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Gold Skyrockets Like It's 2011: Are We There Yet?Gold has been on a powerful run since breaking above the 2100 resistance level in March 2024. After just one year of relentless gains and a return of over 60%, it has become one of the top-performing assets. But the big question now is: how far can this rally go? To the moon? It's difficult to predict how far prices can climb during these kinds of parabolic moves. In 2011, the final green monthly bar alone rose 17% from open to high. These FOMO-fueled surges often lead to euphoric tops followed by painful bear markets. So, are we there yet? Since Richard Nixon ended the dollar's gold backing and introduced the modern fiat system, gold's status as a safe haven has become even more prominent. Whenever there are heightened risks, whether geopolitical, fiscal, or related to the fiat money system, investors tend to flock to gold. The 2011 rally was a clear example of this. After the 2008 financial crisis and the quantitative easing that followed, gold became the go-to asset for both preserving value and speculative opportunity. A similar pattern has unfolded following the COVID-19 shock. The Federal Reserve returned to aggressive quantitative easing, while both the Trump and Biden administrations increased fiscal spending, including direct payments to households. This surge in money supply and concerns about fiat stability, along with rising government debt, helped trigger another major gold rally. With the added risk of a trade war, the rally has accelerated further, pushing gold beyond 3300 and creating a situation that closely mirrors 2011. Looking at the money supply-to-gold ratio and the US federal debt-to-gold ratio, gold now appears to be testing trendline levels. Its recent surge has made metrics like M2 and federal debt seem relatively smaller, which may be a sign that the rally is approaching exhaustion. Still, history shows that final euphoric moves can stretch even higher before a true top is formed. Rather than trying to predict the peak, it's often better to wait for signs of price stabilization. Gold typically offers a second opportunity, often forming two peaks with the second lower than the first, before entering a bear phase. In 1980, gold fell more than 60% within two years. After the 2011 top, it declined nearly 40%. Even if the retreat expected to be milder this time, gold could still offer a 20% or greater downside opportunity once the top is in. Smart money has already started to take profits gradually. Net managed money positions in the COT report have decreased by 40% since January, as we discussed in our earlier post:
FRED:M2SL
by ftdsystem
Aki Network ($AKI) Breaks Out of A Falling Wedge Surging 20%Aki Network ( NSE:AKI ) broke out of a falling wedge pattern delivering 20% gains to traders and investors. The asset has being in a falling wedge for the past 7 days before delivering this massive gains. While currently up 14.5% for the past 4 hours, NSE:AKI is gearing up for another legged up should it break above the resistant point as the altcoin's chart pattern is depicting a three white crow candle stick pattern- a pattern typically seen as a continuation of a current trend pattern. With the RSI at 75, we might experience a respite before the continuation move as the general crypto market is consolidating. Similarly, with listings on top exchanges, NSE:AKI could deliver a massive gain if the hype on multichain tokens emerge. What is Aki Network? Aki Network emerges as a pioneering project within the web3 domain, aiming to restructure the way information is organized and accessed. At its core, the network introduces a dual-layered approach: the Aki Protocol and the Aki Network application suite. Aki Network Price Live Data The Aki Network price today is $0.015637 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $15,320,266 USD. Aki Network is up 21.87% in the last 24 hours, with a market cap of $31,274,389 USD. It has a circulating supply of 2,000,000,000 AKI coins and a max. supply of 2,000,000,000 AKI coins.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Building a Strategy from Scratch: Where Do You Start?Building a Strategy from Scratch: Where Do You Start? Most traders, if we’re being honest, don’t really have a strategy , they have a setup. A signal. A hunch. Maybe something they picked up on a Discord server or stumbled upon in a late-night rabbit hole of YouTube and indicators. But building an actual strategy? That’s a whole different story. It’s not just about drawing lines or finding that one magical entry. It’s about putting together a system that has logic, structure, and purpose—even if it’s simple. Let’s back up: What even is a strategy? Think of it like this: a strategy isn’t just how you get into a trade. It’s how you decide when the market environment is right