Bitcoin: Bullish Into Range Resistance?Bitcoin over the recent week has blown through the 64K resistance and now hesitating at 68K. The blue square on my chart highlights the resistance zone that price fluctuates within. Is Bitcoin more likely to continue higher or retrace back to 64K from here? In this article I will evaluate the possibilities of both outcomes and how to better align your decision making with market intent.
First I will address my previous week's scenario. If you read the article, my conclusion was that Bitcoin was more likely to retrace and test the 60K support area. Boy was I wrong about that one, but the question is: could I have anticipated that resistance break? The blue arrow on the chart points to a sharp move higher as a result of China surprising the market with a stimulus package (which translates into rising global inflation). Gold, silver and Bitcoin were pushing highs the whole week which serves as a valuable lesson when it comes to how a news events can change the a market outlook in an instant. This is why NO ONE can accurately forecast a market far in advance (unless you have REAL inside information).
Any trade or investment can GO WRONG for any reason at any time. Effective RISK management is the key to this game for this precise reason. You have to be prepared to get out of something that is showing the wrong look so to speak and be able to adjust your mindset to the new information at hand. That is the market, you either accept that or simply donate all of your capital to someone who is more flexible than you.
That brings me to Bitcoin now. This week I am anticipating a bearish retrace (see illustration) back to the 64K support (old resistance). The sell signal is confirmed when the inside bar low is compromised (previous candle). Even in the face of the inflationary news, I am bearish at these levels for one simple reason: previous tests of this range have attracted selling activity (look backwards on chart). Since "history repeats itself", I believe probability favors selling activity at least for a week or so. Also what adds even more to the short term bearish argument is the fact that Bitcoin continues to respect the broader consolidation which it has been within since March. Until 73K breaks, I will expect the range to stay intact which means both supports and resistances are more likely to HOLD not break.
What can go wrong here? IF the current momentum persists, and the inside bar high is compromised instead, it will cancel out my bearish scenario. In this instance, the 70 to 73K zone can be tested. Again this is about ADJUSTING to market action, not getting married to an idea.
How you navigate opportunities that are derived from price momentum depends on having clear objectives and being aligned with respective time frames. Before you even pull up a chart, you must know if you are looking for day trade or swing trade setups. From that point you can better utilize what I share here by incorporating my levels, price structure along with my confirmation references. Respect the price, simplify your decision making process as much as possible and learn to recognize "wrong" quickly. It is easier said than done but this at least should put you on the right path.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin-btcusd
BTCUSD—Greed Zone 73: Correction More Likely Than Pump to 70K?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend! This morning, the fear and greed index stays in the greed zone at 73, while the Stoch RSI is still comfortably in the overbought area like yesterday.
Looking at today's price action, it seems quite challenging for BTC to pump to 70K. The probability of a correction is higher than the potential for another pump, but in the crypto market, nothing is impossible. Keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t FOMO, always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BTC Diamond FormationMost everything is in the chart for now and anyone knows if BTC will push down 1 more time before a big rally or go up straight.
we can see that we could form a Diamond Figure (Pink) to 0.618fibo
i don't show indicators but i can say :
Monthly chart show clearly that we are still going down.
Weekly chart have indecision on indicators.
Daily chart have inverted indicators.
we have 3 clear resistances formed by EMAS to breakout :
EMA 50 ---- 7200
EMA 100 ---- 7600
EMA 200 ---- 8000
possibilities after breakout :
1. we could fly to 9000 (DIamond Finished + 0.618 FIBO )
2. we could fly to 8400
possibilities with Rejection :
3. we could retrace one more time to 3700 before a new push. ( Traditional Support )
My advice for now is to wait as spectator and wait for a dip or a breakout.
Happy Tr4Ding & Stay Safe !
BTC Stay In Greed Zone Dump Imminent or Pump to 70K?GM crypto bro's, this morning the fear and greed index is at 72 in the greed zone, while the Stoch RSI remains comfortably in the overbought area.
BTC has pumped quite high to around 68,953, and on some exchanges, it may have even hit 69K. However, the correction to our 64K range has yet to happen. The price action is quite overbought, which makes a dump more likely.
