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Bitcoin Q1 2025 - Delayed Cycle (Part 2)🚀🔥 Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Delayed Cycle or Just Another Test? 📈⚡ The market has been consolidating, and Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point. After a major breakout in February 2024, we are now facing massive structural resistance at the same trendline that has dictated previous cycle tops. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: 📌 109,928 - Major resistance (3rd test) 📌 90,641 - 97,519 - Support zone & potential liquidity grabs 📌 79,657 - Untested (previoys breakout) breakout level Delayed Cycle in Play? Traditionally, Bitcoin follows a 4-year cycle, but this time, things could be different. 1️⃣ The halving took place on April 19, 2024. 2️⃣ A breakout before halving was an unusual move. 3️⃣ The Q1 2025 structure suggests either a delayed bull cycle or an early maturity phase. What’s Next? March Breakout or Rejection? 📊 If Bitcoin breaks above 110K, we could see a parabolic move toward 120K+ and ultimately new all-time highs later in 2025. ⚠️ But if resistance holds, we might see a retest of the 90K or even 79K levels before the next leg up. Macroeconomic Wildcards 🌍 Trump, Tariffs & Rate Cuts - The market is uncertain, and politics are playing a role. However, with rate cuts likely incoming, liquidity could flood back into Bitcoin, fueling the next breakout. 📅 The Next Few Weeks Are Critical! Stay sharp and trade wisely. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
1
BITCOIN Pure 2-month symmetry targets $102.5k and $108k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been practically consolidating for more than 2 months (since November 22 2024) within a Rectangle pattern and what's more striking is the amazing symmetry it has been displaying. Right now the price has broken above a Lower Highs trend-line following the February 03 2025 Low near the Rectangle's Bottom and every time it has done so within this pattern, a rally towards the Higher Highs trend-line started. It is interesting to mention that so far the range from the first High to the last High of this trend-line has been 101 4H candles (roughly 25 days). Since on the new (blue) phase that started on the February 03 High, we had our first, we can expect it to conclude near the top of the Rectangle by February 26. This technical symmetry can help us set our next short-term Targets. Target 1 is at $102500, just below Symmetrical Resistance Zone 1 and Target 2 is at $108000, just below Symmetrical Resistance Zone 2 (top of the Rectangle as mentioned). Needless to say, the current 4H RSI pattern resembles the bullish break-outs above both of the previous first Lower Highs fractals. Do you think this symmetry will play out in the same way once again? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
BITCOIN You can't get a more bullish symmetry than this.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) marginally breached its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) two days ago and immediately rebounded in a mirror price action like last year's bounce of January 23 2024. We analyzed this on our previous publication but what we bring you today is the amazing RSI based symmetry of the two fractals. The dominant long-term pattern remains a Channel Up and this is what will most likely guide BTC to the finish line and the Top of this Cycle. This pattern displays two (blue) Accumulation Channels, which is the formation we're currently at. In fact Bitcoin has most likely started the process of breaking above this Channel as the January 23 2024 1D MA100 bounce was the starting point of the Bullish Leg (green) that made a Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up. As mentioned, what's incredibly interesting is the 1D RSI symmetry between the two Accumulation Channels. As you can see on the current Accumulation Channel, the time between the 2nd RSI Lower High (blue circle) and 3rd (yellow circle) was 25 days and between the 3rd and 4th (red circle) was 32 days. The respective ranges on the previous Accumulation Channel were 25 and 34 days, which showcase a striking degree of symmetry. The Bullish Leg peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension from the last High (red circle) and as a result, we can expect the new rally to follow an equally symmetric/ proportional rise and target the new 2.618 Fib at $145000. Can this be the case by March/ April 2025 or is it to soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
15
$BTC - Value AreaThis bounce might just be shorts covering and/or hedges – a kind of mechanical reaction following a liquidation event. If we are going to consolidate within the current value area (96.5k-104k), I wouldn't be surprised if we get an upthrust retesting 103.8k-104k range before rotating back to take out the swing low. A potential level for shorting, but I'm only interested in shorting on signs of weakness or a strong rejection at that level. Possible targets: 94k - 93.5k 90k- 88.5k 84k-80k
