Beyond Technical Analysis
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – May 22, 2025 Structure Wins. Noise Gets Trapped. Let’s Get Paid.Only Snipers Survive.
Hey traders, GoldFxMinds here! Big day for gold tomorrow, with major USD news set to trigger volatility. Here’s how to stay ahead of the crowd — and not get hunted.Here’s your big picture, bias, and every level that matters.
📈 Macro Structure (D1/H4)
Bias: Bullish-to-neutral as long as 3290 holds.
Trend: Higher highs & higher lows. Price is in accumulation, not distribution, waiting for a real breakout.
News:
• USD Unemployment Claims
• Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI
• Existing Home Sales
— All high-volatility triggers!
🕹️ SCENARIOS & SNIPER PLAYBOOK
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO
News comes in weak for USD, gold holds 3320–3313 or sweeps 3302–3292 and instantly reclaims.
Action: Long only on M15–M30 confirmation
Targets: 3357–3362, then 3380–3388, with runners possible up to 3408 or even 3427 if the squeeze goes wild.
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO
Data is USD bullish; gold breaks & holds below 3302–3292.
Action: Sell rallies into 3320–3313 (now resistance) or on M15/M30 rejection at 3357–3362/3388 ONLY if you see a hard reversal
Targets: 3287–3282 (first), then 3266–3258, finally 3238–3230 if selloff accelerates.
🟠 FAKEOUT/WHIPSAW
Expect first move after news to be a liquidity hunt – stop run above 3357 or below 3292.
Sniper move: Wait for the fake, then take the reversal with confirmation – not the first spike.
🎯 TRADE EXECUTION GUIDELINES
Never chase news. Let the stops get hunted, then strike with confirmation only at key levels.
Use the level context:
Reversal/fakeout = wait for rejection, don’t front-run.
Sweep and reclaim at demand = sniper buy.
No confirmation = no entry.
Plan for volatility windows: 2:30pm – 4:00pm is where the traps are set.
👀 EYES ON TOMORROW
BUY ZONES: 3320–3313, 3302–3292, 3287–3282
SELL ZONES: 3357–3362, 3380–3388, 3400–3408, 3420–3427
Control pivot: 3320–3313 decides intraday bias after news
Gold doesn’t care about your FOMO. Structure tells the truth.
Drop a comment if you want this style daily, smash like & follow for sniper-level clarity, and stay patient — the real trade comes when everyone else gets trapped.
Stay sharp!
GoldFxMinds 🚀
CADCHF update!!Good day traders, I’m back with yet another update on CadChf and if I can remember well I mentioned the first time I posted this setup that this one is special because it offer us opportunities to learn and get to see if what ICT(Micheal.J) says about his concepts true or not, for me they work!!
The first setup I posted here and the second one will both be tagged in the description below just to support my ideology and how I came about this setup. On the first setup there was a large wick that i stated should be considered as a Gap and we saw price close above it to balance that gap. And you move one TF higher on your weekly there you’ll see that price has failed multiple times to balance that weekly VI, back on our daily TF we can see that price did not fully trade through that 1st.PFVG and we want to see it come back to fully trade through the gap.
Overall bias is BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY!!
USDJPY set go down much further. 1. Summary of Key Factors
-Factor Signal Impact on USD/JPY Notes
-US 20Y Bond Selloff Bearish USD 🔻 Drop Likely Suggests capital outflows from US
-Moody's Downgrade Bearish USD 🔻 Drop Likely Weakens USD confidence globally
-Japanese Portfolio Rebalancing Bullish JPY🔻 Drop Likely Reduced UST purchases = yen demand
-Technical Break of SMA & Support Bearish 🔻 Drop Likely Clean 50-day MA break = momentum shift
-Risk Sentiment (Safe-Haven Flows) Favors JPY 🔻 Drop Likely JPY tends to strengthen in uncertainty
-Upcoming Asian Session (Tokyo Open) Neutral–Bearish 🔻 May Continue Yen typically sees increased strength
Looking at all these factors we should expect a further drop.
