SUI GAME PLAN - SUI NETWORKI will be watching the $2.22 price level for building spot and swing positions on SUI.
The marked purple zone is the weekly demand zone, and I believe it should hold.
Additionally, we will be retesting the March 24 high for the first time, which likely has enough liquidity to create upward momentum.
Invalidation will occur if the $1.60 low is taken out aggressively.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin’s Struggle Continues: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin’s price action over the past two months has been frustrating, with the price stuck in a range.
The brief drop to the 90K zone following Trump’s tax announcement was quickly reversed. However, after a spike above 100K, BTC has once again been consolidating below this key level for the past two weeks.
At the time of writing, BTC/USD is sitting on newly formed support at 95K. A break below this level could lead to another test of 90K.
If bulls fail to hold the 90K support, the price could extend its decline, potentially dropping to 85K in the first instance.
BTCUSD - Endless BullrunPlotting a trend channel shift that allows BTC to continue a legendary run
This curve is something I have seen online and thought it hodls merit
Vertical lines are tops along the channel with some speculative bars patterns showing how price may continue up
This chart removes my doubt that BTC may crash as it allows continuation
Weekly timeframe
What's next for Microsoft?The 50 EMA (green line) has historically acted as dynamic support, but with price now trading below it, there is a clear shift in momentum toward the bearish side. If price fails to reclaim the 50 EMA (currently around $415-$420) and faces rejection, it could signal further downside toward the $380 support zone, making a short trade viable with a stop above $426. However, if buyers step in at $387-$390 and we see a strong bullish reaction, it could lead to a rebound toward the 50 EMA and potentially the $427-442 distribution zone. The key decision point lies in whether price can reclaim or decisively reject the 50 EMA, dictating the next major move. A clean reclaim would signal bullish continuation, while a firm rejection could confirm further downside before any recovery.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
BITCOIN The road to 150k is wide open.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating on the very same Fibonaci level it did during the previous Cycle.
As you see, it was on the 0.786 Fibonacci that BTC traded sideways 4 years ago during January-February 2021.
With the 1week MA50 as the support, it made a November 2021 Cycle Top.
According to this, we can easily see $150k by the end of this year.
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Bitcoin - This Cycle Is Pretty Clear!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still 100% bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It is actually quite a surprise that we did not see new all time highs on Bitcoin for the past two months. However we had the same thing happening back in 2017 before Bitcoin actually finished the cycle with a parabolic blow off top. So we all know what is very likely to happen next.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SOL The big rotation beginsRug pulls... Allegations against creators and influencers creating meme coins powered by Solana... Developers abandoning a project after pocketing investor funds... The monthly transaction fees spend on SOL are at an all-time high... The rise of dissatisfaction of participants looking for quick profits in the Solana casino won't stop...
All this overrides every fundamental partnership and achievement of the whole blockchain ecosystem and leaves a sour taste in the crypto community's mouth.
More and more people seeking out for longevity: roadmaps, partnerships and active development, and especially third-party code audits regarding red flags in meme coin projects.
Big investors and institutions took profit at the double-top and swapped to other blue-chip coins like ETH or BNB which on-chain activity has just risen steadily over the last weeks while becoming the more safer bets for the upcoming bullrun.
This dump of SOL is just the beginning of what is to come and it just depends on how fast it's gonna come down.
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 30-minute gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold resumed its bullish momentum, successfully hitting the $2,923 and $2,929 targets with ease, and even extending its rally to $2,940.
With this move, gold filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) mentioned in the previous analysis and reached its bearish order block.
Currently, gold is trading around $2,927, and the next move will depend on price stability:
• If gold holds above $2,929 for the next 4 hours, we could see another bullish push.
• If gold fails to hold above this key level, we might see a pullback towards $2,923 as the first corrective target.
Stay tuned for further updates!
Bitcoin Stuck in a Range—Breakout or Breakdown Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous post but once again failed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) . In general, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for more than 10 days , making it difficult for Bitcoin traders .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) and created a Fake Break for the Resistance line .
Meanwhile, it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a descending channel , and the falling wedge pattern has failed for me (in the previous post).
Another point is that during the last 10 days , the most Bitcoin trades were around $96,700 , which number can play an important role in determining the direction of Bitcoin and can be an important support and resistance level for us .
