BTC Faces Deep Drop: Sideways Action Ahead GM Crypto Bro's, the market is heating up again this morning! The fear and greed index is at 30 (fear), while the stoch RSI has dropped significantly from its overbought area.
BTC’s correction followed exactly as predicted in my market update from two days ago, but the drop was deeper than expected, even touching the 58K-57K range. So, what’s next?
In terms of price action, BTC may now move sideways with some pump and dump within the 60K-62K range. However, based on current data, there’s a significant potential for a strong rise next month.
But as always, keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t fall into FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and remember that anything can happen in the crypto market. Always manage your risks, and that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
Bitcoin-btcusd
BTCUSDT🔍 BTC/USDT Analysis: 1-Hour Timeframe 📉
The BTC/USDT chart on a 1-hour timeframe reveals significant upcoming dates where price movements may present trading opportunities. As always, it’s crucial to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive understanding of the market.
• August 31, 2024, 16:00 - Red Line: This time marks a potential local peak. Traders might consider this as a moment to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• August 27, 2024, 22:00, and September 2, 2024, 07:00 - Green Lines: These times suggest potential local lows. Traders may find favorable conditions to accumulate BTC or consider entering long positions.
When working within this 1-hour timeframe, remember that these movements should be evaluated with a global perspective, incorporating insights from higher timeframes to better understand the overall market trend.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
BTC Correction Watch: Red Zone in Sight Around 61938-61268GM Crypto Bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index stands at 48 (neutral), while the stoch RSI remains in the overbought area, now signaling a potential downturn.
BTC has started to decline, reaching the 62K-61K area I mentioned yesterday. If it drops further, the big possibility is that it will hit our red zone in the range of 61938-61268.
Keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t fall into FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BITCOIN Why holding this Support Zone for 6 months targets $100kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will close the month of August this week and the 1M candle not only rebounded aggressively on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) but also held the Symmetrical Pivot Zone for the 6th straight month.
This Zone is critical because during the previous Cycle in late 2021 it served as Resistance and since the recent March 2024 break-out, it has been acting as Support.
The Bullish Waves on the 2-year Channel Up indicate that after this month closes, $100000 is well within reach.
Do you think this is the start of the 100k rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Outlook: Watching for Potential Correction to 62K-61KGM Crypto Bro's, back to reality—happy working day! 😂 This morning, the fear and greed index is at 55 (greed), and the stoch RSI is still comfortably in the overbought area. The red zone around 62K-61K is a potential area for BTC to visit if a correction occurs.
Overall, the BTC market outlook for today remains similar to the update from two days ago. Keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t fall into FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTCUSD - Will history repeat itself with Bitcoin?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Will history repeat itself with Bitcoin? The first grey box zone in last year's spring indicates a price range where the asset consolidated before a breakout upwards. The second box zone indicates another consolidation area before another potential breakout. I think there will be an upward reversal when the weekly RSI reaches mid-levels, and then we will see strong momentum to 150k price levels by next spring.
Bitcoin: Resistance Now Back To Support?Bitcoin rejected the 56K support and is now testing 64K resistance. Read my previous article to learn how I described this scenario a week in advance. With price at a proven resistance, along with a couple of inside bars suggests momentum continuation higher BUT how much higher? With the coming week typically being the SLOWEST week of the year, expectations should be LOW as far as seeing a push back into the high 60KS. Based on the recent price history along with considering the broader context, I am anticipating the 64K resistance area sticks and price is more likely to see the 60K support over the coming week.
Why this scenario over the countless possibilities? My reasoning is simple: the broader context has proven to be a range bound environment. In a range or consolidation, relevant support and resistance levels have a greater tendency to hold. That is the expectation, but whether the MARKET decides to agree with that is another story. This is precisely why having a routine way to CONFIRM the price action is key (this is what my Trade Scanner Pro is all about). The market is currently at a resistance, IF price action confirms a sell signal, the next support is around the 60K area (see arrow). I anticipate buying activity to confirm in such an area.
To use this information effectively, you must have certain things figured out. For example, if you are a day trader, it is reasonable to look for sell signals across smaller time frames near the 64K area. Risk can range from 150 to 400 pts (1 min to 5 min time frame) while profit objectives can range from 200 to 500 points max. This is all determined by the parameters of the time frame you operate within. Getting short now and expecting a test of 60K because "its a big move" does NOT account for the associated risk and profit objectives of your relative time frame (Trade Scanner Pro calculates all of this).
As I mentioned in my previous article, play the support/resistance levels or don't play at all. This is ESPECIALLY important this coming week which is typically the slowest of the year in terms of average volume. Slows grinds one way or the other, sharp movements one way or the other, lack of follow through, fake outs are all very common occurrences in such an environment. In my opinion, play small, recognize when you are WRONG fast and do NOT cling to hope. For beginners especially, if there is any time to take time off, this is the week.
If you must trade, at least trade on paper and learn while protecting yourself from a very highly random market.
For the majority of participants, this is a game of CHANCE not skill. The reason is they are misinformed into believing they are cultivating a skill which in reality has NOTHING to do with the outcome of their trade or action. For example, being able to read oscillators, interpreting news and recognizing patterns, etc. Like a slot machine, no matter how good you get at interpreting the animations, fancy images, sounds and buttons, you will have absolutely no effect over the outcomes of your bets. Does it have to be this way in the markets? No, but it is all a function of the quality of the information you choose to consume. Not all information carries the same value.
Here's something to consider: IF most of the population has access to the same information as you, chances are it offers NO advantage which means your outcomes are likely random. The skill in this game is being able to recognize value that is overlooked by the broader population while being flexible enough to adjust to changes that only price itself can convey. If you are having a hard time, you are most likely believing the misinformation that you consume.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC (Bitcoin): Resistance BreakoutTrade setup : Price broke back above $60K horizontal resistance and above 200-day moving average (~$63K) to signal resumption of uptrend, with upside potential to $72K. Stop Loss at $59K. Momentum (MACD) is bullish but not overbought yet (RSI < 70), suggesting that there's still gas left in the tank near term.
Pattern : Resistance Breakout. Once a price breaks above a resistance zone, it signals that buyers have absorbed all the supply from sellers at this level and price can resume it's advance. Following a resistance breakout, the next closest resistance zone becomes a price target. Learn to trade key level breakouts in Lesson 7.
Trend : Short-term trend is Strong Up, Medium-term trend is Strong Down and Long-term trend is Strong Down.
Momentum : Price is neither overbought nor oversold currently, based on RSI-14 levels (RSI > 30 and RSI < 70).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $56.50, then $50.00.
BTC Hits 64K-65K Target: Next Stop 69K GM Crypto Bro's, happy weekend! This morning, the fear and greed index has finally exited the fear zone and is now at 56 (greed). The stoch RSI is still in the overbought area.
BTC has reached our target range of 64K-65K. In terms of price action, it’s possible for BTC to continue its long-term uptrend, but we might see a slight correction in the near future, potentially around the 61K-62K area.
If BTC continues to pump, the next target is 69K. Keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
Weak Dollar And Bullish Technicals Signal For Higher BitcoinAfter some initial recession fears spurred by the NFP report showing higher unemployment (4.3%) at the start of Avugust, stocks have bounced back up as last week’s retail sales data indicates the economy isn’t as bad as feared. CPI figures have also helped stabilize the markets, and with the FED potentially closer to cutting rates in September, the stock market may continue higher.
Now that stocks are back to bullish mode, we can see a strong risk-on sentiment that can push stocks even higher, while USDollar will most likely stay under bearish pressure along with US Yields, which can help Crypto market to stay in the bullish trend.
So this time we want to update an interesting weekly BITCOIN technical chart we have been tracking for the last two years. Notice that back in 2023, bitcoin broke out of a downtrend channel and then retested it as a support, followed by a rise above 50-week Moving Average, which interestingly, also held as a support. Since then price turned higher, and start forming some extended structures since the beginning of 2024.
