BITCOIN This Cycle's peak zone is $150k - $200k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its gains week after week since the April 07 bottom on the 1W MA50, which as we've analyzed extensively its a new Higher Low launchpad for the new (current) Bullish Leg, the way it's been consistently doing on the Higher Lows trend-line since the start of this Bull Cycle.
It's in fact the very same Higher Lows trend-line it had during both previous Cycles, which ended up peaking on the Logarithmic Growth Curve's (LGC) top 2 zones (red), breaking also above the 2 SD above band (orange) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB).
This time the price has 'only' broken above the 1 SD MMB (grey), while having breached into just the lower pink LGC zone. This highlights the theory of Diminishing Returns but at the same time also shows the strong upside potential of the market while subject to these conditions.
So assuming it won't hit by the end of this Cycle the 2 SD MMB nor the top 2 zones of the LGC, the bad case scenario seems to be topping the lower pink LGC zone and the good case scenario topping the upper pink LGC zone. Those two give a profit taking range of 150 - 200k respectively and based on the Sine Waves, we should peak around October 2025.
Is that your profit taking zone as well for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin Hourly Analysis (2H)Given Bitcoin's rapid movement near previous highs, along with quick pump-and-dump action and liquidity grabs, it's expected that the liquidity pool below the price will be swept, collecting orders from the green zone, and then price may reverse back to the upside.
A 4-Hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC - Will BTC revisit $102k or is a pump imminent?Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a consolidation phase for an extended period, marked by a lack of strong directional momentum and characterized by ranging price action. This type of market environment often leads to both liquidity grabs and choppy movement, and traders need to remain especially vigilant about key levels and structure shifts.
Liquidity grab
Yesterday, BTC managed to sweep the recent highs, grabbing liquidity above a short-term resistance zone before reversing and moving lower. This move appears to have been a classic stop-hunt or liquidity sweep, which was followed by a strong rejection. As price moved down from those highs, it left behind an unfilled gap on the 15-minute chart, what many refer to as a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This gap now acts as a magnet for price and is a key area to watch as we approach it again.
Market structure
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC has now printed a lower low, suggesting a short-term shift in market structure to the downside. This structural break opens up the possibility for a lower high to form, setting up a classic trend continuation scenario. From a technical standpoint, the expectation would be for BTC to now create a lower high and then push lower, potentially targeting the range lows from yesterday and today. This provides an opportunity for a short setup with a favorable risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, estimated to be around 3:1, if the entry and stop are managed around the key resistance and structural levels.
Fibonaccy that aligns with the FVG
Currently, BTC is sitting at the Golden Pocket, the region between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This area often serves as a reaction zone for price, and we are seeing some hesitation here. Interestingly, this Golden Pocket sits just below the aforementioned 15-minute FVG, and price appears to be gravitating toward this inefficiency, potentially looking to fill it before making a more decisive move.
What adds to the confluence at this level is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, which aligns almost perfectly with the top boundary of the Fair Value Gap. While many traders look to enter short positions at the 50% mark of the FVG, this added confluence makes the 0.786 + FVG top zone a more compelling entry point. This would allow for a tighter stop just above the gap or structure high, and thus improves the risk-to-reward ratio slightly compared to a more conservative FVG entry.
Conclusion
In summary, the plan would be to wait for BTC to either fill the FVG and reach the 0.786 level or show strong rejection signs there. A rejection from this zone would confirm the lower high thesis and offer a solid short setup aiming for a move back to the range low. With the current setup, market structure, and confluence levels lining up, this trade idea presents a tactical opportunity with clear invalidation and high RR potential.
Trade Idea: BTCUSD (SELL STOP)BTCUSD Trade Setup Analysis
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
1. Trend Analysis
- Price Action: BTC is in a strong uptrend, with recent highs near **105,819.00**.
- RSI (14): 72.88** (approaching overbought, but no divergence yet).
- MACD: Bullish but showing potential slowing momentum (histogram decreasing).
