BTC → breakout the trianglehello guys...
as you can see, the price broke the triangle so we can consider btc will reach to FWB:73K area at least!
on the other hand, it is sticking between the last trendline and breaking the bottom line of the ascending channel.
I think it will be on a compression for a while and then it will start an upward movement!
the last analysis:
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Bitcoin-btcusd
$BTC looks bearish#btc #bitcoin price didn't cross the major resistance area at 72K and then heavily dumped. Thus, a bearish double top has been formed. Short term bounces may be necessary but the continuation is bearish. In lower time frame, #btcusd is moving in the ascending channel.
By the way #gold and #silver heavily dumped, too. It seems rumors have been sold and the news will arrive.
Not financial advice.
Future TargetsBitcoin moved to the 4-hour support range of $70,500 - $70,150, found support, and then hit the resistance at $71,500, where it was initially rejected.
If Bitcoin breaks this resistance, it could move towards higher targets. Over the weekend, expect it to range within this area and complete a pullback before continuing upward towards $75,000. Currently, it is testing both static and dynamic resistance levels.
Key levels are: Support: $70,500 / Resistance: $71,500
BTC/USD Local trend 11/19/2023Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Rising channel. The chart shows key support/resistance levels for working in a local trend.
Code zone 273 or synchronization specifically with the price of $ 27,3 00—this is the main key break zone of the downward trend. We are now in the zone of the previous distribution of the 2020-2021 cycle.
Scale for understanding.
Bitcoin: JUNE 7TH, 2024Hello dear traders. Hope you're doing ok.
This is my #btc expectation in the short and mid term.
Let's get down to the nitty-gritty of the PA.
Price MIGHT take out yesterday's low, fill the FVG, and then continue the upward momentum. If not, we'll move towards the clean highs at the top of the range, and the PA will be of significance there. I will definitely exit my long, especially if I see a major push with high volume, and monitor the price. Acceptance back into the range will be a short trigger towards some lows around 68500 and 66K. That will be the ideal scenario to long again towards some dizzying heights. However, if price manages to maintain above the range high, and form structure, I will begin to consider longing. Momentum EMAs have shaped up nicely, and I assume we'll pick up pace soon.
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BITCOIN SWING SHORT|
✅BITCOIN is approaching a supply level of just below 74,000$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bearish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
SHORT🔥
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BTC Price Analysis: Poised for Increased Volatility and...BTC Price Analysis: Poised for Increased Volatility and Potential Growth
Bitcoin (BTC) traded around $70,800 on Wednesday's opening, with insights from Glassnode suggesting that the largest digital asset could be primed for increased volatility if it reaches a new all-time high in the coming days.
Insights from Glassnode
Key metrics from Glassnode highlight the significant role long-term holders could play in dictating Bitcoin's price action in the near future. According to Glassnode:
1. Unrealized Profits: Most long-term Bitcoin holders are sitting on substantial unrealized profits, suggesting potential for market moves if these holders decide to realize gains.
2. Coin Age Metric: Coins younger than three months old account for 41% of the network's wealth. The coin age metric measures how long a coin has been held in a particular address, indicating liquidity distribution between short-term and long-term holders. The 41% share of <3-month-old coins shows that liquidity held by new demand is beginning to grow, suggesting increased market activity and potential volatility.
Technical Analysis Overview
From a technical standpoint, BTC remains within a bullish channel, trading above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). Key technical observations include:
1. Bullish Channel: BTC continues to trade within a bullish channel, indicating an ongoing upward trend.
2. Support Levels: The price is currently retesting yesterday's high resistance level as a support level, signaling potential for further growth.
3. Indicators: Staying above the 50% Fibo and VWAP suggests strong support and potential for continued bullish momentum.
Market Strategy
Given the current technical setup and the fundamental backdrop provided by Glassnode's insights, our strategy involves looking for long positions in BTC. The bullish channel, strong support levels, and indicators of increasing liquidity held by new demand all point towards potential growth.
