What could trigger such a sharp price move?Hello, my dear followers!💋
I hope You're all doing well and You had an amazing weekend!🫶 But now, let’s get back to our favorite topic: BITCOIN.😉
When can we expect a strong price movement? Such a move would present a huge opportunity for all of us!🙌🏻
What have I drawn on the chart, You ask?
Let’s break it down! The chart I’m showing you is a 2-hour timeframe.
Since December 17, 2024, Bitcoin has been moving in a downtrend, which means that as long as the price remains within the triangle I’ve outlined, the medium-term trend is bearish.
From the first sharp drop to the second sharp drop, there are 245 candles. Based on this, we can roughly estimate that the next significant price movement might occur within the same range of time—around the area marked by the yellow circle on the chart!
What could trigger such a sharp price move?
The inauguration of the new U.S. President and their first days in office could be the catalyst. Following the inauguration, the market may react strongly to any statements or executive orders. What will it be? Nobody knows, but I believe it’s going to be intense!
What Did Trump Promise Regarding Cryptocurrency?
Before the elections, Trump’s stance on cryptocurrency was a hot topic. He previously expressed skepticism about Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, stating that he preferred a strong U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency. However, during his campaign, he hinted at introducing stricter regulations for the crypto market to ensure transparency and prevent illegal activities.
At the same time, Trump also acknowledged the potential of blockchain technology for improving financial systems. If he follows through with his promises, we might see a combination of increased regulation and blockchain adoption initiatives, which could create significant volatility in the crypto market.
What do You think?🧐
Drop Your thoughts in the comments below!
Thanks for Your attention💋
Sincerely Yours,
Kateryna🩷
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN - MEGA BUBBLE ALERT - The Top Is Very Close Now...Bitcoin and many other markets seem to be approaching the end of a significant cycle, signaling the conclusion of what may be the largest bubble in modern history.
In this video, I share my latest analysis using the AriasWave methodology to explain why I believe this trend, which began in 2008, is finally nearing its completion.
While it’s speculative, I estimate that we could be approaching the final peak by March. The increasingly weaker and more complex structure of this move suggests to me that it’s a fragile impulsive wave, indicating an impending reversal.
Just a quick reminder: AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave. I developed AriasWave over an 8-year period with the goal of achieving a more accurate understanding of wave analysis, leveraging modern technology to refine the process.
If you would like to learn more, visit the website.
BTC Bitcoin HTF Bullish Structure & Potential Trade Setup👀 👉 A detailed analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) on the weekly and daily charts highlights a bullish market structure. Further upside potential is anticipated, provided a retracement occurs as outlined in the video. In this session, we examine the trend, price action, market structure, and a possible trade opportunity. ⚠️ This video is for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial advice.
BTC could dump again if USDT.D chart does same thing againThe last time I posted this was when USDT Dominance chart touched the green trendline on the chart and bounced off the red trendline on the RSI.
Will this happen again causing another flash dump or will the bullish scenario I posted in last analysis (see below chart link) come to fruition?
As you can see the blue trendline on chart at 91790usd is major support.
The RSI pink trendline on left chart shows it is at resistance right now.
What just happened was a failed attempt to close a possible head and shoulders pattern, trapping shorts under the support causing this short squeeze in play right now. The question is whether the pump will continue or will it go back down. The USDT.D chart will tell us.
Hit the like idea rocket button if you like the idea and analysis.
Bitcoin tested 100k once again today, BUT..Let me explain first.. I am very positive with Bitcoin, and i do believe it will reach to 200k to 300k in 3 years span.
But for now, as the chart showing BTCUSD tested the resistance, a very solid trendline, also 78.6% fibo retracement up from the previous drop, and the psychological level of 100k, I AM SHORTING BITCOIN NOW..
Target 1: 97000
Target 2: 95000
Target 3: 89000
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Mid term!Currently, if the price can stabilize further and hold the 0.382 Fibonacci line, it can rise again. However, if it loses this support level, the price can still be bearish. But I've always been optimistic and hope this doesn't happen.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
another IHS on BTC.D? Chop chop more?We have successfully completed an IHS on a lower time frame (see my other chart)
Now we seem to have the beginnings of what could be another IHS on a higher time-frame?
Another scary pump of Bitcoin dominance incoming?
