How to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend ShiftsHow to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend Shifts in BTC
Chart: BTC/USDT (1D)
Tool Used: Sentiment Cycle Indicator
Type: Educational – How to interpret sentiment shifts and time corrections.
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🟢 What the Indicator Does:
The Sentiment Cycle Indicator is designed to help identify emotional cycles in price movements by mapping bullish (green) and bearish (red) sentiment zones directly on the chart background.
It highlights sentiment clusters using a combination of volume behavior, price structure, and trend alignment , helping traders anticipate trend continuation or possible exhaustion.
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✅ Recent Performance:
📈 In the most recent BTC rally (from ~60,000 to 110,000+ USDT),
• The indicator captured the uptrend early, turning the background consistently green starting mid-October 2024.
• Multiple Buy signals (green arrows) confirmed trend conviction.
• Even during minor pullbacks, green sentiment persisted — signaling strength.
📉 Now, the green sentiment zone has faded, and red zones are reappearing, indicating a potential sentiment shift:
• This transition may be an early warning of correction or distribution phase.
• Several Sell signals (red arrows) have recently fired as well, validating the shift.
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🔍 Current Interpretation:
• Bullish sentiment has weakened — background color has turned neutral-to-red.
• Sentiment exhaustion is likely, and this could mark the start of a distribution or corrective phase.
• The absence of new buy signals despite recent price highs further supports this view.
📌 What to watch next:
• If red zones deepen and persist → correction is likely.
• If green zones reappear quickly with renewed Buy signals → resumption of uptrend is possible.
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📚 How-To Use the Indicator:
1. Watch the background color:
• Green → Accumulation or markup.
• Red → Distribution or markdown.
2. Buy/Sell Markers:
• Use arrows as confirmation — not standalone signals.
• Best results when aligned with sentiment zone and price structure.
3. Volatility Filter:
• Sideways zones (mixed bands) indicate indecision — avoid overtrading here.
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🧠 Final Thoughts:
The Sentiment Cycle Indicator isn’t just about price – it’s about the emotion behind price. As BTC shows signs of sentiment fading, this could be a pivotal time to re-evaluate bullish bias and prepare for a cooling phase or even deeper correction.
Let the market’s mood guide your strategy.
Beyond Technical Analysis
USDCHF - Predictive Analysis & Forecasting USDCHF
Scales
- S: 0.8485 pending
- M: 0.8460 activated, triggers 0.8138 pivot
- L: 0.8457 activated, triggers 0.8258 pivot
Forecast & Targets
- ST: Limited upside to 0.8485 min, 0.8584 max
- MT: bearish; eyeing reversal conditions
#USDCHF #Forex #CROW2.0
4xForecaster
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Originally published on BlueSky
Altcoins Psychological analysisAs I’ve said many times, altseason began in 2024 . After a significant correction, we entered the second bullish wave in April 2025 .
As shown in the chart, the orange zone represents the break-even prices for most retail investors. FOMO will begin as we enter this zone, which will encourage whales to dump their coins, since liquidity will be returning to the market. Retail investors may then struggle to exit their positions as theire positions are not so profitable.
To take advantage of this wave, you should reassess your break-even prices and begin selling gradually throughout this ongoing trend.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:XRPUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT
XAUUSD Rejection from Fib + OB Combo | Bearish Continuation?XAUUSD | Premium Smart Money Short Setup 🎯
This GOLD setup is a straight-up institutional-grade bearish continuation. Let’s break down why this is a high-probability short for Smart Money Traders.
🔍 1. Market Context
Price is trending inside a clear descending channel, tapping into the lower boundary and now pulling back.
We just had a reaction from the mid-supply zone, and price is now rebalancing into the Order Block (OB) aligned with:
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
🔻 Previous Structure Break
🔻 OB + imbalance fill zone
🧱 2. Bearish Confluences
📉 Descending Channel = bearish structure
🟣 Order Block Zone = high-value area for institutional entries
📐 Fibonacci Levels = 61.8%, 70.5%, and 79% all stacked
💥 OB + 79% = high-prob sniper short
🕳 Imbalance + Liquidity Sweep = likely short continuation
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Entry: 3282.00–3290.00 (OB + 79% Fib)
Stop Loss: 3294.00 (above OB wick)
Take Profit: 3245.00 zone (channel bottom)
Perfect RR setup 👇
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
💰 Entry: ~3285
🔒 SL: ~3294
📍 TP: ~3245
✅ RRR ≈ 1:4.3 = sniper level swing short 🎯
🧠 5. Smart Money Logic
Liquidity Sweep above minor high before short = engineered trap
OB reaction at fib premium zone = smart entry
Continuation expected unless price closes above 3295
📌 Save this chart — this is Smart Money flow in action
💬 Drop “Gold OB SMC 🔥” in comments if you saw this coming
🔁 Repost to help fellow traders master fib+OB sniper entries
GBPUSD Next move read our Caption GBP/USD is currently trading around the 1.34700 mark. If the price moves up to retest the resistance at 1.35200, it may face selling pressure. Should this level hold as resistance, we could expect a bearish reversal leading to a decline toward the next key support at 1.34210 and also 1.33600 lets could see how the price plays out .
