btc . recap . w3 . maymon to eager . wait mon to show its hand - cw!
. early LONG compound because of the bullish outlook
- tp2 108462
tue didn't ride momentum - blind bullish
. tp1 HIT
. missed SHORT at 10pm (UTC+2)
- should have traded the momentum of mon looking to form support during the week later . for more compound LONG
wed mid of range . cw
. no trade zone
thu
. waiting for run of aLow during ny
. compound LONG - 101485
. tp1 HIT
fri didnt catch enough upward momentum
. tp1 HIT
. last limit order for bullish continuation . tpo - 102862.5
wknd
. tp1 for weekly LONG idea finally hit
. duration 5d 22h
. +4.33%
conclusion :
trade what you see, go with momentum, but have a narrative.
outlook :
america downgraded from AAA to AA+ . People will turn hardcore bearish, once the price starts falling. this could be the trigger to find the long awaited drop - while having retail call out a bearmarket . massive potential here, to both sides. wOpen and monday full data (while keeping an close eye on tpo and footprint charts), are key .
Bitcoin-trading
btc . may . w3 . friyesterdays LONG was beautiful. ny ran aLow, and never looked back pushing higher.
. new aver entry . 102353
i'm right now scalling into new limit LONGs
. aLow . wVWAP . cw0.5 . liquidity grad - in this BULLISH environment
a last limit order is placed at pdTPO
. 102862.5
SL has been lifted to give new trade breathing room
i see us go to cwHigh . 105871, to which tp1 has been changed.
cheers
XAU/USD: Gold Regains Strength After Pullback – New Highs Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, gold surged above $3400, reaching as high as $3439 before facing strong selling pressure, dropping sharply to $3359.
Currently, gold is trading around $3385, and if the price can hold above $3366, we may expect further bullish momentum. I believe gold is setting up for another move above $3400, potentially aiming to break into new highs once again.
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab)
- Stop out LONGS
- Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher
the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum
looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809
i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only
looking for LONGS around
93.777 - 92.782
tp1 . 95.843
tp2 . 99.490
if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly
- i believe this to come towards wednesday
XRP / RIPPLE | 30M | IMPORTANT LEVELSFriends,
I valued your requests and prepared the following Ripple analysis: If Ripple drops below the level of 2.1807 for 30 minutes, the target will be the 2.1424 level. This level holds a very significant support zone.
The most critical support level is located at 2.1085.
If Ripple does not fall below this support zone, my target level for Ripple will be 2.2495.
Please don't forget to like.
Thank you to everyone who supports with likes.
btc . w4 - wknd . SHORT but cautious - yet paytientfriday plan, was to SHORT (see prvs post)
sell zone
starts . friday open
ends . monday open
entry . 95.542
sl . -2.62%
10 sell orders . 1.52% spread
tp1 . 91.642 . +3.99%
funding . +0.01%
we are according to plan + collecting funding
tp1 adjusted to moderate, since bullish outlook coming from april.
tp2 . +10.11%
BTC TO $91,000!!Hello! Today we're going to analyze Bitcoin's price action. It's currently rebounding. The movement doesn't seem to have much strength. However, let's not forget that on a weekly chart, Bitcoin is at the end of wave 4 of Elliott's theory.
We have a very clear scenario: a rebound to $91,000, which is an area with a lot of shorts and liquidity. If buying pressure is greater, it's logical that Bitcoin could break out strongly to the upside, because price action always seeks out areas of less pressure, that is, it will always seek liquidity.
On 4-hour charts, we can see a lot of volatility, however, any purchases below $84,000-$87,000 can be considered conservative because it is a good buying zone. After all, you are buying at the end of wave 4 on a weekly chart, therefore, liquidations below $84,000 are not ruled out, but the short and medium-term trend is bullish.
Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.
BTC/USDT SELL/SHORTbitcoin can move down
In this analysis, we are observing the potential repetition of market history by comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the previous bearish cycle. By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
Bitcoin Looks Good: Trading Cryptocurrency Talk TherapyTo me, Bitcoin looks really good. The month closed above $80,000. Soon we will have the weekly close. There can be some bearish action as it happened recently but when prices recover, all ends up being just noise. Truly noise when you consider what was being said in the press. "The correction is just getting started." "Bitcoin will go down for months, until May-June." "The bull-market is over."
