BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure.
I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long.
Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure.
Good luck out there!
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN just triggered the ultimate post-Halving BUY SIGNAL!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit last week the top of the green Gaussian Channel (GC), a key indicator as last time it did (September 02 2024), kickstarted the massive 2024 rally towards the end of the year.
In fact, it can be argued that when BTC makes contact with the GC during a Bull Cycle, it is the ultimate pull-back Buy Signal after Halving events. More specifically, during the previous Cycle and after the May 2020 Halving, the price touched the GC three times (August 31 2020, July 19 2021 and September 20 2021), all of which were the most optimal pull-back Buy Entries as Bitcoin rebounded instantly.
So far during this Cycle and after the April 2024 Halving, this is the 2nd time the GC is tested. As mentioned the first also initiated an instant rebound. As a result, the current GC test is technically considered a very strong buy opportunity for the remainder of the Cycle, which based on the Time Cycles of the last 2 Cycle Tops, it should peak around October 06 2025.
So what do you think? If buying now towards a potential October 2025 Top, the perfect opportunity? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC has upside chances until it holds above 81K areaMorning folks,
So, picture barely has changes since our last discussion. Right now we do not see any ready-to-trade setups. But suggest some bullish support to the market. After major XOP target has been reached - BTC has not dropped but remains in tight consolidation. This is more a bullish sign.
In general, we could suggest here a kind of reverse H&S shape. It makes us think that until BTC price is above ~ 81K area, it keeps chances on upside breakout. Drop below 81K will lead BTC back to the previous lows.
So, if you would like to buy - try to do this as closer to the lows of consolidation as possible. We consider no shorts by far.
BTCUSD - Wave B Needs One More Low - Lets Talk About It...So far, there's been no actual gain or loss from my current idea that we could reach 90K. However, I’d like to propose a new perspective — that we may have been navigating a complex, expanded Wave B Zig-Zag this entire time.
With a deeper understanding of AriasWave, I can now make certain assumptions more confidently. I had considered this scenario before but dismissed it due to how far-fetched it seemed. Now, I’m revisiting that idea with a fresh outlook.
The key point is: nothing has been gained or lost yet — which means this is your opportunity to reassess and position your trade in the right direction using this analysis.
Let’s make it count. Let’s do this!
Check out the chart version linked below.
Short Entry: 83,000
Target: 74,517
1 Billion People Trading Crypto —Bitcoin's Continues Above $80KWith every single second that passes with Bitcoin trading above 80K the market becomes stronger. We now have the proof of the start of the bull market coming from the Altcoins. Some pairs are growing more than 100% within just 48 hours and they continue to advance. This is only the beginning.
The pattern starts with the low in February followed by March and then finally April. 7-April marks the true bearish phase bottom after the late 2024 bullish wave peak.
Would you like to know what will happen with Bitcoin?
Look at this chart for STRAXUSDT, it will be the exact same:
1) A low 7-April.
2) A quick recovery.
3) Sideways/consolidation.
4) A strong bullish jump.
See the full analysis below:
This is the same pattern that is repeating across so many Altcoins. Most of these are at #3 and set to enter #4. Bullish momentum will build up slowly and will be present through many pairs in early May, but it will take until late May before it becomes 100% obvious for all participants, at this time, we will have a full blown bullish wave and there will be excitement and lots of people rushing to buy Cryptocurrencies trading pairs that are no longer available at bottom prices, but people will buy anyway and that's ok because we are set to experience long-term growth.
There is more. Some indications and signals are pointing to this bull market going beyond 2025. Just as the 2023 recovery year extended and went through March 2024, in the same way, the 2025 bull market can be extended and go sometime until March 2026. It can be anything, but it will be green.
There are also supporting signals for this hypothesis but we will have to wait and see.
One thing is known for sure and 6,575% certain, Bitcoin is going up. Cryptocurrency will grow and it will be amazing. We are ready for 1 Billion people to buy, hold and exchange Crypto.
Bring it on!
Namaste.
BTCUSD - Another Dip Is Possible With This Count...Recent rejections at the highs have prompted a deeper analysis, and the findings are quite intriguing.
Based on a detailed wave review, there's a possibility we're currently trading within an expanded Wave B zig-zag pattern that has yet to find a bottom.
If this scenario holds and we see a break below the 83,000 support level, price could potentially decline toward the 74,517 area.
On the upside, resistance is observed at 86,506 and 85,493.
$ETH = Silver and $BTC = Gold Means WHAT!?They say Ethereum is the Silver to ₿itcoin being Gold.
