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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Bitcoin’s Battlefield: Support, Resistance and Trade SetupsBitcoin’s price has been showing signs of a sustained downtrend after forming a double top pattern. The recent action, combined with low volume and failure to breach key resistance zones, points to a likely retest of lower levels. Over the weekend, the price couldn’t break past the 85K resistance, and the low trading volume around this level suggests that buyer interest is waning. 6H TF Chart: Big Picture vs. Short-Term Action On a higher timeframe (6H), my indicator neatly outlines the bear market of 2022 and the bull market that started in early 2023—when the “cloud” turned green, signaling a shift in momentum. The cloud's lower boundary is currently at $73,364, which is key. Imo, holding above 70K is critical for keeping that bullish vibe alive. 1H TF Chart: Switching over to the 1H chart, the picture shows a bearish structure. The upper resistance around 95K (which aligns with the yearly open near $93,455.85) is proving a solid resistance. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high also sits right at this level, adding more weight to the resistance. Bulls need to clear this yearly open to signal a true recovery. Key Levels & Confluence Zones 1.) Upper Resistance – 93K to 95K: The 95K zone aligns closely with the yearly open ($93,455.85) and the anchored VWAP from the all-time high, both acting as resistance. Daily moving averages (62 EMA at ~$91,316 and 62 SMA at ~$94,900) provide further confluence. Additional resistance between 85K-86K. 2.) Critical Support – 73K to 70K Zone: The lower edge of the cloud on the 6H timeframe sits around 73K. The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (from the low at $15,473.78 to the all-time high at $109,354) is at $73,492, while the 0.618 retracement (from $49,217 to the all-time high) is around $72,205. Moving Averages on Weekly Chart: The weekly 62 EMA ($72,919) and 62 SMA ($71,590) align well with this support region. Additional Support: A bullish monthly order block at $71,320 adds another layer of confluence. Psychological Importance: A hold above 70K is critical to maintaining bullish momentum. 3.) Monthly Open – $83,385.74: This level serves as a pivot: price is currently hovering below it. A reclaim by bulls would be a positive sign for higher price action, while a rejection reinforces the bearish setup. Trade Setups Long Trade Setup: Entry: Consider laddering in between 75K and 70K as the price retests support. Take Profit: Aim for the monthly open (~84K) initially, and if support holds and flips, a move toward 90K could be considered. Stop Loss: Set below 70K to protect against a further downturn. Short Trade Setup: Entry: A short setup can start at the monthly open, using a laddering approach between 84K and about 86.9K. Take Profit: Target the previous low or 74K. Stop Loss: Place just above 87K to keep risk in check. Thank you for taking the time to read through this technical analysis. I hope it provides valuable insights for your trading decisions. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by SiDec
9
Bitcoin's left translated cycle - new lowsLet’s analyze both Cycle Market theories separately: 60-Day Cycle Status Bitcoin printed a new cycle low on February 28. While many expected a rebound, it carved another low a week later, leading into a left-translated cycle (price trends downward for over half the cycle). We’re now on day 16, hovering just above the $78,000 low. Further downside is likely in coming weeks. Multi-Timeframe Cycle Breakdown 2-Week Cycle: Will dip below 20 by Monday’s close, marking the start of accumulation (long-term oversold conditions). 1-Week Cycle: Broken below 20 and stuck there for two months – a reversal is imminent, signaling mid-term upside. 3-Day Cycle: Also below 20, confirming short-term bullish momentum. 1-Day Cycle: Topping above 80, hinting at a brief pullback soon. Consensus : Both theories suggest a rally toward the 60-Day Cycle high (days 20-30), aligning with the 3-Day Cycle peak. However, we may see one final dip when the 3-Day Cycle resets to 20 before the bull run resumes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster
1
Bitcoin: 80K For Higher Low Long This Week.Bitcoin has retraced off the of the 76K to 78K AREA and established a double bottom formation (see arrows). I specifically mentioned this in my previous article and talked about it further during my most recent stream. While a bear flag formation IS now present, which implies weakness on the horizon, I anticipate a higher low support around the 80K area this week (see illustration). If it breaks, then 76K should be watched for another double bottom or failed low formation which offers attractive price points for swing trade long opportunities. This is a wild environment because we have tons of unexpected news constantly affecting the market while at the same time the highest seasonal volume (compared to August). This means moves will be BIG on both sides of the market, people will OVER react AND opinions will be more costly than usual. The first step to navigating such an environment effectively as a swing trader is to FOCUS on LEVELS and NOT news. No matter what the news is, either a level is going to be respected or its not. By focusing on what the herd is not, you can gain an advantage on the market, even if its brief. Along