Wait for a clear rejection or bearish confirmation at 1.35200 before entering a short trade.
you can search more details in the chart give me like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
XAUUSD Price Could find way to downside Gold is currently showing signs of a bearish trend due to a weak background market and low trading volume. The absence of significant buying pressure suggests limited momentum to the upside. Despite the need for a bullish move following yesterday’s consolidation, the lack of strong catalysts or volume suggests that price action may remain sluggish in the short term. Unless a major driver emerges, we may continue to see sideways or downward movement in the near term.
Resistance level 3310 / 3320
Support Levels 3270 / 3242
investor you may understand all things in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
What is Happening to Puma?Puma's stock has experienced a significant decline, dropping nearly 50% year-to-date and reaching its lowest levels in almost a decade . This downturn is attributed to several factors, including underwhelming financial performance, escalating competition, and macroeconomic challenges.
Financial Performance:
In 2024, Puma reported a 4.4% currency-adjusted increase in sales, totaling €8.82 billion . However, profitability did not keep pace; net income declined by 7.5% to €282 million, and EBIT remained flat at €622 million, falling short of analyst expectations . The company's P/E ratio stands at 17, which some analysts consider high given the current earnings yield of 2.8% .
Debt and Balance Sheet:
Puma's financial health shows a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 48.2%, with total debt at €1.3 billion and shareholder equity at €2.7 billion . While the company has a solid capital base, increased interest payments have impacted income .
Competitive Landscape:
Puma faces intense competition from industry giants like Nike and Adidas. Nike holds a significant market share, while Adidas has recently increased its share to 8.9% . Puma's market share stands at approximately 4.94% . The company's efforts to boost sales through new product lines, such as the Speedcat trainers, have yet to yield significant results .
Macroeconomic Challenges:
Global economic factors have also played a role in Puma's struggles. Trade disputes and currency volatility have negatively impacted sales, particularly in key markets like the U.S. and China . Additionally, new U.S. tariffs on imports from China, where Puma sources 28% of its products, have created further uncertainty.
Strategic Response:
In response to these challenges, Puma has announced plans to cut 500 corporate positions globally by the end of the second quarter of 2025 to reduce costs . The company has also appointed former Adidas executive Arthur Hoeld as its new CEO, effective July 1, 2025, aiming to revitalize its performance .
In summary, Puma's recent stock decline reflects a combination of internal financial challenges and external market pressures. While the company is taking steps to address these issues, including leadership changes and cost-cutting measures, it remains to be seen how effectively Puma can navigate the competitive and economic landscape moving forward.
- *Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion and not financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. Any losses incurred are solely at your own risk.The figures that i found might not all be correct, as I do sometimes make mistakes, so do your own due diligence.*
Salesforce Goes Shopping: Acquires Informatica for $8 BillionSalesforce (NYSE: CRM) has taken a major step in its growth strategy by announcing the acquisition of Informatica (NYSE: INFA) for approximately $8 billion. Informatica closed yesterday at $24.29 per share. This deal, Salesforce’s largest since acquiring Slack in 2021, aims to strengthen its artificial intelligence ecosystem and solidify its position in the enterprise data management market, which now exceeds $150 billion. Salesforce will pay $25 per share, representing a 30% premium. The acquisition seeks to integrate Informatica’s data management capabilities with Salesforce’s Agentforce AI platform, enabling the company to offer more advanced cloud-based solutions to enterprise clients.
Financial Results
On the financial front, Salesforce reported strong results for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026 (FY2026), which began on February 1 of this year. Revenue reached $9.83 billion, representing an 8% increase year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.58, beating market expectations. In light of this performance, Salesforce has raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range between $41.0 and $41.3 billion. Strong demand for cloud solutions and the momentum of artificial intelligence are driving this growth.
Technical Analysis
Salesforce shares closed at $277.19 on May 28, trading within a daily range of $315.87 to $241.08. Over the past twelve months, the stock has experienced significant volatility, peaking at $368 during the year-end rally and bottoming at $229.64 in early April amid market tensions related to Trump’s tariff announcements. The current price sits around the mid-range control zone, suggesting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Moving averages are showing signs of indecision, with a sideways trend reinforced by a neutral RSI, indicating the potential for a technical rebound if no clear short-term direction emerges.
From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, the price reached the 50% level in mid-May and appears to be forming a bullish support zone. If the market reacts positively to the Informatica acquisition, the stock may move toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level, slightly below the previous consolidation range. This could pave the way for a more sustained recovery in the coming months.
Conclusion
The acquisition of Informatica marks a new strategic chapter for Salesforce, reinforcing its commitment to artificial intelligence and its dominance in the enterprise data market. Backed by strong financials and an optimistic outlook for the rest of the fiscal year, the deal could serve as a catalyst for a new growth phase. While technical indicators suggest some short-term caution, the fundamental context points to a solid foundation for renewed upward momentum. The market’s reaction in the coming sessions will be key to confirming this potential trend shift.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
US CRUDE OIL PIVOT AREAUS OIL has formed a good base of support after the decent decline in the previous weeks.
The break of our intraday pivot area could keep the Bullish bias with targets of 63.67 and 64.57 in the near sight.
However failure to break above could bring prices down to 61.57 and 60.67
BITCOIN LOCAL LONG|
✅BITCOIN is trading along the rising support line
And as the coin is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 110k$
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
With Bullish bias into new Week - 2025/05/26Last week, I published my idea for a whole week with daily updates for the first time. You can read about it here:
🎯 The target of $3348 was reached on Friday due to the announcement of new tariffs against the European Union.
💡 Here is my idea for the week from May 26-30, 2025.
First things first, the Friday session last week ended with bullish momentum. Even though the gold price consolidated more at the $3366 mark, it was obviously to allow time to pass and calm down stressed values like EMA or MACD. This is a very good sign for the start of the week because if the Asia timezone takes the invite, the gold price has a good chance to rise. My expectation is a bullish GAP right at the beginning; if so, it's a clear sign for the rest of the day, in my opinion. These thoughts would support my goal from above $3500 during the week.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
The ceasefire from May 10 remains tense but intact. Both sides claim victory, while Pakistan strengthens ties with China. Cross-border attacks have ceased, but mutual distrust persists.
➡️ Situation remains fragile; renewed escalation is possible.
Gaza Conflict
Israel intensifies "Gideon’s Chariot" with ground forces in Khan Younis. Mass evacuations and high civilian casualties worsen the humanitarian crisis. Peace talks have stalled as the offensive continues.
➡️ No relief in sight; humanitarian conditions are deteriorating further.
Russia / Ukraine
On May 24, Russia launched its largest air assault yet with 367 missiles and drones—13 civilians were killed. Just before, both sides exchanged 1,000 prisoners. Peace talks remain suspended.
➡️ Violence is escalating; a ceasefire remains out of reach.
U.S.–China Trade War
The 90-day tariff pause triggered a rush to import from China. Shipping bottlenecks and high freight rates are straining businesses. Structural issues remain unresolved.
➡️ Short-term easing; long-term tensions persist.
Trade War on global view
The global trade war has escalated in May 2025, with the U.S. imposing a 50% tariff on EU imports and a 25% levy on foreign-made smartphones, citing trade imbalances. The EU has condemned these moves, warning of potential retaliation. In response to U.S. tariffs, China has restricted rare earth exports, impacting global supply chains. ASEAN nations, heavily affected by U.S. tariffs ranging from 10% to 49%, are urging deeper regional integration to mitigate economic disruptions. The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% for 2025, citing trade tensions and policy uncertainty. Supply chains are being restructured, with companies shifting production to countries like Vietnam and Mexico. Financial markets are volatile, with increased inflationary pressures and investor anxiety.
➡️ Emerging markets face currency volatility and economic instability due to the ongoing trade conflicts.
⚖️Trump vs. Powell
President Trump increases pressure on Fed Chair Powell to cut rates. The Fed holds interest rates at 4.25–4.5% and warns of inflation. A 10% staff reduction is planned to boost efficiency.
