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Bitcoin-btcusd

BITCOIN Cycle pattern completed. Year-end Target locked at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing the first signs of life after nearly testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) early this week. Whether this leads to a full on recovery or not, can been partially answered by this Cycle's price action so far. Historically we do know that BTC's Bull Cycles so far tend to peak towards the end of their 3rd year and that's 2025. This Cycle has been predominantly trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up, since its very start, the November 2022 bottom. Its 1W MA50 has been supporting since the March 13 2023 break-out, so it's been exactly 2 years of holding and throughout this time period has provided two excellent buy opportunities. As you can see, the Channel Up can be classified into two main Phases so far: each has a Primary correction (red) of more than -30% drop, followed by a rally (blue), then a Secondary correction (yellow) of more than -20%, followed by the second and last rally (blue). All rallies have so far been around +100%. Based on this model, we are now on the Secondary correction of Phase 2. Notice that all corrections (either primary or secondary) hit or approached apart from the 1W MA50, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from their previous Low. This is actually the first time that the price has marginally broken below the 0.382 Fib. At the same time, the 1D RSI almost got oversold last week (34.50) and according to the August 05 2024 (Higher) Low, this is were a series of RSI Higher Lows would be a signal of a new bottom formation. The bottom and recovery process may take a while though, another 4-6 weeks. According to the Time Fibs (blue dashed vertical lines), each correction (whether primary or secondary) has ended at or a little before the 1.0 Fib with the 0.0 being the bottom of the previous one and 0.5 Fib the Top of the rally. Based on this, we can expect the new rally to start by the week of April 28 the latest. So now as to how high this can get, if it repeats the 'weakest' rally of the Channel's three so far, it should rise by +95.95%, which gives us a straight price of $150000 as a Target. If the rally symmetry also holds, this should come by late September, perfectly aligning with Bitcoin's historic Cycle expectation for the final year. Do you think that will be the case? Recovery starting within 4-6 weeks and if so, are you expecting $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
16
BITCOIN Short term Channel Down rebounding.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having a rebound after the price hit the bottom of the 10 day Channel Down. The bullish wave should attempt at least a +13.73% rise (similar to the previous one) and target 87000. That is the short term bullish plan as the price may be rejected again at the top of the Channel Down. If however the 4hour MA200 breaks, it will be the first time since February 4th and should be enough to restore the long term bullish bias back to the market. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
Bitcoin Drops 27% from Record High Amid Market SelloffBitcoin fell to $78,000 on Monday, down 27% from its all-time high, as crypto and stock markets lost a combined $6 trillion. Crypto market capitalization dropped 4% to $2.67 trillion, its lowest since November 9, shedding $1.2 trillion since December 17. Bitcoin hit a multi-month low, falling from its January peak of $107,000. Stocks mirrored the decline, with the S&P 500 losing $1.4 trillion—its worst single-day drop since 2022. The sharp selloff reflects a shift from risk assets, with the Fear and Greed Index plunging to 14, a two-year low, signaling extreme risk aversion. This contrasts with last year’s post-Trump election rally, where the index peaked at 92. Technically, the first support for BTC is at $78k, with subsequent levels at FWB:73K and $65k. On the upside, the initial resistance is at GETTEX:89K , followed by $95k and $100k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ChartMage
BITCOIN at Key Support – Ready to Bounce to $94,000?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading at a key demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support within the ascending channel. The recent retracement has brought the price back into this area, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction. The confluence of the support zone and the ascending trendline suggests that buyers may step in to regain control. If price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish continuation toward the $94,000 level, aligning with the channel’s midline and the next major resistance. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish bias and signal a potential shift in momentum. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increasing buying volume, before considering long positions. A breakout above minor resistance levels along the way could further strengthen the bullish outlook. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
59
BTC/USD Breakdown! Bearish Target: $78K🔍 BTC/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis 📉 Market Structure: The chart displays an ABCDE corrective pattern, likely a descending wedge or contracting triangle, which has now broken to the downside. Price action shows a breakout below the wedge, leading to further bearish momentum. The 200-period moving average (red line) is acting as resistance, reinforcing the downward trend. 📊 Current Price: ~$83,057 🔻 Bearish Target: $78,049 (marked as the potential support level) 🛑 Key Observations: Rejection from wave E indicates a lack of bullish strength. Lower highs and lower lows confirm a continuation of the bearish trend. Potential retest of ~$85,000 before dropping further. 🚀 Trading Insights: Bearish Bias: Short opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance. Bullish Reversal? Look for price action near $78,049—if buyers step in, a potential bounce could occur. ⚠️ Watch out for: Sudden Bitcoin volatility (news-driven moves). A fake breakdown (if buyers reclaim above ~$85,000).
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
Bitcoin's Battle for 79,478 – Reversal or Further Decline?VIDEO: 🤖💥 Bitcoin's Battle for 79,478 – Reversal or Further Decline? 📉🚀 Bitcoin has taken a massive dip, crashing 7.8% along with Ethereum. But the real question now: Is this the bottom, or are we heading lower? Key levels to watch: 📌 79,500 – A reclaim could push BTC back towards 83,000. 📌 Failure to hold could send Bitcoin to 66,000 or even 62,000. 📊 The Nasdaq is also testing key support, and Tesla is in trouble, struggling at $220. Altcoins are getting crushed, with only Shiba Inu showing some resilience. 🌍💣 Meanwhile, external factors are brewing – Tesla, X, and even Elon Musk are facing attacks, and broader market sentiment remains shaky. Will Bitcoin rebound, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts below! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoCrash #Trading #MarketAnalysis
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
4
BITCOIN Is this the last defense before the narrative changes?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got yet again increasingly volatile during the weekend and is approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned on the title, this is "the last defense" for BTC as so far this price action hasn't diverged a bit from the Channel Up of the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle but a break and 1W candle close below it, would jeopardize that. ** The key 1W MA50 ** In fact the only times that Bitcoin closed below its 1W MA50 during a Bull Cycle and the Cycle continued was of course during the March 2020 COVID global market flash crash and November 18 2019. But the current Bull Cycle is nothing like in 2019 - 2021, it doesn't have the initial overextension of the Libra hype (May - June 2019) or Elon's early 2020 hype nor of course the pandemic shutdown. On the contrary it is incredibly similar with 2015 - 2017 with the only difference being that, thanks to the ETF launch in January 2024, the market marginally breached the previous All Time High (ATH) earlier. ** Symmetry playing out ** So back to the similarities between those two Cycles. The Cycle count indicates that we are at the end of the (blue) Bull Rectangle in March 2017 (847 days) when the price almost tested the 1W MA50 and then started the (green) Parabolic Phase to new ATHs (217 days). Even in terms of 1W RSI and MACD, the two fractals are similar, with the RSI being on its 2nd 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase' bottom and the MACD on its 2nd Bullish Cross. ** How high can it get? ** Now as to how high the new Cycle Top can be, can be anybody's guess, but if it repeats the less aggressive 2021 Top, it could be on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, i.e. around $170k, while if it repeats the (much more unrealistic for such short period of time in terms of market cap) 2017 Top, it could be on the 2.382 Fib ext, i.e. around $520k. The worst case scenario is to have Fib extension Tops on a decreasing rate, in which case the 1.5 - 1.382 levels are next, giving us a potential target range of 120k - 145k, which would be almost a Double Top similar to November 2021. So what do you think? Will the 1W MA50 come to Bitcoin's rescue yet again or the narrative will change this time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
14
Bitcoin will make a Breakout Chart Analysis: 1. Timeframe and Price Context Timeframe: 4-hour chart (each candlestick represents 4 hours of trading). Price Levels: The current price is $92,812.72, with a slight decrease of 0.23% as of the latest data point. The price range on the chart spans from approximately $80,000 to $108,255 (the recent peak). Trend Overview: Late 2024: Bitcoin experienced a strong uptrend, peaking near $108,255. Early 2025: The price has corrected downward, forming a descending triangle pattern, with the current level at $92,812.72. 2. Key Patterns and Annotations Descending Triangle: The chart features a descending triangle pattern, a common consolidation pattern that can signal either a continuation of a downtrend or a reversal. Upper Resistance: A horizontal resistance line around $108,255 (the recent peak where the price failed to sustain higher levels). Lower Support: A descending trendline (sloping downward) that the price has been testing, currently near $92,000-$93,000. The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting an imminent breakout (upward or downward). Accumulation Zone: The chart labels an "Accumulation Zone" near the $80,000-$85,000 range, indicating a potential area where large players (e.g., whales) may have been buying during the correction. The current price ($92,812.72) is above this zone, suggesting a bounce or stabilization after reaching this support. Breakout Prediction: An upward arrow with a Bitcoin symbol points toward $120,000 or higher, indicating a potential bullish breakout targeting a new all-time high. 3. Support and Resistance Levels Support: The $92,000-$93,000 level is acting as immediate support, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending triangle. The $80,000-$85,000 accumulation zone is a stronger support level, likely a key area of buying interest during the correction. If this support fails, the next level could be around $75,000 (a psychological and historical support). Resistance: The $108,255 level is a major resistance, marking the recent high. The next significant resistance could be around $120,000 (as suggested by the arrow), a psychological level and a potential new all-time high. 4. Volume and Momentum (Not Visible but Inferred) Volume bars are not clearly visible, but typical behavior suggests: Volume likely peaked during the rally to $108,255 and decreased during the correction as selling pressure eased. A breakout would require a volume spike to confirm, especially if the price breaks above the descending trendline (around $100,000-$105,000). Momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD) could indicate if Bitcoin is oversold or showing bullish divergence, supporting a reversal. 5. Potential Scenarios Bullish Breakout: If Bitcoin breaks above the descending trendline (around $100,000-$105,000) with strong volume, it could confirm the breakout. The target of $120,000 (a ~29% move from $92,812.72) is plausible, especially if whale accumulation in the $80,000-$85,000 zone drives momentum. This aligns with the upward arrow and suggests a resumption of the prior uptrend. Bearish Breakdown: If the price fails to hold the $92,000-$93,000 support and breaks below, it could signal a bearish continuation. The next support at $80,000-$85,000 would be tested, potentially leading to further downside toward $75,000. Consolidation: If the price remains within the triangle (between $92,000 and the descending trendline), it might continue to consolidate until a catalyst (e.g., market news, volume surge) triggers a move. 6. Market Context Whale Activity: The accumulation zone at $80,000-$85,000 supports your earlier narrative of whales accumulating during corrections to set up a breakout. This could indicate strategic buying by large players. Market Sentiment: As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin’s price heavily influences altcoins like Ethereum and UNISWAP (from your previous charts). A bullish breakout in BTC could trigger similar moves in the broader market. Timing: The chart’s position near the triangle’s apex suggests a breakout could occur within days to a week on a 4-hour timeframe, depending on market conditions.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by sohaibfx
Two key scenarios for BTC - Q2 mostly sideays/down!Two scenarios at this point: We have a new range, but it could break quickly since there’s an active downtrend expiring on the 20th. That means I can’t blindly bid into the low $80Ks like before—it’s getting trickier, and we’ll need to rely on proper triggers. If it breaks down and continues lower, I’d like to see the GETTEX:59K -$62K zone get tested. The **uptrend remains intact**, and I think we can all agree that **Bitcoin could be higher later this year**. I don’t see it going above **$200K**, but at the very least, I expect it to challenge its current **ATHs**. For now, I’m just focusing on **key levels** and patiently waiting for **triggers—if any**. There are plenty of ways to play this: - Another **mid-level retest** and **reclaim** → I'll go **long**. - If it **bounces**, I’ll look to **short** into the **low $90Ks**. - If **nothing happens** and it starts **breaking down**, then **$75K** is a key zone, and **$71K** becomes pivotal for both **longs and shorts**. Just **keep your levels clear** and **wait** until they are breached.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ZelfTrade
Crypto summit disappoints, Bitcoin teeters on support Bitcoin surged on March 3 after Donald Trump announced a strategic crypto reserve, only to erase gains following erratic tariff announcements the following days. Friday’s White House crypto summit, expected to be a turning point, fell flat. Trump met with top crypto executives, promising to ease Biden-era regulations, but offered only vague commitments. Instead of rallying, the market has declined further. A silver lining for Bitcoin came with Friday’s weak jobs report, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve intervention. Historically, Bitcoin benefits when interest rates fall. Although this is yet to be reflected in the price. Technically, BTC/USD is testing the first support on the pitchfork indicator, with the money flow index suggesting no buying pressure at the moment. A drop below Monday’s low of $81,620 could invalidate any bullish outlook.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDJPY - 2025 Plan. Make It Your Best Year Yet!Here we have the 2 Day chart for NZDJPY. We've seen a massive impulse mid 2024. We are now in an ABC correction. We are currently in wave B of the correction, subwave B. Expecting subwave C to complete wave B. We're looking for a rejection of the fib zone and a drop of over 700pips. Trade idea: - Watch for rejection of fib zone - Once rejection appears, enter with stops above the highs - Targets: 86 (350pips), 83 (700pips) Once we've completed this move down, we'll be looking for longs. We'll update this setup if there's enough engagement. Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
BITCOIN $BTCUSD | BTC BEARISH TREND & STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVEBITCOIN BITSTAMP:BTCUSD | BTC BEARISH TREND & STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVE Mar09'25 Sparros Exchange Trend Table: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Weekly: Bullish BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Daily: Bearish BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 4H: Bearish BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1H: Bearish Bitcoin Zones: Bitcoin BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $90,500 - $106,000 Bitcoin DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $84,000 - $90,500 Bitcoin SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $69,000 - $84,000 Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,000, reflecting a bearish trend after reaching its all-time high nearly two months ago. The cryptocurrency has experienced substantial volatility, with the price having previously consolidated in higher ranges. As of recent developments, the U.S. government has announced a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," indicating the government’s growing commitment to digital assets. This move is seen as part of a broader strategy to strengthen the U.S.'s position as a leader in the global digital currency space, though no specific amount of Bitcoin has been disclosed for this reserve. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technical indicators, support and resistance, bitcoin, bitcoin price, bitcoin halving, btcusd, btc, BTC, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , bitcointrades, bitcoinlong, btcusdlong, bitcoinshort, btcusdshort, bitcoinanalysis, bitcointrend, bitcoinrange, bitcointriangle, triangle, ascendingtriangle, chartpatterns, trianglechart, ascendingtrianglebreakout, chartpatternbitcoin, bitcointriangle, bitcoinhalvingschedule, bitcoinbreakout, bitcoinrange, bitcoinrangebreakout, triangularpattern, flag, bitcoinpatterns, bitcoinchartpatterns, btcpatterns, btctriangletrade, btctrianble, btctrend, btctrades, btclong, btcshort, btcrange, btcbreakout, btcbreakdown, bitcoinover100000, bitcoin100, bitcoinover100, onehundredthousand, bitcoinascendingtrianglepattern, bitcoinpullbacks, bitcoindrop, bitcoinpricerally
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TonyAiello
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Entry Confirmed with a Tight Stop...In this video, I walk you through a recount using AriasWave and explain how we can set up a strong trade entry with a tight stop. The key support level for this trade is at 86,022—if the price drops below this, the trade idea would no longer be valid. We've already received confirmation with a break above 86,500. Stay tuned for updates, as I’ll provide further insights if the price moves above 95,065, confirming the larger pattern.
Long
by AriasWave
BITCOIN may take 1 month to form bottom but upside is huge.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating on the 1 stdev below following February's pullback. With the 1day RSI rebounding after turning oversold, this reminds us of all the previous major Lows of the current Bull Cycle. Those took around 1.5 - 2 months to be priced, so don't be susprised if Bitcoin doesn't rise before mid April. The upside until the end of the year remains huge however and if it 'only' tests again the Mean MM, it can reach $140k. If it approaches the 1 stdev above, the estimated value can be as high as $180k. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
4
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing. BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop. Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc. On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day... We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO. In these time lev trades are not recommended. THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
Short
by SvarogPerun
1
Why I shorted BTC?In last weekend’s crypto analyses, I mentioned that many altcoins were in a support zone, with a strong chance of a reversal from that level. Shortly after I published my analyses, the announcement regarding the federal crypto reserve was released, triggering a massive pump. However, this surge was short-lived, and prices quickly retraced back to their initial levels. For me, this is not a good sign—when major positive news fails to sustain gains, it often signals weakness in the market. Now, regarding Bitcoin: although its price remains above the announcement level, it has struggled to hold gains above the 91K support level and continues to break below it. I don’t believe prices are dropping just to set up a massive bull run for everyone to buy in—this looks like a bearish signal to me. As a result, I have shorted BTC and expect a decline to 75K. That said, with my stop-loss placed above the initial pump’s high, I’m currently running a 1:3 risk-reward ratio, which—regardless of the outcome—is ideal in my book.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
BITCOIN and the People's Bank of China Liquidity.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is often correlated with traditional assets that can be easily related to like the USD, stock indices etc. On this idea we introduce the Liquidity of the People's Bank of China and as you can see there is a strong correlation between the two. Every time China's central bank pumps money into the markets, BTC enters a strong Bull Phase. On the contrary, when it starts tightening, BTC enters a Bear Phase. For the past two years we've been inside a Bull Cycle. Towards the end of 2025, the Liquidity should have topped based on the Time Cycle tool, and that should be our signal to exit the market with the highest profit possible in this Cycle. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon