Bitcoin-btcusd
$BTC Bitcoin Hopium or No-pium?CRYPTOCAP:BTC price in ascending triangle pattern!
Current Price: $65100
Major resistance around $71,500
More precisely between 71500 - 73000
From my previous post $bitcoin lost a major support around 67000 and found support around 64300. Support around 64300 has not broken the angled support of the ascending triangle.
It is important that bitcoin does not break this trend line else next levels of support are around 60600 and 57900.
If 64300 remains support and trendline is intact then 67000 will be tested as now resistance! Waiting to see what happens at these levels.
What do you think? Hopium or Nopium?
BITCOIN will find support above $57k & Rally To $90k In 2025.I thought I would look at BITCOIN as I've been doing my Plan Your Trade videos.
I don't follow BITCOIN much - but the skills I teach related to price channels, Fibonacci Price Theory, Anchor Bars, Fibonacci Retracement/Extension, and others can be easily applied to any chart.
So, I created this video to share with you how I look at opportunities and pertinent price formations.
First, I see a FLAG formation that is nearly complete.
Second, I see a 100% measured move that has prompted the stalling price action (the FLAG).
Third, I see multiple price channels leading to a robust possibility for a rally phase in BITCOIN later this year and into 2025.
Lastly, I paired my analysis of BITCOIN with my expectations for the US Indexes. Thus, if I were expecting a broad market collapse over the next 6 to 12+ months, I would bias my decision-making towards the downside as asset declines typically result in all assets moving downward for a brief period.
Watch this video and let me know what you think. I've laid out an A (bullish) vs. B (bearish) scenario for everyone and highlighted key levels of support/resistance for traders.
At this point, I believe the strongest outcome for BITCOIN is a bullish rally targeting $90k+
BITCOIN History rhymes and calls for as high as $300k!This is a post Halving update to the 'Fibonacci Channel blueprint' analysis we've made almost a year ago. The price action has been even more aggressive than what we expected so relevant adjustments had to be made.
On this chart, we yet again rely on the long-term time-frames of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) for a more meaningful illustration of its historic Cycles. Those are patterns that have repeated themselves over and over again, with some variations of course based on the current market conditions.
** The Fibonacci Channels **
Right now the price has completed 4 months of consolidation following the early March All Time High (ATH), always above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This consolidation is consistent with all previous post-Halving price actions as BTC always traded sideways and accumulated in the weeks after the Halving, in preparation for the Parabolic Rally, the Cycle's most aggressive phase.
The previous Cycles topped near Fibonacci trend-lines of prior Cycle Channels. For example the December 2017 Cycle Top was formed just below the bottom (Fib 0.0) of the orange Fibonacci Channel that started from the previous Cycle bottom. The November 2021 Top was formed just below the middle (Fib 0.5) of the blue Fibonacci Channel. This could be a +0.5 Fib progression and in that case the Top of the current Cycle might be just below the top (Fib 1.0) of the black Fibonacci Channel that started on the December 2018 bottom.
At the same time, another condition that it 'needs' to fulfil is being just below the 0.0 Fib of the Blue Channel, similar to what happened in December 2017 (just below Fib 0.0 of the orange Channel).
** The Halvings and $200k **
The 1.0 Fib is currently a little under $300000, and as we mentioned after the consolidation of each Halving, Bitcoin posts the most aggressive (parabolic) rally of the Bull Cycle. So that leads us to assume that the Top of the current Bull Cycle will be at least $300k. To give a relative sense of pathing, we have plotted the 'post Halving rallies' of the previous three Cycles on the current Channel starting on Halving 4.
As you can see, the orange (2013) and black (2020 - 2021) lines are more aggressive than the purple (2016 - 2017) but the latter is the one that, as we've posted numerous times, the current Cycle has the most similarities with. If Bitcoin follows the purple price action within the black Fibonacci Channel, then it should reach $100k by December 2024 and $300k by August 2025. If instead it transitions to the more aggressive Cycle models, then it could reach those levels much earlier.