SPY Intraday Breakdown | Will the Fill Zone Hold?🕰️ 15-Min Chart | May 21, 2025
🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
A textbook ascending wedge breakdown has triggered intraday, breaching dynamic support right at the edge of the VWAP envelope. This breakdown aligns with a higher time-frame rejection seen near 598.22 (0.886 retrace zone).
🔍 Intraday Observations:
Structure Break: Rising wedge support snapped → suggests momentum shift short-term.
Next Liquidity Pools:
📍 567.51 – Prior HVN zone and VWAP mid-band
📍 559.30 – Golden pocket + historical positioning from April
Volume Spike: Bearish confirmation on rising sell-side volume.
🧠 Strategic Context:
Macro Tone: Market breathes as participants await key inflation data + Fed speak. Liquidity is not risk-on.
Risk Flow Watch: Options OI building around 560/570 strikes — could magnetize toward there if flow accelerates.
🛡️ Tactical Setup:
Short-Term Bias: Bearish to neutral into 567.5–559.3 zone
Mean Reversion Setup: Watch VWAP / 3-day anchored VWAP cluster around 559 as a potential reload zone
Invalidation: Quick reclaim and hold above 590 with strong volume flips intraday tone bullish again.
📌 Message to Traders:
Major buyers may be lurking below. The market is deciding whether to reward trapped longs or give value buyers their fill at better risk-adjusted zones. We remain liquidity-aware and flexible.
—
🔗 #SPY #IntradayTrading #VolumeProfile #Wavervanir #LiquidityMapping #VWAP #Orderflow #SMC
SPY | Liquidity Engineering or Reversal?🕰️ Daily Chart | May 21, 2025
🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
“Major buyers are lurking... but will the market deliver the fill they want?” That’s the question.
We’re currently watching a tactical rejection near 598.22, the 0.886 Fib retracement of the prior high-volume breakdown. This level historically serves as a liquidity sweep zone before decision-making candles emerge.
🔍 Technical + Volume Profile:
Liquidity Zones:
Resistance: 594.4–598.2 = prior supply + Fib confluence
Demand Zones:
567.5 → anchored VWAP / trend channel midpoint
559.3 → 0.618 Fib + major positioning cluster
Volume: Distribution volume into prior highs = possible short-term exhaustion
EMA Structure: Bullish stack but extended from mean; room for reversion to VWAP bands.
🧠 Macro Overlay:
Risk Events: Debt ceiling headlines are muted, but upcoming PCE inflation and labor data could dictate short-term gamma positioning.
Options Skew: OTM put volume rising; VIX curve remains steep in front-end → suggesting hedging or prep for pullback.
Macro Setup: Real yields are sticky, and the Fed is not signaling dovish pivot yet — any continuation will need confirmation via breadth and credit spreads.
🛡️ Risk Framework:
Reclaim 598.2: Bias flips bullish with upside into 613–644
Break Below 567.5: Opens doors for deeper retest at 559 or even 533
Neutral Range: 567.5–594.5 → Let market structure show intent before deploying size.
📌 Game Plan:
Let price come to you. Patience > Prediction. Market is deciding whether to reward early breakout traders or punish late longs via mean reversion. Watch the 567–559 cluster—that’s where smart money may reload.
—
🔗 #SPY #MacroTrading #VolumeAnalysis #RiskManagement #Fibonacci #Wavervanir #SP500 #LiquidityMap
SPX500 | Macro-Fib Confluence Levels + Risk Roadmap🕰️ Daily Chart | May 21, 2025
🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
After a sharp retracement and subsequent rally, the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) is now facing overhead resistance near the 0.886 Fib retracement (~5,875-5,953) from the previous swing high.
🔍 Technical Overview:
Confluence Resistance: 5,875–5,953 zone (0.886 Fib)
Micro W-Pattern Setup: Pullback expected to 5,640–5,700 before a potential higher low sets up a breakout.
