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EURUSD Trend in EUR and US Trading Sessions–Weak Upside Momentum✍ ✍ ✍ EUR/USd news: ➡ Disappointing macroeconomic data from the United States makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to strengthen on Tuesday, allowing EUR/USD to find support. However, the cautious market sentiment prevents the currency pair from gaining significant traction. ➡ Later in the day, the ADP Employment Change data will be released as part of the U.S. economic calendar. However, investors are unlikely to react strongly to this data ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on "Liberation Day." ➡ Market volatility is expected as traders assess the Trump administration's new tariff regime and its potential impact on economic prospects. Consequently, making investment decisions based on immediate reactions could be risky. Additionally, volatility may remain high if U.S. trade partners, such as the EU, respond by imposing their own tariffs on American goods. Personal opinion: ➡ Currently, the disadvantage is in favor of the EUR, so the downtrend for the EUR/USD currency pair is inevitable. The momentum for the EUR/USD pair is currently quite low, so a short-term sell order can be considered feasible. ➡ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0800 – 1.0810 ❌SL: 1.0845 | ✅TP: 1.760 – 1.0730 – 1.0700 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Paradigm Shift: Markets in Tension over Trump's New TariffsBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst at ActivTrades The recent announcement of tariffs by Donald Trump's administration has generated a wave of uncertainty in financial markets. This measure could trigger a forceful response from the European Union, marking a paradigm shift in global trade and in the European bloc's economic strategy. Reactions in Europe and the ECB Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), has stressed the need for Europe to move towards greater economic independence. Her statements suggest that the EU will not back down from protectionist measures and that its fiscal and financial policy will have to adapt to this new global context. It can be sensed from the statements that countries such as Germany and Italy, with a strong dependence on automotive exports, could be among the most affected. In addition, strategic sectors such as steel and aluminum would face an increase in production costs and possible interruptions in supply chains. Spain and Poland could be affected in the strategic raw materials sector as one of the most powerful net exporters in Europe. Especially Spain, given that it dedicates a large part of its aluminum exports to the North American country. Economic and Financial Impact A tariff-based trade war could slow growth, increase unemployment and generate a disinflationary or even deflationary environment not only in the United States but also in the European economic region. In this context, the bond market has begun to discount further interest rate cuts, reflecting declines in longer maturity yields and break-even inflation rates. Expectations of Europe, and even traditional allied countries Canada and its rapprochement with Europe, as well as Japan and Korea showing approaches to China, could be demarcating a red line for the White House in terms of its foreign policy form. What Trump will have to consider if the market begins to respond so negatively to such an “enemy of trade” attitude, and especially such a “bad friend” to his traditional allies. Another key factor to consider is the NATO-NATO section where Europe may eventually displace the US from the grouping. DAX Analysis (Ticker AT: GER40) The German index has started the Asian session with a sideways movement and 2 hours before the European opening there have been strong falls after the alliance comments in Asia. The situation of the index seems to have reached a floor around 22,241 points generating a possible support this Wednesday. If we look at the trend, the index has reached highs twice last month on March 6 and 18, marking on the second occasion a new milestone trading at 23,480.22 points, generating a return to a range where the index is comfortable this year between 22,918 points and 22,105 points, with the annual lows at 22,209.21 points. The current situation is indicating a possible golden crossover to reverse the current situation. The Current Control Point (POC) is located at 22,967.56 points, so it would not be unusual with the increase in volume and with an oversold RSI at 44.93%, it is possible that the index climbs to 22,522 points in its mid-range zone and try to pierce if the news accompanies the Euro zone and in particular Germany and the companies that make up the index. If this happens, we could see an advance to the upper part of the range slightly below the indicated checkpoint. Future Outlook If the Trump administration maintains its uncompromising trade strategy, pressure on European financial markets could intensify. The EU, for its part, will have to assess possible countermeasures to protect its economy and maintain stability in an increasingly challenging environment. At ActivTrades, we are closely following these developments and their impact on global markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GER40Long
by ActivTrades
GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇 🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆 📍 Macro & Political Context 🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue. 💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀 🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite. 🔍 Market Structure Overview Trend: Bullish HTF ✅ Current Price: $3,113 All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!) Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃 📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences 🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below 📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level) 🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG 🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up 🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone 📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100 🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse 🔺 Premium Rejection 🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone ✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken 🎯 Plan of Action 🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone "Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸 Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095 Confluence: Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA) Imbalance zone FIBO 61.8% + structure break Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100 Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep SL: Below $3,078 TP1: $3,130 TP2: $3,145 TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again) 🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+ Catch the premium short 🧨 Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148 Confluence: All-time high sweep (liquidity trap) HTF OB rejection Weakness shown on M15 Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing SL: Above $3,155 TP1: $3,125 TP2: $3,100 TP3: $3,085 🧠 Final Notes 📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs 📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise 🧘‍♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common. 👉 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to FOLLOW for more sniper setups and smash that ❤️ LIKE button to show some love! Your support keeps this 🔥 content coming!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
3
"Gold (XAU/USD) Resistance & Support Analysis"This chart represents an analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) price action, focusing on key resistance and support levels. The resistance zone is identified at approximately 3,136.62, where price action has previously struggled to break higher. Meanwhile, the support zone is marked around 3,100.95, acting as a potential area where buyers may step in to prevent further declines. The chart suggests a potential rejection at the resistance level, leading to a price decline toward the support zone. The projected movement involves price testing the resistance level, forming a possible consolidation or double-top pattern before initiating a downward trend. This scenario aligns with a bearish outlook, where traders may seek confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators, before considering short positions. However, if price action breaks above the resistance level with strong momentum, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. Traders should apply proper risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement above resistance, to mitigate potential losses. Overall, this technical setup provides a structured approach to analyzing gold price movements, offering traders insights into possible market behavior based on historical price action.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Michael-trades-
KULR - Analysis Request - Here's what's happening!With a "quick" analysis, we now have a very good idea of where price needs to go in order for a sustained breakout to happen. This is the analysis I do on every chart and though this is my first time looking at this chart, we have enough information to set our target entries and to know that if price reaches it, our chances are very high that we have a nice position and entry on our hands (or at the very least, we didn't chase a position - the market does not move based on the amount of FOMO!) Shoutout again to my long time follower and supporter @chr_wied for the request and as always all my followers should feel free to reach out with any analysis requests and I will do my best to get back to you with a video! Happy Trading :)
AMEX:KULR
by ReigningTrades
4
RAMSSOL CONTINUE MARKING UPI have been following ramssol since my last position For ramssol, this is an Atypical Type #2 Re-Accumulation Schematic The Rising Bottom Based on the chart, I bought @ 6th Jan , i assumed that ramssol was at Phase D incoming to the phase E , awaiting for markup. However somehow price plummeted (18th Feb) and i managed to secure some profits. Since then, what interesting to me, is that, ramssol has 4 undercut (orange arrow) and price making uptrend -These 'undercut' can be considered as 'Stepping Stone SPRING' from the volume side, supply successfuly absorbed with succesful test of the 'Spring' Position initiated as attached Pure Wyckoff Tight SL
MYX:RAMSSOLLong
by drsyariz
The Day AheadWednesday, April 2 Data Releases: US March ADP report, February factory orders, Japan March monetary base, France February budget balance. Central Banks: Speeches from Fed’s Kugler, ECB's Schnabel, and Escriva. Trump Tariff Announcement: Trump’s team is finalizing options for a 4 p.m. announcement, considering a tiered system with flat rates or a customized approach. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
FedEx: Balancing Act or Precarious Gamble?Recent market activity highlights significant pressure on FedEx, as the logistics giant grapples with prevailing economic uncertainty. A notable drop in its stock price followed the company's decision to lower its revenue and profit outlook for fiscal year 2025. Management attributes this revision to weakening shipping demand, particularly in the crucial business-to-business sector, stemming from softness in the US industrial economy and persistent inflationary pressures. This development reflects broader economic concerns that are also impacting consumer spending and prompting caution across the corporate landscape. In response to these domestic headwinds, FedEx has adopted a more conservative operational stance, evidenced by a reduced planned capital spending for the upcoming fiscal year. This move signals an emphasis on cost management and efficiency as the company navigates the current economic climate within its established markets. It suggests a strategic adjustment to align spending with the revised, more cautious revenue expectations. However, this domestic caution contrasts sharply with FedEx's concurrent and ambitious expansion strategy in China. Despite geopolitical complexities, the company is making substantial investments to enlarge its footprint, building new operational centers, upgrading existing gateways, and increasing flight frequencies to enhance connectivity. This dual approach underscores the central challenge facing FedEx: balancing immediate economic pressures and operational adjustments at home while pursuing a long-term, high-stakes growth initiative in a critical international market, all within an uncertain global environment.
NYSE:FDXShort
by UDIS_View
Having no position is also position- EURUSD - Official Tarrifs Dear Traders, Investors and every interested person I dont going to lie Im trough hard weeks maybe months after Trump became president although I’m sure you too. As of 01/04/2025 we are just few hours away to enjoy our rollercoaster ride in the amusement park of the USA GOVERMENT. Their old-new attractions is about tariffs and reciprocal tariffs. Those who’s are not familiar what is a tariff I recommend reading this part those, whose already going to the bed and waking up with it may skip it the following section. A **tariff** is a **tax imposed by a government on imported or exported goods**. It's one of the tools countries use in international trade policy. Here's a breakdown: Types of Tariffs : 1. Import Tariff – tax on goods coming **into** a country. ( We are dealing with this curently) 2. **Export Tariff** – tax on goods going **out** of a country (less common). Why Governments Use Tariffs: Protect domestic industries by making foreign products more expensive. Generate revenue for the government. -Retaliate against unfair trade practices or tariffs from other countries. Example: If the U.S. places a **20% tariff** on imported French wine, that means any French wine imported into the U.S. will have an additional 20% tax added to its price. This makes domestic wine relatively cheaper, helping local producers compete . ___________________________________________________________________________ As of April 1, 2025, President Donald Trump has implemented or announced tariffs affecting a wide range of goods from multiple countries. Here's a summary of the current tariff measures Tariffs on Canada and Mexico February 1, 2025: President Trump signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. -March 4, 2025: These tariffs took effect, leading to retaliatory measures from both countries. April 2, 2025: Tariffs on USMCA-compliant goods from Canada and Mexico, which had been temporarily exempted, are set to be enforced. Tariffs on China -February 1, 2025: An additional 10% tariff was imposed on imports from China due to the country's alleged failure to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and address money laundering activities. March 4, 2025: The tariff rate on Chinese imports was increased to 20% Global Tariffs - COMMING April 2, 2025 President Trump has declared this date as "Liberation Day," marking the implementation of new tariffs aimed at addressing trade imbalances. Reciprocal Tariffs The administration plans to enforce tariffs that match the rates other countries impose on U.S. goods, effectively applying a **20% tariff** on most imports. Automobile Imports: A specific 25% tariff on imported passenger vehicles, light trucks, and key automobile parts is set to take effect on April 3, 2025. Tariffs on the European Union- Because we treated very badly..... -February 26, 2025: President Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from the European Union, with a particular focus on the automotive sector. Secondary Tariffs on Oil Imports March 2025: The administration has threatened secondary tariffs on countries importing oil from Russia and Iran. This means that nations purchasing oil from these countries could face U.S. tariffs if they continue such trade while also engaging with the American market. ____________________________________________________________________________ In case of you get lost between the dates please take look at the Comprehensive Tariff Table – President Trump (2025) as of 01/04/2025 ____________________________________________________________________________ Hereafter I would like turn your attention to the period of 28/02/2025 - 19/03/2025 What caused this relentless and, for many traders, painful +5.35% upside move under 19 days? 🇩🇪 Germany has unveiled a comprehensive fiscal strategy involving substantial investments in both infrastructure and defense sectors over the next decade. Here's a breakdown of the planned expenditures: Infrastructure Investment: €500 Billion Special Fund : The government has established a €500 billion special fund dedicated to infrastructure and climate-related projects over a 12-year period. This fund is designed to modernize critical systems, including energy grids, transport networks, digital infrastructure, education, and healthcare facilities. Notably, €100 billion of this fund is earmarked specifically for climate action initiatives aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2045. Defense Spending: Exemption from Debt Brake: In a significant policy shift, Germany has amended its constitutional "debt brake" to exempt defense and security expenditures exceeding 1% of GDP from borrowing limits. This adjustment effectively removes the previous cap on defense spending, allowing for increased investments in military capabilities. Projected Defense Expenditure: While exact figures may vary based on annual GDP and specific defense needs, this exemption is anticipated to facilitate approximately €400 billion in additional defense spending over the next 10 years. This fiscal policy measures does not take place often, but honestly signs were on the market that something is cooking at the back: Someone knows something that I dont. And you neither. XETR:DAX from 01/January/2025 was not too much reason for the steady increase in the shadow of the trade war. FX:EURUSD just look at the price actions from 01/January/2025 till the German gov announcement. I could not explained for myself fundamentally what is happening. Why I see huge positioning with towards the upside when we still facing measures which can push major economies in the EURO AREA as France and Germany more deeper under the water where they already been.... No economic data refuted my findings. Anyway, after all I said to myself let’s wait meanwhile, I was shorting the EUR because I felt the possible damage of the planned measures are not correctly priced in. (Interest rate parity, industrial production under 50 ( which means contraction) and a few other things. ) 03/03/2025 Thats when everything got sense. Lesson learned: If you feel something do not suppress it especially when the signs are that strongs as above mentioned period. The effect: All Europen goverment bond yields skyrocketed TVC:DE10 TVC:FR10 Why ? The German plans means that the goverment needs money and market said well i need return so I will finance you +3% and 2,30% Bonds market are the real drivers behind the currency movements and this case the effect was drastic. In order to buy eur denominated bonds you need euro, therefore you exchange your currency to euro. ___________________________________________________________________________ Tomorrow questions is whats will be new in terms of tarrifs? I do expect that soon the inflation will edge higher in the US which can trigger US bonds yield to increase significantly, but is will lead for short term dollar gain. USA is playing with the fire since if their avarage debt interest payments will be +5% thats will open darker boxes soon than in 2008. Much darker. So thats why I would enjoy the short term currency gain which is autonomous and than exchange my dollar to euro everywhere.
by ElGatoTrade