BTC PA Model- i usually don't speak much when i don't see anything.
- Right now we can just speculate on some scenarios.
- so you can just imagine those scenarios with the figure i drew ( ending Diamond )
- you can notice some H&S and a big inversed H&S in the middle of graph.
- BTC volatily is still low ( around 15ish)
- i didn't find any convincing divergences yet.
- The PA range have been respected almost perfectly.
- it seems like a consolidation between 60 to 70k+.
- BTC tried to break 70k++, 5 Times exactly.
- Soon or later a breakout will happen ( next could be 85k$ ish )
- Halving is still young and the decoupling not yet started.
- if we dip under 60k.
- 50k is next small support.
- 40k is a strong support.
- very simple.
- There's a time for trading and a time for waiting.
Happy Tr4Ding!
Bitcoin-btcusd
BTC → formed a double TOPhello guy.
unfortunately, BTC formed a double top and broke the neckline!
there are two scenarios in front of BTC!
1- touches the QMC level.
2- touches the ascending trendline.
the target of the breaking double top is $45k!
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BTC → is it the time of bullish trend???hello guys...
as the chart illustrates, the btc after forming a double top touched the next decision level!
now the price is in a potential area to start an upward movement, but we need confirmation!
if the price breaks up the descending trendline you can get a long position after retracement!
but be aware of targets (the blue area)
___________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
BITCOIN Massive Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN broke the support
Cluster of the rising support
And the horizontal support
Around 57,700$ and the
Breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased now
And we will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
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#Bitcoin healthy pullback to $41-44k range#Bitcoin When in doubt, zoom out. Based on the pricerange we traded the last months a healthy pullback would be the $41-44k range.
Ofcourse we can get major some liquidation spikes to the downside. Be careful!
Minor support level: ~ GETTEX:52K
Major support levels: $41-44k range, ~$30k
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Time to Consider an Even Bigger Double-TopLose 56.5 by tomorrow's close (3 daily chart), or the weekly close, and we could target at least 45k and possible weekly support (green box starting at ~44k), or even a dip below weekly support to just below ~40k.
Good luck, this idea is invalidated if we bounce off of 56.5k or higher and move back above 67.2k
HAPPY JULY 4th with BITCOIN hitting the 1D MA200 after 9 months!Happy July 4th everyone! A little break from the traditional stock markets but not for crypto. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in particular, just hit and broke below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in almost 9 months (October 16 2023)!
Naturally this is a very strong long-term Support level and it is even more obvious on this 1D chart, where BTC's current consolidation is similar to the one from mid- April 2023 to mid-July 2023 (blue Rectangle).
With the long-term pattern being a Fibonacci Channel Up and the 1D MACD forming a sequence similar to the bottom formation that started on August 27 2023, Bitcoin is most likely entering the long-term Support Zone.
The ultimate Support level is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) but we expect to come close to that not straight away vertically but in the next month while the price might trade sideways in similar fashion to September 2023.
In any case, since the November 2022 market bottom, this kind of distance from the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), has been the most optimal buy entry and including the current one, we've only had 4 such opportunities.
But what do you think? Is this the right opportunity to buy heavily again on Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin healthy pullback or "Strategic Asset"?Bitcoin social media has shifted the narrative from YOLO 6-figure SOON(tm) to the June bear move being over to now accepting that this is a "healthy pullback."
The bullish trend, which began in October 2023, officially ended June 24th with the confirmed cross of the Ichimoku cloud. See my videos and posts from last week for education.
Bitcoin now sits today, on America day, at the final Volume Profile Support it can possibly hold before returning to the ETF launch levels. Price action euphorias have a sort of sweet irony such that it is almost guaranteed to come back to said levels.
Speaking of America day, Trump has shifted the Overton Window just a bit by talking of Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
www.forbes.com
Whether he would actually do anything for Bitcoin is dubious but he is the first Presidential candidate to openly support the cryptocurrency. Noting this statement by the Trump campaign is not an endorsement but it is important to note from a sentiment perspective. In a bull market, any and all possible bullish news would see a bullish response. That such a bold statement by any candidate would be followed by one of the largest down moves in recent history confirms that the current market sentiment is bearish.
$BTC Bitcoin Hopium or No-pium?CRYPTOCAP:BTC price in ascending triangle pattern!
Current Price: $65100
Major resistance around $71,500
More precisely between 71500 - 73000
From my previous post $bitcoin lost a major support around 67000 and found support around 64300. Support around 64300 has not broken the angled support of the ascending triangle.
