Will Bitcoin Deposit 30,000 Forever?As you can see, Bitcoin is heading to the lower trend line
Will he break the last line of defense and go back to the $400 box?
Or will he continue his career to 128000 dollars?
Indicators in oversoldness, 6 days left to discover the truth
Note: There is a possibility of right or wrong
Bitcoin-btcusd
BITCOIN This where things get interesting for the greedy..Bitcoin / BTCUSD has entered its parabolic rally mode, as we are in the final year of the Bull Cycle.
We are 812 days after the Bear Cycle bottom and on this chart we applied that range on the previous Cycle to get an idea of were we are in relation to the past.
As you can see we are just after a 1week LMACD squeeze, which in March 15th 2021 turned into a bearish cross that delivered a strong correction while in March 20th 20217 a smaller technical pull back.
In both cases the EMA Bollinger Bands Baseline (green) came to support.
This Cycle however draws more similarities with 2017.
It needs to be said that when BTC is in parabolic rally mode, it tends to spend more time above the BB Upper band (blue).
What this indicates is that any pull back towards the baseline should be bought as Bitcoin is now more likely to make higher highs above the Upper Band.
We project a smoother uptrend compared to past Cycles towards the end of 2025.
Be greedy, buy every pull back below the blue line and take profit a bit above it. Repeat until September-October.
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BTCUSDT | 4H | BE CAREFUL Dear friends,
For Bitcoin, the 97, 98, 102 thousand dollar levels are very important areas. I suggest you to be careful at these levels. I think these points can be dangerous; therefore, we need to observe these levels. ⚠️
Please be careful in advance, dear followers 📣
please don't forget to press the like button for more such analysis 🚀
Best Regards 🫡
BITCOIN rejected on the MA50 (4h). 95k possible.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Down pattern which has just formed a Lower High on the MA50 (4h).
This is a technical rejection, which after holding the MA200 (4h) previously, now should aim for a final Lower Low on the next support level, the MA100 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 95000 (-10.70% decline as the previous bearish sequence of the Channel Down and potential contact with the MA100 (1d)).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is about to cross under its MA trend line again, confirming the bearish move.
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BITCOIN Rebounded on a Double Support. Will it continue higher?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) experienced a sharp sell-off yesterday following the DeepSeek news but managed to recover more than 50% of the losses as it rebounded on the Double Support level.
The obvious level that catches your eye is the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which was tested for the first time in 12 days. The second is the Pivot trend-line, which was formerly a Lower Highs trend-line initiating from the December 17 2024 All Time High (ATH).
At the same time, it almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of January's Channel Up. Technically that is similar with December's Channel Up, which also had a Pivot trend-line test that delivered a rebound and a Higher High to the December 17 ATH.
As a result, if the price breaks above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we expect a Higher High (new ATH), on a minimum 112000 estimate. If the price gets rejected on the 4H MA50 however, we expect a Double Bottom test of the 98000 level (or slightly below), similar to those of December 23 and January 13.
The reason that both scenarios are plausible is the fact that they both got their 4H RSI oversold (<30.00) and then rebounded.
The above show that even in the event of a 96000 Low, BTC is a buy even on the current levels, as once again we are closer to the technical bottom than the Cycle's Top. The technical upside remains enormous in 2025.
So which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Important Supports to Watch
As Bitcoin is under a strong bearish pressure today,
here are significant daily structures for you to watch.
Support 1: 97300 - 100000 area
Support 2: 94600 - 95900 area
Support 3: 88700 - 92000 area
Support 4: 85000 - 87400 area
Resistance 1: 106000 - 109400 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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BITCOIN → New targets! What will happen to ALTCOINS ?BINANCE:BTCUSD went into consolidation after a failed attempt to break through the 108K resistance. Nothing terrible happened, the weekly structure is quite strong, and the market needs to build up its potential. What is happening and what to expect in the future?
In the week ahead, the focus is on the US rate meeting, GDP and PCE. If the US macroeconomic data disappoints, it could lead to a lower dollar and more interest in BTC.
As for Trump, he may give a good driver to the market if he pushes for the inclusion of BTC in the federal reserve, which is what the crypto trading community is waiting for now. But, it should be realized that tight US monetary policy and possible further rate hikes create pressure on high-risk assets, including bitcoin.
In a sideways moving environment, BTC dominance remains stable, around 50-60%. Altcoins are more likely to perform weakly in such an environment, with the exception of a few highly liquid assets.