with that, if you understand how to use dollar cost averaging effectively in this environment, you can start a position slightly earlier while waiting for confirmation before you add. An example of this is while watching for test of 80K, you buy a small position which you can take pain on, which means a much wider than usual stop. IF confirmation appears, you add. While it is possible that after the add the market goes against you, the PROBABILITY of the location and formation FAVORS a positive outcome more. In cases like this it is worth the risk. If 80K breaks without any confirmation, you are still small and you lose less than you normally would because of the adjusted size. When market sentiment reaches extremes, THIS is when you want to pay CLOSE attention, especially during BEARISH extremes. In order for a market to reach attractive prices, mews typically needs to be negative. During such times, traders tend to avoid the market because the market looks "bad" yet, these same traders buy aggressively at the WORST prices, typically the highs when everything looks "great". One of my long time followers during my stream mentioned he was interested in buying, but only taking small bites because things looked so bearish. My response was that I usually suggest small bites at highs, and right now we are no where near the highs, so slightly greater risk can be justified at these prices for swing trades and investing. Assuming risk requires confidence. What gives me such confidence is being able to gauge potential risk through analyzing price structure and levels. Wave counts are very helpful in this regard and help me shape reasonable expectations. In this context, Bitcoin at 76K MAY be the Wave 4 bottom. As long as 65K is not touched, a Wave 4 bottom can otherwise be established somewhere between 76K and 66K if 76K breaks. This will go against ALL of the bearish sentiment required to push prices to such levels. Navigating this effectively means you will have to put your contrarian hat on. Pay attention to the levels and confirmations, not what people are saying. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
7
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Potential Bullish BreakoutCurrent Market Overview: Price: $83,295 24h Change: -1.24% (-$1,043.43) Exchange: Binance (2-Day Timeframe) Technical Breakdown: Support Levels: 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$77,262 – This level has acted as a significant support area. Trendline Support: Bitcoin is currently bouncing off a key ascending trendline that has been respected since mid-2023. Major Fibonacci Support: Lower retracement levels at $67,346 (50%), $57,430 (61.8%), and $50,539 (70%) indicate potential deeper corrections if the trendline breaks. Resistance Levels: Key Resistance at $106,183 - $109,588: A breakout above this zone could trigger a rally toward new all-time highs. Psychological Level at $100,000: A critical milestone for BTC that could act as temporary resistance. Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin maintains support above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and trendline, a potential breakout above $109,588 could push prices toward $130,000. The upward projection aligns with historical price action and Fibonacci extensions. Bearish Scenario: A break below $77,262 could lead to further downside, with possible retracements to $67,346 (50%) or lower levels like $50,539 (70%). The long-term trendline breakdown would be a major bearish signal. Conclusion & Strategy: Short-Term: Look for confirmation of support at $77,262 before entering long positions. Mid-Term: If BTC breaks $109,588 with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward $130,000 is likely. Risk Management: A drop below $77,000 could invalidate the bullish setup, prompting caution. 🚀 Bullish Outlook Above $109,588 | ⚠️ Caution Below $77,000
by ultreosforex
1
SOL: Current SituationYou asked, and we delivered: Solana (SOL) is trading at $129, navigating a volatile phase amid a broader crypto market downturn, with the total market cap down 4.4% in the last 24 hours. Sentiment is mixed: some traders eye a potential cup-and-handle pattern for a bullish breakout, while others flag oversold conditions and bearish signals. Rumors of a Solana ETF add speculation, though unconfirmed. For now, SOL’s price action hinges on key support and resistance levels. Technical Indicators and Key Levels Short-Term (1-Hour Chart): Support: $125 (critical), $110 Resistance: $140, $150 Indicators: RSI near oversold (~30), MACD bearish. A break above $140 with volume could target $150, but a drop below $125 risks $110. Long-Term (Weekly Chart): Support: $125, $90 Resistance: $140, $180 A hold above $125 could set up a rally to $180 if the cup-and-handle pattern confirms. Below $125, a deeper correction to $90 is possible. Potential Scenarios Bullish Case: Hold $125, break $140 with volume → target $150 (short-term), $180 (long-term). Bearish Case: Break below $125 → test $110 (short-term), $90 (long-term). Volume is key, watch for spikes to confirm moves. Broader Context and Tips SOL’s long-term outlook is promising due to its fast blockchain and ecosystem growth, but short-term risks loom. External factors like US inflation data or ETF news could sway the market. Traders should use tight stops, focus on $125 support, and stay flexible. Long-term investors should monitor $125 as a critical floor for bullish continuation.
