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LISTAUSDT: Falling Wedge Breakout – 100%-120% Gains on the Way!LISTAUSDT has recently broken out from a Falling Wedge pattern, signaling a bullish shift in market sentiment. The Falling Wedge is a well-known chart pattern that typically suggests a consolidation phase before a breakout, where the price forms lower highs and higher lows, converging towards the apex. With the breakout now completed, the price action indicates that the market is ready for a strong move to the upside. The breakout has already caught the attention of investors, and with good volume backing the move, there is a strong expectation for a continuation of the rally. Traders are forecasting potential gains of 100% to 120%+ as the price moves toward new highs. The breakout from the Falling Wedge pattern is a key technical indicator that confirms the start of an upward trend. The good volume accompanying this breakout shows that the market is reacting positively, and the buying pressure is expected to increase as more traders recognize the opportunity. Falling Wedge patterns typically lead to strong momentum once the price breaks through the upper trendline, and with the current volume supporting this move, LISTAUSDT has the potential to see significant gains in the near future. The projected target of 100% to 120%+ aligns with the breakout's momentum, making this an exciting setup for traders looking for high-reward opportunities. Investor interest in LISTAUSDT is growing as more market participants see the breakout and the potential for substantial returns. The combination of a solid technical pattern, strong volume, and an increasing number of investors taking interest in the project makes LISTAUSDT a promising asset in the crypto space. If the price continues to hold above the breakout level and breaks through further resistance, the move could accelerate, leading to a significant price increase. As the bullish momentum builds, the potential for higher gains increases, further fueling investor confidence. Traders should stay vigilant and monitor key levels of support and resistance to confirm the strength of the breakout and the likelihood of continued gains. If LISTAUSDT continues to show strong price action and buying interest, the projected 100% to 120%+ gain could be realized, offering significant returns for those positioned correctly. The current technical setup and increasing investor participation make LISTAUSDT one of the top crypto pairs to watch for potential high returns. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
XIBTUSDT Falling Wedge Breakout – 140%-150% Gains XIBTUSDT has recently completed a breakout from a Falling Wedge pattern, a bullish technical formation that indicates a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. The Falling Wedge is characterized by converging trendlines where the price consolidates before making a strong move to the upside. With the breakout now confirmed and supported by good volume, the price of XIBTUSDT is expected to continue its upward momentum. The breakout signals that the market sentiment is shifting, and traders are anticipating substantial gains, with projections of 140% to 150%+ if the price continues to rally. The breakout from the Falling Wedge is an important technical signal, especially when accompanied by good volume. The increased trading activity supports the idea that the breakout is not a false move and suggests that the upward trend has the strength to continue. As XIBTUSDT pushes higher, key resistance levels will be tested, and if they are broken, the price could accelerate toward its projected gain levels. With growing investor interest and positive technical indicators, XIBTUSDT is one of the more exciting crypto pairs to watch for significant upside potential. Investor interest in XIBTUSDT is rising as more market participants recognize the breakout and the potential for high returns. The strong volume confirms that this breakout is legitimate, and the price could continue to climb as more traders enter the market. The Falling Wedge pattern often leads to explosive price action, and with the good volume supporting this move, the likelihood of a sustained rally is high. The anticipated 140% to 150%+ gain further reinforces the belief that XIBTUSDT could be in the early stages of a strong bullish move. Traders should continue to monitor key resistance and support levels as the price action unfolds. If XIBTUSDT can maintain its momentum and break through further resistance, it could offer substantial returns for those who have positioned themselves early. With the current technical setup and growing investor interest, XIBTUSDT is a promising asset to track for those seeking high-reward opportunities in the crypto market. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
WLDUSDT Falling Wedge Pattern – 190%-200% Gains Potential WLDUSDT is currently forming a Falling Wedge pattern, a bullish technical formation that often signals the end of a downtrend and the beginning of an upward price movement. The Falling Wedge pattern is characterized by converging trendlines where the price consolidates and contracts before a breakout occurs. As the price approaches the apex of the wedge, a breakout to the upside is highly anticipated. Given the solid volume supporting this pattern, the chances of a strong breakout are high. Traders are watching this setup closely, with expectations of a gain between 190% to 200%+ if the price breaks above the upper trendline. The volume accompanying this Falling Wedge formation is a key indicator that the breakout could be substantial. A breakout from such a pattern is typically followed by strong momentum, and the increasing volume shows that investor interest is building as the price approaches the breakout point. The setup suggests that once the price clears the resistance at the top of the wedge, it could see a sharp rise. The projected 190% to 200%+ gain is realistic if the breakout is accompanied by continued volume and buying interest, pushing the price to new highs. Investor interest in WLDUSDT is growing, with many traders anticipating a significant upside move once the breakout occurs. The Falling Wedge is often a precursor to strong bullish moves, and the current pattern suggests that the market is preparing for a potential surge. As more traders become aware of this setup, buying pressure could continue to increase, propelling the price toward the projected target range. The combination of a well-formed technical pattern and growing investor confidence makes WLDUSDT an exciting asset to monitor for potential large gains. Traders should keep an eye on key levels of resistance as the price nears the breakout zone. If WLDUSDT can break above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge with good volume, the rally could quickly unfold, leading to substantial returns. Given the current market conditions and technical setup, WLDUSDT presents a high-reward opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the breakout and the anticipated price surge. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
