BIDU
Buy Signal: 133.55Ingenuity Trading Model used in- Stock, Forex, Futures, and Crypto markets
The model is a Geometric Markov Model :
In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement. For questions or more information like stops and trade management feel free to contact me in the comment section or via private chat
Supply & Demand Trading Analysis 11/22/2020With the strong bullish momentum dissipating, the signs of a reemergence of mass hysteria with wave 2 of covid arriving, numerous stocks a far distance away from major moving averages, big institutions adding more hedges to their portfolio's, these stories appear to ring the same tune prior to the crash in march. With a majority of stocks failing to reach new highs or inside supply zones, here are some stocks showing signs that a reversal to the downside is imminent.
MU
- A strong trend to the upside, however volume appears to diverge with price, a textbook bearish signal.
- Inside a major daily supply zone + strong rejection attempting to break above zone.
- Far distance away from 20ema on daily chart. Pullbacks resulted every time during similar prior occurrences.
- Entering a short position if price begins to break lower level of daily supply (59.44)
BIDU
- Price recently bounces of 200ema while inside a monthly demand zone.
- Price is showing consolidation, preparing for another strong move to either side.
- Looking to BTFD if price drops back to 200ema within the monthly demand zone.
MS
- A market top appears to have formed a market top on daily chart after failing to break above supply zones
- Will enter short position if price breaks below $57. Strong indication price is reversing.
- A triple top appears to have formed when analyzing weekly chart.
- A sharp rise in price with decreasing volume and far distance away from ema's = perfect pullback conditions
KSS
- Keeping an eye on how price moves this week as it appears to be forming a bull flag while attempting break above daily supply zone.
- If price moves in predicted pattern, will enter a short position as price enters circled zone. Black trendline is the top of monthly downtrend, expecting a rejection as price approaches.
PYPL
- Price in consolidation in middle of a 4 month trading range. With market conditions showing signs of a market ready to sell, I expect a breakout on the downside.
- Will look to BTFD if price breakouts out, entering demand zone along with 200ema inside zone resulting in high possibility price will use 200ema as support.
CNK
- Price rejects off 200ema after touching ema for the first time in 2020.
- If price begins to rise back into weekly supply zone AND with decreasing volume, will enter a short position in circled zone as it tests both a major supply zone and 200ema resistance.
Stock of the day / BIDUToday, we have a long setup to share. Here you will see a full explanation
a) The price is on a major Support Zone (check the weekly chart)
b) Now we can see a broken descending trendline after the price reached a significant reversal level
c) On the edge of the broken trendline, we have a clear Corrective Structure (Bullish Pennant)
d) Based on the previous items, we will execute long trades towards the next resistance zone at 186.63
e) Our Entry / Stop / Take profit level are the ones that you can see on the setup
f) Our Break Even level is the yellow line
g) We will take this setup using 1% of our capital
h) Remember: Trade Safe, protect your capital, and always understand what you are doing.
Adding to Bidu after the good earnings and rumours around IQYI Bidu results were better than expected I would say and without this new on IQYI would have reached the 140 marks but nvm I am adding to my position at 116 so good thank you for the good deal
Reached a good first support at 116 , should maintain ; next good support is 100 but I doubt this would go there again really
BAIDU BIDU BREAKOUTBIDU PT 133, bull momentum, already broke out few weeks ago, on the bottom of the yearly channel, earnings tomorrow, should benefits from CHINA-USA trade talks planned for the end of the week (trump permitted), Call Spreads 133/138 Sept, stop loss if market crash or breaks the rising triangle, risky play
BIDU - 14.71% Potential Profit - Bullish PennantUptrend Support with a Bullish Pennant forming and price breakout.
Target price set at a new potential resistance line.
- 5-month uptrend
- RSI and STOCH above 50
- MACD above Signal
Suggested Entry $127.52
Suggested Stop Loss $124.15
Target price $146.29
Note that I tend to adjust stop losses in order to secure profits early and preserve capital. This means that the target price is going to be achieved as long as there are no strong pullbacks that trigger my new adjusted stop loss.
Baba Could be a great long here, or a possible shortWhat is baba?
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides online and mobile commerce businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
It operates in four segments: Core Commerce, Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others.
Alibaba has been dropping due to possible accounting law being pass to make china stocks more transparent or get delisted.
however, if that fails to pass. This could bounce.
Could be a great long, or if it breaks $198, Yikessssss
Long entry $199
Stoploss $197
Target $206
THE WEEK AHEAD: PDD, BIDU, TGT, NVDA, LOW EARNINGSEARNINGS:
PDD (72/92): Friday, before market open.
BIDU (81/61): Monday, before market open.
TGT (55/49): Wednesday, after market close.
NVDA (51/62): Thursday, before market open.
LOW (51/63): Wednesday, after market close.
Both PDD and BIDU are ADR's, so look to put on plays post-announcement to catch earnings afterglow, if at all. The dates of their announcements tend to be "soft," meaning they're subject to change, and there's nothing more disconcerting than putting on a volatility contraction play, only to have earnings not occur when they're initially supposed to.
Pictured here is an NVDA short strangle in the June cycle with break evens wide of one standard deviation. Off hours, it's pricing out at 10.35, but markets are wide. Because it's rather large, consider going iron condor, looking to collect at least one third the width of the wings in credit (e.g., the June 19th 275/280/405/410, paying 1.73 at the mid price).
SECTOR EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS, ORDERED BY RANK AND SCREENED FOR >30-DAY IMPLIED:
SLV (57/41)
EWW (56/46)
GDXJ (51/61)
SMH (49/49)
GDX (44/51)
XLE (44/52)
EWZ (44/60)
EEM (44/60)
XLU (42/31)
XOP (34/67)
USO (13/78)
BROAD MARKET, ORDERED BY RANK:
IWM (60/47)
TQQQ (53/99)
EEM (43/34)
QQQ (36/32)
SPY (33/31)
IRA DIVIDEND-PAYERS ORDERED BY RANK:
IYR (61/44)
EWA (49/42)
EWZ (44/60)
EEM (43/34)
XLU (42/31)
EFA (38/28)
HYG (34/19)
SPY (33/31)
EMB (27/22)
TLT (24/20)
With acquisitional plays for a retirement account, it's not necessarily "all about the premium"; it's partly about price, so it will pay to look at a few charts to determine which of these are trading at a discount relative to where they've been. That being said, having a higher background implied is of benefit, since it will result in a lower break even relative to strike price than were implied not as high and getting in lower is always better in the retirement account. For instance, I'm not in "acquisition mode" for TLT, not only because of its low implied, but because it's at or near all-time highs, moves inversely to yield, and doesn't necessarily have all that much room to move higher given the current interest rate environment. Conversely, EMB and HYG implied aren't all that great (treasury and/or bond funds are not known for having high volatility, generally), but both got absolutely crushed in the mid-March closely correlated sell-off, so I could see selling out-of-the-money puts in those instruments, assuming they were at levels I'd be comfortable with acquiring. (See HYG, EMB Posts Below).
Granted, these are large ticket items and not everyone is going to be able to go out there and sell a three-rung, SPY 16 delta short put ladder; the price tag is hefty. However, implied metrics can be informational for even those with smaller accounts. At the very least, these metrics are saying: "Look at me. I'm moving", and -- in the vast majority of cases -- they say, I've moved lower and that this may be the time to pick up some shares, even if they're fractional. Over time, fractional shares aggregate into one lots that you can proceed to cover and reduce cost basis more efficiently, as well as generate cash flow on top of dividends.