Interesting, let's see
(the chart is inverted)
BTCUSD: Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern and $100K TargetThe Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has unique characteristics compared to the Falling Wedge or Flag patterns. While the Falling Wedge and Flag patterns feature converging lines that taper to a point, the Descending Broadening Wedge widens from left to right, indicating increasing market volatility over time. This pattern forms when the price moves within an expanding range, creating a downward-sloping resistance line and a support line that also declines at a steeper angle.
I have identified an intriguing Descending Broadening Wedge pattern on BTCUSD. The chart clearly depicts this pattern through a series of lower highs, depicted by blue arrows, and lower lows, depicted by black arrows. The price tends to rebound between the support and resistance lines, with these rebounds depicted by orange arrows.
To confirm a bullish move, it is crucial to wait for a price breakout above the resistance line of this pattern. A breakout from this resistance will signal a momentum shift and could serve as a strong indicator of a price surge, depicted by the green arrow, with the target for this price surge being the psychological level around $100,000.
Black Swans? Bitcoin and Key Levels AheadHello, dear friends!🩷
I hope You all had an amazing holiday season and wrote down Your wish lists for the year ahead. For me, my biggest wish is peace in my country and the chance to sleep peacefully at night. I pray that a larger-scale war never breaks out, as the world feels like it’s hanging by a thread.
But let’s set that aside for now and take a look at Bitcoin’s 6-hour chart, which is showing a very intriguing setup.
The price is once again aiming to test the 92k level—a key support zone I’ve highlighted in previous posts. Most likely, the price will bounce off this level and recover slightly to the 97–98k range before continuing its decline. In the medium term, there’s a chance we could see Bitcoin drop to 90k, 87k, or even as low as 84k.
If no “Black Swan” events (as many global media outlets have been speculating about) occur, we might see growth instead. However, it’s too early to say for sure—we’ll have to keep monitoring the situation. Have You heard about some of these potential Black Swans?
● Geopolitical Conflicts
Escalation of current conflicts or the emergence of new ones (e.g., in Asia or the Middle East).
Rising tensions between major powers like the U.S. and China.
Sudden regime changes in strategically important countries.
● Economic Crises
Collapse of major banks or financial institutions.
Sharp interest rate hikes or defaults by heavily indebted nations.
A new wave of inflation or a global recession.
● Technological Disruptions
Breakthroughs in AI destabilizing labor markets or sparking social unrest.
Major cyberattacks on infrastructure, financial systems, or governments.
Challenges in adopting new technologies in energy or transportation.
● Environmental Disasters
Accelerating climate change causing devastating weather events.
Large-scale ecological accidents, like oil spills or nuclear incidents.
Global issues with access to fresh water or food supplies.
● Pandemics or Biological Threats
The emergence of new viruses or mutations of existing ones spreading rapidly.
Biological attacks or lab leaks.
● Social and Political Upheaval
Mass protests or revolutions in key regions.
The rise of populism and anti-globalist sentiment.
Migration crises caused by wars or climate change.
● Unexpected Events in the Crypto Market
Regulatory bans or sudden changes in crypto legislation.
Collapse of major exchanges or projects.
Rapid adoption of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and their impact on the crypto market.
If You ask for my opinion, Black Swans aren’t something you can talk about or predict—that’s why they’re called Black Swans! They happen precisely because they’re impossible to foresee. They strike when no one is expecting them!
What do you think? Are You bracing for a market crash, or are you feeling optimistic?
Stay tuned for updates, and let me know your thoughts in the comments. Let’s navigate this market together!💪
Sincerely Yours,
Kateryna 💛
Bitcoin can make movement up and then drop to 93600 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The chart shows how the price rose to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, broke it, and continued to move up. Later BTC corrected to the support level, after which rebounded up to 103500 points, after which it dropped to the 90400 level, thereby starting to trades inside the pennant. Also then, the price turned around and made an impulse up from the support line of the pennant and rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, after which corrected the support line. Then BTC rebounded and in a short time rose to the resistance level again and this time it broke it and continued to move up to the resistance line of the pennant. When the price reached this line it exited from the pennant and reached new ATH (108K points) and then made a downward impulse inside the downward wedge. Price broke 100000 with 93600 levels and fell to the buyer zone, where it reached the support line of the wedge and rebounded from it to the resistance level. Later Bitcoin corrected the support line again and then in a short time rose to the resistance line of the wedge pattern, after which dropped back. Recently price bounced from this line, broke the 93600 level, and now continues to grow. For this case, I expect that the price can make one more move up and then correct the 93600 support level. That's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
SUIUSDT 8H : NICE ENTRY FOR LONG Hello, good day
As you can see, we are in a long-term bullish channel.
Given the low liquidity and good order block in the 4.3 range, I expect such a move.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 15/Jan /25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
BTC USD IdeaHappy New Year, traders! We have absolutely sick price action in Bitcoin charts. Every single swing trade for big players is being liquidated on every daily fractal. It doesn't want you on trades. This means two things: they eat up sells and buys. It's really hard to hold large trades with this price action. As of now, we have a next TP, not yet liquidated, bullish bias with a first take profit at 102735.99. We are in scalping mode as of now, and we do not trade on bias; we are hedging the market as of now with small entries, and then we get a few runners in the end and loads of stops also. But nobody in the world can guess where it will go. Best for us would be for it to go lower to a discount price, and then we can load positions again for higher. I'll keep you posted if I see good volume on my software. Stay calm with this price action. There's no need to buy Bitcoin at a 90k price; there are a million other assets booming at the beginning of the year
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Double H&S Patterns Hold the KeyThis chart presents a pivotal scenario for Bitcoin (BTC) as it forms a complex Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, with two potential outcomes based on key breakpoints:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the Decision Point (DP), the pattern morphs into a Continuous Head & Shoulders (Double).
This indicates strong bullish momentum, with a high probability of the price targeting the upper resistance level at 123,688.39 USDT.
This scenario suggests market participants favor the continuation of the upward trend.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails at DP and breaks below the Neckline, the structure transforms into a Reversal Head & Shoulders.
In this case, bearish pressure may dominate, driving the price toward the lower support at 77,264.42 USDT.
This would signal a major trend reversal, possibly fueled by bearish sentiment or unfavorable market conditions.
Key Notes:
The neckline and DP levels are crucial for identifying the market's next major move.
Watch for volume confirmations to validate breakouts, as these will provide stronger insights into the direction of the trend.
HBAR on the Edge: Key Levels You Can't Miss!HBAR has been range-bound for over 40 days, trading between $0.3922 and $0.2341, following a rejection from the golden pocket zone. Let’s dive into the key resistance and support zones to identify potential trade setups.
Support Zone Analysis
Taking the entire bullish run from November, we observe the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.2169, which aligns perfectly with the anchored VWAP from the November lows, providing a strong support confluence. Adding to this, the negative Fibonacci extension of the current downside wave places the -0.666 Fibonacci level at $0.21778, further reinforcing this zone.
Additionally, the lows around this area contain significant liquidity, likely targeting long-leverage positions, which increases the conviction for this support zone. The monthly level at $0.2217 also aligns with this area, making $0.217-$0.222 a highly reliable support zone for potential trade setups.
Resistance Zone Analysis
HBAR has recently broken below the yearly open level at $0.269, which now acts as a resistance.
For those who missed the previous short entry, price action near $0.269 presents another opportunity for a short trade if price rises to this level, confirming its resistance.
Chart Pattern & Volume Analysis
The structure shows an inverted cup and handle pattern. Volume has been in steady decline throughout this trading range, indicating a pause in bullish momentum.
Trade Setups
Short Trade
Entry: Around $0.269 (yearly open and key resistance zone)
Stop-Loss: Above $0.285
Target: Support zone at $0.217-$0.222
Long Trade
Entry: Around $0.217-$0.222
Stop-Loss: Below $0.210.
Target: Retest of the previous lows at $0.235
R:R: 2:1, making it a decent trade.
BITCOIN vs GOLD Cycles. Yellow metal leads, BTC lags.In our early years as a channel we used to do a lot of analyses on the similarities of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Gold (XAUUSD) and how Gold Cycles could help predict BTC's future prices. The latter is called the 'digital Gold' after all.
Going back to our roots, we present to you today our latest cross-cycle comparison between the two assets, which offers interesting insights. As you can see, the Cycles of those two aren't always aligned. The correlation tends to end when Gold peaks and when it bottoms.
As you can see since 2018, when Gold starts a Bull Cycle, Bitcoin tends to lag behind, still being on its Bear Cycle. Then the two converge and correlate until Gold peaks and start its Bear Cycle. That is still relatively early for Bitcoin's bullish trend, which remains on its Bull Cycle, in fact has around 1 year ahead of it. As a result, the two start to diverge again.
Based on this model, it appears that Gold's Bull Cycle has peaked and Bitcoin is entering (black circle) its last stage of its Bull Cycle, with a Parabolic Rally being prepared. Still not too late to buy the 'Digital Gold' on this Cycle.
Do you agree with this correlation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through?
Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback.
The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment?
Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean
Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior.
January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal.
January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy.
January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal.
January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness.
January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term.
What Does This Mean for Traders?
Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down:
Support Levels:
94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory.
Resistance Levels:
100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally.
106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs.
Powerful Support Levels:
76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections.
67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong.
60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves.
28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements.
What Happens If Levels Break?
In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next.
Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis.
Core Concept: Trading with Rays
Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level.
Two Scenarios for Trading Rays
Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish:
First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level).
Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high.
If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets:
First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level).
Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone.
In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase.
Trade Opportunities Based on Rays
Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7.
Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7.
Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection.
Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606.
Key Insights for Traders
The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward.
Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision?
What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together
If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy.
My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs.
Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible.
Follow me here on TradingView to stay updated—this is where I share my ideas and insights regularly. Let’s trade smarter, together!
Bitcoin Eyes a Return to 102,767 Bullish Momentum BuildsBitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, forming a clear "W" pattern. After reclaiming the 96,847.70 level, it’s making its way back to retest the previous high of 102,767.35. This high, which was previously a key resistance, came after Bitcoin broke above the 100k psychological level. With the current structure, it looks like Bitcoin is gearing up for a move back to the high, and potentially beyond. Momentum is building watch closely!
Bitcoin's Bullish Head and Shoulders - New Trend Reversal? The Head and Shoulders pattern is traditionally a bearish signal, but I think there is a bullish case to be made if Bitcoin breaks out above the downward-sloping trendline (which it will!) it invalidates the bearish pattern and turns into a major breakout.
Here's why this scenario could be bullish:
When Bitcoin breaks above the Right Shoulder or the Head, it invalidates the bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. This will lead to a short squeeze as traders expecting a breakdown (short sellers) are forced to buy back their positions, fueling upward momentum.
The support area is very strong ($90k to $92.5k).
FOMO and US Bitcoin policies will fuel the breakout.
Continuation of the previous bull run and absorption of the increasing M2 money supply.
Let me know your thoughts!
2025-01-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market is in balance around 94k. Bulls want to test the bear trend line and bears want to get below 94000 to test 90000 again. Market is contracting so don’t make this more complicated as it years. Trade near the extremes and not too much in the middle.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 90000 - 101000
bull case: Bulls had their second leg up but it was weak and market then went sideways below 97k. They need a break above 97400 for more upside and their next obvious target is the big bear trend line, which probably not many expect to be broken on the next hit. They are still trading above the 1h ema, so they are in control and favored for more upside until we trade below it again.
Invalidation is below 89000.
bear case: Bears need to close a 1h bar below the ema to turn the market neutral again. If they can make 98000 resistance, it would show strength and I don’t think many bulls will hold on to longs if we can’t make it to 100k tomorrow/Thursday. Otherwise bears do not have much on the higher time frames since Monday was so bullish. I expect more bears to come around closer to 100k. Always ask yourself if you had to have a position right now, which side would it be and where would your stop be? Being a bear here is hard because your stop would have to be 103k and that’s 6k points. 1:1 r:r would need to hit 91k. Really not an ideal trade.
Invalidation is above 101000.
short term: Neutral 94k - 98k. Bulls are in control as long as we are above 94000. We are in an expanding triangle inside a bigger contracting triangle. Market is in breakout mode and we will probably see a breakout later this week or next.
medium-long term: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good.
current swing trade: Want to see market closer to the big bear trend line and then more selling pressure before new shorts.
trade of the day: Long since EU open was decent or any short near 9700 since market found no buyers above it. The long on EU open was because of strong momentum and a second leg up was expected after Yesterday’s very bullish price action. The 1h 20ema has not been touched at that point, which added to the strength of the bulls.