BIDU
SPY - AT THAT AREA AGAIN...DIPS MAY DIP EVEN HARDER BE CAREFUL*** I know it's so tempting to jump on option calls for PYPL/UIPST/BIDU/ROKU and many many other huge dips that are 100% undervalued. BE PATIENT. These are selling off so fast and hard when you time this bottom correctly trust me they will blow up for at least 100% in options. Don't assume just because they are undervalued and dipped that SPY cant take a nose dive here to 450-440 and take them further down. Be patient.. WATCH THE MARKET FIRST. Don't get faked out on a tiny bull run for one day that turns up being a huge negative move.
All,
I think we are reaching once again that retest area. There are two arguments here. One that both of these resistance lines have been tested way over 4 times. So in theory eventually dip after drip these break resulting in a breakout and usually a good one. However, for obvious reasons we have pre pandemic, possibly a new one especially in EU right now, already over saturated market, FED news. etc etc I mean negative list goes on. So once again here we are restesting a previous failure. the previous small dip was the first support break and now coming all the way back up retesting it some more.
Given holidays, world news I am not necessarily bearish yet. I am actually wanting a huge bull move again because there are so many dipped stocks.
DIPS YOU HAVE TO WATCH - DKNG/PYPL/UPST/BIDU/NIO/ROKU/FIGSAll,
BE PATIENT. Let the market do it's thing and get conformation. There is ALOT of money to be made here if you are patient with call options. I see ROKU/PYPL as immediate buys once market turns around. UPST as well but not tons of support.
FIGS id watch every 30m this one is positive ER really undervalued here on serious support basically a wedge. I like FIGS if it holds or breaks below id watch that even more. FIGS whenever it fully stops I will probably take.
Long | BIDU | week end 11/19/21NASDAQ:BIDU
STRONG BUY
Possible Scenario: LONG
Evidence: Price Action , Dark pool activity, Options flow.
Entry point: current price, it can drop more but not important.
TP1: 176$
TP2: 180$
TP3: ATH at 182$
Call options 12/03/21 strike 190$
Call options 11/19/21 strike 180$
*This is my idea and could be wrong 100%.
BIDU, swing trade BiDU is looking like it’s getting a great support and awesome R/R.
Some February contracts ITM could be making some real money. %%%! Ask for our private room.
This one Falls In our research on swing set ups with a good ratio of Risk and Reward.
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BIDU has bottomed, massive Wave 3 incomingFrom the bottom of Mar'20 of 80$, BIDU saw a massive Wave 1 (subdivided into 5 waves). Note that Wave 3 was an exact 261.8% extension of wave 1 & wave 5 was almost a 161.8% extension of Wave 3. Then, a huge A-B-C correction, almost accurately to the 78.6% retracement of the bigger wave 1 (not coincidentally, the pre-pandemic level too!)
For the first time since July, the stock went above the 200d ema & has promptly pulled back. This might trade here for a while as there are many resistances above, but there are major support levels too. 175-176 is the next target, followed by 184 & 202
Invalidation level: 138-140 level
(PS: Alibaba(BABA) also forming a similar pattern but BIDU is more bullish. BABA badly broke the pandemic low, thanks to disappearance of a special someone)
Not an investment advice, I am long on both BIDU & BABA
Baidu Analysis 29.09.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next days/weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I would also appreciate, if you would smash that like button and help me to create more free analysis like that.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Baidu Analysis 24.09.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next days/weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I would also appreciate, if you would smash that like button and help me to create more free analysis like that.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Baidu Finding a Bottom SoonBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 17, 2021 with a closing price of 161.86.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 163.12 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.595% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.5065% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 11.633% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 8.0 trading bars; half occur within 25.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 37.0 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
BIDU Daily TimeframeSNIPER STRATEGY
This magical strategy works like a clock on almost any charts
Although I have to say it can’t predict pullbacks, so I do not suggest this strategy for leverage trading.
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The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly however it can work any timeframe above three minutes.
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There is a lot more about this strategy.
It can predict and also it can give you almost exact buy or sell time on the spot.
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NTES - Bullish on earningsNTES is a China tech company that provides online gaming services. All the china stocks are risky right now with their gov't sanctions, but they provide a good valuation. Some are down over 20-30% in last 3 months. Earnings is Aug 31 aftermarket and I think they will beat eps and revenue. Options - There are over 28000 calls OI for sept 17 exp, 19000 puts OI. Earnings Trend - PDD, JD. SE
$BIDUThe main concern or reason for the tumble in stock price would be China’s increased regulatory scrutiny over tech firms during the past few months.
On top of that, people also might be worried about delisting threats for Chinese companies by U.S. regulators.
But on the other hand, people should look at how $BIDU is expanding its horizons, for instance, the company ventured into AI space last year, and also launched an autonomous taxi service in China.
Yet, the stock price doesn’t seem to reflect optimism or an open mind to Baidu’s evolving business.
$BIDU has two strong support levels on the major timeframes. $137 & $80.
I suggest keeping your eyes on these levels for an opportunity to go long.
Price also oversold on the daily & nearly the weekly.
- Factor Four
The worst is over for Chinese names BIDUIf you are a long term investor I hope you used the panic to top up your holdings. If you are a momentum trader you still have the opportunity to ride the bounce or accumulate your position a bit later. Possible scenario for BIDU but all names have something similar is as follows.
I treat that panic as an exhaustion and behavioural pattern confirms that so I consider the worst is over.
Personally, I played that dangerously catching falling knives and loosing hairs so my words bring some sort of hope, but from technical perspective the situation is as follows.
Another option is to treat the current leg up as a retest of the previous support but usually when you have seen that sort of panic and all the papers writing the same thing - it is just over.
I expect some turbulence at this resistance since bears will try to play down the move but final move is gonna be UP.
China BigTech - KWEB ETF☝ KWEB - ETF of Chinese tech giants. It is traded on ARCA, but managed by a Chinese bank, so there is no threat of delisting.
Price is at the bottom of the channel. Most likely it will be a bottom and there will be a reversal up at least 50% towards the resistance line of $70 by February 2022. The upcoming bullish reversal is confirmed by the MACD-histogram, which is already in a bullish divergence.
However, in February 2021, there was a 19.83% move up from the channel. Such a pull-out can be repeated down to the $40 support line.
Not a financial recommendation.
GET RICH OR DIE TRYIN
A butterfly flapping its wings can cause a hurricane in China!You don't need to see an Optometrist, and you did not drink an excessive amount of alcohol, at least I did not, however, I am not sure about you..!
There is nothing wrong with you if you see BABA , PDD , JD , NASDAQ:BIDU creates the exact same pattern..!
This could be explained in mathematics!
What is Chaos Theory?
Chaos is the science of surprises, of the nonlinear and the unpredictable. It teaches us to expect the unexpected. While most traditional science deals with supposedly predictable phenomena like gravity, electricity, or chemical reactions, Chaos Theory deals with nonlinear things that are effectively impossible to predict or control, like turbulence, weather, the stock market , our brain states, and so on. These phenomena are often described by fractal mathematics, which captures the infinite complexity of nature. Many natural objects exhibit fractal properties, including landscapes, clouds, trees, organs, rivers etc, and many of the systems in which we live exhibit complex, chaotic behavior. Recognizing the chaotic, fractal nature of our world can give us new insight, power, and wisdom. For example, by understanding the complex, chaotic dynamics of the atmosphere, a balloon pilot can “steer” a balloon to a desired location. By understanding that our ecosystems, our social systems, and our economic systems are interconnected, we can hope to avoid actions which may end up being detrimental to our long-term well-being.
Chaos Theory
Chaos theory is concerned with unpredictable courses of events. The irregular and unpredictable time evolution of many nonlinear and complex linear systems has been named chaos. Chaos is best illustrated by Lorentz’s famous butterfly effect: the notion that a butterfly stirring the air in Hong Kong today can transform storm systems in New York next month. The definition of deterministic chaos implies that our prediction in the form of a model, for instance, is very sensitive to the initial conditions. The difference between predictions with slightly different initial conditions grows exponentially:
d(t)=d(0)eat*
where d(t) is the difference between the two predictions at time t and d(0) at time zero, t is the time, and a is a positive number.
*at: is the power of e, I do not know how to type power in TradingView..!
Chaos theory, more technically nonlinear dynamical systems (NLDS) theory, is an exciting, rapidly developing area of mathematics with increasing application in the physical, biological, and social sciences. Along with the great metaphorical appeal, nonlinear dynamical systems can also add rigor and realism to human sciences; they may help illuminate creativity, an elusive, sometimes near-magical phenomenon that has defied simple explanations. Chaotic or near-chaotic systems can demonstrate surprising flexibility and adaptability. Despite connotations of ‘chaos,’ they also demonstrate order, complexity, and self-organization. Some relatively simple, mechanistic, completely deterministic systems are capable of surprising, discontinuous, and seemingly unpredictable change.
Challenged by Instability and Complexity
Challenged by Instability and Complexity…
Jan C. Schmidt, in Philosophy of Complex Systems, 2011
1 Introduction: the Stability Assumption Is Unstable …
Nonlinear Dynamics — including Complex Systems Theory, Chaos Theory, Synergetics, Dissipative Structures, Fractal Geometry, and Catastrophe Theory — is a young and fascinating field of scientific inquiry that spans many established disciplines (cf. ). However, it poses challenging problems for both scientific methodology and the philosophy of science. Methodological prerequisites as well as metaphysical assumptions are questioned, e.g., predictability, reproducibility, testability, explainability as well as lawlikeness (determinism/causation). The common denominator of all of these challenges is instability — that is the main thesis of this paper.
Since the advent of Nonlinear Dynamics and its advancement in the realm of physics in the 1960s — interlaced with methodological developments in computer technology and the computer's ability to numerically handle nonlinearity — further evidence for the existence and prevalence of unstable and complex phenomena in the physical world has emerged. Nonlinear systems, even those with just a few degrees of freedom, can exhibit static, dynamical and structural instabilities. Although instabilities call implicit metaphysical-methodological convictions and well-established underlying prerequisites of mathematical science into question, today they are not viewed in just a negative way. On the contrary, instabilities are highly valued — we find a positivization of instabilities: instabilities constitute the nomological nucleus of self-organization, pattern formation, growth processes, phase transitions and, also, the arrow of time (cf. ). Without instability, there is no complexity and no change. The phenomena generated by underlying instabilities in nature, technology and society are manifest; we can observe these phenomena with our unaided senses. In fact, instability is the root of many homely phenomena in our day-to-day experience — for example, the onset of dripping from a tap or water freezing to ice in a refrigerator. Instability has to be regarded as an empirical fact of our life-world and beyond — not just as a contingent convention.
A reconsideration of the traditional methodological-metaphysical stability assumptions therefore seems to be indispensable. (a) In the past, stability was taken for granted as an implicit a priori condition to qualify a mathematical model as physically relevant or adequate. Stability seemed to be a key element underlying any kind of physical methodology: it was regarded as the sole possibility to guarantee the application of methods of approximation and, also, to deal with empirical and experimental uncertainties. (b) In addition to methodology, an underlying metaphysical conviction was pervasive throughout the history of physics, guiding the focus of interest and selecting the objects that were considered worth researching. Framing and conceptualizing nature as “nature” insofar as it is stable, time-invariant and symmetrical (metaphysics), was indeed a successful strategy to advance a specific physical knowledge (methodology). It is interesting to see that metaphysical convictions and methodological considerations are interlaced; there is no clear line between metaphysics and methodology, as will be shown in this paper.
Throughout history, stability metaphysics has always played a major role in science, beginning in ancient times with Plato's stability concept of the cosmos. In modern times, stability metaphysics can be found in the works of outstanding physicists such as Newton and Einstein. For instance, in his Opticks Newton did not trust his own nonlinear equations for three- and n-body systems which can potentially exhibit unstable solutions . He required God's frequent supernatural intervention in order to stabilize the solar system. In the same vein, Einstein introduced ad hoc — without any empirical evidence or physical justification — the cosmological constant in the framework of General Relativity in order to guarantee a static and stable cosmos, “Einstein's cosmos” . Both examples, from Newton and Einstein, illustrate that metaphysical convictions — what nature is! — can be incredibly strong, even if they are in conflict with what is known about nature at the time.
Today, however, ex post and thanks to the advancement of Nonlinear Dynamics, we can identify a “dogma of stability” that has determined the selection (or construction) of both the objects and the models/theories in physics. “We shall question the conventional wisdom that stability is an essential property for models of physical systems. The logic which supports the stability dogma is faulty.” : the stability assumption is itself unstable! Although the discovery history of instabilities traces back to physicists such as Newton, Laplace, Stokes, Maxwell, Poincaré and Duhem, physical objects were (and often still are) perceived and framed from the perspective of stability — even by the pioneers of instabilities. Throughout the history of exact sciences, instabilities were not acknowledged by the scientific community. This has been changing since the 1960s when physics began widening its methodological horizon — including getting rid of the restriction of methodology to stability requirements. The need to advance physical methodology emerged because instabilities have turned out to be so very fundamental in nature, technology, and even in social processes. In order to deal with instabilities, physicists have over the last 30 years successfully replaced the traditional quantitative, metrically oriented stability dogma by weaker, more qualitative topological characteristics. Many models (theories, laws) in Nonlinear Dynamics are unstable, “and we are confident that these are realistic models of corresponding physical systems” .
Nonlinear Dynamics shows that instability is not an epiphenomenon of minor relevance: instabilities are broadly present in our entire world. Discovering and acknowledging instabilities impels both a reconsideration of the metaphysical views that undergird the stability dogma and a revision of the methodological presuppositions. The outline of this paper is as follows: In section 2, I characterize instabilities and distinguish between three kinds of instability. In section 3, I focus on methodological problems and challenges caused by instabilities; the limitations of classical-modern sciences will be discussed. In section 4, I show how present-day physics manages, at least to some degree, to cope with instabilities.
Instabilities cannot be considered as exceptions within a stable world. Rather, it is the other way around: instabilities are the source of complexity, pattern formation and self-organization. This is why instabilities do not only appear in a negative light; a positive understanding emerges and shows challenging future prospects and perspectives for the rapidly progressing field of Nonlinear Dynamics — and beyond: for all mathematical sciences.
My Soul is painted like the wings of a butterfly..!
Moshkelgosha
References :
www.sciencedirect.com
fractalfoundation.org
BIDU (daily) inverted chartI inverted the chart to make it easier to see the bearish perspective of the chart, ascending triangle are really easy to see. On the right side, we are currently in the last leg (E) of the falling triangle. A break of 170 would possibly bring us back to a previous top that could act as a support. But, is it doable ? Not so sure, it looks already cheap enough to attract buyers.
BIDU has currently a PE ratio around 8.50, yes only 8.50 in that market !!! We can see it as undervalue and a good buy. If China stocks comeback in the second half of 2021, that count would be invalidate. Next earnings will dictate the direction of BIDU. It will bring us back to a 200 retest or down to the target on the chart.
Everyone should be aware of both perspective, but longterm and fundamentals always win. BIDU is a great company, their revenue is increasing every year and has a lot of potential, it is also at a good price so scaling in could be a good strategy :)