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SWING IDEA - POLYPLEXNSE:POLYPLEX has hit its 3 year low of 800 levels recently. At this zone, it can been that while the Price Action has been making Lower Low Pattern, the MACD however is starting to form a Higher High Pattern. This MACD Higher Higher Pattern the recent crossover as well indicates a move in the upward direction. Follow Strict Stop Loss here as any weekly closing below the Swing Low levels can only take the stock further downward. This could potentially be a High Risk High Reward Trade. Take it only based on your Risk Appetite and Management.
NSE:POLYPLEXLong
by thepranam
Again TLT, again 108 targetI’m still supporting 20+ bonds, and this time I’ve chosen the technical approach. I’m not entirely sure if I’ve made the correct calculations using the XABCD pattern, but the picture seems accurate. When the market has concerns about tax reductions, strict measures against migrants, sanctions, etc., and how all of this will affect prices and, specifically, inflation, don’t forget to consider the opposite side of reality. Before all these factors fully materialize, it will take years. During those years, the Trump administration is preparing to make aggressive cuts in public spending, introduce new optimization plans, and more. This can have a direct negative impact on both inflation and the labor market.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by gorgevorgian
BTC/USD Short: FibCloud Rejection and 200MA TargetOn the 8-hour BTC/USD timeframe, I have executed a short position following a clear rejection from the FibCloud, signaling strong resistance at this level. The price action showcases a classic flip of old support into new resistance, further solidifying bearish momentum. My target for this trade is the $90,000 price zone, aligning with the 200MA on the 8-hour chart. Additionally, order flow data confirms significant sell-side activity, with large orders clustered between the $90,000 and $89,000 levels, providing further confluence for this setup. The trade is structured to capitalize on the retracement move, with the potential for price consolidation or reversal upon hitting the $90K psychological and technical support zone. Technicals: • Entry Trigger: Rejection from FibCloud and resistance flip. • Target: $90,000 (aligned with the 200MA and key order flow levels). • Stop Loss: Positioned above the FibCloud to mitigate risk. • Order Flow Insight: Large sell orders between $90,000–$89,000 add weight to the bearish scenario. This setup emphasizes a disciplined approach to risk management, leveraging technical and order flow alignment for optimal execution. Stay sharp, and remember to pay yourself! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
Can DXYZ Reach $199? Here’s How!Good morning, trading family! DXYZ is at an important point, and here’s what could happen: -If the price breaks above $62.74: We’re looking at a first target of $127, with the potential to climb to $199 or higher. -If the price falls below $56.12: We could see a drop to levels between $43-$46. This is a setup worth watching. Let’s stay sharp and trade smart! Wellness Tips of the Day: Eat brain-boosting snacks: Reach for a handful of nuts, some fresh fruit, or a piece of dark chocolate to keep your energy and focus steady throughout the day. Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you want more details on this analysis! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NYSE:DXYZLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
1
Fed Rate Expectations: How Are They Formed?Changes in the Federal Reserve's funds rate have far-reaching implications for nearly all existing assets. When the rate increases amidst moderate inflation, the U.S. dollar TVC:DXY typically strengthens, attracting capital from both the cryptocurrency and stock markets. Conversely, if inflation is rising rapidly and the Fed is compelled to aggressively raise rates to stabilize the economy, investors often interpret this as a sign of underlying trouble, prompting them to shift their assets into TVC:GOLD . However, it is essential to recognize that the Fed’s decisions are reactions to prevailing economic conditions. More crucially, market expectations regarding the Fed's rate movements—shaped by collective sentiment—play a significant role in shaping economic outcomes. This post explores the factors that form these expectations. 📍 Key Indicators Influencing Expectations for the Fed Funds Rate The market tends to respond significantly only when actual changes in the funds rate diverge from expectations. If adjustments align with market forecasts, the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar typically remains stable. Thus, accurately predicting the Fed's actions is vital for investors and traders. 1. Labor Market Dynamics The labor market is a primary focus for the Fed. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases employment reports every Friday, providing insight into unemployment rates. The Fed maintains a forecast range for acceptable unemployment levels—generally between 4.2% and 4.8%—indicating economic balance. An uptick in unemployment signals economic weakness, often prompting a reduction in the funds rate. Conversely, a decline in unemployment raises concerns about potential economic overheating, which could lead to tighter monetary policy. 2. Inflation Trends The Fed’s target inflation rate is set at 2%. As inflation rises, the Fed typically increases the funds rate to curb borrowing. This was clearly illustrated during the 2022-2023 period, where persistent inflation above 8% led to a series of rate hikes. In contrast, deflation would necessitate maintaining ultra-low funds rates. Additional indicators to monitor include wage trends, inflation expectations, and the consumer price index (CPI). 3. Overall Economic Health Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a key indicator of economic health. Although GDP data is often retrospective, it reflects long-term economic trends. A decline in GDP may prompt the Fed to adopt stimulative monetary policies. Analysts often utilize the GDPNow model, developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, to obtain real-time estimates of U.S. GDP growth. 4. Treasury Yield Curve The yield curve illustrates the relationship between bond yields of different maturities from the same issuer. A flattening yield curve typically signals economic slowdown, while long-term bonds yielding less than short-term bonds can foreshadow a recession. The Fed could respond to such signs by adjusting funds rates higher depending on the crisis’s underlying causes. 5. Global Economic Influences Economic conditions in other major economies, particularly China and the European Union, can indirectly impact the U.S. economy due to deep economic ties. Monitoring central bank funds rates and the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in these regions is essential. 6. The Dollar’s Exchange Rate Against Key Currencies A strong U.S. dollar can adversely affect American exporters. If other central banks, such as the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank, adopt accommodative monetary policies, the Fed may also consider lowering rates to avoid a detrimental trade balance caused by a strengthening dollar. 7. Market Expectations Investor sentiment creates a feedback loop. With over 50% of Americans investing in equities, a hawkish stance on funds rates tends to increase bond yields and instigate a sell-off in securities, negatively impacting overall economic wealth. Investors’ anticipation of potential rate cuts can pressure the Fed to align with these expectations. 8. Communication from Fed Officials The rhetoric from Fed officials often hints at future monetary policy, providing insights into rate expectations based on their communications. Numerous indicators, including analysts’ forecasts and futures trading on key rates, contribute to understanding the Fed's policies. Due to the complexity of these influencing factors, relying solely on fundamental analysis for trading is not advisable for beginners. 📍 Conclusion Forecasting changes in the Fed's funds rate often begins with the first clear signals about the Fed's potential actions. The primary motivations guiding the Fed are the control of inflation and the management of unemployment—making these two indicators crucial for predictions regarding monetary policy. Additionally, it is essential to consider fundamental factors impacting other major currencies. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
3
Micron Technology ($MU): Breaking Resistance or Building Moment "Undervalued tech stocks are like treasure maps—the trick is knowing where the 'X' marks the breakout. Let’s see where NASDAQ:MU might lead us." Valuation Insight: "Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is trading at $87.50, with valuation metrics that scream potential: P/E Ratio: 10.5—well below industry averages. P/B Ratio: 1.7—value investors, take note. EV/Revenue Ratio: 3.5—a discount on future growth." Key Resistance Levels to Watch: $97.18 – The First Test 🎯 "This level marks the first hurdle for $MU. A breakout above could indicate momentum building toward a bullish trend." $118.54 – The Big Break ⚡ "Crossing this level would confirm renewed bullish sentiment. Look for strong volume as a signal for sustained movement." $181.66 – The Bullish Peak 🏔️ "While distant, this historical high serves as a long-term target for investors betting on sustained industry growth." Growth Catalysts: AI and 5G Demand: DRAM and NAND memory are critical for emerging technologies. Institutional Activity: Dark pool orders and market-on-close volume indicate increased interest from big players. Risks to Watch: Cyclical Nature: Overproduction or slowing demand could impact prices. Macroeconomic Headwinds: Higher interest rates might dampen near-term spending in tech. Conclusion: " NASDAQ:MU is undervalued and approaching critical levels—$97.18, $118.54, and $181.66—that could define its path forward. Keep these zones on your radar and watch for volume to validate potential moves."