➡️Political interference is increasingly destabilizing markets.
U.S. Inflation – April 2025
Inflation dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021. However, consumer inflation expectations remain high at 7.3%. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️A clear gap is emerging between official data and public perception.
🔋 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
📊 Analysis: May 19–24, 2025
Weekly Low: $3,204 (May 20)
Weekly High: $3,366 (May 23)
Weekly Close (May 23): approx. $3,358
Total Gain: +5%
🟢 Trend: A clear uptrend is evident. After hitting a low of $3,204 on May 20, gold experienced a strong rally, forming consistently higher highs and higher lows. A brief pullback on May 22 was quickly bought up.
📈 Structure: A series of bullish flag patterns developed, each resolving to the upside. The high at $3,366 currently marks the most significant resistance level.
🔮 Outlook from May 26, 2025
Resistance: $3,366 (recent high)
Support: $3,310 (last local low), below that $3,280 (breakout zone)
Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above $3,310
📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout: A sustained breakout above $3,366 could unlock further upside potential toward the $3,390–$3,410 area. When Asia session starting with bull GAP the Scenario is the one i preffer.
📌 Scenario 2 – Pullback: A retracement to the $3,310–$3,280 zone would be a healthy correction within the trend, provided this zone holds.
🧭 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a steady uptrend. As long as support levels hold, a continuation toward $3,500 is likely. RSI may be overbought on higher timeframes, so short-term consolidations are possible, but structurally the setup remains bullish.
Anything to ad? Feel free to tell your thoughts.
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold Continues to Decline as USD Strengthens📊 Market Developments:
Gold prices continued to decline on May 29, reaching weekly lows below $3,250/oz. The primary driver is the strong recovery of the US Dollar following a US court's decision on tariffs and cautious FOMC minutes indicating the Fed remains vigilant about inflation, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,285 – $3,300
• Nearest Support: $3,240 – $3,230
• EMA: Price is below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: Price has broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is retesting the resistance area, confirming bearish signals.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if the USD maintains its recovery and the price fails to break above the $3,285 – $3,300 resistance zone.
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💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,285
o 🎯 TP: $3,240
o ❌ SL: $3,305
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,230
o 🎯 TP: $3,270
o ❌ SL: $3,215
Whale Exposure to Global EconomyThe foreign-exchange (FX) market and the cryptocurrency market both rely on “market makers” and large “suppliers” to provide liquidity and facilitate trading—but the two systems operate on vastly different scales, under different rules, and with very different participant incentives. As crypto’s total capitalization races toward—and potentially beyond—\$5 trillion in the next major bull run, global markets will be increasingly exposed to crypto’s profit-maximizing whales and automated liquidity pools. Unless these structural differences are recognized and addressed, dramatic swings in crypto could spill over into traditional finance.
Definition of Roles
A market maker is an entity that continuously quotes buy and sell prices, profiting on the spread while absorbing order flow. In FX, these are predominantly regulated bank trading desks (J.P. Morgan, Deutsche Bank, UBS, etc.) that together handle roughly \$7.5 trillion in daily turnover. They operate under capital requirements, central-bank oversight, and risk-management frameworks designed to cap extreme volatility.
In crypto, “market makers” include professional trading firms on centralized exchanges (e.g. Jump Trading, Wintermute) and code-driven Automated Market Makers (AMMs) like Uniswap, where any token holder can deposit assets into liquidity pools in return for fees. Unlike banks, AMM suppliers have no regulatory obligation to maintain quotes or hedge risk; they earn yield only when trading volume persists.
A supplier (or “liquidity provider”) is any large holder whose stock of currency or tokens affects the supply available for trading. In FX, major commercial and investment banks also act as top suppliers, but they balance client flow management with broader fiduciary and policy considerations. Central banks even step in to smooth markets.
In crypto, a tiny fraction of addresses control outsized shares: over 1.86 percent of addresses hold 90 percent of all Bitcoin, and whales with more than 1 million ETH own roughly 32 percent of Ethereum’s supply. These holders—driven by profit and market-timing motives rather than system stability—can on a whim remove or inject vast amounts of liquidity.
Comparative Scale and Behavior
Liquidity depth: FX’s interbank pool absorbs massive trades with minimal price impact. Crypto spot volume on top exchanges averages around \$60–80 billion per day—just one-one hundredth of FX volume. Many altcoins trade at volumes measured in single-digit millions, where a single whale order can move prices by double-digit percentages.
