Safe Entry ZoneNever Ever Follow stocks let it come.
Two Zone Two Scenarios:
Scenarios One: The Blue POI Zone (Point Of Interest) acts as strong support level.
if not respected
Scenarios Two: the 4h Green Zone Act as the strongest support level.
We have two scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly:
One: strong buying volume reversal Candle.
Two: Fake BreakOut of green Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly.
Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF.
Take care.
Beyond Technical Analysis
USDT.D & BTC Price Action Understanding the Market Move: USDT.D, BTC.D, and BTC Price Action
Currently, USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is approaching a key level, sweeping its previous high. This indicates that traders are moving funds into stablecoins, usually a sign of risk aversion. Due to its inverse correlation with Bitcoin (BTC), this movement suggests that BTC may experience further downside in the short term.
However, once Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) completes its retest of the previous high, a major shift is expected. If BTC.D starts to decline sharply, it means capital is flowing back into altcoins and BTC itself. Historically, this pattern has led to strong bullish momentum for Bitcoin, potentially triggering a major rally.
This dynamic between USDT.D, BTC.D, and BTC price action is crucial for traders to anticipate market movements. Keeping a close watch on these metrics can provide valuable insights into the next big move in the crypto market.
Silver (XAG/USD) Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupMarket Overview & Context
Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past few weeks. However, recent price action suggests a potential shift in momentum as a bearish Rising Wedge pattern emerges. This technical pattern often signals a possible trend reversal or correction.
This analysis focuses on a 4-hour (H4) chart, which provides a medium-term perspective for traders. The market has recently encountered a strong resistance zone, and multiple price rejections indicate a potential downward move.
Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation
The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price moves higher within two converging trendlines. This structure suggests that while buyers are still in control, their momentum is weakening.
Key Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart:
Uptrend with Weakening Momentum:
The price has been rising, but the higher highs are becoming less aggressive.
The slope of the highs is flatter compared to the lows, which indicates declining bullish strength.
Converging Trendlines:
The price is getting squeezed between support and resistance.
This tightening range typically precedes a breakout, with a higher probability of a bearish breakdown.
Bearish Implications:
A breakdown below the wedge’s lower trendline confirms bearish sentiment.
The price could drop sharply toward the next major support level if sellers gain control.
Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy
1️⃣ Resistance Zone (Supply Area) – $34.50 to $34.60
The price has repeatedly tested but failed to break above this zone.
This confirms that sellers are active in this area, leading to multiple rejections.
A strong supply zone, making it an ideal stop-loss placement for short trades.
2️⃣ Support Level (Demand Area) – $30.50 to $30.60
This level has acted as major support in previous price action.
If the breakdown occurs, this is the primary downside target for sellers.
3️⃣ Stop Loss – $34.61
Positioned just above resistance to minimize risk exposure.
Ensures that if price moves against the trade, losses are contained.
Trading Plan & Execution
📉 Short (Sell) Setup – Bearish Breakdown Expected
✅ Entry: A confirmed breakout below the rising wedge’s support trendline (~$33.50 - $33.80).
✅ Stop Loss: Placed slightly above $34.61, ensuring risk control.
✅ Target: $30.56, aligning with previous support zones and technical projections.
Risk-Reward Analysis
Entry at breakdown (~$33.50)
Stop loss (~$34.61) – Risk: ~1.1 points
Target (~$30.56) – Reward: ~2.9 points
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3, making this a highly favorable short setup.
Confirmation Signals to Watch Before Entering a Trade
📉 Break and Retest of Support as Resistance
If price breaks below wedge support and retests it as new resistance, it strengthens the bearish case.
📉 Volume Spike on Breakdown
A sharp increase in volume when breaking support confirms strong selling pressure.
📉 RSI Divergence (Bearish Signal)
If the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows lower highs while the price makes higher highs, it suggests momentum weakness and a pending breakdown.
Potential Trading Scenarios
📌 Bearish Scenario (High Probability) – Breakdown Confirmation
If the price breaks below the wedge’s lower trendline and closes below $33.50, it will likely accelerate downward toward $30.56. Traders should enter short positions and hold for the target while managing risk with stop-loss levels.
📌 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability) – Invalidating the Pattern
If the price breaks above $34.60 and holds, the rising wedge pattern is invalidated. This would signal continued bullish strength, and traders should avoid short positions.
Conclusion & Final Thoughts
✅ The Rising Wedge Pattern suggests a potential bearish reversal in Silver (XAG/USD).
✅ If the price breaks the lower trendline, a drop toward $30.56 is highly probable.
✅ Traders should wait for confirmation signals before entering a trade.
✅ Risk management is crucial, with a stop-loss above $34.61 to minimize exposure.
🔹 This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity, making it ideal for traders seeking short positions in Silver.
Birla Corporation – Is This the Right Time to Invest?Step-by-Step Analysis
1. Monthly Timeframe Analysis
📌 Previous Monthly Swing High: ₹1,650 (Liquidity Taken)
📌 Current Market High: ₹1,802
📌 Key Swing Low: ₹1,060.55
📌 Accumulation Zone: ₹943 – ₹846
✅ The price has now reached this accumulation range, making it a potential long-term buying opportunity.
2. Daily Timeframe Confirmation
✅ The daily chart shows a liquidity sweep and a structure shift, supporting a potential reversal.
✅ While the price is in the monthly buying zone, we still need additional confirmation before committing to a full position.
✅ Key Entry Levels for Investors:
₹960 – ₹915: First zone to accumulate small quantities.
₹889 – ₹865: If the market dips further, this range offers a strong investment opportunity.
3. Profit Targets & Risk Management
📈 Profit Targets:
1️⃣ ₹1,215 – First target (short-term)
2️⃣ ₹1,330 – Second target (mid-term)
3️⃣ ₹1,657 – ₹1,800+ – Major long-term targets
📉 Stop-Loss Strategy:
Set your stop-loss based on risk tolerance.
Conservative traders can place stop-loss near ₹750 – ₹730, ensuring a good risk-reward ratio.
Investment Strategy
🔹 Scenario 1: If price confirms reversal in the daily timeframe, early accumulation between ₹960 – ₹915 can be done.
🔹 Scenario 2: If price drops further below ₹910, investors can accumulate between ₹889 – ₹865.
🔹 Scenario 3: If price fails to hold these levels, wait for confirmation before further investment.
Final Thoughts
📊 This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and liquidity-based trading strategies. While the accumulation zone is active, additional confirmation is recommended. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial experts before making an investment decision.
💡 Key Takeaway: Birla Corporation is at a potential investment-worthy level, but confirmation is crucial before committing large capital.
👉 Would you like a TradingView chart with this analysis? Let me know! 🚀
Gold trend in Eur and US sessions -Decline and increase again💢💢💢 Gold news:
➡️ Gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward trend during the first half of the European trading session on Monday, currently hovering near its all-time high just above $3,120. Uncertainty surrounding former U.S. President Donald Trump's so-called reciprocal tariffs, along with growing fears of a U.S. economic recession and geopolitical risks, continue to weigh on investor sentiment. The risk-off mood is evident in the generally weaker tone of the stock markets, driving the safe-haven precious metal higher for the third consecutive day.
➡️However, bullish traders may take a breather amid overbought conditions on the daily chart and ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic releases later this week.
Personal opinion:
➡️ In general, in the long term, the main trend of gold is still increasing and shows no signs of stopping. Therefore, waiting for the time when gold declines technically to buy at a good price is a reasonable measure
➡️ Currently, gold is having a technical adjustment after RSI entered the overbought zone and decreased again
➡️Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy XAU/USD 3100 - 3102
❌SL: 3095 | ✅TP: 3106 - 3112 - 3118
👉 Sell XAU/USD 3129 - 3132
❌SL: 3136 | ✅TP: 3125 - 3120 - 3115
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
New ATH , GOLD is comming 3173⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President Donald Trump dismissed expectations that the new tariffs would target only a select group of nations with the largest trade imbalances, declaring on Sunday that reciprocal tariffs would apply universally. This announcement, coupled with the existing 25% duties on steel, aluminum, and auto imports, has intensified fears of an escalating global trade war.