BTC/USD Analysis: Bullish Momentum Faces Resistance at $110,000!Looking at this chart of BTC/USD on the 4-hour timeframe: Current Price: The price of Bitcoin is currently around $98,468.88, with a slight increase of +0.24% for the session. Key Levels: The price is approaching a strong resistance zone near the $110,000 level, which is marked with a shaded area above the current price. This could act as a psychological barrier or a sell-off zone if the price reaches this level. On the downside, there is support near the $94,000 level, indicated by a box in the lower part of the chart. The market has shown a tendency to bounce from this zone in the past. 200 EMA: The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently around $98,193, and the price is trading slightly above it, which indicates that the trend may be leaning bullish, but a pullback to this level could be expected. Price Action: The chart shows a series of upward movements after consolidation in the lower range, which suggests bullish momentum. However, the proximity to resistance means the price might face some challenges breaking through the $110,000 zone. Overall, there’s potential for Bitcoin to test higher levels, especially if it can clear the resistance near $110,000. But a pullback or consolidation around the $94,000 region could also be on the cards. Keep an eye on volume and price behavior around these levels to confirm the next move.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
Crypto Market Is Trying To Resume Its Bullish TrendBitcoin remains under intraday bullish pressure with room for more gains, especially if we consider that NASDAQ100 is still pointing higher. So, seems like risk-on sentiment is still here and we should be aware of a bigger recovery in the Crypto market, even because of the USdollar that shows strong bearish momentum. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart looks to have a completed wave (2) correction and it's actually just about to break channel resistance line which confirms that wave (3) is in progress. Can ALTcoins follow Bitcoin soon?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by ew-forecast
4
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #12👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In today's analysis, as usual, I want to review important futures triggers for the New York session. Today's analysis reaches you a bit earlier than usual because the price is at a very critical area, and I want you to have this analysis in case this area breaks. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, after the fake break of 95108, a very strong bullish momentum entered the market, and as you can see, the volume and the number of green candles are much higher than the red ones, indicating the strength of the buyers. 🔍 The first trigger we had in this bullish wave was at 96446, which was activated two days ago and has given us very good profits so far. I mentioned yesterday's trigger to you as well; in case of breaking the expanding triangle and activating the trigger at 97816, you could open a risky long position, and the main trigger is 98482. Yesterday's trigger has also been activated and is still in profit, and today we have a very good trigger for long, which can help us open a position. 📈 Today's trigger for long is 98482, which can be a very suitable trigger, and if this area breaks, the first target is 99946 and the second target is 101819. I'm not removing the expanding triangle from the chart yet because if the price does a fake breakout of 98482, we can revert to the triangle structure. Therefore, I will keep the triangle on the chart until 98482 is broken. 📅 BTC.D Analysis Let's go to the Bitcoin dominance. As you can see, the situation with dominance hasn't changed much compared to yesterday and is still fluctuating between the areas of 61.49 and 61.04. 📊 Breaking any of these areas could define the next leg of the price, and if 61.04 breaks, the price chart could move down to 60.48. On the other hand, if the area 61.49 is broken, the price could move up to 62 percent. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to the analysis of Total2. Total2 has not yet activated its appropriate long trigger while Bitcoin dominance has been ranging, but Total2 still hasn't activated its long trigger in the area of 1.24, and the position you open on altcoins can be confirmed if 1.24 breaks. 🔽 For short positions, you can enter a short position if 1.22 breaks and confirm it for altcoins. Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance to decide which one between Bitcoin and altcoins is better for opening positions. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Finally, the Tether dominance has reached a very important support area. This area was at 4.46 yesterday, but due to the reaction dominance had to this area and it slightly moved, it has now shifted this area to 4.45, and if this area breaks, you can enter a position where your first target will be 4.40. 🔑 On the other hand, if the dominance starts to move upwards, you can confirm a short position with a break of 4.52, which in this case, the price can move up to 4.62. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
6
