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Bitcoin-btcusd

BITCOIN The March effect is about to kick-inTrump's inauguration took place yesterday and that's perhaps the one event that the markets have been waiting for to kick-start the year without distractions. On today's analysis we go through every January of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) final year of its Bull Cycles and present to you what we will call from now on 'The March effect'. As you can see, the price action coming to those January months is fairly similar between that last 4 Cycles. The price finds Support below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), then breaks above it and with that as its new Support, it rises towards January where it starts the first Consolidation Phase. After a new Low near (or on) the 1D MA100, the market resumes the uptrend and rise towards March where again it starts a second Consolidation Phase. As a result, January - March during the Bull Cycle's final year deliver this incredibly bullish sequence and we can claim that the phenomenon has already started as January 13 2025 was a close enough test for the 1D MA100. We are expecting a March peak around $130k. So do you think we will see the 'March effect' unfold once more and if yes is $130k a plausible target in your opinion? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
BITCOIN: Just bounced on the former 4 year Resistance.Bitcoin is staging an incredible rebound on the nearly 4 year HH Resistance Zone, while being on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.575, MACD = 1366.600, ADX = 28.907) and a borderline overbought 1W, which really sets the tone for the rest of the bull market. This turns the former Resistance Zone into a Support, as this is the first test and bounce since it broke in November after the U.S. elections. Symmetrically, the rally since August 5th 2024 looks like the rejection since November 8th 2021. Like the rejection reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, we expect the current bullish wave to do the same thing. A TP = 200,000 can be easily achieved under these conditions. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Bitcoin- Genuine up break?Since reaching its recent all-time high in mid-December, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been trading within a 20% range, with strong support established around the 90K zone. In mid-January, the price briefly dipped below this critical support level, but the move was quickly reversed, and BTC/USD stabilized around the 100K mark. The "Trump coin mania," which began two days ago, has had little to no impact on Bitcoin traders. Despite the hype, there were no sell-offs here, and the market remained steady. Even though there was a minor dip to 100K yesterday, it was promptly reversed, allowing Bitcoin to reach a new, albeit marginal, all-time high. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains range-bound and is currently trading near the upper boundary of this range. If a genuine breakout occurs, the measured target for the next move could be in the 128-130K region. For the bulls, there’s little reason to worry as long as Bitcoin stays above the crucial 90K support level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
BTC at major Resistance Zone? Will it drop to 102,100 $?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading in a robust resistance zone that aligns with prior price rejections and key supply levels. This area has in the past attracted strong selling interest, making it a critical point to watch. If bearish confirmation appears, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I anticipate a move toward 102,100. Conversely, a break above this level could signal further upside and invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should carefully evaluate price action at this zone before entering positions. Do you see this playing out similarly? Let’s discuss in the comments below!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TrendDiva
5
Bitcoin: 105K Greater Chance Of Retrace.Bitcoin briefly tested 90K only to show a sharp reversal which has lead to a run into the 105K area resistance. IF momentum continues, 108K can be tested, but IF a bearish reversal appears, a test of 100K is also possible. The key is looking for confirmations on smaller time frames in order to get a better sense of what the market wants to do, not what you think it will do. There is also an important lesson here about chart patterns. First let's address the wave count. My chart shows a "5?" which is potentially the completion of a very broad (monthly) Wave 3. The reason there is a "?" is because in order to confirm, the market needs to do something like clear a major support like 90K. While 89K was actually tested, the swift rejection means 90K is still intact and still the major support area to watch for. This also means the current wave structure going back to the 108K high may still be a Wave 4 and a bullish Wave 5 maybe be developing. 108K will have to be cleared in order to confirm. If this scenario plays out, 113K is the next resistance and profit objective area. The arrow on the chart points to the 105K AREA resistance. From such a level, I anticipate a brief retrace at least (see illustration) over the coming week which can take price back to 100K. Best way to utilize this information is avoid new longs, look to lock in profits, and/or look for trade ideas on smaller time frames. At the moment there are no bearish signs at all so selling in front of such strong momentum is just as risky as buying and expecting a test of 108K. The other key lesson here is the head and shoulders pattern. I specifically mentioned this in my previous article. These patterns can appear randomly just like anything else. Jumping to a conclusion upon seeing a such a pattern is what gets you caught on the wrong side of the market when you have moves like the one that is in progress now. Best way to avoid this bias is to always keep an open mind and do NOT think in absolutes. The head and shoulders in this case was totally meaningless. The confirmation would have been a decisive break of 90K, NOT a brief break, followed by a bullish pin bar. Watch price levels and price structure and let the market choose, our job is to adjust to the market and measure the ever evolving risk. At resistance levels like price is at now, I believe probability favors a retrace. I can be wrong, but if the risk on both sides is high, its better to be wrong and out, than wrong and in. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
5
Bitcoin (BTC): $119K Target in Sight – Bulls in Control 📈 Bitcoin (BTC): $119K Target in Sight – Bulls in Control 🚀 Bitcoin is charging forward after rebounding from a brief dip below $90,000, setting its sights on $119K and beyond. With the possibility of Donald Trump returning as U.S. president in 2025, market optimism is growing as traders anticipate significant policy and macroeconomic shifts that could favor Bitcoin’s rise. Key Levels to Watch: Next Target: $104,269: A milestone along BTC’s upward trajectory, representing intermediate resistance. Major Target: $119,000: With a 70% probability, this is Bitcoin’s primary focus in the short term. Potential Surge to $135,000: A breakout above $119K could lead to rapid price acceleration toward this ambitious level. Support Zones: $92,000: Immediate support level keeping BTC in bullish territory. $79,478: A deeper, unchecked level with a 30% chance of being revisited before the next big move. Why the Market is Excited: Trump 2025 Speculation: A possible Trump presidency raises expectations of favorable economic policies, potentially driving Bitcoin adoption and investment. Institutional Confidence: BTC remains a top choice for institutional investors, solidifying its dominance in the crypto market. Global Adoption: Bitcoin’s increasing utility and demand continue to fuel its upward momentum. The Road Ahead: With Bitcoin’s bullish structure intact, a rally toward $119K appears increasingly likely. The path to $135K could come sooner than anticipated if momentum holds. On the downside, a revisit to $79,478 offers potential opportunities for accumulation. What do you think of Bitcoin’s next move? Are you bullish on the $119K target, or do you expect a pullback first? Share your thoughts below! 👇 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
2
Cyclical Bitcoin Analysis: Why Is 135K Significant?When Bitcoin prices above 135K, we’ll witness the bull rally gaining momentum. Why? From a cyclical perspective, combining on-chain and technical data, I’m confident we are not yet at the peak of this bull rally. At least, if all this data isn’t going to become irrelevant, I’m certain of it. I believe that once Bitcoin surpasses 135K, the bull rally will accelerate, leading to a parabolic rise. In the chart, you can also see the MVRV Z-score (below), providing additional evidence that we are far from the peak.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by burakkesmeci
Bitcoin - This Month Will Decide Everything!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still rather bullish: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 In December of 2024, we saw a little pause during the overall bullish crypto bullrun, which was actually quite expected after the recent rally of about +500%. This could still turn into a false breakout, but since everything looks rather bullish, new all time highs are much more likely. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
21
BITCOIN The minimum target of this Cycle is $185kIf you follow us for long, you know that we are very fond of using Fibonacci levels on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Cycles in order to project future tops and bottoms. Today is one of those analyses, in fact it is a strong variation of the following Inverse Head and Shoulders call: As you can see, that was based on the condition that BTC would make a first hit and rejection on the 0.786 Fib retracement and then (as it happened on the previous Cycle) would go for a Cycle Top on the 2.0 Fibonacci, which gives us a $165k Target. Since the 0.786 Fib never really offered the rejection of the previous 3 Cycles, we are introducing a variation model with new parameters. We take the Fib extension from the bottom of each Cycle to the moment it made contact with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As you can see by applying these conditions, every Cycle since BTC's inception has hit at least the 5.0 Fibonacci extension, with all Cycles in fact making a perfect Top there with the exception of 2017, which even exceeded it. As a result, we can claim that this Cycle will have a minimum peak at $185000. How realistic do you think this is for the 'bad case scenario'? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BTCUSD: Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern and $100K TargetThe Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has unique characteristics compared to the Falling Wedge or Flag patterns. While the Falling Wedge and Flag patterns feature converging lines that taper to a point, the Descending Broadening Wedge widens from left to right, indicating increasing market volatility over time. This pattern forms when the price moves within an expanding range, creating a downward-sloping resistance line and a support line that also declines at a steeper angle. I have identified an intriguing Descending Broadening Wedge pattern on BTCUSD. The chart clearly depicts this pattern through a series of lower highs, depicted by blue arrows, and lower lows, depicted by black arrows. The price tends to rebound between the support and resistance lines, with these rebounds depicted by orange arrows. To confirm a bullish move, it is crucial to wait for a price breakout above the resistance line of this pattern. A breakout from this resistance will signal a momentum shift and could serve as a strong indicator of a price surge, depicted by the green arrow, with the target for this price surge being the psychological level around $100,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DNP-FX
1
BITCOIN vs GOLD Cycles. Yellow metal leads, BTC lags.In our early years as a channel we used to do a lot of analyses on the similarities of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Gold (XAUUSD) and how Gold Cycles could help predict BTC's future prices. The latter is called the 'digital Gold' after all. Going back to our roots, we present to you today our latest cross-cycle comparison between the two assets, which offers interesting insights. As you can see, the Cycles of those two aren't always aligned. The correlation tends to end when Gold peaks and when it bottoms. As you can see since 2018, when Gold starts a Bull Cycle, Bitcoin tends to lag behind, still being on its Bear Cycle. Then the two converge and correlate until Gold peaks and start its Bear Cycle. That is still relatively early for Bitcoin's bullish trend, which remains on its Bull Cycle, in fact has around 1 year ahead of it. As a result, the two start to diverge again. Based on this model, it appears that Gold's Bull Cycle has peaked and Bitcoin is entering (black circle) its last stage of its Bull Cycle, with a Parabolic Rally being prepared. Still not too late to buy the 'Digital Gold' on this Cycle. Do you agree with this correlation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
