BITCOIN A 'game' of angles...This isn't the first time we post this chart on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the relevance that its Cyclical Angles have but it is an added step with its RSI and phases.
We are on the 1W time-frame where as you can see every Cycle has been so far approximately 10 degrees (°) less than the previous one from top to bottom. The 1st Cycle (2012 - 2013) was 54°, the 2nd (2015 - 2017) was 42° and the 3rd (2019 - 2021) was 30°. Based on this progressive sequence, we can expect the current one to top at around 20° from the bottom.
Even though the price is on a declining angle rate, the 1W RSI is remarkably stable. As you can see, every Bull Cycle is around 25°, so there is no reason to expect the current one to diverge from this. This way when the RSI tops, we will now when to sell and sit back with the profits until the next Bear Cycle bottom.
On top of all the above, we see that according to the Bull Cycle phases classification, Bitcoin is still within its Accumulation Phase (blue Rectangle), so we haven't yet seen its most aggressive part, the Take-off Phase (orange).
But what do you think? Are we about to see that parabolic rally of the Take-off Phase and if so, is this 'Angle' analysis accurate at predicting when to take profit? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin-btcusd
$BTC may do something like this#bitcoin #btc is still moving in the ascending channel after recent dump. Ascending channels more often confirms the down trend continuation but rarely results trend reversal. I may expect movement like this while P.A. is still bearish.
Invalidation: If #btcusd breaks out channel permanently.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
Bitcoin- Major false break and back to 70k after?Last week, Bitcoin broke below the important 60k support level, which coincides with the neckline of a double top.
However, after an initial drop to the 53k zone, the price quickly recovered, forming a daily pin bar and leaving a double bottom on short-term time frames.
Now, Bitcoin is back in the broken support level zone.
Considering the quick recovery, in my opinion, this will prove to be a false break, not a test and continuation downwards.
I am looking to buy dips against the recent low with a target around 70k.
BTC discount today sponsored by German GovernmentHi guys.
This is an update for a longer term LONG position I am building from these levels.
We had a German Government dumping 12k BTC on the market and re-visited 55k area .
This selloff was absorbed by market .
German Government has 23.7k BTC left in their wallet down from 50k .
Bitcoin ALL-TIME-HIGH is STILL COMING: Here's WhyA hint... the RSI.
The RSI is one of those reliable old-timers, especially useful in higher timeframes to determine longer period price action, such as near term and long term.
Together with Elliot Wave Theory, I'm going to present to you an argument for why Bitcoin is STILL BULLISH and what my strategy/expectation is for the coming weeks. I'll also share key metrics to watch and do regular updates should the conditions mentioned in the video be met.
Although I am short term bearish, I remain longer term bullish, making it really impossible to label this post as solely "short" or "long".
Cheers to the Top10%'ers 🥂
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC - what if it's lower than $56 522?On May 21, the INDEX:BTCUSD chart formed a model on the weekly timeframe that describes the key logic behind the price movement.
The model was confirmed by touching the trend line:
After an unsuccessful attempt to retest the trendline between June 5 and June 8, the price retreated towards the 4 point ($56 522).
Right now the price is trying to consolidate above this level, but if INDEX:BTCUSD still fails to trade higher during the week and goes back under $56 522, we could see price levels like $43 349 and $33 229 in the long term.
Elementary Bitcoin in its entirety for beginnersUnlike all kinds of cryptocurrencies, the issue of Bitcoin is limited by the condition of a regular reduction in the size of the mining reward. Naturally, the American dollar will always be issued without any special restrictions. This allows you to make a basic calculation: “infinity” divided by “21 million” = “infinity”. That is, theoretically, in the infinite future, Bitcoin can cost as much as you like; based on general data, you can already calculate the nearest maximum target of $120k at the end of 2025. Of course people won't spend all their dollars on Bitcoin because they have other needs to survive. People will buy and sell Bitcoin to achieve their budget goals. Therefore, the price will not rise every day.
Looking at the figure, you can see three symbolic exponents (blue at the bottom, red at the top and orange in the middle) the struggle between buyers and sellers unfolds. But this is not a fact that the price will reach them, since the real exponential median is extended into eternity, or at least for the next hundred years until all Bitcoin is mined. The most likely upward trend will fluctuate around a straight white line. I think the price will charge below this line and shoot exponentially much higher again and again as mankind's speculative sentiment never runs out.
Therefore, in the near future, since the price has not reached its nearest maximum immediately, a break is needed to recharge. Anything can happen at once, but most likely it will drop below the previously mentioned orange exponential and below the white straight line to collect at least part of the liquidity between $28k-33k and reverse fast back to its nearest target at $120k. I believe this downward and upward movement will occur before the end of 2025. However, from my own experience, I can note that my scenarios are implemented much faster because we are not given time, we create it ourselves. Therefore, just stay in touch and watch the unfold of events vertically if you are not in a hurry. =]
I still provide brief comments as the story progresses from that “Watchlist, details and news” section in the upper right corner of the screen on the stationary monitor.
Best wishes.
Bitcoin Price Recovery StallsMany Bitcoin traders believe that this was an isolated liquidation dip caused by "reasons" such as MtGox and Germany. This price movement is part of a broader picture (below) and while many hoped to see 60k recaptured this weekend it does not seem that will be the case. Futures markets will open in a few hours and last for the last two weeks the Sunday-Monday action has been that of holding resistance and continuing lower.
In the bigger picture Bitcoin is still well within its new bearish trend. Price found support last week at a key level; the 50% Retracement of the ETF launch rally. However, as seen above, it failed to recapture the liquidation low of June 24th which was the dip that plunged Bitcoin into the confirmed bearish trend.
Be sure to catch up on the level by level analysis over the last few weeks and where I analyze Support will finally be in my posts linked below.
BITCOIN - Heading Below 20K...It's A Good Thing!We know this is an unpopular opinion BUT technically, Bitcoin is ripe for a move to the downside.
On the monthly chart, we can see that we've completed a major wave 1 impulse and now we're in a wave 2 correction. We're looking for one more move down to complete this wave 2.
See monthly chart below:
It looks as if we're making a 535 correction and therefore, we believe we'll be moving towards the 20k region to complete wave C.
Please note that we are still bullish on Bitcoin, as well as Crypto. We're looking for any buying opportunities to hold for the long term!
We'll be loading up for the long term anywhere below 20k region.
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
BITCOIN - Watch Top For MAJOR Shorts! BIG Risk:Reward Setup!Following on from our last analysis where we identified that Bitcoin was in a 335 flat correction, we finally have the top in place.
We are now expecting 5 waves down to complete wave C of the major flat correction.
We've already completed wave 1 and now in wave 2. We're expecting price to move back up near the highs where we'll be looking for price to stay below ATH and make a major move down.
The risk to reward of this trade is unparalleled and an entry at the top will allow us to hold with very little drawdown, if any.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for price to move back towards the highs
- Expecting price to stay below ATH = stops above ATH
- Enter shorts when we see reversal signs such as trendline breaks, BOS etc
- Targets: 40k, 30k, 20k, 15kk
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
BTC PA Model- i usually don't speak much when i don't see anything.
- Right now we can just speculate on some scenarios.
- so you can just imagine those scenarios with the figure i drew ( ending Diamond )
- you can notice some H&S and a big inversed H&S in the middle of graph.
- BTC volatily is still low ( around 15ish)
- i didn't find any convincing divergences yet.
- The PA range have been respected almost perfectly.
- it seems like a consolidation between 60 to 70k+.
- BTC tried to break 70k++, 5 Times exactly.
- Soon or later a breakout will happen ( next could be 85k$ ish )
- Halving is still young and the decoupling not yet started.
- if we dip under 60k.
- 50k is next small support.
- 40k is a strong support.
- very simple.
- There's a time for trading and a time for waiting.
Happy Tr4Ding!
BTC → formed a double TOPhello guy.
unfortunately, BTC formed a double top and broke the neckline!
there are two scenarios in front of BTC!
1- touches the QMC level.
2- touches the ascending trendline.
the target of the breaking double top is $45k!
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BTC → is it the time of bullish trend???hello guys...
as the chart illustrates, the btc after forming a double top touched the next decision level!
now the price is in a potential area to start an upward movement, but we need confirmation!
if the price breaks up the descending trendline you can get a long position after retracement!
but be aware of targets (the blue area)
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✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
BITCOIN Massive Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN broke the support
Cluster of the rising support
And the horizontal support
Around 57,700$ and the
Breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased now
And we will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
#Bitcoin healthy pullback to $41-44k range#Bitcoin When in doubt, zoom out. Based on the pricerange we traded the last months a healthy pullback would be the $41-44k range.
Ofcourse we can get major some liquidation spikes to the downside. Be careful!
Minor support level: ~ GETTEX:52K
Major support levels: $41-44k range, ~$30k
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Time to Consider an Even Bigger Double-TopLose 56.5 by tomorrow's close (3 daily chart), or the weekly close, and we could target at least 45k and possible weekly support (green box starting at ~44k), or even a dip below weekly support to just below ~40k.
Good luck, this idea is invalidated if we bounce off of 56.5k or higher and move back above 67.2k
HAPPY JULY 4th with BITCOIN hitting the 1D MA200 after 9 months!Happy July 4th everyone! A little break from the traditional stock markets but not for crypto. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in particular, just hit and broke below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in almost 9 months (October 16 2023)!
Naturally this is a very strong long-term Support level and it is even more obvious on this 1D chart, where BTC's current consolidation is similar to the one from mid- April 2023 to mid-July 2023 (blue Rectangle).
With the long-term pattern being a Fibonacci Channel Up and the 1D MACD forming a sequence similar to the bottom formation that started on August 27 2023, Bitcoin is most likely entering the long-term Support Zone.
The ultimate Support level is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) but we expect to come close to that not straight away vertically but in the next month while the price might trade sideways in similar fashion to September 2023.
In any case, since the November 2022 market bottom, this kind of distance from the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), has been the most optimal buy entry and including the current one, we've only had 4 such opportunities.
But what do you think? Is this the right opportunity to buy heavily again on Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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