- **Key Levels:**
- Support: 82,447.57 (previous resistance turned support).
- Resistance: 105,819.00 (current high).
2. Entry Precision
- Price Action: Recent rejection from **108,104.70** (lower high) with a drop to **104,834.80**.
- RSI (14): 58.39 (neutral, slight bearish bias).
- MACD: Bearish crossover (249.955 → 241.911).
- **Key Levels:**
- Resistance:108,104.70 (recent high).
- Support: 104,834.80 (immediate level).
3. Confluence
- Price Action: Downtrend in shorter timeframe, with price below **106,237.30**.
- RSI (14): 50.6 (neutral, leaning bearish).
- MACD: Positive but weakening (41.156).
- **Key Levels**:
- Resistance: 106,237.30 (recent high).
- Support: 102,928.15 (next key level).
---
**Trade Idea: Short-Term Bearish Pullback**
Entry:
- Short near 105,820.00 (daily resistance confluence with 15M rejection).
Stop Loss (SL):
- 106,300.00 (above recent 3M high)
Take Profit (TP):
- TP1: 104,834.80 (15M support, 1:2 RRR).
- TP2: 102,928.15 (3M support, 1:4 RRR). (IDEAL)
Altcoins: Bitcoin Daily Turns Bullish, New All-Time High But...New All-Time High but how high? How high is Bitcoin set to move in this breakout as a the new All-Time High? How high is Bitcoin set to continue in May that still has 12 days left and what about June and July 2025?
What happens after June-July 2025 and what happens in late 2025?
What's the map? How high comments section below—yes?!
Bitcoin is now challenging the "final resistance." This is truly the final resistance because we are in the 2025 bull market. There are many things happening around this final resistance. For example, the Altcoins market.
The Altcoins market goes bullish when Bitcoin grows above 100K yes? Yes it did/does and has been growing for an entire month many pairs are up 70% to 100% some are up 400% and this is only the start but, think of this... What happens when Bitcoin hits a new All-Time High?
For Bitcoin this isn't much, the ATH is at $109,588 and a new All-Time High is $110,000 but what about the Altcoin? Magic!
When Bitcoin hits a new ATH it goes on all media all screens and nobody can deny it is happening because it is happening and the market is full green. This creates boom, interest and many people trade only when resistance breaks. The Altcoins will boom growing 2-3 levels up within days. The bottom forever gone massive profits, lives changing and this is only the start.
The first level of importance as Bitcoin moves in price discovery eventuality and territory and market conditions—change, grow, win—sits around $120,000 and $130,000. This is the level to watch for.
Some people are saying a massive correction at this point more like a normal correction or maybe nothing for a few reasons that I will explain below.
The next range is $150,000 and $160,000 and here is the thing. If Bitcoin is going to $180,000-$220,000, then the correction cannot happen at 120/130K. It needs to happen on the second level around 150/160K, do you understand?
If the strong mid bull market correction happens at $120,000-$130,000 this is bad news because the final market cycle top gets lowered. If it happens later we have $180,000, $200,000, $220,000 or more. And this is the interesting part and what we want.
We are still in May month #5 and the minimum we can expect growth is until November month #11 which gives us 6 months. 6 months of straight up is a very long time. With a 2-3 months correction now it isn't that long.
These are the things that we need to consider but aim high because Bitcoin will always surprise.
Minimum, you can aim for $180,000 as the cycle top—minimum. Go higher leave a comment and with the excitement, euphoria and the first time since 2021 seeing so much growth, institutional adoption, Trump, Saylor, El Salvador think $220,000 can you see how that works? Comment below.
Things are bright for Cryptocurrency holders know why now think in this way. Your life can change forever if you take the right action following the right steps in the next 6 months. Imagine a lifetime of profits secured in this bull market bull run. The choice is yours.
It can happen of course, it has happened many times and will continue to happen but we have to be smart. It is happening now but we are early this time we have experience and we know exactly what will happen. It is not a question of if but when. When? In late 2025.
