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Beyond Technical Analysis

Safe Entry Zone HIMSAfter reaching the Target with 150% profit. Now the Blue Zone IC Zone(Interesting Zone or Institutional Candles Zone) is most appealing support level where we wait for Potentional of Strong Buyers to Step In. Note: Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. Take Care.
NYSE:HIMS
by Faisalzor
#AN009: US attacks IRAN, what will happen? On June 22, 2025, the United States launched air strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan), using bunker-buster bombs and Tomahawk missiles, some dropped by B-2 stealth bombers President Trump declared that the facilities were “completely and totally obliterated” 📈 Tensions and geopolitical context Tehran responded with missiles aimed at Israel and promised “tough responses” The UN and key figures such as Guterres and Medvedev have defined the action as a dangerous escalation with the risk of a new conflict on a regional scale. Israel supported the attacks, while Iran convened the UN Security Council to condemn the aggression. 💥 Market Impact ⚡ Energy Sector Oil prices jump towards $90–100 per barrel on fears of flows from Iran and potential closures of the Strait of Hormuz. Investors reacted with a move towards safe haven assets such as the Dollar, Gold and Treasuries. 📊 Equities and sensitive sectors Starts on an uncertain tone: S&P500 and Nasdaq futures “volatile open”, with penalties on travel and tech, and increases on energy and defense. Gulf markets open slightly higher (Saudi, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait), thanks to the attenuation of initial sell-offs. 🌍 Global economic impact Weakening predictions from the World Bank, IMF and OECD predict an economic slowdown due to energy shocks and increased global tensions. 📌 Currency and Forex Scenario USD has gained ground as a safe haven asset, benefiting from Safety flows. Commodity-linked pairs, such as AUD/USD, NZD/USD and CAD/USD, will be pressured by rallying oil. Potential increase in volatility on EUR/USD and GBP/USD: they rotate towards safe haven and US/China political risk. 📣 What to watch out for Daily and H4 candlesticks in EUR/USD and GBP/USD to understand if support holds under geopolitical stress. Volatility indicators (VIX | MOVE) are rising, it is useful to calibrate the size and prefer structured trades. In the coming days it will be essential to monitor: Reuters/Bloomberg for updates on possible sanctions or public retaliation. ASEAN and Asia for regional reactions on energy supplies. Central banks on inflation expectations due to high oil. 💡 Conclusions – Market and Forex Impact This military action represents a classic geopolitical shock: rising dollar and defensive assets, pressure on oil and high volatility on stock markets and exchange rates. Unlike Israeli attacks, the direct entry of the US increases the degree of macro uncertainty. For Forex traders: USD Index: potential rebound within the bullish trend channel Pairs with commodities: activate strategies on breakout key levels (e.g. AUD/USD, CAD/USD) Anti-USD FX (EUR, GBP, JPY): under pressure and to be used in range rebound. For the equity sector: Rotation towards defensive sectors, defense, energy. Possible entry into government bonds as a high inflation/political hedge. Overall, the impact is clear: increased geopolitical risk → high volatility → shift towards USD/safe haven asset → penalization of sensitive assets.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
GBPJPY hinting of a weighty 3k pip rise from 195.0. /\GBPJPY has always been resilient for the past 5 years as far its upward trajectory goes -- registering only 3 technical corrective phase since March of 2020 -- then proceeding for further price growth every after corrective seasons. After touching its parabolic high of 208, pair hibernated healthily back to demand zone to 0.5 fib levels. Now, the pair is on its 3rd corrective phase since 2020 which has started last July 2024. Based on our diagram above, this month June 2025 it finally registered its first bear clearance in more than 2 years - conveying of a massive shift in trend. last time this signal surfaced was on April 2023, which has produced a 3000 pips rise thereafter. Expect some significant ascend series from hereon pricewise after this major shift. The north journey has started during its low retest of 0.5 FIB levels at 180.0 price zone -- now, already up 1600 pips from that price tap. This 0.5 fib retest has been historically been a strong support for GBPJPY. This is where most buyers converge based on long term metrics. More price growth is expected in the next few weeks with weighty targets up there (about 3k pips). Its not overnight but you know the directional context. Spotted at 195.0 Mid Target previous peak at 208.0 Long term target: 225.