by MonoCoinSignal
Solana ($SOLUSD) - Monthly Demand InboundQuick TA for Solana $SOL. Many cryptos are at inflection points and will likely break higher or roll over from current prices (I think a move down is more likely, per long-term charts, and am hoping this happens for the sake of buying opportunities). Solana, like many other cryptos, has failed to develop meaningful 1D bullish momentum (RSI holding below 50). Should COINBASE:SOLUSD get another leg down, I'll be watching its behavior as it enters lower demand zones. 101.75-78.87 = monthly demand; 74.85-51.37 = weekly demand, but there are also buy areas higher. If Solana trades lower and approaches the aforementioned levels, use LTFs for signs of exhaustion/downtrend reversal. Personally, I wouldn't use "set-and-forget" buy limit orders; higher-beta cryptos may keep selling off until majors bottom/reverse and/or prices might not trade low enough to hit your limit price. I prefer more of a "hands-on" approach to trading, but to each their own. On the road, so truncated analysis. Will update when I can. Thank you for your interest and let me know what you think! Jon @JHartCharts
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by JHartCharts
BCH: Current SituationYou asked, and we delivered. Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is trading at $331, a pivotal level that’s acting as a battleground between buyers and sellers. This price sits near a critical support zone, and recent price action shows BCH struggling to push higher amid broader crypto market weakness. The total crypto market cap has dropped by 4.4% in the last 24 hours, putting pressure on altcoins like BCH and fostering a cautious sentiment. Social media buzz, especially on platforms like X, has flagged $330 as a make-or-break level, holding here could spark optimism, while a breakdown might fuel bearish momentum. That said, take these posts with a grain of salt; they’re often speculative and lack the full technical or fundamental picture. Technical Breakdown: What the Charts Are Saying Short-Term (1-Hour and Daily Charts) Support Levels: Immediate: $330 – A close below this could signal trouble. Next: $315.58 – A deeper drop might test this level if selling picks up. Resistance Levels: Immediate: $339 – A hurdle to watch for any upside push. Next: $350 – A tougher ceiling that’s rejected recent rallies. Indicators: MACD: Bearish crossover, suggesting short-term weakness. RSI: At 46.40, it’s neutral but leaning bearish, room to fall or bounce. Moving Averages: Price is below the 20-period MA on the 1-hour chart, a sign of near-term softness. Pattern: A falling wedge is forming, a setup that could hint at a bullish reversal if BCH breaks above the upper trendline with solid volume. Long-Term (Weekly and Monthly Charts) Support Levels: Key: $300 – A major floor to hold for bulls. Next: $263 – A deeper correction could target this if $300 fails. Resistance Levels: Key: $536 – A 50% Fibonacci retracement level and a big hurdle. Next: $800 – A long-term target if momentum flips bullish. Indicators: 200-Day MA: Trending down, reflecting prolonged bearish pressure. RSI/MACD: Neutral on weekly, with no extreme signals yet. Pattern: A double-bottom around $300 is worth watching, confirmation could spark a reversal, while a drop below $263 would sour the outlook. Potential Scenarios: What Could Happen Next? Short-Term Scenarios Bullish Case: If BCH holds $330 and punches through $339 with strong volume, it could climb to $350. A break above $350 might target $380, especially if MACD flips bullish. Look for a volume surge to confirm this move. Bearish Case: A close below $330 could trigger a slide to $315.58, or even $300 if selling accelerates. High volume on the drop would lock in bearish control, watch this closely. Long-Term Scenarios Bullish Case: Holding $300 and breaking $536 could kick off a new uptrend, with $800 or higher in sight by 2026. This depends on a crypto market rebound and growing BCH adoption for payments. Bearish Case: A sustained fall below $300 might drag BCH to $263 or lower, especially if altcoins stay weak. This would kill the double-bottom setup and point to a longer downtrend. Broader Context: What’s Driving BCH? Market Sentiment: BCH’s identity as a