GOLD SELLS ACTIVE +300pips expected Potential for +1000pipsOANDA:XAUUSD
-Price Action
-Historical Data
-Trump Inauguration
-DXY pushing for highs
Technical Analysis
-Price spent all day on 17/01/2025 trying to break above 2716-2719 levels
-Price then retraced to 2703 for liquidity to attempt another break of highs. FAILED
-Price created triple tops on 5m TF
-Mega dump on the 4H tapping into 2699 as lows with closures just above 2700 for the week
Fundamental Analysis
-War cease fire as Trump swearing in is due
-Trump inauguration
-MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
-DXY is rallying to the upside with price finding support on 17/01/2025
Beyond Technical Analysis
D.Trump officially becomes US President , a Big bang for Gold? Gold prices continued to fall below $2,700 during the Asian session on Monday. Among the factors driving the decline were higher US Treasury yields, easing tensions between Israel and Gaza, and the market awaiting the inauguration of US President Donald Trump.
Investors are waiting for President Trump to issue the first order on the US President's diamond so they can make specific investments.
Technically:
Determined based on the H4 time frame and following the trend line as follows:
Resistance: $2724, $2748
Support: $2660, $2635
Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy XAU 2686-2684 (Asia-Europe Session)
❌SL: 2679 | ✅TP: 2691 - 2698 – 2710
👉 Buy XAU 2662-2660
❌SL: 2654 | ✅TP: 2668 - 2674 – 2780
👉SELL XAU 2748-2750
❌SL: 2755 | ✅TP: 2742 - 2737 - 2730
Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat
Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us.
(Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts)
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting
PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL
WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me
DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support
IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude
HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3
Bearish:
DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report
Neutral:
DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
TRUMP/USDT STRUCTURE It's been a long since I saw real FOMO, I know one thing in the trading space there will always be trading opportunities the one thing you should do is to understand what you are investing in before you invest, have a little knowledge of what you want to invest in before you proceed with the investment.
From my analysis, you can see that there is a huge gap that has to be filled. Liquidity needs to be removed, which will result in more price falls. So please stay put and understand market structure first before you jump in. I will always be here to help you out if you choose to stay with me. Stay tuned for more updates.
Happy Trading!!!!!
ITI Ltd. Symmetrical Triangle – Breakout/Breakdown Imminent!Analysis:
ITI Ltd. is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 15-minute chart. This formation often precedes a strong directional move.
📊 Key Levels:
Current Price: ₹374.65
Upside Target: ₹400
Downside Target: ₹350
Support Zone: ₹343.94
Trade Plan:
Await a breakout above ₹380 for bullish entry.
Breakdown below ₹370 could trigger bearish momentum.
Volume confirmation is key for stronger conviction.
💬 What’s your take on this setup? Let us know in the comments!
NZDUSD (4H): UT ANALYSISSummary:
The NZD/USD is poised for a potential breakout above 0.56464, supported by bullish technical signals and positive momentum.
Traders are advised to monitor price action closely and adhere to the provided trade setup to optimize profitability while managing risk effectively.
📊 Market Overview :
The NZD/USD pair is currently consolidating near the 0.56018 level, showing signs of potential bullish momentum. Recent candlestick formations and volume analysis indicate a possible reversal from the support zone. Key indicators, such as RSI and MACD, are approaching critical levels, hinting at upward movement.
📈 Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: 0.56464
Stoploss: 0.56044
Take Profit: 0.56884
💡 Analysis Highlights:
The pair is attempting to break through resistance near 0.56464, suggesting a strong buying zone.
Volume spikes near current levels indicate increased participation by bulls.
MACD's positive crossover supports further bullish price action.
ATR suggests moderate volatility, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
📌 Risk Management:
The stoploss is strategically placed below a recent support level to minimize downside risk.
Take profit is positioned near a key resistance zone, aligning with market momentum.
EURNZD (4H) DT ANALYSIS🔹 Symbol: EUR/NZD
🔹 Current Price: 1.83706
Key Observations:
Recent price action suggests a bearish trend as EUR/NZD approaches a critical resistance zone, indicating potential downside momentum.
Indicators such as RSI and MACD on higher timeframes show signals of weakening bullish strength, aligning with a possible trend reversal.
📉 Sell Order at 1.8271
This level is strategically placed below the current support zone, suggesting further bearish continuation if breached.
🚫 Stoploss: 1.8355
Positioned conservatively above the resistance level to manage risk effectively.
💰 Take Profit: 1.8187
Targeting a prior support level, aligning with anticipated bearish momentum for optimal profit.
Recommendations:
Monitor price action closely at the 1.8350 level. Any breakout above this level could invalidate the bearish outlook.
Ensure strict adherence to the stop loss to mitigate potential losses.
If price action accelerates towards 1.8271, prepare for potential volatility as key levels are tested.
ETH Long to $6666Entry: $3,215.36
Target: $6666
Stop Loss: $2899
Trade Plan:
This trade is based on a liquidity grab.
The stop loss is set below the previous low.
Reasoning:
The price has shown a pattern of accumulation after taking liquidity with the possibility of further bullish movement as it nears the next resistance level. Watch for price action confirmation around the entry level before committing to the trade.
AUDUSD (4H) UT ANALYSIS🔹 Current Market Overview:
The AUD/USD pair is trading at a current price of 0.62085 . Recent price movements suggest consolidation near this level, forming a potential base for upward momentum.
📈 Buy Signal Details:
Entry Price: 0.6243
Stop Loss: 0.61994
Take Profit: 0.62866
🔹 Key Observations:
Trend Analysis:
The pair is recovering from oversold conditions on the 4-hour timeframe.
RSI indicates neutral-to-bullish momentum, currently hovering near the 50-55 range .
Support and Resistance Levels:
Strong support identified at 0.6190–0.6200 .
Immediate resistance is observed at 0.6240–0.6250 , aligning with our entry point.
Volume Analysis:
Buying pressure is building, with consistent above-average volume near 0.6200 .
🔹 Strategy Commentary:
A break above 0.6243 confirms bullish momentum and validates the buy entry.
A well-placed stop loss at 0.61994 ensures minimal downside risk.
The take-profit target at 0.62866 aligns with the upper channel of recent price action, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🔹 Risk Management Tips:
Consider monitoring economic events that may impact AUD, such as commodity price trends or Reserve Bank of Australia announcements.
Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance, ensuring the total loss from the stop loss remains within your acceptable limits.
I need objective information to help me interpret the chart
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With this decline, the BW(100) indicator was created at 104556.23.
Accordingly, the high boundary section is the 101947.24-104556.23 section.
Unfortunately, since it fell below 101947.24, the key is whether it can receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, i.e., around 98892.0, and rise.
If it falls below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and shows resistance, it is highly likely to turn into a short-term downtrend.
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The settings for the StochRSI indicator I use are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The source value is ohlc4.
If you set it as above, it will show a movement similar to the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
When the StochRSI indicator
- falls in the overbought zone,
- is located near the 50 point,
- rises in the oversold zone,
volatility is likely to occur.
However, you should check whether there is support near the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and think of a corresponding response plan.
Therefore, by checking the relationship between the movement of the StochRSI indicator and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can choose the point where you can make a trade.
If you can calculate these selection points, I think it is highly likely that you will be able to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style.
It is good to predict future movements with trends or waves, but if you can calculate the point where you can actually make a trade, I think you can create a better trading strategy.
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I wrote a long article, but
1. Will the StochRSI indicator fall in the overbought zone?
2. Will it receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator?
3. Will it rise to the high boundary section?
You should focus on the three things above.
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The method of drawing support and resistance points is drawn according to the arrangement of candles.
This method can actually include subjective thoughts, so it requires skill.
Therefore, if possible, I recommend that you sign up as a paid member of TradingView and share my charts with me, and use the HA-High, HA-Low, BW(100), BW(0), OBV, +100, -100 indicators that appear on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts by the HA-MS_BW+v2 indicator as horizontal lines and use them as support and resistance points.
Then, even if others look at the charts, they will be easier to understand, and it will be easier to share opinions on trading strategies according to each other's investment styles.
By utilizing indicators that anyone can use in this way, you will be able to view the charts objectively.
If you trade based on what others tell you, you will likely not be able to respond quickly when sudden volatility occurs.
Therefore, when creating a trading strategy, you should roughly think about how to respond to all cases, both when it goes up and when it goes down.
That's why it's best to draw support and resistance points or other reference materials on your chart if possible and prepare countermeasures accordingly.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Bitcoin - Roadmap 2025 to 2026 (Best plan)This analysis is all you need for 2025 and 2026 from the long-term perspective. Bitcoin is currently in the final stage of the bullish cycle that started in 2022 (15,632 USDT) and is predicted to end in 2025 (around 125,000 USDT). This was a pretty good investment, but if you are jumping in right now, you will most likely get hurt in 2025 and 2026. Let's take a look at history to see what we can expect in the next few years.
Bitcoin crashed by 84% (in 2018) and 77% (in 2021). These are the classic bear market crises that Bitcoin experiences every 3–4 years. It's because we have halving events (reducing rewards for miners in BTC) every 4 years from a fundamental perspective. You may know that Bitcoin is highly volatile. History is telling us that in 2025/2026 a huge bear market and crisis are ahead.
But bitcoin's market capitalization is constantly rising, and big players are entering the market. That's to say there is no longer room for such massive crashes. I don't think we will see an 87% crash like in 2015 or 2021. But 60% is still very likely—this would bring the price of Bitcoin down from 125,000 to 50,000. If you buy now at 100,000 USDT, your investment may shrink by 50% in 2026. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years.
So where to take profit in 2025 and prepare for a massive crash? This is a pretty easy question because we have a long-term trendline (2017 -> 2021 -> 2025) on the linear scale. And yes, I don't use the LOG scale in this case. You want to sell at the touch of the trendline. The second option is to use the Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1.618 FIB. I did it for you on this chart, and the level to sell is 122,069 USDT.
From the Elliott wave perspective, we are in the final wave (5). We can expect an ABC correction in 2025/2026 which would bring the price down to 50,000. I bring you this very strong technical data that you can use on your trading decisions.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Buying Idea FPH with stop at 32.76FPH has consolidated over few months. stock has manage to weather the big shakeouts during Dec24. looking very strong to make a move again. decent stop with 6.2% to give it enough room.
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