Some people are talking about risk management and whatnot when Bitcoin hits 80K. It is bad advice they say to tell people to hold. What is the right choice in this type of scenario?
The basics require a strategy before trading, a plan. The plan is simply defining which actions you would take based on different scenarios. If you bought Bitcoin at $50,000 and failed to sell when Bitcoin was trading at $100,000 for more than two months, it is very unwise to talk about risk management or selling when Bitcoin hits bottom. Sell when the crash is on? Makes no sense to me.
If you didn't sell on the way up, you didn't have a strategy, then the best move is to hold. Normally, we would sell portions at each resistance level until all of our coins are gone. When the correction comes, we buy at support.
If you didn't sell when prices were high up, near resistance, then the opportunity is missed. Nothing happens but the right choice is to wait. This time around, prepare a plan beforehand, when to sell and how much? That's the question you need to answer before the bullish cycle reaches its end.
Since the action is already on-going, Bitcoin traded sideways for more than two months, when the crash is on, the best choice is to hold. FOMO or panic anything won't produce any positive results. Selling at the bottom is a waste of time, energy and money, because whatever you sell will soon start to grow. All the other pairs are in the same situation. To avoid being in this position, plan ahead of time.
There will be a new bullish cycle, a new advance and a new bullish wave. There will also be a new peak and a new correction, so plan now to avoid falling victim to the same mistakes.
It is alright to get it wrong. It is not right to make the same mistakes over and over. Sell when prices are high, buy when prices are low.
We buy when prices are trading at the bottom or near support. The Altcoins already hit bottom and that's our buy zone. Right now is the time to accumulate. If Bitcoin looks hard, there thousands of Altcoins that look ready to grow and strong.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading PlanBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading Plan – February 28, 2025
Market Overview
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price is currently trading at $79,770, showing a -0.74% decline in the latest 4-hour candlestick. The chart illustrates a falling wedge trading pattern, which is considered a bullish reversal signal. The price is approaching the lower boundary of the wedge, signaling a potential breakout to the upside.
Technical Indicators & Key Observations
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within a falling wedge formation (red and green trendlines).
A breakout above the upper boundary of the wedge could trigger a strong bullish rally.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate support: $76,665
Major support: $67,679
Key resistance levels:
$88,671
$91,271
$95,497
$108,329 (Major long-term resistance)
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): 22.26 (oversold), indicating potential upward momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: 16.14, also in the oversold region, confirming a possible reversal.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Showing weak inflow, but a reversal at these levels could indicate increasing buying pressure.
Cipher_B Divergences: Potential bullish divergence forming, adding confluence to the breakout scenario.
Professional Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Aggressive Entry: If Bitcoin closes a 4-hour candle above the wedge's upper trendline (~$80,500), an early entry can be considered.
Conservative Entry: Wait for confirmation above the $82,000 level with strong volume before entering a long position.
Profit Targets
First Target: $88,671 (previous local high)
Second Target: $91,271 (psychological level)
Third Target: $95,497 (strong resistance)
Ultimate Target: $108,329 (major long-term resistance)
Stop-Loss Strategy
For aggressive traders: Below $76,500 (recent low)
For conservative traders: Below $74,000 to reduce risk exposure
Risk Management
Risk-to-reward ratio: 1:3 or higher (entry should be calculated to maintain proper risk-reward)
Position Sizing: Allocate 2-5% of capital to this trade, considering volatility.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently trading at a critical support level within a falling wedge. The RSI, Stochastic, and MFI indicators suggest oversold conditions, indicating a potential bullish breakout. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above the wedge with strong volume before entering a position. Targets remain between $88,000 and $108,000, with well-defined stop-loss levels to minimize risk.
💡 Recommendation: Monitor price action closely, especially in the next few 4-hour candles. If BTC breaks above the wedge, prepare for a bullish move towards resistance levels.
Bitcoin (BTC) – Technical Analysis & Key LevelsCurrent Market Status:
Price: Trading near $97,000, below the $98,000–$100,000 resistance zone.
Weekend Movement: Recovered 10% of losses, but some gains have been retraced.
Directional Bias: Neutral, as BTC consolidates under key resistance.
Key Levels to Watch
Upside Targets (If BTC Reclaims $100K as Support)
$103,000–$108,000 → Next resistance zone, a breakout above this could trigger further upside.
