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BITCOIN The Volatility Index points to strong consolidation nextLast time we analyzed Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in relation to the Volatility Index (VIX), was 4 months ago (August 22, see chart below) and was an extremely successful projection as we took advantage of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) bottom and predicted the $100k Target, which recently got hit: Once more, we decided to seek the (mostly) negatively correlated patterns of VIX (chart on the right) to determine BTC's (chart on the left) price action in the coming months. Based on VIX's Channel Down, the fact that it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and now is rebounding indicates that BTC may be entering a weekly consolidation phase. As you can see on VIX's chart, every time it broke below the 1W MA50 and started rising, Bitcoin entered a multi-week consolidation phase that sometimes was quick and others many months in length. Its 1W RSI is also at a level that relates to all those consolidation phases. In our opinion this consolidation has more probabilities of being similar to December 04 2023 - January 29 2024, as the post August 2024 rally resembles more the rally that started on August 2023. This highlights the high degree of symmetry within Bitcoin's 2-year Channel Up. If it continues to replicate that huge Bullish Leg, then we might as well see the rally peaking upon a +195.27% rise again. That could target $145000 by May 2025, which technically would also be marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci Channel extension, similar to the March 11 2024 High. So what do you think? Is it possible for Bitcoin to enter a multi-week consolidation now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
4
Bullish Patterns and Bitcoin: A Roadmap to $125KAs anticipated by many, following Trump’s election, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge. On November 14th, it encountered its first notable correction during this upward momentum. In early December, Bitcoin crossed the critical 100k milestone for the first time. However, this achievement was followed by a swift pullback. Since then, dips have consistently been met with strong buying activity, and as of now, the price has stabilized comfortably above this key psychological level. The price action since mid-November reveals the formation of an ascending channel, a technical pattern that historically suggests a 70% probability of continuation to the upside. A decisive breakout above 107k could confirm this bullish scenario, with a measured target for the next leg up around 125k if the pattern fulfills its statistical expectation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin: New Profit Objectives Greater Risk.Bitcoin is poised to push the 104K high after breaking the previous inside bar (buy signal). While this is exciting and a newsworthy event for the casual observer, it is important to recognize some potential turning points from here. While there is no precision to this, it does offer a way to measure profit objectives and compare them to the growing RISK. Once again I will emphasize that swing trades and day trades are the most effective way to contain the large magnitude of RISK that is often overlooked by many. The blue arrow on the chart points to the 104K all time high. The thing to avoid here is shorting it with the thinking that it will "double top" ect. At this time there are no signs of weakness. The outside bar that developed a week ago has been bought up, along with any minor pullback thereafter. With the trend structure clearly in place, shorts still pose a high risk, especially on swing trade time frames. There are situations where risk on both sides of the market can be high and these are usually good times to be small or be out. As far as profit objectives: measuring Wave 1 and projecting from the Wave 2 bottom, I see inflection points in the 105K and 113K areas (see horizontal lines). We can use these to anticipate selling activity and prepare to lock in profits, etc. Can price can further? ANYTHING is possible, but as I will ALWAYS say at highs, the probability is lower. The fact that we are in the vicinity of a Wave 5 of 5 of a broader 3 is what clues me into the limited potential. The initial retrace from the current high (see illustration) or these anticipated profit objectives will serve as a short term buying opportunity (swing trade). As of now, UNTIL the 90K support is broken, I would not be bearish. Look for supports to hold and confirmations to buy on smaller time frames. It is important to REALIZE that markets move in CYCLES. At some point this bullish cycle will complete and the next corrective cycle will begin. It may be hard to believe at the present time because news and general sentiment is continuously bullish. What will catch most people off guard is when the next cycle begins, it will seem like a normal pullback only this time will it not be followed by new highs. This is when the typical trader/investor gets married to the market because they refuse to adjust to the changing structure. And like over half of the marriages today, it will be costly. For me, the 90K break will confirm that the broader corrective cycle is in play. Thank toy for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
