BIST100 Correction ScenarioThe correction we were waiting for came and BIST100 dropped to 7800 liras. With the subsequent rise, the index tested the moving average again, but as we expected, it was rejected and fell below the 8000 level again. Here, we think that the index will decline to 7500 lira levels, especially if it cannot hold on to the 7900 lira support. We do not think that the rise will start again unless it stays above the 8000 lira level, which is the WMA 20 level in the 4-hour time period.
BIST
GEDYH DCA - Cup and Handle Company: Gedik Yatirim Menkul Degerler
Ticker: GEDYH
Exchange: BIST
Sector: Financials
Introduction:
Welcome to our weekly technical analysis, where today we're focusing on Gedik Yatirim Menkul Degerler (GEDYH), listed on the BIST in the Financials sector. The weekly chart showcases a Cup and Handle formation, suggesting a bullish continuation.
Cup and Handle Pattern:
A Cup and Handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a period of consolidation followed by a breakout. It's characterized by a "cup" - a round, bowl-like pattern, and a "handle" - a small bearish channel or consolidation, following which a breakout occurs.
Analysis:
GEDYH's chart demonstrates a clear Cup and Handle formation over the course of 833 days. This pattern often indicates a bullish continuation, signaling potential for growth. The price is convincingly above the 200 EMA, further emphasizing the bullish environment and a preference for long setups.
The horizontal resistance is established at 8.23 TRY. If we witness a breakout above this level, we could potentially initiate a long position. The price target, following a successful breakout, is set at 12.78 TRY, representing an estimated gain of approximately 55.83%.
Conclusion:
GEDYH's weekly chart presents an interesting Cup and Handle formation, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. This analysis should be part of a comprehensive market research and risk management strategy.
Please note, this is not financial advice and investing always carries risk.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
GARAN DCA - Ascending TriangleCompany: Turkiye Garanti Bankasi
Ticker: GARAN
Exchange: BIST
Sector: Financials
Introduction:
Welcome to our daily technical analysis, focusing today on Turkiye Garanti Bankasi (GARAN), a leading player in the Financials sector, listed on the BIST.
Ascending Triangle Pattern:
This Ascending Triangle pattern forms during an uptrend and is viewed as a bullish continuation pattern. It's characterized by a horizontal resistance line (formed by equal highs) and an ascending trend line (formed by increasing lows), illustrating the rising bullish sentiment.
Analysis:
Garanti Bankasi's chart is displaying a clear Ascending Triangle pattern. The upper horizontal boundary sits at 31.80 TRY, with three points of contact—the third being a false breakout which underscores the importance of stop losses. The lower, upward-sloping boundary also has three touch points.
Moreover, the 200 EMA is acting as robust support, suggesting a bullish environment and favoring long setups. Given these factors, we're keeping a keen eye on this chart for a potential breakout above the horizontal resistance. A breakout could present an opportunity for a long position.
The price target, assuming a successful breakout, is set at 45.60 TRY, implying a potential gain of approximately 43.50%.
Conclusion:
Garanti Bankasi's daily chart presents an interesting setup in the form of an Ascending Triangle, indicative of a potential bullish continuation. This analysis should form part of a broader market research and risk management strategy.
Remember, this is not financial advice and investing always carries risk.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
Fibonacci on BISTI have detected that BIST price has been moving according to the fibonacci retracement for several months. Let me explain the whole strategy of the fibonacci retracement and how the price adapts, in order.
BIST index is in a continuous downtrend from 9 March to 3 April. At the end of this downtrend (4712), I drew the Fibonacci retracement, which I received confirmation of return, and I saw that the 0.618 level was 5185 TL. Therefore, a purchase I will make at the bottom and then a sale at 0.618 brought me a profit of 10%.
When the price hit the 0.618 level, I got confirmation of a reversal and removed the old fibonacci and drew a fibonacci from the low on April 3 to the high on April 13. (I wouldn't have done this if I hadn't received the return confirmation.) The 1.618 level (4393) of the fibonacci I just drew became my new target. A short I opened at 5187 brought me a profit of even over 15% when I reached 1.618.
Then I saw a double bottom formation at this level and it was a confirmation of a return for me. Therefore, I drew a fibonacci from the high price on April 13 to the low price on May 5. The 0.618 level (4860) of this fibonacci is also the target for me. When I reach the target, I think I will make a profit of around 10%.
As I see the possibility of a return from the 4860 level, I drew a (not certain) fibonacci price of 0.618 from the bottom price on May 5th. This gives me the next bottom price of 4119 TL, ie 1.618 fibonacci level.
The Fibonacci strategy is generally like this. As you can see, the strategy should be used in conjunction with reversal or breakout confirmations. These confirmations can be taken with candles or formations.
BIST100 (XU100) Major and Minor ChannelsBIST100 Major and minor channels.
Log-graph.
- Orange channel is there since 1998.
- Purple channel is where we are surfing since Oct 2021. As long as we are above 5075, we are at the upper half of this channel, which is bullish.
- April 21 or 24 is an important date, where we have overlapping channels, one is descending and the other is ascending. If we are above 5155 on Apr 24, i will be short term extremely bullish until the elections.
SMRTG bounced from its trend from June 2022SMRTG's trend fron July 2022 acted as a support for it in the last week.
It's a decent growth company that is, well, a bit overpriced in terms of the fundamental ratios as of now.
However, i think we will see a price movement towards 93 TL from here. The strategy is simple.
- Each time it touches the blue trend line, I'm a buyer,
- Each time it touches the red rectangle at the top, i'm a seller.
ISGSY hasn't made its Q4 Earnings move, and it's getting readyISGSY's Q4 2022 report was looking great. However, due to the earthquake and the political climate being on the edge, not a lot of Q4 earnings are actually priced in. #BIST100 has been fluctuating for the last 3 months.
ISGSY is, i think, preparing it move towards 18.30 TL.
If it ever goes down towards 12.30 TL levels (rectangle shown in red), I will allocate a sizable portion of my portfolio to it.
DEVA at the bottom of its channel in loggraphDEVA hit its bottom of the channel the last Tuesday. So this analysis is 3 days too late to be honest.
However, it is still looking great and the Risk Profit Ratio is pretty decent still.
Under 35.00 TL is risky, but other than that, I would accumulate DEVA in the upcoming week. There is a chance that it will re-try the bottom of the channel and get its confirmation around 38.00 TL which I would not miss for sure.
The fundamentals are strong and there's no strong reason why it would go down 47% from its peak.
EREGL at the bottom of its channel in loggraph.I think it's time to accumulate EREGL as long as the price is between 33.00 - 36.00 TL. It is already oversold due to Arcelor Mittal batch-selling.
Two levels that are important are indicated in the chart, both of them are as a result of simple Price Action, and will most probably act as resistances.
FEF1! is not bad either, which will support EREGL's quarterly revenues for the upcoming months.
BIST100 XU100 ForecastBased on the information provided, the price has been range-bound for the last 80 days. Additionally, the last range lasted for 120 days before breaking out. This suggests that the current range may continue for some time, and traders should exercise caution when considering trading opportunities.
The technical analysis includes two scenarios: a bullish scenario represented by the blue line and a bearish scenario represented by the red line. Traders should wait for clear reactions from the zones indicated in these scenarios before initiating any trades.
In the bullish scenario, the price would need to break above the upper range boundary and hold above it for an extended period before traders can confidently enter long positions. This could indicate that buyers have gained control of the market, and the price may continue to rise.
On the other hand, in the bearish scenario, the price would need to break below the lower range boundary and hold below it for an extended period before traders can initiate short positions. This could indicate that sellers have gained control of the market, and the price may continue to decline.
Overall, traders should exercise caution when trading in a range-bound market and wait for clear indications of a breakout before initiating any positions. It is essential to monitor the price action closely and adjust trading strategies accordingly to stay ahead of the market.
BİST100 (XU100) Double Top + Another Trendline Break Forming?The BIST100 index recently experienced a trendline break, failing to reach the previous trendline and forming a lower angle trendline. This new trendline is showing signs of weakness, as evidenced by the formation of a double top pattern. Given these indicators, it is likely that the BIST100 will experience another trendline break, potentially leading to a retest of the 5000 level. This analysis should be considered as one of multiple factors in making investment decisions, and further research is recommended.
15M Timeframe:
4H TF:
BIST100 (XU100) Critical Levels to watch (BİST100, bist)Price action has recently moved up from the lower bound of the chart, however, given the current apprehensive sentiment among retail investors and the impending elections, it is unlikely that we will reach the upper bound of the chart in the near future.
15m chart:
BIST 100 at a major weekly support has to close above and bounceA bounce from the middle thich green line like the last few times it has done would signal a major continuation of the rally like September, if we are really going to get levels like 8000-10000 we really shouldn't break this structure and trend and i believe we won't.
BIST XU100 Demand ZoneIt was a significant drop in price today, however, there is a demand zone that may provide some support. While it is uncertain if this level will hold, it is possible that we may see a small rally at this point. It is important to closely monitor the price action and volume at this demand zone to gauge the strength of the support.