scalable, low-fee payment option (thanks to bigger block sizes) keeps it in the game, but it faces stiff competition from other coins and regulatory uncertainty. Adoption is key, more real-world use could lift its value. Tech Developments: Network upgrades enhancing scalability could boost BCH’s appeal. Watch for news on this front. External Factors: Crypto prices often dance to macro tunes, think regulatory shifts, US economic data (like inflation), or Bitcoin’s moves. These could sway BCH in either direction. Practical Tips for Traders and Investors Risk Management: Crypto’s wild, set tight stop-losses and don’t over-leverage. A stop below $330 for shorts or $315 for longs could save your bacon. Volume is King: Breakouts or breakdowns without volume are suspect. Wait for confirmation. Stay Flexible: Markets shift fast, keep an eye on news and adjust your plan as needed.
by MonoCoinSignal
BITCOIN TRENDS with Heiken Ashi candles & Trend indicator ADX Why HEIKEN ASHI Candles ? Heikin Ashi is a charting technique that can be used to predict future price movements. It is similar to traditional candlestick charts. However, unlike a regular candlestick chart, the Heikin Ashi chart tries to filter out some of the market noise by smoothing out strong price swings to better identify trend movements in the market. ( Source TradingView ) What is ADX ? The ADX indicator measures trend strength without indicating direction. It is derived from the Positive Directional Movement (+DI) and Negative Directional Movement (-DI): +DI (Positive Directional Index): Measures upward price movement. -DI (Negative Directional Index): Measures downward price movement. ADX Value: Higher values indicate stronger trends, regardless of direction. ( Source TradingView) To summarise, Heiken Ashi candles filter out Noise and help identify Trend Direction ADX shows you Trend Strength - NEVER the direction of Trend, using prince index. OK, so now we ready. The main chart has 2 Vertical Bold lines that will be explained in a Bit but Note where they are on the Chart The one on the left is near where the Rise in PA turns and becomes a Ranging PA- PA slowed right on that line. The 2nd line is near the TOP and before the point where PA entered a descending channel that leads us to where we are currently Note on the chart, the Orange dotted line. This is the BASIS line of the Bollinger bands. This is The Basis line and shows us the Average of PA and, as you can see, we are currently below Average. This shows a Negative Trend. See how PA is above the basis line in a Positive Trend Also note in the chart how the lines of candles are Smoother. Each New candle begins on the centre line of the previous and so it becomes a Lot easier to see if PA rises or drops from previous with out the Jagged Noise of traditional candles. - Taller candles show more Strength than previous; So now to the ADX Chart See those 2 Dashed Vertical lines and note how the ADX ( YELLOW ) changes direction at those points. To remind you, the Left one was where BTC PA Slowed down from a Steep Rise, A BULLISH TREND, and turned to Ranging. The Drop in the ADX at this point showed us that the previous trend was weakening. I remind you, it DOES NOT SHOW TREND DIRECTION even though, in this case, they follow each other. PA Ranged horizontal on average till we met the Next line, where the previous Trend Strength had reached Neutral ( Note, this is around 20 on the ADX scale ) At the next dashed lime. ADX began rising. Trend strength was increasing. Initially, we saw BTC PA rising to a New ATH and so, it was easy to assume that the Trend Was Bullish again. However, as we see now, it turns out it was a BEARISH trend. So how do we know when this is going to end ? The ORANGE line DI+ ( positive price action ) and the RED DI - ( Negative price action ) can help These are Price Direction index. When DI + rises, this indicates a positive price action and Visa Versa for DI - On its own, this is not easy But, for instance, notice how while we been in the descending channel, the DI+ dropped while the DI- has ranged along the 20 line on average. This indicates a controlled Drop in PA and NOT a Full on Bearish capitulation. There is strength there in PA and this can be seen by the Slow rise of the ADX On a shorter time scales, over the last 5 days we have seen PA rise in price. this is reflected more in the DI- dropping ( Negative price action loosing strength ) more than in the DI + remainf horizontal.