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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Quantum Computing - Why BTC isn't the biggest worryYou’ve probably heard that quantum computing could break Bitcoin’s encryption—and that’s true. But here’s the thing: Bitcoin might not even be the biggest target. The real risks? Financial systems, national security, healthcare, and even the internet itself. These areas rely on the same encryption methods that quantum computers could crack, and the fallout could be far worse than a Bitcoin hack. Let’s break it down. 1️⃣ Financial Systems: A Global Crisis Waiting to Happen Imagine if hackers could: Drain bank accounts at will. Manipulate stock markets. Fake trillion-dollar transactions. This isn’t just about stolen crypto—it’s about economic chaos. Banks, stock exchanges, and payment systems all depend on encryption. If quantum computers break it, we’re looking at a meltdown way bigger than Bitcoin’s $3 trillion market. 2️⃣ National Security & Internet Privacy: A Hacker’s Dream Governments and militaries use encryption to: Protect classified intelligence. Secure communications between leaders. Guard critical infrastructure (power grids, water supplies). If quantum computers crack these codes, entire nations could be exposed to cyberwarfare. Your private data? At risk too—email, messaging, even your online banking could be decrypted years later. 3️⃣ Healthcare, Supply Chains & IoT: The Hidden Vulnerabilities Medical records could be leaked, exposing sensitive health data. Smart devices (like home security systems) could be hacked. Supply chains might collapse if logistics networks are breached. These systems weren’t built with quantum threats in mind—and upgrading them won’t be easy. 🔴 The Bigger Picture: A "Civilizational Upgrade" Switching to quantum-resistant encryption is like rebuilding the internet’s foundation. It’s necessary, but messy. Some experts compare it to the Y2K bug—but way harder. 🔷 So, Is Bitcoin Safe? Not entirely—about 25% of all Bitcoin could be stolen if quantum computers advance fast enough. But compared to the risks facing banks, governments, and hospitals? Bitcoin might be the least of our worries. 🔷 What’s Next? Governments & companies are already working on fixes (like NIST’s post-quantum cryptography standards). The transition will take years—and hackers might exploit weak spots along the way. Staying informed is key. If you’re in tech, finance, or security, this affects you. ℹ️ Want to Dive Deeper? Deloitte’s take on quantum computing & Bitcoin Forbes on quantum risks beyond crypto 🤷‍♂️ Bottom line? Quantum computing is coming—and while Bitcoin has risks, the real danger lies in the systems we all depend on every day. ❔What do you think? Will we be ready in time? Let me know in the comments! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Profit_Through_Patience
28
What is the key that makes you start trading? Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts. Therefore, they are determined by Heikin-Ashi's Open, Close, and RSI values. If the RSI indicator value is above 70 when the candle starts to rise and then falls on the Heikin-Ashi chart, the HA-High indicator is generated. If the RSI indicator value is below 30 when the candle starts to rise and then falls on the Heikin-Ashi chart, the HA-Low indicator is generated. Therefore, rather than judging the rise and fall with your eyes, you can judge the rise and fall transitions with more specific criteria. If you look at a regular chart, you can see that there are many rise and fall transition points, unlike the Heikin-Ashi chart. The Heikin-Ashi chart has the effect of reducing fakes. Therefore, it has a higher reliability than judging with a regular chart. The biggest disadvantage of the Heikin-Ashi chart is that it is difficult to know the exact values ​​of the Open and Close values. Therefore, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators are used to accurately and quickly identify the Open and Close values ​​by indicating the rising and falling transition points of the Heikin-Ashi chart on a general chart. - The Heikin-Ashi chart uses the median. Therefore, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the median when it leaves the low range, and the HA-High indicator corresponds to the median when it leaves the high range. If the HA-Low indicator is generated and then receives support, there is a high possibility that an upward trend will begin, and if the HA-High indicator is generated and then receives resistance, there is a high possibility that a downward trend will begin. Therefore, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators are used in basic trading strategies. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if the HA-Low indicator resists and falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, and if the HA-High indicator supports and rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise rise. Therefore, to compensate for this, the DOM (60) and DOM (-60) indicators were used. The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM indicators. When these indicators are above 60 or below -60, the DOM (60) and DOM (-60) indicators are created. In other words, the DOM (60) indicator corresponds to the overbought range and indicates the end of the high point. The DOM (-60) indicator corresponds to the oversold range and indicates the end of the low point. Therefore, when the HA-Low indicator resists and falls, the actual stepwise decline is likely to start when it falls below DOM (-60). On the other hand, when the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, the actual step-up trend is likely to start by rising above DOM (60). This compensates for the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. - There is no way to be 100% sure in all transactions. Therefore, if the motivation to start a transaction is clear, it is only worth challenging the transaction. Finding that motivation and deciding how to start a transaction that suits your investment style is the trading strategy and the core of trading. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
