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Position Goldman Sachs for Growth Amidst Market Volatility- Recent Performance: Goldman Sachs is currently trading at 566.1 amid a volatile market environment. As investors digest the performance of major players in the financial sector, Goldman remains under scrutiny, particularly as earnings reports approach. The mixed sentiment in the market poses both risks and opportunities for investors. - Key Insights: Given the current market dynamics, investors should adopt a selective approach when considering Goldman Sachs. With the financial sector facing potential headwinds, it is crucial to analyze the bank's cash flow and earnings strength. The firm’s recent performance in investment banking and wealth management segments remains critical. Monitoring these factors will be essential as broader market conditions evolve. - Expert Analysis: Experts are advising a balanced strategy for the upcoming weeks, particularly in light of the cautious optimism surrounding earnings in technology. The prevailing sentiment indicates that while opportunities exist, valuation risks are heightened, and Goldman Sachs' performance will heavily depend on macroeconomic indicators and interest rate expectations stemming from Federal Reserve policy. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1: 585.0, T2: 605.0 - Stop levels: S1: 550.0, S2: 535.0 In this scenario, buyers should look to enter near current price levels while maintaining appropriate stop orders to manage downside risk. - News Impact: Although there have been no significant news items directly impacting Goldman Sachs, the competitive landscape within the financial sector continues to evolve. Investor sentiment is likely influenced by the overall economic climate and the broader implications of consumer finance trends discussed in recent market analyses. Staying attuned to these developments will be essential for making informed investment decisions.
NYSE:GSLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
GBPJPY set for bullish move in the 2nd half of the week.Based on the Ichimoku analysis, here’s a trade setup using the 4-hour and daily charts, incorporating Ichimoku Wave and Time Theory: 1. Observations on the Daily Chart: Trend: The price is within the Ichimoku cloud, indicating consolidation or indecision. However, the bullish attempt to break above the cloud suggests upward momentum might develop. Key Levels: Resistance: 197.50 (upper cloud boundary and recent highs). Support: 194.50 (Kijun-Sen and lower cloud boundary). Chikou Span (Lagging Line): Inside the price action, signaling no clear trend confirmation yet. Wave Theory: After a sharp rally in mid-December, the market shows signs of completing a corrective wave within the cloud. Time Theory: If the next bullish move aligns with the current time cycles (Kihon-Suchi intervals: 9, 17, 26), a breakout may occur around the next 2–3 trading days. 2. Observations on the 4-Hour Chart: Trend: The price is trading above the cloud, suggesting a short-term bullish bias. Key Levels: Resistance: 197.00 (recent highs). Support: 195.50 (Kijun-Sen on the 4-hour chart and near the cloud top). Chikou Span: Positioned above the price action, supporting bullish momentum. Wave Theory: The impulsive move to 198.00 was followed by a correction back into the cloud. Current price action suggests a potential new bullish wave starting. Time Theory: Time intervals suggest a minor pullback may complete soon, and the next bullish wave could initiate in the next 4–8 candles. 3. Trade Setup: Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry: Wait for a close above 197.00 on the 4-hour chart to confirm bullish momentum. Target 1: 198.50 (previous high on the 4-hour chart). Target 2: 200.00 (psychological level and wave projection). Stop Loss: Below 195.50, where the Kijun-Sen and cloud support converge. Bearish Scenario (If Daily Cloud Resistance Holds): Entry: If price rejects 197.00 and closes below 195.50 on the 4-hour chart. Target 1: 194.00 (daily cloud support). Target 2: 192.50 (next significant support on the daily chart). Stop Loss: Above 197.50. 4. Ichimoku Wave and Time Theory Insights: Wave Analysis: The market may form a new bullish N-wave if it breaks above 197.00. Targets for this wave could align with the 198.50–200.00 zone. Time Analysis: Watch for reversals or breakout confirmations within 2–3 trading days (daily chart) or 4–8 candles (4-hour chart), aligned with the Kihon-Suchi cycles.
