XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish Outlook – H1/H4 Chart AnalysisGold is currently showing signs of weakness within a confirmed downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the short-term charts. The price structure suggests continued bearish momentum as sellers maintain control beneath key resistance levels.
At present, a potential bearish opportunity is observed if price retraces near the 3320 zone, which aligns with a recent supply area and resistance in the ongoing downtrend. From this level, price action could continue its downward move in line with trend dynamics.
Entry Zone: Around 3320
Primary Target: 3300 (near-term support level)
Final Target: 3280 (extended target aligning with previous demand zone)
Invalidation/Stop Loss: Above 3340 (a break above this may invalidate the bearish bias)
🔸Disclaimer; This setup is based on technical structure and market flow, not financial advice. Always confirm with your own analysis and risk management plan.
Beyond Technical Analysis
CRC | Long | Strong Cash Flow | (July 2025)CRC | Long | Strong Cash Flow & Carbon Transition Story | (July 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
CRC is showing solid momentum as it combines strong cash flow from oil & gas with an expanding carbon capture strategy. Price action suggests a possible breakout on its second attempt at resistance.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long ✅
Entry: Watching current resistance zone closely on the 4-hour chart; money inflows confirmed on daily.
Stop Loss: Around $44 (invisible stop loss level to manage risk).
TP1: $53 💰
TP2: $57 💰
Partial Exits: Letting a portion run towards $63 for extended upside potential.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
We see strong institutional support, recent acquisition synergies from Aera Energy, and potential tailwinds from the Carbon TerraVault (CTV) project. Watch for volume confirmation and the upcoming Q2 earnings report on August 5, which could act as a catalyst. Be cautious of commodity price volatility and regulatory timelines for CCS projects.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
Will monitor closely and share updates as the trade develops, especially if earnings significantly shift sentiment.
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Bitcoin Expecting Bullish FormationBitcoin could be triggered by negative news from the U.S. regarding tariffs, which may create market uncertainty and push investors toward risk-off or alternative assets like crypto.
Currently, Bitcoin is reacting to the decline caused by fundamental negative data, but bullish sentiment remains alive as buyers attempt to hold key support zones. The focus now shifts to the psychological resistance near 110K
You may find more details in the chart.
Ps support with like and comments for more better analysis.
XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity PlayFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
🔍 Analysis Overview:
Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations:
📌 NOTES:
The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior.
Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers.
This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops.
My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap.
📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower.
The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup.
💡 Conclusion:
If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #TrendlineBreak #MarketPsychology #TradingSetup #SMC #PriceAction
Wise Is Poised To Capture A Multi-Trillion Dollar OpportunityA few months back, we highlighted key investment trends for the next decade—among them, cross-border finance and fintech disruption. Now, Wise plc OTC:WIZEY , a British fintech leader, is showing strong alignment with both themes, and it may soon benefit from even more investor attention as it plans to move its listing from the UK to the U.S.
🌍 What Wise Does
Wise offers low-cost, tech-driven cross-border payment services. Rather than sending money physically across borders, it uses a network of local money transfer entities to settle transactions locally. This allows the company to avoid high bank fees and offer fast, affordable currency exchanges. Currently, 65% of its international payments are settled instantly, and 95% are completed within 24 hours.
Its infrastructure, built over the past decade, gives Wise a strong moat—few competitors can replicate its speed and pricing. The company also offers personal and business multi-currency accounts, a debit card, and an investing feature called "Wise Assets." Additionally, Wise licenses its payment rails to institutions like Morgan Stanley and Monzo, creating another layer of growth potential.
📈 Financials & Growth
Wise has seen explosive growth:
- Revenue has more than tripled since 2021.
- Profits are up 7.2x during the same period.
- Active users, transfers, and customer balances are all climbing steadily.
Management expects mid-teens growth in both revenue and profits, though we see this as conservative given Wise’s network effects.
💰 Valuation & U.S. Relisting Potential
Currently valued at ~$17.8 billion with a P/E of ~24.7x, Wise trades more cheaply than many U.S. fintech peers. If EBIT projections hold—$900M in 2026 and $1.1B in 2027—the multiple could compress to ~17x, making it even more attractive.
Relisting in the U.S. could spark multiple expansion as it gains visibility and liquidity among U.S. investors. Wise trades at about 5x sales today; even a modest bump closer to 10x could signal major upside.
⚠️ Risks to Watch
Low U.S. liquidity: Shares currently trade over-the-counter under WIZEY, which comes with low volume and potential slippage.
Emerging competitors: Rivals like Remitly (RELY) are growing.
Security risks: Any breaches, like the one it faced years ago, could damage trust.
✅ Final Take
Wise stands out as a rare combination of profitability, growth, and competitive edge in a massive, underpenetrated market. With a planned U.S. relisting and strong financials, it’s well-positioned for continued upside.