Bitcoin is positioned for potential increased volatility and growth, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Insights from Glassnode indicate that long-term holders and growing new demand could play significant roles in BTC's price action. Technically, the bullish channel and strong support levels further reinforce the bullish outlook. As a result, the current market environment presents an opportunity to consider long positions in BTC, anticipating continued upward movement and potential new all-time highs.
$70,000 continues to be an obstacle for BitcoinYesterday, Bitcoin again tested the resistance near $70,000 but failed. After soaring to $70,258, it quickly dropped below $69,000, where it currently trades. Overall, not much has changed from a technical perspective since our previous update; merely the sideways trend of a lesser degree became more apparent, with Bitcoin struggling at the $70,000 mark. As such, our focus continues to lie at this point, along with the two sloped channels shown below.
Illustration 1.01
The daily chart of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) above shows the descending channel, with its upper bound acting as an important resistance for the price. To support a bullish case in the short term, it would be ideal for Bitcoin to close above the resistance level for multiple consecutive days; the resistance’s importance grows with each retest.
Illustration 1.02
The image above shows the ascending channel within the larger descending channel; its lower bound acts as a resistance.
Illustration 1.03
The illustration above displays an alternative trendline on Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) daily graph, which acts as critical support for the price.
Technical conditions
Daily time frame = Neutral
Weekly time frame = Bullish (losing momentum)
Monthly time frame = Bullish
Bitcoin addresses
Initially, the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 1,000 BTC increased slightly after the big slump we described on 29th May 2024. However, while this figure is still above its 28th May 2024 level, it resumed a decline in a new month, which is not a particularly positive sign. The same trend can be observed among the addresses with balances exceeding 100 BTC.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Moon is near 🚀Hello, everyone! 🩷Have we finally made it? Is Bitcoin really about to surpass all previous highs? 🙏We’ll find out very soon, and I think it’s quite possible! Fingers crossed! 🤞
Bitcoin is rapidly gaining momentum, and this is a great signal that we are on the right track!
Many of you have seen my chart where I analyzed some price movement algorithms, and we are currently continuing the growth phase. For those who haven’t seen it yet, make sure to check it out by clicking on the post.👇
As for the current situation, what do we see on the chart?
The price broke out of the triangle upwards and tested it, indicating an organic movement, followed by further growth.
What can we expect next? We anticipate continued growth to levels of 🟢 74,000 - 78,000 in the short term, and in the medium term, 🟢 82,000 - 87,000!
If You’re also interested in learning how to trade the triangle pattern, You can find a detailed description in my post below. Learn and trade smart! 👇
Thanks for Your attention🫶
Always sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
Bitcoin- rise to at least 85kBitcoin's price action has been pretty boring in recent days. In fact, for the past three months, BTC/USD has been stuck in a range.
However, as I mentioned in my previous analysis, bulls have held very well above the important 67k support level.
At the time of writing, the price is 71k, once more facing the established resistance.
A break of this level is expected, and a rise of at least 20% should follow afterward.
I remain bullish as long as the price stays above 67k.
An increased inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFBitcoin moved higher lately, breaking some key resistance barriers. This might have been initiated by the inflow of new funds into the Bitcoin ETF.
#BTCUSD EASYMARKETS:BTCUSD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BITCOIN You might not be ready for such June!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is doing it and yet again it is going under the radar for some. The price broke out yesterday from its short-term Falling Wedge and as we showed you is extending the Bullish Leg of the Channel Up.
Zooming out to the 1M time-frame, we can see that May closed in gains (green) and since August 2023, there has only been one month of losses (red 1M candle) and that was April. Even though that injected some uncertainty to market participants, we clearly see on this long-term chart that sporadic 1 month losses are very common in Bull Cycles, especially during parabolic rallies.
In fact they are essential as they create the right shake-out conditions to keep fueling the rally. The symmetry among BTC's Cycles is remarkable and right now with the 1W MA50 (black trend-line) in deep support, it is attempting to get detached from the Mayer Multiple (MM) 1 SD above (grey trend-line), much like it did on October 2020 and April 2017.