If BINANCE:BTCUSD drops to 91.7К - 95К USD, it is likely that capital will continue to stay in BTC as investors focus on risk mitigation. Altcoins can only show growth if bitcoin has a new momentum above 107,400 USD.
Resistance levels:106.9, 107.5
Support levels: 102.5, 99950
Because of the strong resistance, the price is very likely to test one of the key support levels. And already from 102.5 - 100K a rather aggressive rebound may follow. But it is necessary to observe the character of the price and its approaching to these or those strong levels. Sharp movements often end in reversals, when smooth and gradual heralds a breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin: Probabilities NOT Opinions.Bitcoin has not done much in the previous week besides defining the range of the trade area that I anticipated a week earlier (in a matter of one day actually). The key technical points are established and it is a matter of catalyst and confirmation when it comes to aligning with the potential trade areas that can develop over the coming week. The 105K AREA is the key resistance while the 100K AREA continues to be the key support. Price action confirmation in either one of these areas can justify risk for smaller time frame strategies.
This is a tricky time, and one where the wrong opinion will be very costly which is why I am a big proponent of probabilities NOT opinions. The broader trend is bullish which means resistance levels are more likely to break, UNLESS proven otherwise. With a double top now established in the 105 to 108K area, the higher probability entry for longs would be the low 100K area. Which can also offer shorting opportunities for smaller time frame strategies. IF 100K is cleared, that would increase the chances of a 90K test.
This may be a Wave 4 of a much broader Wave 3. There is no way to know for sure until the market breaks one way or the other to confirm. In bullish trends, support levels tend to be maintained which presents buying opportunities at least on smaller time frames at the 100K area, anticipating a test of the 105 to 108K. This type of price action can be classified as a consolidation on the short term and expectations should be adjusted for that.
What about a bullish break above the 109K area high? While the general price structure favors such a scenario, the question is what is going to drive the price? Instead of trying to guess, IF this is the path the market will choose, I would rather WAIT and let the market confirm before taking any action. Sure I would have to sacrifice better entries, but I am okay with that if it means getting on the right side of the price momentum.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
NZDJPY - 2025 Plan. Make It Your Best Year Yet!Here we have the 2 Day chart for NZDJPY.
We've seen a massive impulse mid 2024. We are now in an ABC correction.
We are currently in wave B of the correction, subwave B. Expecting subwave C to complete wave B.
We're looking for a rejection of the fib zone and a drop of over 700pips.
Trade idea:
- Watch for rejection of fib zone
- Once rejection appears, enter with stops above the highs
- Targets: 86 (350pips), 83 (700pips)
Once we've completed this move down, we'll be looking for longs. We'll update this setup if there's enough engagement.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Bitcoin is gearing up for a rally. 120K target Bitcoin after the false breakout of resistance, which is associated with Trump's inauguration did not fall, but only consolidates near resistance. And this, I believe, is a very good sign that the price may continue its trend after exiting the triangle.
Scenario: Since after the strong growth and after the false breakout there is no fall and consolidation is formed, we can expect the continuation of the growth because I also point out a few more things:
- strong trend on senior timeframes
- locally the price does not update the minimums
- resistance retest is formed
- consolidation on the background of the uptrend.
Correspondingly: a break of the triangle resistance may increase buying interest, which may lead to another rally to ATH and even update it to 120K.
BTCUSD - Will history repeats itself ?This post is just a correction from a post I made last month
I missed on identifying correctly the pattern because I thought the middle of the channel would act as a strong support
ended up being wrong on the timing of the next wave up - not a big deal tho
I also profit of this moment to update the fractal path that's BTC is doing, as you can see the asset is just copying move from last year (in violet) this is quite interesting because it did this the whole cycle, i don't remember seeing this before but maybe i'm wrong
so yeah the violet bar patterns says we go great wave up in a few days can you believe it ?
i'll start to take profit next month but not sure 100% id like to see what is going to do Pectra update on Eth's price
Here's a bigger picture i made in November still working very well :
not financial advice
Cheers
Bitcoin Update: Bears Nightmare!Bitcoin decently moved as expected according to my last analysis and now is ranging between 90 - 107K for almost 2 months and now I expect the price to make another last correction to GETTEX:97K and grab the liquidity to make a new leg up to the new all-time high of $130K and start the main move to my ultimate target of $150K. The zone between 154 - 172K will be the final top for BTC in this cycle in my opinion and I will fully close all my positions and execute my profits whenever the price hits this zone. I hope you guys all be in profit and stay safe and always DYOR.