Long
by JSAL
Geopolitical Hedging vs Monetary Policy: Gold Trading TipsGold prices continued this week's correction trend during Friday's Asian trading session, once falling near the one-week low. Although there was a slight rebound afterward, the overall trend remained in a weak adjustment pattern. This correction was mainly affected by the hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve. At this week's policy meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, and the dot plot showed that only two rate cuts are expected by the end of 2025, while the rate cut expectations for 2026 and 2027 have been postponed. Even so, the US Dollar Index fell after hitting a weekly high, which provided some support for gold prices. In addition, growing trade concerns and escalating tensions in the Middle East have enhanced safe-haven demand, limiting the decline in gold prices. From the 4-hour chart of gold, the current bullish momentum is dominant, and the resistance near 3375-3380 is clear. The pullback of gold prices has not broken through the upward channel for the time being, and the medium-to-long-term upward structure remains intact. If the Middle East conflict escalates or trade risks intensify, it may trigger a rebound and repair rally in gold prices. The daily chart closed in a doji star pattern, with prices retesting the middle 轨 of the Bollinger Bands, maintaining a volatile downward rhythm. The hourly chart shows significant downward characteristics, and a bearish strategy can be maintained before the resistance is broken. The resistance range is 3375-3380, and the support range is 3340-3345. XAUUSD sell@3070-3075 tp:3360-3350 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
1
Middle East War - Gold Price Increases✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/23/2025 - 06/27/2025 ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices held steady on Friday, hovering near $3,369 and on track to post a weekly loss of nearly 1.90%, as markets digested US President Donald Trump’s decision to forgo immediate military action against Iran in favor of a diplomatic approach. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 0.11%. While easing geopolitical tensions helped lift risk sentiment, additional pressure on gold emerged from concerns over potential US restrictions on allies operating semiconductor plants in China, as reported by Bloomberg. Trump's restraint on Iran encouraged a risk-on tone, weighing on the appeal of the safe-haven metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Middle East tensions escalate, gold prices continue to recover above 3400, early next week 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3395, $3448 Support: $3302, $3256 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
USDJPY Price Breakout Strong Bullish FormedUSDJPY is approaching a retest of the support level after rebounding from a recent wedge breakdown. The pair has reclaimed structure within a broader ascending channel, indicating buyers are stepping in around key levels. 🎯 Potential Target: If the pair continues to hold above support and breaks minor resistance, the next key upside target is 146.500. you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
Long
by MrMartin_11
ETH Short SetupWell... Eth just lost its only support; atleast, I think it did (I'm no eth 'expert'). Would like to try a short at $2363. Could maybe even top out at the highs of current structure (which would indicate a retest of the support level), but I know that you should use the latest PA as a reference for resistance, which would be the structure at $2363. Will enter a short if it goes up from here without falling further down (I don't want price to create this structure ------> fall down and create new structure below ------> go back up and get above current structure, as this would create new support). Invalidation would be price getting to the middle of the structure which would mean that my entry wasn't resistance. Price would then also have spent some time above the lost support-level, which then could be bullish. SL = red dashed line at $2680.