Long
by Welburg_Trading
1
Bitcoin’s Christmas Trap: Be Cautious🚨 Bitcoin’s Christmas Trap: Be Cautious 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Alert As the festive season unfolds, Bitcoin has soared to an impressive $95,233.00. While this rally might spark excitement, investors should tread carefully. History warns us of Bitcoin’s holiday volatility, where quick gains can be followed by dramatic drops. --- 🔍 Key Insights to Keep in Mind: 1️⃣ ⚡ Market Volatility: The crypto market is notorious for its unpredictability. Rapid price surges often precede steep corrections. 2️⃣ 📈 Historical Trends: December has been a rollercoaster month for Bitcoin, with sharp gains sometimes overshadowed by sudden sell-offs. 3️⃣ 🌎 External Influences: Global economic shifts, regulatory updates, and investor sentiment can swing Bitcoin’s price unexpectedly. --- 💡 Tips for Smart Investing: 🧠 Stay Updated: Keep a close watch on market news and trends to make informed choices. 📊 Diversify Wisely: Spread your investments across various assets to reduce risks. ⏳ Avoid Impulses: Resist making hasty decisions based on short-term price movements. --- 📌 Final Thought: While the holiday season might inspire optimism, approach Bitcoin investments with caution. Align your decisions with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Stay sharp, stay safe, and invest wisely!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by AlphaBull-Trading
Palantir ($PLTR): Positioned for Major Upside Palantir Technologies ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) just announced a game-changing partnership with Anduril, SpaceX, OpenAI, and other private sector giants to form a consortium targeting U.S. government contracts. This move positions NASDAQ:PLTR as a key player in the tech-defense ecosystem, directly competing against the traditional military-industrial complex. With this strategic backing from innovative companies, Palantir is poised for long-term growth and a potential re-rating of its value. Key Highlights: • Increased exposure to high-value government contracts. • Diversified partnerships across AI, aerospace, and defense. • Strong momentum in the defense-tech sector. Technically, NASDAQ:PLTR continues to show solid support levels, with the potential for a breakout as these partnerships materialize. Watch for volume spikes and news updates for entry opportunities!
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by justin_p_mcfarland
1
EUR/USD - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabEUR/USD has cleared liquidity above a key resistance zone, presenting a strategic sell limit setup. This move indicates the market has likely trapped buyers and may reverse downward. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: Price spiked above a critical resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping breakout buyers. Market Structure: Bearish rejection candles and fading upward momentum suggest a potential reversal. Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity grab and anticipated downside move. Trade Plan: Entry: Sell limit at , targeting a reversal from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above the recent liquidity sweep to account for volatility. Take Profit: Targeting support levels around for a favorable risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This setup leverages the liquidity grab for a high-probability trade, but strict risk management and proper position sizing are essential. Monitor price action for confirmation of bearish momentum.
Short
by Vusizwe_Capital
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2024/51]: Bearish Trend StrengthensSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) fell last week, closing USD 3.82/ton lower by 20/Dec (Fri). SGX IO Futures opened at USD 104.45/ton on 16/Dec (Mon) and closed at USD 100.63/ton on 20/Dec (Fri). Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 105.80/ton on 17/Dec (Tue) and a low of USD 99.80/ton on 20/Dec (Fri). It traded in a range of USD 6/ton during the week, which was wider than the prior week. Prices tested the pivot point of USD 104.60/ton at the start of the week and closed below the S1 point of USD 101.85/ton. Volume peaked on 19/Dec (Thu), as iron ore prices declined by 0.9%, as the PBoC kept its loan prime rates unchanged. Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary Iron ore prices declined for the week ending 20/Dec, following the PBoC's decision to keep loan prime rates unchanged on 19/Dec. Earlier optimism over China’s 2025 monetary policy easing plans faded after the rate pause dampened market sentiment. Australia’s Department of Industry, Science and Resources said in a quarterly outlook that iron ore prices will average USD 80/ton in 2025 and then drop to USD 76/ton in 2026. With the US dollar touching a two-year high, Iron Ore prices are turning bearish with markets awaiting China’s next move to support its economy. China's port iron ore stockpiles inched up 0.01% to 145.85 million tons in the week ending 20/Dec, according to MMI data . Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Jan contract traded 18.8% below its last 5-year average (USD 123.99/ton). Short-Term Moving Averages Indicate Reversal in Bullish Trend The 9-day moving average crossed the 21-day moving average from above, culminating in a death cross on 20/Dec (Fri). This signals the potential onset of a bearish trend. Long-Term Averages Signal Potential Beginning of a Bearish Trend IO prices tested the 200-d SMA at the start of the week but sharply fell, closing below the 100-d SMA by the end of the week. This indicates the beginning of a bearish trend as prices fell below both the long-term moving averages. MACD Points to Growing Bearishness, RSI Inches Towards Oversold Territory The MACD indicates a growing bearish sentiment starting from 18/Dec. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 40.60 and is inching towards oversold territory treading below the midpoint, while the RSI-based moving average is at 51.90. Volatility Inched Down, Price Closed Below 23.6% Fibonacci Level Volatility declined moderately last week. Prices tested the 50% Fibonacci level at USD 105.4/ton at the start of the week but quickly declined in the week to close below the 23.6% Fibonacci level at USD 100.35/ton. Going forward, the 23.6% Fibonacci level will act as resistance while the 38.2% level at USD 103.15/ton will act as the support. Selling Pressure Intensified, Price Trading at Low Volume Nodes Selling pressure continues to dominate and has grown stronger since the start of December, according to the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator. The price is trading at a relatively low-volume node. Price also closed the week below the lower Bollinger Band. Iron Ore Prices Likely to Fall in December Despite Seasonality Iron ore prices generally increase in December due to seasonal patterns that prompt restocking in anticipation of China's Lunar New Year, driven by higher demand for steel production. However, it looks like in December 2024, prices will likely decline. IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed money are net long with 124.7k and 26.6k lots across all futures expiries. Physical market participants and Others are net short with 110.1k and 41.2k lots across all futures expiries. Overall futures open interest as of 13th Dec 2024 stood at 1,259,936 lots. Source: SGX IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed money are net long with 121.5k and 37.1k lots across all futures & options expiries. Physical market participants and Others are net short with 117.6k and 41k lots across all futures & options expiries. Overall futures & options open interest as of 13th Dec 2024 stood at 1,565,080 lots. Source: SGX Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants Physical participants have switched from net long to net short over the last quarter. Managed Money has shifted from net short to net long. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of this year. Source: SGX Hypothetical Trade Setup Despite expectations of seasonally strong demand ahead of the Lunar New Year, market sentiment for SGX Iron Ore remains bearish. China's sluggish economic recovery suggests a rebound may hinge on monetary policy easing in 2025. Additionally, technical indicators reinforce the bearish outlook, with prices falling below both short- and long-term moving averages. A short position on SGX Iron Ore could be a strategic way to express this view. We propose a hypothetical trade setup involving selling the SGX Iron Ore January Futures Contract at USD 102/ton, with a stop loss at USD 105/ton and a target price of USD 97/ton, yielding a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.67x. Each contract provides exposure to 100 tons of iron ore, resulting in a potential gain of USD 500/lot ((102 - 97) x 100) against a risk of USD 300/lot. This calculation excludes transaction costs, such as clearing broker and exchange fees. The SGX requires a minimum initial margin of USD 1,188/lot and a maintenance margin of USD 1,080/lot. DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
SGX:FEFX2024Short
by MintBulkCommods