Thank you for reading.
Your comments show your continued support and helps activate the bots to do the same. Show them some love!
Namaste.
Check support near 104984.57
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
OBV indicator is showing signs of rising above High Line.
Therefore, the candle body color has changed to dark green (#00332a).
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near StochRSI 80 (104984.57) and rise above 10613.74.
If it falls,
1st: 104463.99
2nd: 102302.08
You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
If it is supported near 104984.57, it is likely to rise, but since the volatility period continues until May 20 (up to May 28), it is recommended to check whether it is supported.
Therefore, the point of observation is whether the price can be maintained above 102302.08 even after the volatility period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTC, last Chance in this bull market?Hello everyone,
the market was very challenging within the last weeks, because there had been many ways to count, which is the most difficult part of elliot wave analysis. The reason was, that the price was in a correction/ consolidation, which I assume has now finally ended. Trump accounced that they picket 5 coins for the strategic reserve:
BTC
ETH
XRP
SOL
ADA
This aligns very well to what people have waited for. If you believe in a finall bull run, these 5 could be part of your portfolio. I would also recommend to have a look at LINK and LTC, as they are performing quiet well.
Bitcoin: Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 7)We've identified Bitcoin's strongest support in this current cycle thanks to some long-term numbers I extracted when calculating the size of the 2021-2022 bear market.
These numbers have been working great on a long-term basis so we can continue to use them moving forward.
You could extract these numbers right on November 21 2022 and see how good they have been working:
— The August 2024 low matched perfectly the 0.618 Fib. on the chart.
— The new All-Time High, final resistance and now support matches perfectly the 1.618 Fib. level on this chart.
— Bitcoin's next strong resistance zone sits at 2.618 Fib. or $155,601.73. If you really need an intermediary level before 155K, you can consider $137,000. This is another relevant resistance.
— We know now for certain that the strongest support ever for this moment now is $102,000. As long as Bitcoin trades above this level, ultra-bullish confirmed. Wow, if it moves and closes below.
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (S7)
This time, let's do it differently. I only need your choices to find some interesting pairs, to look at something different.
Go to the comments section and share ALL your favorite Altcoins. Can be the ones you like most, the ones you trade, the ones you hate, the ones you love, the ones you see with huge potential or the ones you want me to look at for any purpose.
I will pick and choose and publish in my profile those that look good. I will also reply in the comments with an analysis if I reach my publishing limit for the day.
I need your support. Which one is your TOP ALTCOIN CHOICE? (TAC!)...
Comment below!
Namaste.
Market Psychology 101Good day traders and investors,
There are benefits to being (AWAKE) or at least there should be.
This is where I stand at the moment with the Bitcoin & crypto market. I do believe Is in the final stages of the bull market marked with a circle. The final stage has biggest gains and it happens in 30 to 45 days.
Most of what I wan to say is in the chart. Please, feel free to add something you feel I have missed or why you may disagree.
Kind regards,
Demetrios
Fancy a cup of tea luv?This is the story of how Susan convinced her husband Frank to buy 3 Bitcoins at 105k..
Plus the story of Bitcoin going to a minimum of 126k before the end of May!
A giant Cup & Holder beginning way back in 2021 is a 75% sure prove of that!
What more do you need Frank!?
That's good odds right there for ya!
BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Red Channel is the Last Standhello guys! let's review what happened in btc and what could happen!
📉 1. Blue Ascending Channel Broken:
Bitcoin has decisively broken below the blue ascending channel, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to neutral/bearish.
🟥 2. Red Channel Holding as Support (For Now):
Despite the drop, the red ascending channel is still intact and currently acting as support. Price is consolidating right at its lower boundary.
⚠️ 3. If Red Channel Breaks – Expect Strong Downward Move:
A confirmed breakdown below the red channel would likely trigger a significant bearish move, potentially pushing BTC towards the GETTEX:97K - $96K support zone and possibly lower.