Regarding the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . An hour ago, Bitcoin managed to complete the microwave C from the main wave Y. It can be one of the signs of the completion of microwave C , which is a fake break .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) again AFTER breaking the $96,700 level , and this time, it has a higher chance of breaking this zone, and if this zone breaks, we should wait for Bitcoin to decline to the Support line .
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $99,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise further and possibly break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200).
Note: Generally, the trading volume is low on Saturdays and Sundays, and the chance that Bitcoin will go out of the range in the next two days is low, although it is not unlikely.
When do you think Bitcoin will leave this range (upward or downward)?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC. Key moment for the Entire History.After a strong autumn up impulse, Bitcoin price has been moving in an ascending channel for 100 days now. An extremely long consolidation and now the time is coming when the next movement will lay the base for the year trend. Everything will be decided now, here in this ascending parallel channel.
BITCOIN Decoding the current consolidation. $112k to print soon.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating within roughly a 5000 range (100k - 94.1k) for the past 12 days. During all this time, it's been testing but never closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). There hasn't been a tighter consolidation of this duration in the past year and there is a technical explanation behind it.
The 3-month pattern has been a Channel Up and the last sub-1D MA50 consolidation before the current one, has been its previous bottom formation on its Higher Lows trend-line. The 1D RSI sequences between the two bottom fractals are so far identical and it appears that we are now on the way to complete Leg (f), which is the final step before a Double Bottom is formed. A new 1D MACD Bullish Cross may come as confirmation of the new Bullish Leg.
As a result, the market is close to its most optimal buy opportunity. Given that a 1.5 Fibonacci extension Target has been a fair expectation within this Channel Up, our medium-term Target on BTC after the new Bullish Cross would be $112000, which is still below the 1.5 Fib ext and very close to the top of the Channel Up.
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Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement within the channel ceiling will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
During the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a capital outflow of $651 million, breaking their consecutive weekly inflow streak in the United States. Similarly, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs experienced a modest capital outflow of $26 million, reflecting a nearly neutral trend in this segment.
Over the past few months, Bitcoin and Ethereum have followed different trajectories—Bitcoin has seen a substantial price increase, whereas Ethereum has faced notable challenges. One contributing factor to this divergence has been the economic policies proposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, which have favored Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s price is currently just below $100,000, after approaching $110,000 in mid-January. Meanwhile, Ethereum has significantly declined from its recent high in December, as concerns over a potential “dangerous” bubble have emerged.
Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs has unofficially confirmed that it has purchased approximately $2 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum in the form of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to a regulatory report, Goldman Sachs ramped up its investments in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs during the fourth quarter, increasing its Ethereum ETF holdings by 2000% and boosting its Bitcoin ETF investments to over $1.5 billion.
The ETFs acquired by Goldman Sachs include Bitcoin and Ethereum funds managed by BlackRock, as well as those under the control of Fidelity and Grayscale.
In 2023, BlackRock led the campaign for U.S. regulatory approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, culminating in the launch of a series of these funds in January 2024. These ETFs quickly became some of the fastest-growing exchange-traded funds in history.
For the first time in November, U.S. physical Bitcoin ETFs surpassed $100 billion in net assets, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) now managing over $60 billion in assets.
However, some analysts have downplayed the significance of Goldman Sachs’ Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF investments. James Van Straten, a senior analyst at CoinDesk, stated: “Goldman Sachs’ position, like that of many other banks and hedge funds, is not necessarily a net long position.”
Last month, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink revealed that he had been in discussions with sovereign wealth funds regarding Bitcoin investments, predicting that such talks could push Bitcoin’s price as high as $700,000.
Fink, who spearheaded Wall Street’s entry into the cryptocurrency market last year through a series of Bitcoin ETFs, told Bloomberg at the World Economic Forum in Davos: “If all these discussions had materialized, Bitcoin’s price could have reached $500,000, $600,000, or even $700,000.”
In another major development, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) officially announced that Ripple is not considered a security and should not be subject to securities regulations. This decision marks a significant victory for Ripple and could ease regulatory constraints and lawsuits that the SEC has pursued against other altcoins.
