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Bitcoin-btcusd

Bitcoin Mid TermFirst Impression: The BTC/USD pair appears to have dropped below the $95,000 level and is under selling pressure. Strong support levels are evident in lower regions. The price is retracing toward levels that previously acted as support during bullish moves. Volume Analysis: No notable increase in volume is observed on the chart. This could indicate that the current downward move is a low-volume correction or that the market is indecisive. However, if volume increases, the likelihood of the downtrend continuing may rise. Price Action: The price is trading around $94,000, showing downward movement. Below, key support levels are visible near $90,700, $88,000, and $85,000. These levels have historically been areas where strong buyers stepped in, making them potential zones for price reactions. Positive Scenario: If the price holds at $94,000 and starts a recovery move, it could climb back above $95,000. In this case, $97,500 would be the first target. Sustained movement above this level could push the price back toward the psychological resistance at $100,000. Negative Scenario: If the price drops below $94,000, a decline toward $90,700 becomes more likely. A break below this support level could lead to further declines to $88,000 and then $85,000. This scenario would indicate continued selling pressure. High Probability: Given current market conditions, it is highly probable that the price consolidates between $90,700 and $94,000 for some time. The balance of buyers and sellers in this zone will determine the direction of the next trend. Overall: The BTC/USD pair is trading near a critical support zone. The $94,000 level should be closely monitored; a drop below this level could drive the price toward lower supports. For upward recoveries, $95,000 and $97,500 are the first resistance levels to watch. Strategies should be adjusted based on volume and price action.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptoSignalAPP
Bitcoin: Time To Remove The Party Hats?Bitcoin may be on the verge of compromising the 90K support which I will interpret as a sign that the next broader corrective cycle MAY be beginning (Wave (IV)). IF this is the case, you can remove your Bitcoin 200K party hats for at least a YEAR or two. Gold had a similar outcome a few years back and persisted in a consolidation for two years before it broke out. A corrective cycle does NOT mean Bitcoin is going back to 50K (anything is possible though). It just means a prolonged consolidation may be on the horizon which will provide swing trade and investment opportunities for those who know what to WAIT for. The arrow on the chart points to the 92K support that is in play at the moment. At as long as 90K is not broken, I anticipate at least one more attempt to test the high. This short term up leg is likely to test the 100K area. IF the higher high (break of 108) does not culminate from the next price advance, then it would be wise to reduce risk, lock in profits and LOWER expectations until bullish short term price structure can rebuild itself. IF 90K is broken, the next inflection point on this time frame is the 86K area. Great profit objective for those bold enough to short this thing. If 86K is cleared, then its the low 80K area. Again this is one scenario of countless, the key is confirming the price action that supports this possibility, NOT to expect it. This is NOT a forecasting game, it is a interpreting and adjusting game. With the major holiday week on the horizon, it would be best NOT to expect a LOT of action. Volume typically declines, and movements become very muted or you can get slow grinds that just stubbornly persist to some key level. Either way, it is usually best to avoid such markets, ESPECIALLY if you look at smaller time frames. As far the the highs at 108K, anyone that bought anywhere above 100K is NOW at the mercy of the market. This is why I always warn my followers about buying into highs. Chances are you won't take your profits when the peak unfolds because you won't know its the peak until WAY after the fact. When I hear about people who have NO idea what Bitcoin is, now interested in "investing" in it, that screams THE PARTY IS OVER, for now. The best times to get in are usually when no one is paying attention, and for Bitcoin and the alt coins, that seems to take about a year or two from the peak. If you can't take the heat, don't play with fire (or Bitcoin). Thank for you considering y analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
18
Bitcoin Analysis: December 23, 2024 - Consolidation or Rebound?Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis for today. Weekly Chart Analysis Looking at the Bitcoin weekly chart, we can identify two main yellow box zones that represent Bitcoin’s historical trading frames. Currently, in the blue box zone, Bitcoin has moved into a new frame. Examining the weekly candles, we see that the current red candle is engulfing the previous week’s green candle. As the weekly close approaches in just a few hours, it is highly likely that this bearish engulfing candle signals a consolidation phase within the frame. If we look at the green box, a similar scenario occurred in the past: after a new high was reached within the previous frame, a bearish candle emerged, followed by approximately 9 months of sideways movement. While it is unclear how long the current frame will last, the appearance of this week's red candle is not a particularly optimistic signal for future bullish momentum. The red box, which has provided support since November 2024, becomes critical. A breakdown below this zone could signify a breach of approximately five weeks of sustained support, increasing the likelihood of retesting the weekly 20-MA or even breaking below it. However, since the red box zone has not yet been decisively breached, it is still possible for Bitcoin to move sideways within the current frame. For those holding long positions, there is no immediate cause for alarm unless the price breaks below 89,400 or fails to hold the support of the weekly 20-MA. If either of these scenarios occurs, it may signal a trend reversal. Keep this in mind as you approach your trades. Daily Chart Analysis The key level to watch on the daily chart is 89,400, which coincides with the entry zone for the Ichimoku Cloud. Since November, Bitcoin has not encountered significant resistance around the daily 20-MA. However, the recent resistance at this level suggests a weakening of bullish momentum. At this point, it’s crucial to determine whether Bitcoin will: Receive support and rebound above the key levels, or Retrace further to 73,800, which was the previous frame’s entry level, and test the short-term ascending trendline. 4-Hour Chart Analysis To confirm a rebound, Bitcoin must first establish a solid foothold above the 4-hour 20-MA. Although there was a brief attempt to break above the 20-MA on December 20, 2024, Bitcoin failed to sustain its position, leading to further corrections. This indicates that surpassing the 20-MA remains a priority before addressing resistance levels. The second critical level to monitor is 99,485, which currently serves as a resistance zone. A breakout above this level would indicate diminishing selling pressure. This would also confirm the current frame's significance as Bitcoin potentially targets the next key resistance near 109,000. Conclusion Is the market overheating, or is a rebound on the horizon? Despite years of observing charts, the emergence of new wealth in this market suggests we are experiencing unique dynamics. Opportunities always arise during cycles, but entering the market during periods of rapid growth often results in losses rather than gains. Sometimes, waiting can be the best strategy. I’ll continue to provide analyses to help guide your trading decisions. Please follow me for more insights!
by Greedy_allday
BTC/USDT Analysis: Is a Key Reversal Brewing?Bitcoin's price action continues to intrigue traders as it consolidates within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. The recent rejection from the channel's upper boundary at $108,000 indicates that bearish pressure might dominate the short term. Currently, BTC trades around $101,450, testing a critical support level near $102,000. Key Observations: Ascending Channel in Play: The structure highlights an upward trend, with BTC respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. The dotted midline has acted as a dynamic pivot, influencing price movement over recent weeks. Bearish Breakdown Potential: A clear break below $102,000 could lead BTC toward the next significant horizontal support at $98,236. This level aligns closely with the channel's lower boundary, making it a crucial zone for bulls to defend. Key Resistance Zone: If bulls manage to reclaim $103,000, BTC could retest the midline or even the $106,000 level. However, failure to sustain above the $102,000 support could accelerate a bearish trend. RSI Divergence: Hidden bearish divergence on the RSI suggests weakening bullish momentum, supporting the case for a deeper correction. Expected Scenarios: A retest of $98,000 would provide an excellent opportunity for bullish accumulation within the channel structure. If the price rebounds from the lower boundary, bulls may aim for $106,000-$108,000 in the medium term. A confirmed breakdown below $98,000 might invalidate the channel, opening doors for further downside to $94,000.
Short
by melikatrader94
7
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!!Bitcoin has formed a bearish head and shoulders pattern on the hourly time frame. This pattern could potentially lead to a price drop to around $99,000 after the pattern breaks. But as long as this pattern does not break, we cannot say that the price is bearish. Therefore, we should wait for this pattern to break to confirm a bearish trend. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short
by CobraVanguard
4
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago. As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again. The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively). As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
BITCOIN Next top is going to surprise you but it SHOULDN'T !!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yet another benchmark, the psychological level of $100k. The market cap is growing and many claim that it can't keep rising as the capitalization would be at unrealistic levels. For one capital inflows seem to be very comfortable right now with BTC investments and there are still billions waiting at the side for the right investment in 2025. Fundamentals aside, Bitcoin's historic patterns and price action gives us even more reasons to expect (much) higher prices and a Cycle Top that could surprise many. ** Fibonacci Channel Up ** First of all, we've plotted a Channel Up starting from BTC's first Bear Cycle and displayed the Fibonacci retracement levels on it. As you can see, those fit perfectly and catch each Cycle's tops and bottoms very accurately: 1) June 2011 Top on the 0.618 Fib. November 2011 Bottom on the 0.0 Fib. 2) December 2013 Top on the 1.0 Fib. August 17 2015 Bottom on the 0.382 Fib. 3) December 2017 Top on the 1.0 Fib. December 2018 bottom on the 0.5 Fib. 4) April 2021 Top on the 0.786 Fib. November 2022 bottom on the 0.236 Fib. ** Pi Cycle and MM Bands ** Then we have applied the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which are key trend Resistance and Support levels respectively, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which are also historically almost the absolute Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Bitcoin's main upward force. ** Covering at least 4 Fib ranges ** As you can see, all Cycles broke above at least the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) before making a Top. The first two Cycles even hit the MMB SD3 above (red). Also each Cycle has a proportional Fibonacci Channel level range, covering at least 4 Fib bands (as described above). Cycle 1 covered Fibs 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236 and 0.0. Cycle 2 covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 3 also covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 4 covered Fibs 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236. ** Surprise Top ** The MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) is now below Fib 0.618 and it is less likely for BTC to hit it since Cycle 3 didn't. As a result, it is possible that the next Top will be on Fib 0.5 at best (maximum). If that is succeeded towards the end of 2025, and assuming that the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) breaks by then as it always has on every previous Cycle, that gives us a target range for the next Cycle Top within $250k - $350k! Do you still think that's unrealistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
BITCOIN The Volatility Index points to strong consolidation nextLast time we analyzed Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in relation to the Volatility Index (VIX), was 4 months ago (August 22, see chart below) and was an extremely successful projection as we took advantage of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) bottom and predicted the $100k Target, which recently got hit: Once more, we decided to seek the (mostly) negatively correlated patterns of VIX (chart on the right) to determine BTC's (chart on the left) price action in the coming months. Based on VIX's Channel Down, the fact that it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and now is rebounding indicates that BTC may be entering a weekly consolidation phase. As you can see on VIX's chart, every time it broke below the 1W MA50 and started rising, Bitcoin entered a multi-week consolidation phase that sometimes was quick and others many months in length. Its 1W RSI is also at a level that relates to all those consolidation phases. In our opinion this consolidation has more probabilities of being similar to December 04 2023 - January 29 2024, as the post August 2024 rally resembles more the rally that started on August 2023. This highlights the high degree of symmetry within Bitcoin's 2-year Channel Up. If it continues to replicate that huge Bullish Leg, then we might as well see the rally peaking upon a +195.27% rise again. That could target $145000 by May 2025, which technically would also be marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci Channel extension, similar to the March 11 2024 High. So what do you think? Is it possible for Bitcoin to enter a multi-week consolidation now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
4
Bullish Patterns and Bitcoin: A Roadmap to $125KAs anticipated by many, following Trump’s election, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge. On November 14th, it encountered its first notable correction during this upward momentum. In early December, Bitcoin crossed the critical 100k milestone for the first time. However, this achievement was followed by a swift pullback. Since then, dips have consistently been met with strong buying activity, and as of now, the price has stabilized comfortably above this key psychological level. The price action since mid-November reveals the formation of an ascending channel, a technical pattern that historically suggests a 70% probability of continuation to the upside. A decisive breakout above 107k could confirm this bullish scenario, with a measured target for the next leg up around 125k if the pattern fulfills its statistical expectation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Bitcoin: New Profit Objectives Greater Risk.Bitcoin is poised to push the 104K high after breaking the previous inside bar (buy signal). While this is exciting and a newsworthy event for the casual observer, it is important to recognize some potential turning points from here. While there is no precision to this, it does offer a way to measure profit objectives and compare them to the growing RISK. Once again I will emphasize that swing trades and day trades are the most effective way to contain the large magnitude of RISK that is often overlooked by many. The blue arrow on the chart points to the 104K all time high. The thing to avoid here is shorting it with the thinking that it will "double top" ect. At this time there are no signs of weakness. The outside bar that developed a week ago has been bought up, along with any minor pullback thereafter. With the trend structure clearly in place, shorts still pose a high risk, especially on swing trade time frames. There are situations where risk on both sides of the market can be high and these are usually good times to be small or be out. As far as profit objectives: measuring Wave 1 and projecting from the Wave 2 bottom, I see inflection points in the 105K and 113K areas (see horizontal lines). We can use these to anticipate selling activity and prepare to lock in profits, etc. Can price can further? ANYTHING is possible, but as I will ALWAYS say at highs, the probability is lower. The fact that we are in the vicinity of a Wave 5 of 5 of a broader 3 is what clues me into the limited potential. The initial retrace from the current high (see illustration) or these anticipated profit objectives will serve as a short term buying opportunity (swing trade). As of now, UNTIL the 90K support is broken, I would not be bearish. Look for supports to hold and confirmations to buy on smaller time frames. It is important to REALIZE that markets move in CYCLES. At some point this bullish cycle will complete and the next corrective cycle will begin. It may be hard to believe at the present time because news and general sentiment is continuously bullish. What will catch most people off guard is when the next cycle begins, it will seem like a normal pullback only this time will it not be followed by new highs. This is when the typical trader/investor gets married to the market because they refuse to adjust to the changing structure. And like over half of the marriages today, it will be costly. For me, the 90K break will confirm that the broader corrective cycle is in play. Thank toy for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
GBPUSD - Nothing Can Stop It, It's All The Way Up!Here we have the monthly chart for GBPUSD. GBPUSD 'recently' completed a major ending diagonal. We know this as it was a 5 wave pattern in the form of a wedge. Now that the bottom is in, we're expecting multiyear bullish price action. Wave 1 can be an impulse or a leading diagonal. For GBPUSD, we are seeing a clear leading diagonal pattern = 5 waves. We are anticipating one final move up to complete wave 1 and then we'll be seeing a wave 2 correction (as shown in the chart) Trade Idea: Trading the 5th wave of the Leading Diagonal - Watch for bullish price action to appear - Confirmations such as trendline break or BOS can be used to gain an entry - Once entered, put stops below wave 4 - Target: 1.36 (1,100pips) Once wave 1 leading diagonal is complete, we'll be back with an update! If this post gets enough engagement, we'll post lower timeframe charts. Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
4
Bitcoin - Preparing For Another +200% Rally!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is just starting a major bullrun: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Bitcoin rallied more than +40% in November and despite the recent bullrun and the all time high breakout, Bitcoin is just starting its next major bullish cycle. Looking at previous price and trend behaviour, it is quite likely that Bitcoin will eventually retest the top of the channel. Levels to watch: $100.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
15