XAU/USD – Gold Analysis Using MMC & Structural Mapping + Target🔎 Market Narrative:
Today’s GOLD analysis is crafted through the lens of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)—a powerful strategy where historical price behavior is mirrored in the current chart structure. This is combined with traditional structural analysis, offering a clear view of current price behavior, key breakouts, and target levels.
We’re currently seeing an interesting scenario unfold where the market structure is shifting from bearish to bullish, aligning with mirrored reactions from previous key zones.
🧠 MMC Breakdown & Price Psychology:
🔄 Mirror Reaction:
Notice how the market mirrored a previous aggressive sell-off with a similar bullish recovery. This “reflection” is a hallmark of MMC—where market sentiment repeats itself, but in opposite directions.
The "Previous Targets" zone acted as a key SR Interchange (support-turned-resistance / resistance-turned-support). Price dropped into this zone and bounced with strong bullish momentum, signaling smart money accumulation or potential liquidity grab before reversal.
🧱 Structural Analysis:
🔹 Trendline Observation:
A key trendline (drawn from the recent swing highs) was clearly broken, confirming that the bearish structure has shifted into a bullish one. The breakout was followed by a retest, further strengthening the validity of this move.
🔹 Support/Resistance Flip (SR Interchange Zone):
The Blue Ray zone marked on the chart is critical. This area held as support in the past and again acted as a launchpad for the recent upside move.
🔹 Previous Targets Reclaimed:
After hitting the previous support zone, price reversed sharply—another MMC principle in play. These zones often serve as liquidity magnets and reaction zones, where institutional traders are active.
📍 Key Levels To Watch:
✅ Current Support: $3,289–$3,295 (Previously broken resistance, now acting as support)
🎯 Immediate Target Zone: $3,310–$3,320
(This is where the price is expected to face short-term resistance. If broken, the next mirror move could extend further.)
🔻 Trendline Confirmation Level: $3,296
(Holding above this confirms bullish bias short-term)
🛠️ Trading Plan / Bias:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Idea: Look for bullish continuation above $3,296 after minor consolidation or retest
Risk Management: Place stop-loss just below $3,289 (previous demand zone)
Take-Profit: $3,310 – $3,320 zone initially
⚠️ Risk Consideration:
Gold can be volatile, especially during news events. Always assess macroeconomic factors (like Fed policy, NFP, CPI, etc.) and manage your trades with solid risk-to-reward ratios.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) can work hand-in-hand with price action and structure to provide clean, repeatable setups. By understanding the psychology behind price mirroring, we can better anticipate turning points and entry zones—especially when the structure confirms it.
Whether you’re a day trader or swing trader, this concept adds a layer of confluence to your technical analysis toolkit.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold prices fell below for a weekly.Gold FX:XAUUSD prices fell below $3,310 an ounce on Friday, on track for a weekly decline of more than 1%, as investors remained cautious ahead of the U.S. PCE inflation report, which could provide new insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.
On Thursday, bullion prices rose nearly 1% after a federal appeals court allowed President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs to temporarily take effect, just one day after the U.S. Court of International Trade blocked their implementation, deeming the method used to enact them "unlawful." Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Thursday that policymakers could still deliver two rate cuts this year, as expected in March, but emphasized that rates should remain steady for now to ensure inflation is on track to meet the Fed’s 2% target.
XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Trading Strategy Around Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD around the 3326–3328 area
Stoploss: 3333
Take Profit 1: 3322
Take Profit 2: 3317
Take Profit 3: 3310
BUY XAUUSD around the 3278–3280 area
Stoploss: 3273
Take Profit 1: 3284
Take Profit 2: 3289
Take Profit 3: 3295
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations to ensure safety.
BTC Breakdown – Reaccumulation at RiskBitcoin just posted a decisive 4H candle close below 55 SMA, mid-Bollinger Band, and the primary ascending trendline. Volume spiked to 7.31M, and RSI dropped to 38, confirming bearish momentum.
⸻
🧩 Wyckoff Structure Under Threat:
• ❌ LPS level invalidated
• ❌ Phase D uptrend broken
• 📉 No breakout above ATH (~109.8K) after three attempts
• 🟠 Still holding BC (Pole End) at ~105.8K
• 🔁 If this breaks next, the entire Phase D/E thesis collapses
⸻
🔻 What’s Next?
• Support:
• S1: Lower BB (~106.9K)
• S2: 105.8K (BC level — key structural base)
• Break of 105.8K = invalidation of reaccumulation, transition into potential distribution. Watch for daily close for confirmation.
• S3: Point of control at 104k
⸻
📊 Breakdown Triggers Confirmed:
• ✅ Close below mid-BB (108.9K)
• ✅ RSI < 45
• ✅ High-volume red candle
• ✅ Structural break of ascending LPS pattern
A short hedge can be initiated with a tight stop over breaking candle high. Note that this could be the shakeout moment i mentioned in my related post.
⸻
Unless BTC recovers 108.5K+ with rising volume quickly, this is now a valid short breakdown, and reaccumulation thesis hangs by a thread.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Breakdown #CryptoTA #BTC4H #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC Daily Breakdown – Major Uptrend BreachedBitcoin has now closed below the multi-week ascending trendline on the daily chart — the same trendline that defined the entire Phase D markup structure.
⸻
🔍 Breakdown Highlights:
📉 Daily Close: 107,764 → well below trendline ✅
🔻 Volume: 18.42M (near 20-day average) → not a panic candle, but confirms exit ✅
📉 Fibonacci Cluster: 0.5 (107,093) and 0.618 (105,495) now in play ✅
⚠️ RSI (14): 61.14 → still neutral, but diverging from price ❗
🧱 Next supports:
• 106,146 = BB basis
• 105,821 = BC Pole End
• 104,000 = Point of control from volume profile
⸻
🧩 Structural Impact (Wyckoff View):
• ❌ Trendline break = Phase D invalidated
• ❌ No breakout above ATH (109,852) after 3 attempts
• 🟠 Still not fully invalidated — if 105.8K holds, Spring-like scenario still possible
• 🔻 Close below 105.8K = Phase C fails → transition into Redistribution
⸻
⚠️ What to Watch Next:
• Bounce from 106.1–105.5K with volume could offer one last recovery setup
• A close below 105.8K confirms structural invalidation
⸻
🧠 Final Take:
The trendline break is real. Bulls need to defend the Fibonacci cluster + BC base around 105.8K. If that gives way, this becomes a failed reaccumulation and BTC risks a deeper structural rotation.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Breakdown #Trendline #TechnicalAnalysis #Wyckoff #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BTCdaily
Bitcoin 4H Outlook: Dual Wyckoff Reaccumulation in Play⚙️ Technical Thesis:
We're currently witnessing the unfolding of two back-to-back Wyckoff reaccumulation structures on the 4H timeframe:
📦 Reaccumulation #1 (Left)
Structure: PSY → BC → AR → ST → Spring + Test → LPS → SOS
Bullish pennant formed after Spring, leading to a strong breakout
BC of this phase (105,821) now acts as a major upper resistance
📦 Reaccumulation #2 (Right)
Structure: BC → ST → UT → Shakeout → Minor Spring → SPRING (current)
Current price has tagged Spring at the convergence of:
Lower Bollinger Band ($105,174)
61.8% Fibonacci retracement ($105,915)
🧪 Market Internals
RSI: 38.31 → deeply oversold, aligned with a Spring phase
Volume: Fading on last leg down, hinting exhaustion
BBs:
Upper: $110,828
Basis: $108,006 (confluent with 55 SMA)
Lower: $105,174
200 SMA: $102,248 (macro support)
Pattern context: Another bullish flag is forming within the second structure
🎯 Trade Expectations (Pending Spring Test as Confirmation)
If this Spring holds:
🔄 LPS → Look for bullish reaction with increased volume
TP1: AR retest around $106,752
TP2: 55 SMA + BB Midline confluence at ~$108,000
TP3: Range target or previous BC level near $112,000–$113,000
A decisive break below $105,000 with RSI < 35 and rising volume would invalidate the Spring and shift focus to breakdown risk.
🔍 Wyckoff View
This is a classic Spring setup from a Wyckoff reaccumulation structure. Two sequential structures are visible, and the first structure’s BC now serves as the foundational support for the second. This kind of layered support builds conviction — but needs validation via LPS and SOS phases.
Yes the major trendline was broken, but we are now consolidation and reaccumulation for the next leg up, unless the pattern is invalidated.
