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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

ALTSEASON to $3 Trillion with BITCOIN at $200k??This is not the first time we make the comparison of the current Altcoin (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding top 10) Cycle with the 2014 - 2017 one. But it is the first time that we make this comparison, including Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles. As you can see, there are striking similarities between the Alt Cycles: a) Both bottom formations were in the form of a Cup pattern b) A Pivot trend-line that turned from Resistance to Support c) The MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting once broken until the next Bear Cycle d) A Bull Flag after the MA50 break-out found support on the MA50 and 0.382 Fib and started the Altseason (green Channel Up) e) That Bull Flag started with a MACD Bearish Cross and ended on a Bullish Cross It appears that we are now on the stage where Alts have the 1st consolidation of the Parabolic Rally. What's remarkable and the key difference between the two Cycles, is that this time BTC has diverged massively and made a new All Time High (ATH), while alts haven't. Of course this is directly attributed to the Bitcoin ETF, which attracted enormous amounts of capital that pumped the asset beyond the technical restrictions of this model. This may be an indication however, that part of this capital may be diverted to Alts, once partial BTC profit taking takes place, as it has happened during every Altseason. In any event, if the Cycle continues to replicate the 2017 rally, it should reach the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, which would translate to at least a $3 Trillion Altcoin Market Cap, while Bitcoin would be close to the $200k level! That may seem unrealistic in terms of market cap, but so did the levels during the 2020/21 and 2017 rallies. It all depends on whether Bitcoin can continues to attract outside capital with this pace, which will in turn grow interest on the rest of the crypto market and also on the rate of adoption (companies, consumer use of crypto). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by TradingShot
1
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Please note that we are in complex corrections, and trading in these areas requires thorough analysis. We aim to update our analyses step by step. In such conditions, it’s better to analyze the data rather than make predictions. According to the previous analysis, we expect the price to reach the green zone. The demand and supply zones in this analysis have been updated. On the green zone, the price could potentially bounce upwards. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will negate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
Bitcoin is at a critical point - Consider this very seriously!!Hey family! Welcome to the wild world of cryptocurrencies, where the market can swing from one extreme to another in the blink of an eye. Crypto trading is known for its high volatility, which means prices can go up or down dramatically in short periods. Right now, many traders are buzzing with excitement, expecting Bitcoin to go on a bullish run. However, in such a dynamic market, it's always wise to consider the other side of the coin. Given the current sentiment, there's a good chance we might see some bearish moves too. So, while we're all hoping for the best, let's keep our eyes open for potential dips and prepare accordingly. Let's dive into today's analysis with that in mind! Overview This report provides a detailed technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT), focusing on the Ichimoku Cloud and chart pattern formation in combination. Head and Shoulders Pattern Pattern Description: The chart shows a Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bearish reversal pattern following an uptrend. It consists of three peaks: the left shoulder, the head, and the right shoulder. Identification on Chart: Left Shoulder : Formed around mid-November. Head : Formed in Mid December, peaking at approximately $108,000+. Right Shoulder: Currently forming as of Jan 10, 2025, with a peak slightly lower than the head formed on Jan 7th. Neckline : The neckline is drawn at the price level where the dips occur between these peaks and it is a wise choice to take the price zone as a whole in to consideration instead of just a specific price level. By this the neckline zone can be taken as between $89,800 & $92,400. A breakout below this level suggests a strong trend reversal. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis The Ichimoku Cloud, or Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, provides insights into support/resistance, momentum, and trend direction . Here's the breakdown: Kumo (Cloud): The cloud is formed by two lines, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B, projected 26 periods into the future. Current Cloud: The price has recently broken below from the upper cloud support, which was acting as support, and heading to the bottom of the cloud. This breakout below the cloud is a bearish signal indicating potential further downside. Future Cloud : The future cloud (shaded area ahead) is sloping upwards, which traditionally would suggest bullish momentum, but given the current price action below the cloud and the reddish color it created, it might imply a false bullish signal or a potential resistance if the price attempts to recover. Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line) and Kijun-sen (Base Line): Tenkan-sen : This line (blue) is the average of the highest high and lowest low over the last 9 periods. It's currently below the Kijun-sen, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Kijun-sen: This line (red) is the average of the highest high and lowest low over the last 26 periods. The price is below both lines, indicating bearish momentum. Chikou Span (Lagging Span) : This line shows the current price action shifted back 26 periods, providing a historical perspective. Position: The Chikou Span is below the price action from 26 periods ago, which is another bearish signal. Kijun-sen Cross : The Tenkan-sen crossing below the Kijun-sen while both are below the cloud strengthens the bearish outlook. Key Price Levels Breakout Level: $89,800 (Neckline) Current Price: Around $92,750 Resistance: Cloud top around $95,000 - $97,000 - $100,000. Support : Below the neckline, potential support around $85,000 to $82,000. Volume Analysis Volume: While high/average volume during the formation of the head might suggests strong participation, the volume during the right shoulder formation is lower, possibly indicating reduced buying interest. Last Note : As a confluence the Trend Strength Index is also showing a declining movement both the weekly and daily charts even though it it at floor levels on the 4 Hr chart. This basically tells us that we might see some dip movements in the following days if volume continue dumping like it does in the past 3 1D candles. Conclusion Using the Ichimoku Cloud, we observe several bearish signals for Bitcoin: The price is below the cloud, indicating bearish momentum. The Tenkan-sen is below the Kijun-sen, and both are below the cloud, reinforcing the bearish trend. The Chikou Span is below past price action, further confirming the bearish scenario. Despite the future cloud showing an upward slope, the current price action suggests a continuation of the downtrend, with the Head and Shoulders pattern serving as a strong bearish indicator. Traders should consider this analysis in light of overall market conditions, keeping in mind that while the Ichimoku provides comprehensive insights, market sentiment and external factors also play crucial roles. Watch for any potential retest of the neckline or cloud for further confirmation of the trend. But instead of the bearish breakout to the downward, if Bitcoin can rebound from the current price level, it is going to be yet another strong bullish move for a formation of a megaphone which is unlikely though. For risk management, always consider using stop-loss orders, especially in volatile markets like cryptocurrency. Stay Tuned for further updates. With Regards. CTE.
Long
by cryptotalk_et
2
Bitcoin Analysis: A Break in the Uptrend – What’s Next? 25.01.10Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today, we’re analyzing Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent market movements. Recent Bitcoin Trends Bitcoin has been facing resistance at the 99380 level (yellow box) since December 20, 2024. As mentioned in previous briefings, a breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal. The green box resistance zone aligns with the December 19, 2024 high of 102800, which has now become a critical resistance level. Following this resistance, one might wonder if Bitcoin's trend has fully reversed. The Break of the Long-Term Uptrend Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend, which began on October 10, 2024, broke down yesterday. This breakdown occurred in the orange box, marking a significant shift in momentum. Why Is This Concerning? Daily 60 EMA Resistance: Bitcoin is now facing resistance at the 60 EMA for the first time in a long while, indicating bearish sentiment. The last time Bitcoin faced resistance at the 60 EMA was in October 2024 (red box), right before the start of the previous uptrend. Support Breakdowns: Bitcoin appears to be breaking through key support levels, one by one. Key Support Zone: The green box range (90200–85160) is expected to provide strong support. However, if Bitcoin breaks below this zone, it would trigger: A breakdown below the daily Ichimoku Cloud. A full trend reversal, potentially opening the door to the yellow support line, approximately 26% lower than current levels. What Does Bitcoin Need for a Rebound? For Bitcoin to rebound, it must break above the orange box resistance at 100700. Why This Level Matters: A breakout above this level would signify a trend reversal. It would also push Bitcoin out of the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, turning the cloud into a support zone rather than resistance. Conclusion Bitcoin has broken its long-term uptrend and the moving averages (20 EMA, 60 EMA) have shifted from support to resistance, indicating further downside risk. Key Support Zone: 90200–85160. If this zone holds, it could provide a strong foundation for a rebound. If it breaks, Bitcoin will likely enter a prolonged bearish phase. Currently, the trend is leaning bearish, and traders should keep a close watch on these critical levels to anticipate the next major move. 🚀
Short
by Greedy_allday
BTCUSD Is Too Overbought?HI today you can see the BTCUSD chart, and the higher time frame charts have shown some potential overbought levels. Is it too risky to buy and hold now? There are some important old levels that have shown some support in recent years. Be careful of the market now with BTCUSD, thanks. Is it possible that the banks can short more now? For now I am following the EURUSD more closer, thank you. Please support us by following me thanks! #btcusd #eurusd #btc #usd #eur
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ilyaskhan1994
BITCOIN BTC Machine Learning Approximation Strategy applied GOLDHey everyone. Here's a new trade idea potentially for Gold. I created a a new trading strategy script for Bitcoin, and I tuned the parameters for Gold. The original script is called the "BITCOIN BTC Machine Learning Approximation Strategy by NHBPROD." It implements a simplified Machine learning technique and then produces and output that can be used to buy and sell. The script is only for long trading. I'll attach a link: ( ) to the original strategy script. This is the strategy script, but I also have the indicator script which can be used to automate buy and sell signals directly to your phone, email, or your bot. Anyway, applying the idea to Gold, and tuning the parameters gives me a pretty good backtest, AND it shows that Gold has just entered a buy zone on the daily chart. On average according to the performance, the average trade profit is roughly 2%, so this could be a great time to buy Gold and expect a 2% gain.
TVC:GOLDLong
by nhbprod
BTC preparing for run to 150k technical tp on higher timeframeTechnical analysis indicating "measured move" buy setup on higher timeframes I expect price to advance from current 88-93k buy zone (consolidation structure on 4 hr tf) back to new highs above 109k, which was previously noted as tp1 (with anticipated near term consolidation in low 90k range). It's possible we have one more retest of 88-93k levels after reaching 108-110k level on next buy wave, but as previously noted, it primarily remains a buy opportunity. Once a move above 120k is achieved, price will be strongly in the hands of buyers (with diminishing supply) and head towards 150-155k level fairly steadily & easily to achieve technical "measured move" target. There remains possibility that we get one final retracement from 150k but my own cycles analysis indicates that would be the final big discount opportunity IF it were to occur at all. Price advancement above 100k is a SIGNAL that mass adoption is taking place globally and will lead to much higher highs. Any price dips below 100k remain discounts for institutional ownership
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DaveTradesLive
"BTC Alert: Sellers Dominate Until the Price Hits the Bottom!"BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD 📈Which side you pick? Bulls or Bears Bitcoin (BTC) is currently forming a repetitive pattern. 📈 The price will test the identified support at the bottom of the channel, which could drive the price down toward the 86K-88K level. 📉 If the price drops below 92K, we may see a more significant decline into the 84K range, possibly accompanied by a long shadow reaching the 80-82K area (highlighted in red). 🔻🔍 🧐The Alternate scenario: If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position below or above the trigger zone (92K), the setup will be canceled.
Short
by CrazyS
1
Bitcoin at $93K: The $6.5B Auction That Could Shake the market1/ 🚨 Breaking News: The U.S. DOJ is set to auction $6.5B in Bitcoin, raising questions about market impact. With Bitcoin at $93K and institutional adoption at its peak, is this a turning point? Let’s break it down. 🧵 2/ 💪 Strengths of Bitcoin: 🌍 Decentralized Power: No single entity controls Bitcoin. 💎 Scarcity: Only 21M BTC will ever exist—a store of value like no other. 🔒 Network Security: A high hash rate makes Bitcoin one of the most secure blockchains. 3/ 📉 Weaknesses: 🕒 Scalability: High transaction volumes lead to slower confirmations. 🌱 Environmental Concerns: Mining’s energy use sparks global debates. 🤔 Complexity: Managing wallets and private keys remains a challenge for beginners. 4/ 🌟 Opportunities: 🏦 Institutional Adoption: Major players like BlackRock are entering the space. 🌐 Global Remittances: Bitcoin shines in regions where traditional banking fails. 🪙 Halving Impact: The 2024 halving could reduce supply, pushing prices higher. 5/ ⚠️ Threats: 📜 Regulatory Risks: Government actions, like this auction, could create turbulence. 📉 Volatility: Wild price swings still deter traditional investors. 🛠️ Tech Challenges: Rapid innovation might challenge Bitcoin’s dominance. 6/ 💵 Valuation at $92,728: Is Bitcoin overpriced? Some argue its scarcity and adoption justify the value. Others see a speculative bubble. What do you think—store of value or hype-driven rally? 🤔 7/ 📉 The $6.5B Auction Impact: The DOJ’s planned sale caused a 2.78% BTC dip. Historically, such auctions show limited long-term impact. From March 2023 to today, Bitcoin surged 375% despite similar events. 💥 8/ 🤔 Political Timing? Is this auction politically motivated? Some speculate it’s a preemptive move ahead of a Trump presidency. Critics argue it’s fiscally irresponsible to sell low now, only to potentially buy back higher later. 🏛️ 9/ 🛠️ Market Response: Structured auctions avoid market floods. Past events show resilience, with analysts like Ki Young Ju saying, "The $6.5B sale could be absorbed in a week. Don’t panic." The question is: Will history repeat? 10/ 💬 Your Take on the Auction: How will the $6.5B Bitcoin auction impact the market? Will it spark short-term volatility or will the market absorb the volume effortlessly? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 📩
Long
by DCAChampion
BTC - 4H Consolidation LikelyThe current low market volume is typical during the Christmas and New Year holiday period, as institutional players and many retail traders reduce activity. This reduction in liquidity often leads to lower volatility and smaller price movements. In this scenario, BINANCE:BTCUSDT appears to be consolidating within a well-defined range, as highlighted by the resistance zone around $99,000 and the support zone near $92,000. With minimal external market drivers expected until trading activity picks up after the holidays, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is likely to remain range-bound. This sideways movement aligns with historical behavior during low-volume periods, where breakouts or significant trends are less frequent. Traders should consider this low-volatility environment when planning short-term strategies.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sober_Trading
6
BTC - 1H PulllbackBitcoin has formed a bearish descending channel following a sharp bearish spike, indicating continued downward momentum. Currently, the price is showing signs of recovery and may rise towards the channel base around the $97,000 resistance zone. This resistance zone, marked by previous rejections and high selling pressure, is a critical area to monitor. It offers a potential opportunity to enter short positions if rejection signs are observed, with expectations of further declines from that zone. Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of price action at the resistance before entering positions. Both bullish retracements and potential rejections at resistance offer opportunities for strategic trades. 🚀
by Sober_Trading
2
Bitcoin, Best zone to look to buy. BINANCE:BTCUSD / 1D Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, The price is rejecting the Previous all-time high. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a second leg down that will complete an AB CD complex pullback into the support zone shown in the chart for a more strategic entry. If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target: First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. A new all-time high. Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BTM-LEO
3
Bitcoin Logarithmic Chart Since 2009Bitcoin is currently in a bull cycle similar to previous cycles. Bitcoin has a notorious 4 year cycle that almost everyone knows about due to it's halving. This means the current bull cycle should extend into late 2025. However, things may be a little different from what most people would expect this time. This is an all-time Bitcoin logarithmic chart going back to 2009 which is when Bitcoin was released. This is a monthly chart so all the information can fit onto a single screen. The red line shows a trajectory similar to an airborne projectile of some kind. As time goes on, the velocity is slowing. We all know what happens next when velocity slows down too much. Gravity takes over! The green lines were drawn from the lows to the highs. I realize they may be off by a candle or so depending on data source or where somebody want to put the start/end times, but this doesn't change the overall concept. Every bull cycle has lower growth in terms of %. This is just a fact. There are 3 important notes I want to make other than slowing velocity: 1) Bitcoin is already extended up to the red line this cycle. Which just so happens to coincide with the strong psychological $100000 level. 2) Notice how the growth percentages are drastically lower each cycle. Bitcoin is currently up more than 500% from it's low point this cycle. The previous cycle only made a 1829% move. So the high for this cycle may have already been made. 3) We are about 25 candle into the current cycle. Each cycle has different durations from low point to high point though. The shortest cycle was only 28 candles. Bitcoin may very well have made it's high point this cycle already. If not, there may be only a few months left of bullish movement. See my previous analysis using a regular linear chart which I made near the top. Both long-term charts are in agreement.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by EACoders
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to move up next. Price rose to 108300 points (New ATH) and then started to decline in a triangle. In a short time, BTC fell to the 101800 level, broke it again, and then made a retest, after which continued to move down. Later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then bounced up, but soon turned around and declined back to the 93400 level. Then BTC turned around and rose to the resistance line of the triangle and then started to fall to the buyer zone. After it reached this area, the price some time traded inside and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the triangle and continuing to grow in the pennant. In a pennant pattern, Bitcoin rose to the seller zone, after which it turned around and dropped to support line of this pattern. Recently it rebounded and now I expect that BTC can fall a little more, even exit from pennant, and then turn around and start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 99000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
4
BTC Not Looking GoodTeam, We have a blood diamond on the BTC 2 Day Chart. Typically when we get these on HTF, we should expect continuation of the downside movement for 4 - 6 bars. Which means next 7-10 days we will be dealing with a potential downward pressure. Be prepared. If we break the neck line of the potential H&S pattern that is forming, our target on the down side is early 80k. If we mirror the pattern we took to go up to 107k level to the down side as a measured move, as you can see on the chart our measured move take us down to SD 3 level of 76-77k. This will also fill the CME gap. What am I doing with my leveraged trading? I'm waiting in cash with limit orders for altcoins to take advantage of any significant moves to the down side. I have set up chart set ups similar to this bitcoin chart. On the BTC macro front, some important news just came out. And these usually lead us to major bottoms. Exact quoted news: “According to DB, the US government has been granted permission to liquidate 69,000 Bitcoins (worth $6.5 billion) seized from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today. Notably, this comes less than two weeks after the new administration took office, which had promised not to sell the Bitcoins. The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) can sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the Silk Road darknet marketplace, a federal judge ruled Dec. 30. The DOJ cited bitcoin’s price volatility as a reason for pushing for permission to sell the assets." DoJ is required to sell any cleared assets to cash, and transfer that cash to treasury once sold. USMS (US Marshal Service) has certain financial reporting processes that restrict withdrawals from its exchange account near the end of each month. This is why you usually see DOJ deposits to Coinbase prime earlier in the month. On top of that, liquidations are supposed to occur within 5 business days. So they’re supposed to do it quick after forfeiture, and 5 business days after notice to CB, but they’ve taken longer in the past. Point is window is closing quickly if it hasn’t already. That is, if they’re following their own rules.
by CryptoBreakers
Where is Bitcoin’s support?Bitcoin has entered a weekly correction and this price correction will continue until we reach oversold levels on the weekly time frame. My prediction for the end of this weekly correction is between $79,000 and $81,000 . At this price, we also reach the trend curve that has the power to reverse the price upwards. This price correction is likely to last another 4-5 weeks. By reaching this support, if Bitcoin remains in the range, altcoins can grow. Until then, it is better to avoid emotional trading. This analysis will be violated if the price goes up and breaks above 106,500. Don’t forget to boost, comment and follow. Ali Rezaei
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Rezaei0013
5