Short
by EyyJasper
Gold, Will USA-Iran-Israel conflict affect it? The USA-Iran-Israel conflict can significantly impact gold prices. Gold is a safe-haven asset, so demand often rises during geopolitical tensions, pushing prices up 3406 gonna be first target for me, if it breaks this lvl with huge volume and FVG on 1h+ then most likely we will see ATH in near future bearish scenario(lest likely) - price breaks down 3340 and close with nice volume and fvg on 1h+ which will open move all the way down to MO
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Almenio
Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀 Everything about the last week can be found here: OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈 We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶 --- ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 ### Israel / Iran Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀 **Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣 ### India / Pakistan Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢 **Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏 ### Gaza Conflict Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔 **Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️ ### Russia / Ukraine June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭 **Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️ ### U.S. - China Trade War The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻 **Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉 ### Global Trade War The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉 **Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍 ### Trump vs. Powell Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️ **Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥 ### U.S. Inflation CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥 **Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊 --- ## Technical View 📐📈 ### Market Structure: Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦 ### Key Levels: * The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪 * The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑 * Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱 ### Fair Value Gaps (FVG): There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈 ### Gann Analysis: The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles: * The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀 * Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐 * The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏 ### Fibonacci Levels: From the significant swing low to the current high: * 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉 * 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉 * 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉 * 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉 The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨ ### Institutional Levels: * **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰 * **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡 ### Cycle Timing: Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15): * We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️ * The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳 * The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️ --- ### Trading Considerations: * Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉 * Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯 * Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄 Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀 Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂 Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️ Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
2
BTC pressure, price under a lot of selling pressure💎 Update Plan BTC weekend (June 22) Notable news about BTC: Market overview: Bitcoin's consolidation lasts in the context of increasing macro instability US President Donald Trump expressed his caution on Thursday when he delayed the decision involving a potential direct attack on Iran for a maximum of two weeks. The global market, including cryptocurrencies, has reacted, slightly increased in Asian and European sessions when investors absorb the impact of crude oil prices in the context of interrupted transport routes. However, traders are very cautious, reflecting the tough stance of Fed President Jerome Powell on the economy, with the reason for the expectation of inflation in the short term due to tariffs. Bitcoin -large holders continue to accumulate despite the cautious attitudes of traders on the spot and derivative markets. Technical analysis angle Bitcoin price fluctuates around $ 104.057 after cutting up the day from the peak of $ 106,457 of Friday. Main technical indicators, such as relative power index (RSI), strengthen the trend of discounts when the price slip down the average line 50. Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator, monitoring the amount of money poured into BTC, shortening the trend of increasing, stable around the middle line. This reflects the limited interest in Bitcoin on both spot markets and derivative markets. If the weakness of the Organizing Committee overshadows the demand on the chain and network activity, supporting the exponent dynamic line (EMA) 50 days at $ 103,169 can be helpful, temporarily absorbing the pressure of selling. Overcoming this level, high fluctuations can accelerate the decline, bringing the main levels, such as EMA 100 days at $ 99,085 and EMA 200 days at $ 93,404, in. ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents... If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days. If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks. I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively. Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc. Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
3