Additionally, investors are increasingly convinced that the economic slowdown triggered by these tariffs will pressure the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume rate cuts, despite persistent inflation concerns. As a result, Gold has surged to a fresh record high, marking its strongest quarterly performance since 1986.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The backdrop of everything from technical to political and economic is supporting the increase in gold prices in the first quarter of 2025. Gold prices have the highest growth in history.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 ATH : SELL 3162 - 3164 SL 3169
TP: 3155 - 3140 - 3127
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3093 - $3091 SL $3086
TP1: $3100
TP2: $3110
TP3: $3120
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
PECCA MARKING UPPecca, an Atypical Type of Schematic #2 Wyckoff Re-Accmulation
Why Pecca?
technically =
1. Feather's Weight (red crescent)
2. Absoprtion (Red arrow)
3. fulfilling Wyckoff 9 Buying point
TriggerBar today, as a test, for a follow through in the upcoming days.
Position initiated as attached
PureWyckoff
GBPUSD A clear downward move toward downside find out the targetHello Guys,
Wish you and Your Family a Very Happy Eid.
I Found out one very easy to target GBPUSD trade setup for the week . here i can see GBPUSD is building a short term wave towards downside to target 1.2780 or below .
As we have created a Higher time frame OTE model
EUR/USD Trend Today - News Supports Uptrend💢💢💢 EUR/USD news:
➡️ Retail sales in Germany increased by 0.8% month-on-month (MoM) in February, following a 0.2% increase in January. This figure significantly exceeds market expectations of 0%. The euro seems to be receiving support from this data.
➡️ On the other hand, there is additional support from the easing of concerns over the EU-U.S. trade war. In fact, the European Commission (EC) signaled that they were prepared to offer concessions to the U.S. to avoid what President Trump had referred to as reciprocal tariffs, which he was set to announce on Wednesday. However, the prevailing risk-off sentiment may provide some support for the safe-haven U.S. dollar, limiting the upward momentum of the EUR/USD pair.
➡️ The EUR/USD exchange rate has shown positive movement for the third consecutive day amid the overall weakness of the U.S. dollar.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Today the EUR/USD pair will still maintain an uptrend due to improved risk sentiment. However, in the long term, it is still cautious for the pair's upward momentum. Due to the unpredictable policies that Trump brings.
➡️ There are signs of a slight decline after RSI almost entered the overbought zone
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA and trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy EUR/USD 1.0810 - 1.0800
❌SL: 1.0770 | ✅TP: 1.0850 - 1.0895
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
GOLD: Potential RisksIf the price reaches the 3136-3148 range, there is no need to hesitate, just sell. This is the gold trading strategy for today provided to you before yesterday's closing. I wonder if any friends have grasped this profit?
After getting support near 3125, the price rebounded again. It is still in the rising stage. The resistance continues to focus on the vicinity of 3148.
Here is a reminder for everyone: During the trading process, the technical pattern of the 2H and above cycle level has a turning point. This is not a joke, so everyone must be cautious when chasing highs.
Even if there is news supporting the market now, news is something we cannot control. Once there is news of easing the situation, the risk aversion of gold will subside, and the decline will definitely not be small.
So while we follow the trend, we must also learn to think against the trend!
Nasdaq updated forecast with sell-side & buy-side targetsNQ futures aiming at 18900 level off these last highs. Now seeing developing weakness... expecting sellers to take it down for one more low as we approach the implementation of Trump's tariffs on 4/2.
Look for renewed buyer strength after the next set of lows as we approach the next FOMC rate decision into first half of May 2025.
This is a great swing trade setup for TQQQ, if desired, or long dated in-the-money QQQ call options.
89542.51 or higher, the key is whether the price can be maintain
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Today, we will talk about the BTCUSD chart for the first time.
-
(BTCUSD 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it can be interpreted that it is in an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Currently, it is showing a short-term uptrend as it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, but it is highly likely that it will continue to rise only if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising to around 89542.51.
-
We need to see if the OBV is maintained above the middle line and can break through the upper line.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, if there is no increase in trading volume, it is likely to eventually show a downtrend.
If it shows a downtrend, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
At this time, we need to check whether there is support near 73589.43.
-
The competition starts on April 1.
As I mentioned in the Binance BTCUSDT chart description, the next volatility period is expected to be around April 5 (April 4-6).
Therefore, we need to check whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and decide the position.
In other words, I think it is good to decide the position depending on whether there is support near the original section marked on the 30m chart.
-
It is expected that the key point of this competition will be whether the trading volume can increase and whether the price can be maintained by rising above 89542.51.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
RAMSSOL CONTINUE MARKING UPI have been following ramssol since my last position
For ramssol, this is an Atypical Type #2 Re-Accumulation Schematic
The Rising Bottom
Based on the chart, I bought @ 6th Jan , i assumed that ramssol was at Phase D incoming to the phase E , awaiting for markup.
