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BTCUSD—Oversold Zone Approaching, Correction LikelyGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! Fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 74, while Stoch RSI continues to approach oversold territory. Today’s price action outlook is similar to yesterday’s update, with a likely target correction around the 64K range. Current potential for a pump is low. Remember, markets are dynamic—stay cautious, don’t FOMO, and always manage risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Bitcoin: Hasn't Reached Optimal Price.Bitcoin showing a higher low consolidation just above the 64K area support. Relative to the previous bullish structure, this signifies a higher likelihood that a higher high will follow, it's just a matter of catalyst. In the mean time, price can fluctuate either way from the current point (random). While the trend may be obvious in this situation, timing it effectively has everything to do with recognizing high probability price locations, setups etc. Otherwise you can make the mistake of assuming greater risk than you realize. In this article, I will describe the high probability, lower risk scenario that the market MAY OR MAY NOT present in the coming week. One thing I recognize is that price continues to flirt with a resistance zone which makes this a tricky play for swing trades (at the time of writing current candle is inside bar). The 67K to 70K area is still a resistance zone (blue rectangle) and a higher risk location for long swing trades. In such scenarios when location is high risk but buy signals appear (break of inside bar high for example), it is more effective to assume risk on smaller time frames like 4H or 1H, and attempting to participate for a smaller bite. The risk that you are minimizing in this situation is the possibility that the 65K minor support is tested again and/or broken (see arrow). The higher probability and lower risk scenario would be IF price can test the 64K support, followed by a reversal confirmation. The location is much more attractive since the potential profit is greater (3K+ points) coupled with much lower RISK (1 to 1.5 max) compared to 3K+ points of risk at the moment relative to this time frame. The illustration on the chart summarizes the ideal scenario that IF the market shows, would be a high probability swing trade long opportunity (which requires entry confirmation). These scenarios that I present are dependent on the price action confirmation otherwise risk cannot be justified. Even having a confirmation process (like the Trade Scanner Pro) does NOT guarantee the trade idea will produce a positive outcome. After all, markets are HIGHLY random and outcomes are often the result of unexpected information being priced in. This is why technical analysis cannot be relied upon over longer time horizons, but can be helpful for quantifying risk. Managing a position effectively no matter the time frame has everything to do with having properly aligned market expectations. First you uncover an idea, LET the market confirm the idea, from there it goes the right way or the wrong way. Your expectations will then shape how you manage the position as it fluctuates. The key to effective management is having an open enough mind to let the market pay you more when IT wants to, while being decisive enough to get out the moment you recognize what "wrong" looks like (or using other risk control methods like a stop). All of this information can be acquired from price charts or tools developed to simplify this process. Without any "process" you are most susceptible to relying on intuition and "hope" which will result in the typical retail trader experience: win sometimes but the account never grows for some reason. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
BTCUSD—Oversold Stoch RSI Signals Possible CorrectionGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! The fear and greed index is currently inaccessible—likely under maintenance. However, Stoch RSI is heading towards oversold territory, and the BTC candle close on the 25th broke through the previous day’s bullish engulfing. So, where to next? Based on today’s price action, there's a strong probability that BTC will correct to the 65K - 64K range, possibly even lower. Stay safe, don’t FOMO, and as always, manage your risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Bitcoin: The Short and Long (Term) ViewI want to give a video breakdown of my last Tradingview post which did very well as an Editor's Pick. Commentors posed some very good questions that deserve detailed explanations. First, I talk about the confluence of three major levels of Resistance that setup last week and remained the overhead Resistance of INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin this week (and possibly in the short term). Finally, lest I be accused of being TOO BEARISH... my LONG TERM view (going out for the next decade and beyond) using logarithmic projections of Bitcoin price action to define the Risk and Reward of a long term (2030 and beyond) investment. When Bitcoin is a good and not-so-good value proposition.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by norok
3
Bitcoin - Now Is The Time For A Breakout!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will exit the consolidation now: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 The only factor which is really driving the price of Bitcoin is technical analysis. And everything is pointing towards a bullish breakout above the preivous all time high and significant follow through. Make sure you somehow participate in the bullrun, either with altcoins or Bitcoin. Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
16
TONUSDT Potential breakout from a down trendTONUSDT is in a prolonged sideways movement above the psychological level at 5.00, creating a range between 5.00 and 5.40. This structure suggests potential liquidity beneath the 5.00 level, particularly as it aligns with the round number. It’s likely the market may continue moving sideways before eventually dipping to capture this liquidity. Additionally, the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern hints at a possible bullish reversal. If the pattern completes, it could signal a shift in momentum and a potential breakout above the range. The mid-term target is the resistance zone at 6.00
Long
by RTED_Investing
BTCUSD—Engulfing Candle Boosts 70K ProbabilityGM crypto bro's! The fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 72, while the Stoch RSI is on its way towards oversold. The BTC candle on 24th October closed with a solid engulfing pattern, increasing the probability of further upward movement, possibly around 70K. However, given the fear and greed index has stayed in the greed zone for several days, keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t FOMO, always manage your risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
BITCOIN This 1D Golden Cross can push it to the ATH ($73800).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of a major bullish formation as most likely by next Monday, it will form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first such formation since October 29 2023. As we've analyzed before, it is no coincidence that exactly 1 year later a new 1D Golden Cross emerges as seasonality and long-term Cycles play a pivotal role for BTC. On top of that, the price made a major re-test (and so far bounce) at the top of the former Channel Down that broke upwards last week. If this re-test holds, it is the best short-term signal for a new High. In fact the price has been making Higher Highs since the August 05 bottom, forming a double Channel Up pattern, and those Higher Highs are the reason why the market got behind this rally and supported it to break above the 7-month Channel Down. So the Higher Highs along with the 1D Golden Cross are the bullish combination that the market needs to look (much) higher. The first technical target now is naturally the 73800 All Time High (ATH). It is very possible to see it get tested by the election day. But what do you think? Do you expect the ATH to break aggressively after the elections, just like the October 2023 1D Golden Cross did? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
BTC Greed at 69: Key Price Action on Bullish Engulfing WatchGM crypto bro's! This morning, the fear and greed index is at 69 in the greed zone. The Stoch RSI has exited overbought territory. Yesterday, on 23/10/2024, BTC dropped significantly to the 65K range, but our 64K zone hasn’t been touched yet. Price action this morning shows that if today’s candle closes as a bullish engulfing, the chance of visiting 64K decreases, with a higher probability of BTC heading towards 70K. Keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t FOMO, always manage your risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Bitcoin Update: The Last Level Before...Over the weekend Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD topped out at a level which has multiple confluences. In this post I will break them down one by one and talk about what happens next... Perhaps the most common level noted by commentators is the Trend Line/Expanding Wedge/Inverted Triangle. I personally do not put much faith in these lines or patterns. The reason I do not is because they are often arbitrary. They can be drawn from any of the different highs and lows to support a person's narrative. As a trader I want clearly defined and objective levels. That being said... everyone draws this line and so it can become a self fulfilling prophesy. The additional levels give it more validity: The elephant on the chart holding down price is (and has for a long time been) the prior All Time High from 2021. This important level has been haunting Bitcoin's much hoped for RIP for years and it continues to do so. Price has hit it again this weekend and stalled. Lastly, the more nuanced but important level is the final Volume Profile zone. Again, price hit and stalled at it this weekend. There are no more true significant levels of prior price and volume between this level and the All Time High. So what happens now? It is quite Boolean by my experience... a Yes/No with high probability. If THIS level (being discussed in this article) is broken then there is a very high probability that price will rocket from 69k to 74k as there are no more levels of resistance within that small range and the momentum should carry it up to the next level with certainty. Then, at the All Time High, price will certainly respond with another hold or a break. There is very good bullish trading of this small range. After the All Time High there will need to be a solid, confirmed breakout. To me this means a Weekly closing candle well above it. At that point... sky is the limit for Bitcoin. Otherwise, price holds here and the long and expanding consolidation continues as well as falls back to the ETF launch level of 43k. This is what I am betting on. Money where my mouth is: I am talking my book. I still remain long term short bitcoin using AMEX:BITI (the inverse ETF). I have been watching these developments closely to determine if my position is still valid. It has been on the cusp of being invalid but still remains my thesis. Sunday night I entered additional futures contracts short at the level. Trade wisely!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by norok
46
BITCOIN When the 4 year Cycles do the talking..It's been some time since we last used the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) but the timing is just right to bring you an update, only 2 weeks before the U.S. Presidential Elections with the market ahead on an imminent bullish break-out. This time we look into how the price was trading on this date every 4 years. As you know BTC is trading roughly within 4 year Cycles that keep a high degree of symmetry and tend to repeat a lot of dynamics each time. Right now, towards the end of October (2024), the price is trading within the Mean MM (black trend-line) and the 1st SD above (grey trend-line). It has already started rising off the Mean MM. Based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, it is no surprise then that the price was within the exact same range in October 2020, October 2016 and October 2012. The degree of symmetry is remarkable and is yet again showcased by this indicator. We can also see that by this time every 4 years, the price had already started rising off the Mean MM, just as it is doing now. With the green Rectangles we display the date range between these 4-year intervals and the peak of the Bull Cycle. For October 2012 it took 58 weeks (406 days) until it topped, October 2016 was 60 weeks (420 days) while October 2020 was 55 days (385 days). So time-wise the Cycle tends to peak roughly the same period. As a result, if we take the minimum scenario of 55 weeks, we can expect the Cycle to top by mid November 2025. As far as targets are concerned, the first two Cycles hit (and broke) the 3 SD above (red trend-line), while the last one the 2 SD above (orange trend-line). Again assuming a 'worst case scenario' hitting 'just' the 2 SD trend-line, we can set a Target Range of 190k - 250k, depending on whether the price hits it halfway through the 55 week range or towards its end. Nevertheless, an exciting rally appears to be starting for Bitcoin. So what do you think? Is this October MMB fractal about to break to a parabolic rally? And if so, will it hit the orange trend-line? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
BTC Greed Index Drops to 70: Correction Begins, Eyeing 64K ?GM crypto bro's! This morning, the fear and greed index slightly dropped to 70, down from 73, and Stoch RSI is signaling a potential decline, exiting the overbought area. Finally, BTC is experiencing a significant correction, dropping from 69K to 67K. The next potential correction target is in the 66K range, with a possibility of visiting our 64K range. Get your bullets ready to buy the dip, and as always, keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t FOMO, manage your risk. This is Akki, signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
BTCUSD: Broke above the 7 month pattern and turned bullish on 1WBitcoin just turned bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 56.534, MACD = 2298.400, ADX = 20.606) as it crossed over the top (LH) of the 7 month Bearish Megaphone. This is a major bullish breakout and the only one remaining is the R1 level (70,000). This is practically the reason of today's pullback because the price is being rejected just under the R1 level. Still, there is no cause for concern as since Sep 20th, Bitcoin has crossed and sustained trading above its MA trendlind, a sign of a trend reversal. Furthermore, the Bullish Megaphone that started on the November 2022 bottom just formed a Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD and with the support of the 1W MA50 is now looking to establish the new bullish wave. If similar rallies like the previous waves take place, then Bitcoin can target 100k at least (TP = 100,000), even as early as January 2025. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
BTC Greed Zone 72: BTC Holding at 69K, Potential Pump or Drop?GM crypto bro's, back to the working day! This morning, the fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 72, with Stoch RSI still chilling in the overbought area. BTC is currently staying around the 69K range, with no significant correction yet—just small retraces so far. So, where could BTC head next? Looking at the price action this morning, it’s tough to predict, but there are two possible scenarios: either BTC hits 70K or drops back to the 64K - 63K range. Keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t FOMO, always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Bitcoin: Bullish Into Range Resistance?Bitcoin over the recent week has blown through the 64K resistance and now hesitating at 68K. The blue square on my chart highlights the resistance zone that price fluctuates within. Is Bitcoin more likely to continue higher or retrace back to 64K from here? In this article I will evaluate the possibilities of both outcomes and how to better align your decision making with market intent. First I will address my previous week's scenario. If you read the article, my conclusion was that Bitcoin was more likely to retrace and test the 60K support area. Boy was I wrong about that one, but the question is: could I have anticipated that resistance break? The blue arrow on the chart points to a sharp move higher as a result of China surprising the market with a stimulus package (which translates into rising global inflation). Gold, silver and Bitcoin were pushing highs the whole week which serves as a valuable lesson when it comes to how a news events can change the a market outlook in an instant. This is why NO ONE can accurately forecast a market far in advance (unless you have REAL inside information). Any trade or investment can GO WRONG for any reason at any time. Effective RISK management is the key to this game for this precise reason. You have to be prepared to get out of something that is showing the wrong look so to speak and be able to adjust your mindset to the new information at hand. That is the market, you either accept that or simply donate all of your capital to someone who is more flexible than you. That brings me to Bitcoin now. This week I am anticipating a bearish retrace (see illustration) back to the 64K support (old resistance). The sell signal is confirmed when the inside bar low is compromised (previous candle). Even in the face of the inflationary news, I am bearish at these levels for one simple reason: previous tests of this range have attracted selling activity (look backwards on chart). Since "history repeats itself", I believe probability favors selling activity at least for a week or so. Also what adds even more to the short term bearish argument is the fact that Bitcoin continues to respect the broader consolidation which it has been within since March. Until 73K breaks, I will expect the range to stay intact which means both supports and resistances are more likely to HOLD not break. What can go wrong here? IF the current momentum persists, and the inside bar high is compromised instead, it will cancel out my bearish scenario. In this instance, the 70 to 73K zone can be tested. Again this is about ADJUSTING to market action, not getting married to an idea. How you navigate opportunities that are derived from price momentum depends on having clear objectives and being aligned with respective time frames. Before you even pull up a chart, you must know if you are looking for day trade or swing trade setups. From that point you can better utilize what I share here by incorporating my levels, price structure along with my confirmation references. Respect the price, simplify your decision making process as much as possible and learn to recognize "wrong" quickly. It is easier said than done but this at least should put you on the right path. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
26