BTC Daily Bullish Pennant FormationThis is the daily chart for BTC/USD. BTC appears to be trading inside a triangle after a large bullish impulse. Price is currently trying to regain the 50 simple moving average (yellow line). If BTC breaks the 50 day simple moving average, I expect the price to break out of the pennant forming and test higher highs. RSI is nuetral at 52 at time time of publishing. Price action has maintained candle closes on the daily above 92k.
Target for the next leg up is the 1.618 extension from the most recent High to swing low. This would put the PA around 120k.
NFA, do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD: This is a consolidation and we've seen it before.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.151, MACD = -617.400, ADX = 24.376) as it hasn't escaped the right range it's been trading in since late December. The 1W MACD has converged but hasn't made the Cross yet and as long as it doesn't, based on the time cycles, this is most likely a short consolidation that has happened almost exactly during the same time both in January 2024 and 2023. When the 1W MACD made the Bearish Cross, we had the long consolidation phases. By next week we should see this consolidation break to the upside. Our target is the same with the early 2024 breakout, a +195% rise from the bottom (TP = 150,000).
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BTC | FRACTAL | Fractal that leads to new ETH ATHBitcoin has been trading stable around 95K, a good indication that the bull run still has some more cards to play for altcoins.
Ethereum, Doge and SOL for example have not yet made new all time high's, indicating that the bullish cycle is far from over.
There's a saying that leads something like "it's not over until someone sings" - well, in this case, the bullish cycle is not over until Ethereum makes a new ATH.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTCUSD BITCOIN CRYPTO Short US inflation is due to back Fed pause after robust jobs data
Bonds stabilize after rout triggered by bets on fewer Fed cuts
Wall Street Sees Dollar Rallying Further as Trump Enters Stage
Bonds and Treasuries skyrocket
Inflation heating
FED possible interest rates hikes,but no cuts
Is the Distribution Phase Coming to an End?Hey there, traders! 🖐🏼
Let’s talk about distribution—a critical phase in the market cycle that often signals a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. If You’ve been following Bitcoin’s price action since late 2024, You’ve probably noticed some classic signs of distribution. Let’s dive into what’s happening and how it might shape the market’s next big move!
What is Distribution?
Distribution is a phase where large players (whales, institutions) gradually offload their holdings to retail traders at higher prices. It typically occurs after a strong uptrend, as the market begins to lose upward momentum.
Here’s how distribution looks on the chart:
Sideways Movement: The price trades in a range after a strong rally.
Lower Highs: Each attempt to break higher fails, forming a descending resistance line.
Deccreasing Volume: Buyers lose steam, and trading activity starts to decline.
False Breakouts: The price temporarily breaks above resistance but quickly reverses, trapping late buyers.
Each upward move has been accompanied by lower volumes, suggesting a lack of buyer conviction.
What Comes Next?
If Bitcoin breaks below $90K with strong volume, we could see a sharp move lower, potentially targeting the $84K–$86K range. This would confirm the start of the markdown phase, where prices decline as sellers dominate the market.
Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment. Whether the price breaks down into a markdown phase or rebounds into a new uptrend depends on how it behaves around these key levels.
As always, patience is key! Remember to manage Your risk and trade responsibly!
What do You think? Are we nearing the end of the distribution phase, or is Bitcoin gearing up for a bounce? Let me know in the comments!
Happy trading!
Your Kateryna💋
Tesla Is Driving Bitcoin Price HigherWe talked about a strong positive correlation between Tesla and Bitcoin in the past and now that Tesla is extending strongly higher, Bitcoin is following, of course. Both of them slowed down recently, but notice that Tesla made only a three-wave ABC corrective decline in wave (4) that can now resume its bullish trend for wave (5), so Bitcoin could follow sooner or later.
Basic Impulsive Bullish Pattern should be made by five waves. It shows that Tesla and Bitcoin could be trading in wave (4) correction before a continuation higher for wave (5).
Bitcoin long awaited correctionIf you look at previous years, January has always been bearish. January 2025 is no different. After a long bull run since the latest halving Bitcoin required a correction to gain more liquidity and shake out margin longs. After that it should follow somewhat similar continuation pattern.
Long term prediction stays the same
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Descending Scallop Pattern!!!As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) again attacked the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
Bitcoin is trying to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) . What do you think? Can Bitcoin finally break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) or not!?
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be in the next five downward waves after completing the corrective pattern , and these five waves can break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin is forming a Descending Scallop Pattern to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , which can cause the break of this heavy zone .
