SPY trend reversal linear analysis, with parallel stackingAll the annotations speak for themselves...
but just a simple idea to see if there are levels that make sense if the descending line were to be reversed and applied to the ascending trend.
Have to follow those rules, and if too cluttered on choppy weeks- then hold the bottom line and only increase the newest line if you have price chopping greater than the height of the biggest candle in said chop.
ergo, if the biggest candle is say 4 point up from the last trend line off the inception permanent line ascending trend, then hold that line at the high of that day until price breaks above it. If chops continues above it, then draw another parallel 4 points (the height of that largest candle before the chop started) above the original line and hold it there until the chop continues up or is reverts and heads back down.
If you want to see if chop is a flag formation, then take the above example of a big candle up marking a new parallel line high and see if price for 3-4 days stays within it, pull down another parallel from that high and put it on that low...will allow for visual where the flag boundaries may be...
BTC 4hr examples:
Beyond Technical Analysis
XAUUSD Daily Plan – May 21, 2025Gold dancing on liquidity ropes – who’s pulling the strings tomorrow?” 🎭📉📈
🧠 Bias: Mixed
HTF (H4/D1): Bullish retracement inside a bearish macro leg
LTF (M15–H1): Price in premium + internal LH rejection attempt
No clear confirmation for reversal yet – NY may decide
🔵 Discount Buy Zones (for bullish continuation)
3265–3275 → First valid retracement block inside last bullish impulse
3227–3242 → Internal HL + FVG + ascending trendline confluence
3178–3192 → Strong breaker + demand zone holding structure
🔴 Premium Sell Zones (for short-term reaction/reversals)
3285–3292 → Internal LH zone reacting now, possible short-term supply
3318–3330 → Unmitigated OB + clean sweep if market expands
3362–3375 → Final liquidity target above weak high + bearish OB
🧭 Structure Context
D1 CHoCH already printed → valid for short-term retracement longs
H1 broke bullish structure → forming internal HLs
M15 just printed a BOS + premium entry active
H4 bearish swing still intact – bulls need HL above 3190 to flip narrative
📌 Intraday Focus:
Watch for confirmation rejections around 3290 and liquidity grabs above 3300. If price breaks and holds 3295–3300, next invalidation for sellers would be near 3318. If price drops below 3242, look for reaction in deeper demand.
💬 Like this analysis? Smash that ❤️, drop your scenario in the comments, and follow GoldFxMinds for more refined updates. Let’s build together!
— GoldFxMinds
EURUSD time for correctionMonthly
On the monthly timeframe, we came to the Premium zone and captured Monthly Fractal High, where previously there was predominance from the sell side.
Weekly
Price has formed a Weekly FVG, indicating strong dominance from the buy side. However, it is important to understand WHERE this has led us ? The current quotes are interesting for sellers. Hence, we should assume that the price may receive a counter offer from the sell side. It is logical to assume potential points A and B in this context.
Daily
Price has formed primary signs of change in the price delivery state:
- Bullish PD Array disrespecting
- BISI forming
- CISD forming
All this indicates a shift of initiative to the selling side, so it is logical to expect a continuation of the downward movement after interaction with the marked PD Array.
Also, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the price is within the Inside Bar for the 3rd day already. This means that recently the price has been held within the same values, which indicates a balance of power between buyers and sellers at the current quotes. In such a situation, all we have to do is to find the optimal area to continue the downward price formation.
7 Gold Trades That Banked Over $2,500 LAST WEEK – Steal My StratMy strategy is straightforward: I trade order blocks, target premium/discount zones, and capitalize on liquidity sweeps. When these three signals align on the chart, I enter without hesitation.
Gold triggered a strong reaction off a bullish order block at $3192-3120 after forming it on May 15th( also can be seen as STB), confirming a robust uptrend and a global reversal from a deep discount zone( can be seen on 4h time frame). For the bullish momentum to solidify, price must break and close above $3250
So i will keep an eye on GOLD chart and prefer long trader to shorts
recovery, gold price traded above 3300 mark⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Beth Hammack of the Cleveland Federal Reserve emphasized that current U.S. government policies have made it increasingly challenging for the Fed to steer the economy effectively and fulfill its dual mandate of price stability and full employment. She also warned that the risk of a stagflationary environment—marked by stagnant growth and persistent inflation—is on the rise. In contrast, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem recently argued that the current monetary policy stance remains appropriately calibrated.
Despite elevated U.S. Treasury yields, gold has struggled to gain traction, suggesting that higher yields alone are not enough to drive safe-haven demand under current conditions.
However, global monetary easing could provide a tailwind for the precious metal. In the latest moves during the Asian session, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cut its benchmark rate, followed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which unexpectedly reduced its Cash Rate from 4.10% to 3.85%—actions that typically support non-yielding assets like gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recover due to military instability in the Middle East, growth momentum above 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3354- 3356 SL 3361
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Wolfspeed (WOLF) – A Deep Value Play or a Target Under Siege?Personally, I’ve been keeping a close eye on Wolfspeed’s progress this year. There have been plenty of hurdles, big red days, and clear signs of aggressive shorting. But despite the blood in the water, I believe this company holds serious long-term value. With the global electrification trend accelerating—EVs, renewables, industrial upgrades—Wolfspeed is at the core of this transformation through its leadership in silicon carbide (SiC) technology.
I´ve been buying form the start of the year and currently own 2739 shares with the average price of 4,1.
✅ Bullish Catalysts (Upside Potential)
Market Cap: $604.61M
Shares Outstanding: 155.63M
Short Interest: 67.17M shares (43.53% of float)
Short Shares Available: Only 150K
Borrow Rate: 79.17% (!!)
Something doesn’t add up here...
With this level of short interest and borrow costs, it feels like either someone wants to short this to zero or they're trying to take over the company.
Bullish Catalysts (Upside Potential)
Electrification Megatrend: EVs, renewables, and energy storage demand Wolfspeed's SiC chips.
SiC Monopoly Moves: WOLF owns the world’s largest SiC fab (Mohawk Valley), positioning itself for high-margin dominance.
Short Squeeze Setup: 43% short interest + 79% borrow rate = explosive squeeze potential if any positive catalyst hits.
Government Subsidies: IRA, CHIPS Act, and local subsidies could ease funding stress.
Takeover Target: At just $600M market cap, Wolfspeed is ripe for M&A by a larger chipmaker or automotive OEM.
Long-Term Demand: Tesla, Onsemi, Infineon and others are doubling down on SiC—the market is expected to 10x by 2030.
❌ Bearish Catalysts (Risks & Headwinds)
Cash Burn & Dilution Risk: Fabs are expensive. Cash burn remains a serious concern—future capital raises may dilute shareholders.
Earnings Underperformance: Recent quarters have missed expectations, with weak utilization at new facilities.
Execution Risk: Delays in ramping up production at Mohawk Valley create uncertainty.
Competitor Pressure: STMicro, Infineon, and Onsemi are catching up fast in SiC.
Short Pressure Not Easing: No sign of shorts covering despite massive pressure. That suggests confidence in further downside.
Macro Headwinds: Rate hikes, EV demand softening, and recession fears hurt sentiment.
🔍 Conclusion
This setup is binary. Either:
Shorts are right and WOLF crumbles under its debt and execution failures.
Or they're wrong, and the combination of short squeeze + strategic value unleashes massive upside.
I’m leaning toward the latter. 📈
If bulls can defend key support levels and we get even a whiff of positive news (earnings beat, new contract, gov. subsidy, insider buy)—this stock could rip. Entry below 5 bucks seems like a good deal to me.
Watch it closely. High risk. High reward.
Disclaimer :
This post was written with the help of AI assistance, as English is not my native language. The content is for informational and discussion purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Riding the Industrial RallySilver is making another attempt to break through the local high at 33.25.
If it breaks out, I’ll be adding to my long position.
For those not yet in the trade, this breakout could present a good opportunity to enter a long with limited risk. In that case, it's best to place a stop just below today’s low.
DOGECOIN Eyes Major Breakout – Trend Channel in Controlhello guys!
doge seems potential now!
DOGECOIN has successfully broken out of a long-standing bearish trendline and is now respecting a well defined ascending channel structure.
After a clean retest of both the midline and the demand block around 0.1950–0.2150, the price is showing renewed bullish pressure. As long as price holds above this key support zone, we can expect further continuation to the upside.
what I see:
✅ Breakout of descending trendline confirmed
✅ Strong structure support from the demand block (0.1950–0.2150)
✅ Clean reaction from channel midline
✅ Momentum currently favors continuation of the bullish trend
🎯 Bullish Targets:
TP1: 0.2530 (recent swing high)
TP2: 0.2750 (channel upper boundary)
TP3: 0.3035 (major horizontal resistance zone)
🛑 Stop-loss idea: Below 0.1950 (invalidates bullish structure)
5/21 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon, everyone!
In yesterday’s trading, our buy-side positions performed well, but unfortunately, sell orders around 3280 weren't closed in time, resulting in a partial loss of profit.
Today, gold has shown impressive strength, breaking above the 3300 level and forming an irregular inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Technically, this implies further upside potential.
🔍 Based on price action and technical patterns, this rally could extend beyond 3330, and even test 3350+. However, the 3346–3369 zone marks a strong resistance band, making it an ideal zone for medium-term selling opportunities.
📉 On the downside, we identify the first major support at 3278, followed by the 3261–3246 zone.
📰 On the news front, several Fed officials expressed economic concerns in speeches early this morning. Meanwhile, reports of Israel preparing to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities fueled safe-haven demand, pushing gold strongly back above the 3300 mark.
📌 Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell between 3346–3373 (consider scaling in)
Buy between 3260–3243
Flexible trading in the zones: 3338 - 3326 - 3318 -3309 -3298 - 3288 - 3272
Lastly, a heartfelt thought:
Living in a peaceful country like China, it's truly heartbreaking to see so many innocent children suffering or even losing their lives due to war. Let us hope for peace soon—so all people may live safely, freely, and happily.
gold on buy#XAUUSD have regain the pivot support which shows bullish continuation can follow. Multiple entry's shows buy, 3294.7,3304 and 3314.6
Below 3294.7 will kick start bullish target 3346, stop loss 3282.
Below the 3273 have a strong bearish breakout which will drop the price. But depending on H4 if prices closes above 3307 then possible sell can follow from there unless price is above 3314.6