Now in the second part of 2024 we got some slowdown after touching 80k, but it clearly looks like a corrective and sideways price movement within uptrend, that once again retested 50-week MA support, also with nice bullish hammer candlestick formation. That said, be aware of a bullish continuation into the end of 2024.
BTC on Track for 64K-65K: Low Volume Weekend Ahead?GM Crypto Bro's, happy Friday! This morning, the fear and greed index is at 34 (fear), and the stoch RSI remains in the overbought area, just like yesterday. Overall, BTC is still on track as per our market update yesterday, with the first target at 64K-65K.
The potential for a drop to 57K is still low for now, but as we approach the weekend, which tends to have low volume and corrections, keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
Bitcoin Update: Possible ScenariosBitcoin has been in consolidation mode for about 6 months, and now it's almost time to make a decisive move.
Considering the market structure, including the highs and lows, I expect BTC to make another low before heading towards a new ATH. We have two important main support levels at $44K and $37K, where the price could bounce back in case of a market crash in the upcoming month.
I find the scenario of support at $37K more probable than the other two scenarios:
a bounce back from the $44K level
or in a bullish scenario, breaking the last high at $70K to make new highs towards $100K
DYOR
What will move Bitcoin?Let's take an honest look at Bitcoin in terms of price and fundamentals.
Every day I see a new article about "ETF inflows" or "Historical parabolic coming" but yet price stubbornly refuses to break bullish. Often I read the comments on these articles and users ask pertinent questions such as, "if everything in the media is so bullish then why is price stagnant?"
The reality is that the failure to break back in April/May on to the fabled 100k killed the bull trend. Very simple Technical Analysis reveals lower highs and lower lows, and the trend seems to be returning back to the ETF launch level of 40k's.
But there is an upcoming event many are speculating: a Fed Rate Cut.
While people may debate the magnitude of effect that low rates had on Bitcoin in 2020-2021 there is no doubt they were bullish for Bitcoin. So it is a proper assumption that a rate cut should have a bullish effect on Bitcoin (IF it happens). The speculation is that there will be a rate cut next month, September.
This sets up a clear Boolean indicator for Bitcoin. The key is to watch Bitcoin upon a rate cut. If Bitcoin responds BULLISH then that is the correct thing for price action to "make sense." However, if Bitcoin does not respond or even goes down... that means what should have happened did NOT and Bitcoin is definitely in a secular bearish trend.
BTC USD Daily trades// scalp setup long# hello TRADERS , hope you’re doing well
This our scalp setup for today no further analyses of the entry since this position is lower-timeframe Based
######### POSITION SETUP ########
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ENTRY POINT :60374
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BITCOIN The Volatility Index is showing the way to 100kBitcoin (BTCUSD) undoubtedly shares a relationship with the Volatility Index (VIX), even though not 100% tight, being a speculative financial asset. Naturally the two are on a negative correlation, meaning that when volatility hits the market and VIX rises, BTC rises and vice versa, similar to what happens against stocks.
Following the massive volatility spike on the weeks of July 29 and August 05, VIX quickly corrected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been its pivot line since the Channel Down started 2 years ago.
Bitcoin on the other hand is already significantly above its 1W MA50, as on the week of VIX's aggressive volatility, it managed to test it and held. Opposite to VIX, Bitcoin has been trading on an upward trend, illustrated on today's analysis by a Fibonacci Channel. Initially the 1.0 Fib has been its top but then when broken, it topped on the 1.5 Fib extension.
As a result, we expect that when VIX finally closes below its 1W MA50, it will seek its 1-year Support, the Diverging Lower Lows trend-line and that will propel Bitcoin to its 1.5 Fib extension again. If that takes place towards the end of the year, we expect $100k to have been reached.
Do you think this correlation model will materialize 100k for Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Closes Above 60K: Next Stop 64K-65K?GM Crypto Bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index is at 39 (fear), and the stoch RSI is still in the overbought area. Finally, BTC managed to close a candle above 60K. The next big possibility is a move to the 64K-65K area.
However, this doesn’t mean the possibility of a correction to 57K-56K is gone. The chance is still there, but since BTC has now closed above 60K, the potential for a correction has decreased. But keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.