100K mark - and it did so with a bullish engulfing candlestick that engulfed the previous 3 weeks. As a reminder - where the week closed is more important than the high or low of the week - and a weekly close is more significant than a daily close. You can think of the closing price as the price that everybody agreed was the right price for that period. The final missing piece to the bullish breakout is a weekly close at a new record high. On the daily chart we are watching the broken trendline as well as the $100k level as support that needs to hold if the breakout is going to happen soon. But while the price trendline is not especially reliable with only two ‘touches’ or swing points the broken RSI trendline is much more significant and shows a big pickup in momentum that will be needed if the price is to break out. If the breakout does happen, the first barrier that needs to break is $110,000 but after that $120k then even $130k could come quite quickly given Trump’s inauguration this week. But - as always - that’s just how my team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Send us an email or message us on social media. cheers! Jasper
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by jasperlawler
11
Buy Trade Idea: USD/CHFUSD/CHF has recently broken above the key resistance level at 0.9128, which has now turned into a support zone. The price is currently retesting this level, indicating potential for a bullish continuation toward higher resistance zones. Entry: 0.9128 Stop Loss (SL): 0.9080 Take Profit (TP): 0.9300 As the trade progresses, price action should be monitored closely. Stop Loss adjustments can be made to break-even or to secure profits as the price approaches the TP level. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:4, making it a sound trade from a risk management perspective. This trade setup is based on a combination of technical analysis, market structure, and the breakout-retest dynamic, supporting a bullish bias.
Long
by Trade_Navigator010
Sell Trade Idea: GBP/USDGBP/USD is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently retested a key resistance zone near 1.2220 and shown signs of rejection, indicating potential for further downside movement. Entry: 1.2220 Stop Loss (SL): 1.2270 Take Profit (TP): 1.2070 As the trade progresses, price action should be monitored closely. Stop Loss adjustments can be made to break-even or to secure profits as the price approaches the TP level. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:3, making it a sound trade from a risk management perspective. This trade setup is based on a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, investor sentiment, and retail sentiment.
Short
by Trade_Navigator010
Buy Trade Idea: USD/JPY USD/JPY is currently showing signs of bullish momentum after bouncing off a key support zone near 154.00. The price has retested this significant demand zone and demonstrated rejection, indicating a potential reversal to the upside. Entry: 155.50 Stop Loss (SL): 154.00 Take Profit (TP): 161.50 As the trade progresses, price action should be monitored closely. Stop Loss adjustments can be made to break-even or to secure profits as the price approaches the TP level. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:3, making it a sound trade from a risk management perspective. This trade setup is based on a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, investor sentiment, and retail sentiment.
Long
by Trade_Navigator010
Trade Idea: AUD/USD ShortAUD/USD is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently retested a key resistance zone near 0.6230 and shown signs of rejection, indicating potential for further downside movement. Entry: 0.6230 Stop Loss (SL): 0.6280 Take Profit (TP): 0.6020 As the trade progresses, price action should be monitored closely. Stop Loss adjustments can be made to break-even or to secure profits as the price approaches the TP level. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:4, making it a sound trade from a risk management perspective. This trade setup is based on technical analysis, fundamental analysis, investor sentiment, and retail sentiment.
Short
by Trade_Navigator010
Trade Idea: EUR/USD ShortEUR/USD is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently retested a key resistance zone near 1.0310 and shown signs of rejection, indicating potential for further downside movement. Entry: 1.0310 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0398 Take Profit (TP): 1.0104 As the trade progresses, price action should be monitored closely. Stop Loss adjustments can be made to break-even or to secure profits as the price approaches the TP level. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:3, making it a sound trade from a risk management perspective. This trade setup is based on technical analysis, fundamental analysis, investor sentiment, and retail sentiment.