Additionally, the SEC has indicated that it may drop its lawsuit against Coinbase and has requested 30 days to review the exchange’s applications. Earlier this week, the SEC also dropped its case against Binance, signaling that SEC Chairman Gary Gensler’s crackdown on cryptocurrencies has largely failed. The lawsuit against Coinbase had been one of the most significant regulatory actions against the crypto industry during Gensler’s tenure at the SEC.
Bearish context holds. Pullback to 101-102KMorning folks,
A recent few sessions have rather narrow range, so we have little changes since our last discussion.
We have confirmed DRPO "Sell" pattern on weekly chart, so we keep bearish general view on BTC, with potential downside target around 80-81K. This also makes us to not consider any long positions. If even upside bounce will happen - we try to use this rally for short entry later.
Still for intraday traders, if you want to buy BTC, here is some thoughts. First is, and actually why we stay away from longs for now - take a look, after impressive jump BTC stands too long in sideways action. This is not good for bullish scenario.
Now it seems that something like "Cup" or reverse H&S pattern is still forming here. So if you finally will decide to buy - currently is the point where you have to make a decision on entry. Because BTC has to start upside action right now, right from this point or it will not start it at all and drop. We suggest that 101-102K is an area where it would be better to out.
I mark this update as bearish in a row with our major view, but as we've said 101-102 pullback is not excluded.
Bitcoin (BTC) Market AnalysisCurrent Range & Price Action:
Bitcoin is consolidating within a well-defined range between $92,000 and $108,000, following a strong upward trend that has maintained bullish market sentiment.
Despite recent sell-offs, BTC holding above the $90,000 level suggests strong underlying demand and resilience from buyers.
Decreasing Volatility & Breakout Potential:
The market is experiencing declining volatility, a common precursor to significant price moves. This coiling effect suggests that a major breakout may be imminent.
Conditions currently favor an upward breakout, as Bitcoin remains in a long-term bullish trend and is supported by strong market demand.
Key Resistance & Support Levels:
A break above the $108,000 resistance level could trigger a rally to $124,000, based on the rectangle pattern’s measured move.
Conversely, a break below the $92,000 support would challenge the bullish structure and may lead to a reassessment of the market outlook.
Outlook:
As long as BTC remains within this range and holds above the critical $90,000 level, the setup points to a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Traders should closely monitor price action around $108,000 for signs of a breakout, as well as the $92,000 level to manage downside risk.
Conclusion:
With Bitcoin consolidating and holding key support levels, the technical setup favors potential upside. A decisive move above $108,000 would likely lead to a continuation of the broader bullish trend, targeting $124,000 in the near term. Conversely, a break below $92,000 would signal caution and could lead to a broader market correction.
$BTC 3 Black Crows Falls Below WSMA9Another tough week for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Closed the Week below the SMA9
With its 3rd consecutive bearish candle,
also known as 3 Black Crows.
This could mean that we have another bloody week ahead.
$94-91k is still very much in play.
Worth noting that Alts have been outperforming BTC this week, which is reflected in TOTAL and BTC.D
Bitcoin: Range Break Out This Week?Bitcoin is stuck in a tight consolidation that can be very confusing and costly IF you get too wrapped up in opinions and typical internet propaganda. To participate effectively in this you either play the range levels on small times frames (see my previous week's analysis) or just stay out completely until a decisive break unfolds. When and which way it breaks is ANY ONE'S guess.
The range support is in the 94 to 93K area. Use time frames like the 5 minute or 15 minute to confirm bullish reversals here and look for small bites. The coming week is the same story as the previous week. The 99K AREA is the range resistance and should be used as a reference point to gauge profit potential for swing trade longs or to anticipate sell signals for aggressive shorts. That is the game plan for the week UNTIL Bitcoin clears one of these price points.
The anticipated move (illustration on chart) is the same as the week before. Please keep in mind this market is sensitive to a variety of catalysts and has a tendency to be affected by the Nasdaq on a intraday basis. Unexpected news can come out of no where and throw off any analysis, especially longer term. This is why it is so important to stay opinion free while focusing on potential opportunities around predetermined price locations, Either the market delivers or it does not.
Part of being a savvy trader/investor is knowing when to simply stay out. Consolidations offer opportunities at the range boundaries, while the WORST place to take action is around the mid point which is the most RANDOM area. There is not much more to say than that. When the market breaks one way or the other, new profit and risk expectations can be adjusted for only then.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Yeah I won’t make stuff up this week either. Range is the same and we saw some expansion last week but barely. Targets for both sides remain the same and if you don’t like trading ranges, stop reading here. I have no idea where the next breakout will happen but a slightly bearish bias due to this market going sideways 12k points below ath while nasdaq is pumping.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 90k - 110k
bull case: Bulls printed another lower high and have nothing to show for after this week. They need daily closes above the 20ema and 100k to gain control again. Same stuff as last week.
Invalidation is below 88k.
bear case: Market is totally neutral. If bears start closing bars below 90k we can talk bear targets again. For now it’s nested triangles.
Invalidation is above 110k.
short term: Neutral. Play the range until broken.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good.
We are in a big trading range until it’s clearly broken. Bearish targets will only happen once we get a strong move below 90k.
current swing trade: Nope
chart update: Added the smaller triangle as well.
GOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR-$2B CRYPTO ETF BETGOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR- SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B CRYPTO ETF BET
(1/8)
Goldman Sachs just revealed a massive crypto ETF position—nearly SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in Bitcoin and Ethereum funds, per an SEC filing. Let’s break down the details and see what it means for traditional finance! 🚀💸
(2/8) – HOLDINGS SNAPSHOT
• Bitcoin ETFs: $1.63B total
24,077,861 shares in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) (~$1.33B)
3,530,486 shares of Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) (~$300M)
49,183 shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) (~$3.7M)
• Ethereum ETFs: $196.3M total
7,024,747 shares in Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (FETH) (~$191.1M)
200,000 shares of Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (~$5.1M)
(3/8) – ETFS: BRIDGING TRADFI & CRYPTO
• First approved in 2024, BTC & ETH ETFs let institutions gain crypto exposure without holding coins directly
• Perfect for “regulated” banks like Goldman, bridging Wall Street with digital assets 🏦
(4/8) – GOLDMAN’S STANCE ON DIRECT CRYPTO
• CEO David Solomon: “We’re a regulated bank, can’t own crypto as principal.” ⚖️
• They advise clients & dabble in ETFs, but can’t yet park BTC on their balance sheet due to regs
• Hints at how major banks remain cautious, even with big bets
(5/8) – WHY IT MATTERS*
• SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs = a serious vote of confidence in crypto’s future
• Encourages other institutional players to follow suit—if Goldman is in, who’s next? 🤔
• Demonstrates that “indirect” ownership is how TradFi is tiptoeing into crypto markets
(6/8) – REGULATORY OVERHANG*
• The bank can’t directly hold crypto due to existing rules, but invests heavily via approved ETFs
• Raises questions: will we see a day when Goldman (and others) hold actual BTC or ETH on their balance sheets? 🚪
(7/8) – Is SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs the start of a bigger Goldman crypto push?
1️⃣ Yes—They’ll expand once regs loosen 🚀
2️⃣ No—They’re staying in the safe zone 🤔
3️⃣ Unsure—Too many regulatory question marks ⚖️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Bearish Logscale Butterfly T2 with Bearish MACD & RSI DivergenceBitcoin appears to be set up at the 1.902 HOP for a Type 2 retest of the Logscale Bearish Butterfly that resulted in a major Type 1 reaction from the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension back in 2021, where it dropped from $69,000 to $15,500 over the course of several months before ultimately bottoming at the PCZ of a smaller Log Scale Bullish Butterfly which signaled the Type 2 run up to the 1.902 HOP of the Bearish Butterfly where it is now. As it tests this level the MACD and RSI are both Diverging Bearishly and the RSI especially seems weak as it now struggles to even crack above 70 level. This signals to me that the RSI has confirmed exhaustion after divergence at the HOP and that it is likely ready to start declining further.
Saying as though this is the type 2 test, I'd suspect that we'd make a lower low than our previous Type 1 reaction low at $15k, perhaps landing us around $12-10k; but if those levels don't hold It would be technically viable to assume BTC would go for the 0.886 retrace at around $4.6k
BTCUSDT CHART MAPPING IN 30M TF Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) in 30-M TF
RESISTANCE LEVEL. 97300/98100
TARGET WILL BE. 94800
The analysis suggests a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. The price has broken below the wedge support, and the chart indicates a short trade setup with a target around 94800 USDT and a stop loss at approximately 98800 USDT