2
Bitcoin Dominance, RSI Bearish Divergence & Decreasing VolumeThis is a classic signal and we are going to be looking at it on two different timeframes, daily and weekly. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is producing a strong bearish divergence with the RSI. The weekly timeframe is very pronounced and I will show you the details below. This type of signal tends to support a change of trend. It appears before the reversal happens but sometimes it can take years before it goes into effect. » BTC.D Weekly RSI Here you can see the RSI peaked October 2023. Then a lower high October 2024, then again in April 2025 and finally last month. As the RSI produces lower highs BTC.D is producing higher highs. This signal is supported by decreasing volume. Bitcoin Dominance continues to climb higher while trading volume continues to drop. Both signal support a change of trend soon and together they become stronger. » BTC.D Daily RSI The daily RSI peaked June 2023 but we will focus on the short-term as we already have a strong signal coming from the weekly. Here we have a peak in May 2025 and a strong lower high in June. Needless to say, BTC.D peaked 27-June thus the divergence but the action is clearly weak. » Bitcoin daily There is a long-term rising wedge on the weekly timeframe and this pattern can also support a reversal. All these signals are bearish but not very strong, still, there is some weakness on the bearish side for this index. This means that the action can turn bearish tomorrow or it can continue rising for weeks or months before turning red. These signals are pointing to a reversal but they do not give us a specific date. Can happen next week, next month or in seven months. If we focus on the altcoins, the way they are looking and how long will it take for them to grow, then this index can turn bearish within 2-4 weeks. Bitcoin will also grow as the altcoins market grow. Everything Crypto will grow in late 2025. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
14
Bitcoin Dominance Daily Bullish Altcoins ConfirmedThere is an interesting signal here on the daily Bitcoin Dominance index chart. Four days red. This signal has not happen since February and it is most certainly bearish. After 26-June the index went red four days after hitting the highest reading since January 2021. This highest reading ended up producing a rounded top and the action moved back below the 7-May top which was the previous highest reading since 2021. Now notice the purple line on the chart. This is the 7-May peak price. Yesterday, BTC.D was trading above this level but moved below today. The candle ended as a Doji, lower high and today turning bearish signals growing bearish momentum. You can check the weekly timeframe for additional signals including the MACD and RSI. You can find it by visiting my profile @MasterAnanda (Make sure to follow.) In November 2024 BTC.D went extremely bearish and the entire altcoins market produced a major advance; Bitcoin also moved forward, the same can happen today. It is not certain the specific date, can be tomorrow, in a weeks time or within months... What is certain is that the bullish wave won't last as little as in April-May 2025 nor November-December 2024, both instances lasted only one month, this time around the bullish wave can last between 3-6 months. Some pairs will grow straight up for months. Others will experience strong volatility but with a bullish bias. Marketwide bullish action. Bitcoin and the altcoins. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
3
Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th. The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6. It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart. For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators. Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed. What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point. - It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart. Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period. If not, it will eventually show a downward trend. As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator. Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend. Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction. Conditions for continuing the uptrend include: 1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend, 2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line, 3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend, If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue. - If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important. If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21. If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline. The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section. Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 1 (2018–2020)It all started in 2018... 🎬 🧱📈💼 March 21, 2018: Jerome Powell steps in as the new Fed Chair. Almost immediately, the Fed hikes rates from 1.50% to 1.75%, citing a strong U.S. economy. 💬📊🇺🇸 June 13, 2018: Another hike to 2.00%. Powell says the U.S. economy is “in great shape.” But markets? Not so thrilled. 🗣️📉🇺🇸 July 19, 2018: Enter The Orangeman—President Trump publicly attacks the Fed's policy, breaking tradition. He’s “not thrilled” with the hikes. 📉🏦 September 26, 2018: Yet another hike to 2.25%. The Fed stays firm. Trump? Getting louder. ❗😠💬 "I'm not happy with the Fed." – Trump ⚠️📉📉 December 19, 2018: Fourth hike of the year to 2.50%. Markets tank. Rumors swirl: Trump wants Powell gone. 🔥💣👔 Behind the scenes: Trump reportedly explores ways to dismiss Powell. The pressure is on. 📛🇺🇸📉 June 10, 2019: The battle heats up. Trump calls the hikes a “big mistake” and demands rate cuts. ✂️📉📉 July 31, 2019: Powell blinks. The Fed cuts rates by 0.25%—first cut since 2008. Trump tweets: 👎🐦💸 “Powell let us down.” ⬇️📉🔁 September 18, 2019: Second cut. ⚖️🔁🧩 October 30, 2019: Third consecutive cut. The Fed pivots completely. The Orangeman’s influence is undeniable. 🦠🧪📉 March 2020: COVID strikes. The Fed responds with emergency rate cuts. 🌀🧻💸 March 15 & 23, 2020: Rates slashed to near zero. QE infinity unleashed. Powell goes full printer mode. Bitcoin begins to stir... Season 1 closes with markets melting down, a pandemic, and the Fed surrendering to zero rates. But The Orangeman isn’t done... And The Federal Reverse still lurks in the shadows. Next up: tariffs, China, currency wars, and another campaign trail. 🐉💵⚔️ Season 2 is coming. Stay tuned... One tweets. The other tightens. Who controls our future? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
3
Bitcoin Monthly · New ATH vs 2021, Indicators & MoreLast month Bitcoin produced its highest close ever, $107,146. The last three months all closed green, the close was higher than the open, and this is the fourth green month so far. Bitcoin tends to produce a period of bullish consolidation before a major move, and this is exactly what we are seeing now. Bitcoin tends to produce a correction before a major bullish move, and this is exactly what happened between January and April. Bitcoin is set to grow. Past action · consolidation We already looked at the consolidation period that happens between each major price advance. Since 2022, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for some 200-220 days before each advance. This happened in 2022, 2023, 2024 and also now in 2025. Looking at it from the monthly timeframe, the consolidation period was capped each time at 7 bars, 214 days. Current consolidation has already been going for more than 215 days. Bitcoin is set to continue growing. Indicators · MAs, RSI & MACD Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages. The monthly RSI is very strong, beyond 70.6. The monthly MACD is moving at all-time high levels, trending up with room available for additional growth. Chart patterns · candlestick reading The chart patterns now has no similarities to 2021. Many people were saying that Bitcoin produced a double-top similar to 2021 and was set to move down. I completely disagree with this analysis. In 2021 both instances when Bitcoin peaked the month ended up closing red. In 2025 the months when Bitcoin peaked the months ended closing green. The same month the peak was hit in 2021 was followed by bearish action, twice. And of course, the bear market. In 2025 the market has been consolidating for months and trading near its all-time high. Finally, in 2021 each peak was 7 months apart, 214. In 2025, the last two peaks are 4 months apart, only 120 days. This difference is good to point out because market conditions are not the same. Not the same market conditions means that Bitcoin is not likely to go into a bear market now, instead, it can produce something difference. The market has only three directions: Down, sideways and up. Down has been eliminated based on past action. Sideways is happening now. Something different only leaves the upside open; Bitcoin is going up. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
5
BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL - Markets are Ready to PUMP Again! At the 4th of July, the Independence Day, the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" was signed into law by President Trump. In this idea I want to take a closer look at some points of this law and explain why I consider it VERY bullish for most of financial markets, and especially for crypto. Here are some key points of the law: Raises the U.S. debt ceiling by $5 trillion, the largest single increase in U.S. history Makes many Trump-era 2017 tax cuts permanent: keeps lower individual tax rates, preserves expanded standard deduction, retains corporate tax rate at 21% Introduces new tax breaks: increases Child Tax Credit, exempts tips, overtime, and Social Security from federal income tax (with limitations) Adds ~$150 billion to defense and another $150 billion toward border enforcement, including massive ICE budget increase Trims SNAP food aid by ~$186–200 billion, tightening eligibility (e.g. raising work‑requirement age) What changes can happen in the economy? Big tax breaks combined with increased expenses cause the growth of financial deficit, the projected by CBO deficit can reach $3 trillion. In this situation the only solution is increasing the national debt which makes Interest Rates climb higher (Yale’s Budget Lab forecasts a 1.2 pp increase in the 10‑year yield). Why do I think this is bullish for most of stocks and mainly for crypto? The increase of debt ceiling has always had a positive impact on the crypto and namely on $BTC. The best example is Fiscal Responsibility Act that was signed back in June 5, 2023. This act increased the debt ceiling for +$4.7 billion, after that Bitcoin surged upwards from $25,000 to $75,000 in ~half a year. Similar outcome can be expected now too. Market perceives U.S. fiscal loosening as inflationary and dollar-weakening, making Bitcoin (as a decentralized and limited-supply asset) more attractive. TVC:DXY has already shown signs of weakness. Large deficits often force future monetary easing or Fed bond buying to absorb debt. Lower interest rates and more liquidity are historically bullish for risk assets, including crypto. Rising yields and bond sell-offs spook traditional markets. In this situation, Bitcoin becomes an attractive uncorrelated hedge for portfolios amid volatility in traditional assets. To sum up , I believe the Big Beautiful Law is, to put it mildly, not good for US economy. However, local effects on stock & crypto markets can be considered positive for investors & traders. With this said, I believe we can expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to reach $150,000 goal this year and mark this milestone as an ATH for the current bull cycle.
BNC:BLXLong
by RobertMercer
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner) • Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years • Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD • Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history • New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets • Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history Possible Reasons for the Move • Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security • Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered • Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off • Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms • Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs • Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup • OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale • Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market • Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction Market Reaction • COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move • ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment. • What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling Near term support & resistance $106000 support $109500 first resistance 👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍 Best Reguards MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MartyBoots
43
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #122👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the latest analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indicators. As usual, this update will focus on potential triggers for the New York futures session. ⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is once again ranging between the 107,853 and 108,619 levels. ✔️ Last night, Bitcoin briefly faked out below the bottom of this range, so we now need to wait and see how the price reacts upon revisiting this area. 💫 I believe it’s best to hold off on entering a short position until we identify the precise location of the support line. As price retests this area, we can pinpoint the true support level. ✨ Once that level is confirmed, and if it breaks, a short position could be considered. The next support zones would be at 106,586 and 105,370. 📊 Make sure to watch the volume closely for this trade, and I strongly recommend waiting for a volume confirmation before entering. 📈 As for a long position, if 108,619 breaks to the upside, we could consider going long. The buying volume in the current upward leg is increasing, and if this trend continues, a breakout above 108,619 would make a long position reasonable. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Moving on to Bitcoin dominance — it has once again reached its trendline and is currently being rejected from it. If this rejection continues, BTC.D could decline toward 65.04. 🔍 However, if the trendline breaks, the 65.31 level will be the bullish confirmation trigger. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now on to the Total2 index (altcoin market cap excluding BTC), it has bounced from the 1.14 support and is moving toward 1.16. 🔑 A breakout above 1.16 would serve as a bullish confirmation for long positions, with 1.17 acting as the main breakout trigger. 📅 USDT.D Analysis USDT dominance is also moving downward and has reached the 4.78 support zone. 💥 A breakdown below this level would confirm a bearish continuation toward the 4.72 level.. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
4
BITCOIN Is there enough time for another parabolic rally?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is practically consolidating on the short-term, having just recently been rejected off its new All Time High (ATH). Despite the short-term volatility, the long-term outlook is still a very strong, structured uptrend, a Channel Up pattern that is now technically aiming for its next Higher High. Incredibly enough, this Channel Up since the November 2022 market bottom, has been almost entirely within the Buy Zone (green) of the Fibonacci Channel Up going back all the way to April 2013! As you can see during the previous two Cycles, every time BTC got above that Buy Zone, it started a parabolic rally. So far, we haven't got such rally on the current Cycle and with time running out (assuming the 4-year Cycle model continues to hold), do you think we will get one this time around? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
16
Bitcoin Daily, Mixed Situation · Bitcoin vs Altcoins · Not MixedI came with the intention of doing an update on the weekly timeframe, the chart doesn't look great. Here we are looking at Bitcoin daily and once more the situation is mixed to say the least. It is hard to predict with exactitude with such a chart. In this case, we have to look for clues in other places. The altcoins. But before we go there let's consider a few of the actualities that are present on the Bitcoin chart. Bitcoin price action Mixed or not mixed, the action continues to happen at resistance against all odds; this is bullish. Bitcoin is trading safely above $106-$107,000 daily, and this is also bullish. Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages we track and nothing is more bullish than that. MA200 sits around $96,000. EMA55 at $104,700 and EMA13 at $107,700. Bitcoin will be bullish regardless as long as it trades above these levels and at a such strong price. So the mixed part is only psychological. It is mixed because people are afraid of a drop or want to see it drop. It is bullish based on the actual numbers and the chart. The altcoins market vs Bitcoin Some altcoins are breaking up today two to three digits green. Those good old reputable projects. This wouldn't be happening preceding a major bearish wave. Such strong action on the altcoins tends to precede a major bull market. Last week there were other pairs breaking really strong, the previous week another group, this week a new group and so on. Slowly but surely the low prices are disappearing but this isn't still a marketwide occurrence, we can see/say that the market is in no hurry. Another relationship between Bitcoin and the altcoins relates to how many are behaving; when Bitcoin is about to crash, the altcoins tend to crash really strong and fast. The altcoins don't wait and just go down and continue diving deep if Bitcoin is about to produce a major crash. But this isn't the case, many altcoins are already at bottom prices but not based on a crash but a very slow and drawn out retrace. From these lows they are recovering strong. When Bitcoin is bullish, sideways with a strong price within a bull market, the altcoins tend to grow. It is the same signal looked at from a different perspective. These altcoins are telling us that behind the scenes Bitcoin is bullish and we know Bitcoin is bullish because it is trading above $107,000. A bullish continuation is the next logical step. Thank you for reading. Boost if you agree. Namaste.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #121👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see on the 1-hour timeframe, the upward move Bitcoin made yesterday turned out to be a fakeout, and the price is now heading downward. ⚡️ I’m not moving the 108619 line for now. I’ll wait to see if the price reacts to it again in the future, then decide whether to adjust it. ✅ Currently, if the 107853 level breaks, we can enter a short position. We already have volume confirmation, and if this increase in volume continues, we could see a sharp downward move. 📈 Next support levels for Bitcoin in this timeframe are 106586 and 105370, which can be used as targets. ✨ If Bitcoin starts moving upward again, the long trigger remains the 110256 level. A breakout here would mark the beginning of a true uptrend. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance continued its downward move today, dropping close to the 65.04 level. 🔼 We’re currently seeing a reaction at this level, suggesting some support. A break below 65.04 could trigger a strong downtrend. 📅 Total2 Analysis This index is still in an uptrend but showing significant weakness. It’s currently sitting on key support at 1.15. ⚡️ A break below this level could give us a short position. Additional support levels are 1.14 and 1.13. For a long position, the only trigger we have right now is 1.17. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Looking at Tether dominance, it’s still hovering around the 4.78 level. After a brief fakeout below, it has returned above that zone. 📊 If this level breaks again, Tether dominance could move down toward 4.72. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
3
Bitcoin - The ultimate breakdown for 2025/2026Welcome to my channel and this analysis. In this analysis I will dive deep in the current Bitcoin’s bullmarket. I will examine charts from the monthly, weekly, daily and 4H charts, and also on chain data. This will be a complete insight in Bitcoin’s price. ------------------------ Monthly timeframe Logarithmic BTC chart This chart presents a long-term logarithmic analysis of Bitcoin using monthly candles, covering the period from around 2013 to mid-2025. The structure is defined by two major curved lines representing a logarithmic resistance and support channel, which frames Bitcoin's price movement over more than a decade. These lines form a dynamic, upward-sloping price corridor, capturing Bitcoin's historically exponential price behavior and cyclical nature. The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale to better reflect percentage-based changes, which is critical when analyzing an asset like Bitcoin that has grown from under $100 to over $100,000 in just a few years. The chart displays clear multi-year cycles. The first notable cycle begins in 2013, followed by a significant correction in 2014–2015. A new bullish phase emerges between 2016 and 2018, peaking near $20,000. This is followed by a crash into 2018. A longer accumulation period precedes the 2020–2021 rally, which reaches a high around $69,000 before another sharp decline. From the bottom in late 2022 or early 2023, Bitcoin begins another uptrend, forming a steep rise along a newly established bullmarket support trendline. This trendline represents a more aggressive, linear support structure within the broader logarithmic curve, showing the strong momentum driving the current bull phase. By July 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $108,000, advancing steadily toward the upper boundary of the long-term logarithmic resistance. A key element of this chart is the target level marked at approximately $150,000, which aligns closely with the point where the current trajectory intersects the upper logarithmic resistance. This zone has been highlighted as a likely area of interest, possibly signaling a market top or at least significant resistance, based on Bitcoin's past behavior. Historically, Bitcoin has tended to reverse sharply or consolidate after reaching this upper boundary, making the target zone an area of potential distribution or heightened volatility. The bullmarket support trendline serves as a short- to medium-term structure within the larger logarithmic channel. As long as price holds above this line, the current bullish structure remains intact. A breakdown below this trendline could indicate a loss of momentum and trigger a broader correction. The use of logarithmic trendlines underscores Bitcoin’s tendency to move in exponential growth cycles, shaped by macroeconomic trends, halving events, and adoption waves. The resistance and support boundaries function as dynamic guides for long-term expectations rather than rigid barriers. The stoch RSI crosses This chart provides a technical overview of Bitcoin on a monthly timeframe using candlestick analysis and the Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) oscillator to distinguish between bull and bear market phases. The Stochastic RSI, shown at the bottom of the chart, is a momentum oscillator derived from the RSI rather than price directly, making it particularly useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in trending markets. The key thresholds are the 80 level at the top and the 20 level at the bottom, which respectively indicate overbought and oversold zones. The chart spans from 2017 to mid-2025, clearly separating bull and bear markets using vertical red lines and labeled annotations. Each major cycle aligns with movements in the Stoch RSI indicator. Notably, crosses above the 80 line (into overbought territory) are often associated with late-stage bull market tops or strong bullish continuations. Crosses below the 20 line (into oversold territory) typically align with bear market bottoms or the start of new accumulation phases. Starting with the December 2017 peak, the Stoch RSI crossed above the 80 level, reaching extreme overbought territory. This cross occurred at the height of that bull cycle, signaling a likely exhaustion of momentum. Not long after this peak, the market entered a bear phase, confirmed by the downward cross of the Stoch RSI below the 80 level, and eventually below 20, leading into the 2018–2019 bear market. By August 2019, the Stoch RSI crossed below the 20 level, signaling oversold conditions. Although this did not immediately launch a new bull market, it did suggest the market was bottoming out. This was followed by a gradual recovery and another decisive upward cross above 80 around April 2021, right in the midst of the strong 2020–2021 bull run. That cross confirmed the continuation of upward momentum and coincided with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs. As the price peaked in late 2021 and early 2022, the Stoch RSI again turned downward and dropped below the 20 threshold, marking another prolonged bear market. This downtrend was confirmed as the oscillator remained suppressed in the oversold zone for most of 2022. The Stoch RSI is now moving again towards the overbought territory. This means that bulls have the control in the market and likely to push higher. RSI with the consolidation and resistance trendline This chart presents a broader monthly view of Bitcoin's price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI), revealing a compelling structural alignment between price momentum and long-term resistance dynamics. At the top of the chart, the candlestick pattern shows a clear upward trend spanning across multiple market cycles. A long-term resistance trendline has been drawn that connects the major highs from the two previous bull markets, specifically the peaks in late 2017 and late 2021. This resistance line acts as an upper boundary to the macro trend and, so far, the current price action in 2025 has not yet tested this long-term resistance. In fact, while Bitcoin has recently reached above $100,000, it remains below the ascending resistance trendline, suggesting that there could still be room for price to move higher before encountering the next major overhead challenge. The structure implies a potential upward continuation if momentum sustains, and the price may attempt to test this historical trendline in the near future. Below the price chart, the RSI indicator offers additional insight into the underlying strength of this move. A descending RSI trendline connects the previous overbought peaks from 2017 and 2021, forming a macro resistance trendline in momentum that mirrors the structure seen in price. This declining RSI resistance has not yet been reached in the current cycle, implying that momentum still has space to grow before hitting a potential exhaustion point. The RSI is currently capped within a relatively tight consolidation box, with values fluctuating between the mid-60s and low-70s. 200W SMA crosses above the previous ATH This chart illustrates the long-term price action of Bitcoin, focusing on the relationship between the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) and previous all-time highs (ATHs). Historically, when the 200-week SMA crosses above the previous cycle’s ATH, it has coincided with periods near the cycle tops. For example, in December 2017 and January 2022, the 200-week SMA moved above the prior ATH, which closely aligned with significant market peaks. In the current cycle, however, the 200-week SMA has not yet crossed above the previous ATH from 2021, which is around $68,889.04. This is notable because, in past cycles, this crossover has typically marked the later stages of a bull run. The fact that this crossover has not yet occurred suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to move higher before reaching a new cycle top. However, it is important to recognize that this does not guarantee further upward movement. Even if Bitcoin’s price consolidates or moves sideways for an extended period, the 200-week SMA will gradually rise due to its lagging nature and could eventually cross above the previous ATH without a significant price rally. Lets now move to the weekly charts and analyse where we are. ------------------------ Weekly timeframe Support and resistance trendlines This chart shows Bitcoin’s price action on a weekly timeframe, highlighting three key trendlines. Two resistance trendlines are drawn from the peaks of the last two major cycles, forming an upper boundary for price action. These lines act as potential resistance zones, indicating areas where previous rallies have topped out and where the current price could face selling pressure if it approaches these levels again. Additionally, there is a clearly defined rising trendline that serves as bull market support. This trendline has been respected throughout the current cycle, connecting the higher lows since the market bottomed out in late 2022. As long as Bitcoin’s price continues to hold above this bull market support trendline, the overall bullish structure remains intact. This suggests that the uptrend is still healthy and that corrections or pullbacks, as long as they stay above this line, are part of a normal, sustainable bull market. If the price were to break below this support, it could signal a shift in market sentiment and potentially a deeper correction. For now, maintaining support on this trendline is a positive sign for the ongoing bull market. Bearish divergence The chart shows that Bitcoin has formed three consecutive price peaks, with each new high surpassing the previous one. This indicates that, from a price perspective, the market has maintained its upward momentum over this period. However, when looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the price chart, a different pattern emerges. Each time the price has made a new high, the RSI has registered a lower high, resulting in a clear bearish divergence. This is visually reinforced by the downsloping trendline that can be drawn across the RSI highs, in contrast to the uptrend in price. Bearish divergence between price and RSI, as seen here, often signals underlying weakness in the buying momentum, even as price continues to rise. It suggests that each successive rally is being driven by less enthusiasm or participation from buyers. Given this setup, it is possible that the RSI could revisit the downsloping trendline in the near future. If this occurs, the price might make a marginally higher high, potentially forming a third peak slightly above the current level. This would maintain the divergence and could act as a warning sign for traders to be cautious about the sustainability of the current uptrend. Stoch RSI This chart presents the weekly price action of Bitcoin alongside the Stochastic RSI indicator. What stands out is the clear cyclical pattern in the Stoch RSI, where it tends to reach oversold levels roughly once every half year. These oversold readings have historically aligned with significant local bottoms in the price, signaling favorable buying opportunities for traders and investors. After reaching these low points, the Stoch RSI typically trends upward, eventually entering the overbought zone. When the Stoch RSI enters overbought territory, as it does several times on this chart, it often coincides with local price peaks. These moments serve as warnings that the market may be overheated in the short term, and traders should be cautious about opening new long positions. The overbought readings suggest that a pullback or period of consolidation could be imminent, as the market works off excess bullish momentum. Currently, the Stoch RSI is once again in the overbought zone. This suggests that Bitcoin may be vulnerable to a further pullback or at least a pause in its upward movement. While this does not guarantee an immediate reversal, it does mean that risk is elevated. Failed breakout/liquidity grab This weekly Bitcoin chart illustrates a strong and consistent uptrend that has been developing since late 2023. Each major move begins with a clear breakout above previous consolidation zones, followed by a retest of the broken resistance, which then acts as support, confirming the trend's strength. These retests tend to hold well, setting up for new bullish impulses. In the earlier stages, we see BTC breaking out of a range around the $48,851 support level. After a successful retest of that zone, the price surged and entered a new consolidation phase just below $73,643. A second breakout occurred from this level, again followed by a retest that confirmed it as a new support level. This pattern reflects textbook bullish market structure: breakout, retest, and continuation. However, the current price action shows something different. BTC has returned to its previous high around the $109,301 resistance level. Unlike the previous times, where strong bullish candles closed above resistance, this attempt has only pierced above the level with a wick, indicating potential exhaustion or hesitation. The highlighted label "Failed breakouts / Liquidity grab" suggests that these wick movements may have been attempts to trigger stop orders and gather liquidity before a possible retracement. Now we will dive deep into the daily timeframe. ------------------------ Daily timeframe Resistance, bullflag and Stoch RSI This daily chart of Bitcoin reveals a period of consolidation just below a key resistance zone, which aligns with the previous all-time high area. BTC has been ranging within this red-marked resistance block, showing clear hesitation from buyers to push beyond it with conviction. During this consolidation, a well-formed bull flag structure appeared, a bullish continuation pattern, signaling potential for further upside. The breakout from this bull flag occurred earlier this week, providing initial bullish confirmation as price pushed briefly above the upper boundary of the flag. However, the breakout lacked follow-through. Instead of sustaining momentum and closing decisively above resistance, BTC appears to have experienced a fake-out, with price now retracing back inside the prior range. This failed breakout is particularly notable given the context of the Stochastic RSI indicator, which is currently in the overbought zone. ------------------------ 4H timeframe 4H FVG and liquidity grab This 4-hour chart of Bitcoin shows a clear structure where price has recently formed an equal high around the $110,612 level. Equal highs are often seen as zones where liquidity builds up, since many stop-loss orders from short positions typically rest just above them. This makes the area particularly attractive for a potential liquidity grab. At the moment, BTC appears to be in a short-term retracement phase after rejecting from this equal high region. During this move, price left behind a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a zone of inefficiency where price moved too quickly to fill orders. This FVG is now acting as a potential support zone. The chart suggests that BTC may revisit this FVG to rebalance before making another attempt to break through the equal highs. If BTC can hold the FVG and generate upward momentum, a move above the equal highs becomes more likely. In that case, the resting liquidity just above those highs could be targeted, leading to a quick wick or breakout move before price potentially reverses again. ------------------------ Liquidation heatmap 1 month This Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap clearly shows that the majority of the liquidity is stacked to the upside. The bright yellow and green bands, which represent areas of high liquidation potential and leverage exposure, are heavily concentrated just above the current price levels, especially around the $111,000 to $114,000 zone. This indicates that many traders have short positions with stop-losses placed above these highs, making them prime targets for potential liquidation events. As price moves closer to these high-liquidity zones, the probability increases that market participants, particularly larger players or algorithms, may push BTC upwards to trigger those stops and liquidate those positions. 1 week The current price is hovering around the $108,000 range, with clear liquidity clusters forming both below and above this level. What stands out is the dense liquidation zone just below the current price, this suggests that many traders have placed long positions with stop-losses slightly under this support range. These positions create an opportunity for a liquidity sweep, where price briefly dips down to trigger liquidations, fill larger buy orders, and shake out weaker hands. After such a sweep, the heatmap shows an even larger cluster of liquidation liquidity sitting just above the highs, especially around the $110,000 to $114,000 region. This is likely composed of stop-losses from short positions and breakout traders who entered too early. The concentration of liquidity here creates a strong incentive for price to target this zone after clearing the downside liquidity. ------------------------ Fear and greed index Today The Fear and greed today is at 66, meaning greed. This level suggests that market sentiment is optimistic, but not yet euphoric or irrational. In practice, it often means buyers are confident, and there’s still room for price continuation before we enter extreme greed territory 1 year chart This chart displays the Crypto Fear & Greed Index over time, offering a visual representation of sentiment cycles in the Bitcoin market. When examining the past year, you can see how sentiment has recovered significantly from the fear zone (below 30), especially from late 2024 into early 2025. This shift in sentiment aligned with BTC's price climbing back toward previous highs, indicating that sentiment is responding directly to price structure and bullish momentum. ------------------------ BTC exchange reserve This chart, sourced from CryptoQuant, provides a clear visualization of the relationship between Bitcoin’s exchange reserves (blue line) and BTC price (white line), over a multi-year period. The key insight is the rapid and consistent decline in Bitcoin held on exchanges, especially noticeable from mid-2023 onward. From around 2022, the amount of BTC on exchanges remained relatively stable. However, beginning in late 2022 and accelerating through 2023 into 2025, we see a shart and uninterrupted drop in exchange reserves. This ongoing withdrawal trend typically signals accumulation behavior by investors. When BTC is withdrawn from exchanges and moved into cold storage or long-term wallets, it often reflects growing conviction among holders that price will rise and they don’t intend to sell in the short term. ------------------------ Final thoughts This is a complete Bitcoin analysis for the community with a top-down analysis! I have worked out a complete insight in the Bitcoin price with different analysis and on-chain data. I would be excited if you boost, comment and share the analysis with your friends for the work that I have put in this analysis for everyone.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Youriverse
64
BTC — Weekend Pump Fades.. All Eyes on the Gartley Reversal ZoneBitcoin has been consolidating in a tight range between $110K and $105K over the past two weeks. This weekend’s attempted breakout stalled out quickly! BTC was rejected at the Point of Control (POC) of the previous range and came close to the 0.786 retracement of the recent drop. 🧠 Reminder: Weekend pumps are notorious for being unreliable, especially without strong volume. Now, the charts point toward something much more structured — a potential Gartley harmonic pattern forming, with multiple levels of confluence suggesting the next key decision zone is just around the corner. 🧩 Gartley Completion Zone: $106,290–$106,400 This price zone is loaded with confluence: ✅ 0.786 Fib retracement of the XA leg sits at $106,290 ✅ 1.0 trend-based Fib extension of the BC leg is at $106,370 ✅ Anchored VWAP from all-time high aligns precisely at $106,370 ✅ VAL (Value Area Low) sits at the same level ✅ Imbalance (Fair Value Gap) from earlier price inefficiency lies in this exact region All of this stacks up into a high-probability reaction zone. 🎓 Educational Insight: How to Trade a Gartley Harmonic The Gartley pattern is one of the most powerful harmonic setups — a structured form of retracement and extension that captures exhaustion before reversals. Here's how it works: 🔹 XA: Impulse leg 🔹 AB: Retracement of 61.8% of XA 🔹 BC: Retraces 38.2%–88.6% of AB 🔹 CD: Extends to 78.6% retracement of XA and aligns with a 1.0–1.272 Fib extension of BC 🟢 Point D is the entry zone — your reversal opportunity. 📉 Stop-loss sits just below invalidation (Point X). 💰 Targets usually lie at 0.382 and 0.618 of the CD leg. 🔎 Why It Works: It traps late traders and captures price exhaustion at natural Fibonacci ratios. Combined with other tools — like VWAP, liquidity zones, and order flow — it becomes a high-conviction strategy. These patterns are most effective on higher timeframes like 4H or daily. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by SiDec
4
XAU/USD : Get Ready for Another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected from our previous analysis, when the price was trading around $3327, it climbed to the supply zone at $3345. After reaching this key level, strong selling pressure emerged, leading to a sharp drop in gold today down to $3296. This move played out exactly as anticipated, and now, if the price stabilizes below $3330, we could expect further downside pressure on gold. The Main Analysis :
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
2