( NOT gaining Strength ) This could indicate that we are not finished Dropping yet - and yet, at the same time, we see the ADX weakening. The Bears maybe getting Tired. If we now return to the Chart This fatigue we maybe seeing in the Bears could be reflected in the simple fact that we are now Near a long term Rising line of Support ( bold line) and that we are nearer the lower line of the descending channel ( also support) - We are also very near the 2.272 fib extension that has proved to be support previously. The upper bollinger band is around 90K, which happens to be near Top of current range. So, we may see a push higher soon but we need to understand that the Longer term still Looks like we will continue in the Range Bound for a Few more weeks. I hope this helps but be prepared for anything
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #35👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! Today, we're diving into the analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indices. As usual, I will review the New York session's future triggers for you. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the trigger I set yesterday at 83979 was activated, and with the area's breach, it seems like the next bearish leg might commence. 💫 I've moved yesterday's trigger down to 83806, and we'll see if it reacts to this in the future. 💥 Currently, the RSI is entering the oversold territory, and with the entry of bearish momentum, the price could move down to 80105. The main price support remains at 77598. 📊 Today, I don't have any specific triggers yet and we need to wait for the price to establish a new structure. For short positions, you can utilize the triggers available in the lower timeframes. 📈 For long positions, like shorts, you must wait for the price to form a new structure. However, if the price sharply moves upwards, the long trigger will be at 84817. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Moving to the Bitcoin dominance analysis, BTC.D has formed a range between 61.53 and 62.03 and is currently moving towards the upper boundary of this box. ⭐ If this upward movement occurs, altcoins will likely fall more than Bitcoin, and if the altcoin short trigger activates, you can enter a position. ✔️ A major confirmation of upward movement will be with a break of 62.03, and a downward trend confirmation will be with a break below 61.53. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to Total2, yesterday's trigger at 1.04 was activated but it turned out to be a fake break, and the price has since returned below this area, now touching 1.01. ⚡️ For short positions, look for a break below 1.01, and for long positions, you can still take confirmation from 1.04. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Finally, looking at the Tether dominance, similar to Bitcoin, its trigger has been activated, breaking the area of 5.33, and the price is trending upwards. 🎲 A confirmation of an upward movement will be with a break above 5.56, and a confirmation of a downward trend will be with a break below 5.28. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short
by tradecitypro
9
Ethereum THE GREATEST SHORT SQUEEZE in CRYPTO!ETH paired with BTC x GME stock What happened to GameStop stock? This is very interesting because it helps to understand the “mechanics” behind the formation of such a specific arc (logarithmic chart). 1. Professionals were actively taking short positions. 2. Uncovered shorts forced sellers to buy back shares (to close positions) as the price increased, which further accelerated buying. 3. Volatility and price growth fueled enthusiasm, increasing demand and triggering a pump. The GameStop situation was long considered a “retail victory,” but as it turned out, it wasn’t entirely so—it was a coordinated move by some major players against others who were heavily shorting the stock, being absolutely convinced of the company’s failure. How much hate is there around ETH? How many bloggers are writing, “ETH is useless now”? Exactly. Meanwhile, ETH has 6-8 times the TVL of SOL!