for your approach. It includes how you define risk, how you manage outcomes, how you respond to different conditions, and—yes—when you sit on your hands and do nothing. It’s a full picture, not just a moment. Step one: Know your environment Before anything else, it helps to understand what kind of market conditions you’re even looking to work with. Some traders focus on strong trends, others prefer when price is stuck in a range. Some look for volatility; others avoid it like it’s a scam email. There’s no “better” option. But knowing which type of environment you want to observe can help guide every other decision—from what indicators you consider to how you track performance later. Step two: Build a framework (not just a signal) The entry is the flashy part—but it’s just one component. A framework might include: What timeframes you observe and why Conditions or filters that matter to you (volume, volatility, session time) What kind of tools help you confirm your idea (maybe moving averages, maybe VWAP, maybe none) This is where context really matters. A signal is just data. A framework is how you read that data and decide what’s worth paying attention to. Step three: Clarify what you track Strategy development is just theory without feedback. That doesn’t mean you need a million spreadsheets—but a good strategy invites reflection. You might want to ask: What happens before things work out? What happens when they don’t? Is there a specific condition that tends to repeat? You’d be surprised how much you can learn from reviewing a handful of examples with that lens. Step four: Define your version of “success” Not everyone’s running the same race. Some people value high win percentages. Others focus more on consistency. Some want long-term performance across different assets; others are content observing one pair or index with high precision. What matters is knowing what you’re trying to achieve—so you can actually tell if your strategy supports it. And if that changes over time? Totally normal. One more thing: Complexity isn’t the goal This part’s important. There’s a weird belief that serious trading must be complicated. That strategies need five indicators and multiple confirmations and algorithms whispering secrets behind the scenes. Truth is, many robust strategies are deceptively straightforward. What makes them work isn’t the complexity—it’s the consistency . Bottom line: it’s your puzzle There’s no universal blueprint here. That’s what makes strategy building feel frustrating… and freeing. You’re not trying to “beat” the market. You’re just trying to make sense of it your way—with tools, logic, and structure that reflect how you see the world. And if you're experimenting, testing, or just organizing your ideas into something clearer—you're already doing more than most. So take your time. Sketch. Observe. Iterate. That’s where the real strategy begins. ---
by Maaz_BA
2
"IDFC First Bank: A Potential Swing Trade Setup – Key Levels to IDFC First Bank: Swing Trade Setup – Key Levels & Entry Strategy Market Overview: IDFC First Bank has recently pulled back after making an all-time high and is now testing a critical support zone on the monthly timeframe. This presents a potential swing trade opportunity, provided we see confirmation at key levels. Today's low is ₹52.60, and a break below ₹52.15 could signal further downside before a strong reversal. This trade setup focuses on taking advantage of liquidity grabs and price structure shifts. Step-by-Step Trade Plan 1. Key Price Levels & Structure Analysis 📌 Current Price Action: Market tested previous lows and showed signs of stabilizing. 📌 Breakdown Level: If ₹52.15 is breached, it could trigger further downside liquidity grab. 📌 Potential Entry Zones: Early Entry: Above ₹52.15, but only after confirmation of reversal signals. Safer Entry: If no confirmation appears, wait for a dip between ₹50 – ₹46. Liquidity Tap Zone: ₹42, where stop losses of many traders may be triggered before a potential upside move. 2. Profit Targets & Risk-Reward Ratio 📈 Profit Targets: 1️⃣ ₹58.65 – First short-term target. 2️⃣ ₹63 – Second target for a larger swing move. 📉 Stop-Loss Strategy: Place stop-loss near ₹42, below key liquidity zones. Adjust stop-loss as per risk appetite. 💡 Risk-Reward Calculation: Entry (₹52.15 - ₹50) Stop-Loss (₹42) Target 1 (₹58.65) → Risk-Reward Ratio ~ 2:1 Target 2 (₹63) → Risk-Reward Ratio ~ 3:1 3. Confirmation & Execution Plan ✅ Scenario 1 (Confirmation after ₹52.15 Breakout) – If price stabilizes above ₹52.15 with strong momentum, an early entry can be considered. ✅ Scenario 2 (No Confirmation) – If price continues to decline, wait for accumulation between ₹50 – ₹46. ✅ Scenario 3 (Liquidity Grab at ₹42) – If price taps this zone and rebounds strongly, it may signal a major reversal. Final Thoughts & Risk Management 🔹 IDFC First Bank is in a critical zone, where institutional buying could occur. 🔹 Patience is key – Wait for confirmation before entering aggressively. 🔹 Manage risk with a strict stop-loss – Avoid emotional trading. 💡 Will IDFC First Bank hold key support levels and push higher, or is a deeper liquidity grab needed before reversal? Let’s analyze further! 🚀📊