It is important that bitcoin does not break this trend line else next levels of support are around 60600 and 57900.
If 64300 remains support and trendline is intact then 67000 will be tested as now resistance! Waiting to see what happens at these levels.
What do you think? Hopium or Nopium?
BITCOIN will find support above $57k & Rally To $90k In 2025.I thought I would look at BITCOIN as I've been doing my Plan Your Trade videos.
I don't follow BITCOIN much - but the skills I teach related to price channels, Fibonacci Price Theory, Anchor Bars, Fibonacci Retracement/Extension, and others can be easily applied to any chart.
So, I created this video to share with you how I look at opportunities and pertinent price formations.
First, I see a FLAG formation that is nearly complete.
Second, I see a 100% measured move that has prompted the stalling price action (the FLAG).
Third, I see multiple price channels leading to a robust possibility for a rally phase in BITCOIN later this year and into 2025.
Lastly, I paired my analysis of BITCOIN with my expectations for the US Indexes. Thus, if I were expecting a broad market collapse over the next 6 to 12+ months, I would bias my decision-making towards the downside as asset declines typically result in all assets moving downward for a brief period.
Watch this video and let me know what you think. I've laid out an A (bullish) vs. B (bearish) scenario for everyone and highlighted key levels of support/resistance for traders.
At this point, I believe the strongest outcome for BITCOIN is a bullish rally targeting $90k+
BITCOIN History rhymes and calls for as high as $300k!This is a post Halving update to the 'Fibonacci Channel blueprint' analysis we've made almost a year ago. The price action has been even more aggressive than what we expected so relevant adjustments had to be made.
On this chart, we yet again rely on the long-term time-frames of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) for a more meaningful illustration of its historic Cycles. Those are patterns that have repeated themselves over and over again, with some variations of course based on the current market conditions.
** The Fibonacci Channels **
Right now the price has completed 4 months of consolidation following the early March All Time High (ATH), always above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This consolidation is consistent with all previous post-Halving price actions as BTC always traded sideways and accumulated in the weeks after the Halving, in preparation for the Parabolic Rally, the Cycle's most aggressive phase.
The previous Cycles topped near Fibonacci trend-lines of prior Cycle Channels. For example the December 2017 Cycle Top was formed just below the bottom (Fib 0.0) of the orange Fibonacci Channel that started from the previous Cycle bottom. The November 2021 Top was formed just below the middle (Fib 0.5) of the blue Fibonacci Channel. This could be a +0.5 Fib progression and in that case the Top of the current Cycle might be just below the top (Fib 1.0) of the black Fibonacci Channel that started on the December 2018 bottom.
At the same time, another condition that it 'needs' to fulfil is being just below the 0.0 Fib of the Blue Channel, similar to what happened in December 2017 (just below Fib 0.0 of the orange Channel).
** The Halvings and $200k **
The 1.0 Fib is currently a little under $300000, and as we mentioned after the consolidation of each Halving, Bitcoin posts the most aggressive (parabolic) rally of the Bull Cycle. So that leads us to assume that the Top of the current Bull Cycle will be at least $300k. To give a relative sense of pathing, we have plotted the 'post Halving rallies' of the previous three Cycles on the current Channel starting on Halving 4.
As you can see, the orange (2013) and black (2020 - 2021) lines are more aggressive than the purple (2016 - 2017) but the latter is the one that, as we've posted numerous times, the current Cycle has the most similarities with. If Bitcoin follows the purple price action within the black Fibonacci Channel, then it should reach $100k by December 2024 and $300k by August 2025. If instead it transitions to the more aggressive Cycle models, then it could reach those levels much earlier.
But what do you think? Is $300k realistic within the current Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Local Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN made a bullish
Rebound from the long-term
Rising support and we are now
Seeing a bullish breakout of
The resistance cluster of
The falling and horizontal
Resistance around 62k$
So we are locally bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
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Bitcoin Levels and Trading Plan for July 2024This article will lay out the key levels that should come into play in the price action of INDEX:BTCUSD starting today on July 1st and may carry on through the month. This analysis will rely on Ichimoku, 50% Retracements, and Volume Profile.
The primary driver of my analysis on Bitcoin price action is the Daily Ichimoku trend. I published a video last week on how consistently effective this analysis has been over the entire history of Bitcoin that I highly recommend watching to understand in detail. The basics are:
Price is below the cloud
Lagging span is below the cloud
These two together = confirmed bearish
This is the inverse of the post-ETF hype phase bullish trend that took Bitcoin to a new All Time High. An All Time High that unfortunately for HODLers failed to push higher and confirm the bullish momentum to carry forward past the fabled "6 figures".