Bull Targets:
6,182 (1.236 Fib ext)
6,512 (1.618 Fib ext, potential exhaustion zone)
🧠 Macro + Volatility Context:
Monetary Policy: Fed remains data-dependent. July rate cut odds are increasing, but the market remains bifurcated between sticky services inflation and weakening real GDP prints.
Bond Market: Yield curve remains inverted. A breakout above 6,182 will likely need bond volatility (MOVE index) to stabilize under 100.
Global Flow Risks: Continued capital inflows into U.S. equities amid geopolitical hedging, but China liquidity injections and BOJ FX defense add noise.
🛡️ Risk Management Notes:
Pullback Zone: 5,640–5,700 = high-conviction buy zone (0.5–0.618 retracement of last impulse)
Invalidation: Daily close below 5,573 or breach of 5,475 = reassess long thesis.
Position Sizing: Favor partial scaling-in with tight trailing stop until breakout confirmation.
📌 Strategy Summary:
We are watching for a tactical pullback into the golden zone followed by a measured continuation toward 6,182+ if macro tailwinds align (i.e., dovish Fed tone + improving liquidity metrics). The setup mirrors late-cycle rallies and should be monitored alongside bond yields and dollar strength.
⚠️ Patience > Chase. Let the W structure play out.
—
🔗 #SPX500 #Fibonacci #MacroTrading #Wavervanir #SMC #RiskManagement #TradingViewAnalysis
NATGAS LOCAL SHORT|
✅NATGAS has retested a key resistance level of 3.50$
And as the pair is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 3.30$ is likely
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$WIF: Uptrend signal activeNice signal in SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF here, the trend in the daily timeframe has been bullish since April 18th, and has been giving us multiple continuation signals to trade in and out, or scale in with low risk as we move the stop higher if playing it longer term.
If prices hold above recent lows, we can see a close to 50% run from here within a week give or take.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
DOW/US30 - PERFECT TIME FOR LONG ENTRYTeam, i hope you all making millions on SHORT BOTH SETUP UK100 AND GER30 today
However there is no perfect time to entry LONG DOW/US30 now
please follow the guideline and entry..
target 1st is 150-200 points
2nd target between 300-500 points.
we expect this swing will take tomorrow and next day for the recovery.
Indexes Daily "Slow" Trend anticipationExpecting a Daily slowliness a.k.a. HRLR (ICT Concepts) due to the Bonds decorrelation which is bearish. Once Bonds has reached Sell Side Liquidity Target, acceleration will be seen on Indexes higher. Meanwhile "give and take" is expected on a Daily and 4h basis.
Market next move . Breakout Exhaustion (Fakeout Risk)
The price has just broken out of the consolidation box.
However, volume is not significantly surging—a true breakout is often confirmed with strong volume.
A fake breakout could lead to a sharp reversal back into the box.
---
2. Overbought Conditions
Given the sharp rally leading into the consolidation, indicators like RSI are likely in overbought territory.
Price may need to cool off before any sustainable move higher.
This could trigger a pullback to retest the support around 33.10–33.20.
---
3. Rising Wedge Formation Potential
If the uptrend continues with narrowing price action, it could form a rising wedge—a bearish reversal pattern.
This might lead to a drop toward $33.00 or lower.
---
4. Strong Resistance Around $34.00
Psychological and historical resistance at the $34.00 level could halt or reverse upward movement.
It might trigger profit-taking or short-selling pressure.
---
5. Macro Catalyst Risk
With the U.S. news symbol shown (likely an upcoming economic release), the bullish structure could quickly be invalidated.
A hawkish Fed or strong U.S. data may pressure silver lower due to USD strength or rising yields.
NIFTY analysis for 22nd and 23rd May, 2025H1 And M15 trends are bullish.
M15 corrective move going to finish.
After inducement (X) taking, M15 corrective trend must mitigate the extreme OB (order block). After M15 OB mitigation wait for lower time frame (i.e. M3 or M1) CHoCH or flip then plan for long entry, that will be M15 and H1 impulsive move or intraday bias.
