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Beyondtechnicalanalysis

GOLD, SHORTGold has been on an uptrend path since a new low was updated at 1812 (Friday, 6th October 2023. The bulls took over from 1812 until there was a break of structure when the price updated the LH from 2013 (11th January) to 2002 on Wednesday, 17th January 2024. The break of structure could mean that if gold price fails to retest the recent HL of 2061 on the Daily, then the recent LH of 2002 will be retested in an attempt to update that LH to possibly 1974. Price is expected to retrace to at least 50% level in 2020 before a potential rise to retest the 2060 level but the price is expected to have a strong resistance at 2045-2048 level. However, the fundamentals lining up for the week (Flash Manufacturing PMI, advance GDP m/m, unemployment claims, Core PCE price index m/m would actually determine the direction of the gold pricing and it is necessary to keep an eagle eye on the event proceedings. A failure to break up the 2045-2048 resistance could mean the SELLERS may drive down the GOLD Price to 2002 and further plundering down to 1974 to confirm a new low update.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AbeikuGlobal_FX
1
Sell GBPUSD Bearish Channel GBP/USD has formed a bearish channel pattern on the H1 timeframe, indicating a potential for further downside. Pattern: The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within the channel, creating a downward sloping trend. Sell Entry: A break below the channel support at 1.2665 could be an opportunity to enter a short trade. Targets: Potential bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2558 and 1.2498. Stop Loss: A stop loss could be placed above the channel resistance at 1.2703. Factors Underpinning the Downward Pressure: Risk-Off Sentiment: Global markets are facing uncertainties, driving investors to seek refuge in safe-haven currencies like the US dollar. This has put downward pressure on the relatively riskier pound sterling. BoE Policy Divergence: The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates at a slower pace than the US Federal Reserve, potentially widening the interest rate differential between the two economies. This could further weaken the pound against the dollar. Trading Considerations: Confirm Breakdown: Wait for a clear break below the lower boundary of the channel to validate the bearish momentum and potentially trigger sell trades. Manage Risk: Implement stop-loss orders above the resistance level to limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses course. Monitor Fundamentals: Stay informed about economic data releases and central bank communications from both the UK and the US, as they can significantly influence the GBP/USD pair's trajectory.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
Buy AUDJPY Channel BreakoutBoJ not changing policy, intensified interest rate differential game: Comments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates. Price breaks the channel now, its good chance to buy now. Thank you
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Buy GBPCAD Triangle PatternFactors Strengthening GBP: Hawkish BoE: Recent hawkish comments from Bank of England (BoE) officials regarding potential interest rate hikes to combat inflation have bolstered the Pound. This has increased its attractiveness compared to the Canadian Dollar. Optimism on UK economy: Despite ongoing Brexit negotiations, positive economic data releases like higher-than-expected GDP growth and retail sales figures paint a picture of a resilient UK economy. This fuels investor confidence in the Pound. Price breaks the Pattern now, its good chance to buy now. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
BUY GBPUSD H4 ChannelCentral Bank Meetings: Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC): This takes center stage on Wednesday, January 10th. A 50 basis point (bps) rate hike is widely anticipated, but the market will be looking for any hints about the future trajectory of rates. A more aggressive tightening path could strengthen the pound against the dollar. Economic Data: US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Released on Friday, January 6th, a strong jobs number could strengthen the dollar and weigh on GBP/USD. Conversely, a weak reading could have the opposite effect. 400,000 new jobs are expected, which would be positive for the US economy. UK GDP: The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for December on January 10th. Consistent economic growth could support the pound, while a slowdown could weaken it. The market expects a 0.3% month-over-month increase. Weekly Forecast (Jan 8 to Jan 12) : GBP/USD - H4 Chart - Channel Formation Always wait for strong Conformation in Short term for entry. 👈👈👈 If you found my post helpful or informative, could you please leave a comment 💬🖌 and hitting that like button💚💚 “Markets are never wrong, but opinions often are.”-Jesse Livermore Good Luck💛💛
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22