17/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,823.86 Last weeks low: $94,093.81 Midpoint: $96,458.84 Not a whole lot to comment on for this weekly outlook, we had a tighter weekly range last week ( EUROTLX:4K instead of $11K) however the midpoints were both $96K and both weeks started at their respective midpoints. For me this suggests a coiling of bitcoins price with anticipation for a larger move in a given direction, this could be either bullish or bearish we are yet to see. Since last weeks CPI inflation print of a hotter than forecast 3.0%, a dollar that is finally rolling over and tariffs put on hold until April 1st, these factors should all play into the hands of the bulls but the chart needs to reflect this. For this week I am anticipating more chop, if the pattern of tightening weekly ranges continues with no real idea of direction then the opportunity for credible trades reduces until we get an idea of trend direction. Right now there is no trend direction and so bitcoin should be treated as such. Altcoins continue to suffer across the board and IMO this will not change until we see a bullish move in BTC. This environment is for short term traders as it stands.
by ProR35
BTC - Are You Ready?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. BTC has been stagnant for a while, trading within a short-term bearish range! But the wait is almost over, as BTC is now approaching the $100,000 mark, which represents the upper boundary of the bearish zone. 📈 Short-Term Bullish: If BTC breaks above the $100,000 level, it is expected to enter a short-term bullish phase, potentially retesting its previous all-time high of $109,000. However, as long as BTC remains below $100,000, the overall bias will stay bearish. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
5
Whether it can be supported and rise near 97226.92 is the key Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) Half of February has passed. Since the BW(100) indicator was created not long ago, it seems that it will take some more time to know whether it will act as support and resistance. The current BW(100) indicator point is 102429.56. Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 70K, it is not strange if it falls at any time. On the other hand, it is not strange if it rises at any time. - (1W chart) Since the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart was created at the 97226.92 point, it is important to see if there is support around this point. Since the M-Signal of the 1W chart > the M-Signal of the 1M chart, we need to see if the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart. - (1D chart) The key is whether it can be supported around 97226.92 and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart. - Since the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone, if it falls near 97226.92, it is possible that it will touch the 92792.05-94742.35 zone. At this time, the important thing is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. To do so, the price must be maintained above 91231.0, which is the low point on February 3. - This volatility period is until February 17. The next volatility period is around February 24 (February 23-25). Therefore, do not relax and check whether the price is maintained by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, and whether the M-Signal indicator and Trend Cloud indicator on the 1D chart turn upward. If it turns upward around 97226.92, 1st: 101947.24 2nd: 103706.66-104.463.99 You should respond depending on whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd above. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. How to view and respond to this is up to you. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Halving Cycles: Market Trends & Timeframes📈 Bitcoin's Market Cycles & Halvings: A Historical Perspective This chart provides a deep dive into Bitcoin’s four halving cycles, analyzing how BTC has historically moved from market bottoms to cycle tops. With the next peak potentially approaching in 2025, understanding these trends can help traders and investors make informed decisions. 🔍 What This Chart Shows: Halving Events (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024) Market Bottoms before each cycle Market Tops post-halving Cycle Lengths from bottom to top 🕰️ Bitcoin’s Historical Halving Trends 1️⃣ 1st Halving (2012-2013) Market Bottom: July 3, 2010 ($0.03) Market Top: November 29, 2013 ($1,134) Cycle Length: 1,244 days (3.4 years) Bitcoin’s first major cycle saw explosive growth following its first halving. The price surged over 37,000%, confirming the narrative that halving events reduce supply and drive bullish momentum. 2️⃣ 2nd Halving (2016-2017) Market Bottom: August 25, 2015 ($162) Market Top: December 17, 2017 ($19,665) Cycle Length: 845 days (2.3 years) After the second halving, BTC experienced another parabolic rally, increasing over 12,000% before topping out in late 2017. 3️⃣ 3rd Halving (2020-2021) Market Bottom: December 15, 2018 ($3,126) Market Top: November 10, 2021 ($69,000) Cycle Length: 1,061 days (2.9 years) Bitcoin’s third cycle saw a slightly longer rally but still resulted in massive gains, with a 2,100% increase from the bottom. 4️⃣ 4th Halving (2024-Present) Market Bottom: November 21, 2022 ($15,479) Market Top: ??? (Expected 2025) With the 2024 halving approaching, historical patterns suggest another major bull run could be on the horizon. If past trends hold, Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high sometime in late 2025.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by kingthies
1
Bitcoin - Current RangeThe green box is good for longs and the red box is good for shorts. The red line is the stop of our short and the green line is the stop of our long. TP levels are TP1, we do not close the entire position, we take profit and move the stop to entry and start monitoring. there is no harm in carrying long and short at the same time, as long as you apply the take profit and move stop to entry methods, you will not suffer any damage. -My other range trades. - -
Long
by XU99
Trump/Elon’s Crypto Chaos!Bitcoin’s been on a rollercoaster in 2025, plummeting from $106K to $93K earlier this month, but I’m seeing a massive bullish setup on the 4H chart at $97,603. After a sharp sell-off, BTC’s forming a tight range near $96K support... classic accumulation before a breakout, or are we walking into a trap? Here’s the tea: RSI’s at ~55 and climbing, signaling buyers are gaining momentum, while the 50/200 EMA crossover near GETTEX:97K screams bullish reversal. Volume’s ticked up over the last few candles, suggesting smart money’s piling in. We’re testing GETTEX:98K resistance right now, flip it, and I’m targeting $105K by early March, fueled by Trump’s pro-crypto policies and Elon’s unpredictable X-factor. But if we fail here, $93K’s the next stop, and bears could drag us lower. This setup’s got me hyped, but the Trump/Elon wild card is wild... Trump’s deregulation talks could pump us past $100K, or Elon’s next tweet might send us spiraling. I’ve seen similar patterns in 2021 lead to 20%+ moves... History repeating? What’s your hot take? Bullish to $105K, or bearish back to $93K, where’s BTC headed? Think Trump’s policies or Elon’s tweets will rocket us, or are they just noise? Seen this pattern before? Drop your targets, indicators, or contrarian views! I’ll reply to every comment and debate!