NSE:IDFCFIRSTBLong
by PRATHAPSIMHA
Bitcoin to $70K? My LSTM Model Thinks So📈 Bitcoin to $70K? My LSTM Model Thinks So 🚀 I've been working on an LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) neural network designed to forecast Bitcoin prices, and the results are exciting. My model analyzes historical BTC data and learns temporal patterns to predict future movements. After extensive training and optimization, it reached an accuracy of around 96% on the training set. 🔍 How it works: LSTM networks are especially powerful for time-series forecasting because they can capture long-term dependencies and trends in data. I trained my model using historical daily BTC prices, letting it learn the complex patterns and volatility that define crypto markets. The model takes sequences of past prices and uses that context to project the price movements of the next 30 days. 📊 The Forecast: Based on the model's output, my current prediction is that Bitcoin will reach $70,000 within the next 30 days. This projection isn’t just a guess – it’s backed by a deep-learning model built to handle the chaotic nature of crypto. ⚠️ Note: While the training accuracy is high, real-world conditions can differ, and models should always be taken as tools—not certainties. I’m sharing this analysis to contribute to the community and spark discussion. Would love to hear your thoughts or see if others are seeing similar trends! 👇 #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #MachineLearning #LSTM #BitcoinForecast #CryptoTrading
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by BissTrade
1
Waiting for a big boost for the market, over 90K BTC💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 16) First of all, congratulations to the investors. Everything went according to our trading plan and we had very good comments. Specifically, yesterday the price fell from the 86k area straight to 83k. We had more than 3000 prices together. Today's BTC trading plan did not change much. NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC: According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin (BTC) mining hardware manufacturer Bitdeer is preparing to launch its own mining operation in the United States (US). The company intends to speed up the shipment of equipment following President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff suspension. In addition, the pressure from tariffs has led to a decrease in Bitcoin mining hashrate among miners in the United States over the past month. TECHNICAL VIEW Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections around the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $85,000 since Sunday. On Tuesday, BTC attempted to break above this level but was rejected and fell 1.12%. At the time of writing on Wednesday, the price was hovering around $83,500. If BTC closes above $85,000 on a daily basis, it could extend its rally to the psychologically important $90,000 level. A successful close above this level could extend the rally to test the March 2 high of $95,000. Please continue to pay attention to the 84.2k resistance zone, this is an important resistance zone before we DCA to higher and more important areas ==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data Releases 🇺🇸 U.S. • March Retail Sales – Consumer spending trend, high market impact. • Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization – Signals strength of the manufacturing sector. • April NY Fed Services Index – Regional business activity snapshot. • NAHB Housing Market Index – Homebuilder sentiment. • Feb Business Inventories – Impacts GDP revisions. • Total Net TIC Flows – Foreign capital flows into U.S. assets. 🇨🇳 China • Q1 GDP – Key for global growth outlook. • March Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Home Prices, Property Investment – Domestic demand & real estate health. 🇬🇧 UK • March CPI & RPI, Feb House Price Index – Inflation indicators ahead of BoE moves. 🇯🇵 Japan • Feb Core Machine Orders – Business capex proxy. 🇮🇹 Italy / 🇪🇺 Eurozone • Feb Current Account Balances – External demand & capital flow indicators. 🇳🇿 New Zealand • Q1 CPI – Inflation print crucial for RBNZ rate expectations. ________________________________________ Central Banks • 🇨🇦 Bank of Canada Rate Decision – Watch for policy tone amid inflation shifts. • 🇺🇸 Fed Speakers: Powell, Cook, Hammack – Any hints on rate cuts or economic outlook closely watched. ________________________________________ Earnings to Watch • Tech & Industrials: ASML, Sandvik, Sartorius • Healthcare: Abbott Laboratories • Transport & Real Estate: Prologis, CSX • Financials: US Bancorp, Nordea • Consumer: Heineken • Materials: Alcoa High-impact guidance or surprises could trigger sector moves. ________________________________________ Bond Auctions • 🇺🇸 US 20-Year Bond Auction – Monitor for demand; impacts yields and USD. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Gold Market Analysis: Key Levels to WatchGold Market Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Gold is currently in a highly overbought state. Since April 10th, its price has surged past a strong resistance level, climbing up to 3245. The price could now make a minor correction before continuing its rise, or a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend. Let's examine two possible scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If gold rises above 3245, it could aim for higher targets at 3284 and 3300. Bearish Scenario: If gold drops below 3206, a bearish trend may unfold, with potential declines to 3167 and 3128. Both levels should be closely monitored, as a rebound from these areas could lead to a stronger upward wave. In particular, 3167 seems to be a solid support level with a higher chance of reversing the downward trend. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
6
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? Bitcoin is still struggling to break through the specified resistance zone. As long as this resistance level remains unbroken, it is better to wait before entering a buy position. However, as long as Bitcoin does not fall below the specified support level, we can remain optimistic about its potential to rise. Our outlook remains bullish, but we will wait for the breakout above the resistance before entering a buy. Once the level is broken, we will look for an opportunity to enter long positions. Will Bitcoin break through resistance and continue higher?  Share your thoughts below! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
by HAMED_AZ
10
Potential XAUUSD SELL Setup INCOMMING! Take 2Same Idea As My Last. For my last idea Asian BUYERS held key 4Hr lows and retested the highs. -Upon retest of highs, SL was hit at the 3228 level -London tested highs an lows -27 rejections once again spot on Closure needed below 3220 and within the daily range levels of (3214-16) 3210 3200 on HTF candles with a solid DAILY closure beneath 3200 level. -PSA I am a BEAR as long as price remains under the 3230 levels. This is not financial advice.
BLUEBERRY:XAUUSDShort
by DrizzleSavageFX
2
Platinum: Protectionism Presents Challenges for a Key MetalBy Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst Under a sky of uncertainty and volatility, platinum emerges as a key player in a global economic landscape marked by trade tensions and geopolitical challenges. This precious metal, essential in the automotive, chemical, and jewelry industries, has seen its prices fluctuate dramatically in recent years. The current situation—framed by shifts in international policies and the pressure from previous tariffs—calls for a detailed journalistic analysis that uncovers both the challenges and opportunities for publicly traded companies that depend on this strategic resource. The Impact of Tariffs and Trade Tensions During the Trump administration, tariffs and protectionist measures were imposed that, although initially targeted at other sectors, extended their consequences to the platinum market. These measures increased import costs and generated an atmosphere of uncertainty in international trade. The resulting tensions not only affected transactions but also reshaped corporate strategies around the procurement and processing of the metal. The legacy of these policies continues to influence the market, as expectations of new agreements or tariff restrictions keep investors on constant alert. Publicly Traded Companies and Their Strategies Mining companies listed on the stock exchange that specialize in platinum extraction have been particularly sensitive to these variations. Giants such as Anglo American Platinum and Impala Platinum (Implats)—whose financial performance is closely tied to the global price of the metal—have been forced to reassess their operational strategies. These market players have faced increased logistical costs and export challenges, factors that erode their margins and limit their ability to expand in such a volatile market. The pursuit of more resilient supply chains and market diversification has become crucial for weathering this environment of uncertainty. Impacted Sectors and Related Companies It is not only the mining firms that feel the impact of platinum’s price fluctuations. The automotive industry, which uses the metal in manufacturing catalytic converters to reduce harmful emissions, finds itself in a delicate position. Publicly traded companies like