Make a Move: Bullish on Apple for Next Week
- Key Insights: Investors should look to accumulate shares of Apple as the
market sentiment is optimistic, driven by recent strategic investments in AI
and domestic production. Given the stock's resilience and bullish
indicators, a gradual investment strategy could maximize potential gains as
the company continues to navigate through a favorable technological
landscape.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are set with T1 at 243 and T2 at 250,
focusing on the potential upward movement aligned with established
resistance levels. Stop levels should be set at S1 of 237 and S2 of 235 to
protect against any unforeseen downward shifts in price.
- Recent Performance: Apple has showcased robust resilience recently,
experiencing a 2% gain amidst a tech sector rally. The stock remains above
critical support levels, which further strengthens its bullish outlook,
especially as the sector recovers.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts like James Demmer project a positive outlook for
Apple, particularly due to its $500 billion investment in AI and domestic
production in Texas. This signifies a strategic positioning within the
evolving tech landscape, further supported by expert recommendations for a
staged accumulation of shares to capitalize on growth.
- News Impact: Apple's push for increased iPhone production in India and its
substantial investment in AI development are notable developments that
reflect an adaptive strategy amid shifting global dynamics. This focus on
technology and employment generation is likely to enhance its market
valuation and innovation capabilities moving forward.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Let us Swing GBPUSD !!!Hello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!!
First of, fundamentals are heavy on the pounds this week, coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals).
Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling more bearish momentum.
This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 40 pips from the H4 Order Block but if you need a tighter Stop, you definitely can go sharpen the entry in a lower timeframe.
Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account.
Most especially, do your own analysis !
XAUUSD LONGS With PotentialXAUUSD Potential Longs into 2945.15
-Major Support has held perfectly respecting Fibonacci 78.6 on the 4hr TF
-Tapping into major liquidity which was sat at 2836 levels, getting us ready for another retest of the highs created
-Price action last week closed respecting support, with Mondays open gapping up for over +100 pips
-Price then took all of Asian and London open to retest gap invalidity, held and continue to push higher.
-Seeing price break the levels of 2880 with retest an closures above should give way to more bulls to step in to take price to the psychological level of 2900!
Only downside on this trade at the moment is Daily bottoms. STAY TUNED! OANDA:XAUUSD
EUR/USD Trend Today Trading Day🔔🔔🔔EUR/USD news:
👉Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect starting Tuesday and revealed plans to double the 10% universal tariff on Chinese imports. This move increases the likelihood of a global trade war, boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
👉Meanwhile, traders continue to anticipate that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement two quarter-point interest rate cuts by the end of the year due to weakening consumer sentiment. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to extend its three-day rebound from a more than two-month low.
👉At the same time, the Euro (EUR) strengthens as Europe intensifies its diplomatic efforts to achieve peace in Ukraine. This puts additional pressure on the USD while further supporting gold prices, which are denominated in US Dollars.
Personal opinion:
👉At the time of writing, EUR/USD is priced at 1.0400. It is expected that there will be a slight recovery because the RSI (1H) indicator is in the sell zone and will bounce at 1.0360 to maintain the medium-term uptrend.
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0365 – 1.0355
❌SL: 1.0310 | ✅TP: 1.0410 – 1.0450 – 1.0490
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Bitcoin / TetherUS
Hello and greetings to dear companions!
This is an updated analysis of Bitcoin. Based on the discussions we've had and the previous analysis we conducted for the entire crypto market, we have observed that Bitcoin has reached the bottom of its daily channel after a severe decline! Now, we expect Bitcoin to reach the $105,000 range, similar to our previous analysis, and then either retrace or rise, which we can support with confirmation.
Our previous scenario remains intact, and our target range is still valid, as we have excellent daily liquidity. In terms of price analysis, $102,500 is the level that convinces buyers that Bitcoin is bullish, leading them to enter buy positions. Sellers, upon seeing this decline, are looking to exit, and we will likely see market consolidation around this level until we determine the winner of this confrontation.
I will elaborate on the analysis. Our current scenario is primarily based on ideal selling conditions.
In the specified range, we will exit the market and wait for the market to make its decision.
Based on this analysis, if our trend line breaks, we will swiftly take action to sell, as this serves as a very strong confirmation of the fake rally, and we will likely see further declines!
We are preparing to observe the market reaction at the price of $73,000 with confirmation and act to capture an excellent swing.