GBPUSD - Nothing Can Stop It, It's All The Way Up!Here we have the monthly chart for GBPUSD. GBPUSD 'recently' completed a major ending diagonal. We know this as it was a 5 wave pattern in the form of a wedge. Now that the bottom is in, we're expecting multiyear bullish price action. Wave 1 can be an impulse or a leading diagonal. For GBPUSD, we are seeing a clear leading diagonal pattern = 5 waves. We are anticipating one final move up to complete wave 1 and then we'll be seeing a wave 2 correction (as shown in the chart) Trade Idea: Trading the 5th wave of the Leading Diagonal - Watch for bullish price action to appear - Confirmations such as trendline break or BOS can be used to gain an entry - Once entered, put stops below wave 4 - Target: 1.36 (1,100pips) Once wave 1 leading diagonal is complete, we'll be back with an update! If this post gets enough engagement, we'll post lower timeframe charts. Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
3
Bitcoin - Preparing For Another +200% Rally!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is just starting a major bullrun: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Bitcoin rallied more than +40% in November and despite the recent bullrun and the all time high breakout, Bitcoin is just starting its next major bullish cycle. Looking at previous price and trend behaviour, it is quite likely that Bitcoin will eventually retest the top of the channel. Levels to watch: $100.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
15
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in short term!After this heavy drop, BITCOIN has now formed an ascending triangle in the 1-h time frame, which could be a sign of a bullish trend. Please note that this analysis is in the 1-h time frame. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
BITCOIN This is why $250k is a Cycle Top candidateBitcoin (BTCUSD) is now cruising on the Bull Cycle's most aggressive phase, the Parabolic Rally. We got the final confirmation as it broke above and now established the 1st Standard Deviation from Above (grey trend-line) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) as the new Support. Having already broken above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, every time BTC flipped the 1st SD into Support while above the ATH, it hit at least the 2nd SD (orange trend-line) before the Cycle Top was priced. This level is currently at $181700 but rising along with the trend What adds a more specific dynamic to the potential Cycle Top though, is that during Bitcoin's 11-year Higher Lows trend-line growth, it posted rallies of at least +1719% on each Cycle. As the Cycles progressed and due to the Law of Diminishing Returns, this rally started lower each time. This shows the great significance of this rally and as a result, on the current Cycle with can estimate from its very bottom (November 2022). This suggests that we can reach at least $250k before or around the time the 2nd SD is tested. In addition, all Cycles have topped after the 1M RSI makes contact with its historic Lower Highs trend-line. So what do you think? Is $250k a strong candidate for a Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
13
BTC Bitcoin Bear Market If you haven`t bought BTC before the recent rally: Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to retrace in December before starting a recovery around March. This pattern could repeat this season, with BTC facing selling pressure as year-end portfolio rebalancing and macro uncertainties weigh on the market. While a brief Santa Claus rally might provide temporary relief, the bearish trend is expected to dominate until March. By then, BTC could trade below $84K before regaining momentum, aligning with its historical recovery trend as market conditions stabilize in spring.
Short
by TopgOptions
Bitcoin Is About To Enter 100K Area SoonBitcoin with ticker BTCUSD is coming and moving nicely higher as expected, after Donald Trump won US elections, so coin remains in a strong bullish five-wave impulse on a daily chart with room even up to 130k-150k area. Price came nicely higher, out of a recent wave 4 consolidation into wave 5 of an extended wave (3) close to 100k area in the 4-hour chart. Now that BTC is slowing down, seems like it's making a higher degree correction in wave (4) before the uptrend for wave (5) of 3 towards 100k area resumes. It's ideally forming a bullish triangle pattern in wave (4), but alternatively be also aware of a deeper correction, which can still retest 90k-85k support zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum? Correction to 85K LikelyYesterday, Bitcoin experienced another drop, falling from above 100K and reaching a low of just over 94K, briefly touching the ascending trendline that dates back to the time of Trump’s election. While the price action since November 5 has been characterized by higher highs and higher lows—usually a sign of bullish momentum—the broader structure appears to signal a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin is struggling to sustain its highs, raising doubts about its ability to maintain upward momentum, at least for now. Although a new all-time high remains a possibility, I believe it is unlikely that Bitcoin will hold gains above 100K for an extended period. Instead, the more probable scenario involves a correction toward the 85K level. A critical area to monitor lies between 92,500 and 93,000. A decisive break below this support zone would confirm my bearish outlook and could signal the beginning of a deeper correction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
BTCUSD Update: Retest 100K or New Moves Ahead?Good morning, crypto enthusiasts! Today, the fear and greed index remains in extreme greed at 78, while the stochastic RSI has dropped to the oversold area at 9. In the previous market update, I mentioned the potential for BTC to visit the 93K area. This morning, it dropped to around the 94K price range, which leads me to consider the 93K area invalid. So, where is BTC heading next? Based on today’s price action, there’s a big probability for a retest of the 100K area. Following this, I see two possible scenarios considering the current extreme greed zone: A pump to 105K–109K. A dump to the 90K–85K area. Stay safe, avoid FOMO, and always manage your risk. That’s all for today’s crypto update. Akki signing off, one chart at a time. Have a nice day and stay SAFU!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
