Get started

Beyondtechnicalanalysis

Market Update for Weekend and MondayWhen I look at BTC, the most important question I ask myself is where is the market heading and how close is it to a major inflection point (important support or resistance). The most interesting aspect of this video is still the VIX and the possible implications of a return to ~17.10. Which is not only an INCREDIBLY strong bounce spot (trend line) from 2017-2019, but also a 25% drop from the current price. It is very possible that the horrible price action on the VIX has been leading to the odd pushing up of the market with only a few clear signals in-between the noise. I will upload a 20 minute Crypto Alt video idea after this and link that to this idea. See you on Sunday at 19:20 EST for the end-of-the-Week candle stream.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by TrendLINEBoys
Specific Trendline to Determine the Direction of any MarketHow to identify the specific points for trendline to determine the direction of the market? In this example, I am using the Nasdaq index. You can use this trendline technique to any markets because its principles in this tutorial are applicable throughout whether to an individual stock, indices or even commodities. I am going to introduce the primary and secondary trendlines, I hope after this tutorial, it will bring greater clarity in how you can deploy them. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. This method I just shared, it can be applied to any market and any timeframe, be it the minute chart or the weekly chart. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 0.25 = US$0.50 1.00 = US$2
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by konhow
11
this vaccine trade popped in february 2021, can it recover some?all gas no breaks with a full tank and a full trunk. this covid vaccine stock enjoyed a huge runup to the release of the vaccine, but since has languished on the monthly as it lost over 90% of the price high. im not looking towards this as a long term investment, but im buying the rumor that nvax is announcing new trials or a variant innoculation or at least some catalyst and selling the news of that catalyst as well as the release of the vaccine/start of trial. if we stay above pivot, im aiming for upper horizontals and if we fall beneath it im looking for the lower horizontals. im not looking for a huge long on this thing, just maybe some monthly snap back and a move to close gap.
NASDAQ:NVAX
by cerealpatterns
Is this recent rally a bull rebound of a bear retracement? To make an assessment if the market has turned bear, during the closing second quarter on 29th June 2022, we discussed on the topic “Using S&P to Identify Recession and on the 19 Jul, 2 weeks ago the tutorial posted here, we studied and expecting this current rebound, topic “Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P & Russell”. In today’s tutorial, I thought of doing a recap between the two videos and explore if the current market and its development, if it is a bull rebound heading to break another new all-time high or if it is a bear retracement? I have included both the video links below. Before we get into this topic, please also take some time to read through the disclaimer in the description box below. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Tutorial example: Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 0.25 = US$0.50 1.00 = US$2 (12,900 - 11,900) x US$2 =US$2,000 (Note: Opposite is also true) • During the closing second quarter in June, on 29 Jun - “Using S&P to Identify Recession • On the 19 Jul, 2 weeks ago - “Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P & Russell”
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by konhow
30
What to include in your Trading RoutineMost people dive straight into trading without knowing how or why. They also don’t plan ahead. This is why most people are unsuccessful at trading. Having a well developed plan is KEY 🔑 to trading success! Let’s see what in must need in trading routine: 1. Trading Journal 📝 You won’t improve without a trading journal, your whole trading routine is built around your trading journal. The time you’re trading without one is wasted time period. 2. Backtest 📌 Do it every week at least once. Backtesting increase: - Confidence in your strategy; - Self-confidence to execute it; - Discipline (when you’re confident about your strategy, you are more likely to respect it.) Tip: Journal your backtested setups. 3. Weekly mental preparation ⏳ Write down things like: - What are the things you want to work on. - What are the habits you want to improve. - What are your goals for next week. 4. Technical preparation 💡 - Make your analysis. - Study the different price scenarios. - Prepare your trading ideas. You can do it weekly or daily depending on your needs. 5. Weekly performance analysis 🎭 Open the psychology section of your trading journal: - What did you do well? - What could have you done better? - What lessons did you learn? - Realization about yourself, your strategy and the market. 6. Wins and Losses analysis 🌓 - Open the charts of your trades one by one. - Read your mistakes - Write down at least one lesson you took from each trade. Tip: always take a screenshot at the exact entry point of each trade. This allows you to mitigate the hindsight bias and develop your pattern recognition skills. 7. Writing ✏️ Write down your thoughts and emotions on bad days. It helps you understand your mind and gives you clarity. It’s a great way to focus on the process and be patient. 8. Activities outside of trading 🚴🏻♀️🚣🏻♂️ You’re going to lose motivation and belief with your trading many times, you need to have extra motivational source. If you only rely on your trading results to feed your persistence, you ganna give up easily. If you like this content help me grow ❤️🌱 I’d be happy you add more tips to learn from each other
Education
by parissap
14
Palantir - The King of Cyberspace Security is on SalePalantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) is one of the most contentious business. More than 10 times TTM revenues, the company's market valuation is now floating at over $20 billion. The business is also notorious for diluting its stock and has never produced a net profit in a single quarter. Palantir has been among the worst-hit equities since the growth catastrophe started last year, which should come as no surprise. The company's share price has started to rebound despite an enormous decline of 70% from peak to trough. Palantir Financials Palantir was once the talk of the market when the stock was trading at $20 or $30, but not anymore. After the IPO, the equity was significantly diluted, and stock-based compensation is still under fire today. The market is voting "No" on Palantir because growth and high multiple stocks are less popular now than they were for the most of 2021 and because a potential recession is on the horizon. Palantir is not an exception to the general IPO phenomena of dilution and SBC compensation. Instead of focusing on previous sales, let's consider the company's revenue expansion and earning potential. Let's also think about Palantir's distinct, leading, and dominant market position and how it can affect possible future growth and profitability. Additionally, Palantir has a huge growth runway and a sizable profit margin potential, making the company one of the greatest investments in the long term. Palantir's dominating position as a government contractor is one of its most distinctive features. Through its Gotham programme, the firm offers software solutions to several governmental organisations. The American military, intelligence community, and police are just a few of Palantir's government customers. More precisely, Palantir's connected databases, data mining tools, analytical software, and much more are used by the FBI, DOD, CIA, NSA, and many other organisations. Palantir also provides services to the FDA, the NHS, and other organisations. Despite actively expanding its corporate division, Palantir nevertheless received 51% of its income from federal contracts in the most recent quarter. Palantir benefits from the government providing a sizable chunk of its earnings because of the government's well-known propensity for extravagant spending. The growth numbers for Palantir are outstanding. Revenue increased by 30% YoY, commercial revenue increased by 51% YoY, U.S. commercial revenue increased by 131% YoY, and client base increased by 87% YoY. While Palantir's governmental business continues to be its core, we now witness strong commercial business growth. Furthermore, as the business develops, we expect continue to notice strong growth from the company's corporate and government clients. The business forecasts an adjusted operating margin of about 28 percent for the whole 2022 fiscal year and 30 percent yearly growth or more until 2024. Palantir is a business with rapid growth. Therefore, it is not necessary for it to be profitable at this time. The business must put its efforts on expanding business, gaining market share, and establishing prospects for future success. Palantir should, nevertheless, be incredibly profitable when the time comes. The company's gross profit rose by 31% year over year during the most recent quarter. Palantir's operational costs rose only 2.5 percent YoY at the same period. As a result, the operational loss for the third quarter was substantially smaller than the same period last year—just $38.9 million as opposed to $114 million. Additionally, Palantir's gross margin for the preceding quarter was a staggering 78.7 percent, surpassing the 78.2 percent from a year before. As a result, Palantir is becoming more successful. Operating income, net profit, and EPS will considerably grow if the company's gross profit keeps rising and begins to greatly surpass operating expenditures. Palantir's share count increased by around 11% YoY, as can be seen. Palantir is still diluting as a result, although far less so than it was when the business first went public. Palantir only issued 476 million shares when it went public. The corporation now has more than 2 billion outstanding shares, nevertheless. However, a large portion of the devaluation took place early, practically directly after the business became public. The corporation had almost 1.8 billion shares after becoming public, which was around six months ago. Since then, SBC expenses have decreased dramatically and are probably going to keep decreasing as the business grows. Furthermore, rising SBC is not a Palantir-exclusive issue but a typical IPO phenomenon. SBC is down roughly 22% YoY, despite much increasing revenues and profits. This scenario suggests that the downward trend in SBC costs will persist. In addition, if the costs associated with SBC are taken into account, Palantir should become astonishingly lucrative. With SBC excluded, the company's cost of revenue was just roughly $82.7 million, which suggests that Palantir had a gross margin of over 81 percent. Palantir's operational income last quarter would have been around $111 million without SBC, showing an operating margin of about 25.1%. When SBC charges are factored out, the corporation would have had a little net profit of around $10 million. The firm posted an adjusted EPS of $0.02, demonstrating that it can be profitable right now despite expanding revenues by more than 30% year on year. As a result, we may conclude that Palantir has the potential to grow increasingly lucrative. As the company's revenues and gross profit climb, so should its operational expenditures, yet the SBC continues to fall dramatically in relation to the company's revenues. As a result, Palantir's profitability indicators should increase considerably over the next few years. There is widespread fear about the impending recession. However, Palantir is in a unique situation because the majority of their revenue comes from government contracts. Palantir's corporate clients are unlikely to diminish their reliance on the business's services, as the company provides important solutions in data analytics, cybersecurity, and other critical areas. As a result, even in a downturn, Palantir's growth should continue, making it one of the strongest long-term investments in the market right now. Palantir is expected to generate $2.7 billion in revenue next year, putting its forward P/S multiple at around 7. Palantir, on the other hand, is a dominant and high-growth business with exceptional profitability potential. When the stock dropped to $6, it was voted down to a 5x forward sales multiple. Palantir is now selling at roughly 7 times projected sales at $10, but it might trade at a substantially higher sales multiple in the future. Many firms with substantially less potential for growth trade at far greater revenue multiples. The 6-7 times forward sales multiple predictions are reasonable given Palantir's strong growth and huge profitability potential. Microsoft (MSFT), a software corporation with far slower growth, trades at approximately eight times projected revenues. Nvidia (NVDA), a growth business with substantially slower growth, trades at about 12 times forward sales expectations. Furthermore, many other growing firms are selling at far greater multiples than 10 times revenues. In the future years, Palantir might fetch a P/S multiple of 6-7 or much higher, potentially making the company one of the finest buys for the next decade. As a result, the market will most likely begin assessing the company's shares rather than voting for it in the next years, and Palantir's share price will certainly skyrocket. They are one of the few publicly listed companies capable of withstanding Geopolitical shocks and will most certainly gain from higher military expenditure by the United Nations and its European allies, as the recent NATO Summit in Madrid demonstrated member states' readiness to significantly expand their defence budgets. Palantir's space and geospatial intelligence capabilities are also likely to gain new clients as a result of its performance on the Ukrainian battlefield.