BTCUSD: This is a consolidation and we've seen it before.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.151, MACD = -617.400, ADX = 24.376) as it hasn't escaped the right range it's been trading in since late December. The 1W MACD has converged but hasn't made the Cross yet and as long as it doesn't, based on the time cycles, this is most likely a short consolidation that has happened almost exactly during the same time both in January 2024 and 2023. When the 1W MACD made the Bearish Cross, we had the long consolidation phases. By next week we should see this consolidation break to the upside. Our target is the same with the early 2024 breakout, a +195% rise from the bottom (TP = 150,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
ETHUSDT potential short-term correctionThe ETHUSDT market has recently experienced a decline, testing the key psychological level of 3000. Although it briefly broke below the previous support level, it soon retraced. Despite this, there are no clear signs of bullish momentum in the area, suggesting a potential lack of strong buying interest. This could lead the market to establish a range zone for accumulation. The market is likely to consolidate near this support level, with the range zone serving as both support and resistance. It is anticipated that the price could reverse and retest the 3000 level. On the daily timeframe, the price appears to be forming an ABCD pullback, which implies the market might dip below the 2900 level. A similar pattern was observed earlier in 2024. The focus remains on the support zone near the 3000 level
Short
by RTED_Investing
Is Bitcoin Heading to $78K? Key Patterns Explained! ''BTC/USD: Key Supply Zone in Focus'' This chart highlights a significant supply zone between $94,858.98 and $95,979.83, marked by previous price rejections (indicated by the arrows). This zone represents a key area of resistance where selling pressure has historically dominated. If the price revisits this zone, there’s a high probability of another rejection, potentially leading to a downward movement. Traders should monitor this area closely for potential short opportunities or signs of a breakout. 👉 What’s your take on this supply zone? Will it hold, or are we breaking through? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! "BTC/USD: Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern" This chart showcases a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, often regarded as a bearish signal. The price has already broken the neckline, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. The target for this pattern lies near $78,490.59, calculated based on the height of the structure. Combined with the current price action, this setup suggests further bearish momentum could be on the horizon. 👉 Do you agree with this bearish outlook? Or do you see a reversal coming? Share your analysis in the comments below!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by ProcessAndIntercept
Bitcoin update 11 Jan 2025I don't often post bitcoin updates, not because I don't have anything to say, but because I understand what phase of the market we are in. 

 This phase as I said earlier in the posts is called distribution which will last until September 2025. After that I am expecting a correction of 50%+ from the put peak.
I have already made an assumption what reversal formation we will make. 
 Locally, it's January 11, 2025.
It is the beginning of the year, the market has already played Trump's presidency and as a classic “buy on rumors, sell on facts” the inauguration will be very soon, and I think the market will react down in a week. But after the positive news will continue, but we are unlikely to see in this cycle 200k for 1 bitcoin, but for me it will be a surprise. There will be a lot of talk about bitcoin. At the end of the year there should be euphoria with the new head of SEC pouring honey in the ears of crypto holders.
 I'm not listening to anyone, I'm moving forward with my plan. If you're reading me, there hasn't been a post in this series in a long time that I've changed my point of view.
I've actually started trading less cryptocurrency, it's now position trades on cycles. And it got a little boring. 
So I've tapped into the traditional markets. And I'm more actively focused on them. If you're interested in any question, ask in the comments. Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
50
Bitcoin: Can't Rally Because Of Rates?Bitcoin is consolidating within what appears to be a broad head and shoulders pattern. In my previous week's article I wrote about the break of the inside bar highs which had 4K profit potential (see previous article). I mentioned NOT to expect much more from there. Bitcoin has retraced back into the 90K AREA support zone since. Along with that a similar two inside bar pattern is present after a buying attempt which brings me to what I anticipate next. The two inside bars after a larger bullish candle (see arrow) point to a mini consolidation which if broken can lead to a test of the 100K area (see illustration). Keep in mind, IF the inside bar lows are broken instead, the 90K area can be tested again. Since the broader trend is still bullish, and the 90K support is still intact, I believe there is still a better chance price breaks higher but without any major catalysts behind it, potential is likely limited. It better to take smaller profits in this environment until price can prove there is real buying behind it. What about the broad head and shoulders pattern? I do not give a lot of weight to such patterns, and would not jump to any conclusions just because one is present. Instead I focus on the key support level which is 90K. This also happens to be the low of the previous monthly BEARISH reversal candle. IF this low is compromised, it is possible to see a test of the 85K area sooner than not. Again this is not something that can be forecast, the market has to confirm one way or the other through price action before we can assess risk. One other thing worth mentioning is interest rates are nearing highs. While this may not have a major effect on Bitcoin (especially in recent times), it does strengthen the USD and puts pressure on anti inflationary assets like stocks, gold, etc. A breakout here can act as a another factor that can limit Bitcoin potential for the short term. So you can put your party hats away for a while. In this environment (consolidation), WAIT for support or resistance levels, WAIT for confirmations and look for small bites. Most importantly WAIT for the market to reveal its hand before committing. Thank for you considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
16