NASDAQ:MULong
by DCAChampion
US30 - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabThe US30 index has reached a key liquidity zone above resistance, setting up a compelling sell limit opportunity. This price action suggests the market has cleared stop-losses and may be primed for a bearish reversal. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: The price spiked above a critical resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping breakout buyers. Market Structure: Emerging bearish signals, including rejection candles and a loss of bullish momentum, indicate potential downside movement. Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity grab and the anticipated reversal zone. Trade Plan: Entry: Sell limit at , expecting a move downward from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above the liquidity sweep to protect against false breakouts. Take Profit: Targeting support levels around for a strong risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This setup capitalizes on a classic liquidity grab, but strict adherence to risk management and position sizing is vital. Monitor price action closely for additional confirmation of bearish momentum.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by Vusizwe_Capital
Maximize Gains with AAPL: Key Levels and Insights for Next Week - Recent Performance: Apple Inc. (AAPL) has shown remarkable resilience in the technology sector, reaching an all-time high of $255 recently. This upward movement underscores the strong investor confidence, driven largely by robust earnings and a promising outlook despite mixed broader market sentiments. - Key Insights: AAPL continues to navigate critical resistance levels effectively. The key price resistance currently stands at $255, and should this level be exceeded, analysts believe the price could target $260. The upcoming iPhone 16 launch is poised to further bolster investor confidence and foster a positive sentiment towards the stock. - Expert Analysis: Market experts maintain a bullish outlook on AAPL, highlighting the importance of maintaining above the $246 support level. If AAPL can hold this critical support, the stock may set itself up for a rally as it targets higher resistance levels. The prevailing sentiment within the tech sector suggests that AAPL, alongside other front-runners like Nvidia, may lead potential breakouts in the near term. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1 = $260, T2 = $265 - Stop levels: S1 = $246, S2 = $243 - News Impact: The high anticipation surrounding the launch of the iPhone 16, with expectations of over 90 million units sold, adds a layer of excitement to AAPL’s growth prospects. Additionally, ongoing regulatory scrutiny in the EU could influence market sentiments, making it essential for investors to stay informed about impending developments that may affect stock performance. In conclusion, AAPL is well-positioned for growth, and traders should closely monitor the outlined price targets and support levels as the company gears up for significant product launches and navigates the evolving market landscape.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
The US govt. will not shut down! So where Are we heading now?How interesting is this—markets seemed nervous for 3 weeks as we approached the deadline to fund the U.S. government. The deadline passed over the weekend, and a deal was reached. Yet, here we are, with Dow futures opening down 80 points. With Christmas Eve tomorrow, it looks like the Santa rally got canceled this year. Five Dow components are already in bear market territory (down more than 20% from their highs). So, what do you think? Is this the perfect spot for a pullback, or do we rally from here? I’ll be looking for weak spots to short with a tight stop—and I’d love to hear your thoughts. Leave your comments below!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by onlytrade2win
Gann Analysis for FTX Token (FTT/USDT) on a Daily TimeframeHello Dear Traders, Long Term Cycle Target = 9 More Details: --- ### **1. Overview of the Chart** - **Asset:** FTX Token (FTT) against Tether (USDT). - **Timeframe:** Daily. - **Gann Levels and Geometry:** The chart shows a Gann square configuration with critical price and time intersections, highlighting significant support and resistance zones. --- ### **2. Key Observations** 1. **Current Price:** **3.2805 USDT** (up by **10.45%**). 2. **Major Levels Based on Gann Angles:** - **0° = 1 USDT:** A strong foundational support level. - **45° = 1.5625 USDT:** Intermediate support; historically relevant. - **90° = 2.25 USDT:** Another significant support area, which has held well during recent price action. - **180° = 4 USDT:** A critical resistance level that may act as a near-term target for bulls. - **225° = 5.0625 USDT:** Resistance on the mid-term horizon. - **360° = 9 USDT:** A long-term bullish target if momentum sustains. 3. **Price Interaction with Gann Levels:** - The price has recently bounced off the **90° level (2.25 USDT)** and is heading towards the **180° level (4 USDT)**. - Gann diagonals (green and pink lines) indicate potential reversal zones depending on their intersection with price action. --- ### **3. Scenarios and Predictions** #### **Bullish Scenario:** - **Condition:** A strong breakout above **180° = 4 USDT**, confirmed by sustained price action and volume. - **Targets:** - **First Target:** **225° = 5.0625 USDT.** - **Second Target:** **315° = 7.5625 USDT.** #### **Bearish Scenario:** - **Condition:** A rejection at the **180° resistance** and a breakdown below **90° = 2.25 USDT.** - **Targets:** - **First Target:** **45° = 1.5625 USDT.** - **Second Target:** **0° = 1 USDT.** --- ### **4. Recommendations** - **Short-Term Traders:** - Look for bullish confirmation if the price breaches **4 USDT.** - Set stop-loss levels slightly below **90° = 2.25 USDT** to minimize downside risks. - **Long-Term Investors:** - Monitor the interaction at **180° and 225° levels**. - Accumulate cautiously near support zones like **90° or 45° levels** for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
by Magic_xD
#BTCUSD 4H#BTCUSDBTCUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: Trendline Support Breakdown: The price has broken below a previously established trendline support, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. Forecast: Sell Opportunity: The breakdown below trendline support suggests that bearish momentum may take over, and further downside movement is likely. Key Levels to Watch: Entry Zone: After the trendline breakdown, wait for confirmation of continued selling momentum or a retest of the broken trendline as resistance. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Above the broken trendline or recent swing high to limit risk. Take Profit Zones: Focus on next support levels or Fibonacci projections for potential downside targets. Market Sentiment: Bearish Outlook: A trendline support breakdown typically signals that the buyers have lost control, and further downward movement is expected if the price remains below the broken trendline.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
Disney Price Momentum: Bullish Outlook as Resistance ApproachesRecent Performance: Disney's stock has shown resilience, currently trading at $112.03, recovering from previous levels around $111.89. Sitting above the 180-day Simple Moving Average signals a positive trend that may attract stability-seeking investors. - Key Insights: Analysts project potential further movement beyond resistance levels. If the stock surpasses the immediate resistance at $112, a bullish outlook could see prices aiming for $115. Monitoring consumer sentiment and insider trading trends will be crucial. - Expert Analysis: Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic due to Disney's strong positioning in its media and entertainment sectors. Experts believe the stock may break through key resistance levels in the near term, driven by ongoing strategic decisions and recovery from pandemic impacts. Catering to evolving consumer preferences will be vital as the landscape becomes increasingly competitive. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1: $115, T2: $118 - Stop levels: S1: $110.12, S2: $108.00 - News Impact: Recent strategic moves focusing on content monetization and the expansion of streaming services highlight Disney's adaptability post- pandemic. Investor attention is on operational efficiencies within parks and experiences as travel restrictions ease. Combined, these factors bolster expectations for strong future earnings and enhance positive market sentiment.
NYSE:DISLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
GBP/USD: Bearish to Bullish Reversal SetupHere’s a detailed explanation of my GBP/USD analysis on the 1-hour chart: --- The chart highlights key structural points and psychological levels, forming the basis of my trade setup. Market Structure and Key Levels: I identified multiple Break of Structure (BoS) points, signaling the continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. However, the marked Change of Character (CHoCH) indicates a potential reversal as price shows signs of transitioning from bearish to bullish momentum. This CHoCH aligns with a demand zone where price reacted strongly, confirming buyers stepping in. Weekly Psychological Level: The 1.2600 level is a crucial psychological barrier. Price initially broke below it but retraced to test it as resistance. This level also aligns with my first take-profit zone, making it an ideal spot to secure partial profits if price moves in my favor. Entry and Execution Plan: I refined my entry to a 15-minute order block, represented by the $$$ mark. This zone is where price consolidated before a bullish move, signaling institutional participation. My entry at this level offers a low-risk, high-reward opportunity. Take-Profit Targets: I set three take-profit levels to align with key liquidity zones: Take Profit 1: Around 1.26130, just above the psychological level. This is a conservative target to lock in early gains. Take Profit 2: Positioned near a higher imbalance region, targeting further bullish momentum. Take Profit 3: The ultimate target, placed at a liquidity zone higher up on the chart. If price maintains its bullish trajectory, this would yield significant profits. Risk Management: Stop-loss is set below the demand zone to protect against invalidation of the setup. This ensures my risk remains limited while giving the trade enough room to play out. Trade Bias: The bias shifted from bearish to bullish after the CHoCH and the strong reaction from the demand zone. The setup anticipates a retracement or reversal to test higher levels, with the psychological level acting as the first major hurdle. --- This setup is based on market structure, key levels, and price action, offering a clear roadmap for execution. If price respects my zones, it’s a high-probability trade with solid risk-to-reward potential.
Long
by israelharrison010
1
$BTC.D prediction based on the current situation.CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been climbing steadily since the start of this bull run. It’s often said that an altseason begins when BTC dominance drops below 55%. However, the 54% level appears to be a strong support zone, with the MACD showing a low point and the RSI entering oversold territory. My analysis suggests that BTC dominance has established a range between 59% and 55%. It’s likely to bounce off the top resistance, pushing dominance back toward the support. If the next drop breaks through this support, it could finally trigger a true altseason.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
1