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Beyond Technical Analysis

Forget Candlestick Patterns -Who is in control BUYERS or SELLERSAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Long
by Simply-Forex
US Bond Slide Began in 2020 — Not Tariff-Driven. Why?The downward pressure did not start with the Liberation Day tariffs on 2nd April. Based on the 30-year long-term bond price chart, the market peaked in 2020, then broke below a major support line—established since the 1980s—in 2022. Since that break, US bonds have been on a downward trajectory. So, what happened in 2020 and 2022 that set the bond market on shaky ground? In 2020, the massive Covid QE signaled a tipping point in the debt issue that had been discussed for decades. By June 2022, inflation reached 9%, the highest in four decades. Investors grew concerned about the US's dependence on debt as the bond bubble appeared to burst. Why is the recent tariff shock just a continuation of developments that began back then? And where are bond prices heading next? This goes beyond investors offloading its US Treasury holdings after 2nd April. U.S. Treasury Futures & Options Ticker: ZB Minimum fluctuation: 1/32 of one point (0.03125) = $31.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ Trading the Micro: cmegroup.com/markets/microsuite.html
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by konhow
RARE / 10R / Short....SGU @ 1.3340Rare but rewarding! Just executed Short .... SGU @ 1.3340 💯 solid setup...watch this tank 📉 in engineering....we call this BUCKLE ;) expecting min DD < 15p max RRR > 10 TP1 and SL as shown until final TP2 projected by system. Sorry, alert is not based on TA like BoS or OB or SnR SnD PP or Fibs or even ICT etc....since designed to induce and seduce...rather based on multi-system confluence convergence and confirmations.... now system beeping let's test n see IF u like this...would appreciate any feedback for continuous improvement... 🥂
Short
by ADVISOR_fx
Trading Analysis for PayPal **Current Price:** $64.77 **Direction:** **LONG** **LONG Targets:** - **T1 = $66.50** - **T2 = $68.00** **Stop Levels:** - **S1 = $62.50** - **S2 = $60.00** --- **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in PayPal. **Key Insights:** PayPal is entering a crucial phase ahead of its Q3 earnings report, which is expected to show marginal declines in earnings per share (EPS) to $1.16 and modest revenue growth of 1.8% to $7.84 billion. Despite these challenges, the company continues to maintain stability via its core business model. Traders are keenly watching for updates on metrics such as transaction growth, active accounts, and cost-saving initiatives, as they are crucial to future market sentiment. The stock remains below technical resistance, suggesting price movements are likely to remain in a defined range unless a material catalyst occurs. **Recent Performance:** Over the last few months, PayPal has been underperforming relative to the broader tech sector. Weak trading volume and an inability to sustain upward momentum reflect investor concerns regarding competition from emerging fintech players and margin compression. Despite broader tech recovery, PayPal’s growth stock identity has been overshadowed by these concerns, leading to bearish sentiment in its recent price actions. **Expert Analysis:** Experts note that PayPal is facing challenges both externally, through macroeconomic pressures, and internally, from difficulties in scaling EPS growth and user engagement. However, its strong position as a key player in digital payments still attracts optimism among institutional investors. Analysts stress the importance of the company’s post-earnings guidance, viewing updates on strategies for boosting active users and enhancing profitability as potentially pivotal for shifting sentiment. **News Impact:** The upcoming earnings report places PayPal in the center of a busy week for tech stocks, sharing the spotlight with sector giants such as Meta, Amazon, Visa, and Snap. Sector-wide results may influence PayPal’s performance in the short term. Recent news highlights the increasing competition PayPal faces from both traditional institutions and newer fintech players; however, its ability to innovate and retain market share remains a core focus for investors seeking long-term gains. --- **Trading Recommendation:** PayPal’s current price level offers a potential opportunity for a LONG position targeting a recovery to $66.50 and $68.00, assuming earnings and guidance provide a positive surprise. With stop-loss levels defined at $62.50 and $60.00, risk management is key given external macroeconomic challenges and internal operational headwinds. This setup aligns with professional consensus, combining defined upside potential with manageable downside risk. ```
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
4/28 Gold Trading SignalsLast Friday, gold retested the 3260 support zone for the second time. After confirming support, prices began to climb steadily, and our low-entry long positions have already delivered impressive returns. From a technical perspective, the broader structure still resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern, but recently, a double-bottom pattern has formed around the right shoulder, signaling an intense battle between bulls and bears—mainly influenced by geopolitical tensions. Here, I would like to propose a bold yet speculative thought: Could the current turmoil possibly lead to a regime change for Trump, or trigger massive nationwide protests? If such scenarios unfold, it would likely be extremely bullish for gold, potentially pushing prices toward 4000. On the other hand, if Trump softens his trade policies under pressure, it would be bearish for gold, making a decline toward 2800 highly probable. Of course, this is purely my personal speculation, and I don't claim deep expertise in international politics. Focusing back on the technicals: The 3260 support is critical. A breakdown could see prices moving toward the 3245–3213 range, or even lower toward around 3190. Any rebound from there should be carefully watched near the 3260 resistance; failure to break above would suggest a potential further drop toward 3153–3137. If the double-bottom pattern holds firmly, a return to above 3400 this week is highly likely. 🔥 Today's Trading Plan: Sell zone: 3407–3418 Buy zone: 3273–3241 Scalping zones: 3288–3323 / 3386–3344 Manage your positions wisely and stay flexible!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
DXY ... Dollar Index looks not as clean Gann reviewNot too much to explain here...just see the highlighted areas and see that the Gann box Stacking strikes again with some interesting levels. The light angles are kinds nice, but the most recent one where the price is now seems to be the only thing holding it back from being a green face smash to 96... Mor Tariff... Mor pain for the Dolla Dolla Bill y' all This is the larger picture and see as to how I come to these Gann box alignments: Again...You just find pivots and span them with the box- then stack or slide them with points all being contiguous and you have your price action analysis. Above chart is the weekly. Just imagine if there was any significance to the 2001 high and then the 2008 lows when it comes to geopolitics or financial situations....one could say: Its almost like a twin peak, one with a tower on it, just suddenly got hit out of nowhere and then crashed down to the Great Financial Center down below..hmmm VV
TVC:DXY
by CYQOTEK
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months. Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move: Monthly Close Above 100.160: A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities. Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y): This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets. COT Report Insights: The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves. Seasonal Patterns: Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape. Targets: Initial Target: 106.120 Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.
TVC:DXYLong
by Wiiso
28 Apr - XABCD Pattern Signals Potential UpsideRecently, the expected Head and Shoulders pattern seems to be delayed — and possibly invalidated — as buyers successfully defended the line at $3,287, pushing the price up to $3,319 on Friday. As a result, a new bullish setup has emerged. On the 1-hour chart, an XABCD harmonic pattern has clearly formed, offering two upside targets: Target 1: $3,367 Target 2: $3,435 On the downside, $3,260 is now acting as the critical level. A break below this point could open the door for lower prices. For now, the bias is long until Target 1 at $3,367 is reached. Traders should monitor short-term sentiment closely: if signs of weakness or a shift appear, the price could reverse earlier. Important to note: the Head and Shoulders pattern remains a risk if price falls below $3,260 after reaching $3,370 and moves toward the neckline at $3,237. 📍 Summary: Idea: Go long toward $3,367. Risk: Head and Shoulders pattern could still complete if bearish momentum returns. Stay sharp and manage your risk accordingly! ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
$XRP | 4h longCRYPTOCAP:XRP is showing notable relative strength against the market. Currently testing the #4h Break of Structure (BOS) zone — a critical area for a potential breakout. 🎯 Base scenario: — Bullish pattern forming right at the BOS zone. — A clean breakout and acceptance above BOS would signal the start of a new impulsive leg. — If confirmed, the next target zone is $2.54–$2.68 (0.618–0.75 fib extension). 🛎️ Set alerts above BOS and monitor for a strong bullish candle close. 🛡️ Invalidation: Failure to hold above BOS, with price returning below without confirmation. 💬 A confirmed BOS breakout on CRYPTOCAP:XRP could act as a major catalyst, boosting not only CRYPTOCAP:XRP but also broader altcoin momentum. Stay sharp around this zone.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
SUI SHORT massive manipulation on binance perps.I expect the market maker's volume output and the price to float freely, through spot fixation by big hands, May 1st major unlocking of SUI tokens, 60+% of tokens are in the block, I keep shorting from 2.60 with targets on the chart, personally I see in this impulse we got a soon continuation of the downward structure with a local break renewal, too much positive from nothing, duties + tense situation in Asia can give impetus to a quick price delivery to 2.85 level
Short
by bichekk
1
USD/CAD: Time to Go Long?On the monthly chart, USD/CAD has found strong support, signaling a potential bullish continuation. With anticipated USD strength in the coming weeks, there’s a clear opportunity for the pair to move higher. We are targeting 1.40180 as the first objective, with the potential to extend towards 1.41500 if momentum continues. On the daily chart, the price is showing signs of weakness but also bullish intent, suggesting a possible retracement before a move higher. Ideally, a pullback into the 1.38490 – 1.38450 zone would offer a high-probability long entry.
Long
by Wiiso
$BTC | 1D Macro Resistance ZoneBitcoin is testing a key liquidity area ($94.5K–$95.2K) after a sharp rally from $78K. This blue zone has triggered major rejections before — we may be nearing exhaustion. 🔍 Context & Observations: — Possible final push + trap above resistance — MSS level at $89,272 = first target if breakdown starts — LTF range forming post-impulse 📌 Main scenario (correction): — Entry: after fakeout & drop below resistance — Target: $89.2K / $85K — Invalidation: close 2-3 bars > $95K 📈 Alt scenario (bullish breakout): — Entry: breakout & hold above $95K — Target: $101K–$105K — Invalidation: drop below $94K ⚙️ Triggers to watch: — SFP or bearish structure on LTF — Fakeout + low-volume rally — Reclaim below range Altcoins remain strong while BTC chops. Patience is key!
Long
by Goldfinch_song
XAUUSD Play: Buy the Dip, Sell the Rip Gold (XAUUSD) Tactical Play: Intraday Long into 4H Premium, Then Position for Higher Timeframe Short Higher Timeframe (4H + Daily Context) : 1. Daily Chart Bias : Long-term bullish trend, but now expecting a mean reversion (correction) toward long-term averages (discount area). 2. Current Behaviour : Price has aggressively rallied over the past weeks, but now it's likely moving into a larger correction phase. 3. 4H Structure : - 4H Demand Zone (around 3,250–3,300) is still holding — price showed strong reactions after tapping it. - 4H overall flow shifted bearish after a BOS, but internal structure inside 4H suggests a pullback toward premium levels. Key Supply Zones Above: • First Supply : 3,380.962 (4H + 15M alignment) • Second Supply : 3,410.365 (strong 4H supply) Internal Structure (15M) : Current Observations: 1. 15M structure showed a CHoCH to the upside after tapping into the 4H demand — clear internal strength. 2. Entry zone marked in 15M purple zone (small demand refinement). Expectation: Price will retrace a little, tap the 15M purple zone, then push upward toward higher liquidity pools. Targets for the Long Trade: • First TP : The recent liquidity highs around 3,380.962 (first 4H supply). • Second TP : 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) closer to 3,410.365. Thanks for your Time..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Naren_2410