Long MLP ETF & Short Micro Nat Gas Futures on Shifting SeasonaliHenry Hub Natural Gas (US LNG) prices have surged 46.2% since November 2024, driven by colder weather forecasts, rising European gas prices, increased feed gas to U.S. LNG facilities, and expectations of stronger domestic and European demand. US LNG prices typically climb in winter as U.S. heating needs spike, with the December-March period marking a net drawdown in storage. However, the recent rally has been volatile. Shifting weather forecasts triggered fluctuations, including a sharp 7.6% one-day drop on 27/Nov. Source: CME CVOL Turbulent fundamentals, choppy weather, and uncertain geopolitics have forced implied volatilities on US LNG to spike to levels of 99.47 on 20/Dec, unseen over the last 12 months. Supply concerns in Europe have further supported the uptrend. In reducing reliance on Russia, EU’s demand for US LNG has intensified, which accounted for 48% of the imports in H1 2024. US LNG exports increased to 14 bcfd in December, up from 13.6 bcfd in November, reflecting strong activity. For 2024, US LNG shipments are projected to reach 86.9 million metric tons, about 720,000 tons (0.8%) higher than in 2023, reports Reuters . Trump’s re-election has fired up optimism of accelerated LNG project approvals, increased drilling, & relaxed pipeline regulations, potentially boosting US LNG exports. DATA CENTRES TO DRIVE ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION GROWTH The growing adoption of AI-driven technologies and the expansion of data centres are significantly increasing electricity demand, placing utilities at the forefront of powering the tech industry's rapid evolution. Source: IBISWorld Deloitte projects U.S. data centre electricity demand to rise sharply reaching 515–720 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030 (up from 180–290 TWh in 2024; CAGR of 17%). Tech giants are turning to renewables and nuclear energy to meet rising energy needs. However, challenges with wind and solar intermittency, alongside the delayed rollout of modular nuclear reactors, make natural gas indispensable. Source: EIA STEO US LNG remains dominant, generating 43% of U.S. electricity. It is solidifying its role as the backbone of tech energy needs. MIDSTREAM GAS COMPANIES PRIMED TO BENEFIT FROM TRUMP’S SECOND TERM Trump’s support for US oil & gas is expected to push production up. LNG exports surged under his administration, rising from 186.8 Bcf in 2016 to 2,390 Bcf in 2020. Source: EIA While increased supply could exert downward pressure on US LNG prices, particularly as winter demand wanes, lower gas prices benefit utilities by improving cost efficiency. Additionally, rising electricity demand supports pipeline, LNG infrastructure, & midstream gas companies, which are less exposed to price fluctuations than drillers. Performance of midstream energy stocks is a function of production volumes & pipeline capacity rather than energy prices. Record U.S. oil production has kept pipeline utilization rates high, supporting midstream revenues. However, infrastructure deficits in key regions have created transportation bottlenecks, leading to backlogs. The completion of new pipelines, storage units, processing facilities, and export terminals will ease these supply constraints. A Trump presidency could expedite the approval of LNG transport infrastructure. LNG exports remain a key growth driver as new terminals and processing plants come online. Even if US LNG prices fall to USD 2/MMBtu, producers will remain profitable due to higher global LNG pricing. The US is the largest LNG exporter and is set for further growth. The EIA projects LNG exports to rise by 15% to nearly 14 Bcfd in 2025, driven by increased capacity. MLP ETFs CAPTURE US ENERGY OUTPUT GROWTH WITH REDUCED EXPOSURE TO PRICES To capitalize on the expected growth in natural gas production, exports, and supply infrastructure, there are many alternatives. Investing into listed Master Limited Partnership (MLP) is one among them. An MLP is a publicly traded entity that combines the tax benefits of a partnership with the liquidity of listed stocks. MLPs manage midstream infrastructure like pipelines, storage, & processing facilities for transporting and processing oil & gas. The main drawback of MLPs is their complex tax form, potentially leading to higher taxes upon investment exit. To address this, an MLP ETF, which invests in a diversified group of MLPs focused on energy infrastructure, offers convenience of trading, diversification, high dividend yields, and simplified tax reporting. The low correlation to underlying energy prices has made MLP ETFs increasingly attractive to investors over the past year. These ETFs are the only one in energy segment to attract inflows in 2024, while broader energy and other subsectors faced outflows, according to ETFTrends.com . The largest MLP ETF in the U.S., the Alerian MLP ETF ( AMEX:AMLP ) recorded USD 1.30 billion in net inflows over the past year, while