by Tealstreet
Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Holding Strong Bitcoin has reached the $94,500 entry point outlined in the previous idea and showed a strong bullish reaction. This confirms the level as an area of interest. However, there is strong potential for price to revisit $94,500 once more, presenting a great buying opportunity for the next leg up. As long as market conditions align, we can look for confirmations to target $126,500. Patience remains key, but the setup is developing well. Will Bitcoin offer another perfect entry before continuing its bullish breakout? 🔗 Check the original idea:
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ProcessAndIntercept
BITCOIN Can a 1D MA100 rebound reverse the 'Tariffs narrative'?Just a week ago (January 27, see char below) we made a case of why it was essential for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to test and rebound on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), if the market was to find the necessary Support to move it forward through the rest of the year and the Bull Cycle: Well BTC went on to confirm our expectation and hit the 1D MA100 for the first time in almost 4 months (since October 11 2024). That analysis was focused on the current Bull Cycle (2023 - 2025) and the recurring 1D MA100 rebound sequence within the 2-year Channel Up, which has so far provide its Higher High both times. Today's analysis examines if this is a pattern that emerged and held during the previous Bull Cycles as well. The results are eye opening. During the last two years of each of the past 3 Bull Cycles, a 1D MA100 contact has most of the times (9) met with an incredible rebound, making it the most efficient buy entry on such basis. It was only 3 times this failed to initiate an immediate rebound (April 2024/ ETF led rally corrected, April 2021/ Musk led rally corrected, March 2020/ COVID flash crash), all valid reasons fundamentally. Is this new all-out Trade War another one of those events? Not impossible, but this chart shows that it is 3 times more probable for this 1D MA100 contact to produce an aggressive rebound. If we narrow the sample to just the last year of the Bull Cycle, it was only once that a 1D MA100 failed to produce an instant rally. As a result, it is now more probable to see a rally similar to the one that followed the January 2024 or October 2024 1D MA100 contacts, which were within a +85% / +90% range. Even the 1D RSI patterns among the Cycle fractals at the start of each final Bull year are similar. So what do you think? Do you expect this technical 1D MA100 contact to reverse the dismal Tariffs sentiment? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Bitcoin: Price Bounce Back To 100K Area?Bitcoin has rejected the 105K AREA resistance (wrote about this for two weeks see previous). Risk for longs was very high in that area, if you bought, now you pay. The 100K support was cleared but there is some minor support around the mid to high 96Ks (see arrow). There may be a brief retrace from here back to the low 100Ks over the next day or two. IF the 95K area is cleared, the 90K support can be tested quickly. This is a very high momentum environment, the key to navigating this is paying more attention to the bigger picture and adjusting risk by sizing smaller. Knowing your environment is key to adjusting effectively. For example, in the recent weeks, price action on smaller time frames has been extreme, moving 500 points in less than a minute. While this may sound great on paper, the problem is getting caught in noise will be very expensive, since the whole point of working on smaller time frames is to utilize larger size. This is where zooming out and getting smaller with the plan of averaging into a position can help to better control risk while minimizing getting caught in noise. On the daily chart, pay attention to the levels and how price reacts on time frames like the 4 hour (swing trades). Notice the pin bar (arrow) off the 96K area recently. This serves as a point of reference for longs. A reversal candle or strong close on a smaller time frame like 4 hour or 1 hour can prompt you to take a smaller position with a much wider than usual stop (like 2 to 3K points). If Bitcoin fails, and price action stays bearish, you get stopped out but you never add to the position. You lose on small size. IF Bitcoin shows strength off this level instead you can justify an add, and aim for at least 2 to 3K profit objective (100K to 102K area). The point is you are adjusting your risk to the environment. If there is any skill to this game, it is knowing how to adjust your style, size, risk as the environment changes. The market gives the clues and that is the best source to acknowledge them from. Bitcoin has been in a consolidation since mid December with the 108K AREA being the high and the 90K AREA being the low. While the general trend is bullish, there are going to be numerous swing trade opportunities within the range, especially at the extremes. In ranging environments BOTH support and resistance levels can hold UNTIL the range eventually breaks. You are better off adjusting to the price action around the major and minor levels within this range rather than trying to forecast the breakout to 200K. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
12
BITCOIN This where things get interesting for the greedy..Bitcoin / BTCUSD has entered its parabolic rally mode, as we are in the final year of the Bull Cycle. We are 812 days after the Bear Cycle bottom and on this chart we applied that range on the previous Cycle to get an idea of were we are in relation to the past. As you can see we are just after a 1week LMACD squeeze, which in March 15th 2021 turned into a bearish cross that delivered a strong correction while in March 20th 20217 a smaller technical pull back. In both cases the EMA Bollinger Bands Baseline (green) came to support. This Cycle however draws more similarities with 2017. It needs to be said that when BTC is in parabolic rally mode, it tends to spend more time above the BB Upper band (blue). What this indicates is that any pull back towards the baseline should be bought as Bitcoin is now more likely to make higher highs above the Upper Band. We project a smoother uptrend compared to past Cycles towards the end of 2025. Be greedy, buy every pull back below the blue line and take profit a bit above it. Repeat until September-October. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TheCryptagon
2
BITCOIN rejected on the MA50 (4h). 95k possible.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Down pattern which has just formed a Lower High on the MA50 (4h). This is a technical rejection, which after holding the MA200 (4h) previously, now should aim for a final Lower Low on the next support level, the MA100 (1d). Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 95000 (-10.70% decline as the previous bearish sequence of the Channel Down and potential contact with the MA100 (1d)). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is about to cross under its MA trend line again, confirming the bearish move. Please like, follow and comment!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingBrokersView
1
BITCOIN Rebounded on a Double Support. Will it continue higher?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) experienced a sharp sell-off yesterday following the DeepSeek news but managed to recover more than 50% of the losses as it rebounded on the Double Support level. The obvious level that catches your eye is the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which was tested for the first time in 12 days. The second is the Pivot trend-line, which was formerly a Lower Highs trend-line initiating from the December 17 2024 All Time High (ATH). At the same time, it almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of January's Channel Up. Technically that is similar with December's Channel Up, which also had a Pivot trend-line test that delivered a rebound and a Higher High to the December 17 ATH. As a result, if the price breaks above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we expect a Higher High (new ATH), on a minimum 112000 estimate. If the price gets rejected on the 4H MA50 however, we expect a Double Bottom test of the 98000 level (or slightly below), similar to those of December 23 and January 13. The reason that both scenarios are plausible is the fact that they both got their 4H RSI oversold (<30.00) and then rebounded. The above show that even in the event of a 96000 Low, BTC is a buy even on the current levels, as once again we are closer to the technical bottom than the Cycle's Top. The technical upside remains enormous in 2025. So which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
3
BITCOIN → New targets! What will happen to ALTCOINS ?BINANCE:BTCUSD went into consolidation after a failed attempt to break through the 108K resistance. Nothing terrible happened, the weekly structure is quite strong, and the market needs to build up its potential. What is happening and what to expect in the future? In the week ahead, the focus is on the US rate meeting, GDP and PCE. If the US macroeconomic data disappoints, it could lead to a lower dollar and more interest in BTC. As for Trump, he may give a good driver to the market if he pushes for the inclusion of BTC in the federal reserve, which is what the crypto trading community is waiting for now. But, it should be realized that tight US monetary policy and possible further rate hikes create pressure on high-risk assets, including bitcoin. In a sideways moving environment, BTC dominance remains stable, around 50-60%. Altcoins are more likely to perform weakly in such an environment, with the exception of a few highly liquid assets. If BINANCE:BTCUSD drops to 91.7К - 95К USD, it is likely that capital will continue to stay in BTC as investors focus on risk mitigation. Altcoins can only show growth if bitcoin has a new momentum above 107,400 USD. Resistance levels:106.9, 107.5 Support levels: 102.5, 99950 Because of the strong resistance, the price is very likely to test one of the key support levels. And already from 102.5 - 100K a rather aggressive rebound may follow. But it is necessary to observe the character of the price and its approaching to these or those strong levels. Sharp movements often end in reversals, when smooth and gradual heralds a breakout. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