Rating: Strong Buy
BTC.D Cycle top in?There are signs that Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) could be leaving a cyclical top, similar to what we saw in late 2020. When overlaid with the Global Liquidity Index (inverted and leading by 52 weeks), a potential correlation appears: previous peaks in liquidity were followed by turning points in BTC.D about a year later.
If this pattern repeats, a shift in market dynamics — possibly in favor of altcoins — could unfold over the coming year. However, this remains a hypothesis rather than a confirmed signal. The relationship between macro liquidity and crypto sector rotation is worth watching, but it’s not guaranteed to play out the same way again.
What’s your take: Altcoin Season loading or not yet?
EURUSD H4 RISES 🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD Analysis (4H)
📉 Current Structure:
Price is hovering around 1.17298, showing hesitation at the resistance of a potential bearish flag.
While the chart labels this zone as “bullish,” there are signs of market indecision, possibly a fakeout trap.
⚠️ Key Disruptions:
1. Bullish Trap Risk:
The price formed a short-term M-pattern (double top inside the orange circle), indicating bearish exhaustion rather than continuation.
The expected breakout to the upside may fail if bulls don’t sustain volume.
2. Support Area Weakness:
The support zone around 1.17000 has been tested multiple times. If it breaks, it could turn into a strong resistance, flipping the sentiment.
3. Macro Influence:
Upcoming EUR and USD economic events (noted by icons) could cause high volatility and break structure unexpectedly.
A strong USD report could reverse bullish momentum, sending EUR/USD toward 1.16500 or lower.
4. Bearish Continuation Scenario:
If the market breaks down from the current consolidation, expect targets at:
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis : Bullish Structure Setup + Target🧠 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis
Gold has recently been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, which has governed price action over the past several sessions. This structure is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming well-established channel resistance and channel support levels. However, recent bullish pressure has led price to aggressively test the upper boundary of this channel, signaling the potential for a structural breakout.
We are now at a technical inflection point, where a successful breakout and retest could mark the beginning of a significant trend reversal and short-to-medium term bullish move.
🔍 Key Technical Levels & Zones
🔷 Channel Resistance (~3,325)
The price is currently testing the descending trendline acting as channel resistance.
This area has previously rejected price several times, increasing its significance.
A confirmed break and close above this level may shift the market bias from bearish to bullish.
🔷 Central Zone – Dual Demand (~3,325–3,330)
This horizontal zone intersects with the channel resistance and aligns with two previous demand zones, now acting as a key decision area.
The market must validate this zone as new support before any sustained upward movement can occur.
🔷 Next Reversal Zone – Target (~3,370)
The next major area of interest lies around 3,370, a zone identified by previous swing highs and visible liquidity pools.
This level is likely to act as a magnet for price if bullish structure is confirmed.
📈 Price Structure Outlook
The potential breakout is supported by a strong bullish impulse off the channel support, followed by a series of higher lows suggesting growing bullish momentum. The projected movement scenario is as follows:
Break above the channel resistance
Retest and confirm the central zone as support
Continuation toward the 3,370 reversal zone
This would complete a classic break–retest–continuation pattern.
✅ Trade Considerations (Not Financial Advice)
Entry Type Entry Condition Target Stop Loss
Aggressive Break & 2H close above 3,330 3,370 Below 3,320
Conservative Retest & bullish confirmation above 3,325 3,370 Below 3,310
Risk Management:
Use position sizing aligned with your risk tolerance (max 1–2% per trade).
Monitor volume closely during breakout and retest for confirmation.
⚠️ Invalidation Scenario
If price fails to break above the channel and is rejected strongly, especially with a bearish engulfing or long upper wick, the downside could resume. In such a case, price may revisit the channel midline or even the lower boundary around 3,290.
📝 Summary
Gold is at a critical juncture, testing long-standing channel resistance.
A break above and successful retest of the 3,325–3,330 zone could lead to a rally toward 3,370.
This setup reflects a potential shift in structure from bearish to bullish on the 2H timeframe.
Gold on Hold: Consolidation Without a SignalGold is holding up well for now and consolidating at the current level. But there’s no clear opportunity to buy or sell. It’s just guesswork at this point. And why would I need that? I want to make money, not to be "right."
On a global, long-term horizon (up to a year), I believe the metal will go higher. On the daily and weekly charts, the trend is still upward, and both geopolitical factors and the Fed’s rate policy support the continuation of the trend. But when exactly will it happen? That’s unclear. For now, there are no setups for a trade.