🧭 Conclusion:
We’re at a decision point. If bulls fail to hold the red channel, it could open the door to deeper correction.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #96👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual, I’m going to review the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 1-hour chart, yesterday we had a bullish move that extended up to the 106247 level.
🔍 However, as I previously mentioned, this is a very sensitive zone for price action, and we might see sharp reactions from it. That’s exactly what happened—price faced a strong rejection after reaching this level and dropped down to 102882.
📊 Market volatility is currently very high, and the risk of getting stopped out in either direction is significant. So we need to be cautious and avoid getting caught in fake moves.
💥 Personally, I recommend avoiding trades right after such volatility and waiting for a new structure to form. But if you’re planning to take a position, keep the risk very low.
⚡️ For a short position, our first trigger is a break below 101628. Alternatively, we could also enter based on how the price reacts to 102882.
📈 For a long position, we currently have no clear setup until price structure forms. The only long triggers I can give for now are the breakouts of 104800 and 106247.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance has started a new uptrend and has even closed above 63.71. Given the healthy structure of this trend, if 64.04 breaks, we can confirm a full bullish breakout for BTC.D.
💫 If BTC dominance continues rising while the market moves up, Bitcoin will likely outperform most altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, the 1.17 support broke yesterday, and now this index is set up for further downside correction. For now, it seems the market is in a decision-making phase.
🧲 If we get a lower low and lower high below 1.17, the chance of a move toward 1.1 increases significantly.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now for USDT dominance—yesterday it faked out the 4.60 level twice and is currently holding above 4.70, heading toward 4.82.
🧩 If this move turns out to be a fake and price stabilizes below 4.70 again, it would give us a strong signal for a bullish market and a bearish turn for USDT dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
get in loser, we're going to 1M.gm,
before i share my in-depth analysis, i just wanted to share a piece of my mind on how i approach this market:
there are many valid trajectories constantly at play. most people only ever see one; and they get emotionally attached to it. it’s usually the one that validates their own internal bias. they follow people who align with their belief system, and they end up in an echo chamber of regurgitated information, all in the name of pride and ego.
there’s nothing wrong with that, but you won’t find any of that on my page.
when i create a projection, i’m not just drawing it out. i spend a thousand hours tuning into the vibe... i become it. temporarily, i am the trajectory, which allows me to speak from its perspective on a deep, intuitive level. i’m not here to convince you that my idea is playing out. i’m just showing you that it’s one of many valid trajectories in this market.
this one here just happens to be my primary.
it has been for years, and it will remain my primary until we, at the very least, reach 752k.
now, that might sound mind-boggling to a lot of people, especially those still tuned into outdated belief systems or the mainstream media, which is incredibly gloomy right now.
----
what i have before you is a bullish nest that took 3 years to form;
a structure built with precision and patience,
and it's about to rip faces once the third wave explosively and unexpectedly begins.
i’ve color-coded all the waves for your convenience,
and i come to you this morning with a simple heads-up:
a monumental breakout is about to unfold.
and the harsh truth is,
you’re probably not going to be a part of it
because you got shaken out right before it began.
---
🌙
---
BITCOIN Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 102,856.61.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 117,574.76 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTCUSD 19.05.2025 Bitcoin Navigator: BTC Update (May 2025)So the offline tournament is over, I took third place, and I just got back into work mode
In my previous publication ( link ), I outlined possible scenarios for Bitcoin’s price action, leaning towards a correction from around the $98-101k zone down to approximately $88k.
However, the current market situation demonstrates the most optimistic scenario (highlighted in yellow on the chart). At the moment, we're seeing Bitcoin consolidating within a clear range, likely preparing for an upward breakout without a significant correction. This scenario is certainly the most bullish one, yet my inherent skepticism doesn't exclude the possibility of a correction before we reach a new all-time high (ATH).