But what do you think? Is $300k realistic within the current Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Local Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN made a bullish
Rebound from the long-term
Rising support and we are now
Seeing a bullish breakout of
The resistance cluster of
The falling and horizontal
Resistance around 62k$
So we are locally bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Bitcoin Levels and Trading Plan for July 2024This article will lay out the key levels that should come into play in the price action of INDEX:BTCUSD starting today on July 1st and may carry on through the month. This analysis will rely on Ichimoku, 50% Retracements, and Volume Profile.
The primary driver of my analysis on Bitcoin price action is the Daily Ichimoku trend. I published a video last week on how consistently effective this analysis has been over the entire history of Bitcoin that I highly recommend watching to understand in detail. The basics are:
Price is below the cloud
Lagging span is below the cloud
These two together = confirmed bearish
This is the inverse of the post-ETF hype phase bullish trend that took Bitcoin to a new All Time High. An All Time High that unfortunately for HODLers failed to push higher and confirm the bullish momentum to carry forward past the fabled "6 figures".
The key levels brought to us by Volume Profile in the longer term are:
Resistance:
63000: Near term being tested this morning
67780: The line in the sand to return to bullish
Support:
62000: Near term support today
56940: Low of the consolidation range
51760: Next stopping point of the current bear trend
42630: Return to the ETF launch era, my ideal target for my long term short
The two key levels are 67780 above and 42630 below.
If price can get back up and break 67780 then the Ichimoku rules will be true for the bullish trend to resume and possibly continue either for another consolidation high or even new All Time High.
If Ichimoku rules are correct and last week was the start of a bearish trend then price would very likely return to the ETF launch levels. This is a strong support and also a thematic one for what happens in assets that have a honeymoon phase before returning back to reality.
Before that final Support the 50k level will be interesting as it does contain a key Volume Profile level AND will invoke the Weekly Ichimoku cloud.
Trade wisely!
BITCOIN LONG TO $77,000Let's start off the new month by having a look at our BTC analysis! Despite price coming very close to our SL, it missed by a few PIPS & bounced back up, keeping our analysis valid & intact. Price is just hovering below our supply & entry zone, so if you didn't enter before use this opportunity to get involved now!
BITCOIN Will people regret not buying at this stage?Around this time last year (see chart below), we analyzed yet again the similarities of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle with the one in 2014 - 2017. In fact we were among the fist channels in late 2022 to bring that up as a strong possibility and as you can see Bitcoin didn't fail to deliver:
We have entered however a stage where, as the title says, people could regret if they haven't bought already as it might be the last opportunity to do so on such low prices. The time-frame on both charts is 3D and as you can see, the MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the most optimal buy entry throughout the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle.
If the similarities continue to unfold between the two Cycles, then last week's breach of the MA50, should be the best buying opportunity at this stage. As you can see, we are proportionally at the end of the blue elliptical pattern which in early 2017 consolidated around and mostly below the former All Time High (ATH) level and then started the Parabolic Rally.
Do you think the current MA50 touch has marked the start of this rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC - A Healthy Pullback or a Sign of More to Come?Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts! Let's dive into Bitcoin's recent price action and what we can expect in the coming months.
The Correction Phase: Why It's Not All Doom and Gloom
First off, don't panic about the current correction phase. After the halving, a correction was not just expected. It’s healthy! Think of it as Bitcoin catching its breath before the next big sprint. We're seeing an ABC correction pattern, which savvy traders will recognize as a typical and necessary, market movement.
Timing the Market: When to Make Your Move
So, when’s this correction likely to wrap up? Our crystal ball suggests somewhere between July and August/September. This is the perfect window to dollar-cost average (DCA) into your positions. By buying a fixed dollar amount of BTC at regular intervals, you can average out your entry price, reducing the impact of volatility.
Long Positions: Entering long positions in the 50000-52245 range could be a smart move, considering the support levels and the bullish outlook post-summer.