If that's the case, does that mean that the ceiling for CRYPTOCAP:ETH will forever be stuck at $4,800
just like TVC:SILVER being capped at $48 for the past 45 years?
Does anyone really think ETH will be higher than $4,800 in 45 years???😆
A true store of value 💯
The Road to $100k BitcoinBitcoin is most likely forming a left-translated 60-day cycle .
Expect Bitcoin to trend downward for the next month, making a lower low in this 60-day cycle and fully scaring the market.
People will start screaming “bear market” and panic-sell their coins to market makers, institutions, and patient investors.
Once that’s done, Bitcoin will resume its bull market, heading toward a market top in Q2/Q3 2025.
This would mirror 2021’s bull market behavior, align with the 4-year Bitcoin cycle, and leave enough time for the market to fully reset by late 2026.
Bitcoin - Trading below 50 and 200 EMACurrently bitcoin is trading below 50 and 200 EMA after multiple failed attempt to breach the these EMA levels. 1D candle closed above 200 EMA however, failed to close above 50 EMA
Additionally price is around the trendline which is acting as resistance, a strong breakout from this resistance is needed for bullish momentum to continue.
In the next couple of days we will get to know if price will break the resistance or gets rejected.
Stay tuned for more updates
Cheers
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin dominance is aiming to hit FIb 1.141 - Alt Season when ?Currently bitcoin dominance is around 64% and about to hit Fib 1 which is the previous high 64.34%.
We can expect bitcoin to breach this previous high easily and head towards the next resistance around the fib value 1.414. This is a strong resistance and if dominance breaks this value then next target is 70% is which around the high value achieve during the 2020 bear run.
I'm expecting dominance to reverse around 1.414 and altseason will start once dominance starts dropping.
Cheers!
GreenCrypto
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #63👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
Yesterday, a short position could have been opened that might have already brought you good profit.
🔄 In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that if the price pulls back to the 85482 zone, gives a confirmation candle, and buying volume increases, you could open a long position. That didn’t happen—there was no confirmation candle, and the zone turned out to be a fake breakout.
👀 For a short position, I also mentioned that if the price fakes the breakout of this zone, you could enter a short position on lower time frames after the break of a short-term trigger, targeting 83233. This scenario played out exactly, and the price gave a trigger on lower time frames and dropped to 83233.
📉 But today we also have a trigger for opening a position, so don’t worry too much—you haven’t missed a lot. Yesterday’s position was opened in a risky context, and if you followed proper risk management, you shouldn’t have taken much risk on that position, and naturally, wouldn’t have made a large profit either.
🔑 A fake breakout of a box top indicates strong seller momentum, so currently, bearish momentum is stronger than bullish, and the price leans more toward decline. On the other hand, the 83233 zone is very significant, and the price has reacted to it several times, making it an important support zone.
📚 So, with that in mind, if the 83233 zone breaks, you can enter a short position. If, before breaking this zone, the price creates a lower high compared to 85482, we’ll have even more confirmation—because based on Dow Theory, when price fails to reach its previous high, it shows that buyers are weakening. So breaking the low, which overlaps with the 83233 support, gives us a very solid position.
💫 But an important point to consider is that the price formed several bullish legs before creating this box, so overall, the current market momentum is still more bullish, and all short positions carry more risk than long positions.
📈 For a long position, the 85482 zone remains a valid trigger, and if the price stabilizes above it, we might see the next bullish leg. Personally, I prefer that the price tests the 85482 zone once more so we can get a more accurate level, and then break it on a subsequent attempt, which would make opening a position easier.
✔️ Of course, even if the zone is broken on the first try, I’ll open a long position, but if it's broken on the second or third attempt, we can enter with more confidence and take more risk.
📊 After the range box was broken, market volume has been declining, and only a few candles have significant volume—these are considered outliers and can be ignored. So the most important thing is that if a trigger is activated, the volume should align with that direction and support the price move, showing convergence.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s take a look at Bitcoin dominance. It’s still bullish and, after breaking above 63.87, has continued its new bullish leg.
🧩 As a reminder, as long as BTC Dominance hasn’t changed trend or turned bearish on higher time frames like the daily or weekly chart, buying any altcoin isn’t logical. We need to wait for a trend change. For now, we see dominance as bullish, so long positions on Bitcoin and short positions on altcoins are suitable choices.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for Total2 analysis: yesterday, both short triggers I gave were activated, and the price moved downward.