📌 Key points in the current market situation:
The main question now is not whether we'll achieve a new ATH (as this seems almost inevitable) but rather how we'll get there.
Two scenarios are on the table: a smooth upward trajectory without substantial corrections, or an initial correction followed by a strong breakout.
🔖 Profit Maximization Strategy:
Many traders are shifting their attention towards altcoins, tempted by potentially greater returns. However, it's crucial to remember that higher upside potential also means significantly higher risks (low liquidity, increased manipulation, higher volatility).
I have already chosen the tokens that I am interested in for long time
Also now a new narrative has appeared, Internet Capital Markets (ICM) tokens. If you are interested, write in the comments "interesting ICM"
Best regards EXCAVO
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold above the key $105,000 mark. We observed active protection and absorption of market buys by the seller, as a result of which a sell zone of $105,000–$105,700 was formed. After that, the price went sideways again and remained there until the end of the week.
On Monday, there was a surge of liquidity above the previous high — the price tested the zone of volume anomalies of $107,000–$109,000, from where a sharp reaction from the seller immediately followed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, the local scenario is on the side of the "bears". There is a break in the uptrend on the hourly timeframe. There is an active absorption of buys in key sell areas, both in delta and volume.
When returning to the $105,700 level, it’s worth considering entering a short position if there is a repeat reaction from the seller, with a goal of reducing to $100,000. In the future, we’ll monitor the price behavior in the buyer's zones.
Sell Zones:
~$105,700 (point of strongest absorption of market buys),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (initiative buying volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes).
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Tuesday, May 20, 04:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision for May;
• Wednesday, May 21, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for April;
• Thursday, May 22, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, May 22, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for May;
• Thursday, May 22, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales results on the secondary housing market in the USA for April;
• Friday, May 23, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of German GDP for the first quarter of 2025;
• Friday, May 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of new home sales results in the United States for April.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSDT - fractal from ATH I think this is a classic pattern now, and we are repeating the situation in the same price range that we had half a year ago when the ATX was forming. That is, we will not update the high or will do it a little bit, and after that we will go to the zone of 93 thousand plus minus and from there will be a significant reversal to 102 thousand, after that it is difficult to predict what will happen next. Either strongly down or strongly up, until then we can safely work on the fractal and after that I will give an update of the idea.
HolderStat┆BTCUSD channel grind toward 110 kCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has stair-stepped out of March’s strong consolidation triangle and is now travelling inside a neat rising channel. Each mini flag has resolved higher, with the latest squeeze holding the mid-line near 102 k. As long as that trend-line underbelly and the diagonal support from April lows remain intact, bulls retain control and can probe the 108-110 k supply zone highlighted on the chart. Only a daily close back inside the lower rail would threaten the current bullish momentum.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
As expected, Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after reaching a key resistance zone. This move was accompanied by a bearish divergence, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
We expect the correction to extend toward the identified support zones, where price may find demand.
If Bitcoin holds at one of these key support levels, a bullish reversal could follow, potentially leading to a new upward leg and fresh all-time highs.
Is this correction setting the stage for the next big move? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTC/USDT Breakout Signals Bullish Continuationhello guys!
BTC/USDT broke out of a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, signaling a bullish continuation. Price is currently around $105,471, with a projected move toward the $106,500 resistance zone. A retest of the breakout area ($104,500–$104,800) is possible before further upside.
BTC still consolidates within a rangeIf you were like me, you got a little dose of hopium after BTC closed above last week's resistance around $105k.
Nonetheless, resistance was expected from $105k - $108k with price starting the week with a bearish engulfing candle, currently trading around $103.1k.
We will have to see if last week's support around $101.5k holds.
If the price continues with bullish momentum and does something like the period from 22 Apr - 6 May, a successful bull flag breakout could take BTC to $115k.
If support is lost, we could see retests of previous levels as low as $94.5k. However, my guess would be a test of $97.5k before going higher, creating a HHHL market structure.