Based on that, we are looking for the rally to extend to at least the end of the year and reach a Target Zone within $150k - $200k within MM 2 and 3 SD above (orange the red trend-lines respectively). Last but not least, take a look at the 1M RSI, which is also on a symmetry with the previous Cycles and once it touches the Lower Highs trend-line, we should consider to start taking profits regardless of whether of the range the price might be at the time.
But what do you think? Are you prepared for a 'hot' June and if yes, how high do you think BTC will go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin on the Brink of a New Bull Run Post-HalvingBitcoin's price has begun to surge once again, indicating a potential new bull run following its recent halving. The price action is currently within a bullish channel, and technical indicators combined with Fibonacci ratios suggest the onset of a fresh bullish impulse.
The Halving Effect: A Catalyst for Price Appreciation
On April 19, Bitcoin underwent its fourth halving event. These halvings, which occur approximately every four years, are integral to Bitcoin's monetary policy. They aim to maintain scarcity by halving the inflation rate, which has now dropped to just 0.85%—a lower rate than that of gold, often deemed the ultimate store of value and inflation hedge.
Over the long term, the reduction in Bitcoin's inflation rate is expected to drive price appreciation. As demand for Bitcoin increases, the limited supply of 21 million coins will face increasing pressure, creating significant potential for price rises.
Even in the short term, the halving effect enhances Bitcoin's attractiveness as an investment. Historically, Bitcoin's price has risen by an average of 125% in years when a halving occurs. This suggests that, starting from the beginning of the year, Bitcoin's price could potentially exceed $100,000, offering substantial returns given the current price around $69,000. Furthermore, Bitcoin's best performance typically happens in the year following a halving, with historical gains exceeding 400%.
Significant Institutional Interest and Bitcoin's Role in the Financial Landscape
For much of its history, Bitcoin's rise has been driven by retail investors. However, this dynamic is set to change significantly. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs has made it easier for institutional investors with vast capital reserves to invest in the cryptocurrency. This influx of major Wall Street players is likely to exert unprecedented pressure on Bitcoin's finite supply, echoing its early days of high demand.
The approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF also reflects the market's current perception of Bitcoin and its role in the financial ecosystem. In contrast, Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, faces ongoing debates over ETF approval as regulators determine whether it is a security or a commodity. This regulatory scrutiny extends to all cryptocurrencies, creating uncertainty about their classification.
It's crucial to note that an SEC classification of a cryptocurrency as a security does not spell the end for that blockchain. Many of these assets are highly decentralized and would continue to operate even if faced with litigation from the SEC. Cryptocurrencies are traded globally and are not confined to the laws of any single country.
However, regulatory risks are a significant concern for markets. Bitcoin stands out as a relatively safer investment in this regard. The SEC has already classified Bitcoin as a commodity, placing it outside the agency's regulatory control. This classification grants Bitcoin unique staying power and a degree of protection against regulatory scrutiny.
Bitcoin's current bullish trend, supported by the recent halving and growing institutional interest, sets the stage for potential substantial price appreciation. The reduced inflation rate and increasing demand create a strong case for Bitcoin's long-term value. Meanwhile, its classification as a commodity provides a safeguard against regulatory risks, further solidifying its position as a leading asset in the cryptocurrency market.
BTC / m1the massive HS on BTCUSD/M1
M1 is the money supply that encompasses physical currency and coin, demand deposits, traveler's checks, and other checkable deposits.
For a few years ive been very curious about this way to look at things.
It looks very very bullihs, and so does SPX/M1 as I link to here :
It all can fit as a new dot.com boom featuring AI and crypto.
I mean.. isnt that coming ?