Volatility and risk: FX volatility is largely driven by macroeconomic data and policy decisions. Crypto volatility is often directly caused by whale transactions: large accumulations off-exchange tighten supply; sudden sell-offs flood order books and trigger crashes. Traders routinely monitor whale wallet movements as a gauge of impending price swings.
Market-making obligations: FX banks must quote two-way prices under regulatory frameworks. Crypto AMMs have no quote obligations; liquidity can vanish if token prices diverge from incentives, and CEX market-maker programs can be switched off if profitability erodes.
Growing Crypto Caps and Global Exposure
Over the past bull cycle, crypto’s total market capitalization surged from roughly \$1 trillion after the 2022 crash to more than \$3 trillion by late 2024. In a mature next bull rally—driven by factors like retail adoption, institutional investment via U.S. ETFs, and on-chain growth—analysts project total cap could reach \$5–10 trillion, perhaps even higher if adoption hits one billion users by 2030. In November 2024 alone, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw over \$3.5 billion of net inflows in a single week, signaling growing institutional interest.
As crypto cap grows, profits accrue to whales who then have two options: reinvest in more crypto or deploy capital into traditional assets—equities, bonds, real estate, venture capital. When profit-maximizing whales move funds back into mainstream markets, they become new large suppliers in those markets. Their behavior—driven by short-term returns and unregulated by banking rules—can introduce episodes of excessive risk-taking, sudden mass reallocations, and cross-market contagion. A 30 percent price rally in crypto could translate into tens or hundreds of billions of dollars of buying power flowing into stocks or commodities, inflating asset bubbles. Conversely, a swift whale-led crypto sell-off could generate forced deleveraging in other markets.
Risks and Recommendations
1. Opacity of supply: Unlike regulated banks, crypto whales and AMM pools operate pseudonymously. Policy makers should require greater transparency around large-wallet activity, potentially via on-chain reporting thresholds.
2. Market-making standards: Exchanges and AMM platforms could adopt minimum commitment obligations—analogous to FX banks’ two-way quoting—ensuring liquidity does not collapse when whale incentives shift.
3. Surveillance and circuit breakers: Crypto venues should implement robust guardrails—time-outs, price bands, and anomaly detection—to prevent cascading liquidations by large holders.
4. Cross-market safeguards: As crypto intersects with ETFs, pension funds, and corporate treasuries, regulators must recognize the systemic linkages and prepare macroprudential policies to mitigate spillovers.
Conclusion
Crypto markets will never mirror the deep, regulated interbank systems of FX. But as total crypto capitalization approaches and exceeds several trillion dollars, its profit-seeking whales stand poised to exert outsized influence not only on token prices but on the broader global economy. Recognizing the unique behaviors and incentives of crypto market makers and suppliers—and enacting tailored transparency, liquidity, and supervision measures—will be essential to contain the risk that tomorrow’s crypto bull run could unleash today’s market crisis.
GOLD - LET CLIMB THE MOUNTAIN OF GOLDTeam, I was being patience for a week, did couple of long position, then short then long.
But this time I wait and wait until it reach my entry range price
GOLD is good to entry NOW
target 1 at 3272-3276
Target 2 at 3283-3306
STOP LOSS at 3232 - Once it hit our first target - bring stop loss to BE
i expect the GOLD will likely recover a little during TOKYO, but definitely fly back during UK market opening..
so therefore you need to be patience on this.. as the TRENDING still down trend.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Break & Retest of ATH Signals Uptrend to $120K?Overview Summary
Bitcoin ( COINBASE:BTCUSD ) is retesting a major zone after its breakout above the previous ATH resistance zone of $105K–$107K, a level that previously marked the top of the 2024 cycle before it pulled back to $76K. This chart now shows BTC pulled back from $111K highs, potentially validating a classic "break and retest" pattern and continuation of the overall trend.
Price action is unfolding within a clean ascending uptrend channel structure that has defined the bull trend since late March. With BTC currently testing the upper boundary of this previous major resistance zone ($105K–$107K), this area now acts as the "make-or-break level" for the long awaited bull run.
If buyers continue to hold this level, the market may resume its upward momentum with heavy strength, opening the door to the next leg towards our medium term target of $120K+ as projected by the channel extension. However, a decisive close below $105K would invalidate this near-term structure and suggest deeper consolidation or a sentiment reset.