Looking at the chart of USTD.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), we can see the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern that can cause USTD.D% to increase , which in turn causes Bitcoin and other tokens to decrease .
I expect Bitcoin to soon break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) given the above description, and Bitcoin will fall to the Targets I have specified on my chart.
My medium-term view of Bitcoin on the chart I shared with you on January 7, 2025. 👇
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $94,500, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️.
⚠️Note: There is a possibility that Bitcoin will drop sharply and make a long shadow.⚠️.
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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HelenP. I Bitcoin can make small move up and then drop to $90KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the resistance 1, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once rebounded and started to grow. BTC in a short time rose to a 2nd resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then made at once small correction. After this movement, BTC turned around, quickly broke the 97300 level, and even rose slightly higher than the resistance zone. Price so long trades near this area and later made impulse up to trend line. When it reached this line, BTC turned around and started to decline inside the pennant pattern. In this pattern, Bitcoin soon broke the 97300 resistance level, made a retest, and continued to decline to resistance 1. After the price reached the 93200 level, it broke it and fell to low points of the pennant (91185) after which it turned around and quickly rebounded up, breaking the 1st resistance level one more time. Next, the price some time traded near this level and then reached the trend line, after which it dropped back. Recently, the price broke the 93200 level one more time, thereby exiting from the pennant and now I expect that BTCUSDT will make a small movement up and then continue to decline. For this case, I set my goal at 90000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Ctk/UsdtBINANCE:CTKUSDT
"CTK price is currently at 0.02078 🪙. If the price holds here, the next resistance levels are:
🔝 0.02400
🔝 0.02856
🔝 0.0300
If the price doesn’t hold, the potential support levels to watch are:
🛑 0.01800 (not a confirmed support yet)
⚠️ **Not Financial Advice** – Please do your own research before making any decisions."
BITCOIN - LIGHTS OUT ! - The road to $14,000. Bitcoin was just dealt the most bearish chart pattern there is in my book : The upside flash. Huge move higher that has HFT written all over it, followed by a huge move downward, all in the span of a few hours. The FLASH. I have severely down graded BTC. We still bounce at $25,000 area, but we'll give it all back on the grinding road to $14,000. There are a few rescue moments that can occur in between, and I will map those out as I go. Sorry guys, better to know now that later right?
BTCUSDT 4H :Very important Area(120k or 77K)Hello, good day
According to the analysis we had, the liquidity below $90,000 was hunted with a quick move. And according to the analysis, we reached the very important area at 95,000 and 96,000 again. According to the USDT chart, I expect us to experience a short-term correction and then move to break the resistance at $96,000. The target for the first step of the rise could be 108,000.
ETHUSDT potential short-term correctionThe ETHUSDT market has recently experienced a decline, testing the key psychological level of 3000. Although it briefly broke below the previous support level, it soon retraced. Despite this, there are no clear signs of bullish momentum in the area, suggesting a potential lack of strong buying interest. This could lead the market to establish a range zone for accumulation. The market is likely to consolidate near this support level, with the range zone serving as both support and resistance. It is anticipated that the price could reverse and retest the 3000 level.
On the daily timeframe, the price appears to be forming an ABCD pullback, which implies the market might dip below the 2900 level. A similar pattern was observed earlier in 2024. The focus remains on the support zone near the 3000 level
PnutBINANCE:PNUTUSDT
📊 **Pnut Current Price: 0.6058**
- We're currently facing a **resistance** level at this price 🔴.
💥 If we break this resistance, the next levels to watch are:
- **0.6534** 🚀 (First target)
- **0.7433** 📈 (Next level)
- **0.8000** 🌕 (Major resistance)
🔻 **If the price doesn't hold above 0.6058**, we might see a dip to **support levels**:
- **0.5500** ⚖️ (First support level)
- **0.4500** ⬇️ (Stronger support)
---
So, if the price breaks through resistance, we could see a bullish move. But if it falls below 0.6058, keep an eye on those support levels for possible rebounds! 💡
**Note:** This is not financial advice! Always do your own research. 📉📈
Is Bitcoin Heading to $78K? Key Patterns Explained!
''BTC/USD: Key Supply Zone in Focus''
This chart highlights a significant supply zone between $94,858.98 and $95,979.83, marked by previous price rejections (indicated by the arrows). This zone represents a key area of resistance where selling pressure has historically dominated.
If the price revisits this zone, there’s a high probability of another rejection, potentially leading to a downward movement. Traders should monitor this area closely for potential short opportunities or signs of a breakout.
👉 What’s your take on this supply zone? Will it hold, or are we breaking through? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
"BTC/USD: Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern"
This chart showcases a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, often regarded as a bearish signal. The price has already broken the neckline, indicating a potential continuation to the downside.
The target for this pattern lies near $78,490.59, calculated based on the height of the structure. Combined with the current price action, this setup suggests further bearish momentum could be on the horizon.
👉 Do you agree with this bearish outlook? Or do you see a reversal coming? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Important support and resistance zone: 93576.0-94742.35
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance zone of 93576.0-94742.35 and rise above 97461.86.
A short-term uptrend is expected to be possible only if it rises above 97461.86.
The support and resistance zones are marked with circles.
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(30m chart)
The point to watch is which direction it deviates from the 92792.05-97461.86 section and maintains.
If it meets the HA-Low indicator and rises, it is highly likely that it will re-determine the trend when it meets the HA-High indicator.
This is the same as the BW(0) and BW(100) indicators.
If the 5EMA of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1D chart changes, it is highly likely that it will show a short-term uptrend.
In order to continue the short-term uptrend, it must show support near 97461.86.
If not, the 97461.86 area will act as resistance.
Since the StochRSI indicator has touched the 100 point, we need to see if it can rise above 94742.35 and receive support.
Since the 5EMA and BW(100) indicators of the 1D chart are passing near 94742.35, it confirms that the area around 94742.35 is an important support and resistance area.
The 94742.35 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1W chart.
If it goes down, it is important to see if it can be supported by the HA-Low indicator, BW(0) indicator, and 93576.0.
The 93576.0 point is the BW(100) indicator point of the 1M chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BTC, the wave count is not completedHello everyone,
today I want to talk about Elliot Wave Theory.
The big problem is, that waves can be interpreted in different ways and invalidation levels are often far away from trade setups. Therefore it's necessery to follow the wave count on different levels because usually the wave itself is made my a five wave move in the trend direction or a three wave move in the direction of the correction.
Currently we have an incomplete wave count on Bitcoin and should in my opinion be in the fourth or fifth wave. It seems like the next move will be towards 120k.
What is your opinion?
ADAUSD - From this simple chart, whole crypto market bullish?While its not necessary obvious to guess next move on BTC, some alts like ADA can help a lot
ADA made a rebound on the weekly 200MA on the 20th of December, that mark was also a support from the previous high made in feb 2024 and another support on feb 2022
as we are talking with big timeframes, chances for the asset to go under 20th December lows are very unlikely (but still possible), making the WHOLE crypto market still very bullish
what now ?
We can easily revisit ATH at 3, the faster we reach it, the higher we can go next
3 possibilities : February, April or September
not financial advice
Cheers
ETHUSD - I still believe (on the H&S pattern)While I'm not an hyper fan of H&S pattern but this one forming is already so beautiful that I want it to happens to illustrate my futures arguments,
saw a lot of ppl talk about h&s pattern the past days on BTC, the leg would have started on November and bring us to 80k, something like this. Not a pro but I learnt that the pattern has to be kinda well drawn to be called an H&S, forming proper top and lows with proper neckline, and be well timed.
that is/was absolutely not the case for BTC and that why I remain bullish for now (yes, I risk it a bit saying that here and now)
even in the case where BTC goes under 90k, we can't call this an H&S, by respect of all the real H&S out there. That's also why most of the times it looks like ppl fail using this pattern, they use it on everything
BUT in this case for ETH this looking really juicy atm, I don"t have specific target for now I dont think eth will pass above 12K for this year but lets see
Cheers, have a good day
BTCUSD // minor long trendWHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT BITCOIN?
The countertrend of the last corrective impulse is valid until the price closes below H4 impulse base.
Within this minor long trend, the market may test the correction fibo 50, but if it's broken, the correction of the primary long trend may go for a test of the correction fibo 50.
Of course, the short side offers a much better opportunity, but it's worth to wait for the minor long trend to be broken.
———
Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
<<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
BTC critical level definedCRYPTOCAP:BTC is holding the 92k level of horizontal support. If we can close a daily candle above it, the market has a chance to maintain its bullish trend. In the meantime, prepare for a dip as daily momentum continues to push down to oversold conditions. The 4h may give us conditions to also DCA. Make sure to reserve capital for a daily reset.