$115,000+ → Potential medium-term target if bullish momentum strengthens.
Downside Support Levels (If BTC Fails to Hold 97K–$100K Zone)
$91,000–$95,000 → Immediate support range, likely to attract buyers.
$85,000–$87,500 → Stronger support in case of deeper correction.
Market Outlook & Trading Strategy
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above $100,000 would shift momentum toward $103,000–$108,000.
Sustained price action above $100K would indicate strength, supporting further rally potential.
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to hold current levels, expect a pullback to $91,000–$95,000.
A break below $91K could expose BTC to $85,000–$87,500 support levels.
Final Thoughts
BTC remains at a critical juncture, with $100K acting as a key decision point. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation of either a breakout (bullish) or a rejection leading to further downside (bearish) before positioning for the next major move.
NO. 1 IS BITCOIN (STILL) BITCOIN-ALTCOINS-MEMECOINS THIS IS PLANDescending Trading Channel IS IN PROGRESS.
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
The resistance line at the top of the channel is acting as a barrier to upward momentum.
The support line at the bottom of the channel provides a temporary floor for price movement.
Current Price Action:
The price is near the channel's lower support, indicating a critical decision zone for traders.
The presence of high volume at support suggests potential buying interest.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Shows momentum divergence, signaling a potential reversal near the current level.
RSI (14): Reading of 27.94 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a possible bounce.
Stochastic Oscillator (14,3,1): Extremely low (17.32), aligning with the RSI to indicate oversold conditions.
ArTY Money Flow Index (MFI): Neutral, showing neither significant inflow nor outflow of capital.
Key Levels:
Support: $98,282 (current zone within the channel support).
Resistance: $107,153 (aligned with the channel's resistance and previous consolidation).
Breakout Zone: A break above $107,153 could signal bullish momentum toward higher resistance zones ($112,000–$120,000).
Breakdown Risk: A breakdown below $98,000 may trigger bearish continuation to the $90,000 support zone.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Long Position:
Enter near the support zone ($98,000–$99,000) with tight stop-loss at $97,000.
Confirm reversal with bullish candlestick patterns or volume breakout above $100,000.
Short Position:
If the price breaks below $98,000 with strong volume, consider shorting with a target of $92,000.
Take-Profit Levels:
For long trades, scale out profits at:
$105,000 (minor resistance).
$107,150 (channel resistance and key breakout level).
$112,000 (next major resistance).
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stops 1–2% below the support level ($97,000 for long trades, $99,000 for short trades).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:3 (risk $1,000 to make $3,000).
Trade Management:
Monitor volume closely; rising volume during upward movement strengthens bullish conviction.
Use trailing stops to secure profits if the price moves favorably.
Breakout Trading:
If Bitcoin closes above $107,153 with strong momentum, consider entering a breakout trade targeting $112,000 and $120,000.
Contingency Plan:
Stay out if the price consolidates without clear direction near the current levels.
Avoid over-leveraging and stick to predefined risk parameters.
Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment within a descending channel. The oversold indicators and support proximity suggest a high-probability bounce, but traders must remain cautious of breakdown risks. The trading plan emphasizes disciplined risk management and capitalizes on both breakout and breakdown scenarios.
HODLing versus Day Trading. aka Hoping versus ControlFrom my experience I've learned that I prefer control of my profit rather than holding and hoping.
With there being over 14,000 crypto projects to choose from, there is no guarantee that each market will go back up.
The marker caps are already rather expensive, so to double your money on Bitcoin for example it has to go to $200k, whereas with prop firm day trading I can double my position's size in within an hour.
I have created a trading strategy to support my desire of control. If you too like control over your profit, then stay close to my work.
Bitcoin retested its all-time high (ATH)Bitcoin retested its all-time high (ATH) area near $73,777 last night but faced a rejection, resulting in a slight retracement to its current trading level around $71,900. This price action is a pivotal point, as a successful retest of the ATH could either:
Break Through – capturing short sellers' stop losses above this level and potentially flipping the ATH area from resistance into new support. This could allow Bitcoin to push higher, continuing its upward momentum.
Reject and Retrace – if the ATH level holds as resistance, we may see a pullback to lower support zones before the next move.
Given Bitcoin's proximity to this critical level, traders should monitor the reaction closely, as a sustained breakout could signal strength in the overall market, whereas a rejection may indicate more consolidation ahead.