Key Levels to Watch: The Golden Zone
Here’s where it gets interesting. The big kahuna level to keep an eye on is 50K. Not only is it a psychological level, but it’s also where several technical indicators converge. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the smaller wave sits at $52,245, while the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the entire 491 day bull run is at $51,690. This zone also hosts an old trading range, known as a bullish order block. Translation? This area is packed with historical significance and potential support.
Fibonacci Levels:
Fib 0.618 of the smaller wave is at $52,245.
Fib 0.382 of the entire 491-day bull run is at $51,690.
Ichimoku Cloud: Your Support Safety Net
On the daily timeframe, the Ichimoku cloud’s edge (custom settings) aligns around the 50K mark, offering additional support. It's like having an extra safety net below a tightrope walker.
Altcoins: The Unsung Heroes
Don't forget about altcoins! Many have pulled back significantly, with some seeing 60-80% corrections. This is a golden opportunity to DCA into altcoins and position yourself for potential gains. Remember, during market corrections, altcoins often offer lucrative entry points for those looking to diversify.
Wrapping Up: The Bigger Picture
While the correction phase may seem daunting, it’s a natural part of the market cycle. The key levels around 50K-52K are not just numbers, they’re strategic entry points. With the support of the Ichimoku cloud there’s a lot to be optimistic about as we move towards the end of summer.
What do you think? Are you positioning yourself for the end of the correction? Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss!
With a clearer understanding of Bitcoin's correction phase and the key levels to watch, you're now better equipped to navigate the crypto waters. Happy trading!
Short-term Bitcoin Analysis - Don't looking for long-term!!!Hello friends,
I always provide short-term analysis in my trades and the analyses I conduct because market conditions are variable and can change rapidly. The longer the analysis timeframe, the fewer factors and conditions it incorporates for potential changes. So Don't looking for long-term analysis!
Let's start with the Bitcoin analysis:
After hitting a new high, the price experienced a drop, but we cannot call this drop the end of the bull run or a trend reversal. We are simply observing the formation of a base. This base could potentially rally on the weekly timeframe, or maybe not.
As long as Bitcoin remains above the 58,200 to 59,100 level (the green zone from which the price bounced back), it can continue its upward movement. However, if this support zone is broken, the price could drop to a lower green level.
If you are a holder, you might consider lightening your portfolio if there is a sustained break below the support zone.
Keep your trading simple.
Short-term Bitcoin Analysis - Don't looking for long-term!!!Hello friends,
I always provide short-term analysis in my trades and the analyses I conduct because market conditions are variable and can change rapidly. The longer the analysis timeframe, the fewer factors and conditions it incorporates for potential changes. So Don't looking for long-term analysis!
Let's start with the Bitcoin analysis:
After hitting a new high, the price experienced a drop, but we cannot call this drop the end of the bull run or a trend reversal. We are simply observing the formation of a base. This base could potentially rally on the weekly timeframe, or maybe not.
As long as Bitcoin remains above the 58,200 to 59,100 level (the green zone from which the price bounced back), it can continue its upward movement. However, if this support zone is broken, the price could drop to a lower green level.
If you are a holder, you might consider lightening your portfolio if there is a sustained break below the support zone.
Keep your trading simple.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook
Since the beginning of June, Bitcoin is not in a good shape.
The market is trading in a minor bearish trend and formed
a falling expanding wedge pattern.
The test of a huge confluence zone based on a trend line of the wedge
and a horizontal demand zone triggered a strong rejection.
For now, the market is accumulating within a narrow range.
I believe that a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge
and a daily candle close above that can be an important bullish trigger.
The market may start a strong up movement then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITCOIN Are you going to be able to handle this rally???Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is consolidating on the exact symmetrical spot it did relative to the previous Cycles. The blue circle marks that position historically and is that consolidation that always preceded the Bull Cycle's most aggressive part: the Parabolic Rally.
The Cycle bottom-to-bottom time range is fairly consistent to 1400 days and has been the bottom-to-top of the last two to 1064 days. Having broken above the cyclical Lower Highs (blue trend-line) on February, BTC historically posts only Higher Highs from here. The top can be anywhere within the $150k - $300k range for this Cycle, but as this chart shows, the important thing is to time it as closely as possible.
