Bitcoin-dominance
#Bitcoin Dominance vs #Bitcoin Price - 1 Year #Bitcoin Dominance vs #Bitcoin Price - 1 Year
Bull Market Push (Oct.20 - Dec.20) : ( + Direct Correlation)
BTC D. from 58 up to 74 ~+25%
BTC Price. from 10K up to 30K ~+300%
Bull Market In Phase 1 (Jan.21) : ( - Inverse Correlation)
BTC D. from 74 down to 60 ~-20%
BTC Price. 30K-42K-30K ~+30% - ~-30%
Bull Market In Phase 2 (Feb.21 - Mar.21) : ( 0 Flat Correlation)
BTC D. Flat at 60 ~0%
BTC Price. 30K-60K-45K-60K-52K-60K ~+100% ~-30% ~+40% ~-20% ~+20%
Bull Market In Phase 3 (Apr.21 - 15.May.21) : ( - Inverse Correlation)
BTC D. from 60 down to 40 ~-30%
BTC Price. 60K-65K-48K-58K-45K ~+10% ~-25% ~+25% ~-25%
Bull Market Fall (15.May.21 - Sep.21 ) : ( + Direct Correlation)
BTC D. fluctuating between 40 & 50
BTC Price. Flat Channel 45K-30K-40K-30K-40K-30K-40K then Ascending Channel 30K-43K-37K-48K-44K-50K-47K-52K-40K
+ Direct Correlation : Beginning (Catalyst) - Falling
- Inverse Correlation : Altcoins Rise
0 Flat Correlation : Altcoins Mania
BTC.D ANALYSISBTC.D is trading in a bear pennant . As you can see we have fallen out of it sharply in the past, but we may be in for a more prolonged move towards 35% BTC.D .
However, we may also only see a sharp wick down to test levels such as 39-43% BTC.D , then a very sharp recovery towards 50% . This would mean Bitcoin has taken the lead in the market again.
Currently, the confidence in cryptocurrency overall is growing . As this confidence increases, I believe more money will shift into altcoins . As a BTC ETF has been released in the USA and Australia, confidence in the cryptocurrency market may soar.
This is a great % to be following to understand where money is moving in the market.
UPDATE: Bitcoin Dominance Did Break. Future Projections.
BTC.D broke through 47% resistance but could not confirm
BTC then broke down through previous support
Possible Cup and Handle pattern starting to form
Bitcoin resting down in shorter term
Weeks/Months out, this could be extremely bullish for hodl'ers
Could indicate 80-100 by year end
Bitcoin dominance posting lower highs = Altseason soon?NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Someone gave me an idea on this, but unfortunately I was unable to recall to whom that credit belonged to.. so it goes a little something like this:
There comes a point in time when bitcoin's dominance takes a hit, then it becomes the media darling and gets all the attention it needs to rally parabolically but it never breaks past its previous major highs.
It gets rejected, cue Altseason.
We can see that bitcoin dominance is climbing towards August's highs, but see that rejection level?
We are already seeing $BTC facing immense sell pressure from previous hodlers who missed selling out at May's ATH, and one can be sure that they are better prepared this time around to take profits.
Meanwhile, Ethereum has already posted its new ATH!
So, Altseason, are we there yet?
BITCOIN DOMINANCE BOUNCING! ALTS/BTC IS IN DANGER!Hello everyone, Welcome to this quick dominance update. If you are reading my post for the first time then do follow me for more quality content.
Now let's get to the chart first. Bitcoin dominance falling for the past few weeks and after that fall it held the support at a 40% level which is very strong support. Now bitcoin dominance bouncing from the 40% level and breaks the 42% level resistance.
Last time also in the month of June bitcoin dominance dumped all the way to 40% and takes a bounce from there and reach 70% level. Now dominance starts pumping and breaks the 42% level and I expect it can pump more which is very bad for Alts/BTC pairs. The next two resistances for bitcoin dominance are at 45% and 50% levels. After reaching the 50% level we can expect a dump and one more alt season but I'm not sure about this yet. Though I updated you from time to time.
If you are holding Alts/BTC pair then I recommend you to put a tight stop loss.
Do you also think dominance bounce from here? or can we see one more alt season in Q4?
If you like this idea then hit the like button and share your views in the comment section.
This is not financial advice. DYOR before investing.
Thank you!
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Dominances fall = prices rise.
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Bearish Wedge on BTC dominance.
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BTC Bitcoin will Drop more? Bull Run finished? Past teach us...
Hard to describe my Idea (hope not to offend your BTC Bullish State)
Let's start with 2018
2018 with Trump government a lot of things happens, dump on markets and so on.
BTC started to pump when dollar was strong and started the Sell Off when dollar was cheaper.
Doesn't look all this like a Double Earning Strategy?
With strong dollar where buyed BTC at lowest prices. This started Bull Market late 2017.
When dollar was cheap enough and BTC Strong (very good gain) there was a lot of BTC selling to returning to Cheap Dollars.
Than things inverted, Stock market rebound a little in 2019, Dollar became strong again (more Gain over the already Gained)
BTC fall under start point, and again with strong dollars there was a BUY the Dip for next Bull Run.
Now let's check 2020-2021 BTC BULL RUN
Same thing isn't it?
In a big volatility stock market and uncertain there was a lot of Stock Selling for Dollars
With all those strong dollar where buyed BTC at lowest prices. This started Bull Market 2020.
When dollar was cheap enough and BTC Strong (very good gain at 64K) there was a lot of BTC selling to returning to Cheap Dollars.
Can we suppose a rebound in USD strength? Yes if Oil will drop a lot.
Can we suppose a BTC DROP to 25-30K, 7K or worse 500$? Yes if there will be a panic selling, a strong dollar and restart of economy. Than BTC will be buyed again at very DIP price.
Let's check another confirmation : VIX 2017-2018 vs VIX 2020-2021
Can you see a 2X scale difference from 2017-2018 and 2020-2021? All last longer. Quite like it was planned in some way, isn't? Someone have learned from 2017-2018 small crisis?
Graph talk by it self, isn't?
2018
At 2nd Stock Market Drop on late 2018 (september) things goes really bad
On November BTC reached all time low
On 24 December SP500 did same thing
2021
With a probabil 2nd Stock Market Drop on late 2021 (September) things start to go really bad?
Does BTC will resist at 30K drop or will it reach a very low price?
Will be 24 December sufficient for the biggest stock market drop ever? (if it will happen?)
Only thing that can save Crypto and Stock Market can be :
Stronger USD
OIL price Drop
No Yield increase
This can or could happen if the 3 Trillion plan will pass, if something will happen to Oil, if FED will decide to posticipate Tapering.
However keep in mind this : BTC Dominance became weaker. Maybe this is caused by a very high price, more interesting (and robust) projects with others Crypto (and cheaper). BTC will retest same areas...but volumes are getting weaker. No more interest, only Retail interest, but they are not aware of what will happen. Only Greed and Fomo.
Did you find all those idea useful? Hope so, let me know. And spread the idea if you want...
BTC.d -Bitcoin dominance -Do we sell Alts positions? or we hold?Based on my analysis, i think that it is better to be super attentive on Altcoins.
1- Dominance is in a very sensitive zone, 39.8% is a strong support
2- If it bounces above this support, the Alts will bleed
3- If it bounces below it, the Alts will continue to rise.
BUT,
The dominance had been decreasing for more than 40 days , and most of the Alts went crazy.
SO,
I think that most traders made a lot of profit with Alts, & in my opinion, it is better to secure your profit, and sell your Alts positions ( except the one you are holding for a longterm), and hold a big bag of USD.
The probability for the dominance to go below the support is low, so i believe that it will bounce back, and the Alts will go down, and we will have the chance to buy more Alts for a discounted price.
ALWAYS DYOR - NFA
Bitcoin Dominance: Breakout it seemsBitcoin Dominance keeps going up, to a point where we have to recognize that this gigantic triangle might have bursted to the upside, which does not bode well for Altcoins. Usually when the market is bullish, Altcoins outperform Bitcoin when the market goes up and underperform when the market goes down. Here we have a strange situation: no matter if the market goes up or down, Bitcoin keeps doing better. Now it's been more than 8 days of green candles, when we start printing the red candles, it means the Dominance will keep rising because Bitcoin is more defensive.