🕹 No short setups active unless structural failure confirmed.
💬 Share your view: do you see this as a Spring or potential failure?
#BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Reaccumulation #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Spring #LPS
SWDY's New Upward Region Waiting for Chart Pattern ConfirmationSWDY stock is still trying to peak up, but unfortunately, it's rebounding back from the resistance line of 82.662. It had already broken the support line 81.970. In case of continuing, it'll break the support line 81.849 till reaching the support line 81.759. In case of rising, it'll breach the 1st resistance line to the 2nd resistance line at 82.933 points and the 3rd resistance line at 83.097. In general, it's expected to rise, especially for the presence of a double bottom, which will lead to a bullish reversal pattern and orient a new upward region, but the chart pattern confirmation is still in progress.
BTCUSD SMC Short | 70.5% Fib + OB Rejection Incoming?BTCUSD | High Risk-Reward Setup at Key Supply Zone 🔥
This Bitcoin setup is setting up for a potential clean short opportunity, right from a key Order Block zone confluenced with 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement and a Strong High liquidity magnet above.
🧠 1. Why This Trade Setup is 🔥
This BTCUSD chart shows Smart Money preparing a trap:
🔺 Impulse down ➝ forming market structure shift
📉 Retracement back to a refined OB (purple zone)
📍 Aligned perfectly with:
✅ 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement zone
✅ Strong High = liquidity trap
✅ Bearish engulfing rejection from supply zone
This is textbook SMC confluence. Price could sweep the high one more time, then tank hard.
📌 2. Zone Breakdown
OB Entry Zone (purple): ~108,000 to 108,400
SL Above Strong High: ~109,000
TP at Weak Low: ~104,600
✅ Entry around 108,000
✅ RRR: ~1:5 👑
📈 3. Market Structure
HTF Bias: Bearish
LTF Structure: Retracing to premium zone
Expecting BOS downward if rejection confirms
⚙️ 4. Trade Plan
Wait for price to tap 61.8–70.5% zone
Look for M5/M15 bearish structure break
Enter on pullback to M15 OB
SL = Above the High
TP = Weak Low (104,630)
🛑 5. Risk Management Tips
Never enter blindly at 61.8%
Always wait for confirmation on LTF (M5/M15)
If price blows past 70.5%, let it go — don’t chase 🧘
🧠 Save this trade plan
📈 Comment “BTC SMC ENTRY” if you caught this
👀 Follow for more Smart Money chart breakdowns
EGX30 Increases by 0.62%EGX30 stock has jumped to an upper region, and it's apparent that this has been a gradual upward trend due to a mutual connection between positive fundamental news and the technical candlestick analysis. It has already breached the resistance line of 32,621.248 and reached the maximum at 32,695.736 points. On a personal level, I expect it to rebound not because of any negative news but because of taking into consideration the short-term history patterns. In case of rebounding, it may reach the support line 32,536.119, the support line 32,408.426, then the support line 32,376.503. In conclusion, EGX30 is increasing in the pink region by 0.62%.
TAOP – Reverse Split | Momentum Coil | Pre-Breakout SetupCategory: Setup 5 / 10
Trigger: Reverse Split 1:30 (29.05.2025)
Float: ~12.7M | Short Float: ~31%
Sector: Tech / Smart City / Blockchain
Pattern: Compression Coil under EMA200
Volume: Building | BB tightening
News: Reverse Split + China Smart Terminal Contracts
Bias: Long – Awaiting Breakout Trigger
TAOP is forming a classic Split-Triggered Momentum Coil right under the EMA200.
The chart shows tight consolidation between EMA10/20 with multiple wick attempts to break above $0.30.
With a high short interest (~31%), a tiny float (~12M), and confirmed reverse split catalyst, the setup is in the final compression phase.
What we’re watching for:
Clean breakout + close over $0.305
Retest or micro-flag above resistance
Volume spike confirmation
Entry target: $0.305–0.315
SL: ~–3% under reclaim wick
TP zones: $0.34 / $0.36 / open sky if squeeze hits
Sentiment Watch:
Minimal hype so far – a stealth mover with delayed reaction possible
If social buzz kicks in → Squeeze potential is massive
Conclusion:
TAOP is a prime candidate for a delayed breakout. If volume steps in, the coil pops.
Still no entry until structure confirms – but high-alert status for today/tomorrow.
Realistic +15% Intraday Targets | TNGX | HOVR | GAMEHere are 3 real-world setups from today’s market:
Clear structure
+15% realistic target
Risk managed with predefined stop-loss
No hype – just logic
TNGX: Base break + volume = potential 15% move
HOVR: Parabolic base formation – entry over consolidation
GAME: VWAP reclaim with volume spike forming – strong TP15 structure
All entries and levels are marked. These are not theoretical – they are tradeable.
We’re papertrading, learning, refining, and soon… scaling.
Follow for more live setups, logic-first strategies and trade reviews.
Let’s build consistency.
Coinbase is an excellent instrument for exposure to cryptoTrading at roughly 2x the price of Bitcoin, Coinbase presents a unique opportunity for exposure to the crypto sector. Fundamentally it is better to invest money for the long term on a business that generates revenue. I am very bullish on crypto, but with limited funds I want to make sure I deploy my capital as intelligently as possible.
There is several interesting strategies Coinbase uses to generate revenue based on crypto and blockchain processes and capabilities. From being able to exchange currencies like traditional currency systems for payments or money transfers. Mining proof of work assets like Bitcoin have used far too much resources to not be considered "valuable, and scarce". Proof of stake where staking rewards payout better than most dividends. Recent institutional adoption by some of the most significant entities. Coinbase has a portfolio of most of the crypto currencies so it guarantees a diverse exposure to the sector.
Its very obvious the people are loving crypto currencies, I want to be exposed to crypto but also want to invest in the fundamentals of generating revenues. Coinbase is the perfect vehicle in my opinion for exposure to crypto they generate revenues based on commissions and spreads, I'm sure they have some other strategies they use to consistently generate income even if crypto is going down, so that makes me even more convicted in my decision to put my money on Coinbase stock. Only being listed on the Nasdaq for four years I believe we are in for a wild ride to the upside so long as Bitcoin and the crypto market as a whole continue with this volatile momentum.
Market next target ⚠️ 1. Bearish Momentum Remains Intact
The last few candles are strongly bearish, with steep declines and high red candle volume.
Attempting to project an upside target amid this current bearish drive lacks alignment with actual market sentiment.
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📉 2. Lack of Reversal Candlestick Patterns
There is no clear bullish reversal pattern visible at the point of target placement:
No hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star pattern.
The price may just be pausing before continuing its downward trend.
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🔊 3. Volume Discrepancy
The rising volume on red candles vs. low volume on recent green candles shows selling pressure outweighs buying interest.
A reliable bullish setup would typically come with higher buying volume after a selloff, which is not yet seen.
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🧭 4. Misleading “Target” Location
The marked target is at a higher high, near 33.75–34.00 area, which:
Is not supported by immediate technical breakout
Seems to ignore the last failed attempt to break above that level
Appears overly optimistic given the current trend direction
Bullish Bias, Patient Mindset — Here’s What I’m WatchingAlmost a month ago, we talked about a bullish setup — and that perspective hasn’t changed. I mentioned then that I was “slightly bullish but waiting for confirmation,” and the market has continued to respect that bias.
We're still on that train. 🚆
Take a walk with me as I break down the key areas I'm watching for bullish plays — not just for the next day or two, but looking out into the coming weeks and months. These are the zones I’m monitoring closely for entries, reactions, or potential shifts in structure.
Confirmation is everything. Momentum is building, but patience is how we stay on the right side of the trade.
Potential 2:1 SetUP foir a Swing Trade
Buy levels: : 5940
Aggressive entry: 5890 (One opportunity given today)
Passive entry: 5940 (waiting on price)
Take profit : New High : 6166
Stoploss : 5755
BULLISH REVERSALThe frame of a possible trade
On the Daily time frame, going back to what we can identify as the parent move
price gapped to the upside, filled with wicks and candles, price moves to the upside
leaving short-term lows(STL)
Price retraced and took liquidity at STL
On the Daily time frame, price expands violating a Daily Sell-side Imbalance Buy-side Inefficiency
05/29/25 Price gapped up, taking out liquidity at a STH
If this price action implies bullishness, then price will have to take/deliver some form of sellside
This is happening ahead of the Core PCE Price Index Data release on Friday 30/05/25
USOIL REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 60.20$
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 61.43$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.