But what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to experience the start of the new Parabolic Rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN'S ULTIMATE PARABOLIC CURVE — EYEING $181,267.00The Parabolic Curve often emerges near the culmination of a major market surge, marking the end result of numerous base formation breaks.
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The Parabolic Curve patterns are commonly observed in growth stocks with innovative products, groundbreaking technology, novel business models, or visionary leadership. Typically, these assets represent market leaders — like Bitcoin for crypto.
💡 At the pivotal point of Base 3, symbolized by the "X" on the chart and situated at $25,700, Bitcoin is poised for a potential doubling in the shortest timeframe.
This pattern's hallmark is its staircase-like formation, creating short-term price range bases before catapulting to new highs, repeating the cycle multiple times in its ascent.
I've conducted a detailed analysis using Fibonacci tools and Elliott Waves, projecting Base 4's estimated range between the $60,000 resistance and $46,700 support.
Additionally, considering Fibonacci extensions and channels, the SELL POINT for the parabolic move is anticipated at range between $149,175 and $181,267.00
This parabolic curve, reminiscent of a rocket's trajectory, can endure for weeks or even months. However, caution is warranted as the pattern nears completion. The culmination of the rapid upward momentum often concludes abruptly, plunging in price even faster than its ascent.
BTC Bitcoin Bullish Flag, Eyeing Potential Triple Top FormationIf you haven’t reentered Bitcoin in the buy area:
Bitcoin has recently shown signs of being inside a bullish flag chart pattern, a technical setup that traders often interpret as a continuation signal. This formation typically suggests a period of consolidation before a significant price movement in the direction of the prevailing trend, which, in Bitcoin's case, has been upward.
The flag portion of the pattern has Bitcoin trading in a relatively narrow range, indicating that the market is gathering strength for the next move.
While the bullish flag pattern suggests a continuation of the upward trend, traders should also be cautious of a possible triple top formation. A triple top is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price reaches a similar high three times, with intervening declines. This pattern signals that the asset is struggling to break through a particular resistance level, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current technical setup presents a compelling case for a bullish continuation towards the $69,000 price target, driven by the bullish flag pattern.
SOLANA - Top In Place! Down We Go...In our last analysis, we shared an unpopular opinion where we forecasted Solana to move down towards the $10 region.
We appear as if we've made the top and looking for further downside. The overall pattern we're seeing is a 535 Zigzag correction.
We had our confirmation to sell as the break of the red trendline, which we used to signalise the end of wave B and the start of wave C.
We're keeping invalidation levels for the bearish scenario above 210.
We'll be looking for further shorting opportunities. We'll be sure to update when we see another entry point!
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Bitcoin: TIMING the market beat Time IN the market!We've heard the addage; "time in the market beats timing the market." That may be true of stocks and people that want to be lazy but results dramatically improve with this one simple signal based in Ichimoku.
That signal JUST HAPPENED!
The results over 13 years of Bitcoin's price history are clear even when the last 4 years are isolated. Do the backtest yourself and see!
BITCOIN Just flashed the strongest Buy Signal of the Bull Cycle!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) turned oversold on its 1D RSI on Monday and yesterday immediately rebounded back above the 30.00 RSI oversold barrier. The previous 3 times it did that exact same sequence since November 09 2022, it was an indication that the bottom was formed and a structured rise / Channel Up would follow.
Technically we can claim that this is the strongest/ most consistent Buy Signal of the whole Bull Cycle so far. Those 3 times turned out to be the most optimal long-term buy entries for investors that buy on dips.
The Gaussian Channel shows that at worst, we are looking at a bottom formation process/ consolidation of another 2 months (as BTC did from August 17 2023 to October 16 2023) but the upside on this Fibonacci Channel Up is significant, with a repeat of the lowest % rise these past 2 years (+91.05%) giving us a minimum Target of $110000.
Do you agree with that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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