However somehow price plummeted (18th Feb) and i managed to secure some profits.
Since then, what interesting to me, is that, ramssol has 4 undercut (orange arrow) and price making uptrend
-These 'undercut' can be considered as 'Stepping Stone SPRING'
from the volume side, supply successfuly absorbed with succesful test of the 'Spring'
Position initiated as attached
Pure Wyckoff
Tight SL
Strong Buy ZoneThe Green 1h Zone Acts as Zone buying Zone.
The 1h Red Zone Acts as Resistance.
Scenarios Two: the 1h/4h Green Zone Act as the strongest support level.
Also there is strong Bullish Pattern "M pattern forming triple bottoms"
We have two Scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly Within 1h Green Buying Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of green Buying Zone.
Both indicate Buyers Stepping in strongly.
Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF.
The "Profit Take" are area's where you may reduce or sell all position to secure profit which act as Resistances. as for Previous Low Pink Line (P. Low)
Next Volatility Period: Around April 5 (April 4-6)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new candle has been created as a new month begins.
The StochRSI indicator has fallen below the midpoint, and OBV has been hunting since around October 1, 2024.
As I mentioned before, the StochRSI indicator must fall to the oversold zone and then rise to create a peak in order to draw a trend line between the lows.
Therefore, the point to watch next month is whether the StochRSI indicator can enter the oversold zone.
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 73499.86.
-
(1D chart)
If the current StochRSI indicator creates a peak in the oversold zone, that is, if it closes up, the uptrend line (2) will be completed.
If that happens, we should see whether it can maintain the price by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (83646.12) around April 5th.
If not, it is highly likely that it will eventually fall again.
In the explanation of the 1M chart, I said that the StochRSI indicator should enter the oversold zone.
You may think that the price should fall because of this, but you should not necessarily think that the price will fall because the StochRSI indicator may show a downward trend even if the price rises.
In such an ambiguous situation, rather than predicting whether it will rise or fall, you should check whether the current price position is supported or falling and think about whether to respond.
As I said earlier, you should respond depending on whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart where the arrow is pointing.
This time, you should check in which direction it deviates from the Fibonacci ratio range of 2 (80999.68) ~ 2.24 (83646.12) and think about a response plan.
This movement is expected to appear after the next volatility period, April 4-6.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
To check the entire range of BTC, I used TradingView's INDEX chart.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point of interest is whether they can be supported and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio of 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
ATH 3180 - What do you think?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️Gold surged to another record high on Monday, surpassing the $3,100 mark for the first time and reaching an all-time peak of $3,137 during the Asian session before slightly retreating. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies and the upcoming Liberation Day on April 2 has kept market sentiment cautious, prompting investors to seek safety in the yellow metal as a haven asset.
➡️ Risk appetite weakens as traders wait for the announcement of additional tariffs on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs reported that the probability of a U.S. Recession had risen from 20% to 35%, driven mainly by growing pessimism among businesses and enterprises regarding the economic outlook, as well as Washington's increasing acceptance of a deeper economic downturn.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The long-term trend of gold will increase in the near future due to tariff policies and the possibility of economic recession in the United States.
➡️ However, gold will have a slight corrective rally today:
RSI enters the overbought zone and shows signs of divergence
Buyers will pause in the short term to monitor for the upcoming February 4 if the tariff policy is negative
➡️Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3150 - 3157 - 3180
Support zone: 3127 - 3113 - 3100
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3113- 3115
❌SL: 3108 | ✅TP: 3118 – 3123 – 3130
👉Buy Gold 3127 - 3130
❌SL: 3122| ✅TP: 3135 – 3140 – 3145
👉Sell Gold 3149 – 3151 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3155 | ✅TP: 3146– 3143 – 3140
👉Sell Gold 3179 – 3181
❌SL: 3185 | ✅TP: 3175– 3170 – 3165
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
ES UpdateLooks like they turned the algos on so here's the 3hr chart update.
Just because they turned the algos on doesn't mean good news for the bulls, ES MFI is almost overbought, I expect it to get there at market open. 7am right now.
So basically I'm expecting the market to fill the down gap then drop again.
Don;t expect any more updates today, I'm going to work now.