$BTC is testing the major resistance zone#bitcoin #btc price is about reclaim the trend line. If breaks out resistance zone #btcusd price will be more optimistic. This' also the bearish retest of the zone #btcusdt lose the dormer trend support and so i call here as major resistance zone. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin: Push Back To 70Ks?Bitcoin support at the 66K area continues to hold and may be the higher low (wave (iv)) that may lead to a higher high over the coming weeks (see illustration). In order for a dramatic new high like 80K to be tested, price needs to prove itself by clearing 73K first. The key to navigating this is to WAIT for the market to provide evidence (confirmation), NOT get stuck on an opinion about the future. Even though the broader trend is bullish, UNTIL it breaks out, it is within reason to expect the consolidation to continue.
Recognizing the support/resistance levels within broader consolidations can help to uncover numerous opportunities, especially on smaller time frames. For example, while I consider the 66K area a minor support on this time frame (see arrow), this location is a great spot to anticipate longs on day trade time frames like the 1 or 5 minute chart.
When using such levels as a form of context to guide decisions, traders often do not understand how to shape expectations relative to the magnitude of the time frame. For instance, price movements on a 1 minute chart are typically smaller than a 5 minute or 1 hour chart. Knowing this should shape expectations in terms of reward/risk. This is one of the problems I aimed to solve when coming up with the idea for Trade Scanner Pro by automating the exit points using the average true range (ATR).
The same can be said about the 70K whole number resistance area. This is an ideal location to WAIT for sell signals, whether to take profit or an aggressive counter trend trade short. Again the location provides a point of reference where we can anticipate a particular price behavior or opportunity. It is up to the MARKET to confirm and even then, there is a chance it can get stopped out (markets are mostly RANDOM).
My analysis is meant to shed light on a select range of possibilities over the coming week for day and swing traders. I have to remind people of this because many come to these articles expecting to gain knowledge of the future. It will take some time to realize effective risk management has NOTHING to do with where price will be in the future. There is no way to forecast the future accurately, ESPECIALLY using the limited information that is available on charts.
The idea is to help you prepare for potential opportunities that I believe have a greater probability of a positive outcome because of the price location relative to the trend. The MARKET decides what scenario will play out, not me or anyone else. To align with the market, we must have a passive mindset, good listening skills and the ability to admit being wrong QUICKLY, especially on smaller time frames.
So here is how to prepare of the coming week: IF the low 66Ks are tested, look for longs, IF 66K breaks, avoid longs and reevaluate new levels. IF 70K is tested, look to take profits, or consider aggressive shorts (counter trend). IF 70K is cleared, watch for test of 73K. How you navigate your positions is a function of your risk tolerance and personal style. Most importantly, let the market do the THINKING, you simply adjust to the new information as it appears.
Thank you for your considering my analysis and perspective.
Right where we are supposed to be in the #Bitcoin cycle. Watch the calendar not
the price.
Hard to implement.
But it's the only way to keep your sanity investing in #Crypto :)
We have had double bubble's
Parabolic tops
marginally higher high, double tops
what next a rising wedge top, triple top , a clean head and shoulders?
all that we know , we must fear the euphoria and fade the crowd.
Bitcoin Marketcap v Federal reserve M1A nod to @unbeldi
And a updated chart
Swapping the Bitcoin price to marketcap over the M1 money
As BTC is a Trillion dollar asset again
and was invented to be peer to peer cash
It's good to compare the ratio vs the dollar.
And imagine one day in the future that it may dethrone the King.
Since BTC is natively digital and global
(M2 is slightly larger number and the more commonly used metric @ 20.86 Trillion)
The number of coins I used for the 100k & 400k price projections
was 19,791,006
If you wanted to check my maths
This is the current and supply and the estimate of number of coins in 10 months time.
WEN ATH for #Bitcoin ... July 2024Based on past cycles
The breakout should occur around 33 months post the 2021 high
With the top occurring Q4 2025
This could be front run of course. As the thesis laid out by Bob Loukas.
And I do lean into the idea this is going to be a major top for #BTC
Resulting in the halvening failing to provide the expected pump in 2028