Bitcoin Price Recovery StallsMany Bitcoin traders believe that this was an isolated liquidation dip caused by "reasons" such as MtGox and Germany. This price movement is part of a broader picture (below) and while many hoped to see 60k recaptured this weekend it does not seem that will be the case. Futures markets will open in a few hours and last for the last two weeks the Sunday-Monday action has been that of holding resistance and continuing lower.
In the bigger picture Bitcoin is still well within its new bearish trend. Price found support last week at a key level; the 50% Retracement of the ETF launch rally. However, as seen above, it failed to recapture the liquidation low of June 24th which was the dip that plunged Bitcoin into the confirmed bearish trend.
Be sure to catch up on the level by level analysis over the last few weeks and where I analyze Support will finally be in my posts linked below.
Bitcoin-btcusd
BITCOIN - Heading Below 20K...It's A Good Thing!We know this is an unpopular opinion BUT technically, Bitcoin is ripe for a move to the downside.
On the monthly chart, we can see that we've completed a major wave 1 impulse and now we're in a wave 2 correction. We're looking for one more move down to complete this wave 2.
See monthly chart below:
It looks as if we're making a 535 correction and therefore, we believe we'll be moving towards the 20k region to complete wave C.
Please note that we are still bullish on Bitcoin, as well as Crypto. We're looking for any buying opportunities to hold for the long term!
We'll be loading up for the long term anywhere below 20k region.
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
BITCOIN - Watch Top For MAJOR Shorts! BIG Risk:Reward Setup!Following on from our last analysis where we identified that Bitcoin was in a 335 flat correction, we finally have the top in place.
We are now expecting 5 waves down to complete wave C of the major flat correction.
We've already completed wave 1 and now in wave 2. We're expecting price to move back up near the highs where we'll be looking for price to stay below ATH and make a major move down.
The risk to reward of this trade is unparalleled and an entry at the top will allow us to hold with very little drawdown, if any.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for price to move back towards the highs
- Expecting price to stay below ATH = stops above ATH
- Enter shorts when we see reversal signs such as trendline breaks, BOS etc
- Targets: 40k, 30k, 20k, 15kk
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
BITCOIN Local Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN made a bullish
Rebound from the long-term
Rising support and we are now
Seeing a bullish breakout of
The resistance cluster of
The falling and horizontal
Resistance around 62k$
So we are locally bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
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BTC PA Model- i usually don't speak much when i don't see anything.
- Right now we can just speculate on some scenarios.
- so you can just imagine those scenarios with the figure i drew ( ending Diamond )
- you can notice some H&S and a big inversed H&S in the middle of graph.
- BTC volatily is still low ( around 15ish)
- i didn't find any convincing divergences yet.
- The PA range have been respected almost perfectly.
- it seems like a consolidation between 60 to 70k+.
- BTC tried to break 70k++, 5 Times exactly.
- Soon or later a breakout will happen ( next could be 85k$ ish )
- Halving is still young and the decoupling not yet started.
- if we dip under 60k.
- 50k is next small support.
- 40k is a strong support.
- very simple.
- There's a time for trading and a time for waiting.
Happy Tr4Ding!
BTC → formed a double TOPhello guy.
unfortunately, BTC formed a double top and broke the neckline!
there are two scenarios in front of BTC!
1- touches the QMC level.
2- touches the ascending trendline.
the target of the breaking double top is $45k!
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BTC → is it the time of bullish trend???hello guys...
as the chart illustrates, the btc after forming a double top touched the next decision level!
now the price is in a potential area to start an upward movement, but we need confirmation!
if the price breaks up the descending trendline you can get a long position after retracement!
but be aware of targets (the blue area)
___________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
BITCOIN Massive Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN broke the support
Cluster of the rising support
And the horizontal support
Around 57,700$ and the
Breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased now
And we will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
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#Bitcoin healthy pullback to $41-44k range#Bitcoin When in doubt, zoom out. Based on the pricerange we traded the last months a healthy pullback would be the $41-44k range.
Ofcourse we can get major some liquidation spikes to the downside. Be careful!
Minor support level: ~ GETTEX:52K
Major support levels: $41-44k range, ~$30k
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Time to Consider an Even Bigger Double-TopLose 56.5 by tomorrow's close (3 daily chart), or the weekly close, and we could target at least 45k and possible weekly support (green box starting at ~44k), or even a dip below weekly support to just below ~40k.
Good luck, this idea is invalidated if we bounce off of 56.5k or higher and move back above 67.2k
HAPPY JULY 4th with BITCOIN hitting the 1D MA200 after 9 months!Happy July 4th everyone! A little break from the traditional stock markets but not for crypto. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in particular, just hit and broke below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in almost 9 months (October 16 2023)!
Naturally this is a very strong long-term Support level and it is even more obvious on this 1D chart, where BTC's current consolidation is similar to the one from mid- April 2023 to mid-July 2023 (blue Rectangle).
With the long-term pattern being a Fibonacci Channel Up and the 1D MACD forming a sequence similar to the bottom formation that started on August 27 2023, Bitcoin is most likely entering the long-term Support Zone.
The ultimate Support level is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) but we expect to come close to that not straight away vertically but in the next month while the price might trade sideways in similar fashion to September 2023.
In any case, since the November 2022 market bottom, this kind of distance from the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), has been the most optimal buy entry and including the current one, we've only had 4 such opportunities.
But what do you think? Is this the right opportunity to buy heavily again on Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin healthy pullback or "Strategic Asset"?Bitcoin social media has shifted the narrative from YOLO 6-figure SOON(tm) to the June bear move being over to now accepting that this is a "healthy pullback."
The bullish trend, which began in October 2023, officially ended June 24th with the confirmed cross of the Ichimoku cloud. See my videos and posts from last week for education.
Bitcoin now sits today, on America day, at the final Volume Profile Support it can possibly hold before returning to the ETF launch levels. Price action euphorias have a sort of sweet irony such that it is almost guaranteed to come back to said levels.
Speaking of America day, Trump has shifted the Overton Window just a bit by talking of Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
www.forbes.com
Whether he would actually do anything for Bitcoin is dubious but he is the first Presidential candidate to openly support the cryptocurrency. Noting this statement by the Trump campaign is not an endorsement but it is important to note from a sentiment perspective. In a bull market, any and all possible bullish news would see a bullish response. That such a bold statement by any candidate would be followed by one of the largest down moves in recent history confirms that the current market sentiment is bearish.
$BTC Bitcoin Hopium or No-pium?CRYPTOCAP:BTC price in ascending triangle pattern!
Current Price: $65100
Major resistance around $71,500
More precisely between 71500 - 73000
From my previous post $bitcoin lost a major support around 67000 and found support around 64300. Support around 64300 has not broken the angled support of the ascending triangle.
It is important that bitcoin does not break this trend line else next levels of support are around 60600 and 57900.
If 64300 remains support and trendline is intact then 67000 will be tested as now resistance! Waiting to see what happens at these levels.
What do you think? Hopium or Nopium?
BITCOIN will find support above $57k & Rally To $90k In 2025.I thought I would look at BITCOIN as I've been doing my Plan Your Trade videos.
I don't follow BITCOIN much - but the skills I teach related to price channels, Fibonacci Price Theory, Anchor Bars, Fibonacci Retracement/Extension, and others can be easily applied to any chart.
So, I created this video to share with you how I look at opportunities and pertinent price formations.
First, I see a FLAG formation that is nearly complete.
Second, I see a 100% measured move that has prompted the stalling price action (the FLAG).
Third, I see multiple price channels leading to a robust possibility for a rally phase in BITCOIN later this year and into 2025.
Lastly, I paired my analysis of BITCOIN with my expectations for the US Indexes. Thus, if I were expecting a broad market collapse over the next 6 to 12+ months, I would bias my decision-making towards the downside as asset declines typically result in all assets moving downward for a brief period.
Watch this video and let me know what you think. I've laid out an A (bullish) vs. B (bearish) scenario for everyone and highlighted key levels of support/resistance for traders.
At this point, I believe the strongest outcome for BITCOIN is a bullish rally targeting $90k+
BITCOIN History rhymes and calls for as high as $300k!This is a post Halving update to the 'Fibonacci Channel blueprint' analysis we've made almost a year ago. The price action has been even more aggressive than what we expected so relevant adjustments had to be made.
On this chart, we yet again rely on the long-term time-frames of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) for a more meaningful illustration of its historic Cycles. Those are patterns that have repeated themselves over and over again, with some variations of course based on the current market conditions.
** The Fibonacci Channels **
Right now the price has completed 4 months of consolidation following the early March All Time High (ATH), always above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This consolidation is consistent with all previous post-Halving price actions as BTC always traded sideways and accumulated in the weeks after the Halving, in preparation for the Parabolic Rally, the Cycle's most aggressive phase.
The previous Cycles topped near Fibonacci trend-lines of prior Cycle Channels. For example the December 2017 Cycle Top was formed just below the bottom (Fib 0.0) of the orange Fibonacci Channel that started from the previous Cycle bottom. The November 2021 Top was formed just below the middle (Fib 0.5) of the blue Fibonacci Channel. This could be a +0.5 Fib progression and in that case the Top of the current Cycle might be just below the top (Fib 1.0) of the black Fibonacci Channel that started on the December 2018 bottom.
At the same time, another condition that it 'needs' to fulfil is being just below the 0.0 Fib of the Blue Channel, similar to what happened in December 2017 (just below Fib 0.0 of the orange Channel).
** The Halvings and $200k **
The 1.0 Fib is currently a little under $300000, and as we mentioned after the consolidation of each Halving, Bitcoin posts the most aggressive (parabolic) rally of the Bull Cycle. So that leads us to assume that the Top of the current Bull Cycle will be at least $300k. To give a relative sense of pathing, we have plotted the 'post Halving rallies' of the previous three Cycles on the current Channel starting on Halving 4.
As you can see, the orange (2013) and black (2020 - 2021) lines are more aggressive than the purple (2016 - 2017) but the latter is the one that, as we've posted numerous times, the current Cycle has the most similarities with. If Bitcoin follows the purple price action within the black Fibonacci Channel, then it should reach $100k by December 2024 and $300k by August 2025. If instead it transitions to the more aggressive Cycle models, then it could reach those levels much earlier.
But what do you think? Is $300k realistic within the current Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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