Short
by Trade_Navigator010
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/03]: Uptrend to PersistSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) rose last week, closing USD 6.75/ton higher by 17/Jan (Fri). SGX IO Futures opened at USD 97.40/ton on 13/Jan (Mon) and closed at USD 104.15/ton on 17/Jan (Fri). Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 104.20/ton on 17/Jan (Fri) and a low of USD 97.40/ton on 13/Jan (Mon). It traded in a range of USD 6.80/ton during the week, which was wider than the prior week. Prices opened near the pivot point of USD 97.50 and closed above the R4 point of USD 104.05 at the end of the week. Volume peaked on 17/Jan (Fri), as prices hit new highs due to China’s stronger-than-expected economic recovery. Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary IO prices began the week on an uptrend as IO prices rose in early Asian trade, driven by strong Chinese trade data, robust iron ore imports, and optimism around China's stimulus measures and fiscal strength. Despite the week's rally, economists caution that the rise is sentiment-driven rather than fundamental. Falling Chinese steel demand and potential U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods could continue to weigh on raw material prices. IO prices rose throughout the week as China’s GDP (Q4) edged up 5.0% YoY and Industrial production (Dec) increased by 6.2% YoY. China's port IO stockpiles grew by 0.3 million tons (0.2%) WoW to 146.63 million tons for the week ending 17/Jan, according to MMI data . Along with rising port inventories, the Housing prices (Dec) dropped by 5.3% YoY. With implied vols at multi-year lows, expectations for significant near-term movement remain limited after a strong second week of 2025. Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Feb contract trades 19.4% below its last 5-year average (USD 128.93/ton). Short-Term Moving Averages Shows Bullish Trend Amid Golden Cross Formation The formation of a golden cross on 17/ Jan (Fri) indicates that the bullish trend may be sustained in the near term. Prices gained upward momentum early this week and continued to rise throughout the week. Long-Term Averages Signals Possible Consolidation near 200-day MA IO prices crossed the 100-day MA and closed slightly below the 200-day MA. This indicates the strengthening of the bullish trend as prices near the 200-day MA, with prices consolidating at this level next week. MACD signals Bullish Momentum but Potential for Consolidation Emerging The MACD signals a positive momentum starting from 14/Jan. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 63.46, in the overbought zone, and hovers way above the midpoint, with its RSI-based moving average at 45.13. Volatility Declined; Price Closed Above 38.2% Fibonacci Level Volatility rose through the week but dipped by the end. Prices broke the resistance levels of 23.6% Fibonacci level (USD 100.35/ton) and the 38.2% Fibonacci level (USD 103.20/ton) during the week. Going forward, the 50.0% Fibonacci level at USD 105.45/ton will act as resistance while the 38.2% level at USD 100.35/ton will act as the support. Buying Pressure Intensified, Prices Near Mid of High & Low Volume Nodes Buying pressure has grown stronger from the start of this week according to the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator. The price is trading near the mid of high & low-volume nodes. Price closed the week near the Upper Bollinger Band. IO Prices Rise Towards CNY & Then Decline Thereafter Between 2021 & 2024, SGX IO futures prices have risen leading up to the Chinese New Year before tapering off ten trading days after the holiday. Prices declined before & after the CNY holidays only in 2024 while prices continued to rise even after CNY before falling sharply in 2021 & 2022. A similar trend is observed in the first three days of the ten days leading up to CNY 2025. IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIIs) and Physicals participants are net long with 159.5k and 20.3k lots across all futures expiries. Managed Money participants and Others are net short with 166.9k and 12.8k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed money increased net short positions last week, while FIIs increased their net long positions. Physicals switched from being Net Short to Net Long over the week as of 10th Jan 2025 relative to the previous week. Overall futures open interest as of 10/ Jan stood at 1,107,236 lots (4.1%) while it was 1,063,467 lots as of 03/Jan. Source: SGX IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIIs) and Physicals participants are net long with 154.1k and 24.8k lots across all futures & options expiries. Managed Money participants and Others are net short with 170.9k and 8.1k lots respectively across all futures & options expires. Managed money increased net short positions last week, while FIIs increased their net long positions. Physicals switched from being Net Short to Net Long over the week as of 10th Jan 2025 relative to the previous week. Overall futures & options open interest as of 10/ Jan stood at 1,372,286 lots (+4.4%) while it was 1,314,185 lots as of 03/Jan. Source: SGX Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants Physical participants have switched from net short to net long over the last week. Managed Money transitioned from net long to net short positions in the last three weeks, signaling a notable shift in market sentiment. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of this year. Source: SGX Hypothetical Trade Setup Optimism around China's improving narrative ahead of the Chinese New Year has bolstered sentiment. Iron ore prices have climbed sharply, buoyed by a brighter outlook on recent stimulus measures. As trend-followers drive momentum, medium to longer-term fundamentals will likely take a backseat in the short term. Technical indicators present mixed signals, with bullish signs such as a golden cross formation in short-term moving averages and prices trading near the upper Bollinger Band, alongside consolidation signals like RSI slightly above neutral and prices nearing long-term moving averages. Against this bullish momentum backdrop, this hypothetical trade setup involves entering a long position at USD 103.5/ton with a take profit level at USD 108.00/ton combined with a stop loss at 100.8/ton resulting in a 1.67x reward-to-risk ratio. DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
SGX:FEF2!Long
by MintBulkCommods
Why Baidu is Considered a Contrarian PlayWhy Baidu is Considered a Contrarian Play: China's Regulatory Environment: As mentioned with Alibaba, increased regulatory scrutiny in China has impacted investor confidence in Chinese tech companies, including Baidu. This has led to lower valuations. Competition in Search and AI: Baidu faces competition in its core search business from other platforms and in its AI initiatives from global tech giants. This competitive pressure can lead to investor skepticism. Concerns about Growth: While Baidu is a leader in AI and autonomous driving in China, some investors are concerned about the monetization of these newer ventures and their contribution to overall growth. Geopolitical Factors: U.S.-China relations and potential delisting concerns have also cast a shadow over Chinese stocks listed on U.S. exchanges. The Contrarian Case for Baidu: Despite these challenges, there are reasons why contrarian investors might find Baidu appealing: Dominant Search Engine in China: Baidu remains the dominant search engine in China, with a massive user base.4 This provides a strong foundation for its other businesses. Leader in AI and Autonomous Driving: Baidu has made significant investments in AI and autonomous driving technologies. Its Apollo program is a leading autonomous driving platform in China, with potential for significant growth in the future. Undervalued Metrics: Compared to its global peers in search and AI, Baidu's stock may appear undervalued based on metrics like P/E ratio. Potential for Growth in New Ventures: If Baidu can successfully monetize its AI and autonomous driving initiatives, it could unlock significant value for shareholders. Risks to Keep in Mind: Regulatory Risks: Changes in Chinese regulations could further impact Baidu's business. Competition: Intense competition in search, AI, and autonomous driving could limit Baidu's growth potential. Execution Risk: There is no guarantee that Baidu will be able to successfully commercialize its new technologies. In Conclusion: Baidu fits the profile of a contrarian investment due to the challenges it faces and the negative sentiment surrounding Chinese tech stocks. However, its strong position in search, its leadership in AI and autonomous driving, and its potentially undervalued stock price offer a compelling case for contrarian investors. As always, thorough research and risk assessment are essential before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by StockBlog
XRP in Overbought Conditions: Just Be CarefulXRP in Overbought Conditions: Just Be Careful XRP is nearing the completion of a bearish harmonic pattern. I am sharing this analysis as a warning that it could potentially move down from this zone. It's a very risky assumption because the entire crypto market is focused on the Trump Inauguration. However, considering this pattern, we cannot ignore it, at least to consider taking partial profits or being cautious about any possible crash and taking further steps. It is not recommended to sell if you believe it may continue to rise, but it's better to know where the price may react. XRP found a strong resistance zone between 3.5 - 3.53. The price may test the entire zone and could also take a pause before this pattern shows bearish signs. If the bearish correction begins, it may unfold as shown in the chart. You can find more details in the chart. Thank you!
Short
by KlejdiCuni
12
$BTC Inauguration Day Possible $140k? No I doubt it as this indicator I use isn’t always right at all it’s always either very positive or very negative. However this indicator remains plausible. But the fact we have already gone from FWB:98K to $109k today in only 1 hour. We might expect to see a sharp decline to somewhere like $104-$106k but even then this will be a short intra-day drop before a regaining of the overall bullish trend and sentiment. Do be cautious if you are on the Long and want to make profit soon keep eye on those entry or exit points of yours and don’t fall for any FOMO. Also IMO this is the start. The start of a large growth period. Yes there will be downs and BIGGER DOWNS THAN EVER BEFORE. Because the value and volume is larger than ever. The 10% drops can be $11k instead of at 30k that’s $3k. So remember that the larger loss ot seems from same % drops as before is just an illusion you still loose the same or gain the same amount of CRYPTOCAP:BTC coin. Stay strong KEEP BUYING! Let’s make more supply shock!? It only benefits everyone who owns it!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk