Bitcoin-btcusd
BTC Range from a Premium & Discount PerspectiveBitcoin has been known to be in range, and we can use tools to analyze it's price action:
1. Trendline Tops & Bottoms as Support & Resistance
2. Trendline Channel
3. Premium & Discount Range
For Premium & Discount Range, configure the Fib into 0.25, 0.5 and 0.75. These levels act as Intermediate Support & Resistances.
Here, I do not use Fibonacci retracements, but could easily view my chart in a clear manner. We will have to see how price reacts around these channel and ranges to understand it's movements.
Hope it helps, follow if you like more chart analysis.
Thanks!
Bitcoin Continues Consolidating Within Key RangeChart Analysis:
Bitcoin remains in a long-term uptrend, supported by an ascending trendline (black line) and recently consolidating within a rectangular range near $96,000.
1️⃣ Ascending Trendline:
The long-term trendline continues to act as dynamic support, underpinning Bitcoin's bullish structure.
Traders may watch for price reactions near this trendline for potential bounce opportunities.
2️⃣ Key Range:
Bitcoin is consolidating between $96,000 (support) and $110,000 (resistance).
A breakout above $110,000 would confirm bullish momentum, while a break below $96,000 could signal downside risks.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned near $91,000, providing short-term dynamic support.
200-day SMA (red): Rising around $70,000, confirming the long-term bullish trend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering near 51, indicating neutral momentum after cooling off from overbought conditions.
MACD: Momentum remains positive, but recent consolidation has led to a flattening trend in the MACD.
What to Watch:
Monitor the $96,000-$110,000 range for potential breakout opportunities.
A breakout above $110,000 could target new highs, while a drop below $96,000 may test the ascending trendline or lower supports.
Look for RSI or MACD divergences to confirm breakout direction.
Bitcoin remains within a bullish structure, with the ascending trendline and moving averages providing key levels to follow. The consolidation phase offers a clear technical setup for the next directional move.
-MW
Bitcoin's Ultimate Pump: The Trap Before the CrashBitcoin continues its “hype” and is close to forming the next spurt. Globally, the picture looks like close to the distribution zone. We are approaching the biggest “cheat” in history. I expect a final spurt into the zone around 120k, from here a long trade will start where altcoins will shoot up and show incredible gains. The crowd will be experiencing FOMO, heads of state and big companies will start making noise that this is just a pro-trade level for Bitcoin before the next spurt. Only the majority will fall back into the trap and end up in a bear market with huge losses. The market is set up so that only 10% will make money and the other 90% will be cheated. After the distribution is completed, I expect the bitcoin price to fall below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The RSI value will drop below 30 units on such a drop and we will enter a global fear phase. I would attribute the next bull market to the rise of the DeSci and AI sectors. My research on the cryptocurrency market sectors shows that large funds and corporations are starting to invest in projects in these areas.
Horban Brothers.
Bitcoin in lower timeframes (4H)Bitcoin appears to be within a "Trading Range" on lower timeframes.
Within this range, a bearish "QM" (Quasimodo) pattern seems to have formed. To complete the right shoulder of this QM, the price may need to rise to higher levels (red box).
It could move from the green box up to the red box.
Generally, during the year-end holiday period, many large and small traders need cash and sell part of their assets, causing a mid-level correction in the market. During these days, the market seeks liquidity hunts and fluctuations within a specific range. At this stage, it's advisable to reduce the number of your trades and avoid futures trading to some extent.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN New year, same thing..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just reclaimed the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) over the weekend and is so far successfully holding it below the price action, making it a Support.
The exact same price action took place in January last year (2024). In fact, as these 1D charts very vividly illustrate, the whole sequence from the September 06 2024 Low to today, is very similar to the sequence from the September 11 2023 Low to (so far) January 2024.
