BIST
BIST 100 index may start to bearish period this weekStarting with the FED's announcement, USD/TRY started to go up. This means Turkish Market top 100 BIST 100 may start a downtrend. Usually BIST 100 and USD/TRY moves opposite directions. Uptrend of BIST 100 started on May 22nd.
When we look at the daily chart price is on support level, RSI is also on support level
On 4hours chart; price is on support, RSI broke the support downwards, moving average is testing the bollinger baseline, parabolic SAR started to point down movement, last but not the least is bollinger bands narrowed down for a steep movement.
Lastly on 1hour chart; moving average has already broken the bollinger baseline downwards, RSI and SAR indicators are also confirming the down move.
Price should be checked to see when the price breaks the support. If the movement will start, first aim would be 101578, if that support will be broken also 100792 will be the next support.
PS: These are just my opinions, you should double/triple check my drawings before making a decision :)
GUSGR longBuy pressure showed itself from very strong yellow support level and pushed the price over the resistance level.
The price is doing retest move on current price, I think it will continue to go up at least to 1.22-24 resistance level.
Stop level is under support level which is around 1.04-05
BIST 100 - Good ScenarioI'm not bullish on BIST 100 index, and I was expecting 90K first but it seems the current structure wants something else.
This is my best-case scenario. It breaks current resistance, hits 106K first, then starts its journey around 90K to form a huge inverse H&S. This might be the only viable option for BIST to go for new highs. TRY assets are all fundamentally weak right now, thus nobody should expect mega rallies on TRY currency pairs or stock exchanges.
My scenario is, we see a new rally on USDTRY when TCMB (Turkish central bank) lowers the interest rates due to the political pressure, at the end of this month. Before this, BIST will do its best to go 106K zone as quickly as possible, afterward its journey downwards to form the right shoulder should begin.
The daily chart shows divergences and the price can even stop here at its current level, but the weekly chart is bullish so I think we should see 106K to satisfy the weekly chart.
The current strength is due to the relief of US sanctions, or rather lack of US sanctions. The US only has restricted Turkey to access F35 program so it seems there will be no economic sanctions, which did fuel the rally of BIST nowadays. Still, this effect cannot last for long, especially when you expect a mega dovish TCMB stand this month.
Above you see the current contraction zone, RSI divergence and how EMAs pushing the price level higher while the current main trendline resistance trying to block the prices.
Could be a Turning point for #SODA #XU100Could be a turning point for #SODA and upcoming bullish trend.
KFEIN (BIST) - PA AnalysisThere is Demand Zone around 6.85 for holding price on the ascending trendline. If price engulf this area and break the uptrend, it would sweep swing lows. Next demand zone around 6.0 could hold price and we could see retest to 6.85.
If downward trend gets approval (by retesting 6.85), 3.67 and 2.87 would be targets to be reached.