PLong
by EQTSHARES
3
Don't Stop Believing in Tesla - Earnings Report ProjectionTesla's stock has fallen by roughly 40% this year as a result of oversold conditions. During the negative market phase, Tesla has experienced a greater decrease than the typical corporation, making its value appear more and more appealing. In addition, the business will undoubtedly outperform profits projections when it reports earnings on 20th July, and likely announce a stock split next month. Tesla also has an interesting new product that should hit the market next year, so the business may continue to outperform even if the slowdown lasts for a while. As the firm develops, Tesla is expected to continue exceeding consensus profit projections. As a result, Tesla's stock is now rather affordable, should be purchased during periods of weakness, and is expected to increase significantly over the next few years. Tesla Financials Tesla has not seen the dramatic EPS adjustments that the majority of corporations have. Forecasts for 2023 EPS are currently greater than they were quarter ago. This scenario shows that analysts may believe that earlier EPS predictions may have been overly low and that the firm may weather a slump better than other companies. Finally, this dynamic suggests that a temporary slowdown is unlikely to have an effect on Tesla's longer-term profitability. In the rapidly developing EV market, Tesla continues to dominate. Tesla is the holy grail of electric vehicles, therefore even while a recession might temporarily have a small negative influence on the company's expansion, it is unlikely to have a long-term impact. The Ukraine conflict, rising oil prices, and inflation have all contributed to sky-high gas and electricity costs. Record-high gas costs will likely encourage more people to purchase electric vehicles, with Tesla standing to gain the most from this trend. Therefore, over the long run, a recession should have little impact on Tesla's growth, profitability potential, and stock price trajectory, making the stock a great buy on any recession-related dip as we move forward. If the shareholders accept it on August 4th, Tesla will split its stock once more. The majority of the time, stock splits are a positive move for equities. Tesla's share price would decrease from over $700 to approximately $277 as a result of the planned 3-1 split, making them more accessible to investors. Tesla P.E Ratio Tesla released its manufacturing and delivery figures. In the previous quarter, the business delivered 16,162 Model S/X vehicles and 238,533 Model 3/Y automobiles. The tremendous 750 percent increase in Model S/X sales was the first item that stood out in the positive data. Last year, there were some worries that the Model S/X car market would be oversupplied or that demand was waning. However, there is a substantial demand for Tesla's more expensive cars. Due to Tesla's temporary manufacturing prioritising of Model 3/Y automobiles, sales last year decreased. This sales pattern suggests that Tesla should continue to make significant profits from the luxury vehicle sector in the upcoming years. Positive Cashflow Tesla recorded a net income margin of 17.7 percent for last quarter. The most lucrative (conventional) carmaker Toyota (TM), which just recorded a gross revenue margin of 19 percent and a net income margin of 9 percent, is far less profitable than Tesla in terms of profitability indicators. Honda (HMC) has a gross profit margin of roughly 20% and a net profit margin of about 5%. Most of the time, their American equivalents have even lower profitability margins, with General Motors (GM) recently claiming a gross margin of roughly 15% and a net income margin of about 7%. Although the average expectations for Tesla's future P/E ratio are only around 40, the business may have stronger than expected profits in the current quarter and in 2023. Higher-end 2023 EPS forecasts range up to roughly $21.37, and Tesla has outperformed consensus estimates by an average of 27.9 percent over the past four quarters. Given how consistently Tesla exceeds consensus expectations, many analysts may still be underestimating the company's profitability potential. Therefore, Tesla's EPS statistics may continue to grow more quickly than expected. The Tesla Semi should also start selling by the end of the next year. As Semi truck deliveries and bulk production get underway, Tesla's revenue will probably experience a significant increase. Tesla's future P/E ratio appears to be excessively low given the company's rapid growth pace. Therefore, in the future, Tesla's forward P/E might increase to about 37 and stay in the 32 to 40 area. In the upcoming years, Tesla's EPS should rise significantly, and as the company develops, its stock price may rise significantly.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EQTSHARES
56