This incredible degree of symmetry is also extending to their 1D RSI and MACD fractals. The first formed Bearish Divergences under Lower Highs trend-lines, which when broken confirm the new rally, while the latter (MACD) was the early buy signal when it formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark.
If BTC continues to copy the January 2024 fractal, then we should be expecting a few more days of sideways price action, that will pave the way for the new (2nd) Rally Phase of the whole pattern. The 2nd rally peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the September 11 2023 Low, so if the pattern replication continues, we may see a peak above $150k.
So do you think the early 2024 bullish break-out will be repeated? And if yes, are you expecting a peak as high as $150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Bullish Until 90K Is Broken.Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow), price is likely to test the 102,500 area minor resistance. IF it gets there, and what happens after is anyone's GUESS. The idea here is to be prepared for the coming week by coming to the market with a sense of context while at the same time being open to ANYTHING. The market decides what actually happens, the only thing we can do is adjust and follow.
I like to think of everything within a limited range of scenarios. "If this scenario, then that" or "if this other scenario, then that other outcome". For example, IF the current candle closes as a doji and the high is cleared over the next day, price is likely to squeeze into the next resistance area which happens to be in the 102Ks (see thin rectangle). This information can help you to prepare for bullish setups and confirmations on smaller time frames to capture a portion of the 4K point potential. This is where a confirmation tool like my Trade Scanner Po comes into play. You come to the market with an idea and the tool provides an objective confirmation with defined risk and profit objective.
IF the current candle develops into a bearish engulfing instead, that would cancel out the bullish idea and increase the likelihood of price retesting the 90K AREA support zone. A location where long setups should be anticipated UNTIL the level is compromised. Again the market moves first, and then from there we can better anticipate the following movement.
At this point there is not much to do but wait for a confirmation one way or the other. The 100K area may also act as a psychological resistance so taking swing trades or positions with longer time horizons carries a lot more risk compared to signals around the low 90ks.
How you navigate the market depends heavily on the time horizon you choose. Smaller time horizons have smaller associated risk, but a larger amount of noise and false signals. Larger time frames are less noisy and offer larger movements, but the risk is much greater. It is possible to operate on multiple time frames but requires a decent amount of experience.
And while Bitcoin is still generally bullish, that does not mean it will stay that way. It is better to keep an open mind than to get married to an opinion ESPECIALLY if the source of that opinion came from some "expert". For better perspective, keep an eye on the weekly or monthly time frame. If the low of the current monthly candle is compromised, some kind of corrective move is likely to follow, NOT BTC 1.2 million.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
$BTC - Quick Market Updates CRYPTOCAP:BTC stalled or consolidating at the high, retesting its immediate resistance at 98.5k
98.5k remains to be the trouble zone that we need to reclaim. If we continue to reject at this level (m_rvwap) , we might test 96.6k (npoc) to 96.1k (poor low)
Would love to see we hold the value area low, but we'll see how the weekly closes!
NZDUSD - Easiest 1000pip Trade Ever!We might be on the verge of one of the easiest trades ever.
NZDUSD is currently in a wave B correction, which appears to be a 333 WXY correction. We are currently in wave Y and expecting a breakout for the bigger wave C.
Trade Idea:
- Enter on break of trendline
- Stops below lows after trendline break
- Targets: 0.61 (500pips), 0.65 (1000pips)
Simple, right?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
BITCOIN Cup & Handle Pattern has yet to see its full potential.Bitcoin has been forming a massive cup-and-handle pattern, which I pointed out a long before it was common knowledge. Even with the new all-time highs it has already set, broken, and set again, it has still yet to realize its full potential.
Many are just now starting to realize that the bull run we are currently experiencing isn't like previous bull run cycles and is operating in a way that's unlike anything we've seen before. 'Altcoin season' may very well end up becoming a permanent Bitcoin season if this trend continues.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
BTC can Reach $109k If It Manages to Break this ... !!As I mentioned, the price finally managed to break the bullish wedge and reach the targets I mentioned. Now, technically, since the price has reached the important 0.618 line, it might correct slightly and then break this line with strength to reach higher targets.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin - Please Look At This Timeframe!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still totally bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Please just make sure, that you don't trust Bitcoin with its daily swings of more than -5%. Looking at the overall picture, Bitcoin is still incredibly bullish and almost trading at its all time high. Bulls are 100% in control of everything and some profit taking along the way is just normal.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Levont - BTC/USD Analysis: Testing Key Resistance ZoneBTC/USD Analysis (Daily Chart - D1)
Price Structure:
- Bitcoin is currently trading at $96,884 , approaching a key resistance zone between $98,000 and $100,000 . This area has historically acted as a significant rejection point, as seen in previous candles with long upper wicks around this region.
- The chart shows a clear rebound from the support zone around $90,000-$92,000 , where buyers stepped in strongly to prevent further declines. This movement validates the support as a critical level.
- Overall, the structure presents a consolidation pattern within a broad range between $90,000 (support) and $100,000 (resistance) .
Potential Scenarios:
1.Bullish Scenario:
- If the price successfully breaks above the $100,000 resistance (confirmed by a strong daily close above this level), we could see a move toward higher levels such as $102,000-$104,000 , or even beyond.
- An increase in volume during the breakout would be key to validating this scenario.
2.Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and shows rejection through candles with long upper wicks or bearish patterns (e.g., shooting stars), we could expect a correction toward immediate support at $94,000 , or even a more pronounced drop toward recent lows at $90,000 .
Key Indicators:
- Volume : Currently low, suggesting indecision in the market. A significant breakout will require notable volume expansion.
- Candles: Recent candles show solid bullish bodies, but the next sessions will be crucial to confirm whether buyers have enough strength to challenge the resistance.
🔑 Key Levels:
- Resistance: $98,000 - $100,000
- Support: $94,000 and $90,000
🌍 BTC/USD Fundamental Analysis
Positive Factors:
1. Institutional Adoption:
- Companies like MicroStrategy continue accumulating Bitcoin. Their recent massive purchase reinforces the long-term bullish narrative.
- Institutional interest remains strong as Bitcoin solidifies its position as an alternative asset against inflation and global economic uncertainty.
2. Favorable Regulation:
- In the U.S., there are expectations of clearer and more favorable crypto policies under the current administration. This could attract new capital flows into the market.
3. Seasonal Trends:
- Historically, January has been a positive month for Bitcoin. Investors often reset their strategies after year-end tax-related sell-offs.
Negative Factors/Risks:
1. Token Unlocks:
- January is expected to see massive token unlocks across various crypto projects (approximately $7 billion in value). This could indirectly create selling pressure on Bitcoin as investors seek liquidity.
2. Global Monetary Policy:
- The hawkish stance of central banks (e.g., the Federal Reserve) could limit flows into speculative assets like Bitcoin if interest rates continue rising.
3. On-Chain Activity:
- While long-term holders are accumulating, on-chain data shows a decline in overall transaction activity. This could indicate reduced interest from retail participants.
Bitcoin - It Will Reach $100.000!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will break out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Everything, and I literally mean everything, is bullish on Bitcoin. The previous cycles, timeframes, market structure and price action are all pointing towards the continuation of the bull run which started in 2023. And a breakout above the all time high, is the next trigger.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Short term Bitcoin warning: multiple bearish signalsShort term #bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD warning:
- price is retesting the 50-day moving average, which is now resistance since we broke it to the downside
- price is bumping into the average volume levels of this top
- there is no volume behind this push (there is a price/volume divergence)
- we formed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern
- we didnt liquidate enough leveraged LONGs
Bitcoin cán ignore all this and just PUMP through but just keep it in mind. Happy trading! 🥸
The quickening of #BTC RSI & price extremes!I don't make the rules.
:)
We are just surfing the waves of emotions,
of the crowds.
Here we have Monthly line chart with the RSI
It clearly shows a quickening of the trend and how the 4 year cycle is likely to fail this time around.
It is too well know as a theory and will be front ran.
(in my opinion)
We should get a RSI peak at this rate, around May (could be June ofc)
and second lower peak around November (or DEC )
As always good luck in your speculations
#Crypto's are highly speculative instruments as we all know
During these tops you will be told many stories
you must have the wherewith-all to ignore the noise.
The Bitcoin Matrix: Fibonacci’s $250k BlueprintI am tracing Bitcoin's trajectory to $250k using a unique technical lens - Fib circles on a logarithmic chart paired with extension spikes. These circles, six in number, have been instrumental in identifying key price action stages since Bitcoin's first halving.
We group these stages into three 'duo-phases'
( I, II, III )
( With two for each )
Each Macro Pair representing an integral era of Bitcoin's technical evolution in Logarithmic mode through s/r.
I've also linked my other future proof Bitcoin analysis ideas below.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) - End of 2024 - Daily Price ConsolidationBitcoin (BTC/USDT) price is currently in a short-term downtrend and consolidation pattern (end of December 2024).
Bitcoin price needs to hold above $92,000 to $90,000 to avoid a daily bearish head-and-shoulders resistance price pattern.
Support Levels to the downside currently are: $92000, $90000, $87610, $85000, $81000, $76000.
Resistance levels to the upside currently are: $96500, $100000, $105000, $108000, $110000, $120000.
Daily and Weekly price consolidation is ongoing, and Bitcoin is seeking to establish the next higher-low support price.
Note: breaking news, corporate news, government law changes, stock market correlations, and crypto events can affect and override technical chart patterns.
Date: 12/30/2024 pm
Bitcoin: 90K Break Monthly Sell Signal.Bitcoin has rejected the 99,500K resistance area establishing a LOWER HIGH (see arrow). This is a BEARISH sign that increases the chances of a 90K support break. At the same time, price is back inside of a broader support zone (90 to 95K) which may see a brief reversal develop as well. In order to utilize this information which may appear to be conflicting, you must know what time frame you are looking to capitalize on. The key is to be able to adjust when the market confirms one way of the other. Forecasting absolute scenarios is ineffective.
The 90K support area is a key level. A bullish reversal is likely to appear somewhere in this zone which may be good for a brief retest of the mid to higher 90Ks, but I would not expect much more than that. It maybe worth a swing trade (upon confirmation) for 1 or 2K points. If 90K breaks instead, then this scenario is NO longer in play.
The rejection of the 99,500 resistance signifies weakness that should be NO SURPRISE since price is coming off of a broader Wave 5. This move also establishes a BEARISH pin bar on the monthly chart. A break below the low of this candle will also constitute a broader time frame sell signal. This event CAN be the beginning of the next corrective structure that can see price retest the mid 80Ks or even as low as the 70K area (pre election peak) over the next quarter. Hard to believe after all the Michael Saylor thumbnails on Youtube recently. Lesson: Don't buy highs, especially when every Youtube thumbnail has his face on it along with an outrageous price objective. I think the only people fooled by this nowadays are little kids.
The Wave 5 that has completed establishes a larger Wave 3 (the bottom of which is 15K). This means the coming corrective cycle Can persist for the next two years and may be very similar to a recent yearly Wave 4 in Gold which took two years to break out of. Wave 4s are typically consolidations and can be very confusing especially when they test their lows. This will be very important for long term investors to to aware of since it there are likely to be opportune dollar cost average prices (just make sure you understand how to weight and avoid leverage).
Being familiar with wave counts is very helpful when it comes to recognizing important turning points and what to generally expect in the near future. It serves as an effective context to consider when utilizing other more specific pattern oriented strategies. The market provides the evidence, and then we adjust to improve probabilities, every else is a function of the risk we choose to take.
Have a safe and Happy New Year and thank you again for considering my analysis.