Still, always be cautious—keep in mind that the market is dynamic. Don’t FOMO, always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin: The Journey to New All-Time HighsThe current Bitcoin chart is a testament to the precision of market cycles and the structure of bullish advances. Over the past two years, despite the volatility, the Elliott Wave count has consistently held true. This is more than just market movement—it's the realization of a larger fractal structure that suggests nothing in these price actions is random .
The screenshot of the chart, dated January 14, 2023, accurately anticipated the path that Bitcoin has taken since then. Even after almost two years, the market is continuing to follow the predicted wave structure, confirming the power of technical analysis and pattern recognition.
As we stand now in October 2024, Bitcoin seems poised for its last leg towards new all-time highs, driven by a well-defined impulse wave formation. The recent consolidation was simply a corrective phase—an essential build-up before the next massive wave. This ongoing bull market reflects the persistence of a larger trend that started years ago, and it aligns with every prediction of this meticulous count.
Bitcoin is on the verge of making history again, as it moves towards its fifth wave, ultimately setting new price records. The chart reflects a calculated market rhythm that shows, time and time again, how these cycles repeat in an almost predestined manner.
Prepare yourself for the upcoming rally—this is the final move in the current structure, a path already mapped out by years of technical analysis and evidence-based market behavior.
For a detailed view of the original analysis, check the reference screenshot here:
Bitcoin's Last Stand: Can It Break Above $68.3k?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN has finally reached the weekly block—the last level before ATHs.
Is this the moment we’ve been waiting for? I believe it is. For the first time, it’s printing a bullish weekly signal at this critical level. The last attempts, in June and July, were merely bounces without the momentum or reversal signals needed to push higher.
This time feels different. We have an expansion candle on the weekly, and hopefully, it will close above the $68.3k level. If we compare the timeline to the previous breakout before the $30k surge, this consolidation phase seems to be coming to an end.
I think the odds are now better for an upward move.
I’ll revisit this chart at the end of the week—we still need a solid close.
If everything aligns, November could be a strong month, potentially pushing toward $81k!
BITCOIN 'Angle Theory' unlocking this Cycle. Is $140k the top?Exactly 1 year ago (October 02 2023, see chart below), we published a renewed approach on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) historic Cycles, using the 'Angles Theory' on the logarithmic curve to make a more accurate roadmap of the current Cycle:
Back then, the price was 'just' $28000 and a few months later it catapulted to almost $74000. Below we present again the basics of that analysis, in order to refresh your memory.
** Cycle Peaks and angles **
BTC's Cycle peaks in historical order have been $32, $1250, $19800, $69800. They all made contact with the Logarithmic top Growth Curve, a historic pattern that is holding since BTC's inception.
Every peak-to-peak measurement appears to be roughly half of the previous peak. The automatic angle measurements on the (red) dotted lines may differ based on the screen's display and how the horizontal/ vertical axis move but on ours (and the screenshot of the idea) goes like this: 42°, 22°, 11°. We estimate a 7° angle for the new Cycle peak on the log Growth Curve.
** Next Cycle peak? **
If we take all previous Cycles and apply them to fit the new price action towards the top of the Log Growth Curve, that 7° line gives a projected Cycle peak within $140000 - 160000 (slightly updated from our study a year ago). It is also interesting to apply the same angle principle to the Cycle bottoms. We can see that those (green dotted lines) can also roughly be half of what the previous bottom was (though the variations are higher). The new bottom is estimated to be on a 8° angle.
Remarkably the angles of the tops and bottoms of each Cycle have approximately the same measurements, indicating that despite being logarithmic within a curve, they can be viewed separately in Channels.
** Last year compared to now **
So how has this Theory worked out compared to last year? Well beyond doubt, the Cycle was much more aggressive that the previous two (blue and orange) due to mainly the Bitcoin ETF launch, and is certainly more similar to the first Cycle (black). That suggests that it will top by January 2025 but the Sine Waves Tops, which have caught Bitcoin's cyclical peaks with incredible accuracy, indicate it will be around November 2025. As you can see, this is exactly where the projection of the blue and orange fractals show.