BITCOIN will reach $1 million in 2041.Bitcoin / BTCUSD hit last month the once unthinkable benchmark of $100k.
It took 2 Cycles to do so since it reached the previous benchmark of 10k.
The log sequence of hitting those benchmarks started at $0.10. It took quarter (0.25) Cycle to go from 0.10 to $10, i.e. x100 jump.
The next x100 increase was from 10 to $1000 and it took BTC half (0.5) Cycle to do so.
Then we move to the x10 jumps, 1000 to $10000, which took it a perfect 1 Cycle.
We already discussed above 100k and the pattern is obvious. For each of those logarithic jumps, Bitcoin needs double the time, i.e. it doubles the previous Cycle expectancy.
This means that for the million dollar mark ($1million), it should take 4 Cycles to do so (2 Cycles it needed from 10k to 100k x 2).
This gives us a rough estimate for the end of 2041!
Realistic or not in your opinion?
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Dear Bitcoin, is't about time...For over a month, Bitcoin's price action has been rather frustrating, as it has remained stuck in a range. The key support level is clearly at 90k, while resistance is around 108k.
Recently, the price tested the resistance level again and has since entered another consolidation phase.
On the positive side, this consolidation appears to be a buildup, potentially signaling an imminent breakout above 110k.
As long as the price holds above 100k, we can reasonably expect this breakout to happen sooner rather than later.
As I’ve mentioned before, the target level for this move is around 130k.
BITCOIN Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in an
Uptrend and the coin was
Consolidating above the
Horizontal support level
Of 101.340 but now we
Are seeing a bullish rebound
From the support so we
Will be expecting a
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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Bitcoin road to 33 000 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
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Thank you.
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️ Everything going according by my global 2023 plan for BTC what i’ve posted here in December 2022
➡️ We got uptrend line since covid dump
➡️ We retested downtrend line with FTX crash
➡️ Now we can see impulse-correction-impulse. Second impulse to test uptrend line and I think first rejection in April
➡️ All FOMC rate already included in price. Recession is only one things what not included, so we can see dump
➡️ After rejection at trend line and full fill of 3 month FVG we can drop by end of summer to 20K to find a support
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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BTC 4h timeframe: LONGOn the 4-hour timeframe, BTC appears to be offering a promising short-term opportunity to enter a long position. Several factors align to support this hypothesis:
1. Correction After Sharp Decline: The market seems to be stabilizing after a significant downward move, suggesting potential for a recovery.
2. Bollinger Bands: Price action indicates proximity to the lower band, often signaling an oversold condition and potential bounce.
3. 50-Day Moving Average: Acting as a dynamic support level, the 50-day MA adds confidence to the idea of a rebound from this zone.
Given these technical signals, I believe it’s an opportune moment to test the waters with a calculated trade.
Here’s the plan:
• Margin: $30
• Leverage: 20x
• Position Size: $700
While the setup looks promising, it’s essential to manage risk carefully, as BTC’s volatility can always surprise. Let’s see if the bounce plays out as expected!
Bitcoin Overshoot - Last Bullish Swing - 5th WaveMARKETSCOM:BITCOIN #trading was good to me.
I was able to predict and ride the #Bullish #Cycle like a pro.
Trade Recap
From the $17K I was actively looking for buys.
Also entered BITSTAMP:BTCUSD #Long from the GETTEX:25K mark, on the #Break-out.
At the Wave 4 Completion and 5th Wave Break-Out, I went Long again on $BTC.
At $100K Milestone I cashed it all in, I was a bit weary...
All well documented in the previous #Bitcoin Idea.
What's Next For MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN ?
I am entering the Last Long, to ride the 5th of 5th Wave.
After this #Bull #Swing I am expecting a considerable #Correction.
After the push, some wild moves will occur, and that's because of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D (BTC Dominance).
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Correction in Wave 2 will pave the way for $Altcoins (#Altcoins), thus the $Altseason (#AltSeason) to start.
Yes, MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN shall fall, while the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 ) would most likely grow in #TotalMarketCap.
* You can see the related ideas for more clearance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD / BINANCE:BTCUSDT - #TechnicalAnalysis
- Elliott Wave: #Impulse Confirmed (5th Wave)
- Mar '20 - Apr '21 #Fractal (orange)
- #ATH Break-Out & #Support
My Levels For Longs
- Entry @ $100K
- SL @ $85K
- TP @ $145K
* After this move, I will take a break and look for #Short set-ups.
This is because of the #Bearish #Fractal (red).