BITCOIN nothing to stop it now! Can top anywhere inside 250-400kMore than 1 year ago (September 05 2023, see chart below), we published the following Bitcoin (BTCUSD) idea, which very illustratively presented the potential course of the new Bull Cycle: As you can see, BTC managed to trade an entire year rising within this green Arc pattern and always below the Cyclical Pivot trend-line that emerged from the bottom of the 2018 Bear Cycle. We made the last update on this chart last August (20 2024), where we called the end of the 5-month correction since March and the start of the new Phase (final Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle. ** The key hold of the 1W MA50 ** The key for that call was the fact that the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) held twice during the August sell-off and supported. As you can see, on all of BTC Bull Cycles, the 1W MA50 has been supporting post Halving and never broke until after the Top and the start of the new Bear Cycle. ** Symmetry of pre and post-Having ** Given that historically the Bull Cycle lasts post-Halving almost the time it lasted from the bottom to the Halving, we should expect its top around December 2025 - January 2026 and if it is on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line, then it could be as high as 400k. However, even on a less optimistic scenario where it lasts 1064 days (152 weeks) from the Bottom (not counting FTX crash), like the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can expect a peak a little over $200000 on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line. ** The 1W RSI series of Tops ** It is important to notice that the 1W RSI is recovering from the overbought volatility correction, having dropped from a massively overbought 88.50 High (March 04) to a practically bearish 45.00 Low (September 02). As this chart shows, BTC tends to top on levels similar to the first 1W RSI of the Cycle, so there is still a lot of way to go before it tops, especially if it follows the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, which had four almost symmetrical such Tops. But what do you think? Are you also expecting Bitcoin to top anywhere within a $250 - $400k range? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
All Stars Aligned: Bitcoin, Gold, Fiat, and DebtThis post explores the idea that Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," might one day replace gold as the preferred store of value. Gold’s price (shown in yellow) has traditionally been sensitive to inflation, which is influenced by money printing, as indicated by the US M2 money supply (shown in white on the chart). Geopolitical and economic insecurity also drives demand for gold, the "safe-haven" metal. To add further context, I've also included US debt (shown in red). The chart reveals that the market seems to have found some form of equilibrium at current levels, with gold’s price finally tracking the M2 money supply and debt parameters closely. Interestingly, Bitcoin (shown in orange) has mirrored this behavior in a similar fast-paced manner. Around the $3,000 mark for gold and near $100,000 for Bitcoin, both assets are aligning with the money supply and debt trends. This suggests that any further price increases could be limited unless additional money is printed or debt increases. Of course, a Black Swan event could disrupt this equilibrium at any time. I also used TradingView’s Correlation Coefficient tool to examine the relationship between Bitcoin and gold. The correlation is impressively high at 0.87, indicating an almost perfect alignment between the two assets. The chart supports the idea that Bitcoin is tracking gold closely, strengthening the notion that Bitcoin could indeed be positioning itself as the "digital gold" of the future. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by aibek
BTCUSD Update: Correction or Pump to 107K?Good morning, crypto enthusiasts! Today, the fear and greed index remains in extreme greed at 78, while the stochastic RSI is sideways at 40. From a price action perspective, there’s a higher probability of BTC revisiting the 93K area for a deeper correction. However, there’s a small chance of a pump to around 107K. Stay safe, avoid FOMO, and always manage your risk. That’s all for today’s crypto update. Akki signing off, one chart at a time. Have a nice day and stay SAFU!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Bitcoin: Signs Of A Cycle High.Bitcoin could be developing a Wave 5 of a broader 5th wave which would complete an even larger Wave 3 (see monthly chart). IF this is confirms, it implies that a much larger corrective cycle (Wave IV) has a greater chance of unfolding. This corrective cycle can see price retest 70K and STILL BE WITHIN a bullish configuration. Such a move can take 6 months to a year to play out. While wave counts do not promise a high degree of accuracy, they can be helpful to estimate the amount of RISK in the future. Based on this wave count, I can at least conclude that current levels are EXTREMELY unattractive when it comes to putting new money to work in terms of investing. Some signs that point to a potential cycle peak: possible double top formation near the 100K area. A large outside bar formation (see arrow). Countless video titles on Youtube that push becoming a "millionaire" (this is a sign of extreme sentiment). Scammers on the rise literally pumping and dumping meme coins on Youtube streams. Michael Saylor's face on countless thumbnails. While many of these signs are not technical, they illustrate the sentiment of the retail investor and it is usually at these times when the market