Toyota, Volkswagen, and BMW face the challenge of integrating these increased costs into a final product that is ever more demanding in terms of efficiency and environmental compliance. Meanwhile, the luxury and jewelry sectors are also at stake. Well-known international brands must maintain the quality and exclusivity of their products, all while passing on the additional costs induced by platinum’s volatility to the end consumer. This dynamic can affect both their profit margins and market positioning. Technical Analysis Since its peak in May 2024—when platinum reached $1,093.33—the metal exhibited a clear downward trend, settling at $1,052.83 by October of the previous year. Following that, several corrections have taken place, establishing a support zone around $905.34, while the average trading range defined by the point of control (POC) sits at approximately $944.04. Today, platinum trades around $957.50. This recovery reflects a rebound following a sharp move triggered by tariffs imposed during the Trump administration, which saw prices oscillate from $1,008 down to lows of $871.74. After a pause in tariff implementations, the metal’s price bounced back to current levels. The present trend appears to be operating within a long-term range, indicating that further recovery in prices could signal increased activity in key sectors—such as luxury, jewelry, and especially automotive and aerospace. Conversely, should these sectors experience a slowdown, demand for platinum might diminish, pushing the metal back toward its current support zone and testing the year’s recorded lows. Looking Ahead Ultimately, platinum stands as a vivid reflection of an economic environment full of challenges and opportunities. The repercussions of the protectionist measures implemented during the Trump administration, compounded by ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions, have set a volatile course for this strategic metal. While recent price recoveries suggest that sectors like automotive, jewelry, and aerospace are showing renewed dynamism, uncertainty remains. As publicly traded companies adjust their strategies to navigate these turbulent waters, the future of platinum will largely depend on the evolving demand in these key industries and the ability of international actors to forge stable agreements that mitigate the impact of trade policies. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:PLATINUM
by ActivTrades
The US dollar is Forex's weakest currency this year 2025Fall of the US dollar: institutional investors were already selling in February The US dollar (DXY) is officially the weakest currency on the floating foreign exchange market (Forex) since the beginning of the year. Down over 8% against all the world's major currencies, this vertical downtrend had been anticipated by technical analysis as early as January. This comes as no surprise to those who follow major technical signals: breakout of the 200-day moving average in early March, structural pressures visible with the Elliott wave fractal approach, bearish signals from the ichimoku system... in short, the technical tools had spoken, and the market has effectively embarked on a downtrend this year 2025. The question now is: is a bottom in sight? In the short term, perhaps, the market is testing the strong chartist support of 99/100 points on the DXY (see main chart of this analysis). In the medium term, the downtrend could continue. One thing is clear, and that is that institutional positioning has played a central role in the downturn: hedge funds and asset managers all turned bearish on the US dollar in the depths of winter. As early as February, the former became net buyers of EUR/USD, as shown by the CFTC's COT report. Then, at the beginning of March, all institutional investors became net sellers of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies (see the inset data in the chart below). Bis repetita with the first year of Trump's first term (2017) It was the trade war, that of the so-called reciprocal tariffs, which saw the increase in medium-term bearish technical signals on the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. Volatility on Wall Street exploded, not least because of the Trump administration's escalating tariffs. The US economic climate is becoming increasingly unpredictable for markets, with trade policy seemingly improvised and decisions generating systemic uncertainty. But that's not all: the US bond market is also sending out warning signals. The 10-year yield has gone up, and spreads between the US and other developed economies have widened. Some even speak of a form of Chinese pressure on US debt, through massive sales of Treasuries. The MOVE index, a barometer of bond volatility, confirms it: the tension is there, and it's clearly weighing on the dollar. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote