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USDNOK - US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (Daily chart, OANDA)USDNOK - United States Dollar / Norwegian Krone (Daily chart, OANDA) - Short Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: Medium {support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 10.31500 Entry limit ~ 10.30000 on May 06, 2025 Target limit ~ 10.50000 (+1.94%) Stop order limit ~ 10.18000 (-1.17%) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
Long
by VEDIMarketWatch
VZ - Verizon Communications Inc. (45 minutes chart, NYSE) - LongVZ - Verizon Communications Inc. (45 minutes chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volatility risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.08 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 44.17 Entry limit ~ 44 to 43.60 (Avg. - 43.8) on May 07, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~ 44.35 (+1.26%; +0.55 points) 2.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~ 44.80 (+2.28%; +1 point) 3.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~ 45.15 (+3.08%; +1.35 points) Stop order limit ~ 43.15 (-1.48%; -0.65 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:VZLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
XAUUSD Market Outlook – Potential Pullback Ahead📉 XAUUSD Market Outlook – Potential Pullback Ahead Date: May 21, 2025 Analyst: NextElliott Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold) Current Price: $3,307 Outlook: Short-Term Bearish Bias Trade Horizon: 1–4 Days Timeframes Observed: 4H / Daily 🔍 Market Overview Gold (XAUUSD) recently extended its rally, reaching a high near $3,320 after a strong bullish leg that began earlier this month. However, current price action indicates signs of momentum exhaustion near this region—aligning with a confluence of technical resistance levels and psychological barriers. As Gold consolidates below recent highs, we anticipate a corrective pullback toward the $3,240 area, offering potential for short-term bearish trades or long-term re-entry opportunities. 📐 Key Technical Levels 🔻 Resistance Zone (Recently Tested) $3,305 – $3,320: Fib extension from prior swing Previous intraday rejection levels Overbought RSI on 4H 🔻 Expected Support / Target Zone $3,240 – $3,220: Previous breakout zone 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement of latest rally 20EMA & volume shelf on 4H 🔄 Trend & Structure Analysis Gold remains in a bullish macro structure, but current price is extended short-term. Price appears to be forming a corrective Wave 4 or descending channel, likely targeting $3,240–$3,220 before another leg up. A confirmed break below $3,290 could act as a trigger for downside momentum. 📊 Momentum & Volume RSI Divergence observed on 4H and Daily, signaling weakening buying pressure. Volume tapering on recent highs suggests distribution rather than accumulation. MACD histogram beginning to roll over on 4H—early signal of trend shift. 🧭 Trade Scenario Outlook 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Active Bias) Trigger: Break and 1H/4H close below $3,290 Target Zones: TP1: $3,260 TP2: $3,240 TP3: $3,220 Stop Loss (Short Entries): Above $3,320 Invalidation: 4H close above $3,330 (would suggest continuation) 🛠️ Strategic Notes & Risk Management Ideal for short-term traders looking to capitalize on retracement before trend resumes. Long-term bulls may monitor $3,240–$3,220 for potential re-entry after consolidation. Use volatility-adjusted stop losses and consider scaling out partial profits on approach to support levels. 📌 Conclusion With Gold trading near its short-term peak at $3,320, a pullback toward $3,240 is becoming increasingly probable as overextended conditions begin to unwind. This retracement is expected to be corrective, not reversal-based, within the broader uptrend. Traders should watch for bearish confirmations below $3,290 and act accordingly, while positioning for renewed bullish opportunities near major support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NextElliott
Market next move Bearish Disruption to GBP/USD Analysis: 1. Support Weakness: The price action within the red box shows multiple bearish candles, suggesting the zone is under pressure. A break and close below this box could invalidate the bullish thesis. 2. Exhaustion Signals: After a sharp rally, the market often consolidates or corrects. The current stall near 1.3400–1.3420 could indicate buying exhaustion. The latest candle shows a strong bearish push into the support, hinting at potential for deeper decline. 3. Decreasing Volume: Recent green candles had falling volume, which shows lack of conviction by buyers. Meanwhile, red (bearish) candles show rising volume, signaling increased selling pressure. 4. Failed Breakout Setup: If this bounce fails and price closes below 1.3380, this will form a false breakout or bull trap, triggering stop hunts and aggressive shorting. 5. Macroeconomic Headwinds: GBP is sensitive to UK data and BoE policy. Any hawkish Fed or weak UK numbers may lead to a USD rebound, pushing GBP/USD lower.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move Bearish Disruption to the EUR/USD Analysis: 1. Strong Resistance Zone (Red Box): Price is struggling to hold above the resistance area. Several candles have long upper wicks, signaling rejection and selling pressure. This may form a double-top or even a bull trap. 2. Volume Anomaly: The upward price move shows decreasing volume, which is a classic signal of weak momentum. Without increasing volume, breakouts often fail. 3. Overextended Rally: The pair has already made a sharp move up from below 1.1300 to near 1.1340. This type of parabolic move can lead to a snapback correction. If bulls cannot decisively break resistance soon, profit-taking may trigger a short-term retracement. 4. Bearish Divergence Potential: If RSI or MACD indicators are available, watch for bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while indicators make lower highs). This would reinforce downside risk. 5. Fundamental Pressure: If any upcoming U.S. economic data (like PMI, FOMC minutes, etc.) is strong, it could boost USD and push EUR/USD down from this resistance.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move Bearish Counter-Analysis: 1. Resistance Zone Saturation: The red box shows repeated tests of the resistance area around $33.14–$33.20. This can suggest exhaustion instead of momentum. Multiple failed attempts to break this zone can result in bearish rejection. 2. Volume Divergence: The volume appears to be declining even as price approaches resistance. This divergence can imply a lack of buyer strength, which is a red flag for a bullish continuation. 3. Possible Bull Trap: A sharp move above resistance followed by a quick drop back inside (false breakout) could trap long traders. This may be followed by a sharp sell-off toward the previous support level (~$32.60–$32.80). 4. Candlestick Patterns: Watch closely for bearish candlestick patterns like doji, shooting star, or bearish engulfing in the red box. Their appearance would strengthen a bearish reversal case. 5. MACD/RSI (if available): If the RSI is overbought or MACD shows a bearish crossover, it would reinforce the possibility of a downward retracement.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Three U.S. Retail Kings, Three Tariff StrategiesIn an environment of trade tensions and tariffs threatening to raise costs, America’s retail giants have taken very different paths to protect their profitability. Below, we analyze how Home Depot, Costco, and Walmart have managed the latest tariffs and how this shows up in their net profits for the two most recent fiscal years. 1. Home Depot: Absorbing the Cost and Diversifying Supply o Net profit 2023: USD 17,105 M o Net profit 2024: USD 14,806 M (–13.5 %) In an unusual move for the sector, Home Depot refused to pass Trump’s tariff costs onto consumers, declaring “no way” they would raise prices. Instead, they bolstered their network of professional contractors and acquired SRS Distribution, allowing them to handle large volumes at lower cost and more competitive prices. Their geographic diversification now means no country outside the U.S. accounts for more than 10 % of their sourcing. o Q1 FY25 sales: USD 39,860 M (↑ 9 % YoY) o Q1 FY25 net profit: USD 3,400 M (–5.6 % YoY) o Q2 FY25 guide: sales growth +2.8 %, maintaining solid EBITDA without price hikes. o Current share price (20/05/25): USD 377.05 (YTD +2.45 %) o 12-month forecast range: USD 360–475; consensus target: USD 427.50. 2. Costco: Memberships as an Inflation Shield o Net profit 2023: USD 6,292 M o Net profit 2024: USD 7,367 M (+17.1 %) Rather than splashy headlines, Costco sticks to its tried-and-true formula: razor-thin margins and membership fees. By keeping margins tight on high-turnover goods and offsetting with subscription revenue, the company has boosted its member base and renewals, and optimized its internal supply chain to minimize external cost impacts. o Q1 FY25 sales: USD 60,990 M (↑ 7.5 % YoY) o Q1 FY25 net profit: USD 1,798 M (↑ 13.1 % YoY) o Q2 FY25 (12 weeks): sales USD 62,530 M (↑ 9.1 % YoY); net profit USD 1,788 M o Current share price (20/05/25): USD 1,036.82 (YTD +13.43 %) o 12-month forecast range: USD 907–1,205; consensus target: USD 1,082.14. 3. Walmart: Selective Price Tweaks and Omnichannel Push o Net profit 2023: USD 13,670 M o Net profit 2024: USD 15,500 M (+13.4 %) Unlike Home Depot, Walmart has been more willing to adjust prices on tariff-hit categories, drawing some White House criticism. Still, they closed Q1 FY25 with sales of USD 165,600 M (↑ 2.5 % YoY) and net profit of USD 4,480 M (–12.1 % YoY). For Q2, they anticipate sales growth of 3.5–4.5 % versus USD 167,800 M a year ago, thanks to their e-commerce and subscription services push. Their omnichannel strategy doubles down on platform investment, “click & collect,” and expanding digital delivery and subscription offerings. o Current share price (20/05/25): USD 97.80 (YTD +8.81 %) o 12-month forecast range: USD 91–120; consensus target: USD 109.33. Conclusion Peering out the windows of their vast megastores, Home Depot, Costco, and Walmart face the same tariff storm with very different navigational charts. Home Depot chose to resist price increases, absorbing extra costs and reengineering its supply chain to limit any single foreign supplier to under 10 %—a temporary margin sacrifice for long-term stability. At the other extreme, Costco has built an impenetrable dam with its membership model and razor-thin margins, where member loyalty and a fine-tuned internal logistics engine act as a natural shield against inflation and tariffs. And in between, Walmart sharpens its selective pricing knife on tariff-hit goods while flexing full omnichannel muscle—from “click & collect” to beefing up digital subscription and delivery services. Three distinct survival stories, yet one shared endpoint: weathering the tariff tempest without losing the rhythm of their financial performance. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NYSE:WMTLong
by ActivTrades