Don't be fooledThat's why it's a huge bull trap for me. Do not get too greedy, no matter what some indicators or people claim.
For us it is time to wait. I expect in 1-2 days (do not take the time too serious) again a strong upmove in the 9000 area until we see another dip.
If you want, you can still distance yourself from the market, but I am currently holding a share of my capital in a few coins. Depending on the situation I will decide if I go out or not.
This is one of those moments where many think we would have a strong bull run, but it was just a trap. After that it will come to many panic sales, which will be our moment to join.
For example, as soon as Ripple breaks through the purple line that I drew in my XRPUSD idea, it's time for me to shop.
Bullish signs:
Bitcoin-usd
BITCOIN Trying to find a bottom. Bears time is nearly up. BTCUSDI've been calling that Bitcoin would go lower once more and no one on social media seemed to believe me.
Now literally every conversation I seem to be having lately is what is going on with this Yo-Yo market. Well it should come as no surprise that what is causing the effect is Bitcoin. It is affecting us all. I got caught on a Bitcoin Cash trade which was going perfectly until Bitcoin met resistance and took the whole market south again. I took my eye of the ball and allowed my trade to run into the weekend. Never mind. Anyway here are my thoughts:
Personally I like to see where the action is happening (plus I think this could all happen within days not weeks now) so this is completed on the 15 min chart. I have therefore added the approximate 50EMA and where the top of the ongoing downtrend would be as dashed horizontal lines for representation only. Obviously they will be different as time moves on.
We all know that yesterday after hitting the downtrend resistance BTC was heading lower but there was a rally today from approx. $7,853 and more buying volume came in at $8,000 (There was a lovely double bottom on LTC at the same time) things were looking up until the dreaded 50EMA was reached.
That's all we know for sure for now and from here on out these are my thoughts, nothing more.
BTC will continue to drop until we see strong enough support at one of the support levels. As people like round numbers it could very well be $7,500. Who knows.
Perhaps there will be enough of a buy in to pass the 50EMA and break the downtrend channel. However what might occur is that we may experience a further low volume bounce and the past few days history will repeat itself.
Alternatively and what probably needs to happen is that we may pass right through the $7,100-$7,800 resistance levels and re-test something in the $6,000 - $6,831 range. Possibly lower but not much. This is what we will need for the added buying volume required to push us back into a bull market.
Whatever happened the time for the bears is running out. The ranges are getting tighter and tighter every day.
As for buying I am happy to buy anywhere from $7,500 downwards and hold.
Once the bulls are back in control we will all be wishing we could top up anywhere below $9,000.
Luckily I have business ventures which can manage themselves so I will be monitoring this closely. I will update as things go.
All constructive feedback welcome.
Thank you for reading.
Dash.
BTC Bear Flag - Possible Reversal?If you've been paying close attention to the charts at all (and no, not in 15 minute), then I'm sure yesterday you already noticed the bear flag that is solidifying.
Hopefully some of you were even able to make a nice short play yesterday and increase your stack, as I did.
For those of you that missed out because of Binance.. well, sorry for your luck, but here's the thing..
It's starting to look like we may get a similar play today.
We're seeing volume increase before the pending Lunar New Year, and right now in this bear flag the market is bashing it's head on 8500USD again.
I personally do not expect this to breakthrough up, and that the bear play will complete again and drive the price back down to 8000, or sub.
The more this happens, the more tired the bulls are going to get, and -on a whim- we could see the fractal complete and the market bottom again around 6k. This is all purely speculative though, I would not count on it.
There is a good chance for a reversal though if the bulls keep pushing. If they can break 8500 again and hold, we could very well see a shift in the market.
Volume is increasing, MACD on the 1 Day is off of a touch by a hair and threatening to crossover, and the market emotion seems to really want to force a change.
Again, I personally don't expect this to happen, I think the bears will win the flag again, but I will be far more cautious today and won't be making my trades until I feel assured that my assets are safe.
Stay safe, gamble smart, and be a little less greedy then the next guy my friends.
Have a good day!
- RECT
*** Don't take my word for it, I'm just a rookie who studies a hella lot***
Bitcoin heading towards $5,000Cryptocurrency market remains under a heavy pressure facing strong headwinds from global regulators and authorities that are taking a tougher stance against the “volatile and dangerous” market day by day. Bitcoin price briefly slipped below the $6,000 mark on Tuesday, down to fresh mid-November lows in the $5,810 area, -14% on the day.
The current fallout in cryptocurrencies is exacerbated by a widespread panic in the global stock markets amid rising bond yields and inflation expectations. This risk-off environment discourages the risky digital assets even more, especially now, when the market is so vulnerable under the regulators’ pressure.
By the way, it looks like the Chinese authorities are intended to eliminate cryptocurrency trading in the country completely. In particular, the Central bank decided to block access to all domestic and foreign cryptocurrency exchanges and ICO websites, on top of that the China has already banned bitcoin exchanges and ICOs in late 2017.
In such conditions, further signs of furious crypto crackdown will likely make bitcoin and other digital currencies extend their losses before they find a bottom. Now bitcoin is in a striking distance of the $5,000 support which could temper the bears a bit and open the way for a short-term consolidation. A slide below this level will open the way to $3,500. On the other hand, the current low levels may attract some buyers in the $6,000 region and ease the immediate bearish pressure on prices.
Bitcoin: Possible $5000 Price TagABCD harmonic, psychologically significant price, in reversal territory between .618 and .786 retracements and previous resistance/support zone indicates that the $5000 region is a strong contender for the reversal zone of this sell-off.
This is not investment advice. My analyses are frequently wrong.
$5000 ?The down trend is not over yet on long term. From here it can easily reach the $ 5000.
In the weekly chart, we are still very bearish.
If we get a confirmation for an uptrend in the near future, then it is very likely that it will only be a small upside correction until about $8000. But be careful that it will go down very quickly afterwards.
My target: $5000-6000
I'll keep you up to date. Everything can change very fast.
Bitcoin: another stab in the back Cryptocurrencies continue to retreat at the start of a new trading week following sharp losses on Friday, with bitcoin is trading dangerously close to fresh November 24th lows below the $8,000 threshold. Any attempts to regain the upside potential face strong headwinds amid the never-ending woes in the volatile market.
In another blow for bitcoin, major US credit card companies have banned cryptocurrency purchases with credit cards in an effort to decrease legal and financial risk. These banks are JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America and Citigroup. Citing the same reasons and crypto market volatility, the UK banking giant Lloyds Bank has also banned its credit card customers from buying cryptocurrency. Many institutions threatened to restrict some operations with digital assets before, but the real steps by the leading banks with a huge customer base can’t but further reduce the appeal of bitcoin which is particularly vulnerable lately.
From the technical point of view, the key on the upside in the $8,000 mark as its loss triggered even a more aggressive sell-off on Friday, and now this level is the immediate local resistance. Should the price regain this barrier, the trader focus will turn to $10,000 again. However, in the short-term, the downside risks continue to prevail, and failed recovery attempts signal that investors are not ready to buy bitcoin yet. Therefore, the next bearish target is the $7,500-$7,200 zone.
Bulls having a hard time defending 8kYesterdays bounce was anything but spectacular at 38.2% fib and after breaking a long term trend line. A pull above 9 thousand however unable to recover horizontally, it looks like bearish momentum might drag it lower. I dont believe this correction to be over yet. When and IF the price reaches 6-7k, people might start fear selling, as is only natural in such a market. That being said It could form a double bottom at 8k and return to possibly 10k and recover above the trend, however I think its unlikely.
regardless of what happens midterm i think that short term is still headed for lower lows.
Bitcoin USD - BTCUSD - Future direction 240min & DailyThe chart shows evidence for Bitcoin to bounce between two daily zones. Demand and Supply alike. I have identified two strong zones where we can trade the bounce. Given the BTC volatility and its quick price movement the opportunity will materialise relatively quickly. IMPORTANT: Drill down to 240min to see get clearest picture of short term opportunity.
Bitcoin BTC Fibronacci Technical AnalysisThis analysis is a "Fib.-trifecta" combining a retracement, fan and spirals.
I actually had to calculate the next Fib. level by hand. I don't think trading is usually this extreme, but hey, this is crypto!
If we break current support, the next support level should be aound 7,200 with a likely range of 6850 - 7,540 per the Bitfinex pricing.
If this happens, I think this will be the end of this very strong correction and we should get a major bounce up and out of this falling wedge.
Let's see what the King has in store for us this weekend.
Bitcoin correction is not doneWe are looking 4 hour chart. If you take look in short-term it might look the correction is done but when you take a look to the long-term charts you can see we are bottom in the long-term descending channel which means that on a short-term we are likely going to experience pull back somewhere between 11 000$ or 12 000$
Down-tredn will now slow for a while because we can't go below 30 in RSI on the daily chart. 200 SMA is also likely going to make resistance zone to Bitcoin.
I will post some short-term analyses below.
I hope you like this and before you do anything I want to say I am not a professional trader, I might be wrong and this isn't financial advice.
Comments and feedback are greatly appreciated, I will read and answer every comment because they are important to me :)
BTC short term bearish stillBTC making a cool comeback showing that BTC bulls are still alive and kicking. That being said while the second bull up burst seems to have been stronger than the first (percentage difference) however the ascent is not as steep and shows BTC finding a ceiling once again in the low 9k region. The correction is not over imo and could still see lower lows if bears kick down with a steeper slope.
Bitcoin: $8,000 is the next target Following the recent consolidation phase, bitcoin has suffered huge losses this week. Amid a growing list of factors weighing on the cryptocurrency, the price dipped below the key $10,000 support which triggered a more aggressive sell-off. As a result, the asset has cracked below $9,000 for the first time since November and moved to the lowest levels since November 25th around $8,300.
The digital currency has sunk into the mire of negative news lately. Traders perceive every regulatory blow quite painfully and don’t see any bullish drivers in the market. In addition to the recent news on Facebook that is going to ban ads for ICOs, the lingering “bubble” concerns, fraud fears and signs of heavier regulation in South Korean, India is said to be mulling increasing regulation, while in China, bitcoin ads has disappeared from social media.
At this stage, the policy makers’ and regulators’ stance, which is getting more and more aggressive, is consistently taken by investors as a sell signal. But in the longer term, the current regulatory crackdown looks necessary for this messy market to survive. Since bitcoin has breached two psychological barriers, there is a high risk of testing the next “round” $8,000 level. Moreover, the digital asset may go even lower, before finding a bottom.