Bull flag on BTC?Hello.
Possible bull flag forming on Bitcoin . Target around 24k .
First resitance is around 22400-22800 (13th of september high) .
I think 25k there will be more selling/profit taking if we even get there.
You can see from the chart how 10EMA (blue one) has worked as support 3 times before when Bitcoin started its rise (marked with red arrows) .
I believe it will work as a support until the price shows that it doesn't and breaks it (and stays below) .
Possible risk reward is pretty good, almost 5 ratio .
This is not financial advice.
If you do take trades always use stop loss!
First mistake novice trades do is not use them and gets their ass burned!
Check out my analysis on 12th of january "why I think Bitcoin has bottomed"
-Jebu
Beyondtechnicalanalysis
I think Bitcoin's bottom is inHello.
We can see RSI has broken its ~1 year downtrending trendline from feb 2021 on 3D ( also on daily and weekly ). Tells about possible trend change .
Double top from 69k and head and shoulders targets hasn't been able to met. ( Not enough sellers? )
Price was pressured down with 25EMA (yellow line highlighted with red arrows), and has broke it now.
18 500 is a strong resistance. If Bitcoin breaks 18 500 and stay on top of it, for me this FTX panic drop was to shake people out and trick them to wait for "lower prices"
Market sentiment has been really negative for a long time and people have been waiting for 14, 12 and 10k so we probably won't even get there.
Also there has been many news again how crypto is dead etc etc
MARKET BOTTOM PREDICTION!!! DXY & ES1! (MACRO ANALYSIS)DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a MACRO ANALYSIS of DXY. And what should only be taken as SPECULATION & as a POSSIBILITY since patterns tend to repeat themselves. The chart above includes an overlap of DXY & ES1! in an effort to observe their inverse & parallel relationship.
POINTS:
1. DXY shows a COMMON DEVIATION of 10 POINTS justifying the placement for SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKETS.
2. A VERTICAL YELLOW LINE is indicative of a MARKET PEAK.
3. A VERTICAL GREEN LINE was placed after a VERTICAL YELLOW LINE to signify when MARKET BOTTOMED.
*IMPORTANT:Between every MARKET TOP & every MARKET BOTTOM DXY FLUCTUATES a total of 20 POINTS BEFORE THE MARKET
5. PAY CLOSE ATTENTION to the recession of 2007 - 2009. After DXY saw its first 20 POINT FLUCTUATION DXY hit 80 and bounced back to 90 POINTS.
6. Moving onto RSI we can see that DXY COMMITS to its RSI TREND throughout a RECESSION which does in fact lead me to believe that current RSI levels for DXY will follow a Down Trend similar to what was seen from 2000 to 2003.
SCENARIO:
- With all this in mind we can speculate that DXY will CAPITULATE to 95 POINTS before seeing a bounce allowing current UPTREND CHANNEL for DXY to find some CONSOLIDATION. This will also allow RSI too COMPLETE a DOWNTREND SIMULTANEOUSLY.
*PREDICTION: If DXY is to fall to 95 POINTS that would be the equivalent of ES1! falling too 3,600 OR SPY to 360*
TVC:DXY
CME_MINI:ES1!
AMEX:SPY
Setups for MondayOrange pairs: AUDNZD, AUDCHF, NZDCHF, GBPCAD, EURAUD, GBPNZD, NZDCAD, EURNZD, EURCAD
Green pairs: USDCHF and GBPCHF
Purple pairs: AUDCAD and EURGBP
*
Orange = Moving away or getting slowly to our trade, not suitable for a trade yet unless it's giving a little bit more in our direction
Green = Close to a trade, needs a break for anything serious
Purple = Very close to a trade! Needs a retest or a break of exhaustion point for an entry.
Have a great week all! :)
lambo skates for bitcointhis this aint going nowhere. weve tried the idea of crypto going to 0. this is money that will be used forever. i have no problem $ cost averaging in, and making a passive investment, especially where gbtc is available. lowest im looking at is 16,200, highs im looking at are around 18,600. i like this as an asset any time broader bear market extremes are present.
Develop your trading psychology There are 2 types of edges in trading, a trading strategy edge and a trading psychology edge.
You need to have both to succeed.
This post will focus on how to develop your mental edge, which is the more important of the 2 types.
The process of developing a trading psychology edge is simple, but usually not easy.
Start trading
Identify your advantages and weaknesses
Find solutions to your weaknesses
Review your results
Repeat steps 3 and 4 until you reach your goals
In this post, I'll give you strategies to uncover your trading genius and overcome your biggest roadblocks.
Keep reading to learn the details of each step.
1. Start Trading
This step might seem obvious to some people, but it won't be to others, so I'm going to talk about it.
In order to develop a mental edge in trading, you have to engage the markets on a regular basis.
Even if you only demo trade, taking trades will start to expose your psychological strengths and weaknesses, within the context of trading.
Here are some things that you might discover after you begin trading.
You're afraid to take trades
It's easier for you to follow a rules based trading strategy
You have a tendency to revenge trade
You're good at riding trends
You take good notes
You don't like backtesting
You get easily discouraged after a series of losses
That's just a short list of what could come up for you.
But you'll only discover these things when you go through the process of taking trades and experiencing the emotional ups and downs that come with wins and losses.
Once you've taken some trades, now it's time to take an inventory of your strengths and weaknesses.
2. Identify Your Advantages and Weaknesses
How many times have you experienced an event with a group of people and they noticed things about the event that you missed?
This is because they were aware of those things and you weren't.
You also probably noticed things that they didn't.
That shows that we will only notice things that we place our awareness on.
So start a trading journal and write down what you're good at and what you aren't so great at, while you're trading.
This is the first step to full awareness.
The things you do well will give you clues as to what you should probably focus on in trading.
For example, if you find it easy to follow a trend on the daily chart, then you should probably work on trading some sort of trend following, swing trading strategy.
If you lose a lot of money when you day trade, then that's probably something you should avoid.
Maybe you live in a timezone that makes it difficult to trade the New York Forex session. Then you could work on a strategy that trades the Asian session or the London open instead.
Like with any other skill, there will be things that are optional, and there will be things that you have to change.
In the case of day trading versus swing trading, you don't have to day trade. You can trade on other time frames, so being bad at day trading is not a problem.
But let's say that you have a tendency to over trade and revenge trade.
That's a problem that has to be fixed if you want to become a successful trader.
So find ways to amplify your strengths.
That's pretty easy.
3. Find Solutions to Your Weaknesses
The great news is that there are a ton of solutions out there to help you overcome anything you're working on.
You simply have to do the work to seek out these solutions and implement them.
I cannot list all of the strategies available because there are so many of them.
But I'll get you started with the 2 general categories.
I believe that there are only 2 parts to the human mind, the conscious and subconscious.
Yeah, you probably knew that already.
However, I feel that many therapists and coaches don't understand how to apply this concept effectively. Many are trained in a particular type of treatment. Most only follow the doctrine of that modality and think that everything can be solved through that lens.
Obviously, the more aware ones understand the limitations of their craft. But there are many who do not.
Not entirely their fault. They don't know what they don't know.
There are a lot of things that I don't know either.
But I do know that it's up you to you to use your intellect to figure out what will work best for you.
That said, let's take a look at a real example of why the conscious/subconscious theory is so important.
I have a friend who used to smoke. If you know a smoker, or you were a smoker, you know that it can be one of the toughest habits to break.
But guess how he quit?
He was on a smoke break at work one day…
He looked the the cigarette, and thought “This is dumb.”
So he quit cold turkey, on the spot.
That's it.
How was that possible?
I don't think that anyone knows for sure, probably not even him. But here's my theory…
There's always a reason why we do things. Our actions fulfill a need or desire in our mind.
Sometimes the cause of a desire sits in our conscious mind. But many times it sits in the subconscious mind.
I believe that the cause of his smoking habit was in his conscious mind. So he could use a conscious thought to change the behavior.
That's why it was so easy.
Now if the source was in his subconscious, even though he knew that smoking was a waste of time and money, it would have been much harder to quit.
So when you look for methods to help you change your behaviors, start with the conscious methods first because those will give you the easiest wins.
But if you cannot change with those methods, then it's time to go deeper and dive into your subconscious.
It's not always possible to figure out if a behavior is caused by a subconscious or conscious source. It can also be difficult to figure out which part of your mind a treatment will work on.
That's OK.
Do your best and you'll get a good feel for it after trying a few different things.
What about your weaknesses?
That will probably take a little more effort.
Here's how to get started with overcoming them.