🧲 Currently, a low has formed around the 932 zone, and if this zone breaks, the price could continue its downtrend. On the other hand, if the 947 zone breaks and the price moves back above it, we can consider opening a short-term long position in lower time frames.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. Yesterday, I mentioned that dominance was interacting with the 5.39 zone and that if it breaks, the market could move upward.
🚀 But that didn’t happen—instead, the price moved upward and even broke above the 5.53 ceiling. Currently, it’s returning to its range box again and may head back toward the 5.39 level. If that zone breaks, we can still take it as a confirmation of a bearish shift in dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Potential Scenarios Ahead of Powell Speech
Bitcoin is consolidating for 5 days within a narrow range on a daily.
Today's Powell speech can be a trigger for a strong bullish/bearish movement.
Depending on the today's rhetorics, here are potential scenarios.
Bullish
If the price breaks and closes above the resistance of the range (86500),
we can expect upward movement to 87500 resistance.
Bearish
If the price breaks and closes below the support of the range (82500),
Bitcoin may drop way lower and reach 79600 level.
Wait for a breakout and then follow the market.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bitcoin is heading into its final low before bull market?Bitcoin got rejected at the 1-Day Cycle top and is now pulling back toward the 1-Day Cycle lows.
While most investors are getting bored and slowly shifting their attention elsewhere, crypto is quietly consolidating and gearing up for a BIG move...
Will we break above $100K, or are we heading into a recession and full-on bear market mode?
Next week will be a decisive one for the entire crypto market this year.
If Bitcoin manages to hold above $77,000 as the 1-Day Cycle hits Day 20, we could be on the verge of a run toward $100K. But if we drop below the previous 1-Day Cycle low, trouble’s coming.
Confused? Just check out this chart.
It’s easy to lay out both the bullish and bearish cases—but it’s a whole different game to quantify, commit to a position, and wait for the more probable outcome to play out.
Which scenario is more likely?
In short: the green one . Here’s why:
The 2-Week Cycle has spent over 4 weeks below 20, completely crushing bullish sentiment.
The 1-Week Cycle has been below 20 for over 2 months—the longest stretch in the past 5 years.
The 3-Day Cycle hasn’t fully reset, but reversed to the upside last week due to positive price action.
We’re on Day 46 of the 60-Day Cycle, and price has been holding up well. We’ve tested the $80K zone a couple of times, and Bitcoin still seems eager to push higher.
For the first time in a while, there are more bears than bulls (according to Polymarket).
On that note—check the Polymarket predictions
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price managed to register a new high at $3245, but after that, it was followed by a correction and created a change in market structure. I expect that if the price stabilizes below $3213, it will be accompanied by further decline.
The targets are respectively $3187, $3177, $3155, and $3138.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BITCOIN Supply Demand Short ALERT1) See picture for full analysis...
Higher Timframe:
-Price inside supply
-Trend = downtrend
-Stochastic RSI overbought
Lower Timeframe:
-Need break to break support + break upward trend-line + quality supply created.
- IF price does the following then possible pullback for short OR look for scalp/day-trade shorts
to the downside with 1TF setups.
#supplyanddemand #supportandresistance
XAUUSD - Possible top formation on gold ?XAUUSD probably topped as I expected around 3200 - 1 fib extension from low 1046 to high 2075 and higher low 1614 (started to short at the precedent low 3157)
big daily bearish divergence on RSI as well
maybe double bottom in 1 or 2 weeks then will go all down till september thats my forecast
daily POC/and back to 0.618 fib extension is my target ~ 2500 (around -20% move)
____
any new ATH could bring gold to next fib extension at around 3850
Cheers
BTCUSD - Short Term Long Trade - Evidence of 90K Incoming...In this video, not only do I walk you through the small degree long trade (based on the chart linked below), but I also break down the entire pattern, explain the corrective process, and share what I expect to happen next.
As long as 83,015 holds, all signs point toward a potential 6%+ move up to 90K. This is a solid opportunity—price tends to move slowly during corrections, and then all at once.
Let’s navigate this setup together, so you can take advantage of it with solid risk management and smart leverage.
Bitcoin (BTC): Fake-out Above 200EMA | Sellers DominatingBitcoin had a nice rejection yesterday where we failed to form the BOS and break above the local highs, which resulted in a fakeout above the 200EMA and the price falling below that line.
As we see the demand in downward movement, we are keeping our sell target active as long as we are again below the local highs (at $85,750).
Markets sell exhausted, economy doomed....Be sure to have a tight stop-loss and small leverage on any position you would want to open. We expect to see a big liquidation hunting to happen soon thanks to the #China and #USA tariff war.
Swallow Academy