Long
by sholi_software
Bitcoin's 1065-Day Bull Run Nearing Its End – A Cycle ComparisonThis chart illustrates Bitcoin’s historical price action over three major market cycles, each lasting approximately 1065 days (35 months). The pattern suggests that Bitcoin follows a well-defined four-year cycle, influenced by its halving events. Each cycle begins with a bearish phase (marked in red), followed by a strong uptrend (green), leading to a peak before another correction phase starts. A key observation is that the duration of each bull run remains consistent, lasting around 35 months (~1065 days) before reaching its peak. Historically, Bitcoin has followed a similar trajectory, with price action mirroring previous cycles. If this pattern holds, the current bull run may reach its peak within the next 6-8 months, placing the market top around late 2025. Additionally, past cycles show that altcoins tend to experience their strongest moves after Bitcoin peaks, meaning an altseason could emerge by Q3–Q4 2025.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
1
Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup. I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?!Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?! 👀 I would like to present you some charts with important levels and relevant patterns. 🖥daily-chart (BITSTAMP) and 💡everything important in the chart 👀 💥Here in the daily chart (BITSTAMP) - a Deep-Crab harmonic with - a WolveWave and the daily-chart of the 🔥Daily MA200 re-test 👀 - gap fill - support-line 2022 and 2024 TOPs 👉 BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) 💡 🎯 If you like this idea, please leave me a 🚀 and follow for updates 🔥⏰ Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea. Have a nice evening & successful trading decisions 💪 M_a_d_d_e_n ✌ NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by M_a_d_d_e_n
19
Bitcoin 50 SMA time snaps and Low to ATH since 2014 - UPDATEIn a similar vein to the chart posted earlier today about the patterns between the 50 and 100 SMA, this post is using the 50 SMA ( RED) and the time spent above and below PA. Alongside this, we have the day counts for PA LOW to PA ATH since 2014 After 2013 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 399 days below PA After 2017 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 329 days below PA After 2021 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 420 days below PA - This is an impressive stat as it includes the Deep Bear that we experienced after the Luna, 3 Arrows & FTX crashes, includes the raising of interest rates and the utter presecution by Banks and SEX in the USa. The fact that the drop below PA was only extended by 35 days ( average) Max shows a strength in Bitcoin sentiment. It could NOT be broken In 2015, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, it remained there for 938 days In 2019, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, it remained there for 1001 days In 2023, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, we have been above for 756 days of an expected average projection of 966 days This projects that PA will Drop Below the 50 SMA in about October 2015, After the ATH as previously. This points towards an ATH in Q4 - this has some confluence with the previous post though open to suggestion. Next is the simple PA LOW to ATH and Back to LOW day counts 2013 ATH to Cycle Low was 665 days then 847 days to Cycle ATH 2017 ATH to Cycle Low was 350 days then 1064 days to Cycle ATH 2021 ATH to Cycle Low was 378 days then, using the average of the two previous day Count from Low to ATH, gives us 952 days to Cycle ATH This puts an ATH in JUNE 2025 ! I do not think this is realistic in anyway however, Anything is possible currently. I do however think that June is about when PA could seriously begin to make Moves higher, with intent to reach a Cycle ATH. The reason being, the weekly MACD will have reached Neutral by then ( if not in mid May ) So while this chart offers some confluence to other ideas, it also offers another ATH date that is way earlier than any previous cycle ATH - While I feel this is unlikely to happen, we Must keep open minds.. the adoption of BTC by main stream now may well accelerate the PA cycle. We shall wait and find out. Be prepared for ALL occasions....including the arrival of an early Bear. - THAT will be in another post, at some point soon Stay safe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
Potential Path of the Altcoin Market?Trading Family, To say that our altcoin market has been disappointing would be the understatement of the year. While there definitely have been some winners (I have held Solana through the $8 low), the majority have been a large disappointment. In fact, the last I read, only 42 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin since the bear market bottom was put in. This is an incredible stat to think about and very telling. Altcoin traders have a difficult task in beating the BTC hodl'ers for sure. However, recently there have been some hidden indications that our altcoin market will soon increase our odds of success. First of all, Bitcoin's low fees. Low fees on the Bitcoin blockchain is often a hidden health indicator for the coin signaling weak demand. People often see low fees as a positive thing. But what's actually happening here is that there is low demand for transacting on the chain, therefore, in order to increase the demand, transaction fees are forced down. Weaker demand does seem to correlate with what the BTC dominance chart is showing us. You can see from the chart that we have a large sell side liquidity block that has formed, indicating large sell side volume in dominance. Additionally, my indicator has flashed a red dot, signaling that it is time for dominance to drop. We also have our RSI and Macd, crossing down. And if we break from that channel, dominance drop momentum should accelerate. This brings me to our TOTAL3 chart which is all altcoins excluding Ethereum. The chart is showing us that we have reached an extremely critical support trendline. Price is currently bouncing from it. Additionally, there are large volumes of buyers at this point. You can observe this by the VRVP candles and the liquidity blocks indicator. But contrary to BTC.D in which the RSI and Macd were crossing down, TOTAL3 shows our RSI and Macd crossing up! This is bullish for alts. Finally, it is a great sign to see that our "M" pattern has looked to have completed right at our point of support. I have drawn a projected pathway from here. In the first part of our next week, we may see a bit more pump. News of the passing continuing resolution here in the U.S. is still trickling out. Monday, as stock traders jump back in, I would imagine we see more pump as traders feel good about the averted gov't shutdown. This may trickle into Tuesday. But then Wed. is the Fed's day. We are expecting further pause to interest rate. Everyone will be listening to the Fed speak and parsing every syllable that is uttered from J. Pow's tongue. What is says and the bias that is interpreted will be key. I am expecting mostly a non-event here. Which means that bullish bias may wane once again. Crypto, mostly altcoins, really only pump on good news. But negative and even neutral news is a sell to sideways event. Thus, I expect we may hit another local top around Wed. afternoon at which point the altcoin market starts to sell a bit again OR it simply continues sideways again for a few more weeks. Sooner or later though, I believe we are headed towards that 1.3 trillion resistance. It is worthwhile considering to stay in a holding pattern unless we drop below our all-important support. Watch this line closely and draw it on your charts. It will be key! ✌️Stew
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by stewdamus
Bitcoin Teeters on $80K Edge: Will It Hold or Fold?Bitcoin is currently priced at $81,145, reflecting a volatile recovery after dipping to $78,000 recently. This movement comes amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with the total market cap dropping 4.4% in the last 24 hours, dragging down major altcoins and fueling a cautious mood among traders. The lack of strong bullish momentum suggests Bitcoin may struggle to push higher unless market sentiment shifts significantly. Technical Indicators and Key Levels Technically, Bitcoin is hovering near a pivotal support at $80,000, a level with both psychological and historical significance. The price is trading below the 20-period moving average of around $81,500, signaling a short-term bearish tilt. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 shows neutral momentum, with no immediate signs of exhaustion in either direction. Resistance looms at $82,000, a barrier that previously halted upward moves. A decisive move above this level could spark optimism, but failure to defend $80,000 risks further declines. Potential Scenarios and Trading Considerations Two scenarios dominate the 1-hour chart. A hold above $80,000, followed by a break past the 20-period moving average, could pave the way for a push to $82,000, especially if volume picks up to validate the move. On the flip side, a drop below $80,000 might accelerate selling, targeting $78,000 or even $75,000, particularly if volume surges on the downside. Given the current volatility, traders should prioritize tight stop-losses and avoid excessive leverage to manage risks effectively. Broader Context and Final Tips Despite short-term uncertainty, Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend remains intact, as historical patterns suggest resilience over time. However, external triggers, like regulatory updates or economic data such as upcoming US inflation figures, could sway the market in either direction. Traders should monitor volume closely for confirmation of any breakout or breakdown and focus on how Bitcoin reacts at $80,000 support and $82,000 resistance. Staying disciplined, keeping risk in check, and adapting to real-time developments will be critical in this setup. Note: Volume spikes are your cue, watch them to confirm any significant price action.
by MonoCoinSignal
24
ROAD TO 130K !!!Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
4