by MonoCoinSignal
XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST! If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion? ChatGPT said: Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down: Market Cap Misconceptions XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone. Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings. Bank Adoption and Utility Argument If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation. However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth. Speculative vs. Real Utility Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases. In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes. Liquidity and Scarcity Factors Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases. However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure. Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions. True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market. Bottom Line XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements. You said: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future? ChatGPT said: That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors: 1. Utility vs. Speculation A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption. If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility. 2. Market Cycles & Sentiment Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value. If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage. 3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released. If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down. However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme. 4. Institutional Adoption If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation. But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand. 5. Competitive Landscape XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction. If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand. Realistic Price Outlook? If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels). However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated. Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels. You said: So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage ChatGPT said: Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies. Why? Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long. Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure. If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low. Speculative Premium A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand. Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized. Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in. Supply & Sell Pressure Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market. This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure. Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP. Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers. Conclusion Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run. You said: What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it? ChatGPT said: A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone: 1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL). While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap. A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use. Estimating Utility-Based Price Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions. For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume. Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions. Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most. 2. Supply & Circulating Coins Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level. A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be: $5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09 55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000​=$0.09 If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18. These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage. 3. Competitive Alternatives Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP. If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further. Final Thought Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption). Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks. If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests. You said: The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued? ChatGPT said: Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions. Why is XRP Overvalued? Speculation Dominates The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today. Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized. Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50. At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand. Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market. If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time. Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP. Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements. What Could Happen Next? If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen. XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price. Conclusion At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today. Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Bitgolder
7
Bitcoin Update: Warning of a Potential Crash!Bitcoin has been ranging around the 98K level for about 90 days. Fractals show strength, but I see another potential move incoming, though with a low probability. In this scenario, we can expect a quick shakeout in the market, where BTC price drops in a 17% shadow down to $80K, followed by a flash recovery to the starting point of this move, continuing toward new highs along with the fractal demonstrated on the chart, with the ultimate target of $150K, in my opinion. Overall, there is little concern about this scenario since it has a very low probability, but to be cautious, it’s better to manage our risks. The main scenario in my mind is still my previous analysis based on its fractal, and I remain bullish.