The key levels brought to us by Volume Profile in the longer term are:
Resistance:
63000: Near term being tested this morning
67780: The line in the sand to return to bullish
Support:
62000: Near term support today
56940: Low of the consolidation range
51760: Next stopping point of the current bear trend
42630: Return to the ETF launch era, my ideal target for my long term short
The two key levels are 67780 above and 42630 below.
If price can get back up and break 67780 then the Ichimoku rules will be true for the bullish trend to resume and possibly continue either for another consolidation high or even new All Time High.
If Ichimoku rules are correct and last week was the start of a bearish trend then price would very likely return to the ETF launch levels. This is a strong support and also a thematic one for what happens in assets that have a honeymoon phase before returning back to reality.
Before that final Support the 50k level will be interesting as it does contain a key Volume Profile level AND will invoke the Weekly Ichimoku cloud.
Trade wisely!
BITCOIN LONG TO $77,000Let's start off the new month by having a look at our BTC analysis! Despite price coming very close to our SL, it missed by a few PIPS & bounced back up, keeping our analysis valid & intact. Price is just hovering below our supply & entry zone, so if you didn't enter before use this opportunity to get involved now!
BITCOIN Will people regret not buying at this stage?Around this time last year (see chart below), we analyzed yet again the similarities of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle with the one in 2014 - 2017. In fact we were among the fist channels in late 2022 to bring that up as a strong possibility and as you can see Bitcoin didn't fail to deliver:
We have entered however a stage where, as the title says, people could regret if they haven't bought already as it might be the last opportunity to do so on such low prices. The time-frame on both charts is 3D and as you can see, the MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the most optimal buy entry throughout the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle.
If the similarities continue to unfold between the two Cycles, then last week's breach of the MA50, should be the best buying opportunity at this stage. As you can see, we are proportionally at the end of the blue elliptical pattern which in early 2017 consolidated around and mostly below the former All Time High (ATH) level and then started the Parabolic Rally.
Do you think the current MA50 touch has marked the start of this rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC - A Healthy Pullback or a Sign of More to Come?Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts! Let's dive into Bitcoin's recent price action and what we can expect in the coming months.
The Correction Phase: Why It's Not All Doom and Gloom
First off, don't panic about the current correction phase. After the halving, a correction was not just expected. It’s healthy! Think of it as Bitcoin catching its breath before the next big sprint. We're seeing an ABC correction pattern, which savvy traders will recognize as a typical and necessary, market movement.
Timing the Market: When to Make Your Move
So, when’s this correction likely to wrap up? Our crystal ball suggests somewhere between July and August/September. This is the perfect window to dollar-cost average (DCA) into your positions. By buying a fixed dollar amount of BTC at regular intervals, you can average out your entry price, reducing the impact of volatility.
Long Positions: Entering long positions in the 50000-52245 range could be a smart move, considering the support levels and the bullish outlook post-summer.
Key Levels to Watch: The Golden Zone
Here’s where it gets interesting. The big kahuna level to keep an eye on is 50K. Not only is it a psychological level, but it’s also where several technical indicators converge. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the smaller wave sits at $52,245, while the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the entire 491 day bull run is at $51,690. This zone also hosts an old trading range, known as a bullish order block. Translation? This area is packed with historical significance and potential support.
Fibonacci Levels:
Fib 0.618 of the smaller wave is at $52,245.
Fib 0.382 of the entire 491-day bull run is at $51,690.
Ichimoku Cloud: Your Support Safety Net
On the daily timeframe, the Ichimoku cloud’s edge (custom settings) aligns around the 50K mark, offering additional support. It's like having an extra safety net below a tightrope walker.
Altcoins: The Unsung Heroes
Don't forget about altcoins! Many have pulled back significantly, with some seeing 60-80% corrections. This is a golden opportunity to DCA into altcoins and position yourself for potential gains. Remember, during market corrections, altcoins often offer lucrative entry points for those looking to diversify.
Wrapping Up: The Bigger Picture
While the correction phase may seem daunting, it’s a natural part of the market cycle. The key levels around 50K-52K are not just numbers, they’re strategic entry points. With the support of the Ichimoku cloud there’s a lot to be optimistic about as we move towards the end of summer.
What do you think? Are you positioning yourself for the end of the correction? Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss!
With a clearer understanding of Bitcoin's correction phase and the key levels to watch, you're now better equipped to navigate the crypto waters. Happy trading!