Interestingly, gold and other precious metals might move in different directions. Gold could start a correction while other metals could rise, as they are undervalued. But undervaluation isn’t a direct reason to buy. It’s always better to follow this rule: the market knows better than all of us what the fair price should be right now. Still, when it comes to entering a position, my opinion that the metal is undervalued can be taken into account—and if there’s a proper setup, the entry can be made. It’s like a puzzle. One factor is one piece, then another, and another—and once the full picture comes together, that’s when we enter the position.
BTCUSDT - going to 113866.19$My analysis is based on numerology, all the numbers you see on the chart are from the same place. There is a certain numerological symbolism, which tells me that the price has already put the bottom 49(13) and will make a reversal from the zone 52260+- and then will fly strongly upwards with the target first 89k bucks, and after 113k. It's time to look for a good entry point.
CRT on Weekly timeframe / Bullish 🎯 Trade Idea:
If you're already in: Good entry, but keep a tight stop below 0.5770.
If you're not in yet: Wait for a bullish confirmation candle (engulfing, hammer, etc.) on the daily or weekly before entering.
TP Zones:
TP1: 0.5900 (minor resistance)
TP2: 0.6040 (key structure zone)
Recently Circle launched native USDC & CCTP on $SEIThis enables fast, low-cost stablecoin transfers on the efficient L1 blockchain, boosting liquidity and institutional adoption
This news made me curious about the chart
The price itself is reclaiming and holding a critical HTF level while breaking the bearish structure
The RSI above the 50 level is signaling a regaining of the bullish momentum
Perfect alignment to grab some for the longterm portfolio
Accumulation to Acceleration ESThis chart shows a long-term market analysis using Elliott Wave Theory, suggesting the market is currently in Wave 4 and preparing for a big Wave 5 rally.
📈 Past yearly moves averaged 15–21%, with 30%+ currently and up to 66% historically.
🟩 A "rebalance" zone (accumulation phase) is forming before a possible breakout.
📊 The next move projects a +60% rally, targeting 7,112 to 7,570.
🔁 Historical patterns and past rallies are being used to support this bullish forecast.
Bottom line: If history repeats, a strong upward move is expected soon.
CoinMarketCap chart and correlation with BTC
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(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a downward trend along the medium- to long-term downtrend line.
The decline in USDT dominance can be interpreted as an upward trend in the coin market.
Therefore, if it remains below 4.91 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter a bull market.
The coin market is expected to show a major bull market until 2025.
At this time, the USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 3.42 and then rise, causing the coin market to enter a bear market.
Therefore, a major bear market is expected in 2026.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
You might think that it would be good if it continued to rise in a bull market, but in reality, that is not the case.
The reason is that if the price continues to rise, you have to buy more money.
Therefore, it will show a pattern of falling when appropriate and rising again when appropriate.
As I mentioned earlier, 2025 is a major bull market, so it will eventually show a rising pattern.
So, when should we buy and when should we sell?
It would be nice if we could know this a little bit faster, but we can never know.
Currently, BTC is renewing its ATH, so it is even more difficult to predict the movement.
Therefore, we can only predict it through predictable chart analysis techniques.
Among them, the method I use is to predict and respond to the high point using the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and the DOM (DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM) indicator using the Heikin-Ashi chart.
The DOM indicator indicates the end of the high and low points, and the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are used to establish a basic trading strategy.
The sky blue (#00bcd4) arrow is generated, indicating that the DOM (60) indicator is likely to be generated soon.
In other words, it means that the end of the high point is becoming more likely.
When the DOM(60) indicator is created, there is a high possibility of resistance, so the price is likely to fall.
Therefore, you should think about a countermeasure for the decline.
However, as I mentioned earlier, since 2025 is expected to show a major uptrend, it is recommended to sell in installments at an appropriate level to preserve profits.
The reason is that we cannot know how far it will fall.
The start of a full-scale decline is likely to begin when it falls below the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, if it falls after the DOM(60) indicator is created, we should observe whether a new HA-High indicator is created.
If a new HA-High indicator is created, the key point is whether there is support in the vicinity.
If a new HA-High indicator is not created, it is likely to fall to the current HA-High indicator location of 73499.86.
-
A trend line has been formed between highs, but a trend line between lows has not yet been formed.
Therefore, it is difficult to predict how far it will fall once the decline begins.
In the 2025 bull market, BTC is expected to rise to around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
Therefore, we should also consider countermeasures for this.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
When will the altcoin bull market start?
I think the timing is when BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline.
I think the rising BTC dominance means that the funds flowing into the coin market are concentrated toward BTC.
Therefore, we should consider that a market for trading BTC has been formed.
If BTC dominance fails to fall below the 55.01-62.47 range, BTC dominance is expected to rise to around 73.63-77.07.
At this time, it is highly likely that it will encounter strong resistance and begin to decline.
Since it has not fallen below the mid- to long-term trend line, it seems likely that it will continue to rise.