Conscious Mind Methods
Methods for changing thoughts in your conscious mind usually involve mental visualization exercises, repeating affirmations or visual cues.
Neuro linguistic programming (NLP)
Mind Movies
Visualization
Vision boards
Mantras
Talk therapy
Subconscious Mind Methods
Changing your subconscious mind is a new concept to many people and it's probably new to you too. The reason why this works may not be obvious at first.
You're basically digging down into your subconscious and bringing the causes of your negative behavior to the surface. When you do this, it's much easier to resolve the issue so the symptoms never come up again.
This can be very powerful stuff and you really have to experience it believe it.
Subliminal recordings
Hypnosis with a therapist
Cloud Sound Therapy
The Emotion Code
Clairvision
Again, this is just a short list of what's out there. But it will give you a great starting point.
4. Review Your Results
Now it's time to see how you've done.
Sit down on a Sunday morning with a coffee (or your favorite drink) and review your trading journal again.
Did the methods you used work?
If yes, then great, you're done! You can stop reading right now.
However, it's more likely that you still have things that aren't completely resolved.
That's just how it works.
Unfortunately, modern mass marketing has given us the impression that there's always a pill or hack that we can use to instantly achieve any outcome that we want.
In reality, that's rarely the case.
It's like mining. Miners almost never hit gold on the first try.
They usually have to do a lot of homework and drill several holes before they find a workable mine.
So put down your discouragement and dig your heels in for the long haul. Your transformation could be fast, but it's more likely that it will be a process.
That's how your great grandparents did it, along with every generation before them.
The idea of instant results is a new and often unrealistic ideal.
5. Repeat Steps 3 and 4 Until You Reach Your Goals
Instead of getting discouraged, do this:
Congratulate yourself for taking action.
Celebrate what did work. It's very likely that you made some progress, no matter how small.
Look for the next thing to try. Assuming you gave the first thing an honest try, it just might not have been a good fit for you.
I've had many cases where this has happened in my life.
For example, back in the day, I used to listen to a lot of Tony Robbins recordings. He's great, I have nothing against Tony.
However, I put too much faith in the idea that he had all the answers. I figured that since he had so many high-profile clients, he must have a solution that could help me.
So I would listen to his tracks over and over, and implement the strategies…over and over.
…and they did help a little.
But they didn't create the big shifts that I was looking for.
Instead of continuing to do something that didn't work, I should have reassessed my results after a few weeks, then tried something else. I just didn't know any better back then, and I'm OK with that.
It literally took me years to figure out that I needed to branch out and try other things.
I want you to learn from my experience.
If you didn't get the results that you expected, then don't get down on yourself.
Remember that one of the the most powerful tools that you can have in your trading toolbox is self-forgiveness.
It will take as long as it takes for you to become successful at trading. So get back up on your horse and keep going.
Of course, there can be the tendency to have “shiny object syndrome,” where you keep hopping to the next new thing. So you have to be honest and ask yourself if you've given the method an honest try, before moving on.
Only you can answer that question.
⚠️ GJ reversal at resistance levels 📢170.50There is a rejection at the resistance level of 170.50, the bearish structure became clear after breaking the support at 137.50. the Correction at 0.5 FIB retracement is a good entry point to target the bottom 165.50.
For premium signals, contact me privately.
US30 US 30 has shown it doesnt want to go higher by creating Equal HIghs
We have an imbalance waiting to be filled on the 1h. Price doesnt have to fill it before shorts but it would be nice if it did.
END OF CORRECTIONWEEKLY OUTLOOK ON BTC
Bitcoin is currently about to end correction move...
We are also seeing Breakout and retest of the channel...
But 12K might be test before starting the Impulse phase of this market ...
This is just analysis ...
Comment are highly welcome ...
Let me know your views on this ...
Thanks..
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Disclaimer:
This Video is for educational purpose only. These are just my personal view based on my previous research and analysis. I am not a sebi registered analyst. Kindly please consult your own financial adviser or do your own research before taking kind of Trading action on my views.
I and my channel "The Gurukool" won't responsible for any kind of loss u incur if you trade on this views.
XAU/USD ShortIn this analysis we are looking for shorts.
Previously gold was buying and then reversed and formed a CHange of CHaracter aka a trend change on the 15m.
On HTF's we are bearish and on our way to break below a previous low creating another BOS for HTF's.
This setup is active once price reaches our entry levels by first first getting passed our IDM - inducement which is a minor pullback on the 5m
Only then can we look for sells for this setup.
Happy Trading
XAU/USD LongWe will be looking for a Potential Break of Structure (PBOS) at the last Lower High (LH) @1715 area.
After the break of structure the trade is active and we can target the last Lower High @1719
Once a "HL" is formed its because of a "WLH" (Weak Lower High) failed to take out the last Lower Low (LL)
In turn you would target the last "WLH"
EUR/USD LONGPrice is overall Bearish
According to my analysis price is reacting around 95000 area indicating a push to the upside
We have created a change of character indicating a push to the upside
price did not break below 95000 area and price is currently in the discount zone so we can target the order block in 99000 - 99200 area to fill the Imbalance
Before a continuation Downward
The Cost Of Missing Your Best TradesWhat if your best trades were the ones you frequently do not enter?
There are not many positives in missing trades because it's money you're not adding to your trading account. You're losing more than money when you don't enter your best trades. Let's dig in.
Lost of confidence 😫
If you've ever said to yourself, "Why didn't I take the trade?" It's because you saw the setup. Your rules were met, but something inside of you couldn't push the button.
It could have been your own thoughts. You could have feared losing the trade in result losing money. Either way, you lacked the strength to push the button.
It's ironic how one button determines the fate of your abilities huh?
Hear this, you can begin doubting your ability as a trader when you don't take your setups. Remember that your eyes see first and you must take action regardless of your personal thoughts or feelings. You used logic to see the trade so use it to enter the trade.
Then let the trade tell you if you were wrong or right.
Risk of losing trades outweighing the trades you don't enter.
Have you ever looked at your trade journal just to realize you could be profitable if you'd enter all of your trades?
Most traders I consult with hesitate the moment they realize they have a good entry. Did you catch that? They don't question the analysis. They question themselves the moment it's time to hit the buy or sell button.
Like most traders, you're good until you have to show up to take action. This is common, but can also be the reason why you may not be seeing more profits than losses.
Revenge Anyone?
Revenge is a strong feeling. Taking action to get revenge results from the feeling of losing something so precious and your money is precious to you so it's only fitting you have a right to want it back.
However, money loss doesn't always come from trades you've enter. Consider this:
You see a trade. This risk to reward is 1:2. So you know you have a chance to double the amount you risk. You're excited. You see the outcome. So, you put a monetary value on the trade and realize if you win the trade you can win $1000. If you lose the trade you can only lose $500.
Something happens. You never enter. It could be for varying reasons. You weren't at your chart because you got busy. You got called in to go to work. Price reach where you wanted to enter, but you didn't like what you saw.
Either way you're not down $500. You're at a loss of $1000.
That leads me into my last point. The cost of missing your best trades setups is the risk of making the money you desire.
That $1000 could have gone a long way for you. It could have covered a car note. Paid your utilities for the month. Added more leverage to your trading account.
Either way it meant something to you, but you can't feel it because you feel like you missed out on it.
I get it. I've been there. You're not alone.
You are learning something though. You're learning you don't want to keep missing these setups so you're going to do something about it.
I have 3 suggestions for you. Let's see if you've thought of these:
* Adjust your timeframes so they fit your schedule
*Set pending orders
*Trade less pairs so you can focus on your best setups
Hear me well my dear friend, you may not always enter your best setups, but you can miss less.
Keep your trading easy for you. Don't overthink the entry. Don't tell yourself you're wrong. Trust me, the market will tell let you know if you're doing things correctly or not.
I pray you enjoyed this reading. If you have please like the post and share it.
Please share your thoughts below.
Many blessings to you,
Shaquan ❤️
Dow Jones Industrial not looking goodDJI = Dow Jones Industrial is not looking good.
200MA, 200EMA (which has worked as support before) and key level ~29 700 was tested and turned to resistance like it is seen on the graph.
Next target ~26 800 and if that gets broken ~23 000.
IF history repeats itself, then we might go test the 18 200 levels which happened last time 200MA turned to resistance ( 2008 )
This analysis is invalid if we break ~29 700-30 000 and get on top of the EMAs
When Fed pivots and start to print money again the markets will turn, and the markets are probably going to sniff that before it actually happens. I think it's sooner than we expect.
-Jebu