Key Points
Resistance (Daily): 102500
Support (Daily): 69388
Ideal Time to Sell with Confirmation: 105250 & 109588
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the cryptocurrency market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
XAUMO Institutional Strategy & Sequential Playbook – March 4XAUMO Institutional Strategy & Sequential Playbook – March 4, 2025
(Institutional Grade – Full Execution Plan for XAU/USD – Tokyo → London → NYC)
📌 XAUMO Strategy Overview (High-Precision Institutional Execution)
XAUMO is a proprietary institutional-grade strategy designed to:
✅ Exploit Smart Money Liquidity Moves (Market Maker Playbook)
✅ Trade Institutional Footprint (VWAP, POC, Order Blocks, Delta Flow)
✅ Sequence the Trading Day (Tokyo → London → NYC)
✅ Maximize Risk-to-Reward (R:R 1:3+ Plays Only)
✅ Execute High-Probability Trades (85%+ Win Rate)
📊 Market Context & Institutional Setup
📊 Current Price: $2,862.35
📊 VSA Analysis: Weak Buying (Smart Money Absorbing Liquidity)
📉 Delta Flow: Negative Delta (-9.01K) → Selling Pressure Present
📉 Volume Change: -79.14% → Liquidity Drain Before Expansion
📉 Spread Contraction: -63.32% → Market Compression, Ready to Expand
📌 Key Takeaway:
Smart Money is setting up a stop-hunt & reversal play before launching into the real trend.
Retail traders will be baited before the institutional move happen
🔥 XAUMO Key Levels – Institutional Battle Zones
✅ Point of Control (POC): $2,857 → High Volume Node, Major Pivot Level
✅ Value Area High (VAH): $2,875 → First Resistance, Bull Trap Zone
✅ Value Area Low (VAL): $2,849 → Institutional Liquidity Grab Zone
✅ VWAP: $2,860 → Institutional Control Level
✅ Fibonacci Confluence:
• 38.2% Retracement: $2,849 (High-Probability Buy Zone)
• 61.8% Retracement: $2,885 (High-Probability Sell Zone
🔥 XAUMO Sequential Playbook (Tokyo → London → NYC)
📌 XAUMO Trade Execution Model – The Order of Play
🔥 Objective: Trade the institutional sequence, not the retail noise.
⏳ Tokyo Session – Liquidity Accumulation Phase (00:00 - 08:00 UTC)
🟢 SCENARIO 1 – Tokyo Stop-Hunt & Reversal (BUY Setup)
📌 Market Makers will run stops below $2,849 to absorb liquidity before reversing.
✅ ENTRY: $2,849 - $2,853 (BUY Zone – Institutional Liquidity Grab)
✅ STOP LOSS: Below $2,832 (Protects against deeper stop-hunt.)
✅ TAKE PROFITS:
🎯 TP1: $2,868 (VWAP Reclaim – 75% Prob.)
🎯 TP2: $2,875 (Asia Session High – 85% Prob.)
🎯 TP3: $2,885 (Breakout Target – 90% Prob.)
✅ TRAILING STOP: Move SL to $2,853 after TP1 hits.
📌 Why This Works?
🔥 Institutions use Tokyo’s low liquidity to sweep stop-losses before a reversal.
🔥 Heavy negative delta suggests Smart Money is absorbing while retail panic-sells.
⏳ If price accelerates up into resistance, transition into Scenario 2.
🔴 SCENARIO 2 – Tokyo Fake Breakout & Sell-Off (SELL Setup)
📌 Retail traders FOMO into a breakout, Smart Money sells into strength.
📌 Trigger: Rejection at $2,868-$2,875 with weak footprint data.
✅ ENTRY: $2,868 - $2,875 (SELL Fake Breakout – Profit-Taking & Distribution.)
✅ STOP LOSS: Above $2,885 (Institutional SL Cluster.)
✅ TAKE PROFITS:
🎯 TP1: $2,853 (VWAP Re-Test – 80% Prob.)
🎯 TP2: $2,849 (VAL Retest – 85% Prob.)
🎯 TP3: $2,832 (Deep Reversal – 90% Prob.)
✅ TRAILING STOP: Move SL to $2,860 after TP1 hits.
📌 Why This Works?
🔥 Market Makers push price up to trap breakout buyers, then sell into them.
🔥 VSA confirms weak buying, meaning there’s no real institutional demand.
⏳ If we break down aggressively, London will accelerate the move.
⏳ London Session – Expansion Phase (08:00 - 13:00 UTC)
🟩 SCENARIO 3 – London Trend Continuation (BUY Setup)
📌 If Tokyo session holds above $2,860, London will drive price higher.
✅ ENTRY: $2,857 - $2,860 (BUY Pullback into POC & VWAP)
✅ STOP LOSS: Below $2,849
✅ TAKE PROFITS:
🎯 TP1: $2,875 (Asia High Breakout.)
🎯 TP2: $2,885 (Liquidity Sweep.)
🎯 TP3: $2,900+ (London Expansion.)
🟥 SCENARIO 4 – London Stop-Hunt & Sell-Off (SELL Setup)
📌 If price spikes into $2,875-$2,885, expect a reversal down.
✅ ENTRY: $2,875 - $2,885 (SELL Fake Breakout)
✅ STOP LOSS: Above $2,900
✅ TAKE PROFITS:
🎯 TP1: $2,860 (VWAP Reversal.)
🎯 TP2: $2,849 (Full Mean Reversion.)
🎯 TP3: $2,832 (Deep Institutional Dump.)
⏳ NYC Pre-Market – Smart Money Playbook (13:00 - 16:00 UTC)
🟢 SCENARIO 5 – NYC Dip Buy Setup (BUY)
📌 If price retraces into VWAP ($2,853), expect Smart Money accumulation.
✅ ENTRY: $2,853 - $2,857 (BUY into POC/VWAP)
✅ STOP LOSS: Below $2,849
✅ TAKE PROFITS:
🎯 TP1: $2,875
🎯 TP2: $2,885
🎯 TP3: $2,900+
🔴 SCENARIO 6 – NYC Trap & Sell-Off (SELL)
📌 If price spikes into $2,885-$2,900, expect a sharp rejection.
✅ ENTRY: $2,885 - $2,900 (SELL Trap Setup)
✅ STOP LOSS: Above $2,910
✅ TAKE PROFITS:
🎯 TP1: $2,868
🎯 TP2: $2,853
🎯 TP3: $2,849 (Full Mean Reversion.)
Long on this beautiful investmentRemember people, only invest money in what you can afford to lose. So you're responsible, I'm not going to be the one telling your wife or grandma that you lost her or his inheritance money or trust fund. I have given you big time killer investments both long and short so trade accordingly!
SPY at a Critical Reversal! Will Bulls Maintain Momentum? Technical Analysis (TA) for SPY
* Trend Overview: SPY recently bounced off a key support level near 582-585, forming a potential reversal zone.
* Volume & Price Action:
* A strong recovery candle has formed, indicating increased buying activity.
* 600.05 is the next major resistance level to watch.
* If the price clears 597.5, it could gain momentum toward 610-615.
* Indicators:
* MACD is crossing bullish, suggesting potential momentum continuation.
* Stochastic RSI is approaching overbought, signaling potential resistance.
* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Key Support: 585, followed by 582.44.
* Resistance Zones: 600.05, then 611-615.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis for SPY
* Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* Major Call Resistance: 610-615 (where dealers may start hedging negatively).
* Put Support Wall: 585-580, the strongest downside cushion.
* If price holds 590+, dealers may shift their hedging and push SPY higher.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank: 34.5 (moderate implied volatility).
* Put Positioning: 103.3%, suggesting heavy hedging on the downside.
Trade Considerations
* Bullish Scenario: If SPY stays above 597.5, it could test 600-605, with 615 as a stretch target.
* Bearish Scenario: If it breaks below 590, it may retest the support at 585-580.
* Options Traders: Watch for GEX shifts; clearing 600 could trigger dealer hedging toward 610-615.
Final Thoughts & Suggestion:
* Short-term traders should watch how SPY reacts at 597.5-600 for confirmation.
* Options traders can look for breakout confirmation above 600 before considering bullish positions.
* Risk management is key—tight stops are necessary if price rejects resistance.
📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence before making trading decisions. 🚀
$US30 03/03 UPDATES.Busted out last time trying to short.
Pinpoint spotting on $43,496.52 mentioned on Friday.
Handle to watch here.
$44,134/180.
Stops by default automatically sits at $44,500
Until we get some closures that can confirm to tighten things up…
Rejections will send this thing straight into $43k which was the initial goal with lower end potentials of $42,500s.
LFG 🏦
AAPL at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for This Week. Mar.3Technical Analysis (TA) - Trading Perspective
Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been trading in a downward channel, recently testing a key reversal zone around $242.50. The stock has broken out of the descending wedge pattern and is now at a decision point:
Support Levels:
$240 – Major support, aligned with the recent price action.
$230 – Key downside level, a break here could trigger further selling.
Resistance Levels:
$250 – Major resistance & reversal zone, aligned with the call gamma wall.
$255–$260 – Further bullish targets if momentum sustains.
Indicators:
MACD: Turning positive, signaling momentum shift.
Stochastic RSI: Overbought zone, indicating a potential pullback.
Volume Profile: Strong resistance around $242.50, with buyers stepping in.
GEX & Options Trading Perspective
Gamma Exposure (GEX) suggests that options positioning could influence price action significantly:
Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $250 – This level is critical resistance where price could slow down.
2nd & 3rd Call Walls: $255 & $260 – If AAPL breaks above $250, gamma-driven buying could push it toward these levels.
Put Wall Support: $240 – This is the main support area based on put positioning.
IV Rank (IVR): 46.6 – Moderate volatility, suggesting decent options pricing.
Sentiment: Puts 17% – Slightly bearish, but positioning suggests a possible squeeze.
Trade Scenarios
Bullish Play:
Entry above $243 with a target of $250-$255.