Key Technical Structure
Major Resistance & Support: $105K–$107K
Trend Channel: Active
Short Term Resistance: $112K
Key Target Zone: $118K–$122K
Invalidation Zone: < $105K
Why This Setup Matters
This is a textbook breakout retest structure, when previous cycle highs are reclaimed and flipped into support, it often sets the stage for rapid continuation. The fact that BTC is pausing here rather than collapsing suggests the market is preparing for this decision.
Break & Retest at this current price zone would:
Reinforce bullish market structure
Invite trend-following buyers and institutions waiting for confirmation
Set up asymmetric long entries targeting $120K
Signal broader strength across the crypto market, likely dragging other cryptos upward
Future Outlook & Trade Setup
If BTC respects the $105K–$107K zone, we anticipate a strong push toward the next major resistance zone between near $120K. Watch for volume and wick rejection to confirm demand.
Trade Plan (If Support Holds)
Entry: < $107K
Short-Term Target: $112K
Long-Term Target: $120K+
Invalidation: Break below $105K
Final Take
Bitcoin is at a pivotal zone where market memory and technical structure converge. If this retest holds, it validates a breakout continuation structure with room to run toward $120K+.
If this zone fails, we expect a deeper retest into $100K–$102K or lower.
NNFX AUDNZD Short - Full Signal DelayedSignal: AUDNZD Short — Full Signal Delayed
Context: C1 signal, C2 2 days ago
Probability: Normal
Risk: 0.5% → C2 signal 2 days ago, all other indicators align. Volume is short.
R:R Plan: 1.3R, 75% scale-out at 1xATR TP for lower probability & drawdown management.
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Notes:
Again, this is a trade I would not normally take, however, market gapped considerably below the close of the candle which my C1 triggered. The original candle where my C1 should have triggered if this was to be a full signal on time, was literally 1-2 pips away from triggering. Price had then pulled back on the next day, then gone short again on this day, triggering the C1.
Due to an order block sitting about 15 pips below price, I also would have used a pending order to enter the market which would not have been triggered until today.
Given this circumstance, and the gift of hindsight, this would have been a missed signal if I did not enter. I managed to enter at the same price I would have if the trade was completed 2 days ago but reduced risk to 0.5% to be cautious.
Unity Software (U) – Strong Earnings and Bullish FlowsFundamental Overview
Unity Software has been consolidating within a defined range for approximately a year following a significant decline in its stock price. Despite previous challenges, the company has consistently surprised investors with its earnings over the past year, maintaining strong performance. Historically, Unity tends to perform well during the May–June period. Looking ahead, projections suggest a decline in net margin, though net income is expected to increase, reinforcing the company's strong execution.
Additionally, Unity has exceeded expectations for four consecutive earnings reports, underscoring its resilience and growth trajectory.
Technical Outlook
- Momentum & Price Action: The stock exhibits solid momentum and is currently situated in a buy zone.
- Options Flow: Bullish sentiment is evident in options activity, signaling strong institutional interest.
- Analyst Ratings:
- Needham analyst Bernie McTernan maintains a Buy rating but lowers the price target from $33 to $30.
- Barclays analyst Ross Sandler maintains an Equal-Weight rating and lowers the price target from $26 to $25.
Given the current trends, bullish options flows, and favorable seasonality, Unity Software appears poised to test $25 in the upcoming weeks, particularly if momentum continues to drive price action.
Obscure? Yes. But its returns should not be ignored.I went long RB Global at the close today. Zoom out and you'll see a pretty beautiful chart for a company nobody reading this has probably ever heard of. It's been in a nice uptrend for the past 2 years and just put in an all time high a week ago, so it has good momentum. Obviously, it's also trading above its 200d MA. It has support right here, as well as about 6% below where it's at now, but I'm betting it won't need that.
The last 20 times this setup has occurred, going back to early 2021, all 20 were wins. The average gain was 2.46% in an average of 1.85 trading days (31x the long term average daily return of the market as a whole). Maybe even more impressively, none of those trades would have closed in more than 4 trading days, and that only happened twice. 11 of 20 closed in one trading day. 25% of the trades netted 4% or more, with the largest win being 10.7% in a single day.
The setup doesn't usually continue for more than one day, but if it does, I will add to my position. My plan is to close on the first profitable close, provided the gain is substantial enough. I may hold longer, and if I do, I may close intraday (especially right at the open if it's a strong open on the day following its FPC.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.