by farhadnmd
Bitcoin’s Bullish Patterns_Ready for a Breakout!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) approached the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines but quickly started to rise. Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . And in this increase of Bitcoin in the last few hours, we can see the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern well in the 2-hour time frame . Educational tip : The Morning Star is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern that forms after a downtrend, consisting of three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a strong bullish candle. It signals a potential trend reversal and growing buying momentum. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , which can be a sign of Bitcoin's increase . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the entire corrective waves inside the descending channel were all in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) so that it seems that Bitcoin finally completed the main wave C in the previous hours. If Bitcoin breaks the upper line of the wedge pattern, we can confirm the end of the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to be able to touch the Targets I specified on the chart AFTER breaking the upper line of the Descending Channel . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $94,400, we expect more dumps. Do you think Bitcoin can finally break out of this Descending Channel? Pump or Dump? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
BITCOIN: Bull Flag. Will it break upwards?Bitcoin has just turned bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 56.545, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 38.441) but remains neutral on 1D. The reason is that the price is now at the top of the 2 week Channel Down, having crossed and closed over the 4H MA100 for the first time since January 31st. On the larger timeframes this Channel Down could be a Bull Flag to continue the bullish trend but of course the price needs to cross over it, otherwise a technical rejection will prevail. If it breaks upwards, go long targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 99,500). Until it does, keep a tight SL short targeting the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 95,750). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by InvestingScope
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #11👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, as usual, I'll review the appropriate futures triggers for the New York session. 🔄 Yesterday, the market activated the long trigger and rose from the box's floor, so before delving into today’s analysis, I’ll also review this trigger for you. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, the trigger I had set at 964446 was activated and provided a very good position. The top line of the Expanding Triangle is also being broken, and the trigger for breaking this triangle will be at 97816. ⚡️ If, concurrently with the break of the triangle's upper line and the trigger of this triangle, volume also increases, we can say that bearish momentum has entered the market and the price might finally exit the range box it has formed. 🔼 The main trigger is the break of the box’s ceiling at 98482, and if this area is broken, we can confirm the price’s bullish trend. 📊 For a long position, the appropriate trigger seems to be breaking 97816, and I personally am waiting for this trigger. A break of 65.46 in the RSI would give me a momentum entry trigger. 📉 For a short position, we must first wait for the bullish momentum in the market to dissipate and wait for bearish momentum to arise and create a short trigger structure. Until then, the short triggers will be from 96446 to 95108. 📅 BTC.D Analysis Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance was ranging, and almost no difference was noted from the previous day, but I've adjusted the area from 61.10 to 61.04. If this area is broken, dominance could move downward toward 60.48. 🔑 For an increase in dominance, if 61.49 is broken, we can expect the upward trend to reach 62%. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to Total2. Yesterday, the trigger at 1.21 was activated, and this index is moving upward. The next resistance that price could face is at 1.24, and if this resistance is broken, Total2 could move up to 1.28. Conversely, if Total2 moves downward again, the short trigger will be at 1.19. Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance to decide whether to open positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let’s discuss Tether dominance. In this chart, our trigger from yesterday, 4.55, was activated like Total2, and this area was broken. Currently, the next support for Tether dominance is at 4.46. If 4.46 is broken, the next area will be 4.40, and for confirming a long position, you can use the break of these supports. Conversely, for a short position, if 4.62 is broken, Tether dominance will increase, indicating that the market will be bearish. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
8