Stop-loss below $240 to minimize risk.
Bearish Play:
Short position below $240 with a target of $230-$225.
Stop-loss above $243.
Conclusion & Suggestions
AAPL is at a key decision point. A clean breakout above $242.50 could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $250+, while rejection here might bring it back to $230 support. Watch volume and price action at these levels carefully.
📌 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading. 🚀
XOM at a Pivotal Zone! Will Bulls Take Control?Technical Analysis (TA) Overview:
📌 Price Action: XOM is testing a key reversal zone, showing strong buying pressure after breaking out from a descending trendline. The price is now consolidating near resistance.
📌 Support & Resistance:
Resistance Levels: $112.87 (Major Resistance), $115 (Call Wall)
Support Levels: $109 (High Volume Node), $108 (Put Wall)
📌 Indicators:
MACD: Bullish momentum building, but still in a weak positive zone.
Stoch RSI: Overbought levels (95+), suggesting a potential short-term pullback before continuation.
📌 Volume Profile:
High liquidity around $111-$112, indicating a potential battle between buyers and sellers.
GEX (Options Analysis) - Key Insights:
📌 Gamma Exposure (GEX): Positive GEX at higher levels suggests dealers may hedge by selling, acting as resistance.
📌 Call Walls (Resistance Levels):
$112-$115 (Highest positive GEX zone) → Likely resistance, where price action might slow down.
$120 (Extreme Call Wall) → If momentum sustains, this could be a long-term target.
📌 Put Support Levels:
$109-$108 → Strong support, if broken, could trigger a sell-off to $105 (next put support).
📌 Options Sentiment:
IV Rank (IVR): 32.7 → Moderate implied volatility, options not overly expensive.
Calls 11.3% → Mild bullish positioning in the options market.
Potential Trade Setups:
✅ Bullish Scenario: If XOM holds above $111, a breakout toward $115+ is possible.
❌ Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $109 could send XOM back to $105-$106.
💡 Suggestion: Watch for a retest of $109 as support before a breakout move!
📌 Final Thoughts:
Short-term traders: Look for confirmation above $111 for a quick move to $115.
Swing traders: Ideal entry on a pullback to $109-$110, targeting $115+.
Options traders: A breakout over $112 with rising call positioning could fuel momentum.
📢 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions! 🚀
AMZN at a Major Turning Point! Key Reversal or Breakdown?📊 Technical Analysis (TA) for AMZN
* Current Price Action: AMZN is attempting to recover from a downtrend, showing signs of a reversal after hitting the reversal zone near $204-$206. The price has broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a potential short-term upside.
* Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance 1: $212.50 (Volume Profile POC) – A breakout could confirm bullish momentum.
* Resistance 2: $220 (2nd Call Wall) – Price may slow down or reject here.
* Major Resistance: $225-$230 – A strong resistance area and gamma wall.
* Support 1: $210 – If AMZN pulls back, this is the first key level to hold.
* Support 2: $205 (Put Support) – A breakdown below this would signal further downside risk.
* Critical Breakdown Level: $200 – Losing this level could trigger a larger sell-off.
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, indicating early momentum shift.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought near 99, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
🔎 Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure) Key Levels:
* 88.08% Call Resistance at $220 → Breaking above could fuel upside momentum.
* 71.12% 3rd Call Wall at $230 → A strong gamma resistance area.
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance at $225 → Dealers could hedge against further upside.
* Put Wall Support at $205 → A strong support area from options positioning.
* 3rd Put Wall at $200 → Breaking this level could accelerate downside volatility.
📌 IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 41.7 → Moderate implied volatility, options are reasonably priced.
* IVx Avg: 41.4 → Steady, indicating a stable options environment.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 3.3% → Very low bullish bias in options flow.
📈 Trade Scenarios & Strategy
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $212.50 with strong volume.
* Target: $220, then $225.
* Stop Loss: Below $210.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown):
* Entry: Below $210.
* Target: $205 or $200.
* Stop Loss: Above $212.50.
🔥 Final Thoughts & Suggestion
* AMZN is testing a key reversal zone. A breakout above $212.50 could push it toward $220+.
* If it fails to hold $210, expect a retest of $205-$200, which is a major support zone.
* Volume and options flow will be key – if gamma levels start unwinding, expect volatility to spike!
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 3rd March 2025)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-ISM Manufacturing PMI
Analysis:
-Price closed strong bearish on weekly
-Looking for continuation to the downside as no bottom wick on weekly candle
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2890
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
CHFJPY from an Elliott Wave perspectiveA very strong move to the upside is inbound after completion of Wave B of the zigzag. This would be at exactly the 100% Fib. Retracement meaning it would be the end of the correction and resumption of Red Wave B also Green Wave C. This Wave must be a clear 3 Wave move to the upside.