the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) and Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) saw outflows of USD 3.24 billion and 745.2 million, respectively. Since 2015, on average, AMEX:AMLP has gained 2.7% in January, while $Henry Hub has increased by 6.8%. Additionally, the ETF has exhibited a lower standard deviation, indicating less volatility. AMEX:AMLP tracks the Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ( LSE:AMZI ), which comprises North American-based energy infrastructure MLPs generating most of their cash flow from fee-based midstream activities. With an AUM of USD 9.6 billion, AMEX:AMLP is the second-largest energy ETF. The ETF has a yield of 7.87% and an expense ratio of 0.85%. The ETF’s largest holdings are major MLPs, such as ENERGY Transfer, NYSE:MPLX , and ENERGY Products Partners, among others. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP The AMEX:AMLP gained significant investor attention post-Trump’s re-election, with net inflows of USD 518.2 million from 06/Nov to 20/Dec, including USD 152 million on 06/Nov—the highest in the past year. Its appeal lies in a healthy yield, low sensitivity to interest rates, and a fee-based model that stabilizes cash flows, making it less volatile than other energy subsectors. Looking ahead, MLP yields are expected to remain attractive as interest rates decline. However, since the start of December, AMEX:AMLP fell sharply while the $Henry Hub gained 17%. This correction in the AMEX:AMLP prices offers a compelling entry-level, given the favourable macroeconomic conditions and positive seasonality going into January. Bullish drivers aside, risks to the downside exist from policy shifts and weather linked price volatility. Portfolio managers who wish to invest into AMEX:AMLP ETF could consider hedging the downside risk using CME Micro Natural Gas Futures. Each lot of Micro Natural Gas Futures represents 1,000 MMBtu. CME Micro Natural Gas Futures contract expiring in February 2025 (MNGG2025) settled at 3.412/MMBtu last Friday. On that basis, each lot of MNGG2025 represents a notional value of USD 3,412. For the spread trade to be effective, a portfolio manager will require 72 shares of AMLP ETF to hedge against one lot of CME Micro Natural Gas Futures. This paper posits a hypothetical trade setup consisting of long 72 shares of AMEX:AMLP and short 1x CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas February Futures Contract (expiring on 01/Feb). An entry at 13.9 coupled with a target at 16.1 and stop-loss at 12.6 delivers a 1.27x-1.62x in reward-to-risk ratio. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
AMEX:AMLPLong
by mintdotfinance
52 Week High Breakout - Positional Trade - Long TermDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. 52 Week Breakout. Stock has Crossed 52 week High. Keep in watch list. Buy above the high. Suitable for Positional Trade. Stop loss & Target Shown on Chart. Stop loss Trail by 30 SMA. Exit if Price Close below 30 SMA on Weekly Chart. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think.
NSE:LUMAXTECH
by AnsariTV
AUDIOUSDT Long-Term Accumulation StrategyI would like to share a long-term accumulation strategy for AUDIOUSDT that I've been eyeing. Chart Patterns and Indicators: Descending Channel: The price is currently moving within a descending channel, indicating potential breakout opportunities. Harmonic Pattern (XABCD): The pattern suggests potential reversal points at identified accumulation zones. Volume Analysis: Increased volume at support levels indicates strong buying interest and validation of accumulation zones. Current market sentiment shows a mix of consolidation and potential bullish reversal, supported by the harmonic pattern and volume spikes at lower levels. This long-term accumulation strategy for AUDIOUSDT focuses on systematically entering positions at identified support levels and distributing at key resistance points. This methodical approach aims to capitalize on both the technical patterns and market sentiment, ensuring a balanced risk-reward ratio. Previous Idea:
Long
by shyamnair
theta long midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
Timelapse of BTC's Daily ActionBTC Daily Action Levels Annotations Highlight major support and resistance levels in the timelapse. Annotate key pivot points where the price action reversed or consolidated. Mark critical breakout and breakdown levels with arrows or boxes to emphasize their impact. "Timelapse of BTC's Daily Action 🎥📈" Post: "Watch BTC's daily price action unfold in this timelapse! 🚀 📍 Key levels annotated to showcase their significance. 🔍 Did the market respect these levels, or did it break away? Share your thoughts below! #BTC #Crypto #Trading"
by peteramner