Market next move . False Breakout Risk (Bull Trap)
While the chart suggests an impending breakout, the market may be setting a bull trap:
Watch for a brief move above the consolidation zone that quickly reverses.
This could lure in buyers before a sharp downturn.
2. Volume Analysis Contradiction
Volume in the consolidation box seems to be decreasing.
A strong breakout typically needs a volume surge, which is currently absent.
Lack of commitment from buyers might suggest indecision or exhaustion.
3. Bearish Divergence Possibility
If you overlay an RSI or MACD indicator:
It might show bearish divergence (price making higher highs, indicator making lower highs).
This often precedes reversals.
4. Key Resistance Ahead
The area just above the consolidation box (around 3,320–3,340) could act as strong resistance based on historical price action.
Price might reject this zone rather than continue higher.
5. Fundamental Risks
Upcoming U.S. economic data (as hinted by the U.S. icon on the chart) may trigger unexpected volatility.
Hawkish Fed tone or strong dollar news could push gold down unexpectedly.
Will gold continue to rise as risk aversion heats up?
📌 Gold driving factors
At present, the current market sentiment has turned cautious, driving safe-haven funds into gold. Previously, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating, and President Trump's promotion of a large-scale tax cut bill is expected to be passed by Congress, further strengthening the theme of "selling the United States" and exerting continuous pressure on the US dollar.
In addition, the resurgence of disputes between the United States and China on the chip issue, and the news that the Group of Seven is considering imposing tariffs on cheap Chinese products, have exacerbated the uncertainty of the global economic outlook, further suppressing the US dollar, while supporting gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to an eight-day high. Gold prices also benefited from the heating up of geopolitical tensions. CNN reported that several US officials revealed that Israel is preparing to launch a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities.
📊Commentary Analysis
The current market is still running in a range of shocks. Therefore, the US market is still trading repeatedly around the range for the time being. For the time being, the small range will temporarily look at the 3320-3285 line!
💰Strategy Package
Gold: Short when it retreats to around 3325-3320, stop loss at 3330, target around 3290! For long orders, look at the support situation and then enter the market at the right time!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
SPY and SOXX...kinda a big issue of realitySo if the SPXL tracks the SPY and is pretty chuck at the ATH....
And the SOXL tracks the SOXX and is at the ATL....
What am i missing that others get....cause when your semiconductors are said to the AI backbone and its our future.....
Why is SOXS and SOXL relatively close in price...
I mean SPXL (SPY long) is like 155 and SPXS (SPY short) is like 5 something
So how does that graph not say what you see if fake...hmmm
My Second Bull Run ExperienceDuring the Covid Era, I have experienced my very first bull run. I made profit but then I made mistakes by being too greedy. This time, i will take profit once the mass will speak about it... Give it a few days and it will be all around the news. I was accumulating more BTC around 50-70K (The last dip). I am proud of how I am reacting to this bull cycle!
AAPL Opportunity Behind the Noise🍏Apple’s trading around $205, and while it’s not at bargain basement levels, there’s real opportunity if you look beyond the headlines.
📰 What’s going on?
Trump’s back in the news pushing for Apple to shift iPhone production back to the U.S. and markets don’t like it. But here’s the thing: Apple’s already working on reducing China risk by moving production to India and ramping up AI features. The long-term vision? Still solid.
📊 The setup I’m watching:
Entry levels:
🔹 $194 – Light buy
🔹 $180 – Add with confidence
🔹 $166 – Back up the truck?
Targets:
🎯 $209 – Easy bounce
🎯 $230 – Mid-term strength
🎯 $260+ – Full recovery mode
💡 Why I like this play:
Apple isn’t just a phone company. It’s a cash-flow machine sitting on mountains of capital, pushing hard into AI, and building a services empire. Tariff talk can shake the chart, but that’s often when smart entries happen.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice—just sharing my personal trade plan. Do your own research and always protect your capital.
If you're waiting for the "perfect" moment, you might just miss the move. Stay alert. 📈💬