55
Bitcoin: Probabilities NOT Opinions.Bitcoin has not done much in the previous week besides defining the range of the trade area that I anticipated a week earlier (in a matter of one day actually). The key technical points are established and it is a matter of catalyst and confirmation when it comes to aligning with the potential trade areas that can develop over the coming week. The 105K AREA is the key resistance while the 100K AREA continues to be the key support. Price action confirmation in either one of these areas can justify risk for smaller time frame strategies. This is a tricky time, and one where the wrong opinion will be very costly which is why I am a big proponent of probabilities NOT opinions. The broader trend is bullish which means resistance levels are more likely to break, UNLESS proven otherwise. With a double top now established in the 105 to 108K area, the higher probability entry for longs would be the low 100K area. Which can also offer shorting opportunities for smaller time frame strategies. IF 100K is cleared, that would increase the chances of a 90K test. This may be a Wave 4 of a much broader Wave 3. There is no way to know for sure until the market breaks one way or the other to confirm. In bullish trends, support levels tend to be maintained which presents buying opportunities at least on smaller time frames at the 100K area, anticipating a test of the 105 to 108K. This type of price action can be classified as a consolidation on the short term and expectations should be adjusted for that. What about a bullish break above the 109K area high? While the general price structure favors such a scenario, the question is what is going to drive the price? Instead of trying to guess, IF this is the path the market will choose, I would rather WAIT and let the market confirm before taking any action. Sure I would have to sacrifice better entries, but I am okay with that if it means getting on the right side of the price momentum. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
6
Bitcoin is gearing up for a rally. 120K target Bitcoin after the false breakout of resistance, which is associated with Trump's inauguration did not fall, but only consolidates near resistance. And this, I believe, is a very good sign that the price may continue its trend after exiting the triangle. Scenario: Since after the strong growth and after the false breakout there is no fall and consolidation is formed, we can expect the continuation of the growth because I also point out a few more things: - strong trend on senior timeframes - locally the price does not update the minimums - resistance retest is formed - consolidation on the background of the uptrend. Correspondingly: a break of the triangle resistance may increase buying interest, which may lead to another rally to ATH and even update it to 120K.
Long
by AndeWave
2
BTCUSD - Will history repeats itself ?This post is just a correction from a post I made last month I missed on identifying correctly the pattern because I thought the middle of the channel would act as a strong support ended up being wrong on the timing of the next wave up - not a big deal tho I also profit of this moment to update the fractal path that's BTC is doing, as you can see the asset is just copying move from last year (in violet) this is quite interesting because it did this the whole cycle, i don't remember seeing this before but maybe i'm wrong so yeah the violet bar patterns says we go great wave up in a few days can you believe it ? i'll start to take profit next month but not sure 100% id like to see what is going to do Pectra update on Eth's price Here's a bigger picture i made in November still working very well : not financial advice Cheers
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by onemorewine
Bitcoin Update: Bears Nightmare!Bitcoin decently moved as expected according to my last analysis and now is ranging between 90 - 107K for almost 2 months and now I expect the price to make another last correction to GETTEX:97K and grab the liquidity to make a new leg up to the new all-time high of $130K and start the main move to my ultimate target of $150K. The zone between 154 - 172K will be the final top for BTC in this cycle in my opinion and I will fully close all my positions and execute my profits whenever the price hits this zone. I hope you guys all be in profit and stay safe and always DYOR.
Long
by farhadnmd
5