is MOST vulnerable to turning. This process is NOTHING new, but it can be observed in new ways thanks to the social internet. The outside bar that went from the all time high of 104K back to 91K (most of that move occurred within an hour), is a sign that much of this move is on nothing but hot air in my opinion. Yes it recovered, but all it takes is some unexpected catalyst to see the move stick the next time. While the trend has yet to change, this activity highlights the high degree of risk that is present at current levels. While there is never a bad time to invest, price levels are not created equal when it comes to RISK. I will ALWAYS say this at highs: these are prices to reduce risk, take some profits, or invest SMALL. Price action at current levels is ideal for short term strategies like swing trades, day trades, etc. The price area to be waiting for when it comes to putting larger amounts of new money to work is between the 80K to 70K area which is where the cycle low can establish itself while still maintaining a bullish outlook. IF 70K is compromised (it can happen) that would negate the broader bullish structure and expectations should be adjusted at that time. This is NOT a forecast, just a potential scenario to be prepared for. There is no way to forecast the future with any degree of accuracy. All it takes is an unexpected catalyst and everything changes overnight. Markets are highly random, so the ONLY factor we can control is the RISK we take. Imagine buying this on the 100K breakout, only to see a test of 90K area to follow. Why wasn't ANYONE forecasting that little move? Learn to measure and respect risk because "reward" is nothing more than a byproduct of good risk management. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
18
Bitcoin market analysis Key Indicators for a Possible Bitcoin Drop: 1. Descending Resistance (Trendlines): • The red trendlines on both charts indicate a series of lower highs, suggesting sellers are becoming increasingly dominant. • This descending resistance reflects bearish sentiment, as buyers fail to push prices above prior peaks. 2. Support Levels in Danger: • The 1-hour chart highlights a critical green support zone between $90,000 and $89,000. • Repeated testing of support levels without a significant bounce often signals weakening demand, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. 3. Rejection at Key Levels: • Both charts show price rejections near resistance levels. Repeated failures at these points indicate strong selling pressure and a lack of bullish momentum. 4. Divergences in Momentum Indicators: • The bottom indicators in the charts, likely oscillators like RSI or MACD, appear to show bearish divergences. This suggests that while prices attempted rallies, underlying momentum weakened. 5. Short-Term Breakdown: • The 5-minute chart depicts a sharp drop and subsequent consolidation below a key price level ($102,500). This consolidation might represent a bear flag, a continuation pattern signaling further downside. 6. Market Context (Macroeconomic Events): • Upcoming economic data releases (referenced from Forex Factory) can introduce volatility. If the data is bearish for risk assets (e.g., hawkish Fed policies, poor global growth indicators), Bitcoin could face further downward pressure. Outlook: • A break below the green support levels (~$90,000) could trigger a cascading sell-off, with $85,000 or lower as the next potential target. • However, sustained consolidation or a sudden bullish catalyst above $102,500 would invalidate this bearish thesis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by US30EMPIRE
The cyclical nature of Bitcoin by RB Hello, dear friends!😊 I present to Your attention a weekly chart of Bitcoin, which includes price action since 2016, helping us to see a more complete picture and forecast further price behavior.👍 Today, let's focus our attention on the cyclical nature of Bitcoin . The cyclical nature of Bitcoin is a concept based on observing repetitive patterns and phases in its price dynamics. On the chart, You can see a huge ascending broadening wedge, which I marked in white 🤍. The price has been within it since 2016. 😳 At the moment, it can be assumed that the price is aiming for the upper boundary of this wedge. 🚀 Inside this wedge, I noticed a very interesting regularity, which I'm eager to share with You.❤️ For the THIRD time, every three years, after the distribution phase (marked in orange), the price follows a significant rise of 550 percent, followed by the formation of a descending wedge, which ends with the same distribution phase and subsequent rise. If we assume that this cyclicality is true and will repeat more, then by the end of this year or the beginning of the next, Bitcoin could reach $160,000.😱 🧐What do You think about this? Is this scenario realistic? What are You waiting for and what are You counting on? Share Your thoughts with me in the comments!🙏 Thanks for Your attention🫶 Always sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RocketBomb
14
BITCOIN Holding the level - 98000Let's not discard the rally just yet. I see the buyers are still present but the overhead supply is a matter of concern. So, here is my view: Support level - 98000 As long as the price does not close below 97500 on the hourly chart, this is still a buyers' controlled setup. Supply zone - All time high is the only and a very strong rejection zone. BTC will find it very hard to hold and break above ATH. So I am not very convinced about the upside momentum. Possibility: BTC could slowly further move up here and should form a base. The consolidation around the drawn levels could be a nice place to play long or wait for the base breakout above ATH. This is not a recommendation.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by NandanChaturvediTrade