But what do you think? Will the current Cycle peak at the end of 2025 and if show will it be at a minimum of $140000 and a maximum of $1600000, as the 7° angle on the Log Curve suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC in Greed Zone, Overbought RSI: Correction or Instant Pump?GM crypto bro's, this morning the fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 73, while the Stoch RSI is in the overbought area.
BTC has made a slight correction this morning, and with the weekend approaching, which usually sees low volume and normal corrections, BTC may revisit the 64K - 63K range, or perhaps dip further into the 62K - 61K range.
However, an instant pump back to 69K is still a possibility. Keep in mind, the market is dynamic. Don’t FOMO, always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BITCOIN in Greed Zone , Will BTC Peak at 69K Before Correction?GM crypto bro's, we are still in the greed zone at 71 this morning, and Stoch RSI is at the peak of overbought. BTC reached a top around 68K.
Looking at the price action, there's a strong possibility BTC will visit 69K first before a correction towards 64K. But keep in mind, with the market in this greedy state, don't get FOMO. Always maintain your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Is Bitcoin's Golden Cross Signaling Parabolic Moves Ahead?Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies is highly volatile and speculative, and it is essential to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneering cryptocurrency, has exhibited a remarkable surge in recent days, forming a bullish technical pattern known as a golden cross. This development has fueled optimism among analysts, who are predicting parabolic price movements shortly.
Bitcoin's price has consistently climbed over the past three days, reaching its highest point since July 29th. This robust uptrend has propelled the cryptocurrency to retest the psychologically significant level of $68,000, marking a substantial increase of nearly 40% from its August low.
The Golden Cross: A Bullish Signal
The formation of a golden cross occurs when a short-term moving average (SMA) crosses above a long-term SMA. This technical pattern is widely regarded as a bullish signal, suggesting that the underlying asset is experiencing a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
In Bitcoin's case, the golden cross was formed when the 50-day SMA crossed above the 200-day SMA. This indicates that the cryptocurrency's short-term momentum has turned positive, potentially signaling a sustained uptrend.
Analysts Forecast Parabolic Moves
Encouraged by the golden cross and Bitcoin's recent price performance, analysts are expressing bullish sentiment and predicting parabolic price movements. Parabolic moves refer to rapid and exponential price increases, often characterized by a steep upward curve.
Several factors are contributing to this optimistic outlook:
• Institutional Adoption: The growing interest and adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors, such as corporations and hedge funds, are seen as a significant catalyst for price appreciation.
• Macroeconomic Factors: The ongoing uncertainty surrounding global economic conditions and inflationary pressures is driving investors towards safe-haven assets like Bitcoin.
• Technical Indicators: In addition to the golden cross, other technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are also signaling bullish momentum.
Breaking Above the Falling Wedge
Bitcoin's price action has also been supported by a breakout above a descending falling wedge pattern on the daily chart. This technical formation suggests that a bullish reversal is underway, further bolstering the case for higher prices.
However, it's important to note that while Bitcoin has reached a new high, it has yet to close a daily candle above the resistance level of the falling wedge. A successful close above this level would confirm the breakout and increase the likelihood of further upward movement.
Conclusion
The formation of a golden cross and the breakout above a falling wedge pattern have ignited bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin. Analysts are predicting parabolic price movements as institutional adoption, macroeconomic factors, and technical indicators all point towards a sustained uptrend.
While the cryptocurrency's future remains uncertain, the current technical landscape suggests that Bitcoin is well-positioned for a significant price increase. However, it's crucial to approach investing in cryptocurrencies with caution and be aware of the inherent risks involved.
BTCUSDT Potential Up trend continuationLast week, BTCUSDT bounced off resistance and dipped to retest the psychological support level at 60,000. After the retest, the price rebounded and broke above the 62,500 level, which had been tested and respected five times in the past. The recent bullish candle further underscores the strength of this level, breaking through it with momentum. On the daily timeframe, the formation of higher lows and higher closes indicates a bullish sentiment. If the support holds, there is a strong chance the price may retest the recent resistance zone. The target is the resistance zone around 65,500
BITCOIN One year later, the pattern is repeated and leads to 88kThis is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.
This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):
As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.
So what do you think? Can this break-out lead to 88k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD—Greed Zone 73, Will BTC Hit 69K or Retrace First?GM crypto bro's, this morning the fear and greed index is still in the greed zone at 73, and the Stoch RSI is already in the overbought area. Last night, BTC pumped significantly to around 67,800.
Will the correction to the 64K - 63K range not happen? The market is dynamic, so it’s hard to predict with certainty whether a correction will occur. However, personally, I see a big probability for a correction before BTC hits 69K.
But keep in mind, with the market in this greedy state, don't get FOMO. Always maintain your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BTC USD UpdateSo, we're pushing through bearish highs strongly. The dollar is free-falling, and BTC is raising heavily. We have our other 2 targets done. Now, we have a big 70K. There are massive sell levels in the order flow software to see around it, so be careful to buy into it. But if we get through again, we're going to new ATH, I believe, and happily keeping positions open with a trailing stop on the last 4h lows
Waiting for a Buy Opportunity at SOL Support ZoneSOL/USDT is currently trading around 156.19 USD, and I’m keeping a close eye on its price action. After a solid bounce from the key support level at 151.46 USD, I expect it might consolidate for a while between the resistance at 159.52 USD and the support around 153.12 USD.
If the price pulls back to the 151.46-153.12 USD zone, I see that as a strong buying opportunity, especially since it lines up with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This level often acts as a significant support in uptrends.
In the short term, I’m anticipating some sideways movement before we get a potential breakout above 159.52 USD. If that happens, my target would be the next key level at 167.13 USD, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
While there’s always the possibility of a pullback, the way the price has been moving lately makes me believe that the buyers are still in control. I’ll be watching the support zone closely for any signs of further bullish action.
BTCUSD—After Pump to 66K, What’s Next? incomming dump?GM crypto bro's, this morning fear and greed index entered the greed zone at 65, while Stoch RSI is nearing the overbought area. BTC has finally hit 65K, even reaching 66,480, and this pump pushed the index into greed.
What’s next for BTC? Normally, after a pump and hitting greed status, a correction is likely. Looking at this morning's price action, the areas that could be retested are the 64K - 63K yellow zone and the 62K - 61K red zone.
However, there's also a chance BTC could do an instant pump to 69K again. Keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin reached the resistance of 65800, what is the next step?Here , about 1 week ago, I announced that Bitcoin will meet the resistance of 65800 and after that we have to wait for the price reaction.
Now that we have reached here, it can be predicted that if 66,500 is broken, the upward trend will continue and we will see the short-term goals of 77,000 and 95,000.
In case of correction, the support of 59,000 is very important for the continuation of the process.
If you want to know about the future of Bitcoin, don't forget to follow and boost.
BTC/USDT - Rejection from Key Level with Bearish Continuationhello guys.
actually, btc surprised me!
Hunting Level Rejection:
Bitcoin has reached the hunting level (around $65,100), showing signs of resistance and potential reversal. The price briefly spiked into this level but faced rejection, signaling exhaustion in buying pressure.
Bearish Engulfing Potential:
If the price fails to hold the current level and shows a bearish engulfing pattern, it will likely initiate a downward move. This move would invalidate further bullish attempts in the short term.
First Target:
The first significant support zone lies around $63,100, which could act as the initial target for any downward momentum.
Final Target:
A stronger bearish continuation could drive the price toward $59,300 (the lower hunting level), aligning with prior accumulation zones and a solid demand area.
Bitcoin Quest- History tends to repeat itself.
- The maximum could reach around 250k.
- The minimum could drop to about 40k.
- Remember, the longer it takes, the higher we could go.
- The graphic is straightforward as usual; just track "colors", "bubbles" and "trends."
- Keep in mind, while the future is uncertain, we can still speculate.
Happy Tr4Ding