In order to eventually turn into a downtrend, BTC dominance must fall below 60.
If not, I think it will be difficult to expect an uptrend in altcoins.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to continue until July 11.
Therefore, the key issue is whether there is support near 111696.21.
If there is support at the 111696.21 point, it is expected to rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).
If not, we need to check whether there is support near 108316.90.
As I mentioned in the previous idea, three conditions must be met to break through the 111696.21 point upward.
- The StochRSI indicator is showing an upward trend with K>D,
- The PVT-MACD oscillator is showing an upward trend (if possible, above the 0 point),
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is maintained above the High Line,
If the above conditions are met, I said that there is a high possibility of a stepwise upward trend from the 111696.21 point.
-
The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 18 (July 17-19).
Therefore, we need to see if it can be maintained above 111696.21 until the next volatility period.
If it fails, we need to check if it is supported above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, near 108316.90.
If not, it is likely to fall to the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart or near 99705.62.
-
The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if the HA-High indicator rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise uptrend, and if the HA-Low indicator falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend.
The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
That is, we can see that the support around the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section will be important turning points for the future trend.
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On the USDT dominance chart, it seems likely that August 3rd will be the volatility period.
Looking at the BTC chart, it seems likely that August 2nd to 5th (August 1st to 6th) will be the pre-movement for the volatility period of August 1st to 6th.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Important Volatility Period: Around August 21
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(TSLA 1D chart)
The medium-term trend is maintaining an uptrend.
However, if the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintains, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so caution is required.
The support zone is
1st: 222.15-235.59
2nd: 172.16
Around the 1st and 2nd above.
The 268.07-311.48 zone is an important support and resistance zone.
If the price is maintained above this zone, there is a high possibility that a full-scale upward trend will continue.
However, since a resistance zone is formed in the 347.21-382.40 zone, we need to look at how this zone is broken upward.
-
When it falls to the 172.16-234.59 zone, we need to find a time to buy.
If not, we need to buy when it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 zone.
It would be better to buy at a lower price, but since the investment period will inevitably be longer, I think it is better to buy when an upward trend is detected.
-
The important volatility period is around August 21st, but before that, we need to check the movement around July 25th.
If it falls below 268.07 after August 21st, it could lead to further decline.
If it rises above 311.48 and maintains the price during the movement around July 25th, it could lead to further increase and it seems likely to create a trend after the volatility period around August 21st.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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EUR_USD LOCAL REBOUND|LONG|
✅EUR_USD has retested a key support level of 1.1690
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 1.1744 is likely
LONG🚀
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$COIN – Smart Money Short Setup (15m)🚨 Bias: Bearish
📍 Reason: Clean CHoCH + BOS structure break from premium supply zone. Price swept liquidity and rejected equilibrium near 358–359, confirming internal weakness.
🧠 SMC Insight:
Multiple CHoCHs show internal break in bullish structure.
Rejection from equilibrium zone = smart money redistribution.
BOS confirms intent to push toward untapped liquidity below.
📊 Volume Profile:
Spike in red selling volume = aggressive seller interest.
Low-volume node around 351–352 = likely drawdown zone.
Major demand/accumulation zone sits at 337–338 with “Strong Low” tag.
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔽 Entry: 357.50–358.50 (on retest)
❌ Stop: Above 360.00
✅ TP1: 351.50
✅ TP2: 337.50 (major demand)
⚠️ Risk: Moderate
🧠 Tip: Monitor BTC/ETH weakness for confluence.
🧬 Powered by WaverVanir DSS – Institutional Trade Engine
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Gold at a Decision Point-Just as Tariff Headlines Return(July 9)📌
4H Technical Outlook by MJTrading
Price is compressing inside a falling channel, nested within a large symmetrical triangle, and now sits right at a high-stakes confluence zone — a perfect intersection of dynamic EMAs, rising trendline support, and local structure.
This could be a pivot point for the next major leg.
🧭 Key Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Breakout Potential:
If price breaks above the falling channel and holds above $3,310–$3,320:
🎯 Target: $3,400, and eventually upper triangle resistance near $3,480–$3,500
✅ Watch for impulsive breakout + retest confirmation
🟡 Bearish Breakdown Risk:
If the rising trendline gives way and price closes below $3,275 (High Risk) and $3,245(Low Risk):
🎯 Targets: First $3,232, then key level $3,166
⚠️ Further weakness may expose $3,000 psychological support
🔍 Why It Matters:
• Symmetry + compression = potential volatility expansion
• Trump tariff headlines today (July 9) could trigger safe haven demand
• Strong historical respect of these trendlines
• EMAs aligning around decision zone
“Another BreathTaking Edge” — because this is one of those moments where market structure whispers louder than words.
🗣 Boost if you find value, and follow MJTrading for more clean setups.🚀🚀
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