Weekend Report – June 22, 2025Market Overview and Equities Performance Equity markets closed the week with a mixed tone, largely reflecting the balancing act between geopolitical tensions and diverging monetary policy signals. The Dow Jones Industrial Average led the major indices with a modest gain, finishing at 42,086.22, up 35.16 points. In contrast, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 experienced declines, with the latter dropping 93.40 points. The small-cap Russell 2000 index also underperformed, shedding 0.82%, underscoring investor caution toward riskier, less liquid segments of the equity universe. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) edged up to 20.59, reflecting elevated uncertainty across global markets. Across global equities, developed markets remained broadly lower. Germany’s EWG ETF showed a slight gain (+0.06%), but the UK (EWU -0.82%), France (EWQ -0.28%), and Japan (EWJ -1.82%) underperformed. Among emerging markets, India (EPI -0.87%) showed relative resilience, while Brazil (EWZ -1.46%) and Mexico (EWW -1.48%) dragged down the regional index. Within U.S. sectors, Energy (XLE +0.98%) and Financials (XLF +0.14%) stood out, outperforming other segments. Technology (XLK -1.07%) and Healthcare (XLV -0.64%) were laggards, as risk-off sentiment and rotation into defensive sectors continued. Fixed Income and Yields In fixed income, yields fluctuated modestly across maturities and regions. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose slightly to 4.383%, reflecting a cautious reassessment of potential rate cuts, while the 2-year yield settled at 3.916%, keeping the yield curve relatively flat. This structure signals continued investor skepticism around aggressive easing due to sticky inflation and economic resilience. Notably, 10-year German Bunds yielded 2.52%, while UK Gilts touched 4.543%. Japan remained the lowest among major economies, with 10-year JGBs at 1.402%. Corporate credit segments displayed steady but muted performance. High Grade Corporates (LQD) and High Yield Corporates (HYG) both posted minor gains, supported by a moderate risk-on tone in fixed income. U.S. TIPS, convertibles, and emerging market debt (EMB +0.11%) were among the stronger performers, pointing to selective investor positioning around inflation hedges and credit risk opportunities. Sector Rotation and Style Performance Sector rotation data highlighted a clear tilt toward defensives. Consumer Staples (XLP +0.73%) and Utilities (XLU +0.27%) outperformed, while cyclical sectors like Consumer Discretionary (XLY -0.04%) and Technology (XLK -1.07%) lagged. This rotation reflects growing concerns over both geopolitical spillover and the delayed effect of higher interest rates on the real economy. Factor performance relative to the S&P 500 showed Buybacks (+1.1%) and Hedge Funds (+0.7%) leading qualitative strategies. Growth (-0.2% vs. SPY) underperformed, while Large-Cap Value (IVE/SPY +0.73%) emerged as the day’s strongest style segment. Low Volatility and Momentum factors also gained, up 0.5% and 0.4% respectively, reflecting investor preference for stability. IPOs and Quality-based factors lagged, suggesting waning appetite for newer or less consistent earnings profiles. Commodities Update Commodities delivered notable moves, driven by geopolitical and inflation-related themes. Brent crude oil climbed 0.43% to $77.13 per barrel, while WTI crude added 22.46% month-to-date, buoyed by supply disruption fears tied to the Israel-Iran conflict. Gold remained firmly bid, up 2.37% to $3,368.72, with silver also gaining 24.9% year-to-date as investors sought safety amid market uncertainty. Energy commodities broadly strengthened, while agricultural markets showed mixed results. Wheat gained 3.8%, while corn and sugar extended their declines, down -8.55% and -19.58% respectively in 3-month terms. These diverging trends suggest speculative flows into soft commodities may be tapering as inflation moderates. Meanwhile, industrial metals such as copper and aluminum remained stable, while steel saw some weakness amid global growth concerns. Currency Markets The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) was slightly weaker, as the market reassessed the likelihood of U.S. intervention in Iran and priced in delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts. The euro and pound held steady, with EUR/USD at 1.1516 and GBP/USD at 1.3442. The Japanese yen continued to weaken, reaching 146.17 against the dollar, down over 8% year-over-year. The currency heatmap showed the euro up 7.6% over the past year and the pound up 6.7%, reflecting both relative monetary policy paths and capital flows. Emerging market currencies, particularly the Turkish lira and South African rand, remained under pressure. Latin American currencies also saw weakness as risk aversion returned. Notably, the Norwegian krone was the strongest currency on the day, gaining 0.92%, while the Indian rupee and Chinese yuan continued to struggle. Macro Themes and Geopolitical Risks A range of macroeconomic and geopolitical developments are shaping the market environment. The U.S. Federal Reserve remains divided over the timing of potential rate cuts. Some members, such as Christopher Waller, suggest that easing could begin as early as the next meeting, citing muted inflation effects from tariffs. Others remain cautious, warning about anchoring long-term inflation expectations. President Trump's pressure for deep rate cuts adds political complexity to the Fed’s independence. Simultaneously, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have intensified, contributing to volatility in energy markets and risk-off flows in global equities. The conflict between Israel and Iran remains a central concern, particularly for Gulf energy infrastructure and military alliances. European markets, while initially lifted by negotiation prospects, remain susceptible to headline risk. Further complicating the global outlook, the European Union announced restrictions on Chinese medical device procurement, exacerbating trade tensions with Beijing. In commodities and energy policy, investor sentiment is also being shaped by U.S. political developments, with Trump-era tariffs and subsidies creating uncertainty around the future of clean energy investment and industrial production strategies. All in All: Markets are currently navigating a volatile and complex macro environment characterized by mixed central bank messaging, geopolitical flashpoints, and shifting investor risk preferences. Equity performance reflects a cautious rotation into defensives and quality factors, while bond yields hold steady as participants wait for clarity on the Fed's next move. Commodities, especially energy and precious metals, are reacting to geopolitical premiums, while FX markets reflect shifting global capital allocations. In this environment, diversification, quality exposure, and tactical risk management remain paramount. The coming weeks will likely hinge on the evolution of Middle East conflict dynamics, additional economic data, and clarity from the Fed. Market participants should brace for volatility, with a potential tilt toward safe havens and low-beta assets in the short term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku